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AI in the Social Sciences
April Heyward, MRA
Hawaii Data Science Institute Data Science Fridays
Seminar
Friday, October 1, 2021
My Research Interests and Current
Projects
Dr. Herbert Simon
• Huge influence on my research.
• One of the pioneer scholars to contribute to Artificial
Intelligence.
• Continues to be revered in the Public Administration,
Psychology, Economics, and Computer Science
disciplines.
• Simon put forward in his book, The Sciences of the
Artificial, the characterization of AI as systems
developed by humans to achieve goals and to function.
• Artificial intelligence emerged out of the computer
science discipline .
• The discipline can be segmented into subdisciplines to
include machine learning (e.g., supervised learning,
unsupervised learning, semi-supervised learning),
artificial neural networks, and deep learning, etc.
My Research Interests
Computational
Social Science
Data Science
Decision
Science
E-Government
Machine
Learning
Public
Administration
Public Policy
Research
Methods
Social Media
Research
My Current Research Projects
Quantitative Research – “A Data Science and Machine Learning Approach to
Comparative COVID-19 Policy Responses”
• Study Aim – Investigate health and economic policy responses to the COVID-19 pandemic
in developed countries and developing countries.
• Prior research indicated more rigorous research is needed for contribution to the body of
knowledge from a public policy perspective.
• Research Aim – Answer how does data science and machine learning inform public policy
about the COVID-19 pandemic and what is the state of the COVID-19 pandemic in
developed countries and developing countries.
My Current Research Projects
Quantitative Research – “Measuring the Effectiveness of E-Government
Delivery Models from a Public Administration Perspective”
• Study Aim – Investigate the effectiveness of E-Government in Developed Countries and
Developing Countries.
• Two-phased study.
• Prior research indicated more rigorous research is needed for contribution to the body of
knowledge from a public administration perspective as literature is dominated by the
information systems discipline.
• Research Aim – Answer what is the state of e-government delivery models globally.
My Current Research Projects
Quantitative Research – “A Public Administration Research Approach
and Empirical Perspective of COVID-19”
• Study Aim – Investigate public administration approaches to COVID-19.
• Prior research indicated more rigorous research is needed for contribution to the
body of knowledge from a public administration perspective as literature was
initially dominated by epidemiology and other sub-disciplines of public health.
• Research Aim – Employ data science and machine learning algorithms in a public
research administration approach and perspective of COVID-19.
My Current Research Projects
Quantitative Research – “Integration, Challenges, and Future
Direction of Data Science in Public Administration”
• Study Aim – Investigate the application of data science in public administration.
• Prior research revealed limited rigorous research on data science in public
administration.
• Research Aim – Answer what is the state of data science in public
administration.
RStudio:
My Happy Place
How do I use RStudio?
Not an Exhaustive List
• Data Science
• Data Wrangling/Cleaning
• Data Analysis
• Data Visualizations
• Statistics (Descriptive and Inferential)
• Machine Learning
• Text Mining
• Natural Language Processing
• Sentiment (Emotions) Analysis
• Twitter Data Pulls via my Twitter Developer Credentials
• Decision Trees
Twitter:
A Data Scientist’s Treasure Trove
October 1, 2021 Note: FDA
will not extend the shelf life
of JandJ Vaccine but will
extend shelf life of Moderna
Vaccine. Will pull JandJ and
Moderna vaccine related
tweets.
Newest Research Project –
Climate Change
Twitter Search Criteria Total Tweet Results
Twitter Search Criteria Total Number of Tweets To Date
#StimulusChecks 19,644
Stimulus Checks 49,263
#AmericanRescuePlan 23,837
American Rescue Plan 50,192
#BoosterShots 1,638
Booster Shots 17,469
#Coronavirus 17,916
Coronavirus 17,975
#COVID-19 143,900
#COVID19 143,756
COVID19 Vaccine 176,666
COVID-19 Vaccine 107,910
Twitter Search Criteria Total Tweet Results
Twitter Search Criteria Total Number of Tweets To Date
#DeltaVariant 143,412
Delta Variant 161,812
#GammaVariant 305
Gamma Variant 5,847
JandJ Vaccine 2,296
#JandJVaccine 195
#JohnsonandJohnsonVaccine 9,359
Johnson and Johnson Vaccine 68,671
#ModernaBooster 6
Moderna Booster 6,841
#Moderna Vaccine 9,441
Moderna Vaccine 124,590
Twitter Search Criteria Total Tweet Results
Twitter Search Criteria Total Number of Tweets To Date
#PfizerBooster 88
Pfizer Booster 17,882
#Pfizer Vaccine 19,511
Pfizer Vaccine 124,116
Paycheck Protection Program 1,195
Paycheck Protection Program
Loan
263
PPP Loans 2,043
#PPPLoans 137
#SocialDistancing 36,152
Social Distancing 125,318
#VaccineBooster 45
Vaccine Booster 17,615
Twitter Search Criteria Total Tweet Results
Twitter Search Criteria Total Number of Tweets To Date
#WearAMask 102,358
Wear A Mask 124,977
#ClimateChange 35,684
Climate Change 35,943
#ExtremeWeather 1,384
Extreme Weather 9,401
Twitter Search Criteria Notes
• Twitter searches without hashtags pulls more tweets.
