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Founding partners
Energy Architecture & UN Sustainable Development
- and our Responsible Leadership -
- 28 November 2019, Berlin-
Adriaan Kamp
Energy For One World
Executive Programme New Energy
Realities- 2019
Adriaan Kamp
Energy For One World (2012- Present)
A consulting practice on Global Change, Energy Architecture,
UN SDG’s and Leadership.
Program Director Executive Energy (transition) & Leadership
Education
20 years Industry and Shell International Upstream ( 5
Countries and EPHQ).
Contents of Session
1. Years 2015-2019: Global Change, Energy Transition, Climate
Change and the Sustainable Development Agenda 2030
2. Organising ourselves for Success: “Energy Free Of Concerns”
3. Opportunities, Skills and our (Personal) Responsible Leadership
Global Context Period 2015-Now
1. Global Change and Geo-Politics of Emotions
2. New Energy Realities
- New Era for Energy Politics (Davos WEF 2018)
- Strategic Outlook on Energy (Davos WEF 2019)
- IEA World Energy Outlook 2019- Disparities
- New Technologies, Architectures and Market Models
- Energy available, affordable and sustainable: “Free of Concerns”
- www.energyandstuff.org
3. Paris Climate Change Agreement and COP24 Katowice
4. UN Sustainable Development 2030 ¶
5, Our Collective Leadership
Question for the 21st century: Will it all fit?
5
Prof. Jeffrey Sachs- Earth Institute:
The Age of Sustainable Development
5/25/2018
Clickable Video Presentation
Clickable Presentation
UN FCCC COP21 Paris (3) - Paris Climate Change Agreement
Transbiblica
Pope Francis and his Encyclical Laudato Si!
– on Poverty, People and the Environment: Care for Creation
WWF Living Planet Reports (2019)
IPBES- GLobal Assessment Biodiversity Loss (2019)
12
13
14
15
Club Of Rome- 50 years: Book Launch:
Come on! Short-termism, Population
and the Destruction of the Planet
Ernst von Weizsacker/ Anders Wijkman
Age of Discovery- Navigating the
Risk and Rewards of our New Age
Renaissance.
Ian Goldin- Oxford Martin School
16
G20 Argentina:
“Holding it all Together”
BRICS2019:
“A Call to Modernize UN”
18
The Direction of our Societies
19
SG Guterres at WEF Davos : “in one sentence”
20
Guterres: The world’s problems are “more and more integrated” but the response to
them is increasingly “fragmented” and “dysfunctional”,
21
UNEP Emission Gap Report 2018
This year’s report shows—among other findings—that there is a
need for three to five times higher reductions in greenhouse gas
emissions than the goals agreed by the world’s countries in the
Paris Agreement.
The distance has increased between climate commitments and
the reduction of greenhouse gases needed if we are to meet the
goals in the Paris Agreement.
“There’s thus both a large gap between what the world’s
countries have promised to do and what is needed, and another
gap between the commitments made and what’s actually being
done.”
– The IEA reports that fossil fuel production and consumption,
and thus also carbon emissions, are on the rise, our carbon
budget for a 1.5-2 Degrees Celsius scenario already consumed.
22
23
The Truth Behind the Climate Pledges
24
The Truth Behind the Climate Pledges
Schroders Investment: View on Things
25
COP21- COP24 : Organizing for delivery of the Paris
Agreement (2) : “Between Hope and Despair”
26
27
UNFCCC report(s) on Climate Risks
28
IEA’s year 2019 analysis of how renewables are
growing
Year 2040 Expectations vs. Goals
IEA WEO2019
(and international Oil & Gas
community)
80 : 20
UN FCCC
(& Science Community)
20 : 80
Greta Thunberg: “Our House is on Fire & I want you to panic”
31
32
33
34
UN SDGs- Global Responsibilities
36
37
38
39
70th year of Universal Declaration of Human Rights
(1949-2019)
40
42
43
Davos 2018- “Creating a Shared Future in a Fractured World”
•The global context today has changed dramatically: geostrategic
fractures have re-emerged on multiple fronts with wide-ranging
political, economic and social consequences.
•“Our collective inability to secure inclusive growth and preserve our
scarce resources puts multiple global systems at risk simultaneously.
