Violence and Marijuana in Mexico

1. Cannabis Science and Policy Summit
New York City
April 2016

2. Psychopharmacological
Economic-compulsive
Systemic

3. Domestic market
Exports

4. Export production areas
• Chihuahua
• Durango
• Sinaloa
International trafficking areas
• Baja California
• Coahuila
• Nuevo León
• Sonora
• Tamaulipas

5. Source: INEGI
50% of homicides with firearms in marijuana zone = 2075 (10.4% of national
total)
6,599 4150
13,411
7564
HOMICIDES HOMICIDES WITH FIREARMS
MEXICO: HOMICIDES BY TYPE AND REGION, 2014
Marijuana zone Other

6. 81491
73222
63404
55122
42747
27870
8816 7757 8689
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Federal drug cases, 2007-2015
Source: SESNSP

7. Source: Presidencia de la República (Esfuerzo Nacional contra el
Narcotráfico)
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Marijuana erradication and seizures, 2005-2014
Erradicacion Decomisos
Hectares
Tons

8. Net effect should
include:
• Violations to new
regulatory framework
• Involuntary
possession
Source: INEGI (Censo Nacional de Gobierno, Seguridad Pública y Sistema Penitenciario Estatales 2015)
5%
7%
88%
Mexico: Inmates in state penitentiaries by offense,
2014
Drug retail sales Crimes against health Other

9. • Estimating effect: almost impossible
• No fixed and predetermined number of criminals!

10. Marijuana-related violence
• Limited
• Geographically concentrated
Redirecting resources
• Little margin at federal level
• Somewhat higher margin at state-level, but still limited
Displacement
• Unknown impact
• One to one displacement: unlikely

11. Thank You
Alejandro Hope
E-mail: ahope@eldailypost.com
Web: www.eldailypost.com
Twitter: @ahope71
@eldailypost
Facebook: Alejandro Hope
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