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European Structural and Investment Funds’ Contribution to Climate Action in Eastern Europe
1. www.ieep.eu @IEEP_eu
European Structural and Investment Funds’
Contribution to Climate Action
in Eastern Europe
Céline Charveriat
Executive Director, Institute for European Environmental Policy
European Parliament, Brussels
28 September 2016
2. www.ieep.eu @IEEP_eu
Where we come from: useful facts from 2007-2013
• A glass 95% empty?:
‒ €50 billion was spent on climate change
under the 2007-2013 EU MFF or a meagre
5% of EU funds (IEEP).
‒ Around 19% of CP funding in the EU was
allocated to investments that contributed
to declining sustainability in the period
2007-2012 (IEEP).
3. www.ieep.eu @IEEP_eu
Where we come from: major effectiveness issues
• The risk of relabelling i.e. projects don’t
change in substance, they are simply
relabelled
• The challenge of demonstrating impact: the
inability to evaluate whether projects lead
to a reduction in carbon emission
• The risk of a mitigation-adaptation
imbalance, while climate change impacts
are increasing in severity and frequency in
Europe
• The coherence gap: undermining
objectives with the rest of project funding
going to “carbon bombs”
• The challenge of optimal additionality i.e.
ensuring EU funds finance public or PPP
projects that would otherwise not have
taken place
• The challenge of cost-effectiveness i.e.
wasting scarce public funds on projects
that deliver very little impact while missing
on other opportunities with much greater
potential.
4. www.ieep.eu @IEEP_eu
Where we come from: example of effectiveness of
ERDF/cohesion funds in public and residential buildings
• Total ERDF/CF allocations to “energy
efficiency, co-generation and energy
management”= EUR 6.1 bn or 2%
• About half of this was allocated to
energy efficiency in public and
residential buildings (EUR 3.4 bn)
• 90% of the funds were non-repayable
grants
• Role of ERDF/CF was 50% of the total
public funding with major variations
between countries.
Evidence of impact: Mixed evidence, studied
programs achieved 62% of energy reduction
but only 23% of emission reduction targets.
Evidence of cost-effectiveness: no discernible
correlation between level of funding and
results in terms of energy reductions and
GHGs
Evidence of integration with wider national
strategy: very little
Highly variable quality and comparability of
data
5. www.ieep.eu @IEEP_eu
Case studies of particular projects—showing huge
disparity among achievements (2007-2013)
• Lithuanian Promotion of cohesion
programme
• 864 public buildings modernised (101%
of target)
• 69% increase in energy efficiency in
multi-apartment buildings covered by
the program—although for a
significantly lower number of buildings
than planned
• Polish infrastructure and Environment
Programme
• Energy efficiency funding mostly
allocated to public buildings
• 413 public buildings modernised
• Result indicator target values were not
achieved
• Negligible impact in terms of overall
energy savings and CO2 emissions
6. www.ieep.eu @IEEP_eu
The key questions for 2014-2020: is there evidence of:
• Increased volume of spending on climate action?
• Increased effectiveness of spending on climate action?
• Increased coherence of overall spending?
7. www.ieep.eu @IEEP_eu
2014-2020: the promise of a
major increase in overall
volume of spending
• Effective 20% mainstreaming of
the budget would translate into
Eur. 188 bn for climate action
which is almost four times as
much as climate action during
the previous MFF, with ESIF
providing 90bn as a contribution
• Effective implementation of Art.
8 of CPR=greater alignment of EU
funding to Sustainable devt.
8. www.ieep.eu @IEEP_eu
Evidence to date
• If current trends continue:
• 18.9% of the total EU budget will
have gone to climate action by
2020 i.e. Eur. 200 bn or 30bn a
year (EC, 2016).
• For ESIF: 25.2% of total support
to climate action i.e. over Eur. 100
bn or 14 bn a year (COWI, 2016)
• For CP: around 15% i.e. Eur. 56 bn
or 8 bn a year (EC, 2016)
9. www.ieep.eu @IEEP_eu
And most CEE countries seem to be overshooting the
climate action mainstreaming target
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
RO LT CZ HU LV SK EE HR PL
Climate action as share of ESIFs, CEE
countries (%)
10. www.ieep.eu @IEEP_eu
Scratching below the surface: The example of the
European Agricultural Fund for Rural Development (1)
• High ambition:
‒ A minimum of 30% from the EARDF must be spent on climate mitigation and adaptation (as well
as environmental issues).
• Impressive headline figure suggesting a significant over-achievement:
‒ 57.1 % of European Agricultural Fund for Rural Development (EAFRD) earmarked for climate
action (2014-2020) i.e. 56 bn (or a share of 12% of total climate action under ESIF)
11. www.ieep.eu @IEEP_eu
The example of EAFRD (2): the case of CEE countries
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
PL LT EE RO HR LV HU SK CZ
Share of climate action in EAFRD funds in CEE countries (%)
12. www.ieep.eu @IEEP_eu
The example of EAFRD (3)
• Lower level of specificity in the marker
system compared with ERDF (only 10
categories versus 34)
• Only 7.68% of the total RDP budgets
(EAFRD + national co-financing) for
climate action defined by “promoting
resource efficiency and transition to a
low carbon economy”
• The bulk of allocations have climate
change only as a secondary objective
• 75% of the allocations is under the
objective of restoring, preserving and
enhancing ecosystems related to
agriculture and forestry-some of which
can be beneficial or detrimental to
mitigation
• Lack of description of specific climate
action measures within programs
• Very low targets set by MS in terms of
outcomes
• Mitigation vs. adaptation confusion?