Our first response must be to develop new models for cooperation
that are not based on narrow interests but on the destiny of humanity
as a whole," said Klaus Schwab, Founder and Executive Chairman,
World Economic Forum.
44
Founding partners
25.05.2018
Geopolitical shifts and re-alignments
• Economic and finance system change and fundamentals
• A new technological era: 4th
Industrial Revolution.
• Global production systems & the rise of new (multinational)
corporations
• Social Changes (networked economies), and the quest for social
wealth & justice
• Planetary boundaries/ Resource Scarcities/ Loss of Biodiversity
and Nature
• Demographic change and migration/ Changing labour markets
Global Change
46
2014
2030-2050
7 Billion
People
10 Billion
People
90 trillion
USD
economy
180-210
trillion USD
225 million
oil eq/day
(15 TW)
500- 750 million
oil eq/day
(55 TW)
405 ppm CO2 and Carbon Budget
consumed for 2 degrees/ 21st
century
??? ppm CO2 and
Climate Change Effects
BRIC:
It’s our time. Let us grow our
Economies and take care of
our people
You’ll fix whatever you want to
fix!
The West:
“If you do as I have done
it will be
a mess.”
Let us all change- rapidly
Let’s secure our nation,
people and planet
Emerging:
Will there be enough for
us?
Can i afford it?
Who will deliver it to me?
The poor:
When will we see
electricity and get
mobility?
Opec and GasPec:
You need us!
We can deliver your needs!
What is all that fuzz about
Availability and climate change?
2/1/2012 Energy For One World- All Rights Reserved
Pathways
Between Oceans and Mountains: There is a Sky!
• The Sky Scenario illustrates a technically possible, but
challenging pathway for society to achieve the goals of the
Paris Agreement. Sky builds on previous Shell scenarios
publications and is our most optimistic scenario in terms of
climate outcomes.
• A new energy system is emerging. The Paris Agreement has
sent a signal around the world: climate change is a serious
issue that governments are determined to address. By 2070
there is the potential for a very different energy system to
emerge.
• The Sky Scenario outlines what we believe to be a
technologically, industrially, and economically possible route
forward, consistent with limiting the global average
temperature rise to well below 2°C from pre-industrial levels.
It reveals the potential for an energy system to emerge that
brings modern energy to all in the world, without delivering a
climate legacy that society cannot readily adapt to.
50
BP Energy Outlook - 2017
2017- BP Energy Outlook
52
BP Energy Outlook 2035
5/25/2018
Exxon Mobile Analytical View of the World
54
www.energyandstuff.org
55
Clickable Go to Website
Source: Norwegian Petroleum Directorate
57
E& P Realities of Cost Curves
58
The Present Big Elephant in the Room:
“The Prize of Oil”
The Context We see Ourselves in
Contents of Session
1. Years 2015-2018: Global Change, Energies Transition,
Climate Change and the Sustainable Development Agenda 2030
2. Organising ourselves for Success: “Energy Free of Concerns”
3. Opportunities, Skills and our (Personal) Responsible
Leadership
UN
Regional Blocks
Countries
Cities
Communities
Companies and Institutes
Co-alitions of the Willing
Sustainable Community Building
Our world is under construction:
The Rise of a new middle-class ( 3 Billion) – in MegaCities
and more people live in Greater Tokyo (35m) than in all of Canada
The top 10 cities by population:
1. Tokyo, (34 million)
2. Seoul (24.4 million)
3. Guangzhou (24.2 million)
4. Mexico City (23.4 million)
5. Delhi (23.2 million)
6. Mumbai (22.8 million)
7. New York (22.2 million)
8. Sao Paolo (20.9 million)
9. Manila (19.6 million)
10. Shanghai (19.4 million)
All above fit comfortably into the list
Of Top-50 nations by population
Organizing ourselves: “zippered”- in dimensions
Mainstream
• UN Re-organisation (0)
• Governments (1)
• Corporates and Global Compact (2a)
• Government- Business- Science Community (UN SDSN) (2b)
• New Entrants/ Innovators/ Game-changers (3)
• Sectors/ Green Growth/ UN SDGs (4)
1+2+3+4 +5= Hybrid Eco-system
Bottoms-up
• Community, Start-up Community (5)
Some Regional Development Examples
(as it is today)
71
Saudi Aramco IPO: the value of good reserves
960 × 540
Wall Street Journal
73
74
Russia Priority National Projects -
The Yuzhny Satellite Town is one of the most
ambitious multi-functional development projects in
Russia.
