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Swiss Energiewende
quo vadis?
power
green
Bastien Girod, New Energy Investor Summit 2014
nuclear
nor fossil
no
High level:
H1: Energiewende cannot be stopped.
H2: The old nuclear plants will try to delay.
Technologies:
H3: Solar: Integrate and optimize.
H4: Wind: Local advantage.
H5: Hydro: Advantage for flexible and ecological.
Regulatory environment:
H6: Too much hot air in certificate of origin.
H7: Market liberalization CAN be a chance.
H8: Electricity agreement not decisive.
Changing core beliefsChanging economics
H1: The Energiewende cannot be
stopped.
www.thegreenmarketoracle.com
2001 Electricity market 2013 Energy strategy
Suter & Markard 2014
H2: Nuclear phase-out is the key
challenge for the Energiewende.
Source: «Erläuternder Bericht zur Energiestrategie 2050 (Vernehmlassungsvorlage)» des BR, 2012.
2064: Leibstadt
H3: Solar: «Integrate and optimize»
(instead of «connect and forget»).
Hirt 2013 The market value of variable renewables
H4: wind + local support =power!
Rhine hydropower,
popular vote 2014,
canton Schaffhausen:
H5: Hydro-power: Flexible and
ecological instead of run-of-the river.
Ja
Nein
Power (GW) not
energy (GWh) required
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
Power[MW]
Too much hot air
H6: Current design of certificate of
origin (HKN) brings little to no value.
No reward for renewable flexibility
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
Power[MW]
Innovation (e.g. Smart Buildings)
H7: Market liberalization CAN be a
chance for the Energiewende
horse-trade for cost internalization
H8: Bilateral electricity agreement
not decisive for the Swiss
Energiewende.
High level:
H1: Energiewende cannot be stopped.
H2: The old nuclear plants will try to delay.
Technologies:
H3: Solar: Integrate and optimize.
H4: Wind: Local advantage.
H5: Hydro: Advantage for flexible and ecological.
Regulatory environment:
H6: Too much hot air in certificate of origin.
H7: Market liberalization CAN be a chance.
H8: Electricity agreement not decisive.
Thank you for your attention!
bastien.girod@parl.ch
power
green
nuclear
nor fossil
no

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Swiss Energiewende - quo vadis? 2014

  • 1. Swiss Energiewende quo vadis? power green Bastien Girod, New Energy Investor Summit 2014 nuclear nor fossil no
  • 2. High level: H1: Energiewende cannot be stopped. H2: The old nuclear plants will try to delay. Technologies: H3: Solar: Integrate and optimize. H4: Wind: Local advantage. H5: Hydro: Advantage for flexible and ecological. Regulatory environment: H6: Too much hot air in certificate of origin. H7: Market liberalization CAN be a chance. H8: Electricity agreement not decisive.
  • 3. Changing core beliefsChanging economics H1: The Energiewende cannot be stopped. www.thegreenmarketoracle.com 2001 Electricity market 2013 Energy strategy Suter & Markard 2014
  • 4. H2: Nuclear phase-out is the key challenge for the Energiewende. Source: «Erläuternder Bericht zur Energiestrategie 2050 (Vernehmlassungsvorlage)» des BR, 2012. 2064: Leibstadt
  • 5. H3: Solar: «Integrate and optimize» (instead of «connect and forget»). Hirt 2013 The market value of variable renewables
  • 6. H4: wind + local support =power!
  • 7. Rhine hydropower, popular vote 2014, canton Schaffhausen: H5: Hydro-power: Flexible and ecological instead of run-of-the river. Ja Nein Power (GW) not energy (GWh) required 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 Power[MW]
  • 8. Too much hot air H6: Current design of certificate of origin (HKN) brings little to no value. No reward for renewable flexibility 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 Power[MW]
  • 9. Innovation (e.g. Smart Buildings) H7: Market liberalization CAN be a chance for the Energiewende horse-trade for cost internalization
  • 10. H8: Bilateral electricity agreement not decisive for the Swiss Energiewende.
  • 11. High level: H1: Energiewende cannot be stopped. H2: The old nuclear plants will try to delay. Technologies: H3: Solar: Integrate and optimize. H4: Wind: Local advantage. H5: Hydro: Advantage for flexible and ecological. Regulatory environment: H6: Too much hot air in certificate of origin. H7: Market liberalization CAN be a chance. H8: Electricity agreement not decisive.
  • 12. Thank you for your attention! bastien.girod@parl.ch power green nuclear nor fossil no