The CMO Survey - Highlights and Insights Report - Spring 2024
Epic research daily agri report 13th july 2016
1. DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT
13 July 2016
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2. Market Views
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
TURMERIC
AUG 8098 8098 8000 8038 +0.02 -
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
7993
SUPP. 2
7947
PIVOT
8045
Turmeric short term
trend is bearish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
8091
RES. 2
8143
CORIANDER
AUG 7720 7750 7681 7706 +0.59 -
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
7675
SUPP. 2
7643
PIVOT
7712
Coriander short term
trend is bearish and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
7744
RES. 2
7781
GUARGUM
OCT 7050 7120 6850 6910 +1.61 -
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
6800
SUPP. 2
6690
PIVOT
6960
Guargum short term
trend is bearish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
7070
RES. 2
7230
CASTORSEED
- - - - - - -
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
-
SUPP. 2
-
PIVOT
-
-
RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
-
RES. 2
-
3. Most Active Contract
3
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value
Pre.
Close
%
Change
CASTORSEED - - -
CHANA 9380 9108 +2.99
CORIANDER 7898 7817 +1.04
GUARGUM 6990 6850 +2.04
JEERA 18935 18770 +0.88
MUSTARD
SEED
4821 4804 +0.35
SOYABEAN 3828 3796 +0.84
TURMERIC 8030 8038 -0.10
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
GUAR GUM 20-07-2016 6640.00 190.00 2.95%
CHANA 20-07-2016 9380.00 266.00 2.92%
CORIANDER 20-07-2016 7898.00 121.00 1.56%
GUAR SEED 10 MT 20-07-2016 3567.00 38.00 1.08%
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
COTTON SEED OIL CAKE
AKOLA
20-07-2016 2570.00 -18.00 -0.70%
SOY BEAN 20-07-2016 3585.00 -1.00 -0.03%
4. Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
A spurt in domestic cotton prices, which have now surpassed
international rates, will hurt yarn demand and profitability of spinning
companies in the current quarter, ratings firm ICRABSE 0.99 % said in a
report on the Indian spinning industry. Domestic prices of ginned cotton
have increased significantly from about Rs 90-92 a kilogram in April 2016
to about Rs 122 kg currently. The increased local price of the raw material
was more than what the industry expected. "The spurt in cotton prices is
beyond expectations and points to a severe shortage of cotton in the
domestic markets," said Anil Gupta, vice preside of corporate sector ratings
at the ratings firm. "Slower cotton sowing and decline in cotton sown area;
apart from cotton stocking by intermediaries, could have led to this sharp
rise in prices. However, the recent increase in cotton prices can motivate
the farmers further and the cotton sowing area can improve in the coming
months.” As per ICRA estimates, in the near term, profitability of the
spinning industry will be adversely impacted because of the price rise, even
as it faces slow growth in domestic consumption. With local cotton prices
higher than international ones, export prospects, too, will now get
hit. "Both the above factors a challenge for the mills to sell their production
and one can see a decline in capacity utilization and also contribution
margins, to prevent inventory build-up," Gupta said. The spinning players,
who may have stocked inventories for four to five months in March 2016,
may witness improved profitability as they are likely to gain from higher
yarn prices. However, "as per our interaction, many spinning companies
had expected cotton prices to be stable in CY2016, and the cotton
inventory stocking was not beyond two months in March 2016", he wrote.
Planting of crops has jumped 88 per cent in the past week in step with
the monsoon's surge since the end of June, raising hopes of a much higher
production and moderate prices of pulses and rice. Water level in reservoirs
also increased, which is good for post-monsoon irrigation and hydropower
generation. Planting of pulses jumped 131 per cent in a week, and is 26 per
cent higher than last year even though this year's monsoon came late and
was scanty till the middle of last month.
Declining supplies in local mandies have supported coriander futures
in today's trading. As per market sources, the total daily arrivals of
coriander have been remained thin despite of new market season. The
daily arrivals have been reported at 8000 to 10000 bags against normal
arrivals of 18000 to 20000 bags during this period. However, total
production in the current year is also expected to be higher by 10 to 15
percent higher from the last year. The NCDEX August futures
increased by percent to close at Rs per quintal.
Mustard seed futures have witnessed some bargain buying due to
fragile sowing of kharif oilseeds so far in the current year coupled with
recovery in meal demand. As per official data, the overall sowing
acreage of kharif oilseeds has been reported at 82.26 lakh hectares on
8th July 2016, down 18 % from last year in the same period. The prices
were also supported by strong demand of oil meal exporters in local
mandies as countries such as South Korea and Indonesia have reported
strong export inquiries for the coming months. The spot prices of
mustard seed at Jaipur mandi were increased by Rs 55 per quintal
today. The NCDEX August futures augmented by 1.51 percent today to
close at Rs 4902 per quintal.
In Andhra Pradesh, Chilli sown area is 2741 hectares as on 06-07-
2016, as against normal in season area of 118022 hectares. Last year
area coverage for the same period was 992 hectares. Kurnool district
reported higher 1023 hectares compared to last year 293
hectares. In Telanagana, Chilli sowing area reported around 701
hectares as compared to last year 600 hectares as on 06-07-2016.
Normal in season 59955 hectares.
Stating that there should not be any delays in disbursement of crop
loans, Agriculture Minister Radha Mohan Singh today asked banks to
take measures to ease the approval process to provide loans on time to
farmers.
5. Technical Outlook
5
BUY CORIANDER AUG ABOVE 7780 TARGET 7825 7925 SL
BELOW 7715
BUY GUARGUM OCT ABOVE 6850 TARGET 6900 6970 SL
BELOW 6790
BUY TURMERIC AUG ABOVE 8050 TARGET 8094 8154 SL
BELOW 7990
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