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Malawi Scotland Partnership - Post 2015 Scotland's Contribution, September 2013
1. Malawi and MDGs: Any Progress?
By
Happy Edward Makala,
NIDOS Annual Seminar and AGM,
Renfield Centre, Glasgow, Scotland
17th September, 2013
2. Presentation Outline
• Progress made towards realization of MDGs
• Overview of the Post-2015 consultations
• Priorities from the consultations
• Malawi’s policy documents
• What next: Post-2015?
3. Goals 1, 4, 6, 7, 8 – Likely to Meet
GOAL/TARGET Indicator Current
Status
2015
Target
Feasibility of
achieving the
Goal
Goal 1:
Eradicate Extreme
Poverty and
Hunger
Proportion of population living
below US$1.00 per
person per day
39 % 27% Likely to be met
Poverty Gap Ratio 17.8% 8%
Poorest Quintile Share in National
Consumption
10.1 % 20%
Prevalence of Underweight Children 17 % 14%
Proportion of population below
minimum level of
dietary energy consumption
15% 11.8%
Goal 4:
Reduce Child
Mortality
Under-five mortality rate 122 per
1,000
78 per
1,000
Likely to be met
Infant Mortality rate 69 per
1,000
44.7 per
1,000
Proportion of 1 year children
immunized against Measles
84 % 100
4. GOAL/TARGET Indicator Current
Status
2015
Target
Feasibility of
achieving the
Goal
Goal 6:
Combat HIV and
AIDS, Malaria and
other diseases
HIV prevalence among 15 – 24
year old pregnant
women
12% 0% Likely to be met
Ratio of orphans to non-orphans in
school
0.15 -
Deaths rates associated with
Malaria
3% -
Access to Malaria Treatment 22% -
Proportion of Household with at
least one ITN
60% -
Death rates associated with
Tuberculosis
8% -
Proportion of TB Cases under
DOTS
86% -
5. Goal 7:
Ensure Environmental
Sustainability
Proportion of land covered by
forest
36.2% 50% Likely to be met
Proportion of area protected to
maintain biological
diversity
0.16% 0.18%
Proportion of population using
solid fuel
98% 0%
Proportion of population with
sustainable access to and
improved water source
81% 74%
Proportion of population with
access to improved
Sanitation
93% 86.2%
Slum population as percentage of
urban population
67.7% -
Goal 8:
Develop Global
Partnership for
Development
Net ODA as a percentage of Real
Gross Domestic
Product
22% Likely to be met
Unemployment of 15 – 24 year old (urban) 4%
Telephone lines subscribers per 100 population 2.3%
Cellular subscribers per 100 population 21%
Internet users per 1,000 population 10.5%
6. GOAL/TARGET Indicator Current Status 2015 Target Feasibility of
achieving the
Goal
Goal 2: Achieve Universal
Primary Education
Net Enrolment in Primary 83% 100% Unlikely to be
metProportion of Pupils Starting Grade1 Reaching
Grade 5
75.7 % 100%
Literacy Rate (15-24yrs) 84 % 100%
Goal 3: Promote Gender
Equality and Empower Women
Ratio of Girls to Boys in Primary Education 1.03 1 Unlikely
to be metRatio of Girls to Boys in Secondary Education 0.79 1
Ratio of Literate Women to Men 15 – 24 Years
Old
0.94 1
Share of Women in Wage Employment in non-
Agriculture Sector
15% 50%
Proportion of Seats Held by Women in
Parliament
22% 50%
Goal 5: Improve Maternal
Health
Maternal mortality ratio 807 per
100,000
155 per
100,000
Unlikely to
be met
Proportion of births attended to by skilled health
personnel
75% 100%
Goals 2, 3 and 5 – Unlikely to Meet
7. Overview of the Post-2015 Consultation
• One of 50 countries chosen to inform the Post-2015 Future
– Ministry of Economic Planning and Development (MEPD), UNCT initiated the process
by planning and identifying the issues that faced Malawi
– bottom- up approach , by giving the people of Malawi a voice
• Utilised primary data through key informant interviews and focus
group discussions and respondents were asked the following questions:
1. What do you want to see change or improve in the next 10 years ?
2. What is the one most important thing for Malawi in the next 10 years ?
3. What is one thing you will do to improve things in the next 10 years ?
– Newspapers, phone in radio programmes and world wide web were also used to disseminate
and capture views on the consultation.
