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DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT
13 July 2016
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Market Views
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
TURMERIC
AUG 8098 8098 8000 8038 +0.02 -
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
7993
SUPP. 2
7947
PIVOT
8045
Turmeric short term
trend is bearish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
8091
RES. 2
8143
CORIANDER
AUG 7720 7750 7681 7706 +0.59 -
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
7675
SUPP. 2
7643
PIVOT
7712
Coriander short term
trend is bearish and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
7744
RES. 2
7781
GUARGUM
OCT 7050 7120 6850 6910 +1.61 -
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
6800
SUPP. 2
6690
PIVOT
6960
Guargum short term
trend is bearish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
7070
RES. 2
7230
CASTORSEED
- - - - - - -
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
-
SUPP. 2
-
PIVOT
-
-
RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
-
RES. 2
-
Most Active Contract
3
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value
Pre.
Close
%
Change
CASTORSEED - - -
CHANA 9380 9108 +2.99
CORIANDER 7898 7817 +1.04
GUARGUM 6990 6850 +2.04
JEERA 18935 18770 +0.88
MUSTARD
SEED
4821 4804 +0.35
SOYABEAN 3828 3796 +0.84
TURMERIC 8030 8038 -0.10
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
GUAR GUM 20-07-2016 6640.00 190.00 2.95%
CHANA 20-07-2016 9380.00 266.00 2.92%
CORIANDER 20-07-2016 7898.00 121.00 1.56%
GUAR SEED 10 MT 20-07-2016 3567.00 38.00 1.08%
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
COTTON SEED OIL CAKE
AKOLA
20-07-2016 2570.00 -18.00 -0.70%
SOY BEAN 20-07-2016 3585.00 -1.00 -0.03%
Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
 A spurt in domestic cotton prices, which have now surpassed
international rates, will hurt yarn demand and profitability of spinning
companies in the current quarter, ratings firm ICRABSE 0.99 % said in a
report on the Indian spinning industry. Domestic prices of ginned cotton
have increased significantly from about Rs 90-92 a kilogram in April 2016
to about Rs 122 kg currently. The increased local price of the raw material
was more than what the industry expected. "The spurt in cotton prices is
beyond expectations and points to a severe shortage of cotton in the
domestic markets," said Anil Gupta, vice preside of corporate sector ratings
at the ratings firm. "Slower cotton sowing and decline in cotton sown area;
apart from cotton stocking by intermediaries, could have led to this sharp
rise in prices. However, the recent increase in cotton prices can motivate
the farmers further and the cotton sowing area can improve in the coming
months.” As per ICRA estimates, in the near term, profitability of the
spinning industry will be adversely impacted because of the price rise, even
as it faces slow growth in domestic consumption. With local cotton prices
higher than international ones, export prospects, too, will now get
hit. "Both the above factors a challenge for the mills to sell their production
and one can see a decline in capacity utilization and also contribution
margins, to prevent inventory build-up," Gupta said. The spinning players,
who may have stocked inventories for four to five months in March 2016,
may witness improved profitability as they are likely to gain from higher
yarn prices. However, "as per our interaction, many spinning companies
had expected cotton prices to be stable in CY2016, and the cotton
inventory stocking was not beyond two months in March 2016", he wrote.
 Planting of crops has jumped 88 per cent in the past week in step with
the monsoon's surge since the end of June, raising hopes of a much higher
production and moderate prices of pulses and rice. Water level in reservoirs
also increased, which is good for post-monsoon irrigation and hydropower
generation. Planting of pulses jumped 131 per cent in a week, and is 26 per
cent higher than last year even though this year's monsoon came late and
was scanty till the middle of last month.
 Declining supplies in local mandies have supported coriander futures
in today's trading. As per market sources, the total daily arrivals of
coriander have been remained thin despite of new market season. The
daily arrivals have been reported at 8000 to 10000 bags against normal
arrivals of 18000 to 20000 bags during this period. However, total
production in the current year is also expected to be higher by 10 to 15
percent higher from the last year. The NCDEX August futures
increased by percent to close at Rs per quintal.
