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Bridging the gaps between AR and ARD
Challenges and Opportunities
Alain Vidal
AKIS-ARCH Workshop, Brussels, 26-27 May 2014
Photo:A.Vidal
CGIAR Centers developed high yielding varieties for staple
cereals that were the engine of the Green Revolution
CGIAR: agricultural research for a food-secure future
CGIAR’s research is carried out by 16 Research Programs
(CRPs), working in close collaboration with hundreds of partners
worldwide
Bridging the gaps between AR and ARD
3 examples
• Climate-Smart Agriculture
 Combining mitigation
and adaptation
• The Wheat initiative
• Ecological intensification
through healthier water,
land and ecosystems
What is Climate-Smart Agriculture?
2013
Why is CSA important? – Adaptation
Global wheat
and maize
yields: response
to warming
2013
Why is CSA important? – Food
SecurityMaíz
T-Max
T-Max
Yield Yield
Arroz
Climate drives
yield variation:
our systems are
sensitive to
climate, not
resilient to it
2013
Why is CSA important? – Mitigation
13
Agriculture-related activities are
19-29% of global
greenhouse gas emissions (2010)
Agriculture production (e.g.,
fertilizers, rice, livestock,
energy)
Land-use change and
forestry including
drained peatlands
Industrial
processes
Waste
Percent, 100% = 50
gigatonnes CO2e per year
Non-Ag
Energy
70
11
4 2
2013
Why is CSA important? – Mitigation
“Business as usual”
(BAU) agriculture
emissions would
comprise >70% of
allowable emissions to
achieve a 2°C world
Gt CO2e per year
12 15
36
70
2010 2050
(Business as usual)
2050
(2°C target)
Non-agricultural
emissions
Agricultural and land-
use change
emissions
>70%
48
85
21
2013
Significant successes in CSA
CHINA Paying for ecosystem services
 2.5 million
farmers paid to
set aside land
and plant trees
Sequestered over
700,000 tonnes of
carbon
2 million ha
rehabilitated
– reducing
erosion
 Increased yields
Climate-smart coffee-banana systems
 Microclimate: shading can reduce
temperature by >2° Celsius
 Shade biomass increases carbon
stock→ CC mitigation
 Shade plants increase revenue and
food security for smallholders
income up
> 50%
Van Asten et al (2014)
What if…
- we spread agroforestry across Africa?
Analysis based on WRI 2013
Approximate area suitable
for Agroforestry in Africa:
~ 300 Million Ha
140+ Million People below
$1.25 per day
What if…
- we spread agroforestry across Africa?
PRODUCTIVITY
Multiple benefits include:
 Reduced soil erosion
 Additional diversified
income from wood
products
 Strengthened drought
resistance from increased
water storage
RESILIENCE
FOOTPRINT
 +615 Calories per
person/day for 140+
Million poor people
 Average yield
increase 50%
 Savings of over
6 Million tons of
synthetic fertilizerAdoption on
150 Million Ha
Adoption on
300 Million Ha
+44 Million Tons
+88 Million Tons
Food Production
Carbon Sequestration
- 1 Gt of CO2e
per year
- 2 Gt of CO2e
per year
Adoption on
150 Million Ha
Adoption on
300 Million Ha
 2 Gt Co2e storage per
year corresponds to
~1/3 of Global Direct
Ag Emissions
 Significantly higher
mitigation potential by
further increasing tree
density and in humid
systems
Agroforestry can be
combined with
other practices such
as water harvesting
for additional
impact.
Direct agricultural emissions are spread
across regions and across production sectors
18
Source: FAOStat data from 2010 (accessed 2013); area of pie charts scaled to regional
emissions.
“Ag soils” includes synthetic fertilizers, manure
applied to crops, field application of crop
residues, and nitrous oxide from cultivated
organic soils.
Mitigation opportunities by country
19
Source: CEA analysis.
Mitigation opportunities are clustered primarily in the major agricultural economies.
 12 million
farmers & 40
different crops
insured
INDIA Weather-based insurance
 Reduces pressure
to bring more land
under cultivation
Reduces
risks
 Allows farmers to
access fertilizer
and better seed
Adaptations to deal with higher climate
variability and climate risks
Towards more transformative change
• Better weather forecasts and climate information
reaching farmers, governments, emergency relief
• Social safety nets to help vulnerable people recover
from climate shocks
• Weather insurance in agriculture reaching more
farmers
CSA Alliance: AR and ARD institutions united
with International Organizations and NGOs
Minimum Goals for 2050
Environmental Goals
Development Goals
Total Agricultural Production
Nutritionally Complete Production
Biodiversity Conserved
Carbon Sequestered Improved Water Quality
Water Conserved
Soil Formed
Food Security Goals
Food Distribution and Access
Conserve agrobiodiversity
Increased Farmer Livelihoods
And Resilience
Improve Human Health
Increase Farm Self Reliance
Adapted from Foley et al 2011
Production Goals
An agriculture that contributes to environmental
protection rather than environmental degradation
N-S Partnerships for ecological
intensification
www.cgiar.org
www.slideshare.net/cgiar
THANK YOU

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Bridging the gaps: Challenges and Opportunities

  • 1. Bridging the gaps between AR and ARD Challenges and Opportunities Alain Vidal AKIS-ARCH Workshop, Brussels, 26-27 May 2014 Photo:A.Vidal
  • 2. CGIAR Centers developed high yielding varieties for staple cereals that were the engine of the Green Revolution
  • 3. CGIAR: agricultural research for a food-secure future
  • 4. CGIAR’s research is carried out by 16 Research Programs (CRPs), working in close collaboration with hundreds of partners worldwide
  • 5. Bridging the gaps between AR and ARD 3 examples • Climate-Smart Agriculture  Combining mitigation and adaptation • The Wheat initiative • Ecological intensification through healthier water, land and ecosystems
  • 6. What is Climate-Smart Agriculture?
