2. Bipul Kumar Sarker, Lecturer (BBA Professional), HBUC
Probability Distribution:
A probability distribution describes the behavior of a random variable. Many times
the observations obtained from different random experiments have a general type of
behavior.
Therefore, the random variable(s) associated with these experiments have a general
type of probability distribution.
So it can be represented by a single formula. This type of single formula
about the behavior of a random variable is known as probability distribution.
3. Bipul Kumar Sarker, Lecturer (BBA Professional), HBUC
Discrete Probability Distribution:
The probability distribution of a discrete random variable that arise from some
statistical experiments is known as discrete probability distribution.
The following are some of the commonly discussed discrete distribution:
i. Uniform distribution
ii. Bernoulli distribution
iii.Binomial distribution
iv.Negative binomial distribution
v. Poisson distribution
vi.Geometric distribution
vii.Hypergeometric distribution
4. Bipul Kumar Sarker, Lecturer (BBA Professional), HBUC
Bernoulli Trial:
When in the trial of a random experiment each trial is independent and in each the
number of possible outcomes are dichotomous, then the trial are called Bernoulli trial.
In Bernoulli trial, the outcome are known as ‘Success’ and ‘Failure’ or having a certain
quality or absence of that quality.
Here, the probability of success is denoted by p and the probability of failure is denoted by
(1-P)= q. These probability remains constant from trial to trial.
5. Bipul Kumar Sarker, Lecturer (BBA Professional), HBUC
Examples of Bernoulli’s Trails are:
1) Toss of a coin (head or tail)
2) Throw of a die (even or odd number)
3) Performance of a student in an examination (pass or fail)
6. Bipul Kumar Sarker, Lecturer (BBA Professional), HBUC
Bernoulli Distribution:
If a random variable x can assume only two values, failure and a success with
probabilities 𝑃 𝑥 = 1 = 𝑝 and 𝑃 𝑥 = 0 = 1 − 𝑝.
Then the distribution of x might be termed as a Bernoulli distribution with parameter p.
The probability distribution of Bernoulli variate x can be written as,
𝑷 𝑿 = 𝒙; 𝒑 = 𝒑 𝒙
𝒒 𝟏−𝒙
; 𝒙 = 𝟎, 𝟏
= 𝟎 ; 𝑶𝒕𝒉𝒆𝒓𝒘𝒊𝒔𝒆
7. Bipul Kumar Sarker, Lecturer (BBA Professional), HBUC
Example:
When a coin is tossed either head or tail will appear. If we consider having a head as the
„Success‟ and „Failure‟ otherwise then this be termed as Bernoulli trial and its
distribution as Bernoulli distribution.
8. Bipul Kumar Sarker, Lecturer (BBA Professional), HBUC
Binomial Trial:
A binomial trial is the extension of Bernoulli trial. In a binomial experiment, the
trial is repeated several times. A binomial experiment should have the following properties:
i. The experiment consists of n repeated trials
ii. The trials are independent of each other
iii.The probability of success (failure) remains constant from trial to trial.
9. Bipul Kumar Sarker, Lecturer (BBA Professional), HBUC
3.1.2 Binomial Distribution:
A random variable X is said to follow binomial distribution, if its probability mass
function is given by
Here, the two independent constants n and p are known as the „parameters‟ of the
distribution.
The distribution is completely determined if n and p are known. x refers the number of
successes.
Where, n = No. of trials
p = Probability of success
q = Probability of failure
10. Bipul Kumar Sarker, Lecturer (BBA Professional), HBUC
3.1.3 Condition for Binomial Distribution:
We get the Binomial distribution under the following experimental conditions.
i. The number of trials ‘ n’ is finite.
ii. The trials are independent of each other.
iii. The probability of success ‘ p’ is constant for each trial.
iv. Each trial must result in a success or a failure.
The problems relating to tossing of coins or throwing of dice or drawing cards from a pack
of cards with replacement lead to binomial probability distribution.
11. Bipul Kumar Sarker, Lecturer (BBA Professional), HBUC
3.1.4 Characteristics of Binomial Distribution:
1. Binomial distribution is a discrete distribution in which the random variable X
(the number of success) assumes the values 0,1, 2, ….n, where n is finite.
2. Mean = np, variance = npq and
clearly each of the probabilities is non-negative and sum of
all probabilities is 1 ( p < 1 , q < 1 and p + q =1, q = 1- p ).
13. Bipul Kumar Sarker, Lecturer (BBA Professional), HBUC
Comment on the following: “ The mean of a binomial distribution is 5 and its variance is 9”
The parameters of the binomial distribution are n and p
We have, mean = np = 5
Variance = npq = 9
Which is not admissible since q cannot exceed unity. Hence
the given statement is wrong.
14. Bipul Kumar Sarker, Lecturer (BBA Professional), HBUC
Example 2:
Eight coins are tossed simultaneously. Find the probability of getting at least six heads.
Solution:
Given that,
No. of trials, n = 8
The probability of getting a head, p =
1
2
The probability of getting a head, q = (1-p) =
1
2
Let, x be denoted the number of getting a head
16. Example 3:
Ten coins are tossed simultaneously. Find the probability of getting
i. At least seven heads
ii. Exactly seven heads
iii. At most seven heads
17. Solution: Given that,
No. of trials, n = 8
The probability of getting a head, p =
1
2
The probability of getting a head, q = (1-p) =
1
2
Let, x be denoted the number of getting a head
Therefore, the probability function,
𝑷 𝑿 = 𝒙; 𝒑 = 𝒏 𝑪 𝒙
𝒑 𝒙 𝒒(𝒏−𝒙) ; x = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, …, 9, 10
18. i. Probability of getting at least seven heads is given by
ii. Probability of getting exactly 7 heads
19. iii. Probability of getting at most 7 heads
𝑷 𝑿 ≤ 7 = 𝑷 𝑿 = 0 + 𝑷 𝑿 = 1 + ⋯ … … . +𝑷 𝑿 = 7