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Cost-benefit analysis of agricultural interventions
in Andhra Pradesh
Surabhi Mittal
Agricultural Economist
India, Vijayawada, 18-20 June 2018
Background
•The 12th five-year plan aims to promote agriculture at the
rate of 6% in Andhra Pradesh.
• 62 % of the population is dependent on this sector for their
livelihoods.
•This sector contributes around 27.8 percent to the GSDP
•The cost of production is increasing faster than the
productivity gains
Government of Andhra Pradesh Strategy
• Transform the agricultural and allied sectors with specific emphasis on
increasing the productivity of the crops
• This is combined with a goal of doubling farmer incomes by 2022 as
set out by the central government.
• In this new outlook, it is important to assess how the cost of
production can be reduced, yields can be enhanced and, with
appropriate pricing policies, how farmers can attain improved
incomes.
Interventions analyzed
Adoption
of
certified
seed
Custom
hiring
services
Improving
Extension
system
with ICT
1st Intervention
Improving the availability of certified seeds
The Problem
• The seed replacement rates and varietal replacement are low for most
of the crops
• This hinders introducing high yielding varieties
The Solution
• Encourage farmers to adopt certified seed production
• Improved SRR which would result in producing higher yields
• Government of Andhra Pradesh encouraging Seed Village Programme
•quality seed is available at the doorstep of the farmers, at affordable prices
CostsTotal cost- Rs. 400 crores
(higher SRR over a period of 3 years)
Cost of production of the
additional seed required to
achieve the higher SRR
Cost of promotion to increase
the adoption of the improved
seed (rs 186/ha)
Expanding extension,
demonstration and field
days
Benefits
Increased yields
because of the
use of certified
seed.
Higher yields
lead to increased
production (10%
is assumed)
Better incomes
Total benefits -
Rs. 6,176 crores
Benefit Cost ratios
Intervention Discount Rate
Benefit
(in crore Rs)
Cost
(in crore Rs) BCR
Certified Seed
Production
3% 6,296 409 15.4
5% 6,176 401 15.4
8% 6,004 390 15.4
2nd Intervention
Custom hiring services
The Problem
• Challenge for availability of machines for small and fragmented land
holdings
• Poor affordability of over 80% of the small/marginal holdings
The Solution
• The focus is to increase agricultural productivity by mechanization
• reduce the problem of the high cost of labor and the increasing unavailability of
labor.
• aim is to increase the level of mechanization, even for small farms.
• Andhra Pradesh government plans to increase available of machinery
through Custom Hiring Centers (CHC)
•To achieve the benefits of CHC’s machinery needs to be used properly, technical
experts and extension agents have a key role in ensuring that the CHCs are
working efficiently
Costs
• Well stocked CHC can serve approximately 500 acres of land
every year and thus in Andhra Pradesh 28,679 CHCs will be
required
Capital cost for establishing
the CHCs
• assuming 75% of the total capacity utilized
operational costs every year
for a period of 5 years
• 5 percent of the total annual cost of the CHC
Cost of promotion and the
administrative costs of
setting up the CHCs
• estimated at Rs. 11,892 crores.Total cost of the intervention
Benefits
• Reduced cost- seed and fertilizer by 15%; animal labor by 60%;
and human labor by 20%.
Reduced the cost of
production
• yield enhancement because of the efficient utilization of inputs
from mechanization
• assumption- 2% yield gains per year over a period of 5 years.
Income gain
• 10% of the capital cost
Benefit at end of 5th year-
residual value of the
machineries
• Estimated at Rs. 22,574 crores.The total benefit
Benefit Cost ratios
Intervention Discount Rate
Benefit (in
crore Rs)
Cost (in crore
Rs) BCR
Custom hiring
centers
3%
23,894 12,425
1.9
5%
22,574 11,892
1.9
8%
20,800 11,168
1.9
3rd Intervention
Improving the extension services in the state
through the use of modern ICT tools
The Problem
• Public sector extension services are usually criticized for their
ineffective targeting, poor reach and the huge administrative cost of
delivering information
The Solution
• This intervention seeks to rely on ICT for improving the existing
extension services.
• The overall goal of using the mobile phone-enabled information
delivery mechanism is to have inclusive growth by reducing the
knowledge gap between large and small farmers and by creating
awareness.
Costs
• The costs is a sum of three components (for mobile users)
• Cost of delivering agricultural advisories through SMS
• Cost of IVRS (Integrated Voice Recording Service)
• Other costs of operations.
• The total costs of the intervention are Rs. 1,003 crore over five years
Benefits
• Increased farmer incomes- HH that have access to ICT based advisories have 16 percent
higher profits
• Utilization assumed to be 60% in 5 years
• average of small and marginal farmers is taken as the base income figure to remove the
bias because of large farming households
• Total benefits of this intervention are estimated at Rs. 6,250 crores.
