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2012

Voices From Paju




        Research and Reflections

        on the Global Economy
Voices From Paju




Table of Contents
About the Authors ...................................................................................................................................... 3
How the Recent Paradigm Shift in Electricity Affects the Global Economy
by Kenzo Sakamoto and Jongkwon Ham ................................................................................................ 4
Effects of Fair Trade Coffee on the Global Economy
By Katsuya Ishigaki and Hojaee Lee........................................................................................................ 9
The Effect of Chinese Taste Change
By Toshiharu Kamada and Jongmin Kim .............................................................................................. 13
Camu Camu Fruit
By Hiroyuki Kaji and Hisami Natsume................................................................................................. 17
The Possible Impact of Speech Recognition Technology
By Toshiharu Kamada and Hensu Jang ................................................................................................. 22
The Costs and Benefits of London Olympics 2012
By Jeongwoo Lee and So Kogahara ........................................................................................................ 28
Which One is More Proper in Korea and Japan, Big Mac Index or Starbucks Index
by Seunghyun Kim and Toru Yamashita ................................................................................................ 35
Why did “Occupy Wall Street” Demonstrators Show Up?
By Siyung Jo and Woojin Yang ................................................................................................................ 39
The Effect of Animation Outsourcing on Japan’s Economy
By Takahiro Aoki and Lee Woo Chan .................................................................................................... 44
Aging Population: Impact on the World Economy
By Jung Jaeyoon and Shoichiro Kitano.................................................................................................. 51
Chinese Luxury Shopping
By Jaewoo Kwon and Emi Yamazaki..................................................................................................... 59
How the Chinese Economy Recovered Quickly After the Financial Crisis
By Yoshiyuki Suimon and Richie Hsieh ................................................................................................. 66
The Effect of China’s Foreign Exchange Reserves on the World Economy
By Sachiyo Urashima and Sangjae Lee.................................................................................................. 71
Free Trade Agreements
By Youngguo Seo and Ryuhei Oh ............................................................................................................ 75
The Reason why Korean Women Undergo Plastic Surgery
By Yosuke Suzuki, Youngwan Kim, and Sungmin Kim........................................................................ 82



                                                                                                                                                             2
Voices From Paju




                                    About the Authors
         On a cold winter morning in early February 2012, business professionals from Korea,

Japan, and Taiwan descended on Gyeonggi English Village in Paju, South Korea. The 31

writers featured in this collection come from a variety of industries—electronics to automotive,

ship-building to financial—but are all among the leaders in their fields. They were accepted to

the University of Michigan’s Ross Business School Global MBA program, and have committed a

year and a half to their studies.

         Their three weeks at English Village was the first step in this journey, a last chance to

fine-tune their English skills—writing, reading, speaking, and listening—before beginning an

intensive business-focused curriculum. The essays in this book represent the culmination of

their writing classes.    Most of the writers—though highly intelligent and good English

speakers–came in with limited experience in writing English, especially academic papers. The

quality of the essays they were able to produce is a testament to their talent and hard work. On

a personal note and speaking as one of their teachers, they were the most energetic, focused, and

intellectually curious group I’ve seen pass through English Village. They will be missed.



-Alex Diamond, Paju, February 27, 2012




                                                                                                     3
Voices From Paju




                     How the recent paradigm shift in electricity

                                    affects the global economy
                                    by Kenzo Sakamoto and Jongkwon Ham

Introduction

      A Massive 9 magnitude degree earthquake struck off Japan’s northeastern area on March 11,

2011. Because of this big earthquake, Fukushima nuclear power plant was severely damaged.

After the tragedy accident, the Japanese government implemented a variety of electricity saving

plans.

             On September 15, 2011, a freak blackout plunged Korea into darkness. The sudden

power outage affected offices, baseball stadiums, and shopping malls. Korea faces a constant

threat of major power outages in the next four to five years1.

     I.        Saving electricity

A.         Black out in Korea
1. Detail explain of Black out accident

             The blackout paralyzed the entire country of Korea. The sudden power outage began

around 3 p.m. and the national emergency management agency reported 944 phone calls from

people who were trapped in elevators. Traffic lights went out and mobile phone services were

halted after power was cut from base stations in Korea2. It happened because of the sudden

demand expansion. The Ministry of Knowledge Economy in Korea put the blame of the massive

blackout on a false report by KEPCO (Korea Electric Power Corporation) about the country’s

electricity reserve level.



2. Japan Government’s policy

          Tokyo electric power lost a third of its generating capacity when the earthquake struck and

power stations automatically shut down. Japan’s chief cabinet secretary said the government


1   KBS special documentary film “2011 The warning of winter blackout” broadcasted by KBS on Dec. 11.2011.
2   http://english.chosun.com / “Freak Blackout plunge Korea into darkness” Sep. 16. 2011.


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Voices From Paju




would look at the option of a power cut by rotation. The lights in office buildings and hospitals

turned off and commuter subway trains stopped.

     However, the Japanese public overcame the unprecedented disaster with amazing

orderliness. The source of orderliness appears to be a deep-rooted trust in the Japanese

government. Japanese people still have confidence in what the government tells them.



B.    The Cause of Power Shortage
        1. Seasonal demand expanding

     From 1990 to 2000 because of air conditioner supply, there was an increase in summer

electricity demands. However, recently more demand increase is due to heating system

translated from gas to electricity. In addition, the average low temperatures during winter time

are another reason3.
2. Commercial demand

     Due to the industry structure changes, the service industry has an important role in the

recent global economy, and commercial demand of electricity is highly expanded. The weight of

service industry among the industrial products in Japan is almost over 38%4. Commercial

demand’s range of fluctuation is so wide that a stable supply plan is hard to establish.
3. Continuous occurrence of new power demand

     The increasing demand for a convenient and comfortable life increases the use of many

home networks and well being home appliances, which also need a lot of electricity. It will

continue to expand in the future. For example, the home appliance market in Korea grew an

annual average 58.2% from 2006 to 20105. From now on society will transition an information-

oriented and environment-friendly society, and new power demand will increase.
4. Insufficiency of power plant supply plan

     The power plant is lacking because government established a long-term power supply plan

3SERI (Samsung Economic Research Institute) CEO Information_2012.1.18: No.838 “The Cause and countermeasures of
power shortage in winter time” page 5
4SERI (Samsung Economic Research Institute) CEO Information_2012.1.18: No.838 “The Cause and countermeasures of

power shortage in winter time” page 6
5 Op. cit. page 7




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on the base of demand forecasting, but the real supply demand exceeded the prediction.

Expected demand growth in recent 3 years was about 2%, but actual demand was 5.2%6.
5. Delay of planned power plant

           The disruption occurred to the planned plant because of complaints, environmental policy,

transmission line connection, etc. Until 2009, the fulfillment of the power plant establish plan is

just only 80%7.



C.         Countermeasures
                1. Reinforcement of seasonal demand management

           The government should manage the growing demand for air conditioning and heating, so

they can secure the stable power reserve level especially for the peak time of summer and winter.
2. Systemize the response of crisis

           The government should improve the power load management system in case of climate

change or power plant breakdown.
3. Expansion of basis power plant

           The underlying lack of power capacity serves as a cause of power shortages and rising

electricity rates, so the expansion of basis power plants needs to avoid such a disruption of the

plan.
4. Modernization of power plant infra through technical innovation

           There is a need to build a smart grid which is a fusion of IT technology and power

networks. We should take advantage of technology innovation and power grid expansion as an

opportunity for economic revitalization.



     II.          Electric Vehicles

           A.     Recent trends of Electric Vehicles

     The Electric Vehicles (EVs) are automobiles which are propelled by electric motors, using


6Op. cit. page 8
Op.cit. page 9
7




                                                                                                       6
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electrical energy stored in batteries or another energy storage device. Recently, to overcome the

high oil prices and the emission of the greenhouse gasses, the research and the production of the

EVs are gradually increasing. EVs, including hybrid cars, could represent as much as 15% of the

new car market by 2020.8 In this report, the analysis of the impact of the EVs on global economy

is described in terms of household impact, smart grid, and reduction of emission.



B.        Impacts on the Households

     The spread of the EVs would have huge impact on the car operating costs in households.

Given the average household uses a car for 50miles, the increase of the electricity cost would be

$40, and the decrease of the gasoline cost would be $180. Totally, the introduction of EVs would

be cost-effective to most of households even if the battery maintenance costs were included.9



C.        Impact on the Electric Grids
           1. About Electric Grids

        Current electric grids were established in the 19th century. These days, the smart grid, the

concept of next generation electric grids which improve the efficiency and reliability of the

electric grid by digital and autonomiccontrol, is becoming prevalent.The smart grid is receiving

plenty of attention as the key technology to realize the expansion of the EVs as well as the

renewable energy.10



2. How it affects Electric Industry and Economy

        For the prevalence of the smart grid, the comprehensive introduction of devices, such as a


8“Recharging electric cars: Bidding for volts,” The Economist online, September 6,
2011,http://www.economist.com/node/21528507, accessed February 16, 2012
9Ulrich Decher, “Economic and Emissions Impacts of Electric Vehicles,” The Energy Collective, February 15, 2011,

http://theenergycollective.com/ansorg/51761/economic-and-emissions-impacts-electric-vehicles, accessed February 16,
2012
10  Center for Entrepreneurship & Technology (CET) University of California, Berkeley, “Impact of Widespread Electric
Vehicle    Adoption on      the Electrical UtilityBusiness – Threats and Opportunities,”         August 31, 2009,
http://cet.berkeley.edu/dl/Utilities_Final_8-31-09.pdf, accessed February 16, 2012




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smart meter, is necessary. In this process, not only manufacturers of power system equipment,

but also other related industries, including car makers or manufacturers of digital

communication equipment, are expected to find new markets, and this trend would have a huge

impact on global economy.



D.          The Impact of the Reduction of Emission
1. How the EVs reduce the Emission

        The amount of emission gases would not basically change by the introduction of EVs

according to the law of the conservation of energy, but the emissions caused by the combustion

of the oil would transfer from car engines to power plants, which reduce the effects of the

emissions to urban area.



3. The Economic Effect of the Reduction of Emissions

        To reduce the emissions, the power system should be changed dramatically:one is smart

grid to enable all households to charge EVs at night, and the other is the shift of energy resources

from fossil fuels to nuclear power or renewable energy sources, such as solar, tide, and wind

powers. As the expansion of the nuclear power plants is becoming impractical after the 2011.3.11

earthquake in Japan and following nuclear accidents, mainly the shift to renewable energy

would be promoted. The renewable energies are expected to be cheaper resources for the future

and boost the creation of new jobs, stimulating the global economy.



     III.       Conclusion

              In conclusion, the trend of saving electricity and introduction of EVs is becoming

dominant, and would be more accelerated in the future. The shift of the energy resources from

fossil fuels to renewable energy would be also promoted, and these trends generally have some

positive impacts to boost the global economy.




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                     Effects of Fair Trade Coffee on Global Economy
                                         By Katsuya Ishigaki and Hojae Lee

I.       I. The history of coffee

          After medieval times, coffee spread through the world. The earliest credible evidence of

either coffee drinking or knowledge of the coffee tree appears in the middle of the fifteenth

century, in the Sufi monasteries of the Yemen in southern Arabia. From Mocha, coffee spread to

Egypt and North Africa, and by the 16th century, it had reached the rest of the Middle East,

Persia and Turkey. From the Muslim world, coffee drinking spread to Italy, then to the rest of

Europe, and coffee plants were transported by the Dutch to the East Indies and to the

Americas. 11 Coffee was popular by the 18th century in Europe and European colonists

introduced the crop to other tropical countries to help them supply a healthy domestic

demand.12

          Coffee is the world's second most valuable traded commodity, behind only petroleum.

There are approximately 20 million farmers and coffee workers in over 50 countries involved in

producing coffee around the world. An estimated 11 million hectares of the world's farmland are

dedicated to coffee cultivation. Around the globe, the annual consumption of coffee has

expanded to 12 billion pounds.13

          Coffee was traditionally developed as a colonial cash crop, planted by serfs or wage

laborers in tropical climates on large plantations of landowners for sale in colonial countries.

Coffee producers, like most agricultural workers around the world, are kept in a cycle of poverty

and debt by the current global economy designed to exploit cheap labor and keep consumer

prices low. Because of this situation, many coffee workers bring their children to help them in the

fields in order to pick the daily quota. These child workers are not officially employed and

therefore not subject to labor protections.14


11 Wikipedia, “History of coffee,” http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_coffee, accessed 17 Feb 2012
12 facebook, “Brief Coffee History,” http://www.facebook.com/note.php?note_id=400497537218, accessed 17 Feb 2012
13 The Catholic Action Network for Social Justice, “Coffee in the Global Economy,”

http://catholicactionnetwork.org/dec05/documents/FAQsfromglobalexchange.pdf, accessed 11 Feb 2012
14 Ibid




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II.     The characteristics of coffee industry

         Coffee beans are grown within an area known as the ‘bean belt,’ which is roughly

bound by the tropic of cancer to the north, and tropic of Capricorn to the south. The best

growing areas offer moderate sunlight and rain, steady temperatures of around 70 degrees

Fahrenheit, and rich soil.15 Top 10 green coffee producing countries in 2009 are Brazil, Vietnam,

Colombia, Indonesia, India, Ethiopia, Peru, Mexico, Guatemala, and Honduras in order of

production.16

         The cultivation of coffee is a much more labor-intensive than alternative products of the

same regions such as sugarcane or cattle. Coffee beans must be picked, processed, dried and

roasted on a coffee plantation, so it is not subject to automation and requires constant attention.17

         The prices of coffee beans are mainly determined by Coffee C Futures contract market

of ICE18 and NYSE Euronext.liffe.19 The factors which can affect the prices of coffee are the

weather of producing countries20, supply and demand of coffee21, and speculation22.

III.    What is Fair Trade Coffee

         Fair trade was introduced to help the farmers to have a better life and support their

family. The Fair Trade movement began in the late 1950s as alternative trade organizations

(ATOs) emerged in Europe and the US to promote grassroots development through direct,

equitable trade. These ATOs bought directly from Third World producers, eliminating the

middlemen, and paid the producers a fair price while providing assistance in developing


15 Coffee Producing Regions, “Coffee Producing Regions,” http://www.professorshouse.com/Food-
Beverage/Beverages/Hot-Drinks/Articles/Coffee-Producing-Regions/, accessed 21 Feb 2012
16 FAOSTAT, “2010 Data,” http://faostat.fao.org/site/567/default.aspx#ancor, accessed 21 Feb 2012

17 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economics_of_coffee, accessed 21 Feb 2012

18 Coffee C Futures contract market of ICE(InterContinentalExchange):

https://www.theice.com/productguide/ProductDetails.shtml?specId=14
19 https://globalderivatives.nyx.com/contract/content/29040/contract-specification

20 ezinearticles.com, “Brazil Weather Will Determine Coffee Prices, They Could Soar This Winter,”

http://ezinearticles.com/?Brazil-Weather-Will-Determine-Coffee-Prices,-They-Could-Soar-This-Winter&id=6315290,
accessed 21 Feb 2012
21 Kona Coffee Roasting, “Coffee Prices Rise in 2011 Due to Increased Demand, Reduced Coffee Supply,”

http://www.konacoffeeroasting.com/coffee-prices-rise-in-2011-due-to-increased-demand-reduced-coffee-supply/,
accessed 21 Feb 2012
22 The real news, “Speculation Drives Up Coffee Prices,”

http://therealnews.com/t2/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=31&Itemid=74&jumival=7176, accessed 21
Feb 2012


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trading experience and market contacts. Such experiences helped producers raise their incomes

while reducing their dependency on commercial middlemen.23

IV.      Issues of Fair Trade Coffee

          There are some issues for the fair trade coffee: very strict rules to be Fair Trade Coffee

and not enough benefits from Fair Trade Coffee.

          Producers need thousands of Euros to get the certificate of Fair Trade Coffee for a single

plant.24 There is an application fee, initial certificate fee, membership dues, annual audit fees and

more. Large corporate farms can often handle the paperwork and recuperate the cost of

certification more easily than small, independent farms. As a result, there are plenty of small,

independent farms that are not Fair trade certified even though they meet or exceed the Fair

trade standards.25

          There is an issue that Fair Trade cannot help producers to be escape from poverty. The

ICA(International Commodity Agreement) raised prices for the consumer, but after several

decades of intervention, poverty remained a fact of life in coffee producing countries. Indeed,

studies of the ICA have shown that it had no effect on poverty reduction.26 It may become the

most of the profit goes to the middlemen.

V.       Prospect of fair trade coffee

          To help producers of fair trade coffee, the volume of fair trade coffee should be

increased. Nowadays, the volume of fair trade coffee is quite low compared with the volume of

other coffee. We should promote fair trade coffee and check the volume of fair trade coffee.

          There are few shops or cafes which produce fair trade coffee, while a lot of people want

to buy. For increasing sales volume of fair trade coffee, more diversification of sales is necessary.

For example, cans of coffee or packs of coffee are effective options. Before selling them, sellers

may make an advertisement which introduces fair trade coffee to common people and influence

23 Ibid
24 FLO-CERT, “PRODUCER CERTIFICATION FEES,” http://www.flo-cert.net/flo-cert/65.html, accessed 21 Feb 2012
25 Wikipedia, “Economics of Coffee,” http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economics_of_coffee, accessed 21 Feb 2012

26 Mercatus Center, “Does Fair Trade Coffee Help the Poor? Evidence from Costa Rica and Guatemala,”

http://mercatus.org/publication/does-fair-trade-coffee-help-poor-evidence-costa-rica-and-guatemala, accessed 21 Feb
2012


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people buy more fair trade coffee.

        To promote volume of fair trade coffee, tax exemptions are also effective. Tax

exemptions will encourage sellers to sell more fair trade coffee and producers to produce more.

It is necessary for related countries to negotiate each other for protecting the coffee producers.



VI.     Conclusion

        Historically, coffee producers suffer from their own poor wages. Fair trade coffee is

initiated to protect such poor producers, but it does not work well and there are a lot of poor

producers who still suffer. It is better to promote the volume of fair trade coffee




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                          The Effect of Chinese Taste Change
                                 By Toshiharu Kamada and Jongmin Kim

Ⅰ. Introduction

“13.5 hundred million”, “960 thousand”, “300 thousand dollars”27

          These numbers indicate China’s population, the number of Chinese billionaires, and the

amount of money the Chinese billionaires spend annually overseas, respectively. In the past,

many people believed that Chinese are very economical consumers and do not like to spend

their money. However, this idea is far from the truth nowadays. Chinese are spending

considerable amounts of money on shopping, eating, and traveling every year. People can easily

encounter many Chinese who travel in many sightseeing cities and look around luxury brand

shops. This large group of Chinese is starting to create changes not only in the middle priced

market but also in the luxury market all around the world. The movement to adapt to the

change is getting faster.