 Mustard seed futures have witnessed some bargain buying due to
fragile sowing of kharif oilseeds so far in the current year coupled with
recovery in meal demand. As per official data, the overall sowing
acreage of kharif oilseeds has been reported at 82.26 lakh hectares on
8th July 2016, down 18 % from last year in the same period. The prices
were also supported by strong demand of oil meal exporters in local
mandies as countries such as South Korea and Indonesia have reported
strong export inquiries for the coming months. The spot prices of
mustard seed at Jaipur mandi were increased by Rs 55 per quintal
today. The NCDEX August futures augmented by 1.51 percent today to
close at Rs 4902 per quintal.
 In Andhra Pradesh, Chilli sown area is 2741 hectares as on 06-07-
2016, as against normal in season area of 118022 hectares. Last year
area coverage for the same period was 992 hectares. Kurnool district
reported higher 1023 hectares compared to last year 293
hectares. In Telanagana, Chilli sowing area reported around 701
hectares as compared to last year 600 hectares as on 06-07-2016.
Normal in season 59955 hectares.
 Stating that there should not be any delays in disbursement of crop
loans, Agriculture Minister Radha Mohan Singh today asked banks to
take measures to ease the approval process to provide loans on time to
farmers.
Technical Outlook
5
BUY CORIANDER AUG ABOVE 7780 TARGET 7825 7925 SL
BELOW 7715
BUY GUARGUM OCT ABOVE 6850 TARGET 6900 6970 SL
BELOW 6790
BUY TURMERIC AUG ABOVE 8050 TARGET 8094 8154 SL
BELOW 7990
Disclaimer
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 Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and
up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.
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Epic research daily agri report 13th july 2016

  • 1. DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT 13 July 2016 HNI & NRI Sales Contact Australia Mintara Road, Tarneit, Victoria. Post Code 3029 Phone.: +61 422 063855 HNI & NRI Sales Contact USA 2117 Arbor Vista Dr. Charlotte (NC) Cell: +1 704 249 2315 Toll Free Number 1-800-200-9454 All queries should be directed to Info@epicresearch.co 1 Epic Research India 411 Milinda Manor (Suites 409- 417) 2 RNT Marg. Opp Central Mall Indore (M.P.) Hotline: +91 731 664 2300 Alternate: +91 731 664 2320 Or give us a missed call at 026 5309 0639 Our Presence YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
  • 2. Market Views 2 MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL TURMERIC AUG 8098 8098 8000 8038 +0.02 - INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 7993 SUPP. 2 7947 PIVOT 8045 Turmeric short term trend is bearish and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 8091 RES. 2 8143 CORIANDER AUG 7720 7750 7681 7706 +0.59 - INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP.1 7675 SUPP. 2 7643 PIVOT 7712 Coriander short term trend is bearish and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 7744 RES. 2 7781 GUARGUM OCT 7050 7120 6850 6910 +1.61 - INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 6800 SUPP. 2 6690 PIVOT 6960 Guargum short term trend is bearish and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 7070 RES. 2 7230 CASTORSEED - - - - - - - INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 - SUPP. 2 - PIVOT - - RESISTAN CE RES. 1 - RES. 2 -
  • 3. Most Active Contract 3 NCDEX INDICES Index Value Pre. Close % Change CASTORSEED - - - CHANA 9380 9108 +2.99 CORIANDER 7898 7817 +1.04 GUARGUM 6990 6850 +2.04 JEERA 18935 18770 +0.88 MUSTARD SEED 4821 4804 +0.35 SOYABEAN 3828 3796 +0.84 TURMERIC 8030 8038 -0.10 TOP GAINERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % GUAR GUM 20-07-2016 6640.00 190.00 2.95% CHANA 20-07-2016 9380.00 266.00 2.92% CORIANDER 20-07-2016 7898.00 121.00 1.56% GUAR SEED 10 MT 20-07-2016 3567.00 38.00 1.08% TOP LOSERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % COTTON SEED OIL CAKE AKOLA 20-07-2016 2570.00 -18.00 -0.70% SOY BEAN 20-07-2016 3585.00 -1.00 -0.03%
