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Track record and strategy
Jørgen Ole Haslestad, President & CEO
1



2011/12 season saw highest EBITDA so far


NOK millions                                                                                        CROGI
 25 000                                                                                               30 %


                                                                                                      25 %
 20 000

                                                                                                      20 %
 15 000
                                                                                                      15 %
 10 000
                                                                                                      10 %

  5 000
                                                                                                      5%


      0                                                                                               0%
                    06/07                     07/08        08/09         09/10      10/11   11/12
                                                  EBITDA     EBITDA ex sp. Items   CROGI




          Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
2

Our Upstream system benefitted from increased
fertilizer prices

        Yearly change in nitrogen prices                        EBITDA excluding special items,
                                                                        NOK billions
     73 %
                                                                                                      13,5



 47 %
                43 %
                                                                                                7,1

                        24 %                                   5,1
                                                                     4,5
                                                       15 %
                                           10 %                                     2,0
                                                  7%                       1,0


                                                              Downstream   Industrial           Upstream

                            -15 %
  3Q11              4Q11       1Q12               2Q12
                    Ammonia    Urea                                         10/11       11/12



   Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
3

Weaker European season compensated by our
ability to export high value products

                                               OPP nitrate and NPK volumes
                                                          kilotons

                      7 010            6 952
                                                6 513




                                                                                   2 092     2 222
                                                                          1 490




                                      Europe                                      Overseas
                                                        09/10   10/11   11/12




   Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
4

Asset optimization has contributed to
earnings growth
EBITDA
(NOK                                                                                              Pilbara
millions)                                                                                       (increase)
35 000
                                           Kemira                                               Rossosh
                  Fertibras                               Belle Plaine
                                          GrowHow
30 000
                                         Yara Praxair                                          Yara Praxair
                                                             Lifeco       Fosfertil              (partial)
25 000                                     (partial)

20 000

15 000

10 000

 5 000

      0
                    06/07                     07/08           08/09         09/10      10/11      11/12

                                                        Acquisitions     Divestments




          Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
5



Strong balance sheet gives significant flexibility

                            Net interest-bearing debt / equity ratio (end of period)

        0,75


                 0,63
                         0,57 0,56
                                           0,49

                                                  0,38
                                                         0,32
                                                                0,27
                                                                       0,20 0,22

                                                                                   0,12 0,12          0,08
                                                                                               0,07          0,06


                    2009                            2010                      2011                     2012




   Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
6



Growth ambition remains firm

                                           Growth in OPP/JV volumes

                                                     +8.0
                                                                      32.5


                 24.5




                2010                                                  2016




   Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
7

We started up Qafco 5 & 6 and initiated
expansions in Porsgrunn and Belle Plaine




   Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
8

We took control in Yara Pilbara and decided to
invest USD 350 million in the TAN plant




   Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
9



Strategic backdrop


•   Continued demand growth
•   New gas situation, with lower North American prices and new
    emerging gas regions
•   China continuing as swing exporter
•   Concern about supply additions, North America and others adding new
    capacity
•   Strong cash generation from all players in the next few years,
    competition for assets




    Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
10

Securing competitiveness through
differentiation


Using the strength of
                                            Increasing innovation   Creating impact
our business model




    Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
11

Both value-added and commodity products
important to strengthen competitive edge

                                  Million tons capacity*
                                                                 12.9




                                                                  6.5     Nitrates
                                7.5
                                1.3                                                  Announced expansions
         UAN                    1.2


                                                                  5.7     NPK
      Urea**                    5.0




                         Commodity                            Value add



 * Including equity share of non-consolidated investees’ capacity
 ** Including recently implemented expansions in Qafco and Sluiskil


      Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
12



Growth ambition remains firm

                                                       Growth in OPP/JV volumes

                                                                  +8.0
                                                                                                              32.5
                                                                  28.5                 ~4.0
                    24.5                        ~4.0




                   2010                       Committed        2016 with           New supply                 2016
                                               projects2    committed projects      needed to
                                                                                 achieve ambition
 1) Excluding CO2 and industrial gases
 2) Qafco V and VI, Sluiskil VII and Porsgrunn NPK, Pilbara TAN, Belle Plaine, capacity creep/smaller expansions


      Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
13

Debottlenecking and regional M&A
most attractive


     Reconfiguration/expansion at
     existing sites, potential for
 1
     increased NPKs, nitrates and
     CN


     Pursue medium-size/regional
     M&A, likely highest probability
 2
     of success in current
     environment


     Secure longer term partnerships
     with access to low cost raw
 3
     materials for potential new
     builds




     Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
14

We want to create impact through our
Leadership Agenda
                                            Drive profitable
     Leading                                revenue growth
    enterprise
  in agricultural                                                     Continuous
   development                                                      improvement to
                                                                 fine tune operations

                                             Industry Shaper


     Performance
   and positioning on
     environmental
       solutions
                                                     Company-wide
                                                   focus on corporate
                                                      governance

    Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December


                                                                                        14
Conclusions and outlook
16




Prospects 2013
   Strong demand amid tight global grain
    situation, strong food prices and farmer
    margins


   Capacity growth outside China likely to be
    below consumption growth


   China likely to keep a swing role during the
    second half of 2013


   US capacity growth impacts markets mainly
    after 2015




     Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
17



Premium fertilizer margins linked to farmer
profitability, also at lower urea price levels

CAN price                                                                                                    Wheat price
USD/t                                                                                                             USD/t
   450                                                                                                              400