Ⅱ. Effects on Travel Business

      A. Luxury goods for Chinese Travelers.

          The change of markets is observed in travel business. First and foremost, Chinese taste’s

change has strongly influenced overseas travel business. For example, according to The

INDEPENDENT, 22.7 million Chinese tourists, out of a total of 36 million over 12 monthsin 2010,

have travelled to Hong Kong,compared tothe 7.5 million Chinese tourists had done so in

2003.28The main purpose of their travel was still shopping. However, what they wanted to buy

and actually bought had changed from cheap goods to luxury goods.Actually, Chinese travelers

to Hong Kong spent more than those who came from other countries. They spent approximately

HK$12,000 (1,100 Euros) on average every time they came to Hong Kong.29

      B. Luxury Service for Chinese Travelers.


27Myungshin Kim, “Trend Report”, KOTRA(Korea Trade-investment Promotion Agency), November 17th, 2011
28“Chinese taste for luxury changes the face of Hong Kong shopping,” The INDEPENDENT, March 29, 2011,
http://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/fashion/chinese-taste-for-luxury-changes-the-face-of-hong-kong-shopping-
2255987.html, accessed February 2011.
29 Ibid.




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          In addition, many of the companies which sell luxury goods throughout the world are

developing new products and services adequate for Chinese tourists. According to The WHERE,

one of the Canadian travel magazines, the affluent Chinese travelers sought for high-quality

Asian-style services besides European goods.30 Actually, Hilton started special hospitality

services for Chinese travelers. Specifically, it provided them with Chinese breakfast and front

desk attendants who was able to speak the Chinese language31.

          Moreover, we can also observe the tendency described above, not in the overseas travel

market, but in the domestic market, that is, in the Chinese market. The changing taste of Chinese

consumers begins to focus on service qualityother than pricing. Specifically, many Chinese

people tend to seek for information such as user reviews, shipping options, or product

guarantees, other than price.According to The Wall Street Journal, we can also observe this trend

in e-commerce companies. “In China e-commerce is all about discount shopping, said Hurst Lin,

general partner at venture capital firm DCM and former COO of Chinese web portal and

microblog operator Sina, but that won’t last. Mr. Lin believes that in several years, Chinese

consumers will have more discerning taste and that online retailers with the best design and

branding will challenge the dominance of Alibaba Group’s Taobao websites.”32Alibaba Group’s

Taobao websites are the current biggestonline shopping in China. However, the top position will

not always continue in the future. Actually, the sales of Alibaba Group’s Taobao websites have

recently decreased. From now on, e-commerce companies will need to differentiate themselves

from competitors by providing customers not with cheaper prices, but with added values such

as better services or better design. As the example illustrates, Chinese taste change has strongly

influenced overseas travel business.

Ⅲ. Effects on Wine Market

      A. French Wine Market

30“Travel Trends: Why Chinese Tastes Matter,” Where, September 23, 2011, http://www.where.ca/blog/check-in/travel-
trends-why-chinese-tastes-matter/, accessed February 2012.
31Ibid

32 Loretta Chao, “DCM Partner: Taobao Discount Model Not the Future of Chinese E-Commerce,” The Wall Street

Journal, November 2, 2011, http://blogs.wsj.com/chinarealtime/2011/11/02/dcm-partner-taobao-discount-model-not-
the-future-of-chinese-e-commerce/?mod=WSJBlog, accessed February 2012.


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         In addition, Chinese taste change and its effects on the market are observed in other

spheres. One of the spheres is the wine market. Recently, it is perceived that there is a big change

in the global high-end wine market. The change coming from wealthy Chinese wine collectors is

making Bordeaux wine cry and Burgandy wine smile. Until recently, French wineries have led

the high-end wine market. Many people who enjoy drinking wine have unconsciously

memorized many kinds of the names of French wines and usually ordered them in restaurants.

However, wealthy Chinese people who enjoy drinking wine have begun to pick up Burgandy.

Even though 60% of Bordeaux’s total exports are still consumed in mainland China and Hong

Kong, no one can guarantee that Bordeaux’s wine will be able to maintain its popularity.

Therefore, in the near future, it is expected that this trend will cause the price of Burgandy to

surge. According to Janicy Robinson, the British wine expert and critic, the effect that greater

Chinese interest in Burgandy could have on the broader global market would be "dangerous" for

Burgandy lovers. Because the quantities of top Burgandy produced are limited, this

phenomenon could upset the market.             33



B. Australian Wine Market

         In addition, a similar phenomenon is observed in the Australian wine market.

According to Campbell Thompson, an Australian and co-owner of the wine importing and

distributioncompany, The Wine Republic, French wines have led the gift-giving and corporate

dining market until recently34. However, the demand for Australian wine is increasing

dramatically. Australia’s top wine brands, like Jacob’s Creek, have begun to have more interest

in the Chinese market. They expect that their major target will be businessmen, officials, and

young white-collar workers, who are increasing rapidly in main cities in China.35 Therefore,

many Australian wine sellers anticipate that the sales of the wine will surge and then the price of

Australian wine will reflect the change.


33Jancis Robinson, “Growing Chinese Taste For Burgundy Could Prove “Dangerous”, Jing Daily, November 22nd, 2011,
http://www.jingdaily.com/en/luxury/jancis-robinson-growing-chinese-taste-for-burgundy-could-prove-dangerous/
34 “Demand for Australian wine soars as Chinese taste change”, China Daily,

December 13th, 2011, http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/bizchina/2011-12/12/content_14250015.htm
35 Ibid




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Ⅳ. Conclusion

         In conclusion, many companies have tomake more efforts to establish the strategy to

reflect Chinese taste change. As the example above illustrates, Chinese people penchants for

spending money are largely changing from essential to luxury, such as overseas travel, wine, or

designer goods. Many of the economists and the economic magazines predict that theChinese

economy continues to grow for the moment. According to the Wall Street Journal, “A recent Bain

study forecast that the Chinese market would grow 11 per cent per annum for five years,

butLindit&Sprungli said it believed the market was growing by 30 per cent a

year based on research conducted for it by Nielsen.”36If companies aspire to affect the Chinese, to

obtain Chinese money, and to make profits, they shall revise their strategy to reflect new Chinese

taste. Companies will have to focuson service qualityand provide other information,such as

product guarantees, user reviews, or shipping options, and not only focus on pricing. To

summarize our interpretation of the results, we can explain that many businesspersonsneed to

endeavor to revisetheirplans of actionto reflect Chinese taste change.Last, please excuse me ifI

overemphasized my opinion more subjectively than was necessary.




36Patti Waldmeir in Shanghai , “Confectioners bite into China’s soft centre”,THE FINANCIAL TIMES, December 23,
2011, HTTP://WWW.FT.COM/INTL/CMS/S/0/DD414766-2D6E-11E1-B5BF-00144FEABDC0.HTML#AXZZ1LRIBIRPA,
accessed February 2012.


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                                         Camu Camu fruit
                                 By Hiroyuki Kaji and Hisami Natsume

Thesis: The Camu Camu fruit’s impact on the global economy.

I.    Introduction

Recently, the number of people who are interested in health topics is growing in the world.

Along with this, many kinds of nutritious fruits have become a part of people’s lives. Camu

Camu, a specific kind of fruit made in Peru, is closely-related not only to human health but also

to the global economy. Although Camu Camu is getting more popular in Japan, Camu Camu is

not widely used in the market. There is a possibility of expanding Camu Camu market in Japan.



II.   What is Camu Camu?

A. Features

Camu Camu is a small bush which grows in the Amazonian rain forest of Peru. The Camu

Camu bush produces a fruit which is about the size of a large grape and has a purplish red skin

with a yellow pulp.37Camu Camu fruit contains powerful phytochemicals with health benefits,

including the amino acids such as serine, valine, and leucine, and more Vitamin C than any

other known plant in the world. Camu Camu is energizing, mood-lifting and highly effective in

strengthening the immune system.

Camu Camu has more natural Vitamin C than any known botanical on the planet and the effects

on the human body are incomparable. Because of its food form, with bioflavonoids and other

phytochemicals, clinical evidence suggests that it is far more effective, milligram for milligram,

than synthetic Vitamin C (ascorbic acid). Many people report that just two capsules daily (1/3

tsp.) is sufficient to significantly increase their wellness.




 Wikipedia,”Myrciaria-dubia,”http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Myrciaria_dubia, accessed February 2012.
37




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Table 1: Nutrition values of Camu Camu and Lemon: 1 cup (Health Benefits of Camu Camu38,



Vitamins                                              CamuCamu                     Lemon

Vitamin B1                                           0.07 mg                       -

Vitamin B2                                           0.16 mg                       -

Niacin                                               8.25 mg                       0.10 mg

Vitamin C                                            7.49 g                        0.53       g

Lemon nutrition facts39)



B.   Cultivation of Camu Camu

Camu Camu planting started in 1996 in Peru as part of government funded reforestation projects

(under the Program Nacional de Camu Camu) for export to Japan. Since then Camu Camu has

become a widely cultivated fruit species in the floodplains of the Peruvian Amazon.40

The Peruvian government expects that it will become a major export when its amazing

properties are discovered in the United States. It is preparing for the expected large increase in

demand by making Camu Camu seedlings available free of charge to communities of native

people who are rain-forest dwellers for them to plant and to tend. It takes four to five years for

the Camu Camu bush to bear fruit. The growing popularity of this wild rainforest fruit is

contributing to the sustainable development of the Amazon River basin and helping the forest

dwellers to maintain their traditional way of life.41


 Life Style Lounge, “Health Benefits of Camu Camu,”http://lifestyle.iloveindia.com/lounge/health-benefits-of-camu-
38


camu-8860.html, accessed February 2012.

 Power your diet, ”Lemon nutrition facts,”http://www.nutrition-and-you.com/lemon.html, accessed February 2012.
39



 Entrepreneur’s Toolkit,”Camu Camu
40

Cultivation,”http://www.entrepreneurstoolkit.org/index.php?title=Camu_Camu_Production_in_the_Peruvian_Amazo
n, accessed February 2012.

 WHOLE WORLD BOTANICALS, “Camu Camu(Myrciariadubia),
41


http://www.wholeworldbotanicals.com/herbal_camucamu, accessed February 2012.



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III.     Camu Camu Fruit in Peru



A. The Economy of Peru

Being among the Pacific Rim nations, Peru has recently joined the group of emerging

nations.Despite the continuing improvements in addressing the problem of poverty, expanding

the income disparity continues to be a problem. The disparity between urban and rural areas is

severe, and there is a serious mismatch between markets. In Peru, 19% of the Peruvian people

live in "absolute poverty," meaning they survive on less than US$1 a day. Furthermore, while

31.2% of the population lives in urban areas, and 69.3% of the population lives in rural areas are

"absolute poverty." Moreover, the percentage of GDP in agriculture is 0.7%, and percentage of

labor force in agriculture is approximately 25%.           42




B.     The advantages of producing Camu Camu in Peru

In Peru, by producing Camu Camu, social issues such as poverty problem, nature preservation,

and eradication of illicit drugs can be solved.



1.     Poverty program

Producing Camu Camu helps farmers to raise their income. At present, farmers can earn only

small amount of money by farming, and there is no other way for farmers to earn cash. The

distribution of Camu Camu would aid in the improvement of the farmer’s livelihood. Also, this

would contribute to improve the standard of living in Peru.



2.     Nature preservation

Producing Camu Camu has positive impacts on the rainforest in Amazon areas. Peru's rainforest,

which represents 20 percent of the Amazon, faces a number of environmental pressures,


42CIA-the world factbook,“ Transnational issues in Peru, ”https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-
factbook/geos/pe.html, accessed February 2012.




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including deforestation. Many kinds of fruits are not able to grow during the rainy season

because these fruits are submerged in water. On the other hand, Camu Camu can grow in the

areas even if the Camu Camu tree itself is immersed in water. Therefore, cultivation of Camu

Camu would make international contributions not only in carbon dioxid reduction but also in

nature protection.43



3.   Illicit drugs

Camu Camu will be an alternative crop to the coca leaf. Peru is the world’s second                              largest

producer of the coca leaf, after being named number one until 1996. The                        cultivation of coca

in Peru was estimated at 40,000 hectares in 2009. Produced cocaine is shipped out from Pacific

ports to the international drug market, increasing amounts of base and finished cocaine.

However, produced cocaine which used to be ported into the international drug market is

moved to Brazil, Chile, Argentina, and Bolivia for use in the Southern Cone or transshipment to

Europe and Africa, increasing domestic drug consumption in 2011. If Camu Camu is

successfully used as an alternative crop to coca, it will lead to the reduction of illegal drugs. That

can have a great impact on a global scale.44



IV. Camu Camu market in other country

A. Trade agreement

The Peruvian government has banned taking trees, seeds, and fresh fruits of Camu Camu out of

Peru. Other countries import the fruit in dehydrated, extract, flour, or powder form.

Market overview in Japan

The fruit has recently become the large-scale cultivation and sale in the world.                          Especially,

Japan is the major buyer becauseof the market which puts emphasis on the                           fruit nutritional


 Council on foreign relations,”Deforestation in Peru’s Amazon.”http://www.cfr.org/south-america/deforestation-perus-
43

amazon/p20968, accessed February 2012.

44CIA-the world factbook,“ Transnational issues in Peru, ”https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-
factbook/geos/pe.html, accessed February 2012.




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value.

In Japan, there is significant demand for juice drinks and nectars. So, suppliers of Camu Camu

products in Japan mainly sell such kind of products. Currently they explore the creation of new

products such as jam, sweets, and cosmetics using the fruit's essence. In order to promote a

better sale in Japan, the suppliers include the fruit’s history and a map of its origin into each

commercial packages of Camu Camu. According to the market research, there are three

fundamental requirements that Japanese buyers require: The fruit must be a 100% organic

without the use of pesticides or chemical fertilizers. Vitamin C of the fruit must be at least 1800 to

2300 MG. per 100g pulp. The fruit must pass phytosanitary standards in Japan.45



V. Conclusion

Recently, Camu Camu is getting more popular in Japan than in the past. However, Camu Camu

is not widely used as other berries in the market. There might be two solutions to find an answer

to the problem. First, Camu Camu suppliers should cooperate with major suppliers of processed

fruit products such as Dole Food Company, because the company is skilled at promotion

strategy. Second, Camu Camu suppliers should create new distribution channels. Though they

only focus on retail stores to sell their products, there might be potential distribution channels

such as fitness centers. By strengthening marketing strategies, it would help expand Camu

Camu market even more and contribute to the economic growth of Peru as well.




 Article directory, “Supply and demand for camu camu”http://www.centrorisorse.org/supply-and-demand-for-camu-
45

camu.html, accessed February 2012.


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          The possible impact of speech recognition technology
                                  By Toshiharu Kamada and Hensu Jang

Introduction

      Quarrels through the Siri–

Man says“Tell my wife I’m gonna be 30 minutes late.”,

Woman says“Tell my husband I’m not surprised.”

Man says “Tell my wife if she has a problem with my work schedule she is more

than welcome to get a job of her own.”

Woman says “Tell my husband that I do just as much work as he does.”

Man says “Tell my wife that if watching “Ellen” is a job she should get

a promotion.”

Woman's Siri “Message from your husband: “I appreciate you.”46

The above dialogue is from the parody videos on the online humor site in the USA. The main

point of this dialogue is that Siri, a speech technology of iPhone 4S, tries to meditate a quarrel

between husband and wife. This is just a parody for humor, but it is good example of the future

of speech recognition technology.47What is speech recognition technology?

“Speech recognition converts spoken words to text. The term "speech recognition" is sometimes

used to refer to recognition systems that must be trained to a particular speaker—as is the case

for most desktop recognition software. Recognizing the speaker can simplify the task of

translating speech. Speech recognition is a broader solution that refers to technology that can

recognize speech without being targeted at single speaker—such as a call system that can

recognize arbitrary voices.”48

Thesis statement

      How can the speech recognition technology affect the world in the future?



46College Humor –Siri Argument, Nov 19, 2011, http://lybio.net/college-humor-siri-argument/comedy/ access Feb 2012
47College Humor –Siri Argument, Nov 19, 2011, http://lybio.net/college-humor-siri-argument/comedy/ access Feb 2012
48Wikipedia, “Speech Recognition”, Feb, 2011, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Speech_recognition, accessed Feb 2012




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How big will the impact of the speech recognition technology be?



Siri, thanks to artificial intelligence techniques such as speech recognition services can be

connected to commerce in the future. It could analyze your preferences and characteristics, and

propose the most appropriate products and order. The speech recognition services of the future

will search for flight schedules and show the tendency of your personal tastes like a personal

assistant. It will be connected to a speech-commerce service and a new ecosystem.49 How can

the speech recognition technology affect the world in the future? How big will the impact of the

speech recognition technology be? We tried to examine these questions.



I.    Definition of Speech Recognition Technology

      A. The Siri

Siri is a new application that will be included with the iPhone 4S. This application is a new way

to control your phone with your voice. Instead of just dictating a message to your phone, you

can ask your iPhone to do stuff for you.50



      B.   Other technologies

In the first half of this year, the speech recognition service 'Mazel' will be released. Mazel, similar

to the Siri, a little more advanced natural language processing capabilities. 'Tell Me' a speech

recognition service of Microsoft has competed against Siri from January 2012. Windows phones

voice recognition service ‘Ask Ziggy' presented its application this year51

II.   The situation of a gap between rich and poor

      A. The situation of poverty

There were 1.4 billion individuals living on less than $1.25 a day in 2005 and 1.2 billion


49JuHuiYoo, “Smart Tech for Human”, Seoul Newspaper, Jan 13,
2012,http://economy.hankooki.com/lpage/it/201201/e20120131170341117700.htm, accessed Feb 2012
50Josh Smith, “What is Siri?”, Oct 05, 2011, http://www.gottabemobile.com/2011/10/05/what-is-siri/, accessed Feb 2012

51Hui Kyung Kang, “Future of Sir”, HankookIlbo, Jan 03,

2012,http://news.hankooki.com/lpage/economy/201201/h20120126211408111720.htm, accessed Feb 2012


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individuals living on from $1.25 to $2 a day in 2006. So in total, there were 2.6 billion extremely

or moderate poor individuals in the world, which represented about 47% of all population in the

world. 52 Also, based on another standard, there were 4.6 billion individuals living in the

countries where GNI per capita was under $ 8.9, which represented about 69% of the world

population.53 That means there are plenty of suffering people on earth and there is a huge gap

between the rich and the poor, and there are 2 main causes: unaffordability and illiteracy.



