2. High level:
H1: Energiewende cannot be stopped.
H2: The old nuclear plants will try to delay.
Technologies:
H3: Solar: Integrate and optimize.
H4: Wind: Local advantage.
H5: Hydro: Advantage for flexible and ecological.
Regulatory environment:
H6: Too much hot air in certificate of origin.
H7: Market liberalization CAN be a chance.
H8: Electricity agreement not decisive.
3. Changing core beliefsChanging economics
H1: The Energiewende cannot be
stopped.
www.thegreenmarketoracle.com
2001 Electricity market 2013 Energy strategy
Suter & Markard 2014
4. H2: Nuclear phase-out is the key
challenge for the Energiewende.
Source: «Erläuternder Bericht zur Energiestrategie 2050 (Vernehmlassungsvorlage)» des BR, 2012.
2064: Leibstadt
5. H3: Solar: «Integrate and optimize»
(instead of «connect and forget»).
Hirt 2013 The market value of variable renewables
7. Rhine hydropower,
popular vote 2014,
canton Schaffhausen:
H5: Hydro-power: Flexible and
ecological instead of run-of-the river.
Ja
Nein
Power (GW) not
energy (GWh) required
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Power[MW]
8. Too much hot air
H6: Current design of certificate of
origin (HKN) brings little to no value.
No reward for renewable flexibility
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16000
Power[MW]
9. Innovation (e.g. Smart Buildings)
H7: Market liberalization CAN be a
chance for the Energiewende
horse-trade for cost internalization
11. High level:
H1: Energiewende cannot be stopped.
H2: The old nuclear plants will try to delay.
Technologies:
H3: Solar: Integrate and optimize.
H4: Wind: Local advantage.
H5: Hydro: Advantage for flexible and ecological.
Regulatory environment:
H6: Too much hot air in certificate of origin.
H7: Market liberalization CAN be a chance.
H8: Electricity agreement not decisive.
12. Thank you for your attention!
bastien.girod@parl.ch
power
green
nuclear
nor fossil
no