   400                                                                                                              350
   350
                                                                                                                    300
   300
                                                                                                                    250
   250
                                                                                                                    200
   200
                                                                                                                    150
   150
                                                                                                                    100
   100

    50                                                                                                              50

      0                                                                                                             0
      02/03            03/04           04/05      05/06   06/07     07/08     08/09   09/10         10/11   11/12


                                         Adjusted urea*    Nitrate premium, USD/t     Wheat price




         Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
18



Well positioned for profitable
operations and growth

   Need for sustainable improvements in
    agricultural productivity is as strong as
    ever


   Yara’s value-added products provide
    additional productivity, and provide
    sustainable premiums over and above
    commodity margins


   Committed to delivering sustained
    shareholder value generation, through
    profitable growth and cash returns




     Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December

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CMD 2012: Track Record and Strategy (Jørgen Ole Haslestad)

  • 1. Track record and strategy Jørgen Ole Haslestad, President & CEO
  • 2. 1 2011/12 season saw highest EBITDA so far NOK millions CROGI 25 000 30 % 25 % 20 000 20 % 15 000 15 % 10 000 10 % 5 000 5% 0 0% 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 EBITDA EBITDA ex sp. Items CROGI Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
  • 3. 2 Our Upstream system benefitted from increased fertilizer prices Yearly change in nitrogen prices EBITDA excluding special items, NOK billions 73 % 13,5 47 % 43 % 7,1 24 % 5,1 4,5 15 % 10 % 2,0 7% 1,0 Downstream Industrial Upstream -15 % 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 Ammonia Urea 10/11 11/12 Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
  • 4. 3 Weaker European season compensated by our ability to export high value products OPP nitrate and NPK volumes kilotons 7 010 6 952 6 513 2 092 2 222 1 490 Europe Overseas 09/10 10/11 11/12 Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
  • 5. 4 Asset optimization has contributed to earnings growth EBITDA (NOK Pilbara millions) (increase) 35 000 Kemira Rossosh Fertibras Belle Plaine GrowHow 30 000 Yara Praxair Yara Praxair Lifeco Fosfertil (partial) 25 000 (partial) 20 000 15 000 10 000 5 000 0 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 Acquisitions Divestments Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
  • 6. 5 Strong balance sheet gives significant flexibility Net interest-bearing debt / equity ratio (end of period) 0,75 0,63 0,57 0,56 0,49 0,38 0,32 0,27 0,20 0,22 0,12 0,12 0,08 0,07 0,06 2009 2010 2011 2012 Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
  • 7. 6 Growth ambition remains firm Growth in OPP/JV volumes +8.0 32.5 24.5 2010 2016 Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
  • 8. 7 We started up Qafco 5 & 6 and initiated expansions in Porsgrunn and Belle Plaine Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
  • 9. 8 We took control in Yara Pilbara and decided to invest USD 350 million in the TAN plant Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
  • 10. 9 Strategic backdrop • Continued demand growth • New gas situation, with lower North American prices and new emerging gas regions • China continuing as swing exporter • Concern about supply additions, North America and others adding new capacity • Strong cash generation from all players in the next few years, competition for assets Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
  • 11. 10 Securing competitiveness through differentiation Using the strength of Increasing innovation Creating impact our business model Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
  • 12. 11 Both value-added and commodity products important to strengthen competitive edge Million tons capacity* 12.9 6.5 Nitrates 7.5 1.3 Announced expansions UAN 1.2 5.7 NPK Urea** 5.0 Commodity Value add * Including equity share of non-consolidated investees’ capacity ** Including recently implemented expansions in Qafco and Sluiskil Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
  • 13. 12 Growth ambition remains firm Growth in OPP/JV volumes +8.0 32.5 28.5 ~4.0 24.5 ~4.0 2010 Committed 2016 with New supply 2016 projects2 committed projects needed to achieve ambition 1) Excluding CO2 and industrial gases 2) Qafco V and VI, Sluiskil VII and Porsgrunn NPK, Pilbara TAN, Belle Plaine, capacity creep/smaller expansions Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
  • 14. 13 Debottlenecking and regional M&A most attractive Reconfiguration/expansion at existing sites, potential for 1 increased NPKs, nitrates and CN Pursue medium-size/regional M&A, likely highest probability 2 of success in current environment Secure longer term partnerships with access to low cost raw 3 materials for potential new builds Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
  • 15. 14 We want to create impact through our Leadership Agenda Drive profitable Leading revenue growth enterprise in agricultural Continuous development improvement to fine tune operations Industry Shaper Performance and positioning on environmental solutions Company-wide focus on corporate governance Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December 14
  • 17. 16 Prospects 2013  Strong demand amid tight global grain situation, strong food prices and farmer margins  Capacity growth outside China likely to be below consumption growth  China likely to keep a swing role during the second half of 2013  US capacity growth impacts markets mainly after 2015 Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
  • 18. 17 Premium fertilizer margins linked to farmer profitability, also at lower urea price levels CAN price Wheat price USD/t USD/t 450 400 400 350 350 300 300 250 250 200 200 150 150 100 100 50 50 0 0 02/03 03/04 04/05 05/06 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 Adjusted urea* Nitrate premium, USD/t Wheat price Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December
  • 19. 18 Well positioned for profitable operations and growth  Need for sustainable improvements in agricultural productivity is as strong as ever  Yara’s value-added products provide additional productivity, and provide sustainable premiums over and above commodity margins  Committed to delivering sustained shareholder value generation, through profitable growth and cash returns Capital Markets Day 2012 – 4 December