Options for Wind Farm performance assessment and Power forecasting (Mr. A. Kyritsis, ALTSOL/TERNA) at the BigDataEurope Workshop, Amsterdam, Novermber 2017.
BDE SC3.3 Workshop - Options for Wind Farm performance assessment and Power forecasting
1. Options for Wind Farm performance assessment
and Power Forecasting
2017-11-28
Athanasios Kyritsis
Software Engineer & Analyst
Alternative Solutions Ltd (AltSol)
Co-author: Antonios Papoutsakis (Terna Energy)
2. Overview
Introductions
Data Management & Forecasting Tools
Technologies Involved
Future Challenges and Needs
Conclusions
3. Who am I?
Thanos Kyritsis
Computer Science from The Open University, UK
Electrical & Computer Engineering from University of Patras,
Greece
Started working for AltSol in 2007
Co-owner of AltSol since 2012
Operationally responsible and Lead Engineer/Analyst for Terna
Energy meteo-wind-data software application platform
Born in 1982 and lives in Athens, Greece
4. AltSol Portfolio
Software-house company established in Athens, Greece
SME, employs 10 people
Terna Energy partner since 2009
Specializes in developing custom-made software, enterprise
applications, backend infrastructure, also offering IT-services
consulting, operational, technical/user support
Open-source enthusiasts
Operational since 2000
5. Terna Energy Wind Portfolio
Currently 39 wind farms of 969 MW capacity are operating in Greece,
Bulgaria, Poland and USA
7. Power Forecasting Tool
The next slide shows the tool’s inputs and outputs workflow
The Data Storage infrastructure has a central role
Data Management needs to be equally efficient and flexible as the rest of the platform
Real-time calculation functions, transformation and combination actions are necessary
Abstraction is achieved by the time-series pre-processor
Visualization modules range from simple display of time-series, placing coordinates on a
map or real-time manipulating the data (tags, aggregations, filters on the time-series)
9. 9
Case Study: Portfolio Forecasting
• 9 Wind Farms in different areas of Greece
• Portfolio Capacity 242 MW
• Lowest capacity 8MW, highest capacity 73.2MW
• Hourly day ahead forecasts
• Test Period 1st July – 1st October 2017
• Distances ~ 1-400Km from each other
WF 6
WF 7
WF 8 WF 9
WFs 1-5
10. Overall Application Architecture
The next slide shows the platform’s structural architecture
Follows the modular approach in order to manage the diversity in TERNA’s ecosystem and
multiple data formats and versions
Each module needs the ability to interconnect and exchange data with external or
internal systems (written in different languages or run in different environments)
The previous’ slide I/O workflow is depicted in this diagram as the “Prediction &
Forecasting module”, as a reference for each module’s complexity
The Backend Application & Business Logic is the central controller or “glue” that makes all
the modules work with each other, with external/internal system and as a whole
14. Future Challenges and Needs
Volume increase management & Data partitioning
Real-time timeseries transformations
Semantics, Relationships and Metadata handling for abstract implementations
Making data manipulation simple for RES operators and engineers
Combining multiple data formats and input sources
Pattern recognition among different datasets
Technology maturity, hype & decline - How to invest & embrace
15. Conclusions
An Integrated Data Management system allows RES operators to extract value from their
data
Aggregated (scaled-up) data components improve forecasting accuracy, although
effectively dependent on their individual assets’ correlations
Big Data is not just about volume and machine learning in general, but also exposing
proper information towards its relevant target group in a timely and appropriately-
formed manner
16. Thank you for your attention!
Copyright notice. This document has been created by AltSol Ltd and Terna Energy S.A. and contains copyrighted material, trademark, and other proprietary information. All rights reserved.
Please contact us for further Q&A
Athanasios Kyritsis: thanos@altsol.gr
Antonios Papoutsakis: apapoutsakis@terna-energy.com
Terna Energy S.A.: http://www.terna-energy.com
AltSol Ltd: https://www.linkedin.com/company/altsol-ltd/
Application demo: http://meteo-wind-data.altsol.gr