• The “COVID19 Vaccine” twitter search has yielded the most tweets to
date.
• There are more “Delta Variant” tweets than “Gamma Variant” tweets.
• The “Moderna Vaccine” Twitter search has yielded the most tweets as
compared to the “Pfizer Vaccine” tweets (second place) and “Johnson
and Johnson Vaccine” tweets (third place) to date.
• The “Pfizer Booster” Twitter search has yielded more tweets as
compared to the “Moderna Booster” Twitter search.
Sentiment (Emotions) Analysis of Tweets
Twitter Data Pull Process
• Access Twitter Developer Account via RStudio.
• Need app name, consumer key, consumer secret, access token, and access secret
• Note: Twitter Developer Accounts must be approved by Twitter
• Note: Submit Twitter Developer application describing the purpose and planned
usage of Twitter.
• Load “rtweet” R package in RStudio.
• Program (code) RStudio to search and pull tweets
• Twitter Search Criteria
• Number of Tweets to pull
• Should retweets be included
• Save Twitter Results as a .CSV file
American Rescue Plan Act
 American Rescue Plan Act is a combination of Health, Economic,
Education, and Social Welfare policy interventions.
Some of the features of the American Rescue Plan include:
COVID-19 vaccinations
Economic relief to small businesses, state and local governments, and individuals
Unemployment benefits
Housing assistance
Agriculture and Nutrition Programs
Stimulus Payments up to $1,400.00 to individuals – one of the most popular feature
American Rescue Plan Act Timeline
 Proposed on January 14, 2021
 U.S. House of Representatives started working on the budget resolution
on February 2, 2021
 Introduced in the U.S. House on February 24, 2021
 Passed the U.S. House on February 27, 2021
 Passed the U.S. Senate on March 6, 2021
 U.S. House Agreed to the U.S. Senate Amendment on March 10, 2021
 Signed into law by President Joseph Biden on March 11, 2021
 IRS started processing direct payments on March 12, 2021
R Programming and Sentiment (Emotions) Analysis by April Heyward
R Programming and Sentiment (Emotions) Analysis by April Heyward
R Programming and Sentiment (Emotions) Analysis by April Heyward
American Rescue Plan Sentiment (Emotions) Analysis Notes
 Anticipation and Positive emotions were the top emotions in the analyses
as responses to this intervention
Trust, surprise, joy, negative, fear, sadness, disgust, and anger emotions
were the highest when the U.S. House agreed with the amended bill and
later sent forward for signature to put into law.
R Programming and Sentiment (Emotions) Analysis by April Heyward
R Programming and Sentiment (Emotions) Analysis by April Heyward
R Programming and Sentiment (Emotions) Analysis by April Heyward
R Programming and Sentiment (Emotions) Analysis by April Heyward
Delta Variant Sentiment (Emotions) Analysis Notes
 Positive emotion has increased from 6/16/2021 (14,873) to 9/24/2021
(18,335).
 Negative emotion has decreased from 6/16/2021 (13,541) to 9/24/2021
(12,775).
 Trust emotion has increased from 6/16/2021 (9,252) to 9/24/2021
(10,118).
 Fear emotion has decreased from 6/16/2021 (8,921) to 9/24/2021
(8,535).
 Sadness emotion has increased from 6/16/2021 (6,058) to 9/24/2021
(7,860).
 Anger emotion has increased from 6/16/2021 (4,239) to 9/24/2021
Next Steps and Future Direction
Next Steps
 Continue text mining varying Twitter search results to add context to
Sentiment (emotions) analysis.
For instance, the results of the Delta Variant sentiment (emotions) analyses showed
positive emotion as the top emotion. It would be interesting to know what is
contributing to this emotion.
 Working on employing Random Forests to make predictions.
 Following Climate Change research and will continue to integrate Data
Science and Machine Learning.