Source: START Development
Click to Go To Website
Germany: An example how it works- in real
E-on and VW
77
Siemens
Dismantling an Icon
Since Kaeser took charge in 2013, there has been a flurry
of spinoffs, carveouts and joint ventures at the German
giant
● May 2014: Siemens slims its divisions to nine from
16; carves out health care and announces listing of
hearing aid business
● September 2014: Siemens sells stake in kitchen and
washing machine business to Bosch
● November 2014: Sells hearing-aid unit to EQT for
2.14 billion euros ($2.4 billion)
● June 2016: Announces merger of wind power
division to form Siemens Gamesa
● November 2016: Announces Siemens Healthineers
will be brought to market
● February 2019: Plan to form rail joint venture with
France’s Alstom is blocked by European authorities
● May 2019: Siemens announces plan to carve out
power and gas businesses
Germany Coal Commission: Phase-Out 2038
79
BERLIN (Reuters) - 26.1.2019: Germany should shut down all of its coal-fired power plants by 2038 at the latest, a
government-appointed commission said on Saturday, proposing at least 40 billion euros ($45.7 billion) in aid to regions affected by the
phase-out.
Energy in the Netherlands (1)
• RutteIII
• What to do after “Groningen Gas
(21/12 Bcm) & New Energy
Transition (Climate) Accord- II ?
• What to do with/after Pernis?
• Electrification of Homes, Cars,
Transport and Cities
• Greening of intensive energy
Industries-, Agri-, Petro-;
• Regional Energy Markets
• What new export markets can we
create?
A wide spectacle of innovation, initiatives
and choice
81
Energy in the Netherlands (2)
The challenge the Dutch are facing is a triple national budget and investment
challenge:
• 1. The decrease in (state) income due to the earlier closure of Groningen
Gas. The estimated economic value of the lost gas is between 50-125
Billion Euro.
• 2. Additional expenses to be able to import Gas (temporarily) and as
"bridging fuel" - in the transition and accelerated investments in (eg) Wind
Offshore, as an alternative to the loss of Groningen Gas.
• 3. Renovation of Dutch energy architecture: Investments in electrification,
the built environment and agri-, industry- to "get off gas / gasless" and to
meet Paris [1]
82
Change not without some popular opinions, pressures,
pains and votes
83
A New Green Plan- NW Europe
“Holland”- in and between Germany, UK, France and
Scandinavia
86
Some Examples- from our Energy Sector
(as it is today)
Focus Areas (Energy Sector)
(Year 2019 and beyond- example only)
Oil& Petrochemicals – Plastics in the
Oceans, Fumes in the Air, and Carbon
in the Atmosphere
Gas, Emissions vs New Power- and
Mobility- Energy Architectures
Energy Architecture Developments,
Economies and UN SDGs
GeoPolitics, Free trade and “Energy
to All” or
“Energy-Economies Free of Concerns”
Change &
Transformation
Old and New Clickable Presentations
Vs 350 Bn USD investment
Statoil: Equinor
90
Example Shell (1)
91
Example Shell (2):
“A decisive step to a cleaner energy future”
Royal Dutch Shell pledged to double its investment in
renewable fuels and to cut its carbon emissions in half by
2050.
• In comments to investors, Ben van Beurden, Shell’s chief
executive, said that from 2018 to 2020, the company’s
new-energies division would spend up to $2 billion a
year on renewable energy sources like wind, solar and
hydrogen power and on electric-car charging stations.
• Mr. van Beurden stressed that the pledge was just a
start and that the company supported the goal of
the Paris accord, which is to keep global temperatures
92
It’s time for Shell to accelerate its efforts in
the transition to a lower-carbon world. This
is how I plan to drive change through the
company.- 8 December 2017
Example Shell (3):
“A decisive step to a cleaner energy future”
Into the 2020s, however, we plan a greater focus on
revenue streams that will be less constrained by policies
to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, including
petrochemicals and electricity. Shell has made a series of
moves in recent months to strengthen its position in the
power industry, with deals to buy Texas electricity group
MP2, electric vehicle charging company NewMotion, and
UK energy retailer First Utility.
