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Dr. Barry Wellar 
     Professor Emeritus of Geography and 
                               g p y
       Distinguished Geomatics Scientist, 
  Lab for Applied Geomatics and GIS Science 
             University of Ottawa,
Program Director, Geography Awareness Week, 
     Canadian Association of Geographers
     C    di A       i ti   fG       h
              wellarb@uottawa.ca
      http://www.wellarconsulting.com/


   PowerPoint Slides for Keynote Address

               GIS Day 2009

            University of Ottawa
            University of Ottawa

            November 18, 2009




                                               Slide 1
QUESTION: WHY DO WE NEED NEW WAYS TO ACHIEVE 
NEW EVIDENCE FOR BETTER DECISIONS?


Answer: Because too often Decisions Based on the 
“Anatomical Sourcing” Approach Fail the Logic Test. 
                   g pp                   g




                                                       Slide 2
DECISION PRESSURE POINTS?
YES, A FEW COME TO MIND


      • End of oil 
      • Pandemics
      • Climate change
      • Rainforest destruction




                                 Slide 3
DECISION PRESSURE POINTS?
AS DO A FEW MORE


     • Toxic waste
     • Urban sprawl
     • Loss of habitat
     • Holes in the ozone layer




                                  Slide 4
DECISION PRESSURE POINTS?
AND A FEW MORE


     • Auto industry
     • Immigration levels
     • Drought there and there
     • Flooding here, here, and here




                                       Slide 5
DECISION PRESSURE POINTS?
AND A FEW MORE


     • Air pollution
     • National security
     • Solid waste disposal
     • Threats to fish stocks




                                Slide 6
DECISION PRESSURE POINTS?
AND A FEW MORE


     • Urban intensification
     • Regional development
     • Extreme weather events
     • Threats to the boreal forest 




                                       Slide 7
DECISION PRESSURE POINTS?
AND A FEW MORE


     • Infrastructure deterioration
     • Interdependent infrastructures
     • National high‐speed rail system
     • National spatial data infrastructure




                                              Slide 8
DECISION PRESSURE POINTS?
AND A FEW MORE


 • Loss of prime agricultural land
 • Need for alternative energy supplies
 • Shift to more sustainable urban transport
 • Water quality problems there, there, and there




                                                    Slide 9
PHRASES THAT ILLUSTRATE THE 
“ANATOMICAL SOURCING” APPROACH 
TO MAKING DECISIONS 


 Was that comment right off the top of your  head?
 I support this policy from the bottom of my heart!
 I          hi    li f       h b        f    h    !
 I have a gut feeling about this LRT plan.
 When asked questions she often gives off‐the‐cuff
            q                   g      ff       ff
 opinions.




                                                      Slide 10
MORE PHRASES THAT ILLUSTRATE THE 
“ANATOMICAL SOURCING” APPROACH 
TO MAKING DECISIONS 

Simple rule of thumb notions ignore reality.
The mayor is flying by the seat of his pants on this one!
That is another knee‐jerk reaction based on ideology. 
Are there people in that department who use their 
brains before policies are adopted? 




                                                            Slide 11
“ANATOMICAL SOURCING” Q&A 



  Question: Can the “Anatomical Sourcing” approach 
   effectively deal with the challenges represented 
           by the decision pressure points? 

Answer: On the evidence, only when our brains are fully 
engaged, and the other parts of the anatomy play little 
                     to no role.
                     to no role.




                                                           Slide 12
AS FOR “OUR” BRAINS, “OUR” INCLUDES


         • I di id l
           Individuals and families
                         d f ili
         • Institutions
         • Governments
         • Corporations
         • Advocacy groups
         • Interest groups
         • Professional groups




                                      Slide 13
NEW WAYS TO ACHIEVE NEW EVIDENCE? 

This listing of the ways that GIS and GeoSkills contribute evidence pertinent to 
decision pressure points is illustrative.
decision pressure points is illustrative


       1. Cartography                    11. GIS fundamentals
       2. Digital imaging                12. GIS principles
       3. Geographic field methods
       3 G         hi fi ld   h d        13. GIS science
                                         13 GIS i
       4. Geographic research            14. GIS technology
          methods                        15. GPS applications
       5. Geographic research            16. Mapping systems
          techniques
                 q                       17. Remote sensing g
       6. Geomatics                      18. Spatial analysis
       7. Geomodelling                   19. Spatial decision support  
       8. Geoscience methodology             systems
       9. Geostatistics                  20. Spatial synthesis
      10. GIS applications
      10 GIS applications



                                                                                    Slide 14
WHERE TO FIND EXAMPLES OF NEW WAYS
      TO ACHIEVE NEW EVIDENCE?