Contact
Information
April Heyward, MRA
E: april.heyward@outlook.com
Twitter: @heyward_april
LinkedIn: April Heyward, MRA

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AI in the Social Sciences Presentation

  • 1. AI in the Social Sciences April Heyward, MRA Hawaii Data Science Institute Data Science Fridays Seminar Friday, October 1, 2021
  • 2. My Research Interests and Current Projects
  • 3. Dr. Herbert Simon • Huge influence on my research. • One of the pioneer scholars to contribute to Artificial Intelligence. • Continues to be revered in the Public Administration, Psychology, Economics, and Computer Science disciplines. • Simon put forward in his book, The Sciences of the Artificial, the characterization of AI as systems developed by humans to achieve goals and to function. • Artificial intelligence emerged out of the computer science discipline . • The discipline can be segmented into subdisciplines to include machine learning (e.g., supervised learning, unsupervised learning, semi-supervised learning), artificial neural networks, and deep learning, etc.
  • 4. My Research Interests Computational Social Science Data Science Decision Science E-Government Machine Learning Public Administration Public Policy Research Methods Social Media Research
  • 5. My Current Research Projects Quantitative Research – “A Data Science and Machine Learning Approach to Comparative COVID-19 Policy Responses” • Study Aim – Investigate health and economic policy responses to the COVID-19 pandemic in developed countries and developing countries. • Prior research indicated more rigorous research is needed for contribution to the body of knowledge from a public policy perspective. • Research Aim – Answer how does data science and machine learning inform public policy about the COVID-19 pandemic and what is the state of the COVID-19 pandemic in developed countries and developing countries.
  • 6. My Current Research Projects Quantitative Research – “Measuring the Effectiveness of E-Government Delivery Models from a Public Administration Perspective” • Study Aim – Investigate the effectiveness of E-Government in Developed Countries and Developing Countries. • Two-phased study. • Prior research indicated more rigorous research is needed for contribution to the body of knowledge from a public administration perspective as literature is dominated by the information systems discipline. • Research Aim – Answer what is the state of e-government delivery models globally.
  • 7. My Current Research Projects Quantitative Research – “A Public Administration Research Approach and Empirical Perspective of COVID-19” • Study Aim – Investigate public administration approaches to COVID-19. • Prior research indicated more rigorous research is needed for contribution to the body of knowledge from a public administration perspective as literature was initially dominated by epidemiology and other sub-disciplines of public health. • Research Aim – Employ data science and machine learning algorithms in a public research administration approach and perspective of COVID-19.
  • 8. My Current Research Projects Quantitative Research – “Integration, Challenges, and Future Direction of Data Science in Public Administration” • Study Aim – Investigate the application of data science in public administration. • Prior research revealed limited rigorous research on data science in public administration. • Research Aim – Answer what is the state of data science in public administration.
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  • 12. How do I use RStudio? Not an Exhaustive List • Data Science • Data Wrangling/Cleaning • Data Analysis • Data Visualizations • Statistics (Descriptive and Inferential) • Machine Learning • Text Mining • Natural Language Processing • Sentiment (Emotions) Analysis • Twitter Data Pulls via my Twitter Developer Credentials • Decision Trees
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  • 18. October 1, 2021 Note: FDA will not extend the shelf life of JandJ Vaccine but will extend shelf life of Moderna Vaccine. Will pull JandJ and Moderna vaccine related tweets.
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  • 21. Newest Research Project – Climate Change
  • 22. Twitter Search Criteria Total Tweet Results Twitter Search Criteria Total Number of Tweets To Date #StimulusChecks 19,644 Stimulus Checks 49,263 #AmericanRescuePlan 23,837 American Rescue Plan 50,192 #BoosterShots 1,638 Booster Shots 17,469 #Coronavirus 17,916 Coronavirus 17,975 #COVID-19 143,900 #COVID19 143,756 COVID19 Vaccine 176,666 COVID-19 Vaccine 107,910
  • 23. Twitter Search Criteria Total Tweet Results Twitter Search Criteria Total Number of Tweets To Date #DeltaVariant 143,412 Delta Variant 161,812 #GammaVariant 305 Gamma Variant 5,847 JandJ Vaccine 2,296 #JandJVaccine 195 #JohnsonandJohnsonVaccine 9,359 Johnson and Johnson Vaccine 68,671 #ModernaBooster 6 Moderna Booster 6,841 #Moderna Vaccine 9,441 Moderna Vaccine 124,590
  • 24. Twitter Search Criteria Total Tweet Results Twitter Search Criteria Total Number of Tweets To Date #PfizerBooster 88 Pfizer Booster 17,882 #Pfizer Vaccine 19,511 Pfizer Vaccine 124,116 Paycheck Protection Program 1,195 Paycheck Protection Program Loan 263 PPP Loans 2,043 #PPPLoans 137 #SocialDistancing 36,152 Social Distancing 125,318 #VaccineBooster 45 Vaccine Booster 17,615
  • 25. Twitter Search Criteria Total Tweet Results Twitter Search Criteria Total Number of Tweets To Date #WearAMask 102,358 Wear A Mask 124,977 #ClimateChange 35,684 Climate Change 35,943 #ExtremeWeather 1,384 Extreme Weather 9,401
  • 26. Twitter Search Criteria Notes • Twitter searches without hashtags pulls more tweets. • The “COVID19 Vaccine” twitter search has yielded the most tweets to date. • There are more “Delta Variant” tweets than “Gamma Variant” tweets. • The “Moderna Vaccine” Twitter search has yielded the most tweets as compared to the “Pfizer Vaccine” tweets (second place) and “Johnson and Johnson Vaccine” tweets (third place) to date. • The “Pfizer Booster” Twitter search has yielded more tweets as compared to the “Moderna Booster” Twitter search.
