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(1973)
(2014)
“Voices from a disused quarry”
www.publications.cat.org.uk
www.cat.org.uk
www.zerocarbonbritain.org
Can we ‘keep the lights on’ with a
100% renewable and carbon neutral
energy system?
Can we provide a healthy low-carbon
diet for the UK population?
New research
A technically robust scenario in which the UK
has risen to the challenge of climate change.
Net zero across all greenhouse gas emissions
(not just energy), using technology we have now.
From this …
… to this
Without major impacts on quality of life (in fact,
we think this future looks pretty good)
We have to see the future like this
No ‘business
as usual’ future
is available.
“Need an explicit recognition that it is ‘large
and difficult’, not ‘simple and painless’”
– Stuart Capstick
So, how does this work?
Energy
From:
From:
Today
Supply Demand
Can we
“keep the
lights on”?
The ZCB Energy
Model:
Based on ten
years of
real-world
hourly data
2002 - 2011
87,648 hours
ZCB electricity supply
ZCB electricity demand
Land use
©AllrightsreservedbyCentreforAlternativeTechnology
TodayZCB
Biomass
70% of our land
(85% livestock)
55% of our food
TodayZCB
Biomass
Land use in ZCB
There is enough
space for:
• Food
• Biomass
• Natural spaces
Food + diets model: nutrition, emissions, land
Land use GHG emissions today
~ 10%
of UK
total
Agricultural GHG emissions today
~ 10%
of UK
total
Current average UK diet
64% of adults overweight/obese
(Bates et al, 2011).
71% of deaths in 2010 from diet-
related disease (WHO, 2013).
Current average UK diet
64% of adults overweight/obese
(Bates et al, 2011).
71% of deaths in 2010 from diet-
related disease (WHO, 2013).
• Too much food.
Current average UK diet
64% of adults overweight/obese
(Bates et al, 2011).
71% of deaths in 2010 from diet-
related disease (WHO, 2013).
• Too much food.
• An unhealthy balance.
Current average UK diet
64% of adults overweight/obese
(Bates et al, 2011).
71% of deaths in 2010 from diet-
related disease (WHO, 2013).
• Too much food.
• An unhealthy balance.
• Too much HFSS and high protein foods.
• Too little fruit, vegetables and cereals.
Current average UK diet
64% of adults overweight/obese
(Bates et al, 2011).
71% of deaths in 2010 from diet-
related disease (WHO, 2013).
• Too much food.
• An unhealthy balance.
• Too much HFSS and high protein foods.
• Too little fruit, vegetables and cereals.
• Waste (30% in Europe (FAO, 2011)).
Food + diets model: nutrition, emissions, land
Change
our diets
Change
our diets
• Switch high
protein foods
5-6 portions
meat/dairy/eggs.
4 portions
‘alternatives’
(beans, pulses
etc).
+ Milk for
tea/coffee.
Change
our diets
+ halve
food waste
+ improve
agricultural
practices
= Emissions
- 75%
85%
of our
food
55%
of our
food
Grow all the biomass need
Capture remaining carbon
Safe, proven, long-
lasting methods:
• Restore 50%
of peatlands
• Double forest area
• More use of UK
wood products
This is how it works.
Net zero GHG
emissions is
possible.
• Using technology
available now.
• Without major
impacts on quality
of life.
We can provide a reliable energy supply.
• 100% renewable/carbon-neutral.
• No nuclear, no fossil fuels.
• Using technology available today.
ZCB also shows that
We can provide a reliable energy supply.
• 100% renewable/carbon-neutral.
• No nuclear, no fossil fuels.
• Using technology available today.
We can provide a healthy sustainable diet,
biomass and capture carbon using UK land.
ZCB also shows that
Other benefits:
• 1.5 million jobs
• Increased resilience
• Biodiversity
• Improved wellbeing
© All rights reserved by Centre for Alternative Technology
Other benefits:
• 1.5 million jobs
• Increased resilience
• Biodiversity
• Improved wellbeing
A positive future.
© All rights reserved by Centre for Alternative Technology
Zero Carbon Britain
To demonstrate that integrated and
technically feasible solutions do exist.
To demonstrate that integrated and
technically feasible solutions do exist.
To support and inspire the action needed
to achieve a positive zero carbon future.
www.zerocarbonbritain.org
www.zerocarbonbritain.org
18th
– 20th
July
www.zerocarbonbritain.org
How can ZCB be most useful?
How can ZCB be most useful?
• Helps us see the scale of our actions.
How can ZCB be most useful?
• Helps us see the scale of our actions.
• Be more radical in what we ask for.
How can ZCB be most useful?
• Helps us see the scale of our actions.
• Be more radical in what we ask for.
• As a tool to help forge political will.
http://www.twoenergyfutures.org Danny Chivers et al.
How can ZCB be most useful?
• Helps us see the scale of our actions.
• Be more radical in what we ask for.
• As a tool to help forge political will.
• Helps local groups fit into a bigger picture.
How can ZCB be most useful?
• Helps us see the scale of our actions.
• Be more radical in what we ask for.
• As a tool to help forge political will.
• Helps local groups fit into a bigger picture.
• Helps us imagine an alternative future.
‘What we need is credible optimism … the
real problem is that we can’t imagine the
alternative’ – Naomi Klein
www.cat.org.uk | @centre_alt_tech
www.zerocarbonbritain.org | #ZCB
We have the technology to power the UK
with 100% renewable energy, to feed ourselves
sustainably and to leave a safe and habitable
climate for our children and future generations.
Have you learned
something new this
evening?
Speak to someone with the same coloured
blob
How are you feeling
right now?
(bit of emotion
please…)
Speak to someone with a different coloured
blob
Is there a particular
fact or statistic that’s
going to stick in your
head?
Blue blobs speak to green blobs
Black blobs speak to red blobs
Is there anything
you’re thinking about
differently as a result
of the evening?
Blue blobs speak to red blobs
Black blobs speak to green blobs
Who do you think
might find ZCB
useful – will you tell
them?
Speak to someone with the same coloured
blob
Will anything you’ve
learned tonight
change your approach
to sustainability or
environmental action?
Speak to someone with a different coloured
blob
What do you think is
the most useful thing
to do with this
research now?
Speak to someone with a different coloured
blob
Don’t forget to add
your thoughts to the
comment and
feedback cards!
Thankyou!
(now just have fun)
Speak to whoever you want!
www.cat.org.uk | @centre_alt_tech
www.zerocarbonbritain.org | #ZCB

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