       1. Inaccessibility(unaffordability)

It is obvious that people who cannot access the Internet cannot get much information, and such a

situation is called “Digital Divide.” In Japan, whether people can use broadband and the Internet

or not was strongly correlated with the income level of the user.54 Also, the word “Digital Divide”

means that whether people have a computer or not can expand the gap between rich and poor.

In short, one possible cause of inaccessibility can be not having money.



       2. Illiteracy

Illiteracy can also cause the economic gap to expand. The number of illiterate adult population in

the world was 8.85 million in 1995, in which the share of individuals living in developing

countries was 99%.55 Generally, people who cannot read and write have little chance to get jobs,

and if possible, they cannot get much money. In a sense, the illiterate people can be the lowest

level of the pyramid.



Ⅲ.Analysis of the possible solution



52The World Bank, “People Poverty rates at international poverty lines,” World Development Indicators 2011(April
2011):65.
53The World Bank, “People Population Dynamics,” World Development Indicators 2011(April 2011):38.

54Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications, Japan, “White paper Information and communication in Japan

Outlook Japanese ver.,”http:// www.soumu.go.jp/johotsusintokei/wh
itepaper/eng/WP2007/2007-index.html:40, accessed 13 February 2012.
55Ken Kikumoto, A Fundamental Study on the Establishment of the ScienceofInternational Cooperation in Education as

an Academic Discipline(March 1998):1.


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     A. Possible Solution for unaffordability

         1. Possible solution to unaffordability for personal computers

There were 1.8 billion people who could access the Internet at the end of 2009, which

represented about 26.6% of the world population.56 Intel Corporation has suggested that when

weeks of income to purchase a notebook computer falls between 4 weeks and 8 weeks, the

saturation level of the notebook can be accelerated.57The company has also estimated that the

penetration would accelerate in China, Latin America, and Eastern Europe soon, which means

that about 1.8 billion people who currently cannot use the Internet would be able to access the

internet in the near future.58 But 40 billion individuals would still not be able to access it because

of the unaffordable price.

The number of the sales of personal computers was 1 million, and the average price was about

$ 4,000 in the U.S.in 1980.59 But the number of the personal computers was 350 million in

2010,60and the retail price level of personal computers was about $700 in June 2011.61

In Japan, from 1996 to 2000, as the number of personal computers manufactured increased by

170%, and the price fell by about 30%.62 In the U.S., during the 1990s the number of personal

computers increased at double-digit rates, and at the same time PC prices decreased by 80%, to

$500 at a rate of the time.63How much the price at a certain time would be depends on where the

point would be on the gradual diminution curve, and it is difficult to predict the future price. But

if the price decreases, the price level would not be affordable enough for the bottom level of the



56Garbagenews.com.,”The saturation level of the Internet in the world,"http://www.garbagenews.net/archives/134032,
accessed 13 February 2012.
57Intel Cooperation, “Investor Meeting 2011,”http://intelstudios.edgesuite.net/im/2011/live.htm, accessed 13 February

2012.
58Ibid.,

59Sano seminar, “historical trend of PC,”http://www.sanosemi.com/wordpress/?p=122, accessed 13 February 2012.

60BCN Bizline, “The map of the personal computer industry,” http://biz.bcnranking.jp/map/pc/,

Accessed Feburuary 2012.
61My Navi News, “Silicon valley101,”http://news.mynavi.jp/column/svalley/328/index.html,

Accessed 13 February 2012.
62Link general research, “The trend of Information Communication device

industry,”http://search.yahoo.co.jp/search?p=%E3%83%91%E3%82%BD%E3%82%B3%E3%83%B3%E3%80%80%E7%9
4%9F%E7%94%A3%E5%8F%B0%E6%95%B0%E3%80%80%E4%BE%A1%E6%A0%BC%E3%80%80%E6%8E%A8%E7
%A7%BB&aq=-1&oq=&ei=UTF-8&fr=top_ga1_sa&x=wrt, accessed 13 February 2012.
63Peter E. Carlson, “personal Computer Industry Trends” NCEE (December 2006):1.




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pyramid.



          2. Possible solution to unaffordability for tablets and smartphones

Instead, in terms of accessibility to the internet, tablet types are better than personal computers

because of the lower price. The sales number of the mobile tablet types was 20 million in 2010,

and 66 million in 2011. Yano research institute also has predicted that the number would reach

300 million in 2017, about 5 times the number in 2011.64Moreover, smart phone types are much

better than the others, and the sales number was 300 million in 2010 and 480 million in 2011.

The institute has estimated that the number of smart phones would reach 1.5 billion in 2017,

about three times the figure in 2011, and low-end models under $150 would be getting attention

more and more.65

If we apply the case of the gradual diminution of the price of personal computers to the case of

tablet types and smart phones, we can predict the same phenomenon as the personal computer

case. Also, technologies, competitions, and other factors can decrease the price. As a result, for

example, if the price of smart phones decreases to the level of $112, it can fall under the range in

which individuals living on under $2 a day can afford smart phones with their 8 weeks of

income, which means penetration can accelerate explosively.



     B.    Possible solution to illiteracy

It would be possible in the near future that individuals living on less than $2 a day would be able

to buy some devices that enable them to access the internet. Also, the competition of speech

recognition technology would be harder. As a result of the competition, even suffering illiterate

people would be able to access the internet by buying devices with higher quality and lower

prices.




64Yano research Institute, “The summary of a new market survey on tablet,” http://www.yanoict.com/yzreport/181,
accessed 13 February 2012.
65Yano research Institute, “The summary of a new market survey on smart phone,”http://www.yano

ict.com/yzreport/180, accessed 13 February 2012


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Conclusion

We have seen how big the role the internet could play in the changes in politics in many Arabian

countries around 2012. Even in the Western countries, the internet is playing important roles in

creating new public opinions that can affect their politics and economy. But only about 30% of

the population in the world was able to affect our society at this time. In short, people who can

access the internet can have such power. What will happen if people who are forced to live

under severe conditions come to be able to access the Internet? What will happen if illiterate

people come to be able to access the Internet? Those miserable people can have the same

opportunities that richer people have. This can shorten the huge gap between rich and poor. Or,

the alternate might be able to change the situation drastically.




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             The Costs and Benefits of London Olympics 2012
                            By Jeong woo, Lee (John) and So kogahara

1   Introduction



    1.1    The Olympics will be held in London 2012.



Today, we have many major events. This year, the London Olympics is carefully watched around

the world. Plenty of people are looking forward to watch sports games.



    1.2    Londoners will get the benefits but also spend the costs before and after the Olympic

           period



Journalists and some media estimate the total expenses for the London Olympics is less than the

Beijing Olympics. However, many people believe that the London Olympics will bring

Londoners to get much profit before and after the Olympic period. The following passages show

estimations about the benefits and the costs of the London Olympics 2012.



2   Examples



    2.1    Advantages of hosting a major event



          2.1.1 Raise the profile of city and country



Hosting a major event is absolutely competitive for cities and countries. If cities and countries

were to become host places, it might contribute to their profiles. According to previous major

events, cities which host the Olympics can be assured of a persistent increase in recognition and

tourism. Barcelona, Sydney, Beijing have all seen this from hosting the Olympics. For a country



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like China with a controversial human rights record, hosting a major sporting event can be a way

to gain greater international acceptance. These events’raised profile can be important for giving

economic benefits, such as, attracting tourists and business investment. In the case of most recent

major event, the London Olympics 2012, London already has a very strong reputation66.



          2.1.2 Long Term Investment



Some major events require long term investments to facilities for the events. The city and

country will have a legacy of improved sporting venues. Also, cities will usually have to invest in

infrastructure and transport to ensure efficient and reliable transportation. For example, London

has already invested in public transport projects around London. This will leave a lasting legacy

for residents of London, especially East London1.



          2.1.3 Jobs and Investment



Planning to long term investment of the Olympics, the host city or country needs plenty

employees before and during the major events. Also, it is able to revitalize depressed cities, such

as the East London. It is estimated the London Olympics 2012, will create 8,000 full time jobs,

and also lead to a boost in economic output of close to £2bn1.



          2.1.4 Enthusiasm



A major sporting event brings in enthusiasm and excitement for the city orcountry. It will

contribute to the nation to get better health and lead to a rise in volunteerism which promotes

civic virtues1.



  TejvanPettinger, “Advantages of Hosting A Major Event”, Economicshelp, January 24
 66

   2012.http://www.economicshelp.org/blog/4909/economics/advantages-of-hosting-a-major-event/accessed on
   February 13, 2012.


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              2.1.5 Short Term economic benefits



Many people will gather together at London in the London Olympics period. This will provide

an increase in spending and injection of money into the local economy1.



        2.2    Economic impacts of 2012 London Olympics



              2.2.1 Benefit from ticket sales



The Olympics require much cost to prepare. For instance, the estimated cost of the London

Olympic 2012 would be between $15 to 18 billion. This number is the second most expensive

Olympics below the 2010 Beijing Olympics with the cost of $40 billion. However, The Telegraph

estimated that the London Olympics has already sold $470 million on the ticket sales. This ticket

revenue guarantees to grow the economy by 0.1%. It is also expected that overseas visitors will

spend$1.1 billion during the Olympic Games67.



              2.2.2 Expectation of London Olympics 2012



The whole of the UK’s economy will get some sort of benefits from the London Olympics

because British companies have contributed to the project mostly. The London Olympics acquire

30,000 employees for the project. Also, 98% of facilities have been built by British companies and

generated $9.5 billion value2.



        2.3    Costs and benefits of London Olympics


  Atsushi Sawa, “Economic Impacts of 2012 London Olympics”, World Sports Today,February 2 2012.
 67


      http://world-sports-today.blogspot.com/2012/02/economical-impact-of-2012-london.htmlaccessed on February 20,
2012.



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All the various costs and benefits of the London Olympics include both the monetary costs and

benefits and the non-monetary costs and benefits.68



             2.3.1 Costs of London Olympics



There are many monetary and non-monetary costs of the London Olympics. Therefore, many

people worry about the negative impacts of the costs.

The first negative effect of monetary costs is for the facilities.

England will spend plenty of money to build facilities, which may only be used to their full

potential for a short time during the Olympic Games.

Second, the investment is short term.

Many facilities can only be used for the 3 week duration of the Olympics. After that there is a

danger of ‘white elephant projects’ – facilities that cannot be effectively reused such as the

Millennium Dome.

Third, the opportunity cost.

Many reports showed that the cost of the Olympic village could cost up to £1billion. This

£1billion cannot be spent on alternative investment schemes like transport and education in

London.

Fourth, the credit crunch is coming. That means the private sector investment has dried up.

This increases the cost for the tax payers. Spending of government is already under strain

because of the bank bailouts and recession.

Last but not least, the London Olympic logo is truly awful.

They alreadyspent too much money to produce it.However, according to the Sun newspaper it

could trigger epilepsy3.


  TejvanPettinger, “Costs and Benefits London Olympics 2012”, Economicshelp, March 11, 2011.
 68


      http://www.economicshelp.org/blog/1390/economics/costs-and-benefits-london-olympics-2012/accessed   on
February 13, 2012.



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          2.3.2 Benefits of the London Olympics.



On the contrary, hosting the Olympics also hasmany positive effects.

The first positive effect ofhosting the Olympics is providingjobs and economic activities.

Whenthe time is in recession, the private construction sector is going down. The

government’sexpense can be seen as part of an expansionary fiscal policy.

Second, hosting the Olympics boosts the prestige of the country.It may be a ‘once in a lifetime’

opportunity to show a greatest festival to the world. Not all things can be reduced to simple

accounts. This is a good example of non-monetary benefits.

The third positive effect of hosting the Olympics is to boost tourism and travel to London,

during the Olympics period and after.

The fourth one is a lasting legacy of the Olympics. East London has a new rail line (Dockland

light railway extension) and improved public transport, such as improved international rail

station at Stratford. This will help to reduce congestion and to increase productivity.

Last, many venues will be used after the event;for example, Olympic stadium will remain not

only an athletic track, but also will be used by West Ham F.C. Other venues like the Velodrome

provide a much needed international standard track in the capital3.

    2.4    The false economy of the London 2012 Olympics

          2.4.1 Economic impact of the London Olympics

From the time when the London’s Olympic bid was accepted in 2005, every economistall over

the world has been debating how this short but big event will affect the UK’s economy.

Following theglobal recession of the year 2008, more still have been speculating on its impacts.

The general consensus shows that the British economy has been intensified by activity in and

around the Olympic Village. Price of houses in Stratford and the surrounding areas have been

increased significantly (in some cases they have increased by 10 per cent), and almost 40,000 jobs

have been created as a direct result of the Games. Stratford City has seen a major revampitself,




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with the construction of the new Westfield which is the largest shopping centre in Europe,

constantly drawing trade from tourists and locals alike. In fact this new supermall has proved so

popular, that it saw 160,000 customers on the first day alone4.

           2.4.2 The Olympicsis the hope for many people to bring England out of its current

                   slump.

Now that the event draws ever closer, and the Olympic hype reaches new heights, what effect

will the 2012 Games really have on the UK’s economy? One thing is for certain; in the midst of

the Eurozone crisis, many people are wondering, and hoping, that London 2012 will be enough

to bring England out of its current slump for good.

We feel that between July and September this year, Britain’s economy will indeed be boosted4.



           2.4.3 Olympics’boom is not a continual phenomenon



This short boom cannotbe a sustainable phenomenon. When the Olympics are                                    over,

unfortunately, the two months of economic growth that wediscussed above is unlikely to be

significant enough to lift England out of recession in the long term.

The London Organizing Committee for the Olympic Games and Paralympics Games (LOCOG)

has to make plans to convert the Olympic Village into 3,600 new apartments and homes for the

local community. The area which is underdeveloped now, this may well prove to be the

regeneration needed to attract workers and businesses to the region.

However, whether this will be enough to impact the rest of the UK’s economy is something that

remains to be seen4


 Daniel Fox, “The false economy of the London 2012 Olympics”, The independent, January 30. 2012.
 4


     http://blogs.independent.co.uk/2012/01/30/the-false-economy-of-the-london-2012-olympics/accessed on February
13, 2012.
 Michael Carty, “Economic prospects for 2012: Will an 'Olympic bounce' help the UK skirt a double-dip
 5


recession?”Xpert HR,
     January 9. 2012.
    http://www.xperthr.co.uk/blogs/employment-intelligence/2012/01/economic-prospects-for-2012-wi.htmlaccessed
on February 13, 2012.


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    2.5   Economic prospects for 2012 (Potential uplifts to 2012 GDP growth)



Before and after the Olympics period, London would get much economic growth in 2012. In the

first quarter of 2012, the Bank of England's October 2011 extension of quantitative easing aided

London’s economy. Martin Weale estimates that the current program of asset purchases boost

growth by up to 0.5%,in line with the Bank's official calculations.

In the second quarter of 2012, London might benefit from an Olympic bounce. Revenue from

advance Olympic ticket sales have been deferred. ING estimates that Olympic ticket sales are

worth £400 million in total, which could have created a 0.2% "Olympic bounce" had they been

incorporated into GDP data for Q2 2011.

In the third quarter of 2012, the Olympic will boost their GDP5.



3   Conclusion



    3.1   Londoners should think about the cost of the Olympics.



The Olympics may well make an economic loss in the short term. Some people will say it’s better

to spend the money on health care and education.



    3.2   Benefits of the Olympics will make big profit to Londoners.



However, there are also many benefits of hosting the Olympics. Furthermore, it is a once in a

lifetime opportunity to host the most important sporting event on the calendar.Let’s enjoy and

take pride in the London Olympics.




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                   Which one is more proper in Korea and Japan,

                             Big Mac Index or Starbucks Index?
                               By Seunghyun Kim (Aeron) and Toru Yamashita

There are many tools and measurements which can evaluate the appropriateness of currency

rates. The Big Mac Index and the starbucks index could be two of famous things however there

are some differences between them caused from change of social concept toward the products.

These differences are making the starbucks index much more proper one to adjust advanced

countries such as Korea and Japan.



The Big Mac Index was developed in September

1986 as a relatively simple way to calculate the

over- and under-valuation of currencies against

the dollar.69 The index is based on the theory of

purchasing-power parity (PPP). It means that a

dollar should buy the same amount in all

countries. Therefore the exchange rate between

two currencies should move towards the

equalized rate. For example, identical products

such as big Mac hamburgers should have

equivalent prices in every country.70

The Big Mac Index has maintained its position as

a popular measurement to support analysis of currency rate for several years. Especially in

Korea it showed dramatic accuracy during Korea’s economic crisis period from 1997 to 2000.

Before the crisis began, the real exchange rate was 850 KRW per 1 USD compared to 950 KRW


69 “Ten years of the Big Mac index” The Economist, April 9, 1998,
http://www.economist.com/node/397291?story_id=E1_PJSNJT&CFID=5300954&CFTO=, accessed February 2012.

70   “Big Mac Currencies” The Economist, April 9, 1998, http://www.economist.com/node/159859, accessed February 2012.


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per 1 USD according to the Big Mac index. This over-estimation

of Korean won was cleared right after the crisis was started.71

However, some economists have tried to develop another index

for several years. They have argued that the Big Mac index is

improper for some          reasons.     Most importantly, they have

insisted that the Big Mac does not have the same value in all

countries because although the Big Mac is considered a delicacy

in many countries but people in advanced countries start

regarding it as a junk food.72 This is especially true in Korea and

Japan. As a result, some economists tried to choose alternative

options such as the Starbucks’ Tall Latte Index. In fact, the

magazine that introduced the Big Mac Index, The Economist later

suggested the Starbucks Index as a better alternative.73

The tables below shows price trends and Index of Big Mac and Starbucks Tall Latte. the measure

is USD.