  • 4. Commodities In News 4 ECONOMIC NEWS  A spurt in domestic cotton prices, which have now surpassed international rates, will hurt yarn demand and profitability of spinning companies in the current quarter, ratings firm ICRABSE 0.99 % said in a report on the Indian spinning industry. Domestic prices of ginned cotton have increased significantly from about Rs 90-92 a kilogram in April 2016 to about Rs 122 kg currently. The increased local price of the raw material was more than what the industry expected. "The spurt in cotton prices is beyond expectations and points to a severe shortage of cotton in the domestic markets," said Anil Gupta, vice preside of corporate sector ratings at the ratings firm. "Slower cotton sowing and decline in cotton sown area; apart from cotton stocking by intermediaries, could have led to this sharp rise in prices. However, the recent increase in cotton prices can motivate the farmers further and the cotton sowing area can improve in the coming months.” As per ICRA estimates, in the near term, profitability of the spinning industry will be adversely impacted because of the price rise, even as it faces slow growth in domestic consumption. With local cotton prices higher than international ones, export prospects, too, will now get hit. "Both the above factors a challenge for the mills to sell their production and one can see a decline in capacity utilization and also contribution margins, to prevent inventory build-up," Gupta said. The spinning players, who may have stocked inventories for four to five months in March 2016, may witness improved profitability as they are likely to gain from higher yarn prices. However, "as per our interaction, many spinning companies had expected cotton prices to be stable in CY2016, and the cotton inventory stocking was not beyond two months in March 2016", he wrote.  Planting of crops has jumped 88 per cent in the past week in step with the monsoon's surge since the end of June, raising hopes of a much higher production and moderate prices of pulses and rice. Water level in reservoirs also increased, which is good for post-monsoon irrigation and hydropower generation. Planting of pulses jumped 131 per cent in a week, and is 26 per cent higher than last year even though this year's monsoon came late and was scanty till the middle of last month.  Declining supplies in local mandies have supported coriander futures in today's trading. As per market sources, the total daily arrivals of coriander have been remained thin despite of new market season. The daily arrivals have been reported at 8000 to 10000 bags against normal arrivals of 18000 to 20000 bags during this period. However, total production in the current year is also expected to be higher by 10 to 15 percent higher from the last year. The NCDEX August futures increased by percent to close at Rs per quintal.  Mustard seed futures have witnessed some bargain buying due to fragile sowing of kharif oilseeds so far in the current year coupled with recovery in meal demand. As per official data, the overall sowing acreage of kharif oilseeds has been reported at 82.26 lakh hectares on 8th July 2016, down 18 % from last year in the same period. The prices were also supported by strong demand of oil meal exporters in local mandies as countries such as South Korea and Indonesia have reported strong export inquiries for the coming months. The spot prices of mustard seed at Jaipur mandi were increased by Rs 55 per quintal today. The NCDEX August futures augmented by 1.51 percent today to close at Rs 4902 per quintal.  In Andhra Pradesh, Chilli sown area is 2741 hectares as on 06-07- 2016, as against normal in season area of 118022 hectares. Last year area coverage for the same period was 992 hectares. Kurnool district reported higher 1023 hectares compared to last year 293 hectares. In Telanagana, Chilli sowing area reported around 701 hectares as compared to last year 600 hectares as on 06-07-2016. Normal in season 59955 hectares.  Stating that there should not be any delays in disbursement of crop loans, Agriculture Minister Radha Mohan Singh today asked banks to take measures to ease the approval process to provide loans on time to farmers.
  • 5. Technical Outlook 5 BUY CORIANDER AUG ABOVE 7780 TARGET 7825 7925 SL BELOW 7715 BUY GUARGUM OCT ABOVE 6850 TARGET 6900 6970 SL BELOW 6790 BUY TURMERIC AUG ABOVE 8050 TARGET 8094 8154 SL BELOW 7990
  • 6. Disclaimer  The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.  Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.  The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.  The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for. Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved.  Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks.  We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. we are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid Or Unpaid), Any third party or anyone else have no rights to forward or share our calls or SMS or Report or Any Information Provided by us to/with anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so then Serious Legal Actions can be taken.