Presentation at the Cassava Value Chains Workshop CIAT, Cali, Colombia. 24-26 August 2016 Speaker: Claude Fauquet

2. 1800
1900
2016
7,432,663,000
World Population Increase
2050
9,725,147,000
1,186,178992,224
4,393,296
738,442
2,477,5361,217,360
5,266,848
706,792
The world's food production will have to increase by 60%

3. African Population Increase >2050
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
500,000
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
1961
1966
1971
1976
1981
1986
1991
1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
2021
2026
2031
2036
2041
2046
NigerianPopulationx1000
AfricanPopulationx1000
Population in Africa & Nigeria >2050
Total Population - Both sexes (1000)
Nigeria Total Population - Both sexes (1000)

4. Productivity
Latin America Africa Asia
10t/Ha 21t/Ha12t/Ha
Cassava Producing Countries

5. 0
200,000,000
400,000,000
600,000,000
800,000,000
1,000,000,000
1,200,000,000
1,400,000,000
1,600,000,000
1,800,000,000
2,000,000,000
Y2012
Productiont/Y
Sugarcane WO
Maize WO
Rice WO
Wheat WO
Cassava WO
Potatoes WO
Soybean WO
Sweet potato WO
Bananas WO
Yam WO
Production of Major Crops in World – 2012

6. 60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Y1998
Y1999
Y2000
Y2001
Y2002
Y2003
Y2004
Y2005
Y2006
Y2007
Y2008
Y2009
Y2010
Y2011
Y2012
Evolutionrelativeto1998
Maize WO
Wheat WO
Cassava WO
Rice WO
Evolution of Cassava/Cereals Production in World
1998-2012

7. African Cassava Yield Increase
R² = 0.9802
R² = 0.97761
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
1961 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2011 2020 2030 2040 2050
Wheat
Cassava
AfricanFoodProductivityIncrease(%)
15.4 t/Ha
1.0 b people
10.8 t/Ha
0.35 b people

8. African Food Productivity Increase
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1100
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
CumulativePercentageIncrease
Increase Cassava Indexes in Africa
Africa Yield (T/Ha)
Africa Production (M Tons)
Africa Area (M Ha)
%Increase/Year
12.0%
10.0%
8.0%
6.0%
2.0%
4.0%
0.0%
426 Mt
30 t/Ha
14.2 MHa

9. Cassava Productivity
Poverty
Africa Asia
>15t/Ha
>20t/Ha
<10t/Ha
Latin America
Food Security
Industry

10. A Global Alliance
For the
Improvement of Cassava
Developing
a Global Vision for Cassava

11.  Advocate for cassava
 Look for gaps in R&D at the global
level: to promote Investment, transfer
modern science into cassava, inviting
top labs in the world
 Steer communication on cassava
through strategic meetings, global
meetings, websites, publications…
What Will GCP21 Do?

12. GCP21 Cassava Chain

13. GCP21 Push-Pull Concept

14. Breaking the circle of poverty
Using Cassava Waste
$2000/Mt
$20/Mt
Cassava
Poverty
Circle
Virus Eradication
10t/Ha
15t/Ha
20t/Ha

15. GCP21 Strategic Meetings
1- Meeting of experts with one question
2- Elaborating a RoadMap
3- Publishing the RoadMap for a
Reference
4- Organizing subsequent actions, pilot
projects, meetings,
communications…

16. 1- Strategic R&D for Cassava 2010
2- Declaring War on Cassava Viruses - RTB
3- Preserving Cassava Landraces – RTB, GB
4- Cassava-Based Feed System – RTB, WF, LSF, HT
5- Establishing a Cassava Seed System – RTB, HT
6- Gari Revolution in Nigeria – RTB, HT, L&F, A4HN
7- Modernization of Cassava Production in Africa
8- Cassava Data Accuracy and Production Forecast
9- Developing Cassava Artificial Seeds - RTB …
GCP21 Strategic Meetings

17. CMD
CBSD
Whiteflies
A War on Cassava Viruses

18. Can we prevent CBSD to reach West
Africa?
Can we decrease the impact of cassava
viruses in Africa?
Can we prevent CBSD and CMD to spread
in the rest of the world?
Declaring a War on Cassava
Viruses in Africa
Bellagio, May 6-10, 2013

19. Action Frames
Outreach for Alliance
Membership
i) Viruses, surveillance
and diagnostics
ii) Climate Change
iii) Whiteflies &IPM
iv) Breeding
v) Seed systems
vi) Capacity development
vii) Policy and Advocacy
viii) Economic value
Road Map for War on Cassava Viruses
Y01 Y02 Y03 Y04 Y05 Y06 Y07 Y08 Y09 Y10 Y11 Y12 Y13 Y14 Y15 Y16 Y17 Y18 Y19 Y20