Benefit Cost ratios
Intervention
Discount
Rate
Benefit
(in crore Rs)
Cost
(in crore Rs) BCR
Improving/
Expanding
extension
services
3% 6,666 1,070 6.2
5% 6,250 1,003 6.2
8%
5,693 914
6.2
Andhra Pradesh Priorities: Agriculture - Mittal

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Andhra Pradesh Priorities: Agriculture - Mittal

  • 1. Cost-benefit analysis of agricultural interventions in Andhra Pradesh Surabhi Mittal Agricultural Economist India, Vijayawada, 18-20 June 2018
  • 2. Background •The 12th five-year plan aims to promote agriculture at the rate of 6% in Andhra Pradesh. • 62 % of the population is dependent on this sector for their livelihoods. •This sector contributes around 27.8 percent to the GSDP •The cost of production is increasing faster than the productivity gains
  • 3. Government of Andhra Pradesh Strategy • Transform the agricultural and allied sectors with specific emphasis on increasing the productivity of the crops • This is combined with a goal of doubling farmer incomes by 2022 as set out by the central government. • In this new outlook, it is important to assess how the cost of production can be reduced, yields can be enhanced and, with appropriate pricing policies, how farmers can attain improved incomes.
  • 5. 1st Intervention Improving the availability of certified seeds
  • 6. The Problem • The seed replacement rates and varietal replacement are low for most of the crops • This hinders introducing high yielding varieties The Solution • Encourage farmers to adopt certified seed production • Improved SRR which would result in producing higher yields • Government of Andhra Pradesh encouraging Seed Village Programme •quality seed is available at the doorstep of the farmers, at affordable prices
  • 7. CostsTotal cost- Rs. 400 crores (higher SRR over a period of 3 years) Cost of production of the additional seed required to achieve the higher SRR Cost of promotion to increase the adoption of the improved seed (rs 186/ha) Expanding extension, demonstration and field days
  • 8. Benefits Increased yields because of the use of certified seed. Higher yields lead to increased production (10% is assumed) Better incomes Total benefits - Rs. 6,176 crores
  • 9. Benefit Cost ratios Intervention Discount Rate Benefit (in crore Rs) Cost (in crore Rs) BCR Certified Seed Production 3% 6,296 409 15.4 5% 6,176 401 15.4 8% 6,004 390 15.4
  • 11. The Problem • Challenge for availability of machines for small and fragmented land holdings • Poor affordability of over 80% of the small/marginal holdings The Solution • The focus is to increase agricultural productivity by mechanization • reduce the problem of the high cost of labor and the increasing unavailability of labor. • aim is to increase the level of mechanization, even for small farms. • Andhra Pradesh government plans to increase available of machinery through Custom Hiring Centers (CHC) •To achieve the benefits of CHC’s machinery needs to be used properly, technical experts and extension agents have a key role in ensuring that the CHCs are working efficiently
  • 12. Costs • Well stocked CHC can serve approximately 500 acres of land every year and thus in Andhra Pradesh 28,679 CHCs will be required Capital cost for establishing the CHCs • assuming 75% of the total capacity utilized operational costs every year for a period of 5 years • 5 percent of the total annual cost of the CHC Cost of promotion and the administrative costs of setting up the CHCs • estimated at Rs. 11,892 crores.Total cost of the intervention
  • 13. Benefits • Reduced cost- seed and fertilizer by 15%; animal labor by 60%; and human labor by 20%. Reduced the cost of production • yield enhancement because of the efficient utilization of inputs from mechanization • assumption- 2% yield gains per year over a period of 5 years. Income gain • 10% of the capital cost Benefit at end of 5th year- residual value of the machineries • Estimated at Rs. 22,574 crores.The total benefit
  • 14. Benefit Cost ratios Intervention Discount Rate Benefit (in crore Rs) Cost (in crore Rs) BCR Custom hiring centers 3% 23,894 12,425 1.9 5% 22,574 11,892 1.9 8% 20,800 11,168 1.9
  • 15. 3rd Intervention Improving the extension services in the state through the use of modern ICT tools
  • 16. The Problem • Public sector extension services are usually criticized for their ineffective targeting, poor reach and the huge administrative cost of delivering information The Solution • This intervention seeks to rely on ICT for improving the existing extension services. • The overall goal of using the mobile phone-enabled information delivery mechanism is to have inclusive growth by reducing the knowledge gap between large and small farmers and by creating awareness.
  • 17. Costs • The costs is a sum of three components (for mobile users) • Cost of delivering agricultural advisories through SMS • Cost of IVRS (Integrated Voice Recording Service) • Other costs of operations. • The total costs of the intervention are Rs. 1,003 crore over five years Benefits • Increased farmer incomes- HH that have access to ICT based advisories have 16 percent higher profits • Utilization assumed to be 60% in 5 years • average of small and marginal farmers is taken as the base income figure to remove the bias because of large farming households • Total benefits of this intervention are estimated at Rs. 6,250 crores.
  • 18. Benefit Cost ratios Intervention Discount Rate Benefit (in crore Rs) Cost (in crore Rs) BCR Improving/ Expanding extension services 3% 6,666 1,070 6.2 5% 6,250 1,003 6.2 8% 5,693 914 6.2