“If you fast forward with another twenty, thirty, forty,
fifty years, the power segment is going to be a very
dominant part of the total energy system,” Mr van
Beurden said. “At the moment it’s only 18 per cent but it
will be more than 50 by the time this century is over. So
we cannot pass up on that opportunity.”
93
It’s time for Shell to accelerate its efforts in
the transition to a lower-carbon world. This
is how I plan to drive change through the
company.- 8 December 2017
Example Shell (4):
2018 European Cleantech Corporation of the Year.
• The European Cleantech Corporation of the Year award exists to recognize “a
major European enterprise whose activities, actions and consistent support over
multiple years have significantly contributed to the growth of cleantech innovation,
and/or demand for cleaner products and services, and who has made some
particularly noteworthy actions over the last 12 months.”
• The 2018 European Cleantech Corporation of the Year was awarded to Shell. The
following three reasons are why Shell stood out for this award:
• 1. The sense of a new level of commitment and action, with which Shell is
gripping the challenges of the huge and disruptive transitions ongoing in the world
of energy and transportation, and the urgency with which it has been making
strategic moves.
• 2. The range of actions it has been taking. A few examples to illustrate include:
• a. New Energy Solutions. Capital commitments of on average $1-2bn per annum
behind this relatively new initiative (launched in May 2016) represents a significant
commitment by Shell to transforming its own business model.
• b. Commitments to lower carbon. Shell announced plans in Nov 2017 to cut the
net carbon footprint of its energy products by around half by 2050, with an interim
step of 20% by 2035 in line with society.
• c. Acquisitions. There have been a number, but most striking are MP2 Energy and
First Utility, for example, that set out Shell’s clear strategic intent to become a
player in the electricity markets of the future.
• d. Shell Ventures, Springboard and other initiatives and their work with the global
innovation ecosystem and entrepreneurs, shaping the future industrial world.
• e. A global player. We have seen deals across the map,
geographically and in terms of the different dynamics on energy’s
future – from renewables to EV charging, from mobility services to
energy access.
• f. Working in partnership with peers. Shell is one of the founding
members of OGCI (Oil & Gas Climate Initiative), the cross-industry
effort to de-carbonise the oil & gas industry.
• 3. The actions and transactions levels have noticeably increased
over the last 12 months.
• a. Shell has been the most active European-based CVC across the
energy and industrial innovation themes we cover. Deals have
included Axiom Energy, Husk Power, HyET, Innowatts, Steamaco, and
Sunseap.
• b. Shell has been an active acquirer. Examples over the period
include:
• i. The significant stake acquired in the US solar developer, Silicon
Ranch Corporation (Jan 2018)
ii. The entry into the UK retail market via the acquisition of First
Utility (Dec 2017)
iii. The acquisition of the Dutch venture-backed
company, NewMotion, the pan-European network of electric vehicle
charging stations (Oct 2017)
iv. The acquisition of Texas-based MP2 Energy, a leader in Demand
Response Solutions (formally closed in September 2017)
94
95
Example Shell (5) :
A new take-over wave into New Energy Realities
?
96
800 × 400
On the Power (electricity) system and market
97
New Possibility Thinking (1)- Mission Innovation
New Possibility Thinking (2)-
Large, Larger, Largest Solar Farms (Example First Solar)
2 4 8 16 32 64 128 256 512 1024
2 yr 4yr 6yr 8 yr 10 yr 12 yr 14 yr 16 yr 18yr 20 yr
5 yr 10 yr 15 yr 20 yr 25 yr 30 yr 35 yr 40 yr 45 yr 50 yr
3500 hectares
160,000 homes
1,5 Bn USD
550 MW
8 million panels
New Possibility Thinking (3)-
Large, Larger, Largest Offshore Wind Farm’s (Examples only)
4
2 4 8 16 32 64 128 256 512 1024
2 yr 4yr 6yr 8 yr 10 yr 12 yr 14 yr 16 yr 18yr 20 yr
5 yr 10 yr 15 yr 20 yr 25 yr 30 yr 35 yr 40 yr 45 yr 50 yr
An offshore area of 100km2
175 wind turbines
Two offshore substations
Nearly 450km of offshore cabling
One onshore substation
630MW of electricity
Enough power for nearly half a million homes
New Possibility Thinking (4)-
Solar City, Tesla Battery and E-drive: A New Value Proposition
New Possibility Thinking (5)- Car-manufacturer, Carlos Ghosn
Electric Vehicles sales are in direct
correlation with the number and
amount of charging stations installed
in a city, region or nation.