The Big Mac Index (2004, 2008, 2011)                                   Index (%)

(Year)                       2004       2008        2011               2004           2008            2011

USA                          2.90       3.50        4.07               0.0%           0.0%            0.0%

South Korea                  2.72       3.10        3.28               -6.2%          -11.4%          -19.4%

Japan                        2.33       3.60        4.02               -19.7%         2.9%            -1.2%

Phillippines                 2.02       2.08        2.19               -30.3%         -40.6%          -46.2%




71 “The Usage of Big Mac Index” The imail newspaper, July 28, 2008,
http://www.imaeil.com/sub_news/sub_news_view.php?news_id=34623&yy=2008, accessed February 2012.
72 “Fast food for thought “The Economist, Jul 30, 2011, http://www.economist.com/node/21524873, accessed February

2012.
73  “Burgers or beans?” The Economist, Jan 15, 2004, http://www.economist.com/node/2361072, accessed February 2012


                                                                                                                     36
Voices From Paju




The Starbucks Index (2004, 2008, 2011)                                 Index (%)

(Year)                       2004       2008        2011               2004            2008            2011

USA                          2.80       3.08        3.00               0.0%            0.0%            0.0%

South Korea                  2.97       3.01        3.64               6.1%            -2.3%           21.3%

Japan                        3.16       3.48        4.48               12.9%           12.9%           49.3%

Phillippines                 3.50       3.85        3.60               25.0%           25.0%           20.0%


                                                                       GAP Big Mac vs Starbucks

                                                                       2004            2008            2011

                                                                       0.0%            0.0%            0.0%

                                                                       12.3%           9.2%            40.7%

                                                                       32.5%           10.0%           50.6%

                                                                       55.3%           65.6%           66.2%



As above table shows, although the indexs of philippines had been stable, but the Big Mac

index indicated that the currency value of Korea has been underestimated from -6% in 2004 to -

19% in 2011. The index of Japan is similar condition. However the Starbucks index has shown

different situation especially the currency value of Japan is highly overestimated in 2011. It’s very

similar conclusion comparing to most of economists’ opinion that Japan’s currency was

overestimated in 2011.

Why the big mac index mismatched to the starbucks index and economists’ common consensus

about the currency value of Korea and Japan? One of possible reasons is that McDonald’s has

lots of sales promotions. For example, McDonald’s in Japan has tried to sell a set with a much

cheaper price than before, which will Japan’s rating in the Big Mac Index.74 On the other hand, it

is able to assume that the Starbucks Tall Latte’s pricing strategy has kept stability.75


74 “Fast food for thought “The Economist, Jul 30, 2011, http://www.economist.com/node/21524873, accessed February
2012.”
75 “The Usage of Big Mac Index” The imail newspaper, July 28, 2008,

http://www.imaeil.com/sub_news/sub_news_view.php?news_id=34623&yy=2008, accessed February 2012.


                                                                                                                    37
Voices From Paju




For analyzing this kind of gap , the most important factor which has led declining of the Big

Mac’s price is a change of social concept. Especially to fast food, people start regarding it as

unhealthy, junk food. They don’t want to spend their money to buy it anymore, so sellers are

forced to reduce the price of their product. This means their product drops in value when

compared with Big Macs in other countries. This change has especially happened in advanced

countries.76 For this reason, we can assume that the starbucks index is more proper than the big

mac index in Korea and Japan. In addition, the starbucks index also have strength in the point of

cultural reason, For example, Hindi people view beef as sacred animal. Instead of beef, Big Macs

in Hindi countries are made with chicken and heep’s meat. Therefore, it is difficult to precisely

compare Big Macs around the world because their materials are different in different countries.

On the other hand, the Starbucks Tall Latte Index is not affected by such cultural reasons or

changes in social concept. The material—and social concept— of the Tall Latte is standardized

around the world.



In conclusion, the Big Mac index is very well known. However, it’s concept is flawed because its

material isn’t standardized around the world. Additionally, the ways the Big Mac’s social concept

has changed in some countries is also very important to explaining the shortcomings of the Big

Mac Index. The Starbucks Tall Latte Index is more reliable because it is made out of standardized

material and has a standardized social concept in every country it’s sold..




76    “Business     and      human       capital-Mc     Donalds”    The   imail   newspaper,   July   28,
2008http://morrisseyhr.wordpress.com/2011/05/10/mcdonalds/
http://www.pugetsoundoff.org/blog/erino/15540, accessed Feb. 2012




                                                                                                            38
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       Why did "Occupy Wall Street" demonstrators show up?
                                      By Siyung Jo and Woojin Yang

“Occupy Wall Street” demonstrators appeared for the first time in September 17, 2011. They

justified that major banks and multinational companies are threatening democracy and have the

power related to corruption.77 They also point out that severe economic recession was caused by

Wall Street. So they desperately opposed the rich who made the unfair global economic order.

 Let’s go back to 2008 when the global economic crisis broke out by Lehman Brothers’

bankruptcy. The US government saved the financial institutions which were on the verge of

bankruptcy by using $900 billion paid by 99% of the US citizens. However, what happened in

Wall Street? Bankers had a bonus party instead of self-reflections. There was an attempt to

introduce a bill called “the Buffet Tax”. But the bill making the richest pay more taxes did not

pass through Congress. In 2011, another global economic crisis hit the world. At that time, 99%

of the US people started to lose their temper. On the behalf of 99%, “Occupy Wall Street”

demonstrators shouted “why are the innocent 99% of the US citizens taking responsibility for the

mistakes of the greedy 1% people?” It was not long before “Occupy Wall Street” spread out to

more than 100 cities in the US and 1,500 cities worldwide.

Ⅱ. Causes of increasing the gap between the rich and the poor and solutions for reducing the

gap



        1.    Causes of ‘the rich get richer, the poor get poorer’ phenomenon



Participants at “Occupy Wall Street” demonstrations insisted that ‘the rich get richer, the poor

get poorer’ phenomenon spread all over the world. Why did the trend happen?

             A. Deregulation spread over all industries



 First, Neo Liberalism which has dominated the world economy for the last 30 years


 OccupyWallSt.org, “About Us”, http://www.occupywallst.org/about/, Accessed February 10, 2012
77




                                                                                                   39
Voices From Paju




emphasized competition and effectiveness. As a result, both domestic and international division

of labor has become common. For example, Apple designs their products at R&D centers in the

U.S.A, purchases the electronic parts from companies in Korea, Taiwan and Japan, and

assembles them at factories in China. By help of the international division of labor, Apple has

earned historically high profits in the last several years. However, Apple’s subcontractors in

China still struggle to make ends meet. In a pyramidal structure of manufacturing, a top

company takes most of the profits but a myriad of companies in the bottom always has trouble

in survival. It is not difficult to witness similar cases happening in one country.

During the dominance of Neo Liberalism, the gap between the rich and the poor has been

getting bigger. In the world, 29.7million people have assets worth more than $1million.78 There

are 6,000million people in the world. Therefore, only 0.5% of the global population takes 38.5%

of the total gobal assets. In the U.S. while the top 1% households’ income soared by 275% from

1979 to 2007, the bottom 20%’s increased only by 18%.79 The former took 9% of the national

income in 1979 but the number recorded 24% in 2007.80

            B. Decrease of regular jobs



Second, enterprises seeking high profits to win decreased regular jobs. For example, the revenue

of the Hyundai Heavy Industries in 1999 was ₩6,330billion. It was increased to ₩ 45,700billion

in 2010. However, regular jobs of the company decreased by an 8% point in the past 11 years.

From an employees’ standpoint, there is a huge gap between the regular jobs and irregular jobs.

The average salary of the regular jobs in Hyundai Heavy Industries doubled in the past 11 years.

But, that of the irregular jobs is the same as the money that regular workers earned 11 years ago.

The situation of decreasing regular jobs has made many people think that their social status is


 Credit Suisse, “Global Wealth Report 2011”(Oct. 2011), p.4
78


 Congressional Budget Office, “Trends in the Distribution of Household Income Between 1979 and 2007”(Oct. 2011),
79


p12, http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/124xx/doc12485/10-25-HouseholdIncome.pdf, accessed Feb. 2012

 William Domhoff, “Who Rules America”,
80

http://www2.ucsc.edu/whorulesamerica/power/wealth.html, accessed Feb. 2012


                                                                                                                   40
Voices From Paju




deteriorating. According to a survey by Korea Statistics in 2011, 45.3% of households in Korea

answered that they are lower level of the socioeconomic status and only 1.9% said that they are

upper level of that. The middle level was 52.8%.81 If we compare the 2011’s result to the survey

conducted in 2009, the lower level increased by a 2.9% point. Otherwise, the upper and middle

level decreased by a 0.8% point and a 2.1% point, respectively.

 In addtion, the global economic crises in 2008 and 2011 hammered the world economy,

therefore, the poor got seriously poorer. Financial institutions, which earned much money from

the Neo Liberalism, suddenly faced the crisis of the Lehman Brothers. If one bank bankrupts, the

rest of banks which lent money from the bank fall into big trouble. This ‘domino phenomenon’

has affects on ordinary people. Because the banks struggled during crises, the poor could not

borrow money at lower interest rates. All the governments acted to save the endangered banks.

Naturally, the ordinary people became very angry at the situation, which the major beneficiaries

of the Neo Liberalism like banks tried to recover and maintained their status using tax ordinary

people paid.



         2.    Solutions for the problems



How can we solve ‘the rich get richer, the poor get poorer’ phenomenon? Are there any solutions

for this kind of historically complicated problem? Yes, we have to be positive, otherwise, there

will be a disaster in our future.

              A. Need for another way of economic system instead of Neo Liberalism



One possible solution is to find another way of an economic system instead of Neo Liberalism.

Professionals are still struggling to look for a new economic system. Paul Krugman, who is one

of the Nobel Prize winners for economics and a liberal originating from Capitalism itself,

insisted that governments should nationalize the financial institutions. It was surprising that

 Statistics Korea, “the social survey”,
81

http://kostat.go.kr/portal/korea/kor_nw/2/1/index.board?bmode=read&aSeq=252361 February 16, 2012


                                                                                                   41
Voices From Paju




such a kind of harsh criticism about the Neo Liberalism appeared in Wall Street. The new system

could be located in between Neo Liberalism and Keynesism. But, many people agree with the

argument that the new system needs to care for the social stability of ordinary people. If people

in lower and medium level of social status feel their lives are more stable, not only will they

think that the economic gap between the rich and the poor is disappearing, but they also can

spend more money on consumptions. Increase of household consumption can be good news to

the economy as a whole.

In addition to strengthening the social stability of people, introducing new regulations for

greedy entrepreneurs is discussed as a good care system for the failure of Neo Liberalism. As

“Occupy Wall Street” demonstrators argued, greedy executives of large financial institutions

were designated as main culprits of the 2008 global crisis. They made their employees ignore the

risks of their jobs like trading high risk financial derivatives. Not to experience similar cases, the

new economic system needs to equip strong instruments to suppress the greed of some

entrepreneurs.

            B. Making enterprises to reduce part time job



 What could be a solution to create stable jobs? There can be two ways for this issue.

First of all, setting up new guidelines for job security is important. “Job Sharing Movement” in

Korea is a good example. When working in “Job Sharing” company, two or three workers can

share the same position in a company, each doing a part of the work. Compensation is

apportioned between the workers, thus leading to a net reduction in per-employee income.82

Supporters of the movement argue that “Job Sharing” will not reduce the regular jobs. Generally,

most companies layoff the irregular workforces in downturn and rehire them during the

economic boom. By “Job Sharing”, the causes of reducing the regular jobs will disappear.

Secondly, promoting medium and small sized enterprises is reasonable method to create more

regular jobs. It is not easy to expand the regular jobs for global conglomerates, since they operate



 Wikipedia, “Job Sharing”, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Job_sharing February 20, 2012
82




                                                                                                         42
Voices From Paju




the R&D sectors in advanced countries and the production departments in underdeveloped

countries. Instead of the conglomerates, it is easier to increase the regular jobs for small and

medium sized companies. Additionally, raising the level of salaries of those companies will

decrease dissatisfaction of the poor class and enlarge the home market gradually. There will be

some positive efficacy if we invigorate small-scale enterprises and tiny ventures.

Ⅲ. Worldwide and nationwide efforts are necessary



‘The rich get richer, the poor get poorer’ phenomenon threatens the future of Capitalism. With

Neo Liberalism dominating the world for the last 30years, deregulation strengthened the

‘winner takes all’ situation and regular jobs have gradually disappeared. Now, worldwide and

nationwide efforts are necessary to solve the problem of increasing the gap between the income

of the rich and that of the poor. We should not only think of another way of the economic system

instead of Neo Liberalism, but also care for the social stability of the lower and medium social

classes. The possible solutions are introducing new regulations for greedy entrepreneurs,

making enterprises reduce part time jobs, setting up new guidelines for job security, and

promoting medium and small sized enterprises to create more regular jobs.




                                                                                                   43
Voices From Paju




          The Effect of Animation Outsourcing on Japan Economy
                                         By Takahiro Aoki and Lee Woochan



1. Introduction : Outsourcing may destroy the Japanese animation industry



Outsourcing has financial advantages. Animation productions can reduce their producing costs.

But in the long run, outsourcing may destroy the Japanese animation industry in the future.



Prior to the study of the effect of outsourcing on the

Japanese animation industry itself, it is necessary to

check out the basic structure & current situation of

Japanese animation outsourcing. It is well known

that the industry is struggling to overcome

problems with production cost cutbacks, while

Japanese animation has been in the spotlight

overseas.



Production has increasingly been outsourced in

recent years due to the matter of its cutbacks. While

planning, directing and other processes requiring

advanced expertise have remained in Japan, animating,

coloring and other simple operations are being shifted to

other countries.    83




83   Japanese Economy Division, “Japan Animation Industry Trends”, JETRO Japan Economic Monthly (June 2005) : 3.


                                                                                                                   44
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         [ Exhibit 1 ]   84




2. - (1) Current Statuses & Scale of the Industry



Industry experts estimate that major Asian countries such as Philippines, Taiwan, South Korea and

China are the preferred outsourcing destinations for 2D Animation, Canada and UK are the leaders in 3D

Animation.85




      l Global Demand



The continued demand in the global animation market has allowed the Asia-Pacific region to

further emerge as a premier destination for animation outsourcing.



 [ Exhibit 2 ]    86




84   Ibid. : 3.
85   TATA Strategic management group, “Animation and Gaming Industry in India” (Feb 2010)
86   Tholons Inc., “The Philippine Animation Industry Landscape” (May 2008) : 3.


                                                                                                         45
Voices From Paju




     l Japan



The Japanese animation industry's main business is selling the video program rights,

merchandising rights, film distribution rights, broadcasting rights and video distribution rights

to foreign countries. Because DVD sales of Japanese animation in the United States have

declined, the branch offices of video program manufacturers in Japan have been forced to

withdraw. In the industry in 2006, right license revenue was 20 billion yen in size in 2010, has fallen to

about 13 billion yen, overseas market size is estimated to 195 billion yen in 2010.87



[ Exhibit 7 ]


                Japan's domestic animation sales(2010)
                                                                        Video Software Sales
                                 246
                              149                                       TV animation advertisement sales
                                             1,013
                                                                        VOD
                              780
                                                                        Animation Movie Sales(Top 20)




87   http://humanmedia.co.jp/database/PDF/5-1.pdf, accessed Feb 2012.


                                                                                                             46
Voices From Paju




A famous animation director, Yoshiyuki Tomino, thinks the current situation of Japanese

animation industry is not good. Because more and more individual products are appearing one after

another and there is a trend that is making light of “studio work.”88



      l India



The Animation Entertainment segment in India is estimated at USD 122 Million (2009) and is expected

to show a CAGR (Compound Average Growth Rate) of 20% (2009-2013) to reach USD 253 million by

2013. 74% of the animation entertainment work in India is outsourcing work for overseas clients. It is

only 26% of the overall animation entertainment in India, which is for domestic clients.          89




[ Exhibit 3 ]    90                                        [ Exhibit 4 ]   91




(Unit : USD Mil.)                                             (100% = USD 122 Mil.)



2. - (2) Expected Effects of Outsourcing

      l Positive Effects




88   http://bizmakoto.jp/makoto/articles/0907/08/news035_3.html, accessed Feb 2012.
89   TATA Strategic management group, “Animation and Gaming Industry in India” (Feb 2010) : 13.
90   Ibid. : 13.
91   Ibid. : 13.


                                                                                                         47
Voices From Paju




Basically, the prime-contractors can expect the positive effects of cost-cutback on their producion

through their outsourcings. At the same time, the subcontractors may anticipate the creation of

new jobs and development of their skills and techniques.



The positive effects of animation outsourcing seem more favorable to the prime-contractors such

as Japan and USA in short term. As a prime-contractor, there is no doubt outsourcing must be

the most attractive method for the cost-cutback, because its main expenses come from labor cost.

Therefore, outsourcing is an essential factor to accelerate the base of the animation industry.



In addition, it is well known that the animaiton industry is strongly inclined to expand its areas

related to other parts of industries such as characters, movies, and distribution. Moreover, it is

also a good way for countries to spread out their own cultures elsewhere. Therefore, it is

abolutely true that animation outsourcing has been playing a positive role for both companies

and countries.

   l Negative effects



Outsourcing, the creative work to foreign countries, has negative effects.



First, the fear of hollowing out of the animation industry is a serious matter. Japanese animation

studios are outsourcing relatively simple labor works, but to become skilled and creative

animators, beginners should experience those simple labor works. If the number of skilled

animators continue to decrease, it will lead to land subsidence of the Japanese animation

industry.

Moreover, there are problems beyond that, namely the fact that animation production, which should

be a team effort by the production staff, has become divided into a relationship between the

planning/development/design stage (production including planning, script, and storyboards), and




                                                                                                      48
Voices From Paju




production that takes place in a factory (animation onward).92 This is more remarkable in overseas

outsourcing than domestic production.

Second, quality is a problem. Japanese animation industry has a long history over 50 years. But

those outsourcing countries such as India and the Phillipines, China, South Korea do not have

enough history. Because of this background, animators in outsourcing countries tend to have

inferior technics. Therefore, outsourced animation films have a quality problem in some cases.

     Case review of negative effect of outsourcing

     There are some cases that some of the Japanese animation films are produced in Japan in spite

of expensive production cost. The main purpose to produce in domestic way is to keep product’s

quality. In this sense, some production companies realize potential risks of outsourcing.

Therefore, those companies maintain intergrated production system and do not choose

outsourcing.

