This presentation gives you an overview of technical analysis. Technical Analysis basically suggests us "WHEN" to invest. This presentation will give a brief idea of Dow's Theory and different types of graphs used in share market to demonstrate a specific stock (5 types of graphs).
2. Concept of Technical Analysis
Technical Analysis attempts to explain and forecast changes in security prices by studying
only the market data. In other words a study of past share prices behaviour to predict the
future trend is termed as Technical Analysis.
Technical
Analysis
Timing Of Investment, Decision, Buy, sell, Hold etc.
Study of market Bullishness, Bearishness , etc.
Liquidity in the market, Floating stock, Volume Turnover, Price trends
etc.
3. Basic Principles of Technical Analysis
The Basic principles on which technical analysis is based may be summarised as follows :
1. The market value of a security is related to demand and supply factors operating in the market.
2. There are both rational and irrational factors which surround the supply and demand factors of a security.
3. Security prices behave in manner that their movement is continuous in a particular direction for some length
of time.
4. Trends in stock prices have been seen to change when there is a shift in the demand and supply factors.
5. The shifts in demand and supply can be detected through charts prepared specially to show market action.
6. Patterns which are projected by charts record price movements and these recorded patterns are used by
analysts to make forecasts about the movement of prices in future.
4. Dow Theory
âą Formulated by Charles H. Dow, the editor of the Wall Street Journal in U.S.A.
âą Charles Dow formulated a hypothesis that the stock market does not move on a random
basis but is influenced by three distinct cyclical trends that guide its direction.
According to DOW Theory, the market has three movements and these movements are
simultaneous in nature.
ï¶Primary Movements
ï¶Secondary Movements
ï¶Minor Movements
5. Dow Theory
Primary Movements :
This is the long range cycle that carries entire market up or down. This is the long-term trend in
market. Generally the trend is for more than one year.
Secondary Movements :
These reactions act as a restraining force the primary movement. These are in the opposite
direction to primary movements and last only for a short while. These are also known as
corrections and are for a period of 2-8 months.
Minor Movements :
These are the day to day fluctuations in market. The minor movements are not significant and
have analytical value as they are of very short duration.
7. Types of Charts
âą Line chart
âą Bar chart
âą Candlestick chart
âą Point and figure chart
âą Price and volume chart
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11. Point and Figure chart
âą It predicts the extent and direction of price
movements of a stock or a market index.
âą These charts are on dimensional without any
indication of price or volume.
âą They show prices changes in relation to
previous prices.
âą It consists of series of Xâs and Oâs.
âą The Xâs represents upward price tends and
Oâs represents downward price trends.
12. Price and Volume Chart
âą Volume is an important aspect of
technical analysis because it is used to
confirm trends and chart patterns.
âą Volume should move with the trend. If
prices are moving in an upward trend,
volume should increase (and vice versa).