Knowledge Society Foresight

EUFORIA - European Knowledge Society Foresight October 2004 Ian Miles, Manchester University, UK – [email_address]

Much documentation available: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Features of the European Knowledge Society ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

EKS - concepts in need of clarification ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Knowledge Society ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],All of these are influenced in numerous ways by KBE developments - and can substantially influence the pace and style of development Common Features, but pace and style of development varies considerably. EU enlargement as major “local” context. Living Conditions Working Conditions Industrial Relations Other Dimensions: governance, etc.

Knowledge Society ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Common Features, but pace and style of development varies considerably. EU enlargement as major “local” context. ,[object Object],[object Object],more or less knowledgeable and responsible citizens, entrepreneurs, workers; flexible institutions, openness to innovation, etc. Living Conditions Working Conditions Industrial Relations Other Dimensions: governance, etc.

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],KSF – the EUFORIA approach Common Features, but pace and style of development varies considerably. EU enlargement as major “local” context. Living Conditions Working Conditions Indicators, Anticipated Trends Anticipated Influences National Circumstances and Scenarios ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Industrial Relations

Knowledge Society Capabilities ,[object Object],[object Object]

Some Results from EUFORIA ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Elements of EUFORIA ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Cross National Workshop ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

CIA – Aspects of KS with high influence D10: Ageing D2:low-skill services D7: “Glocal-isation”

CIA - Aspects of LC, WC and IR that are strongly influenced I9: Trade unions Work-life balance new forms of care I6:surve-illance I7: “Multi-location work Strong influences

Delphi Study ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Features ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Delphi Topic Development ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Online delphi design and management: Rafael Popper, Calibrium Corporation EU, National and sponsor topics: Atlantis, Empirica, EFL, FFRC Questionnaire design, topic selection and reconciliation : PREST and partners

32 Statements in 6 groups ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Statements were rated in terms of:  occurrence by 2015 - over/underestimate, about right, unsure ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Respondents Germany c20 respondents, Greece Finland >50 respondents, plus others (mainly researchers)  185

Example: Statement 1- mixed views on likelihood? ,[object Object]

Example: Statement 2 (consensus) ,[object Object]

EKSF: 11 most likely features from delphi Statements ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

[object Object],Impacts of 11 statements ?? ?? NE?  ?  ?? NE ??  30  ? ??  ?    NE   27  NE? NE?   NE?   ?  24 NE?  ?? ??  ?  NE   21  ??      ? ??  20  NE NE?  ?   ?  ?   18  ??    ??  ?? ?? 13  ??    ??  ?? ?? 12  NE? NE   NE NE? ??  09  ?? ??   ?? ?? ?? ?? 06 ?? ??  ?   NE  ??  02 Job creation Work-life balance Employee autonomy and responsibility Entrepreneurship and innovativeness Economic growth / wealth creation Employer-employee relations Sustainability / environmental quality Social exclusion or divides Social Cohesion Working Conditions Industrial Relations Living Conditions

7 “Overstatements” – though these are positive influences ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Unique Visions by Country ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Thus can examine: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Some Conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Features of EKS 1 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Features of EKS 4 ,[object Object],[object Object]

Influences on Eurofound concerns

Statements where most participants did not foresee a strong level of development - but agreed that they would have had positive impact on LC, WC, IR factors ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],National Commonalities and Differences

Issues arising ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Developmental Project ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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