[Case 1] Studio Ghibli

Studio Ghibli is one of the most famous animation production companies in Japan. It has many

hit titles such as “Princess Mononoke” and “Spirited Away.” Studio Ghibli has a unique

employment system. Unlike other animation production companies, Studio Ghibli hires full-

time employees. Studio Ghibli is trying to improve the quality of its products and keep excellent

staffs, educate human resources by improving the treatment of employees.

Moreover, Studio Ghibli has an integrated production system93 which enables all the production

process from planning to shooting inside Studio Ghibli.

[Case 2] Kyoto Animation

Kyoto Animation is also a famous animation production company in Japan. Since the late 2000s,

it has many enthusiastic fans. Kyoto Animation has a similar production system. Thanks to the

production system, staffs have maintained close communication.94

2. Conclusion

92 http://www.japanator.com/the-japanese-animation-industry-is-going-straight-to-hell--6130.phtml, accessed Feb 2012.
93 http://www.smrj.go.jp/keiei/dbps_data/_material_/common/chushou/b_keiei/keieichosa/pdf/h18con_2.pdf, accessed
Feb 2012.
94 http://www.kyotoanimation.co.jp/company/outline/, accessed Feb 2012.




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Voices from Paju

  • 1. 2012 Voices From Paju Research and Reflections on the Global Economy
  • 2. Voices From Paju Table of Contents About the Authors ...................................................................................................................................... 3 How the Recent Paradigm Shift in Electricity Affects the Global Economy by Kenzo Sakamoto and Jongkwon Ham ................................................................................................ 4 Effects of Fair Trade Coffee on the Global Economy By Katsuya Ishigaki and Hojaee Lee........................................................................................................ 9 The Effect of Chinese Taste Change By Toshiharu Kamada and Jongmin Kim .............................................................................................. 13 Camu Camu Fruit By Hiroyuki Kaji and Hisami Natsume................................................................................................. 17 The Possible Impact of Speech Recognition Technology By Toshiharu Kamada and Hensu Jang ................................................................................................. 22 The Costs and Benefits of London Olympics 2012 By Jeongwoo Lee and So Kogahara ........................................................................................................ 28 Which One is More Proper in Korea and Japan, Big Mac Index or Starbucks Index by Seunghyun Kim and Toru Yamashita ................................................................................................ 35 Why did “Occupy Wall Street” Demonstrators Show Up? By Siyung Jo and Woojin Yang ................................................................................................................ 39 The Effect of Animation Outsourcing on Japan’s Economy By Takahiro Aoki and Lee Woo Chan .................................................................................................... 44 Aging Population: Impact on the World Economy By Jung Jaeyoon and Shoichiro Kitano.................................................................................................. 51 Chinese Luxury Shopping By Jaewoo Kwon and Emi Yamazaki..................................................................................................... 59 How the Chinese Economy Recovered Quickly After the Financial Crisis By Yoshiyuki Suimon and Richie Hsieh ................................................................................................. 66 The Effect of China’s Foreign Exchange Reserves on the World Economy By Sachiyo Urashima and Sangjae Lee.................................................................................................. 71 Free Trade Agreements By Youngguo Seo and Ryuhei Oh ............................................................................................................ 75 The Reason why Korean Women Undergo Plastic Surgery By Yosuke Suzuki, Youngwan Kim, and Sungmin Kim........................................................................ 82 2
  • 3. Voices From Paju About the Authors On a cold winter morning in early February 2012, business professionals from Korea, Japan, and Taiwan descended on Gyeonggi English Village in Paju, South Korea. The 31 writers featured in this collection come from a variety of industries—electronics to automotive, ship-building to financial—but are all among the leaders in their fields. They were accepted to the University of Michigan’s Ross Business School Global MBA program, and have committed a year and a half to their studies. Their three weeks at English Village was the first step in this journey, a last chance to fine-tune their English skills—writing, reading, speaking, and listening—before beginning an intensive business-focused curriculum. The essays in this book represent the culmination of their writing classes. Most of the writers—though highly intelligent and good English speakers–came in with limited experience in writing English, especially academic papers. The quality of the essays they were able to produce is a testament to their talent and hard work. On a personal note and speaking as one of their teachers, they were the most energetic, focused, and intellectually curious group I’ve seen pass through English Village. They will be missed. -Alex Diamond, Paju, February 27, 2012 3
  • 4. Voices From Paju How the recent paradigm shift in electricity affects the global economy by Kenzo Sakamoto and Jongkwon Ham Introduction A Massive 9 magnitude degree earthquake struck off Japan’s northeastern area on March 11, 2011. Because of this big earthquake, Fukushima nuclear power plant was severely damaged. After the tragedy accident, the Japanese government implemented a variety of electricity saving plans. On September 15, 2011, a freak blackout plunged Korea into darkness. The sudden power outage affected offices, baseball stadiums, and shopping malls. Korea faces a constant threat of major power outages in the next four to five years1. I. Saving electricity A. Black out in Korea 1. Detail explain of Black out accident The blackout paralyzed the entire country of Korea. The sudden power outage began around 3 p.m. and the national emergency management agency reported 944 phone calls from people who were trapped in elevators. Traffic lights went out and mobile phone services were halted after power was cut from base stations in Korea2. It happened because of the sudden demand expansion. The Ministry of Knowledge Economy in Korea put the blame of the massive blackout on a false report by KEPCO (Korea Electric Power Corporation) about the country’s electricity reserve level. 2. Japan Government’s policy Tokyo electric power lost a third of its generating capacity when the earthquake struck and power stations automatically shut down. Japan’s chief cabinet secretary said the government 1 KBS special documentary film “2011 The warning of winter blackout” broadcasted by KBS on Dec. 11.2011. 2 http://english.chosun.com / “Freak Blackout plunge Korea into darkness” Sep. 16. 2011. 4
  • 5. Voices From Paju would look at the option of a power cut by rotation. The lights in office buildings and hospitals turned off and commuter subway trains stopped. However, the Japanese public overcame the unprecedented disaster with amazing orderliness. The source of orderliness appears to be a deep-rooted trust in the Japanese government. Japanese people still have confidence in what the government tells them. B. The Cause of Power Shortage 1. Seasonal demand expanding From 1990 to 2000 because of air conditioner supply, there was an increase in summer electricity demands. However, recently more demand increase is due to heating system translated from gas to electricity. In addition, the average low temperatures during winter time are another reason3. 2. Commercial demand Due to the industry structure changes, the service industry has an important role in the recent global economy, and commercial demand of electricity is highly expanded. The weight of service industry among the industrial products in Japan is almost over 38%4. Commercial demand’s range of fluctuation is so wide that a stable supply plan is hard to establish. 3. Continuous occurrence of new power demand The increasing demand for a convenient and comfortable life increases the use of many home networks and well being home appliances, which also need a lot of electricity. It will continue to expand in the future. For example, the home appliance market in Korea grew an annual average 58.2% from 2006 to 20105. From now on society will transition an information- oriented and environment-friendly society, and new power demand will increase. 4. Insufficiency of power plant supply plan The power plant is lacking because government established a long-term power supply plan 3SERI (Samsung Economic Research Institute) CEO Information_2012.1.18: No.838 “The Cause and countermeasures of power shortage in winter time” page 5 4SERI (Samsung Economic Research Institute) CEO Information_2012.1.18: No.838 “The Cause and countermeasures of power shortage in winter time” page 6 5 Op. cit. page 7 5
  • 6. Voices From Paju on the base of demand forecasting, but the real supply demand exceeded the prediction. Expected demand growth in recent 3 years was about 2%, but actual demand was 5.2%6. 5. Delay of planned power plant The disruption occurred to the planned plant because of complaints, environmental policy, transmission line connection, etc. Until 2009, the fulfillment of the power plant establish plan is just only 80%7. C. Countermeasures 1. Reinforcement of seasonal demand management The government should manage the growing demand for air conditioning and heating, so they can secure the stable power reserve level especially for the peak time of summer and winter. 2. Systemize the response of crisis The government should improve the power load management system in case of climate change or power plant breakdown. 3. Expansion of basis power plant The underlying lack of power capacity serves as a cause of power shortages and rising electricity rates, so the expansion of basis power plants needs to avoid such a disruption of the plan. 4. Modernization of power plant infra through technical innovation There is a need to build a smart grid which is a fusion of IT technology and power networks. We should take advantage of technology innovation and power grid expansion as an opportunity for economic revitalization. II. Electric Vehicles A. Recent trends of Electric Vehicles The Electric Vehicles (EVs) are automobiles which are propelled by electric motors, using 6Op. cit. page 8 Op.cit. page 9 7 6
  • 7. Voices From Paju electrical energy stored in batteries or another energy storage device. Recently, to overcome the high oil prices and the emission of the greenhouse gasses, the research and the production of the EVs are gradually increasing. EVs, including hybrid cars, could represent as much as 15% of the new car market by 2020.8 In this report, the analysis of the impact of the EVs on global economy is described in terms of household impact, smart grid, and reduction of emission. B. Impacts on the Households The spread of the EVs would have huge impact on the car operating costs in households. Given the average household uses a car for 50miles, the increase of the electricity cost would be $40, and the decrease of the gasoline cost would be $180. Totally, the introduction of EVs would be cost-effective to most of households even if the battery maintenance costs were included.9 C. Impact on the Electric Grids 1. About Electric Grids Current electric grids were established in the 19th century. These days, the smart grid, the concept of next generation electric grids which improve the efficiency and reliability of the electric grid by digital and autonomiccontrol, is becoming prevalent.The smart grid is receiving plenty of attention as the key technology to realize the expansion of the EVs as well as the renewable energy.10 2. How it affects Electric Industry and Economy For the prevalence of the smart grid, the comprehensive introduction of devices, such as a 8“Recharging electric cars: Bidding for volts,” The Economist online, September 6, 2011,http://www.economist.com/node/21528507, accessed February 16, 2012 9Ulrich Decher, “Economic and Emissions Impacts of Electric Vehicles,” The Energy Collective, February 15, 2011, http://theenergycollective.com/ansorg/51761/economic-and-emissions-impacts-electric-vehicles, accessed February 16, 2012 10 Center for Entrepreneurship & Technology (CET) University of California, Berkeley, “Impact of Widespread Electric Vehicle Adoption on the Electrical UtilityBusiness – Threats and Opportunities,” August 31, 2009, http://cet.berkeley.edu/dl/Utilities_Final_8-31-09.pdf, accessed February 16, 2012 7
  • 8. Voices From Paju smart meter, is necessary. In this process, not only manufacturers of power system equipment, but also other related industries, including car makers or manufacturers of digital communication equipment, are expected to find new markets, and this trend would have a huge impact on global economy. D. The Impact of the Reduction of Emission 1. How the EVs reduce the Emission The amount of emission gases would not basically change by the introduction of EVs according to the law of the conservation of energy, but the emissions caused by the combustion of the oil would transfer from car engines to power plants, which reduce the effects of the emissions to urban area. 3. The Economic Effect of the Reduction of Emissions To reduce the emissions, the power system should be changed dramatically:one is smart grid to enable all households to charge EVs at night, and the other is the shift of energy resources from fossil fuels to nuclear power or renewable energy sources, such as solar, tide, and wind powers. As the expansion of the nuclear power plants is becoming impractical after the 2011.3.11 earthquake in Japan and following nuclear accidents, mainly the shift to renewable energy would be promoted. The renewable energies are expected to be cheaper resources for the future and boost the creation of new jobs, stimulating the global economy. III. Conclusion In conclusion, the trend of saving electricity and introduction of EVs is becoming dominant, and would be more accelerated in the future. The shift of the energy resources from fossil fuels to renewable energy would be also promoted, and these trends generally have some positive impacts to boost the global economy. 8
  • 9. Voices From Paju Effects of Fair Trade Coffee on Global Economy By Katsuya Ishigaki and Hojae Lee I. I. The history of coffee After medieval times, coffee spread through the world. The earliest credible evidence of either coffee drinking or knowledge of the coffee tree appears in the middle of the fifteenth century, in the Sufi monasteries of the Yemen in southern Arabia. From Mocha, coffee spread to Egypt and North Africa, and by the 16th century, it had reached the rest of the Middle East, Persia and Turkey. From the Muslim world, coffee drinking spread to Italy, then to the rest of Europe, and coffee plants were transported by the Dutch to the East Indies and to the Americas. 11 Coffee was popular by the 18th century in Europe and European colonists introduced the crop to other tropical countries to help them supply a healthy domestic demand.12 Coffee is the world's second most valuable traded commodity, behind only petroleum. There are approximately 20 million farmers and coffee workers in over 50 countries involved in producing coffee around the world. An estimated 11 million hectares of the world's farmland are dedicated to coffee cultivation. Around the globe, the annual consumption of coffee has expanded to 12 billion pounds.13 Coffee was traditionally developed as a colonial cash crop, planted by serfs or wage laborers in tropical climates on large plantations of landowners for sale in colonial countries. Coffee producers, like most agricultural workers around the world, are kept in a cycle of poverty and debt by the current global economy designed to exploit cheap labor and keep consumer prices low. Because of this situation, many coffee workers bring their children to help them in the fields in order to pick the daily quota. These child workers are not officially employed and therefore not subject to labor protections.14 11 Wikipedia, “History of coffee,” http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_coffee, accessed 17 Feb 2012 12 facebook, “Brief Coffee History,” http://www.facebook.com/note.php?note_id=400497537218, accessed 17 Feb 2012 13 The Catholic Action Network for Social Justice, “Coffee in the Global Economy,” http://catholicactionnetwork.org/dec05/documents/FAQsfromglobalexchange.pdf, accessed 11 Feb 2012 14 Ibid 9
  • 10. Voices From Paju II. The characteristics of coffee industry Coffee beans are grown within an area known as the ‘bean belt,’ which is roughly bound by the tropic of cancer to the north, and tropic of Capricorn to the south. The best growing areas offer moderate sunlight and rain, steady temperatures of around 70 degrees Fahrenheit, and rich soil.15 Top 10 green coffee producing countries in 2009 are Brazil, Vietnam, Colombia, Indonesia, India, Ethiopia, Peru, Mexico, Guatemala, and Honduras in order of production.16 The cultivation of coffee is a much more labor-intensive than alternative products of the same regions such as sugarcane or cattle. Coffee beans must be picked, processed, dried and roasted on a coffee plantation, so it is not subject to automation and requires constant attention.17 The prices of coffee beans are mainly determined by Coffee C Futures contract market of ICE18 and NYSE Euronext.liffe.19 The factors which can affect the prices of coffee are the weather of producing countries20, supply and demand of coffee21, and speculation22. III. What is Fair Trade Coffee Fair trade was introduced to help the farmers to have a better life and support their family. The Fair Trade movement began in the late 1950s as alternative trade organizations (ATOs) emerged in Europe and the US to promote grassroots development through direct, equitable trade. These ATOs bought directly from Third World producers, eliminating the middlemen, and paid the producers a fair price while providing assistance in developing 15 Coffee Producing Regions, “Coffee Producing Regions,” http://www.professorshouse.com/Food- Beverage/Beverages/Hot-Drinks/Articles/Coffee-Producing-Regions/, accessed 21 Feb 2012 16 FAOSTAT, “2010 Data,” http://faostat.fao.org/site/567/default.aspx#ancor, accessed 21 Feb 2012 17 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economics_of_coffee, accessed 21 Feb 2012 18 Coffee C Futures contract market of ICE(InterContinentalExchange): https://www.theice.com/productguide/ProductDetails.shtml?specId=14 19 https://globalderivatives.nyx.com/contract/content/29040/contract-specification 20 ezinearticles.com, “Brazil Weather Will Determine Coffee Prices, They Could Soar This Winter,” http://ezinearticles.com/?Brazil-Weather-Will-Determine-Coffee-Prices,-They-Could-Soar-This-Winter&id=6315290, accessed 21 Feb 2012 21 Kona Coffee Roasting, “Coffee Prices Rise in 2011 Due to Increased Demand, Reduced Coffee Supply,” http://www.konacoffeeroasting.com/coffee-prices-rise-in-2011-due-to-increased-demand-reduced-coffee-supply/, accessed 21 Feb 2012 22 The real news, “Speculation Drives Up Coffee Prices,” http://therealnews.com/t2/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=31&Itemid=74&jumival=7176, accessed 21 Feb 2012 10
  • 11. Voices From Paju trading experience and market contacts. Such experiences helped producers raise their incomes while reducing their dependency on commercial middlemen.23 IV. Issues of Fair Trade Coffee There are some issues for the fair trade coffee: very strict rules to be Fair Trade Coffee and not enough benefits from Fair Trade Coffee. Producers need thousands of Euros to get the certificate of Fair Trade Coffee for a single plant.24 There is an application fee, initial certificate fee, membership dues, annual audit fees and more. Large corporate farms can often handle the paperwork and recuperate the cost of certification more easily than small, independent farms. As a result, there are plenty of small, independent farms that are not Fair trade certified even though they meet or exceed the Fair trade standards.25 There is an issue that Fair Trade cannot help producers to be escape from poverty. The ICA(International Commodity Agreement) raised prices for the consumer, but after several decades of intervention, poverty remained a fact of life in coffee producing countries. Indeed, studies of the ICA have shown that it had no effect on poverty reduction.26 It may become the most of the profit goes to the middlemen. V. Prospect of fair trade coffee To help producers of fair trade coffee, the volume of fair trade coffee should be increased. Nowadays, the volume of fair trade coffee is quite low compared with the volume of other coffee. We should promote fair trade coffee and check the volume of fair trade coffee. There are few shops or cafes which produce fair trade coffee, while a lot of people want to buy. For increasing sales volume of fair trade coffee, more diversification of sales is necessary. For example, cans of coffee or packs of coffee are effective options. Before selling them, sellers may make an advertisement which introduces fair trade coffee to common people and influence 23 Ibid 24 FLO-CERT, “PRODUCER CERTIFICATION FEES,” http://www.flo-cert.net/flo-cert/65.html, accessed 21 Feb 2012 25 Wikipedia, “Economics of Coffee,” http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economics_of_coffee, accessed 21 Feb 2012 26 Mercatus Center, “Does Fair Trade Coffee Help the Poor? Evidence from Costa Rica and Guatemala,” http://mercatus.org/publication/does-fair-trade-coffee-help-poor-evidence-costa-rica-and-guatemala, accessed 21 Feb 2012 11
