The Real New Deal: Carbon-Free by 2030
•Als PPTX, PDF herunterladen•
0 gefällt mir•224 views
Addressing the climate emergency; getting to Net Zero carbon emissions by 2030. Talk presented in Phoenix, October 11, 2019 to Insulation Contractors Association of America.
Empfohlen
Weitere ähnliche Inhalte
Was ist angesagt?
Was ist angesagt? (18)
Ähnlich wie The Real New Deal: Carbon-Free by 2030
Ähnlich wie The Real New Deal: Carbon-Free by 2030 (18)
Mehr von Jerry Yudelson
Mehr von Jerry Yudelson (20)
Kürzlich hochgeladen
Kürzlich hochgeladen (20)
The Real New Deal: Carbon-Free by 2030
- 1. Greta Thunberg at the UN September 23rd
- 2. The Real New Deal: Carbon-Free …by 2030? JERRY YUDELSON
- 3. Seven Statements and One Take-Away The Science is Clear! oWe have been warned for 30 years oHottest September on record was last month oSince 1989, the world has emitted more CO2 into the atmosphere than in all previous human history oUS has emitted 25% of all CO2 since 1900 oWe are on a path to increase global average temperatures more than 3.6F/2.0C above 20th century averages, by 2100 (This is a “conservative” estimate; 5.4F/3C, or 7F/4C is more likely) oTemperatures and CO2 at this level are unknown for at least a million years oSea level rise of 3 feet by 2100 is almost certain; 6 feet is possible if glacial melting accelerates with warmer temperatures
- 4. Seven Statements and One Take-Away What Do We Have to Do? oWe need to reduce net global carbon emissions to zero by 2040 and to cut them by 50% from today’s level by 2030. oWe have no game plan for this change. oEmbodied carbon from building materials is a crucial to controlling near-term emissions growth. (Concrete, steel, aluminum) oArchitects are turning to mass timber oThe Take-Away: Every industry will have to change radically to respond.
- 6. Our Dilemma If 350 ppm CO2 concentration in the atmosphere is what’s ultimately required, can we hope to solve things by “holding the line” at 450 ppm?
- 7. The Defining Business Issue of Our Time Greta Thunberg “We are at the beginning of a mass extinction and all you can talk about is money and fairy tales of eternal economic growth. How dare you."
- 9. • Climate change/global warming is guaranteed! – Only unknown: magnitude & pace – We won’t reduce carbon emissions fast enough • IEA/OPEC: demand growth for oil to 2040 (2018 forecast) – Carbon capture/storage unproven – Creating resiliency vs. climate change: costly and slow
- 10. Earthrise
- 11. What’s Going On? Pleistocene => Holocene =>Anthropocene
- 12. “Trump administration sees a 7-degree-F rise in global temperatures by 2100”* * Washington Post, September 27, 2018
- 15. Goldman Sachs Report on Climate Change Rising temperatures would lead to: ◦ Changing disease patterns ◦ More intense and longer-lasting heatwaves ◦ More destructive weather events (Hurricanes, rainstorms, droughts) ◦ Pressure on the availability and quality of water for drinking and agriculture. Major cities at risk of flooding: ◦ Parts of New York, Tokyo, and Lagos all at risk of being partially submerged. ◦ Miami, Alexandria, Dhaka, Mumbai, and Shanghai face major flood risks Source: https://tinyurl.com/y4vpwdl7, accessed September 25, 2019.
- 16. “Known Unknowns” •Government at all levels will be beyond broke • Pensions & Social Security & Health Care may take ~90% of budgets • All other funding will fight for the balance •Political strife (intergenerational) will hinder effective action •~60 million Boomers retired by 2030, most living on fixed incomes, resist higher energy prices/carbon taxes •Cost of disasters will increase dramatically (not just Puerto Rico or Bahamas)
- 17. UnknUnU “Reports that say that something hasn't happened are always interesting to me, because as we know, there are known knowns; there are things we know we know. We also know there are known unknowns; that is to say we know there are some things we do not know (now). But there are also unknown unknowns — the ones we don't know we don't know…Those in the latter category tend to be the (most) difficult ones.” Donald Rumsfeld U.S. Secretary of Defense 2001-2006 “Unknown Unknowns”
- 25. Climate Walkout, September 2019 Climate Strikes • 150 Countries • 4+ million people • Mostly young • Holding governments accountable
- 26. Climate Change: The National Security Challenge U.S. military leaders believe climate change poses the largest mid- term risk to our national security and has been planning for it since at least 2014.