                   Geography Awareness Week
                   Applied Geography Showcase

http://www.cag‐acg.ca/files/pdf/GAW/Applied_Geography_Showcase.pdf




                                                                     Slide 15
WHERE TO FIND EXAMPLES OF NEW WAYS
TO ACHIEVE NEW EVIDENCE?


           Geography Awareness Week
       Guide to Applied Geography Resources

      http://www.cag‐acg.ca/files/pdf/GAW/
     GAW_2009_Guide_Applied_Resources.pdf




                                              Slide 16
WHERE TO FIND EXAMPLES OF NEW WAYS 
 TO ACHIEVE NEW EVIDENCE?


               Geography Awareness Week
                  GeoSkills Showcase

http://www.cag‐acg.ca/files/pdf/GAW/GAW2009_GeoSkills.pdf




                                                            Slide 17
WHERE TO FIND EXAMPLES OF NEW WAYS 
TO ACHIEVE NEW EVIDENCE?


           Geography Awareness Week
           Guide to GeoSkills Resources

       http://www.cagacg.ca/files/pdf/GAW/
     GAW_2009_Guide_GeoSkills_Resources.pdf




                                              Slide 18
WHERE TO FIND EXAMPLES OF NEW WAYS 
TO ACHIEVE NEW EVIDENCE?

            Geography Awareness Week
               Theme Day Websites

                Climate and Weather
                Climate and Weather
                        Water
                        Energy
                    Transportation
                   Food and Health

 http://www.cag‐acg.ca/en/geography_week_2009.html



                                                     Slide 19
WHERE TO FIND EXAMPLES OF NEW WAYS 
TO ACHIEVE NEW EVIDENCE?


                 GIS Day Websites

  http://www.cag‐acg.ca/files/pdf/GAW/GIS_Day.pdf
     p //      g g /         /p /    /      yp

    http://www.esricanada.com/english/7301.asp




                                                    Slide 20
WHERE TO FIND EXAMPLES OF NEW WAYS 
TO ACHIEVE NEW EVIDENCE?



Professional organizations such as the Urban and Regional
         Information Systems Association (URISA)

                 http://www.urisa.org/




                                                            Slide 21
WHERE TO FIND EXAMPLES OF NEW WAYS 
TO ACHIEVE NEW EVIDENCE?

                      GIS Day Posters

The following URL illustrates how universities, colleges, and 
      other academic institutions could make student 
      other academic institutions could make student
             GIS Day posters available online.  

         http://www.geomatics.uottawa.ca/gaw09




                                                                 Slide 22
FIRST STEP TO ACHIEVE 
BETTER DECISIONS?


            Ask the pointed question: 

           What are the names of the 
        decision‐making methodologies 
      that you use when making decisions?




                                            Slide 23
SECOND STEP TO ACHIEVE 
BETTER DECISIONS?


       If an informed answer is not received, 
                 repeat the question: 

             What are the names of the 
          decision‐making methodologies 
        that you use when making decisions?




                                                 Slide 24
THIRD STEP TO ACHIEVE 
         BETTER DECISIONS?

                            Crank up the juice:

  If you hear the Humma, Humma, Humma chorus instead of an informed 
answer, be ready with a list of names of decision methods and techniques to 
answer be ready with a list of names of decision methods and techniques to
            raise the level of the discussion and apply pressure.

                  The following approach may be helpful.




                                                                           Slide 25
“CAN’T REMEMBER THE NAMES OF THE METHODS AND 
“CAN’T REMEMBER THE NAMES OF THE METHODS AND
TECHNIQUES YOU USE TO MAKE DECISIONS?  PERHAPS 
THIS LIST MAY JOG YOUR MEMORY.”

   1.    Attitudinal Surveys           18.   Input‐Output Analysis
   2.    Brainstorming                 19.   Life‐Cycle Analysis
   3.    Charrette                     20.    Modelling
   4.    Committee Approach            21.    Normative Delphi
   5.
   5     Comparative A l i
         C        ti Analysis          22.
                                       22     Optimization Techniques
   6.    Cost‐Benefit Analysis         23.    Panel Evaluation
   7.    Cost‐Effectiveness Analysis   24.    Pilot Study
   8.    Counterfoil Research          25.    Policy Delphi
   9.    Cross‐Impact Analysis         26.    Pre‐Test
   10.   Econometric Analysis          27.    Referenda
   11.   Expert Panels                 28.
                                       28     Risk Assessment
                                              Ri k A          t
   12.   Focus Groups                  29.   Roundtables
   13.   Forecasting Delphi            30.    Scaling
   14.   Highest and Best Use          31.    Sensitivity Analysis
   15.   Impact Assessment             32.    Simulation
   16.   Indicators                    33.    Trial Run
   17.   Indexing                      34.    Workshops




                                                                        Slide 26
GETTING OUR ACT TOGETHER:
NEW WAYS TO ACHIEVE 
BETTER DECISIONS?