  • 28. Twitter Data Pull Process • Access Twitter Developer Account via RStudio. • Need app name, consumer key, consumer secret, access token, and access secret • Note: Twitter Developer Accounts must be approved by Twitter • Note: Submit Twitter Developer application describing the purpose and planned usage of Twitter. • Load “rtweet” R package in RStudio. • Program (code) RStudio to search and pull tweets • Twitter Search Criteria • Number of Tweets to pull • Should retweets be included • Save Twitter Results as a .CSV file
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  • 31. American Rescue Plan Act  American Rescue Plan Act is a combination of Health, Economic, Education, and Social Welfare policy interventions. Some of the features of the American Rescue Plan include: COVID-19 vaccinations Economic relief to small businesses, state and local governments, and individuals Unemployment benefits Housing assistance Agriculture and Nutrition Programs Stimulus Payments up to $1,400.00 to individuals – one of the most popular feature
  • 32. American Rescue Plan Act Timeline  Proposed on January 14, 2021  U.S. House of Representatives started working on the budget resolution on February 2, 2021  Introduced in the U.S. House on February 24, 2021  Passed the U.S. House on February 27, 2021  Passed the U.S. Senate on March 6, 2021  U.S. House Agreed to the U.S. Senate Amendment on March 10, 2021  Signed into law by President Joseph Biden on March 11, 2021  IRS started processing direct payments on March 12, 2021
  • 33. R Programming and Sentiment (Emotions) Analysis by April Heyward
  • 34. R Programming and Sentiment (Emotions) Analysis by April Heyward
  • 35. R Programming and Sentiment (Emotions) Analysis by April Heyward
  • 36. American Rescue Plan Sentiment (Emotions) Analysis Notes  Anticipation and Positive emotions were the top emotions in the analyses as responses to this intervention Trust, surprise, joy, negative, fear, sadness, disgust, and anger emotions were the highest when the U.S. House agreed with the amended bill and later sent forward for signature to put into law.
  • 37.
  • 38. R Programming and Sentiment (Emotions) Analysis by April Heyward
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  • 40. R Programming and Sentiment (Emotions) Analysis by April Heyward
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  • 42. R Programming and Sentiment (Emotions) Analysis by April Heyward
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  • 44. R Programming and Sentiment (Emotions) Analysis by April Heyward
  • 45. Delta Variant Sentiment (Emotions) Analysis Notes  Positive emotion has increased from 6/16/2021 (14,873) to 9/24/2021 (18,335).  Negative emotion has decreased from 6/16/2021 (13,541) to 9/24/2021 (12,775).  Trust emotion has increased from 6/16/2021 (9,252) to 9/24/2021 (10,118).  Fear emotion has decreased from 6/16/2021 (8,921) to 9/24/2021 (8,535).  Sadness emotion has increased from 6/16/2021 (6,058) to 9/24/2021 (7,860).  Anger emotion has increased from 6/16/2021 (4,239) to 9/24/2021
  • 46. Next Steps and Future Direction
  • 47. Next Steps  Continue text mining varying Twitter search results to add context to Sentiment (emotions) analysis. For instance, the results of the Delta Variant sentiment (emotions) analyses showed positive emotion as the top emotion. It would be interesting to know what is contributing to this emotion.  Working on employing Random Forests to make predictions.  Following Climate Change research and will continue to integrate Data Science and Machine Learning.
  • 48. Contact Information April Heyward, MRA E: april.heyward@outlook.com Twitter: @heyward_april LinkedIn: April Heyward, MRA