8. Priorities from the Consultations
• Governance and Accountability
• Infrastructure Development
• Agricultural Development and Food Security
• Access to and Quality Education
• Health Service Delivery
• Private Sector Development
• Environment , Natural Resource Management and Climate Change
• Science, Technology and Communication
• HIV/AIDS
• Capacity Building
• Gender Equality and Women’s Empowerment
• Population Dynamics and Development
9. Malawi’s Policy Documents
• Vision 2020 – Long Term strategy : 1998 – 2020
• Millennium Development Goals : 2000 - 2015
– Malawi Poverty Reduction Strategy : 2001 – 2005
– Malawi Growth and Development Strategy : 2006 – 2011
– Malawi Growth and Development Strategy II (MGDS II): 2011 -2016
– Malawi Economic Recovery Plan (2012) - (MERP) – 2012 -2017
• Coined due the macro economic instability and a slow down in the GDP
and therefore sought to make quick economic gains though resource
allocation into Tourism, fisheries and Agriculture
• Policy Reforms were categorised in immediate (3month) , Short Term (1
year) and Medium Term (2-5 years)
• In the Medium Term, MERP seeks to refocus the priorities of MDG
10. What Next: Post -2015?
• Still unclear what the strategic and Implementation plan is for
the priorities identified in the consultations
• Although MERP has been plagued with concerns of its lack of
clarity, lack of resource to implement the priorities and
whether its priorities are evidence based, we have used it as a
proxy to asses how GoM is currently meeting the needs of
Malawians and an indication of how it will meet them in future.
• With the government hinting at consolidating the MERP and
MGDSII, this is an opportune time for the GoM to also include
the priorities identified in the Post -2015 Consultations.
11. Conclusions
• Malawi will achieve the majority of the MDGs
• Not always easy to say which goals
have/haven’t been met
• Progress has been made within those goals
unlikely to be met (e.g. primary education)
• Some targets seem very high for the period,
given resource constraints
• Perhaps more could have been done to
promote post 2015 consultations
Goal 2–Education: Ensure that by 2015, all Boys and Girls should be able to complete a FullCourse of Primary SchoolingChallenges undermining the realisation of goal number 2 shortage of qualified primary school teachers;inadequate physical infrastructure;poor retention of girls mainly from standard five to eight;high disease burden due to HIV and AIDS consequently leading to absenteeism especially among girls who take care of the sick;poor participation of school committees and their communities in school management.Poverty levels are high in rural areas.GoM Strategies to address the above challenges:Reducing the student to teacher ratio by moving teachers from secondary schools to primary schools Construction of school building blocks and teacher’s housesScaling school feeding meals to increase enrolment and retentionConstruction of additional teacher training colleges to reduce teacher-student ration and improve the quality of teachers Goal 3-GenderChallenges undermining the realisation of goal number 3The capacity and resources were said to be stretched to accommodate adult literacy and continuing educationOn account of culture and socioeconomic pressure there is a prevalence of early marriagesThe belief and culture that men lead and women follow Poor learning environmentsGoM Strategies to address the above challengesRevision of the re-admission policy in 2006, allowing girls to go back to school after pregnancyIncrease budgetary allocation to national adult literacy programmesIncrease women in decision making position in public and private sectorsGoal 5-Maternal HealthHighest Maternal mortality ratio in the world (Attributed to complications of pregnancy and childbirth, disability of women within the reproductive age ). It was recommended that Malawi needs improved antenatal care, basic emergency obstetric care, and post-natal care. Although still high at 807 per 100,000, this is a reduction from 1120 per 100,000 about a decade ago.At 75% births being attended by skilled health professionals, this is an increase from 56% in 2000. At the current rate, it is projected that by 2015, this will be 82% with the highest skilled attendants found in urban areasChallenges undermining the realisation of goal number 5Insufficient skilled human resources and poor retention of skilled health personnel Poor access to the essential health care services and poor equipped health facilities Cultural practices which discourage the use of skilled health attendants, use of contraceptives etcGoM Strategies to address the above challengesIncreased availability and accessibility of antenatal servicesUse of skilled health professionalsProvision on ARV’s and micronutrients to women during pregnancy