1. Virtual University
V.S. Efimov
Center of Strategic Research and Development,
Siberian Federal University,
www.foresight.sfu-kras.ru
expert.sfu@gmail.com

2. The main questions:
2. What are the features of the situation of higher education in
Russia and in the world?
3. Vision of the future of Russian universities.
4. What are new risks for high school?
5. Why do we need Virtual University?
6. How can we think about Virtual University?
7. Who and how will build a Virtual University?
In the report uses results of the project “The forecast and
scenarios for higher education in Russia until 2030 (Foresight
research)”

3. The forecast and scenarios for higher education
in Russia until 2030
Recommendations
• 730 experts for public
The best • 96 universities policy measures
foreign • 28 organizations
practices
Road map
Contexts, trends, possible for development of
critical situations, the higher education of
THE BASELINE the Russia
necessary management
decisions scenario of higher
education
The field of scenarios Organized register
development of of documents that define
higher education in the state policy
Russia

4. Phase transition: the industrial phase and the
postindustrial society
Post-industrial phase (XX-
The industrial phase (XVIII-
XXI centuries)
XX centuries)
The project
The project "Enlightenment“ «Enlightenment-2»
(mass education, universal literacy) (massive cognitive competences)
COGNITIVISATION
(knowledge economy and other)
Industrialization
(industrial production)
GLOBALISATION
URBANIZATION (production of labor, markets, capital)
(creation of cities and urban lifestyle)
DEMOGRAPHIC
DEMOGRAPHIC REVOLUTION-2
REVOLUTION (reduce of mortality, increase of life
(hygiene, medicine, reducing of child expectancy)
mortality)

5. ENLIGHTENMENT - 2
ENLIGHTENMENT-1 Social-anthropological projects
“Creative Man”, “Mobile Man” and
Social-anthropological other
project's “Knowing Man”,
“Industrial Man” Mass Baccalaureate
(cognitive competences:
navigation, research,
Mass school, mass profession - design, management)
"teacher", universal literacy
"Corporate Universities"
(dotted engineering training)
Mass engineering and technical
education (HTEI,
technical schools) VIRTUAL (OPEN) UNIVERSITY:
- free education
Universities, the Academy of Sciences
(knowledge production, reproduction
- networking and cloud R&D,
of scientists and elite) - all social groups

6. Situation in Russia
China, India
USA
Countries of Japan
Africa
Enlightenment-2
ЕU
Enlightenment-1
Russia
SIMULATION OF THE EDUCATION
KEY FACTORS AND CHALLENGES OF HIGHER EDUCATION IN RUSSIA
•imitation and falsification in higher education and innovation
•the absence of a clear socio-anthropological project, a framework for higher education
•«Intellectual offshore» and «skill drain»
•the gap between objectives, content, format and the interests of education, socio-economic
life and business
•domination of the educational bureaucracy, conservatism, research and education community
•shortage of subjects in high school

7. The future of higher education - expert opinion
Scenarios for the future of Russia: socio-economic
• Optimization of high situation and high school years, 2010-2030
school to the needs
of the
"resource economy“
• Formation of a
new perspective, in
which higher
education is the
engine of development
in country
• OBJECTIVE OF
SCIENTIFIC AND
EDUCATIONAL
COMMUNITY
cognitive society local leadership
catching up modernization raw future

8. The Future of higher education - group of experts
Socio-economic scenarios - a contribution to the situation in
Russia, 2030
GROUP OF EXPERTS:
•«Innovators»
•«All the experts»
•«Conservatives»
Innovators Conservatives
cognitive society local leadership
catching up modernization raw future