  • 12. Voices From Paju people buy more fair trade coffee. To promote volume of fair trade coffee, tax exemptions are also effective. Tax exemptions will encourage sellers to sell more fair trade coffee and producers to produce more. It is necessary for related countries to negotiate each other for protecting the coffee producers. VI. Conclusion Historically, coffee producers suffer from their own poor wages. Fair trade coffee is initiated to protect such poor producers, but it does not work well and there are a lot of poor producers who still suffer. It is better to promote the volume of fair trade coffee 12
  • 13. Voices From Paju The Effect of Chinese Taste Change By Toshiharu Kamada and Jongmin Kim Ⅰ. Introduction “13.5 hundred million”, “960 thousand”, “300 thousand dollars”27 These numbers indicate China’s population, the number of Chinese billionaires, and the amount of money the Chinese billionaires spend annually overseas, respectively. In the past, many people believed that Chinese are very economical consumers and do not like to spend their money. However, this idea is far from the truth nowadays. Chinese are spending considerable amounts of money on shopping, eating, and traveling every year. People can easily encounter many Chinese who travel in many sightseeing cities and look around luxury brand shops. This large group of Chinese is starting to create changes not only in the middle priced market but also in the luxury market all around the world. The movement to adapt to the change is getting faster. Ⅱ. Effects on Travel Business A. Luxury goods for Chinese Travelers. The change of markets is observed in travel business. First and foremost, Chinese taste’s change has strongly influenced overseas travel business. For example, according to The INDEPENDENT, 22.7 million Chinese tourists, out of a total of 36 million over 12 monthsin 2010, have travelled to Hong Kong,compared tothe 7.5 million Chinese tourists had done so in 2003.28The main purpose of their travel was still shopping. However, what they wanted to buy and actually bought had changed from cheap goods to luxury goods.Actually, Chinese travelers to Hong Kong spent more than those who came from other countries. They spent approximately HK$12,000 (1,100 Euros) on average every time they came to Hong Kong.29 B. Luxury Service for Chinese Travelers. 27Myungshin Kim, “Trend Report”, KOTRA(Korea Trade-investment Promotion Agency), November 17th, 2011 28“Chinese taste for luxury changes the face of Hong Kong shopping,” The INDEPENDENT, March 29, 2011, http://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/fashion/chinese-taste-for-luxury-changes-the-face-of-hong-kong-shopping- 2255987.html, accessed February 2011. 29 Ibid. 13
  • 14. Voices From Paju In addition, many of the companies which sell luxury goods throughout the world are developing new products and services adequate for Chinese tourists. According to The WHERE, one of the Canadian travel magazines, the affluent Chinese travelers sought for high-quality Asian-style services besides European goods.30 Actually, Hilton started special hospitality services for Chinese travelers. Specifically, it provided them with Chinese breakfast and front desk attendants who was able to speak the Chinese language31. Moreover, we can also observe the tendency described above, not in the overseas travel market, but in the domestic market, that is, in the Chinese market. The changing taste of Chinese consumers begins to focus on service qualityother than pricing. Specifically, many Chinese people tend to seek for information such as user reviews, shipping options, or product guarantees, other than price.According to The Wall Street Journal, we can also observe this trend in e-commerce companies. “In China e-commerce is all about discount shopping, said Hurst Lin, general partner at venture capital firm DCM and former COO of Chinese web portal and microblog operator Sina, but that won’t last. Mr. Lin believes that in several years, Chinese consumers will have more discerning taste and that online retailers with the best design and branding will challenge the dominance of Alibaba Group’s Taobao websites.”32Alibaba Group’s Taobao websites are the current biggestonline shopping in China. However, the top position will not always continue in the future. Actually, the sales of Alibaba Group’s Taobao websites have recently decreased. From now on, e-commerce companies will need to differentiate themselves from competitors by providing customers not with cheaper prices, but with added values such as better services or better design. As the example illustrates, Chinese taste change has strongly influenced overseas travel business. Ⅲ. Effects on Wine Market A. French Wine Market 30“Travel Trends: Why Chinese Tastes Matter,” Where, September 23, 2011, http://www.where.ca/blog/check-in/travel- trends-why-chinese-tastes-matter/, accessed February 2012. 31Ibid 32 Loretta Chao, “DCM Partner: Taobao Discount Model Not the Future of Chinese E-Commerce,” The Wall Street Journal, November 2, 2011, http://blogs.wsj.com/chinarealtime/2011/11/02/dcm-partner-taobao-discount-model-not- the-future-of-chinese-e-commerce/?mod=WSJBlog, accessed February 2012. 14
  • 15. Voices From Paju In addition, Chinese taste change and its effects on the market are observed in other spheres. One of the spheres is the wine market. Recently, it is perceived that there is a big change in the global high-end wine market. The change coming from wealthy Chinese wine collectors is making Bordeaux wine cry and Burgandy wine smile. Until recently, French wineries have led the high-end wine market. Many people who enjoy drinking wine have unconsciously memorized many kinds of the names of French wines and usually ordered them in restaurants. However, wealthy Chinese people who enjoy drinking wine have begun to pick up Burgandy. Even though 60% of Bordeaux’s total exports are still consumed in mainland China and Hong Kong, no one can guarantee that Bordeaux’s wine will be able to maintain its popularity. Therefore, in the near future, it is expected that this trend will cause the price of Burgandy to surge. According to Janicy Robinson, the British wine expert and critic, the effect that greater Chinese interest in Burgandy could have on the broader global market would be "dangerous" for Burgandy lovers. Because the quantities of top Burgandy produced are limited, this phenomenon could upset the market. 33 B. Australian Wine Market In addition, a similar phenomenon is observed in the Australian wine market. According to Campbell Thompson, an Australian and co-owner of the wine importing and distributioncompany, The Wine Republic, French wines have led the gift-giving and corporate dining market until recently34. However, the demand for Australian wine is increasing dramatically. Australia’s top wine brands, like Jacob’s Creek, have begun to have more interest in the Chinese market. They expect that their major target will be businessmen, officials, and young white-collar workers, who are increasing rapidly in main cities in China.35 Therefore, many Australian wine sellers anticipate that the sales of the wine will surge and then the price of Australian wine will reflect the change. 33Jancis Robinson, “Growing Chinese Taste For Burgundy Could Prove “Dangerous”, Jing Daily, November 22nd, 2011, http://www.jingdaily.com/en/luxury/jancis-robinson-growing-chinese-taste-for-burgundy-could-prove-dangerous/ 34 “Demand for Australian wine soars as Chinese taste change”, China Daily, December 13th, 2011, http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/bizchina/2011-12/12/content_14250015.htm 35 Ibid 15
  • 16. Voices From Paju Ⅳ. Conclusion In conclusion, many companies have tomake more efforts to establish the strategy to reflect Chinese taste change. As the example above illustrates, Chinese people penchants for spending money are largely changing from essential to luxury, such as overseas travel, wine, or designer goods. Many of the economists and the economic magazines predict that theChinese economy continues to grow for the moment. According to the Wall Street Journal, “A recent Bain study forecast that the Chinese market would grow 11 per cent per annum for five years, butLindit&Sprungli said it believed the market was growing by 30 per cent a year based on research conducted for it by Nielsen.”36If companies aspire to affect the Chinese, to obtain Chinese money, and to make profits, they shall revise their strategy to reflect new Chinese taste. Companies will have to focuson service qualityand provide other information,such as product guarantees, user reviews, or shipping options, and not only focus on pricing. To summarize our interpretation of the results, we can explain that many businesspersonsneed to endeavor to revisetheirplans of actionto reflect Chinese taste change.Last, please excuse me ifI overemphasized my opinion more subjectively than was necessary. 36Patti Waldmeir in Shanghai , “Confectioners bite into China’s soft centre”,THE FINANCIAL TIMES, December 23, 2011, HTTP://WWW.FT.COM/INTL/CMS/S/0/DD414766-2D6E-11E1-B5BF-00144FEABDC0.HTML#AXZZ1LRIBIRPA, accessed February 2012. 16
  • 17. Voices From Paju Camu Camu fruit By Hiroyuki Kaji and Hisami Natsume Thesis: The Camu Camu fruit’s impact on the global economy. I. Introduction Recently, the number of people who are interested in health topics is growing in the world. Along with this, many kinds of nutritious fruits have become a part of people’s lives. Camu Camu, a specific kind of fruit made in Peru, is closely-related not only to human health but also to the global economy. Although Camu Camu is getting more popular in Japan, Camu Camu is not widely used in the market. There is a possibility of expanding Camu Camu market in Japan. II. What is Camu Camu? A. Features Camu Camu is a small bush which grows in the Amazonian rain forest of Peru. The Camu Camu bush produces a fruit which is about the size of a large grape and has a purplish red skin with a yellow pulp.37Camu Camu fruit contains powerful phytochemicals with health benefits, including the amino acids such as serine, valine, and leucine, and more Vitamin C than any other known plant in the world. Camu Camu is energizing, mood-lifting and highly effective in strengthening the immune system. Camu Camu has more natural Vitamin C than any known botanical on the planet and the effects on the human body are incomparable. Because of its food form, with bioflavonoids and other phytochemicals, clinical evidence suggests that it is far more effective, milligram for milligram, than synthetic Vitamin C (ascorbic acid). Many people report that just two capsules daily (1/3 tsp.) is sufficient to significantly increase their wellness. Wikipedia,”Myrciaria-dubia,”http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Myrciaria_dubia, accessed February 2012. 37 17
  • 18. Voices From Paju Table 1: Nutrition values of Camu Camu and Lemon: 1 cup (Health Benefits of Camu Camu38, Vitamins CamuCamu Lemon Vitamin B1 0.07 mg - Vitamin B2 0.16 mg - Niacin 8.25 mg 0.10 mg Vitamin C 7.49 g 0.53 g Lemon nutrition facts39) B. Cultivation of Camu Camu Camu Camu planting started in 1996 in Peru as part of government funded reforestation projects (under the Program Nacional de Camu Camu) for export to Japan. Since then Camu Camu has become a widely cultivated fruit species in the floodplains of the Peruvian Amazon.40 The Peruvian government expects that it will become a major export when its amazing properties are discovered in the United States. It is preparing for the expected large increase in demand by making Camu Camu seedlings available free of charge to communities of native people who are rain-forest dwellers for them to plant and to tend. It takes four to five years for the Camu Camu bush to bear fruit. The growing popularity of this wild rainforest fruit is contributing to the sustainable development of the Amazon River basin and helping the forest dwellers to maintain their traditional way of life.41 Life Style Lounge, “Health Benefits of Camu Camu,”http://lifestyle.iloveindia.com/lounge/health-benefits-of-camu- 38 camu-8860.html, accessed February 2012. Power your diet, ”Lemon nutrition facts,”http://www.nutrition-and-you.com/lemon.html, accessed February 2012. 39 Entrepreneur’s Toolkit,”Camu Camu 40 Cultivation,”http://www.entrepreneurstoolkit.org/index.php?title=Camu_Camu_Production_in_the_Peruvian_Amazo n, accessed February 2012. WHOLE WORLD BOTANICALS, “Camu Camu(Myrciariadubia), 41 http://www.wholeworldbotanicals.com/herbal_camucamu, accessed February 2012. 18
  • 19. Voices From Paju III. Camu Camu Fruit in Peru A. The Economy of Peru Being among the Pacific Rim nations, Peru has recently joined the group of emerging nations.Despite the continuing improvements in addressing the problem of poverty, expanding the income disparity continues to be a problem. The disparity between urban and rural areas is severe, and there is a serious mismatch between markets. In Peru, 19% of the Peruvian people live in "absolute poverty," meaning they survive on less than US$1 a day. Furthermore, while 31.2% of the population lives in urban areas, and 69.3% of the population lives in rural areas are "absolute poverty." Moreover, the percentage of GDP in agriculture is 0.7%, and percentage of labor force in agriculture is approximately 25%. 42 B. The advantages of producing Camu Camu in Peru In Peru, by producing Camu Camu, social issues such as poverty problem, nature preservation, and eradication of illicit drugs can be solved. 1. Poverty program Producing Camu Camu helps farmers to raise their income. At present, farmers can earn only small amount of money by farming, and there is no other way for farmers to earn cash. The distribution of Camu Camu would aid in the improvement of the farmer’s livelihood. Also, this would contribute to improve the standard of living in Peru. 2. Nature preservation Producing Camu Camu has positive impacts on the rainforest in Amazon areas. Peru's rainforest, which represents 20 percent of the Amazon, faces a number of environmental pressures, 42CIA-the world factbook,“ Transnational issues in Peru, ”https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world- factbook/geos/pe.html, accessed February 2012. 19
  • 20. Voices From Paju including deforestation. Many kinds of fruits are not able to grow during the rainy season because these fruits are submerged in water. On the other hand, Camu Camu can grow in the areas even if the Camu Camu tree itself is immersed in water. Therefore, cultivation of Camu Camu would make international contributions not only in carbon dioxid reduction but also in nature protection.43 3. Illicit drugs Camu Camu will be an alternative crop to the coca leaf. Peru is the world’s second largest producer of the coca leaf, after being named number one until 1996. The cultivation of coca in Peru was estimated at 40,000 hectares in 2009. Produced cocaine is shipped out from Pacific ports to the international drug market, increasing amounts of base and finished cocaine. However, produced cocaine which used to be ported into the international drug market is moved to Brazil, Chile, Argentina, and Bolivia for use in the Southern Cone or transshipment to Europe and Africa, increasing domestic drug consumption in 2011. If Camu Camu is successfully used as an alternative crop to coca, it will lead to the reduction of illegal drugs. That can have a great impact on a global scale.44 IV. Camu Camu market in other country A. Trade agreement The Peruvian government has banned taking trees, seeds, and fresh fruits of Camu Camu out of Peru. Other countries import the fruit in dehydrated, extract, flour, or powder form. Market overview in Japan The fruit has recently become the large-scale cultivation and sale in the world. Especially, Japan is the major buyer becauseof the market which puts emphasis on the fruit nutritional Council on foreign relations,”Deforestation in Peru’s Amazon.”http://www.cfr.org/south-america/deforestation-perus- 43 amazon/p20968, accessed February 2012. 44CIA-the world factbook,“ Transnational issues in Peru, ”https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world- factbook/geos/pe.html, accessed February 2012. 20
  • 21. Voices From Paju value. In Japan, there is significant demand for juice drinks and nectars. So, suppliers of Camu Camu products in Japan mainly sell such kind of products. Currently they explore the creation of new products such as jam, sweets, and cosmetics using the fruit's essence. In order to promote a better sale in Japan, the suppliers include the fruit’s history and a map of its origin into each commercial packages of Camu Camu. According to the market research, there are three fundamental requirements that Japanese buyers require: The fruit must be a 100% organic without the use of pesticides or chemical fertilizers. Vitamin C of the fruit must be at least 1800 to 2300 MG. per 100g pulp. The fruit must pass phytosanitary standards in Japan.45 V. Conclusion Recently, Camu Camu is getting more popular in Japan than in the past. However, Camu Camu is not widely used as other berries in the market. There might be two solutions to find an answer to the problem. First, Camu Camu suppliers should cooperate with major suppliers of processed fruit products such as Dole Food Company, because the company is skilled at promotion strategy. Second, Camu Camu suppliers should create new distribution channels. Though they only focus on retail stores to sell their products, there might be potential distribution channels such as fitness centers. By strengthening marketing strategies, it would help expand Camu Camu market even more and contribute to the economic growth of Peru as well. Article directory, “Supply and demand for camu camu”http://www.centrorisorse.org/supply-and-demand-for-camu- 45 camu.html, accessed February 2012. 21
  • 22. Voices From Paju The possible impact of speech recognition technology By Toshiharu Kamada and Hensu Jang Introduction Quarrels through the Siri– Man says“Tell my wife I’m gonna be 30 minutes late.”, Woman says“Tell my husband I’m not surprised.” Man says “Tell my wife if she has a problem with my work schedule she is more than welcome to get a job of her own.” Woman says “Tell my husband that I do just as much work as he does.” Man says “Tell my wife that if watching “Ellen” is a job she should get a promotion.” Woman's Siri “Message from your husband: “I appreciate you.”46 The above dialogue is from the parody videos on the online humor site in the USA. The main point of this dialogue is that Siri, a speech technology of iPhone 4S, tries to meditate a quarrel between husband and wife. This is just a parody for humor, but it is good example of the future of speech recognition technology.47What is speech recognition technology? “Speech recognition converts spoken words to text. The term "speech recognition" is sometimes used to refer to recognition systems that must be trained to a particular speaker—as is the case for most desktop recognition software. Recognizing the speaker can simplify the task of translating speech. Speech recognition is a broader solution that refers to technology that can recognize speech without being targeted at single speaker—such as a call system that can recognize arbitrary voices.”48 Thesis statement How can the speech recognition technology affect the world in the future? 46College Humor –Siri Argument, Nov 19, 2011, http://lybio.net/college-humor-siri-argument/comedy/ access Feb 2012 47College Humor –Siri Argument, Nov 19, 2011, http://lybio.net/college-humor-siri-argument/comedy/ access Feb 2012 48Wikipedia, “Speech Recognition”, Feb, 2011, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Speech_recognition, accessed Feb 2012 22
  • 23. Voices From Paju How big will the impact of the speech recognition technology be? Siri, thanks to artificial intelligence techniques such as speech recognition services can be connected to commerce in the future. It could analyze your preferences and characteristics, and propose the most appropriate products and order. The speech recognition services of the future will search for flight schedules and show the tendency of your personal tastes like a personal assistant. It will be connected to a speech-commerce service and a new ecosystem.49 How can the speech recognition technology affect the world in the future? How big will the impact of the speech recognition technology be? We tried to examine these questions. I. Definition of Speech Recognition Technology A. The Siri Siri is a new application that will be included with the iPhone 4S. This application is a new way to control your phone with your voice. Instead of just dictating a message to your phone, you can ask your iPhone to do stuff for you.50 B. Other technologies In the first half of this year, the speech recognition service 'Mazel' will be released. Mazel, similar to the Siri, a little more advanced natural language processing capabilities. 'Tell Me' a speech recognition service of Microsoft has competed against Siri from January 2012. Windows phones voice recognition service ‘Ask Ziggy' presented its application this year51 II. The situation of a gap between rich and poor A. The situation of poverty There were 1.4 billion individuals living on less than $1.25 a day in 2005 and 1.2 billion 49JuHuiYoo, “Smart Tech for Human”, Seoul Newspaper, Jan 13, 2012,http://economy.hankooki.com/lpage/it/201201/e20120131170341117700.htm, accessed Feb 2012 50Josh Smith, “What is Siri?”, Oct 05, 2011, http://www.gottabemobile.com/2011/10/05/what-is-siri/, accessed Feb 2012 51Hui Kyung Kang, “Future of Sir”, HankookIlbo, Jan 03, 2012,http://news.hankooki.com/lpage/economy/201201/h20120126211408111720.htm, accessed Feb 2012 23
