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At BSG, we believe in being a proactive force for positive change,
making a difference in everything we do.

STOP GUESSING!

16th October
Jurie Schoeman

Unlocking potential. Accelerating performance
What we know: the world is
getting smaller, again…

Convergence…
Everybody wants to own the
platform

If you own the platform, you own the customer,
otherwise you’re just a value-added service provider….
Product

Service

Value

But what do our customers need?
Nobody knows for sure, not even our
customers….

Best match wins
How have we (mostly)
always done things?
We’re smart people after
all… so we have good
ideas!

Typically, it takes a long time to get from initial commitments to actual results…

and

Is this the right
thing to do?

Are we managing
expectations
effectively?

1
2
3

Are we confident that this
will work?

Grand plan

Blueprint

Do we know
enough?

What do we
need to
move to
looking like?

HOPE

Dedicate
resources

Build

The Big
launch

Who?
How much?
What am I
committing to
show as a
return?

Overruns?
Why is it
taking so
long?

Will it
work?

Is there another way?

Vanity metrics!
Real customers, in real situations, are often not part of this at all!
So where does this leave us?
HOPE

Making big bets and
hoping for the best

Build confidence iteratively, in line
with investment
Alan Smithee –
78 movie credits
on IMDB.com

Does it work?
Knowing

NOT Knowing
Knowing

Thinking it’s still a good idea but not knowing

There have always only been two
good outcomes for any idea
A better way to innovate
If we know that we don’t have all the
answers, why are we surprised that
we get things wrong?
Origin of the Lean
Start-up
Start-ups were originally based on valuing
business plans

No customer
feedback built in

No confidence in
5 year view
BUSINESS
CASE

Recognition that existing businesses execute a business
model, while start-ups look for one!
Innovation + ongoing validation =
invest with confidence
Pivot
Business model canvas

Proceed with
confidence

1

Get Production, Sales &
Marketing involved
ROI justifiable

Research insights, analytics

Create Context
What should the
business look like?

Problem /
Solution Fit

Scale

4

Proven market
product - invest in
growth!

Is there a problem
worth solving?

2

MEASURE

Product /
Market Fit
MVP
Develop the smallest
set of functions that you
can use to get feedback
from real people – early
adopters

Do we have a solution
that people are
prepared to
pay for?

3

Persevere

UVP Canvas
Get out of the building
The Business
Model Canvas

No customer
feedback built in
The Unique Value
Proposition Model
“Get out of
the building!”
No customer

1 – 2: What is the problem
feedback built in
we’re solving, and is it a
problem worth solving?

3 – 4: Will the
market be willing
to pay for our
solution?

Test

everything!
STOP
GUESSING!
What’s our
next great
idea?

How does this
align to our
business model

EXECUTE
Build the business!
Scale execution
Operations
Find partners

HYPOTHESIS

Focus

BAD
IDEA

Is this worth
solving?
Let’s test

UVP
Will the market buy it?
Let’s build and test with
early adopters

How does the business
fit together?

MVP

GREAT
IDEA

REFINE

1. Problem?
2. Solution?
3. Pay?

Product
Market fit
Sales and Marketing roadmap
Pivot or
persevere

UVP

Customer
needs
Build /
Measure /
Learn

Vanity
metrics

MVP
Failing is
good – as
long as we do
it quickly and
cheaply

New concepts to appreciate
Checklist to create confidence
Be prepared to fail and expect to do so!

Include customers in ALL steps
Arm yourself with enough research data to make a start

Then build the smallest thing you need to get real feedback
Use this to validate your ideas, and set direction in terms of
pivoting or persevering
When you’ve validated Problem / Solution fit, and Product /
Market fit, then Scale with confidence!
In a world of rapidly reducing barriers to entry, 1,000s of
start-ups that you haven’t heard of (yet) but who will
probably be your next competitors, very, very soon!

Who is doing this already?
References
The Business Model Generation by
Alex Osterwalder
‘Why the Lean Start-up changes
everything’
HBR article by Steve Blank

The Lean Startup by Eric Ries

Running Lean by Ash Maurya
Contact Us

Talk to us about how we can unlock your potential

Jurie Schoeman:
jurie.schoeman@bsg.co.za
C: +27 83 302 7169
T: + 27 11 215 6666

Johannesburg office:
33 Fricker Road
Illovo Boulevard
2196

www.bsg.co.za
www.bsgdelivers.com

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Stop guessing!