13. www.ieep.eu @IEEP_eu
Sources
• EC. Commission Staff working document.
Mid-term Review of MFF. 14.2016
• COWI. 2016. Mainstreaming of climate
action into ESI funds
• Ramboll, IEEP. 2015. Energy efficiency in
public and residential buildings, ex-post
evaluation of ERDF and CF.
• IEEP. 2014. Mainstreaming climate
objectives in EU Cohesion Policy - a
guidance briefing.
• IEEP. 2001. Cohesion Policy and
Sustainable Development, A report for DG
Regio
• IEEP. 2012. Criteria for maximizing
European added value of EU budget:
the case of climate change
• IEEP. 2012. Walking the talk-practical
options for making the 2014-2020 EU
MFF deliver on climate change.
• Ecorys, LEI and IEEP, forthcoming,
Mapping and analysis of the
implementation of the CAP, DG
Agriculture and Rural Development.
Hinweis der Redaktion
Ramboll and IEEP study 2015
Poland: why public building: in part because of a lack of a budget for running costs
Contrasting with FFS
EU FFS are estimated to be at 99 bn a year (ECFIN economic Brief. Issue 40. March 2015). This includes pre-tax and post tax subsidies (taking into account externalities). Pre-tax subsidies still amount to 10bn (using price gap approach, that is, based on the differential between the end user price of a specific fossil fuel and a reference price (the international market price adjusted for transport and distribution costs) of the same fuel)
Europe’s transport sector will still benefit from approximately €18 billion in subsidies in 2015 (Euractiv, 17 June 2015).
Support for coal, gas and oil grew by 11.6 percent among member states over the last two years, according to 2015’ Euronews analysis of IMF data.
Overall subsidies on fossil fuel consumption: Globally $330bn/year between 2007 and 2012 (IEA, 2013) and between $330bn and $1450 billion pending choice of definitions (IMF: Clements et al., 2013)
based on analysis of 117 RDPs from COWI –out of 118 approved
Priority 5: Promoting resource efficiency and transition to a low carbon economy by
(5a) increasing efficiency in water use by agriculture
(5b) Increasing efficiency in energy use in agriculture and food processing
(5c) Facilitating the supply and use of renewable sources of energy, of by-products, wastes, residues and other non food raw material for purposes of the bio-economy;
(5d) Reducing greenhouse gas and ammonia emissions from agriculture
(5e) Fostering carbon conservation and sequestration in agriculture and forestry
Priority 4
(a) restoring and preserving and enhancing biodiversity, including in Natura 2000 areas, (b) improving water management, including fertiliser and pesticide management; (c) preventing soil erosion and improving soil management
The budget allocated to the whole of Priority 4 across EU-28 can’t be broken down by the 3 elements as it’s not reported that way. Also a lot of this money is allocated to the Areas of Natural Constraint measure which is about maintaining extensive grazing systems in upland/disadvantaged areas, usually against abandonment. Has benefits as maintaining grassland, but also maintains the livestock which will emit methane.
Overall below EU average. With the exception of the Czech republic.
Variations among CEE countries in terms of mitigation: RO allocated more than 10% to UP5 which covers the main mitigation measures in agriculture, while Czech republic allocated none
9.7% for mitigation
13.3% for adaptation
77% for adaptation and mitigation
Measures under UP4 receiving the bulk of payments are agri-environment-climate measure and payments to areas facing natural or other specific constraints.
Under UP4: Soil protection can be beneficial for climate change. However the Areas of Natural Constraint measure is about maintaining extensive grazing systems in upland/disadvantaged areas, usually against abandonment. Has benefits as maintaining grassland, but also maintains the livestock which will emit methane. And you could argue abandonment would not be worse for GHG emissions.
Most of the funding under mitigation is for investment in physical assets or investment in forest area development and improvement of the viability of forests
Example of surprisingly low targets:
(e.g. 1.8% of land under contract management contributing to carbon sequestration)
Lessons for MTR-in response to questions
Need to review MFF in light of new obligations for the EU-Paris agreement and SDGs
Assess implementation of article 8 of CPR—sustainable development, protection of the environment and polluter pays principle so you can have a picture of the net impact of the MFF in terms of realising climate objectives
The challenges of operationalising an approach to climate tracking which is both practical and reasonably accurate
How to distinguish between climate mitigation and adaptation expenditure in the tracking system?
How to complement the current approach with an evaluation of actual performance in climate related action under ESIF and compare it with the ex ante estimates provided by the tracking method
Lessons for next MFF
Use at least no harm principle vis-a-vis SDGs with burden of proof @ project selection time with a robust methodology.
Get high level commitment over time to improve coherence: The Cohesion policy should become (at least) carbon neutral by XXX
Borrow from the WTO: gradual phase out of climate distorting support with red/orange and green boxes, with financial incentives attached