  • 24. Voices From Paju individuals living on from $1.25 to $2 a day in 2006. So in total, there were 2.6 billion extremely or moderate poor individuals in the world, which represented about 47% of all population in the world. 52 Also, based on another standard, there were 4.6 billion individuals living in the countries where GNI per capita was under $ 8.9, which represented about 69% of the world population.53 That means there are plenty of suffering people on earth and there is a huge gap between the rich and the poor, and there are 2 main causes: unaffordability and illiteracy. 1. Inaccessibility(unaffordability) It is obvious that people who cannot access the Internet cannot get much information, and such a situation is called “Digital Divide.” In Japan, whether people can use broadband and the Internet or not was strongly correlated with the income level of the user.54 Also, the word “Digital Divide” means that whether people have a computer or not can expand the gap between rich and poor. In short, one possible cause of inaccessibility can be not having money. 2. Illiteracy Illiteracy can also cause the economic gap to expand. The number of illiterate adult population in the world was 8.85 million in 1995, in which the share of individuals living in developing countries was 99%.55 Generally, people who cannot read and write have little chance to get jobs, and if possible, they cannot get much money. In a sense, the illiterate people can be the lowest level of the pyramid. Ⅲ.Analysis of the possible solution 52The World Bank, “People Poverty rates at international poverty lines,” World Development Indicators 2011(April 2011):65. 53The World Bank, “People Population Dynamics,” World Development Indicators 2011(April 2011):38. 54Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications, Japan, “White paper Information and communication in Japan Outlook Japanese ver.,”http:// www.soumu.go.jp/johotsusintokei/wh itepaper/eng/WP2007/2007-index.html:40, accessed 13 February 2012. 55Ken Kikumoto, A Fundamental Study on the Establishment of the ScienceofInternational Cooperation in Education as an Academic Discipline(March 1998):1. 24
  • 25. Voices From Paju A. Possible Solution for unaffordability 1. Possible solution to unaffordability for personal computers There were 1.8 billion people who could access the Internet at the end of 2009, which represented about 26.6% of the world population.56 Intel Corporation has suggested that when weeks of income to purchase a notebook computer falls between 4 weeks and 8 weeks, the saturation level of the notebook can be accelerated.57The company has also estimated that the penetration would accelerate in China, Latin America, and Eastern Europe soon, which means that about 1.8 billion people who currently cannot use the Internet would be able to access the internet in the near future.58 But 40 billion individuals would still not be able to access it because of the unaffordable price. The number of the sales of personal computers was 1 million, and the average price was about $ 4,000 in the U.S.in 1980.59 But the number of the personal computers was 350 million in 2010,60and the retail price level of personal computers was about $700 in June 2011.61 In Japan, from 1996 to 2000, as the number of personal computers manufactured increased by 170%, and the price fell by about 30%.62 In the U.S., during the 1990s the number of personal computers increased at double-digit rates, and at the same time PC prices decreased by 80%, to $500 at a rate of the time.63How much the price at a certain time would be depends on where the point would be on the gradual diminution curve, and it is difficult to predict the future price. But if the price decreases, the price level would not be affordable enough for the bottom level of the 56Garbagenews.com.,”The saturation level of the Internet in the world,"http://www.garbagenews.net/archives/134032, accessed 13 February 2012. 57Intel Cooperation, “Investor Meeting 2011,”http://intelstudios.edgesuite.net/im/2011/live.htm, accessed 13 February 2012. 58Ibid., 59Sano seminar, “historical trend of PC,”http://www.sanosemi.com/wordpress/?p=122, accessed 13 February 2012. 60BCN Bizline, “The map of the personal computer industry,” http://biz.bcnranking.jp/map/pc/, Accessed Feburuary 2012. 61My Navi News, “Silicon valley101,”http://news.mynavi.jp/column/svalley/328/index.html, Accessed 13 February 2012. 62Link general research, “The trend of Information Communication device industry,”http://search.yahoo.co.jp/search?p=%E3%83%91%E3%82%BD%E3%82%B3%E3%83%B3%E3%80%80%E7%9 4%9F%E7%94%A3%E5%8F%B0%E6%95%B0%E3%80%80%E4%BE%A1%E6%A0%BC%E3%80%80%E6%8E%A8%E7 %A7%BB&aq=-1&oq=&ei=UTF-8&fr=top_ga1_sa&x=wrt, accessed 13 February 2012. 63Peter E. Carlson, “personal Computer Industry Trends” NCEE (December 2006):1. 25
  • 26. Voices From Paju pyramid. 2. Possible solution to unaffordability for tablets and smartphones Instead, in terms of accessibility to the internet, tablet types are better than personal computers because of the lower price. The sales number of the mobile tablet types was 20 million in 2010, and 66 million in 2011. Yano research institute also has predicted that the number would reach 300 million in 2017, about 5 times the number in 2011.64Moreover, smart phone types are much better than the others, and the sales number was 300 million in 2010 and 480 million in 2011. The institute has estimated that the number of smart phones would reach 1.5 billion in 2017, about three times the figure in 2011, and low-end models under $150 would be getting attention more and more.65 If we apply the case of the gradual diminution of the price of personal computers to the case of tablet types and smart phones, we can predict the same phenomenon as the personal computer case. Also, technologies, competitions, and other factors can decrease the price. As a result, for example, if the price of smart phones decreases to the level of $112, it can fall under the range in which individuals living on under $2 a day can afford smart phones with their 8 weeks of income, which means penetration can accelerate explosively. B. Possible solution to illiteracy It would be possible in the near future that individuals living on less than $2 a day would be able to buy some devices that enable them to access the internet. Also, the competition of speech recognition technology would be harder. As a result of the competition, even suffering illiterate people would be able to access the internet by buying devices with higher quality and lower prices. 64Yano research Institute, “The summary of a new market survey on tablet,” http://www.yanoict.com/yzreport/181, accessed 13 February 2012. 65Yano research Institute, “The summary of a new market survey on smart phone,”http://www.yano ict.com/yzreport/180, accessed 13 February 2012 26
  • 27. Voices From Paju Conclusion We have seen how big the role the internet could play in the changes in politics in many Arabian countries around 2012. Even in the Western countries, the internet is playing important roles in creating new public opinions that can affect their politics and economy. But only about 30% of the population in the world was able to affect our society at this time. In short, people who can access the internet can have such power. What will happen if people who are forced to live under severe conditions come to be able to access the Internet? What will happen if illiterate people come to be able to access the Internet? Those miserable people can have the same opportunities that richer people have. This can shorten the huge gap between rich and poor. Or, the alternate might be able to change the situation drastically. 27
  • 28. Voices From Paju The Costs and Benefits of London Olympics 2012 By Jeong woo, Lee (John) and So kogahara 1 Introduction 1.1 The Olympics will be held in London 2012. Today, we have many major events. This year, the London Olympics is carefully watched around the world. Plenty of people are looking forward to watch sports games. 1.2 Londoners will get the benefits but also spend the costs before and after the Olympic period Journalists and some media estimate the total expenses for the London Olympics is less than the Beijing Olympics. However, many people believe that the London Olympics will bring Londoners to get much profit before and after the Olympic period. The following passages show estimations about the benefits and the costs of the London Olympics 2012. 2 Examples 2.1 Advantages of hosting a major event 2.1.1 Raise the profile of city and country Hosting a major event is absolutely competitive for cities and countries. If cities and countries were to become host places, it might contribute to their profiles. According to previous major events, cities which host the Olympics can be assured of a persistent increase in recognition and tourism. Barcelona, Sydney, Beijing have all seen this from hosting the Olympics. For a country 28
  • 29. Voices From Paju like China with a controversial human rights record, hosting a major sporting event can be a way to gain greater international acceptance. These events’raised profile can be important for giving economic benefits, such as, attracting tourists and business investment. In the case of most recent major event, the London Olympics 2012, London already has a very strong reputation66. 2.1.2 Long Term Investment Some major events require long term investments to facilities for the events. The city and country will have a legacy of improved sporting venues. Also, cities will usually have to invest in infrastructure and transport to ensure efficient and reliable transportation. For example, London has already invested in public transport projects around London. This will leave a lasting legacy for residents of London, especially East London1. 2.1.3 Jobs and Investment Planning to long term investment of the Olympics, the host city or country needs plenty employees before and during the major events. Also, it is able to revitalize depressed cities, such as the East London. It is estimated the London Olympics 2012, will create 8,000 full time jobs, and also lead to a boost in economic output of close to £2bn1. 2.1.4 Enthusiasm A major sporting event brings in enthusiasm and excitement for the city orcountry. It will contribute to the nation to get better health and lead to a rise in volunteerism which promotes civic virtues1. TejvanPettinger, “Advantages of Hosting A Major Event”, Economicshelp, January 24 66 2012.http://www.economicshelp.org/blog/4909/economics/advantages-of-hosting-a-major-event/accessed on February 13, 2012. 29
  • 30. Voices From Paju 2.1.5 Short Term economic benefits Many people will gather together at London in the London Olympics period. This will provide an increase in spending and injection of money into the local economy1. 2.2 Economic impacts of 2012 London Olympics 2.2.1 Benefit from ticket sales The Olympics require much cost to prepare. For instance, the estimated cost of the London Olympic 2012 would be between $15 to 18 billion. This number is the second most expensive Olympics below the 2010 Beijing Olympics with the cost of $40 billion. However, The Telegraph estimated that the London Olympics has already sold $470 million on the ticket sales. This ticket revenue guarantees to grow the economy by 0.1%. It is also expected that overseas visitors will spend$1.1 billion during the Olympic Games67. 2.2.2 Expectation of London Olympics 2012 The whole of the UK’s economy will get some sort of benefits from the London Olympics because British companies have contributed to the project mostly. The London Olympics acquire 30,000 employees for the project. Also, 98% of facilities have been built by British companies and generated $9.5 billion value2. 2.3 Costs and benefits of London Olympics Atsushi Sawa, “Economic Impacts of 2012 London Olympics”, World Sports Today,February 2 2012. 67 http://world-sports-today.blogspot.com/2012/02/economical-impact-of-2012-london.htmlaccessed on February 20, 2012. 30
  • 31. Voices From Paju All the various costs and benefits of the London Olympics include both the monetary costs and benefits and the non-monetary costs and benefits.68 2.3.1 Costs of London Olympics There are many monetary and non-monetary costs of the London Olympics. Therefore, many people worry about the negative impacts of the costs. The first negative effect of monetary costs is for the facilities. England will spend plenty of money to build facilities, which may only be used to their full potential for a short time during the Olympic Games. Second, the investment is short term. Many facilities can only be used for the 3 week duration of the Olympics. After that there is a danger of ‘white elephant projects’ – facilities that cannot be effectively reused such as the Millennium Dome. Third, the opportunity cost. Many reports showed that the cost of the Olympic village could cost up to £1billion. This £1billion cannot be spent on alternative investment schemes like transport and education in London. Fourth, the credit crunch is coming. That means the private sector investment has dried up. This increases the cost for the tax payers. Spending of government is already under strain because of the bank bailouts and recession. Last but not least, the London Olympic logo is truly awful. They alreadyspent too much money to produce it.However, according to the Sun newspaper it could trigger epilepsy3. TejvanPettinger, “Costs and Benefits London Olympics 2012”, Economicshelp, March 11, 2011. 68 http://www.economicshelp.org/blog/1390/economics/costs-and-benefits-london-olympics-2012/accessed on February 13, 2012. 31
  • 32. Voices From Paju 2.3.2 Benefits of the London Olympics. On the contrary, hosting the Olympics also hasmany positive effects. The first positive effect ofhosting the Olympics is providingjobs and economic activities. Whenthe time is in recession, the private construction sector is going down. The government’sexpense can be seen as part of an expansionary fiscal policy. Second, hosting the Olympics boosts the prestige of the country.It may be a ‘once in a lifetime’ opportunity to show a greatest festival to the world. Not all things can be reduced to simple accounts. This is a good example of non-monetary benefits. The third positive effect of hosting the Olympics is to boost tourism and travel to London, during the Olympics period and after. The fourth one is a lasting legacy of the Olympics. East London has a new rail line (Dockland light railway extension) and improved public transport, such as improved international rail station at Stratford. This will help to reduce congestion and to increase productivity. Last, many venues will be used after the event;for example, Olympic stadium will remain not only an athletic track, but also will be used by West Ham F.C. Other venues like the Velodrome provide a much needed international standard track in the capital3. 2.4 The false economy of the London 2012 Olympics 2.4.1 Economic impact of the London Olympics From the time when the London’s Olympic bid was accepted in 2005, every economistall over the world has been debating how this short but big event will affect the UK’s economy. Following theglobal recession of the year 2008, more still have been speculating on its impacts. The general consensus shows that the British economy has been intensified by activity in and around the Olympic Village. Price of houses in Stratford and the surrounding areas have been increased significantly (in some cases they have increased by 10 per cent), and almost 40,000 jobs have been created as a direct result of the Games. Stratford City has seen a major revampitself, 32
  • 33. Voices From Paju with the construction of the new Westfield which is the largest shopping centre in Europe, constantly drawing trade from tourists and locals alike. In fact this new supermall has proved so popular, that it saw 160,000 customers on the first day alone4. 2.4.2 The Olympicsis the hope for many people to bring England out of its current slump. Now that the event draws ever closer, and the Olympic hype reaches new heights, what effect will the 2012 Games really have on the UK’s economy? One thing is for certain; in the midst of the Eurozone crisis, many people are wondering, and hoping, that London 2012 will be enough to bring England out of its current slump for good. We feel that between July and September this year, Britain’s economy will indeed be boosted4. 2.4.3 Olympics’boom is not a continual phenomenon This short boom cannotbe a sustainable phenomenon. When the Olympics are over, unfortunately, the two months of economic growth that wediscussed above is unlikely to be significant enough to lift England out of recession in the long term. The London Organizing Committee for the Olympic Games and Paralympics Games (LOCOG) has to make plans to convert the Olympic Village into 3,600 new apartments and homes for the local community. The area which is underdeveloped now, this may well prove to be the regeneration needed to attract workers and businesses to the region. However, whether this will be enough to impact the rest of the UK’s economy is something that remains to be seen4 Daniel Fox, “The false economy of the London 2012 Olympics”, The independent, January 30. 2012. 4 http://blogs.independent.co.uk/2012/01/30/the-false-economy-of-the-london-2012-olympics/accessed on February 13, 2012. Michael Carty, “Economic prospects for 2012: Will an 'Olympic bounce' help the UK skirt a double-dip 5 recession?”Xpert HR, January 9. 2012. http://www.xperthr.co.uk/blogs/employment-intelligence/2012/01/economic-prospects-for-2012-wi.htmlaccessed on February 13, 2012. 33
  • 34. Voices From Paju 2.5 Economic prospects for 2012 (Potential uplifts to 2012 GDP growth) Before and after the Olympics period, London would get much economic growth in 2012. In the first quarter of 2012, the Bank of England's October 2011 extension of quantitative easing aided London’s economy. Martin Weale estimates that the current program of asset purchases boost growth by up to 0.5%,in line with the Bank's official calculations. In the second quarter of 2012, London might benefit from an Olympic bounce. Revenue from advance Olympic ticket sales have been deferred. ING estimates that Olympic ticket sales are worth £400 million in total, which could have created a 0.2% "Olympic bounce" had they been incorporated into GDP data for Q2 2011. In the third quarter of 2012, the Olympic will boost their GDP5. 3 Conclusion 3.1 Londoners should think about the cost of the Olympics. The Olympics may well make an economic loss in the short term. Some people will say it’s better to spend the money on health care and education. 3.2 Benefits of the Olympics will make big profit to Londoners. However, there are also many benefits of hosting the Olympics. Furthermore, it is a once in a lifetime opportunity to host the most important sporting event on the calendar.Let’s enjoy and take pride in the London Olympics. 34
  • 35. Voices From Paju Which one is more proper in Korea and Japan, Big Mac Index or Starbucks Index? By Seunghyun Kim (Aeron) and Toru Yamashita There are many tools and measurements which can evaluate the appropriateness of currency rates. The Big Mac Index and the starbucks index could be two of famous things however there are some differences between them caused from change of social concept toward the products. These differences are making the starbucks index much more proper one to adjust advanced countries such as Korea and Japan. The Big Mac Index was developed in September 1986 as a relatively simple way to calculate the over- and under-valuation of currencies against the dollar.69 The index is based on the theory of purchasing-power parity (PPP). It means that a dollar should buy the same amount in all countries. Therefore the exchange rate between two currencies should move towards the equalized rate. For example, identical products such as big Mac hamburgers should have equivalent prices in every country.70 The Big Mac Index has maintained its position as a popular measurement to support analysis of currency rate for several years. Especially in Korea it showed dramatic accuracy during Korea’s economic crisis period from 1997 to 2000. Before the crisis began, the real exchange rate was 850 KRW per 1 USD compared to 950 KRW 69 “Ten years of the Big Mac index” The Economist, April 9, 1998, http://www.economist.com/node/397291?story_id=E1_PJSNJT&CFID=5300954&CFTO=, accessed February 2012. 70 “Big Mac Currencies” The Economist, April 9, 1998, http://www.economist.com/node/159859, accessed February 2012. 35
  • 36. Voices From Paju per 1 USD according to the Big Mac index. This over-estimation of Korean won was cleared right after the crisis was started.71 However, some economists have tried to develop another index for several years. They have argued that the Big Mac index is improper for some reasons. Most importantly, they have insisted that the Big Mac does not have the same value in all countries because although the Big Mac is considered a delicacy in many countries but people in advanced countries start regarding it as a junk food.72 This is especially true in Korea and Japan. As a result, some economists tried to choose alternative options such as the Starbucks’ Tall Latte Index. In fact, the magazine that introduced the Big Mac Index, The Economist later suggested the Starbucks Index as a better alternative.73 The tables below shows price trends and Index of Big Mac and Starbucks Tall Latte. the measure is USD. The Big Mac Index (2004, 2008, 2011) Index (%) (Year) 2004 2008 2011 2004 2008 2011 USA 2.90 3.50 4.07 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% South Korea 2.72 3.10 3.28 -6.2% -11.4% -19.4% Japan 2.33 3.60 4.02 -19.7% 2.9% -1.2% Phillippines 2.02 2.08 2.19 -30.3% -40.6% -46.2% 71 “The Usage of Big Mac Index” The imail newspaper, July 28, 2008, http://www.imaeil.com/sub_news/sub_news_view.php?news_id=34623&yy=2008, accessed February 2012. 72 “Fast food for thought “The Economist, Jul 30, 2011, http://www.economist.com/node/21524873, accessed February 2012. 73 “Burgers or beans?” The Economist, Jan 15, 2004, http://www.economist.com/node/2361072, accessed February 2012 36