  • 1. At BSG, we believe in being a proactive force for positive change, making a difference in everything we do. STOP GUESSING! 16th October Jurie Schoeman Unlocking potential. Accelerating performance
  • 2. What we know: the world is getting smaller, again… Convergence…
  • 3. Everybody wants to own the platform If you own the platform, you own the customer, otherwise you’re just a value-added service provider….
  • 4. Product Service Value But what do our customers need? Nobody knows for sure, not even our customers…. Best match wins
  • 5. How have we (mostly) always done things? We’re smart people after all… so we have good ideas! Typically, it takes a long time to get from initial commitments to actual results… and Is this the right thing to do? Are we managing expectations effectively? 1 2 3 Are we confident that this will work? Grand plan Blueprint Do we know enough? What do we need to move to looking like? HOPE Dedicate resources Build The Big launch Who? How much? What am I committing to show as a return? Overruns? Why is it taking so long? Will it work? Is there another way? Vanity metrics! Real customers, in real situations, are often not part of this at all!
  • 6. So where does this leave us? HOPE Making big bets and hoping for the best Build confidence iteratively, in line with investment
  • 7. Alan Smithee – 78 movie credits on IMDB.com Does it work?
  • 8. Knowing NOT Knowing Knowing Thinking it’s still a good idea but not knowing There have always only been two good outcomes for any idea
  • 9. A better way to innovate If we know that we don’t have all the answers, why are we surprised that we get things wrong?
  • 10. Origin of the Lean Start-up Start-ups were originally based on valuing business plans No customer feedback built in No confidence in 5 year view BUSINESS CASE Recognition that existing businesses execute a business model, while start-ups look for one!
  • 11. Innovation + ongoing validation = invest with confidence Pivot Business model canvas Proceed with confidence 1 Get Production, Sales & Marketing involved ROI justifiable Research insights, analytics Create Context What should the business look like? Problem / Solution Fit Scale 4 Proven market product - invest in growth! Is there a problem worth solving? 2 MEASURE Product / Market Fit MVP Develop the smallest set of functions that you can use to get feedback from real people – early adopters Do we have a solution that people are prepared to pay for? 3 Persevere UVP Canvas Get out of the building
  • 12. The Business Model Canvas No customer feedback built in
  • 13. The Unique Value Proposition Model “Get out of the building!” No customer 1 – 2: What is the problem feedback built in we’re solving, and is it a problem worth solving? 3 – 4: Will the market be willing to pay for our solution? Test everything!
  • 14. STOP GUESSING! What’s our next great idea? How does this align to our business model EXECUTE Build the business! Scale execution Operations Find partners HYPOTHESIS Focus BAD IDEA Is this worth solving? Let’s test UVP Will the market buy it? Let’s build and test with early adopters How does the business fit together? MVP GREAT IDEA REFINE 1. Problem? 2. Solution? 3. Pay? Product Market fit Sales and Marketing roadmap
  • 15. Pivot or persevere UVP Customer needs Build / Measure / Learn Vanity metrics MVP Failing is good – as long as we do it quickly and cheaply New concepts to appreciate
  • 16. Checklist to create confidence Be prepared to fail and expect to do so! Include customers in ALL steps Arm yourself with enough research data to make a start Then build the smallest thing you need to get real feedback Use this to validate your ideas, and set direction in terms of pivoting or persevering When you’ve validated Problem / Solution fit, and Product / Market fit, then Scale with confidence!
  • 17. In a world of rapidly reducing barriers to entry, 1,000s of start-ups that you haven’t heard of (yet) but who will probably be your next competitors, very, very soon! Who is doing this already?
  • 18. References The Business Model Generation by Alex Osterwalder ‘Why the Lean Start-up changes everything’ HBR article by Steve Blank The Lean Startup by Eric Ries Running Lean by Ash Maurya
  • 19. Contact Us Talk to us about how we can unlock your potential Jurie Schoeman: jurie.schoeman@bsg.co.za C: +27 83 302 7169 T: + 27 11 215 6666 Johannesburg office: 33 Fricker Road Illovo Boulevard 2196 www.bsg.co.za www.bsgdelivers.com