- 27. Time for a “Climate Moonshot?” What Would It Look Like?
- 28. Climate Walkout, September 2019 Is the “Green New Deal” the “Best Deal?”
- 30. Energy Efficiency: “50% Solution” New research shows that energy efficiency measures can slash U.S. energy use and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions 50 percent by 2050, moving the country halfway towards its climate goals. �1/3 of energy efficiency goals can come from buildings. Source: American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy, https://aceee.org/research-report/u1907.
- 32. Energy Efficiency Jobs Top Most Sectors in Growth Potential The least exotic, most productive solution to the climate crisis: Energy efficiency jobs outnumber power generation jobs in 48 states. In 15 states, efficiency jobs exceed combined fuel, energy, power generation, transmission, distribution, & storage jobs.
- 34. …Move to where the ball is headed!
- 35. Why These Changes Are Likely to Happen Soon "Boycotts, sanctions and divestment ultimately proved effective in South Africa because the underlying cause had a critical mass of support, both inside and outside the country. That required a mindset shift. This time, the whole world must recognize that attempting to perpetuate the status quo is to damn future generations to violence and insecurity.” -- Desmond Tutu, quoted in the Financial Times, September 2019
Hinweis der Redaktion
- We all know the “boiled frog” analogy: small, steady increases in temperature are not enough to cause us to jump out of the pot.
- The Elephant in the Room
- The Elephant in the Room
- On Christmas Eve 1968, almost exactly 50 years ago, during 10 orbits of Apollo 8, three American astronauts became the first people ever to see the back side of the moon. Astronaut William Anders snapped an iconic photo of the blue Earth, teeming with water, air and life, as it rose above the surface of a gray, barren and lifeless moon. The first “Earth Rise” ever seen. That iconic photo, “Earthrise,” showed us that we are not only alone against the vast blackness of space, but that we are all in this together. That image was an emotional spark that lit the fuse for an era of environmentalism, highlighted by the first Earth Day in 1970 and most of the environmental laws in force today. It became an icon for the counterculture, appearing numerous times as the back cover of The Whole Earth Catalog, the countercultural playbook of the early 1970s, with the slogan, “We Are As Gods and Better Get Good at It.” Stewart Brand, the founder and editor of the Catalog, recently amended that slogan to read, “We Are As Gods and MUST Get Good at It.”
- We’ve come a long way since exiting the Stone Age some 12,000 years ago, a few hundred thousand humans moving from the savannahs of Africa to 7.5 billion (and soon to be 9.0 billion) people occupying the desktops of Silicon Valley and the gilded palaces of Las Vegas. We have entered an entirely new era, the Holocene, in which human activity is the primary geologic and ecological force on Earth. How can we prepare for this?
- We have lived in an interglacial age for 12,000 years, without large warming/cooling cycles – we don’t know culturally how to deal with this new situation.
- We have lived in an interglacial age for 12,000 years, without large warming/cooling cycles – we don’t know culturally how to deal with this new situation.
- U.S. Government is primarily “a (heavily indebted) insurance company with an army.”
- U.S. Government is primarily “a (heavily indebted) insurance company with an army.”
- U.S. Government is primarily “a (heavily indebted) insurance company with an army.”
- U.S. Government is primarily “a (heavily indebted) insurance company with an army.”
- U.S. Government is primarily “a (heavily indebted) insurance company with an army.”
- U.S. Government is primarily “a (heavily indebted) insurance company with an army.”
- U.S. Government is primarily “a (heavily indebted) insurance company with an army.”
- U.S. Government is primarily “a (heavily indebted) insurance company with an army.”