20. Frame Work for Action Plan
Action Frames Organizations involved Immediate Midterm Longterm
Out-Reaching & Rallying All, but FARA, ASARECA, CORAF
i) Viruses, surveillance and
diagnostics
IITA, CIAT, CIRAD, IRD, NARs,
Regional Networks & Centers,
Extension services at large
ii) Climate, cassava landscape
and pest and diseases
CIAT
iii) Whiteflies and IPM
IITA, CIAT, and NARs & Regional
Centers
iv) Breeding IITA, CIAT, and NARs
v) Seed systems
IITA, CIAT and NARs, FAO, NGOs,
Private sector, Extension
Services, Communities
vi) Capacity development
IITA, CIAT, NARs, FAO, Regional
Networks & Centers, Extension
services at large
vii) Policy and Advocacy GFAR, FARA, Regional Networks
viii) Economic value
IFPRI, Regional Networks,
Consultants

21. An agricultural island in a hot spot of Biodiversity

22. Plant Protection Platform

23. • Creation of a Pan-African Cassava Surveillance Network
– PACSUN
• Development of an International Cassava Transit Site in
La Reunion – DICSit
• Creation of Cassava Diagnostic Network in Africa
– CDNA
• Organization of Diagnostic Training Courses
– Beca : Univ La Reunion

24. 1- Consensus during the meeting for using cassava
peels for animal feed: fish, pigs, chicken…
2- Organize several pilot projects to incorporate
cassava and cassava waste in various animal feed
Establishing a Cassava-Based Feed
System in Africa
Pilot 1: Use of cassava peels for small ruminants
and chicken
Pilot 2: Fermentation of cassava waste to
produce fish feed

25. 2014 2050
Nigerian population: 160M >>>>> 450M
Cassava production: 52Mt >>>>> 150Mt
Cassava waste: 14Mt >>>>> 42Mt
Animal feed: 10Mt >>>>> 21Mt
Fish production: 600kt >>>>> 4.5Mt
Fish feed: 600kt >>>>> 4.5Mt
Fish feed price: $2000/Mt >> ???
Cassava Waste for Animal & Fish Feed

26. Production of Cassava Peels Pellets
for chicken & small Ruminant Feed
Drying to 15% or less consistently achieved within 6 hours of
sun drying @ 21-300C and humidity levels up to 90%

27. Confidential and Proprietary Information of BioTork, LLC
Proposed Pilot Project to produce fish feed
BioTork Adapted
Heterotrophic
Algae, Fungi
High-Fat Algae Meal
Animal Feed for Livestock
and Aquaculture
Algae Oil
PPD
Low DMC
roots
Cassava
peels
Cassava
effluents
Cassava
siftings

28. 9.4 M tons of gari
36 M tons fresh roots
3-4 M farmers
14 M tons of waste
400-1000 gari markets
400,000 – 1,000,000 people
Feeds 100-130 M people
$2-8 billions / Year
GCP21 Strategic Meetings: Gari
Revolution in Nigeria

29. Gari Revolution in Nigeria

30. Using high
DMC cassava
varieties
Using
efficient
machines
Using waste to
feed animals
Making more
nutritious gari
products
Sending
children back
to school
Improving
ecology and
health
Improving the
gari marketing
system
Accessing
banking loans
and market
information
Provide money to
gari producers
and processors
Gari Revolution in Nigeria

31. IITA, ILRI, RTB, L&F, A4NH,
GAIN, WISHH, H+, NGOs
Business, Banks
FMARD, Gari Assoc.
Several Donors
Gari Revolution in Nigeria

32. Land Clearance
New varieties
Mechanization
Service Providers
Cooperatives of Farmers
Affordable Bank Loans
Best Agronomic Practices
Weed Control
Securing Markets
GCP21 Strategic Meetings:
Modernization of Cassava Production in
Africa

33. CHANGE IN
SUITABILITY
FOR MAIZE -
2050Negative
Positive
Contrasting responses between
maize and cassava: 2-3oC temp
rises, changes in prec
Change In suitability for Maize 2050
Source: Andy Jarvis

34. CHANGE IN
SUITABILITY
FOR CASSAVA
- 2050
Negative
Positive
Change In suitability for Cassava 2050
Source: Andy Jarvis

35.  Cassava first food crop in sub-saharan Africa
 Cassava can adapt to all sort of soils
 Cassava is resilient to global warming
 Cassava cannot sustain flooding
 Cassava is prone to pests and diseases
 Cassava needs a lot of manpower
 Cassava roots cannot be stored = distance to processing
or consumers
 Need accurate data!
 Need accurate tools for previsions!
GCP21 Strategic Meetings 2017:
Cassava Data Accuracy & Production
Forecasting under Climatic Change and
Urbanization in Africa

36. Peace on Hearth with Cassava!