9. Digital Revolution:
transition from "paper, direct" education to "digital,
distant" education
• Contribution of the Internet economy in Russia's GDP in 2015 will
increase more than twice: from 1,6% percent of GDP in 2009 to
3,7% of GDP in 2015 (Boston Consulting Group).
• The number of Internet users in Russia in 2011reached
70 mln. people, growth during the year 5,4% (Ministry of
Communications of the Russian Federation)
• In 2009 the world market for distance education
was $27,1 billion. Forecast for 2014 - $49,6 billion in growth rate -
12% per year (Ambient Insight).
• In 2007 77% of European universities were ready for of
electronic learning, for 65% of high schools development of e-
learning is a key priority (European Commission for Education and
Culture)
9

10. Russian law - implementation of the Federal Law from May 8,
2010, N 83-FL
The introduction “normative per capita” Funding for universities will be carried
out in accordance with the state task to
financing - implementation fulfill the basic types of work and
of elements of market selection in the rendering educational services.
Calculated base capitation - the
budget process minimum value of the budget of
educational services to the
REPERCUSSION: reference numbers of students taking the
next academic year.
Deteriorating situation of the leading
universities that receive funding per student is
twice more than an average in Russia
The complexity of budget planning. The state does not know how many students come to
the leading and technical colleges, and, respectively, can not accurately plan for the
education budget
Weak regional universities would not be able to attract a stable government funding
Significantly reduced range of fee-paying students at natural science and
engineering areas
10

11. Digital Revolution - Virtual University
INDUSTRIAL PHASE – POST-INDUSTRIAL PHASE -
A “PAPER, DIRECT EDUCATION” A "DIGITAL, DISTANT EDUCATION"
CONTENT OF - knowledge, competencies, skills - cognitive competences
EDUCATION - scientific world picture - multiontologics, multiculturalism;
- action based on the norm - self-determination, self-organization
FORMAT "EDUCATIONAL CONVEYOR ": "INDIVIDUAL EDUCATIONAL
OF EDUCATION - curriculum TRAJECTORY"
- lectures and seminars, - open educational space
- outside control - tutor, counseling, expert support,
- reflexive self-control
MATERIAL UNIVERSITY VIRTUAL UNIVERSITY
INSTITUTIONAL
- university building (Campus) - an educational portal, e-library
FORMAT
- administration (rector, dean's office) - education network, an electronic office
- government financing (chair)
- state and public financing

12. Structure of the virtual university
Content Participants Institutions
Multimedia Children and Educational
content, young people, Portal, private
Education educational adults, older office,
space, individual people school office,
educational management
Basic processes
trajectories
Network Research and R&D Portal,
Research and projects, project groups E-library,
development technology (students, project Office
platforms aspirants,
employees)
Public
discourse,
audit,
consulting,
enlightenment
12

13. Virtual University (Education) - a road map(layout)
1.Approval of the concept 1.Confirmation of program of
OBJECTIVES, of virtual university development of VU
indicators 2.Establishment of the 2. Activities of VU
Directorate of VU
1. Elaboration of the concept of VU 1. Elaboration of development program
2. Elaboration of educational models of VU
VU 2. create the regulatory framework of VU
3. Creation of a package of technical 3. the creation and launch of the portal of
PROJECTS, specifications for the preparation VU
activities of content for of VU 4. Preparation of digital content of VU
4. Concept development and creation («best lectures» and other)
of e-library VU 5. conduct a marketing campaign of VU
1.Market research 1. The study of foreign markets
RESEARCH and 2.Realization series of VU
development workshops (games) to 2. A series of design workshops
create Virtual University of VU
1.Formation of a VU working 1. Members agreement of
SOLUTIONS
group investment and
management in VU
2012-2013 2014-2015 2016-2017
13

14. Creation virtual university
Government of Ministry Ministry of Science
Krasnoyarsk of Investment Education and Foundation
region and Innovation Science of region
Goals and
• Concept of VU
objectives of the
• Road map for creating VU
Krasnoyarsk
• Program of development
region’s
of VU
development
•…
ROAD MAPS


 
Experts
 
Research and Universities
project groups Students, users
14

15. Future - is competition of collective
intelligence, living in communication-
knowledge environment, based on
different cultural and
language platforms