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Daily DerivativesOutlook

                                                                                                                   03rd May 2012



               Spot         Near       Premium     Nifty
                                                   The Nifty futures premium to spot reduced further to 9
Nifty          5239         5248          9
                                                   points with a marginal decrease in open interest
Bank Nifty     10306        10271        -35       indicating long liquidation just under the key 5300 levels.
USD/INR       52.9305 53.2725            0.34      Writing was seen in the 5300 to 5600 call optionswhile
                                                   the put options between 5100 to 5300 were bought by
                                                   traders. The equilibrium remains between 5200 and
        Nifty Open Interest Analysis               5300.
                 1            2           3
Maximum
               5400         5600        5300
Call OI                                            Bank Nifty
Maximum                                            The Bank Nifty May futuressaw no change in open
               5200         5100        5000
Put OI                                             interest but the discount to spot widened indicating build-
Equilibriu                                         up of short positions. Writing happened in the 10300 to
                Between 5200 and 5300
m
                                                   11000 callswhile buying was seen in the 9700 to 10000
                                                   puts.The equilibrium remains at 10200.

   Bank Nifty Open Interest Analysis
                 1            2           3
                                                   USD/INR
                                                   The premium over spot went down from 0.53 to 0.34
Maximum
Call OI
               11000        10500       10200      indicating long liquidation at higher levels. However the
Maximum                                            equilibriummoved up to 53 with the highest Call OI at
               10000        9500        10200      53.5 and the highest Put OI at 53.
Put OI
Equilibriu
                            10200
m
                                                   STOCK FUTURES
                                                   Long Buildup:Divis Lab, TCS, Union Bank, Allahabad
                                                   Bank, Hind Oil Exp, JSW Energy, Dena Bank, IOB.
    USD/INR Open Interest Analysis
                 1            2           3        Long Reduction/Short Covering: Hind Unilever, PNB,
Maximum                                            Bharti, CNXIT, United Phosphorus
                53.5          53         52.5
Call OI
Maximum
Put OI
                 53           52         52.5      Short Buildup : Ashok Leyland, Jet Airways, BPCL, Coal
Equilibriu                                         India, Petronet, HDIL, NTPC, Pantaloon, PFC, VIP Ind,
                              53                   IRB, NCC
m


SOURCE – NSE




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                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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Keynote derivatives daily report for 030512

  • 1. Daily DerivativesOutlook 03rd May 2012 Spot Near Premium Nifty The Nifty futures premium to spot reduced further to 9 Nifty 5239 5248 9 points with a marginal decrease in open interest Bank Nifty 10306 10271 -35 indicating long liquidation just under the key 5300 levels. USD/INR 52.9305 53.2725 0.34 Writing was seen in the 5300 to 5600 call optionswhile the put options between 5100 to 5300 were bought by traders. The equilibrium remains between 5200 and Nifty Open Interest Analysis 5300. 1 2 3 Maximum 5400 5600 5300 Call OI Bank Nifty Maximum The Bank Nifty May futuressaw no change in open 5200 5100 5000 Put OI interest but the discount to spot widened indicating build- Equilibriu up of short positions. Writing happened in the 10300 to Between 5200 and 5300 m 11000 callswhile buying was seen in the 9700 to 10000 puts.The equilibrium remains at 10200. Bank Nifty Open Interest Analysis 1 2 3 USD/INR The premium over spot went down from 0.53 to 0.34 Maximum Call OI 11000 10500 10200 indicating long liquidation at higher levels. However the Maximum equilibriummoved up to 53 with the highest Call OI at 10000 9500 10200 53.5 and the highest Put OI at 53. Put OI Equilibriu 10200 m STOCK FUTURES Long Buildup:Divis Lab, TCS, Union Bank, Allahabad Bank, Hind Oil Exp, JSW Energy, Dena Bank, IOB. USD/INR Open Interest Analysis 1 2 3 Long Reduction/Short Covering: Hind Unilever, PNB, Maximum Bharti, CNXIT, United Phosphorus 53.5 53 52.5 Call OI Maximum Put OI 53 52 52.5 Short Buildup : Ashok Leyland, Jet Airways, BPCL, Coal Equilibriu India, Petronet, HDIL, NTPC, Pantaloon, PFC, VIP Ind, 53 IRB, NCC m SOURCE – NSE Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
  • 2. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, SenapatiBapatMarg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322