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Breaking the trap: CGIAR
experiences in resilience research
Alain Vidal
Resilience 2014, Montpellier
Resilience, cattle and termites
S
SWater depletion,
grazing pressure,
loss of soil organic
matter
Manure applied
through night
corralling
provides a
preferred diet for
the termites
Wet Season:
Dry matter 4.5 T/ha
9 species / mÂČ
Wet Season:
Dry matter 0 T/ha
0 species / mÂČ
CPWF’s resilience lens
‱ Facing situations where social-ecological systems trapped on
undesirable low-productive pathways
‱ Research cannot halt the factors contributing to agricultural
land degradation (climate change, population growth, and
migration)
‱ CPWF refocused on increasing the resilience of social and
ecological systems through better water management for
food production
Regime shifts - moving upwards while
preventing falling over the edge
BSMs in the Andes trigger change
between alternate resilient states
S
Annual net income:
US$ 2,183/ha
Annual net income:
US$ 1,870/ha
Conservation
agriculture and
paramo
restoration
supported by
revolving fund
Farmers‘
insufficient gain
and risk
aversion: only
11% converted
Revolving fund credit:
+180 farmers /year
Potato cropping,
grazing pressure,
degradation of paramo
Goats markets in Zimbabwe
improve farmers’ resilience
S
SRecurrent droughts,
increasing climate
variability, poor
connection to markets
Improved livestock:
US$ 50 per goat
Goat mortality
down to 10%
Rainfed maize cropping: US$16/ha
Livestock: US$10 per goat
Local markets
Producers self-esteem
Improved rangeland
production replacing
US$15 / goat of stock
feed value
Fair enough but

How about traps ?
Resilience traps identified by CPWF
‱ Risk traps
 High risk situations (eg drought,
health risk, financial collapse)
reduce internal incentives to
invest in the system
‱ Consumption/production traps
 Rate of bio-resources
consumption too close to the
production rate
 Resource mining
Resilience traps identified by CPWF
‱ Variability traps
 Small investments do take place
but variability (eg climate) and
resulting losses of capital limit
development changes
‱ Resource access traps
 Despite high productivity farmers have
too small land lots which results in a cap
of revenues
Resilience traps identified by CPWF
‱ Policy traps
 Disenabling policies and lack
of transparency prevents
markets and resources being
used effectively
‱ Cultural traps
 Mindsets prevent change,
eg “food security means
production not income”
Concluding questions
‱ Are we ready to test how resilience thinking
could help stop digging and identify
pathways to sustainable intensification?
‱ Has anyone been successful
using a ‘resilience lens’ to
get an ecosystem and/or a
poor community out of any
of these traps?

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Breaking the trap: CGIAR experiences in resilience research

  • 1. Breaking the trap: CGIAR experiences in resilience research Alain Vidal Resilience 2014, Montpellier
  • 2. Resilience, cattle and termites S SWater depletion, grazing pressure, loss of soil organic matter Manure applied through night corralling provides a preferred diet for the termites Wet Season: Dry matter 4.5 T/ha 9 species / mÂČ Wet Season: Dry matter 0 T/ha 0 species / mÂČ
  • 3. CPWF’s resilience lens ‱ Facing situations where social-ecological systems trapped on undesirable low-productive pathways ‱ Research cannot halt the factors contributing to agricultural land degradation (climate change, population growth, and migration) ‱ CPWF refocused on increasing the resilience of social and ecological systems through better water management for food production
  • 4. Regime shifts - moving upwards while preventing falling over the edge
  • 5. BSMs in the Andes trigger change between alternate resilient states S Annual net income: US$ 2,183/ha Annual net income: US$ 1,870/ha Conservation agriculture and paramo restoration supported by revolving fund Farmers‘ insufficient gain and risk aversion: only 11% converted Revolving fund credit: +180 farmers /year Potato cropping, grazing pressure, degradation of paramo
  • 6. Goats markets in Zimbabwe improve farmers’ resilience S SRecurrent droughts, increasing climate variability, poor connection to markets Improved livestock: US$ 50 per goat Goat mortality down to 10% Rainfed maize cropping: US$16/ha Livestock: US$10 per goat Local markets Producers self-esteem Improved rangeland production replacing US$15 / goat of stock feed value
  • 8. Resilience traps identified by CPWF ‱ Risk traps  High risk situations (eg drought, health risk, financial collapse) reduce internal incentives to invest in the system ‱ Consumption/production traps  Rate of bio-resources consumption too close to the production rate  Resource mining
  • 9. Resilience traps identified by CPWF ‱ Variability traps  Small investments do take place but variability (eg climate) and resulting losses of capital limit development changes ‱ Resource access traps  Despite high productivity farmers have too small land lots which results in a cap of revenues
  • 10. Resilience traps identified by CPWF ‱ Policy traps  Disenabling policies and lack of transparency prevents markets and resources being used effectively ‱ Cultural traps  Mindsets prevent change, eg “food security means production not income”
  • 11. Concluding questions ‱ Are we ready to test how resilience thinking could help stop digging and identify pathways to sustainable intensification? ‱ Has anyone been successful using a ‘resilience lens’ to get an ecosystem and/or a poor community out of any of these traps?