  • 37. Voices From Paju The Starbucks Index (2004, 2008, 2011) Index (%) (Year) 2004 2008 2011 2004 2008 2011 USA 2.80 3.08 3.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% South Korea 2.97 3.01 3.64 6.1% -2.3% 21.3% Japan 3.16 3.48 4.48 12.9% 12.9% 49.3% Phillippines 3.50 3.85 3.60 25.0% 25.0% 20.0% GAP Big Mac vs Starbucks 2004 2008 2011 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.3% 9.2% 40.7% 32.5% 10.0% 50.6% 55.3% 65.6% 66.2% As above table shows, although the indexs of philippines had been stable, but the Big Mac index indicated that the currency value of Korea has been underestimated from -6% in 2004 to - 19% in 2011. The index of Japan is similar condition. However the Starbucks index has shown different situation especially the currency value of Japan is highly overestimated in 2011. It’s very similar conclusion comparing to most of economists’ opinion that Japan’s currency was overestimated in 2011. Why the big mac index mismatched to the starbucks index and economists’ common consensus about the currency value of Korea and Japan? One of possible reasons is that McDonald’s has lots of sales promotions. For example, McDonald’s in Japan has tried to sell a set with a much cheaper price than before, which will Japan’s rating in the Big Mac Index.74 On the other hand, it is able to assume that the Starbucks Tall Latte’s pricing strategy has kept stability.75 74 “Fast food for thought “The Economist, Jul 30, 2011, http://www.economist.com/node/21524873, accessed February 2012.” 75 “The Usage of Big Mac Index” The imail newspaper, July 28, 2008, http://www.imaeil.com/sub_news/sub_news_view.php?news_id=34623&yy=2008, accessed February 2012. 37
  • 38. Voices From Paju For analyzing this kind of gap , the most important factor which has led declining of the Big Mac’s price is a change of social concept. Especially to fast food, people start regarding it as unhealthy, junk food. They don’t want to spend their money to buy it anymore, so sellers are forced to reduce the price of their product. This means their product drops in value when compared with Big Macs in other countries. This change has especially happened in advanced countries.76 For this reason, we can assume that the starbucks index is more proper than the big mac index in Korea and Japan. In addition, the starbucks index also have strength in the point of cultural reason, For example, Hindi people view beef as sacred animal. Instead of beef, Big Macs in Hindi countries are made with chicken and heep’s meat. Therefore, it is difficult to precisely compare Big Macs around the world because their materials are different in different countries. On the other hand, the Starbucks Tall Latte Index is not affected by such cultural reasons or changes in social concept. The material—and social concept— of the Tall Latte is standardized around the world. In conclusion, the Big Mac index is very well known. However, it’s concept is flawed because its material isn’t standardized around the world. Additionally, the ways the Big Mac’s social concept has changed in some countries is also very important to explaining the shortcomings of the Big Mac Index. The Starbucks Tall Latte Index is more reliable because it is made out of standardized material and has a standardized social concept in every country it’s sold.. 76 “Business and human capital-Mc Donalds” The imail newspaper, July 28, 2008http://morrisseyhr.wordpress.com/2011/05/10/mcdonalds/ http://www.pugetsoundoff.org/blog/erino/15540, accessed Feb. 2012 38
  • 39. Voices From Paju Why did "Occupy Wall Street" demonstrators show up? By Siyung Jo and Woojin Yang “Occupy Wall Street” demonstrators appeared for the first time in September 17, 2011. They justified that major banks and multinational companies are threatening democracy and have the power related to corruption.77 They also point out that severe economic recession was caused by Wall Street. So they desperately opposed the rich who made the unfair global economic order. Let’s go back to 2008 when the global economic crisis broke out by Lehman Brothers’ bankruptcy. The US government saved the financial institutions which were on the verge of bankruptcy by using $900 billion paid by 99% of the US citizens. However, what happened in Wall Street? Bankers had a bonus party instead of self-reflections. There was an attempt to introduce a bill called “the Buffet Tax”. But the bill making the richest pay more taxes did not pass through Congress. In 2011, another global economic crisis hit the world. At that time, 99% of the US people started to lose their temper. On the behalf of 99%, “Occupy Wall Street” demonstrators shouted “why are the innocent 99% of the US citizens taking responsibility for the mistakes of the greedy 1% people?” It was not long before “Occupy Wall Street” spread out to more than 100 cities in the US and 1,500 cities worldwide. Ⅱ. Causes of increasing the gap between the rich and the poor and solutions for reducing the gap 1. Causes of ‘the rich get richer, the poor get poorer’ phenomenon Participants at “Occupy Wall Street” demonstrations insisted that ‘the rich get richer, the poor get poorer’ phenomenon spread all over the world. Why did the trend happen? A. Deregulation spread over all industries First, Neo Liberalism which has dominated the world economy for the last 30 years OccupyWallSt.org, “About Us”, http://www.occupywallst.org/about/, Accessed February 10, 2012 77 39
  • 40. Voices From Paju emphasized competition and effectiveness. As a result, both domestic and international division of labor has become common. For example, Apple designs their products at R&D centers in the U.S.A, purchases the electronic parts from companies in Korea, Taiwan and Japan, and assembles them at factories in China. By help of the international division of labor, Apple has earned historically high profits in the last several years. However, Apple’s subcontractors in China still struggle to make ends meet. In a pyramidal structure of manufacturing, a top company takes most of the profits but a myriad of companies in the bottom always has trouble in survival. It is not difficult to witness similar cases happening in one country. During the dominance of Neo Liberalism, the gap between the rich and the poor has been getting bigger. In the world, 29.7million people have assets worth more than $1million.78 There are 6,000million people in the world. Therefore, only 0.5% of the global population takes 38.5% of the total gobal assets. In the U.S. while the top 1% households’ income soared by 275% from 1979 to 2007, the bottom 20%’s increased only by 18%.79 The former took 9% of the national income in 1979 but the number recorded 24% in 2007.80 B. Decrease of regular jobs Second, enterprises seeking high profits to win decreased regular jobs. For example, the revenue of the Hyundai Heavy Industries in 1999 was ₩6,330billion. It was increased to ₩ 45,700billion in 2010. However, regular jobs of the company decreased by an 8% point in the past 11 years. From an employees’ standpoint, there is a huge gap between the regular jobs and irregular jobs. The average salary of the regular jobs in Hyundai Heavy Industries doubled in the past 11 years. But, that of the irregular jobs is the same as the money that regular workers earned 11 years ago. The situation of decreasing regular jobs has made many people think that their social status is Credit Suisse, “Global Wealth Report 2011”(Oct. 2011), p.4 78 Congressional Budget Office, “Trends in the Distribution of Household Income Between 1979 and 2007”(Oct. 2011), 79 p12, http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/124xx/doc12485/10-25-HouseholdIncome.pdf, accessed Feb. 2012 William Domhoff, “Who Rules America”, 80 http://www2.ucsc.edu/whorulesamerica/power/wealth.html, accessed Feb. 2012 40
  • 41. Voices From Paju deteriorating. According to a survey by Korea Statistics in 2011, 45.3% of households in Korea answered that they are lower level of the socioeconomic status and only 1.9% said that they are upper level of that. The middle level was 52.8%.81 If we compare the 2011’s result to the survey conducted in 2009, the lower level increased by a 2.9% point. Otherwise, the upper and middle level decreased by a 0.8% point and a 2.1% point, respectively. In addtion, the global economic crises in 2008 and 2011 hammered the world economy, therefore, the poor got seriously poorer. Financial institutions, which earned much money from the Neo Liberalism, suddenly faced the crisis of the Lehman Brothers. If one bank bankrupts, the rest of banks which lent money from the bank fall into big trouble. This ‘domino phenomenon’ has affects on ordinary people. Because the banks struggled during crises, the poor could not borrow money at lower interest rates. All the governments acted to save the endangered banks. Naturally, the ordinary people became very angry at the situation, which the major beneficiaries of the Neo Liberalism like banks tried to recover and maintained their status using tax ordinary people paid. 2. Solutions for the problems How can we solve ‘the rich get richer, the poor get poorer’ phenomenon? Are there any solutions for this kind of historically complicated problem? Yes, we have to be positive, otherwise, there will be a disaster in our future. A. Need for another way of economic system instead of Neo Liberalism One possible solution is to find another way of an economic system instead of Neo Liberalism. Professionals are still struggling to look for a new economic system. Paul Krugman, who is one of the Nobel Prize winners for economics and a liberal originating from Capitalism itself, insisted that governments should nationalize the financial institutions. It was surprising that Statistics Korea, “the social survey”, 81 http://kostat.go.kr/portal/korea/kor_nw/2/1/index.board?bmode=read&aSeq=252361 February 16, 2012 41
  • 42. Voices From Paju such a kind of harsh criticism about the Neo Liberalism appeared in Wall Street. The new system could be located in between Neo Liberalism and Keynesism. But, many people agree with the argument that the new system needs to care for the social stability of ordinary people. If people in lower and medium level of social status feel their lives are more stable, not only will they think that the economic gap between the rich and the poor is disappearing, but they also can spend more money on consumptions. Increase of household consumption can be good news to the economy as a whole. In addition to strengthening the social stability of people, introducing new regulations for greedy entrepreneurs is discussed as a good care system for the failure of Neo Liberalism. As “Occupy Wall Street” demonstrators argued, greedy executives of large financial institutions were designated as main culprits of the 2008 global crisis. They made their employees ignore the risks of their jobs like trading high risk financial derivatives. Not to experience similar cases, the new economic system needs to equip strong instruments to suppress the greed of some entrepreneurs. B. Making enterprises to reduce part time job What could be a solution to create stable jobs? There can be two ways for this issue. First of all, setting up new guidelines for job security is important. “Job Sharing Movement” in Korea is a good example. When working in “Job Sharing” company, two or three workers can share the same position in a company, each doing a part of the work. Compensation is apportioned between the workers, thus leading to a net reduction in per-employee income.82 Supporters of the movement argue that “Job Sharing” will not reduce the regular jobs. Generally, most companies layoff the irregular workforces in downturn and rehire them during the economic boom. By “Job Sharing”, the causes of reducing the regular jobs will disappear. Secondly, promoting medium and small sized enterprises is reasonable method to create more regular jobs. It is not easy to expand the regular jobs for global conglomerates, since they operate Wikipedia, “Job Sharing”, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Job_sharing February 20, 2012 82 42
  • 43. Voices From Paju the R&D sectors in advanced countries and the production departments in underdeveloped countries. Instead of the conglomerates, it is easier to increase the regular jobs for small and medium sized companies. Additionally, raising the level of salaries of those companies will decrease dissatisfaction of the poor class and enlarge the home market gradually. There will be some positive efficacy if we invigorate small-scale enterprises and tiny ventures. Ⅲ. Worldwide and nationwide efforts are necessary ‘The rich get richer, the poor get poorer’ phenomenon threatens the future of Capitalism. With Neo Liberalism dominating the world for the last 30years, deregulation strengthened the ‘winner takes all’ situation and regular jobs have gradually disappeared. Now, worldwide and nationwide efforts are necessary to solve the problem of increasing the gap between the income of the rich and that of the poor. We should not only think of another way of the economic system instead of Neo Liberalism, but also care for the social stability of the lower and medium social classes. The possible solutions are introducing new regulations for greedy entrepreneurs, making enterprises reduce part time jobs, setting up new guidelines for job security, and promoting medium and small sized enterprises to create more regular jobs. 43
  • 44. Voices From Paju The Effect of Animation Outsourcing on Japan Economy By Takahiro Aoki and Lee Woochan 1. Introduction : Outsourcing may destroy the Japanese animation industry Outsourcing has financial advantages. Animation productions can reduce their producing costs. But in the long run, outsourcing may destroy the Japanese animation industry in the future. Prior to the study of the effect of outsourcing on the Japanese animation industry itself, it is necessary to check out the basic structure & current situation of Japanese animation outsourcing. It is well known that the industry is struggling to overcome problems with production cost cutbacks, while Japanese animation has been in the spotlight overseas. Production has increasingly been outsourced in recent years due to the matter of its cutbacks. While planning, directing and other processes requiring advanced expertise have remained in Japan, animating, coloring and other simple operations are being shifted to other countries. 83 83 Japanese Economy Division, “Japan Animation Industry Trends”, JETRO Japan Economic Monthly (June 2005) : 3. 44
  • 45. Voices From Paju [ Exhibit 1 ] 84 2. - (1) Current Statuses & Scale of the Industry Industry experts estimate that major Asian countries such as Philippines, Taiwan, South Korea and China are the preferred outsourcing destinations for 2D Animation, Canada and UK are the leaders in 3D Animation.85 l Global Demand The continued demand in the global animation market has allowed the Asia-Pacific region to further emerge as a premier destination for animation outsourcing. [ Exhibit 2 ] 86 84 Ibid. : 3. 85 TATA Strategic management group, “Animation and Gaming Industry in India” (Feb 2010) 86 Tholons Inc., “The Philippine Animation Industry Landscape” (May 2008) : 3. 45
  • 46. Voices From Paju l Japan The Japanese animation industry's main business is selling the video program rights, merchandising rights, film distribution rights, broadcasting rights and video distribution rights to foreign countries. Because DVD sales of Japanese animation in the United States have declined, the branch offices of video program manufacturers in Japan have been forced to withdraw. In the industry in 2006, right license revenue was 20 billion yen in size in 2010, has fallen to about 13 billion yen, overseas market size is estimated to 195 billion yen in 2010.87 [ Exhibit 7 ] Japan's domestic animation sales(2010) Video Software Sales 246 149 TV animation advertisement sales 1,013 VOD 780 Animation Movie Sales(Top 20) 87 http://humanmedia.co.jp/database/PDF/5-1.pdf, accessed Feb 2012. 46
  • 47. Voices From Paju A famous animation director, Yoshiyuki Tomino, thinks the current situation of Japanese animation industry is not good. Because more and more individual products are appearing one after another and there is a trend that is making light of “studio work.”88 l India The Animation Entertainment segment in India is estimated at USD 122 Million (2009) and is expected to show a CAGR (Compound Average Growth Rate) of 20% (2009-2013) to reach USD 253 million by 2013. 74% of the animation entertainment work in India is outsourcing work for overseas clients. It is only 26% of the overall animation entertainment in India, which is for domestic clients. 89 [ Exhibit 3 ] 90 [ Exhibit 4 ] 91 (Unit : USD Mil.) (100% = USD 122 Mil.) 2. - (2) Expected Effects of Outsourcing l Positive Effects 88 http://bizmakoto.jp/makoto/articles/0907/08/news035_3.html, accessed Feb 2012. 89 TATA Strategic management group, “Animation and Gaming Industry in India” (Feb 2010) : 13. 90 Ibid. : 13. 91 Ibid. : 13. 47
  • 48. Voices From Paju Basically, the prime-contractors can expect the positive effects of cost-cutback on their producion through their outsourcings. At the same time, the subcontractors may anticipate the creation of new jobs and development of their skills and techniques. The positive effects of animation outsourcing seem more favorable to the prime-contractors such as Japan and USA in short term. As a prime-contractor, there is no doubt outsourcing must be the most attractive method for the cost-cutback, because its main expenses come from labor cost. Therefore, outsourcing is an essential factor to accelerate the base of the animation industry. In addition, it is well known that the animaiton industry is strongly inclined to expand its areas related to other parts of industries such as characters, movies, and distribution. Moreover, it is also a good way for countries to spread out their own cultures elsewhere. Therefore, it is abolutely true that animation outsourcing has been playing a positive role for both companies and countries. l Negative effects Outsourcing, the creative work to foreign countries, has negative effects. First, the fear of hollowing out of the animation industry is a serious matter. Japanese animation studios are outsourcing relatively simple labor works, but to become skilled and creative animators, beginners should experience those simple labor works. If the number of skilled animators continue to decrease, it will lead to land subsidence of the Japanese animation industry. Moreover, there are problems beyond that, namely the fact that animation production, which should be a team effort by the production staff, has become divided into a relationship between the planning/development/design stage (production including planning, script, and storyboards), and 48
  • 49. Voices From Paju production that takes place in a factory (animation onward).92 This is more remarkable in overseas outsourcing than domestic production. Second, quality is a problem. Japanese animation industry has a long history over 50 years. But those outsourcing countries such as India and the Phillipines, China, South Korea do not have enough history. Because of this background, animators in outsourcing countries tend to have inferior technics. Therefore, outsourced animation films have a quality problem in some cases. Case review of negative effect of outsourcing There are some cases that some of the Japanese animation films are produced in Japan in spite of expensive production cost. The main purpose to produce in domestic way is to keep product’s quality. In this sense, some production companies realize potential risks of outsourcing. Therefore, those companies maintain intergrated production system and do not choose outsourcing. [Case 1] Studio Ghibli Studio Ghibli is one of the most famous animation production companies in Japan. It has many hit titles such as “Princess Mononoke” and “Spirited Away.” Studio Ghibli has a unique employment system. Unlike other animation production companies, Studio Ghibli hires full- time employees. Studio Ghibli is trying to improve the quality of its products and keep excellent staffs, educate human resources by improving the treatment of employees. Moreover, Studio Ghibli has an integrated production system93 which enables all the production process from planning to shooting inside Studio Ghibli. [Case 2] Kyoto Animation Kyoto Animation is also a famous animation production company in Japan. Since the late 2000s, it has many enthusiastic fans. Kyoto Animation has a similar production system. Thanks to the production system, staffs have maintained close communication.94 2. Conclusion 92 http://www.japanator.com/the-japanese-animation-industry-is-going-straight-to-hell--6130.phtml, accessed Feb 2012. 93 http://www.smrj.go.jp/keiei/dbps_data/_material_/common/chushou/b_keiei/keieichosa/pdf/h18con_2.pdf, accessed Feb 2012. 94 http://www.kyotoanimation.co.jp/company/outline/, accessed Feb 2012. 49