  • 7. 2013 Why is CSA important? – Adaptation Global wheat and maize yields: response to warming
  • 8. 2013 Why is CSA important? – Food SecurityMaíz T-Max T-Max Yield Yield Arroz Climate drives yield variation: our systems are sensitive to climate, not resilient to it
  • 9. 2013 Why is CSA important? – Mitigation 13 Agriculture-related activities are 19-29% of global greenhouse gas emissions (2010) Agriculture production (e.g., fertilizers, rice, livestock, energy) Land-use change and forestry including drained peatlands Industrial processes Waste Percent, 100% = 50 gigatonnes CO2e per year Non-Ag Energy 70 11 4 2
  • 10. 2013 Why is CSA important? – Mitigation “Business as usual” (BAU) agriculture emissions would comprise >70% of allowable emissions to achieve a 2°C world Gt CO2e per year 12 15 36 70 2010 2050 (Business as usual) 2050 (2°C target) Non-agricultural emissions Agricultural and land- use change emissions >70% 48 85 21
  • 12. CHINA Paying for ecosystem services  2.5 million farmers paid to set aside land and plant trees Sequestered over 700,000 tonnes of carbon 2 million ha rehabilitated – reducing erosion  Increased yields
  • 13. Climate-smart coffee-banana systems  Microclimate: shading can reduce temperature by >2° Celsius  Shade biomass increases carbon stock→ CC mitigation  Shade plants increase revenue and food security for smallholders income up > 50% Van Asten et al (2014)
  • 14. What if… - we spread agroforestry across Africa? Analysis based on WRI 2013 Approximate area suitable for Agroforestry in Africa: ~ 300 Million Ha 140+ Million People below $1.25 per day
  • 15. What if… - we spread agroforestry across Africa? PRODUCTIVITY Multiple benefits include:  Reduced soil erosion  Additional diversified income from wood products  Strengthened drought resistance from increased water storage RESILIENCE FOOTPRINT  +615 Calories per person/day for 140+ Million poor people  Average yield increase 50%  Savings of over 6 Million tons of synthetic fertilizerAdoption on 150 Million Ha Adoption on 300 Million Ha +44 Million Tons +88 Million Tons Food Production Carbon Sequestration - 1 Gt of CO2e per year - 2 Gt of CO2e per year Adoption on 150 Million Ha Adoption on 300 Million Ha  2 Gt Co2e storage per year corresponds to ~1/3 of Global Direct Ag Emissions  Significantly higher mitigation potential by further increasing tree density and in humid systems Agroforestry can be combined with other practices such as water harvesting for additional impact.
  • 16. Direct agricultural emissions are spread across regions and across production sectors 18 Source: FAOStat data from 2010 (accessed 2013); area of pie charts scaled to regional emissions. “Ag soils” includes synthetic fertilizers, manure applied to crops, field application of crop residues, and nitrous oxide from cultivated organic soils.
  • 17. Mitigation opportunities by country 19 Source: CEA analysis. Mitigation opportunities are clustered primarily in the major agricultural economies.
  • 18.  12 million farmers & 40 different crops insured INDIA Weather-based insurance  Reduces pressure to bring more land under cultivation Reduces risks  Allows farmers to access fertilizer and better seed
  • 19. Adaptations to deal with higher climate variability and climate risks Towards more transformative change • Better weather forecasts and climate information reaching farmers, governments, emergency relief • Social safety nets to help vulnerable people recover from climate shocks • Weather insurance in agriculture reaching more farmers
  • 20. CSA Alliance: AR and ARD institutions united with International Organizations and NGOs
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24. Minimum Goals for 2050 Environmental Goals Development Goals Total Agricultural Production Nutritionally Complete Production Biodiversity Conserved Carbon Sequestered Improved Water Quality Water Conserved Soil Formed Food Security Goals Food Distribution and Access Conserve agrobiodiversity Increased Farmer Livelihoods And Resilience Improve Human Health Increase Farm Self Reliance Adapted from Foley et al 2011 Production Goals An agriculture that contributes to environmental protection rather than environmental degradation
  • 25. N-S Partnerships for ecological intensification