 Combine the ways that GIS and GeoSkills provide 
evidence (Slide 14) with the methods and techniques 
       of rational decision making (Slide 26).




                                                       Slide 27
GETTING OUR ACT TOGETHER:
     NEW WAYS TO ACHIEVE 
     BETTER DECISIONS?




         GIS and GeoSkills
                X                   =   BETTER DECISIONS
Decision Methods and Techniques  




                                                           Slide 28
CHALLENGE 1 TO THE 
  GIS AND GEOSKILLS COMMUNITIES:



Build a casebook demonstrating how GIS and GeoSkills are 
   combined with decision methods and techniques to 
      bi d i h d i i         h d    d h i
                produce better decisions. 




                                                            Slide 29
CHALLENGE 2 TO THE 
     GIS AND GEOSKILLS COMMUNITIES:



Build a casebook demonstrating how GIS and GeoSkills could be 
     combined with decision methods and techniques to 
        bi d i h d i i         h d    d h i
                  produce better decisions. 




                                                                 Slide 30
CHALLENGE 3 TO THE 
     GIS AND GEOSKILLS COMMUNITIES:



Build a casebook demonstrating how GIS and GeoSkills should be 
      combined with decision methods and techniques to 
         bi d i h d i i         h d    d h i
                   produce better decisions.




                                                                  Slide 31
CLOSING COMMENT 


The GIS and Geoskills communities have a distinguished record of
devising new ways to achieve new evidence for better decision
making. However, Canada faces a number of major social, economic,
     g         ,                            j         ,         ,
environmental, governance, and other challenges, and few if any of
them are self‐correcting. We have much good work yet to do.



                  LET’S GET IT DONE!!


                                                                     Slide 32
REFERENCES and SOURCES 1

             I wish to acknowledge the contributions made to this presentation by previous 
             presentations and published reports. The following list identifies some of these 
                references, and includes the URLs for the convenience of readers who may 
                                  wish to examine the original materials.
                                  wish to examine the original materials


Wellar, B. 2006. Geography and Geographic Information Systems (GIS): 
New Realities of Canada as an Emerging Information Society. GIS Day Keynote, University of Ottawa. 
http://www.slideshare.net/
http://www slideshare net/

Wellar, B. 2007. Sustainable Transport: Does Anybody Here Know How to Win This Game? Presentation to the Kiwanis Club of 
Ottawa. http://www.geomatics.uottawa.ca/docs/Kiwani_ST_laggiss.pdf

Wellar, B. 2007.  Making Weather Connections: From Science to Common Sense, and Public Lethargy to Activism. CMOS Lecture. 
http://www.slideshare.net/
http://www slideshare net/

Wellar, B. 2008. From NASA Satellite Images (1966) to Google Earth (2008):
Geography, Geomatics and GIS Have Come a Long Way. Sigma Xi Lecture. 
http://www.geomatics.uottawa.ca/WellarPresentstheTriple.htm




                                                                                                                            Slide 33
REFERENCES and SOURCES 2

Wellar, B. 2009. Sampler of Commentaries on Methods and Techniques that Could be Used in Making Decisions about 
Identifying, Adopting, or Implementing Sustainable Transport Practices. Transport Canada Project, Research Report 3.
http://www.wellarconsulting.com/

Wellar, B. 2009.  Core Information Challenges and Opportunities, 2010‐2020: Building on Strengths. URISA Annual Conference 
Keynote Address.  http://www.urisa.org/annual/keynote

Wellar, B. 2009. Elements of a Framework for GeoSkills as the Focus of New Approaches in Applied Geography Education and 
Training. Wellar GeoSkills Lecture, University of Ottawa. http://www.slideshare.net/

Wellar, B. and W.L. Garrison 2009. Enriching Sustainable Transport Decisions:  Inputs from Operations Research and the 
Management Sciences. Research Report. Berkeley, CA: University of California at Berkeley, Institute for Transportation Studies. 
Posted at the eScholarship Repository, http://repositories.cdlib.org/its/reports/UCB‐ITS‐2009‐1/



Acknowledgement. Thanks are given to Sam Herold for the graphics work.
A k   l d     t Th k         i    t S    H ld f th          hi      k




                                                                                                                              Slide 34

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