It's a public-private partnership. It's a
matter of trust. It's a matter of
convenience. But it surely the way to
go into our Future.
(Carlos doesnot believe in fuel-celled LPV's. He
is truly committed to the electrification of
self-driving and navigating new car concepts)
Uber Google
Uber
New Possibility Thinking (6)-
Tony Seba- RethinkX (TaaS) study on personal mobility
105
TaaS= Transport as a Service
..But with a possible rare earth metal (mining) scarcity..
Cobalt
106
New Possibility Thinking(7)Smart Cities
The vision of “Smart Cities” is the urban center of the future, made safe, secure environmentally
green, and efficient because all structures - whether for power, water, transportation, etc. are
designed, constructed, and maintained making use of advanced, integrated materials, sensors,
electronics, and networks which are interfaced with computerized systems comprised of databases,
tracking, and decision-making algorithms. - U.S. Dept. of Energy, “The Vision of a Smart City”,
2000
Examples of New, Smart or Sustainable Cities:
• C40 – Vancouver, Oslo, New York, etc.
• Masdar, Abu Dhabi,
• New Songho City, South Korea,
• Gujarat International Finance Tec-City, India
• King Abdullah + Economic Cities Saudi Arabia
• e.g. China Tianjin Development
•PM Modi’s 100 smart cities
•King Abdullah Economic City, Saudi Arabia
New Possibility Thinking (8)
Better Housing Architecture- Zero, Zero-Plus and more
5/25/2018
New Possibility Thinking (9):
RE-100 Group
New Possibility Thinking (10):
Energy Project Finance
New Possibility Thinking (11)
Finance, Banks and Insurers
We are here- so mind the gap !
IRENA’s 2017 Annual Renewable Capacity Statistics
113
2008
1 TW
2016
2 TW
114
Over
Present
Oil & Gas Company
Jobs (8 mio)
Clean-Tech/ Renewables
Oil & Gas
A little conceptual..
(adding it all together)
120
From WEF/ Accenture: The energy architecture is an integrated physical system of energy
sources, carriers and demand sectors shaped by government, industry and civil society.
The energy architecture on location is a reflection of the socio-political,
economic, ecological and business philosophies, leadership and interests
exercised on location.
The energy architecture in a country, region or global community is (ideally) to serve (the rise of,
establishment of) thriving sustainable societies- making energy available, affordable and
sustainable to all: balancing economic interests with that of society and nature. Here and there.
Now and in the future.
121
Energy Architecture
Re-inventing Strategies/Relationships:
“X-Factor of Integration, Transition and
Transformation”
Renewables
Energy
Efficiency
Product
Re-designs
Energy
Architectures
Re-designs
Fossil
1 2
3
4
5
Princeton Wedges
Grow and Safe Energy
Change Energy Supply Source
Change Energy Architecture
Change Products (Cars, Homes) &
Industry Designs
Change Energy- Economy and
Direction of Lifestyles
Change Leadership Paradigm
124
125
Levels of Change
•Level 1
•Level 2
•Level 3
•Level 4
• Change and No Change. Resistance to Change. Policy, Administrative and Derivative Change
(CO2 tax, ETS, Accounting). Coal vs. Gas. Continued backroom lobbying
• Full Integration of Renewables (clean-tech, energy conservations, smartness, etc.) in the Energy
Architecture - but not with a system change. Retained regulations, ownership , revenue, tax and
capital control structures
• Transition to a New Energy Architecture and Newly shared socio-economic and corporate
business models- also in international trade
• Transformation of Economies and Societies. Eco-modernity and New human consciousness
The way it works: Country Categories and Markets (1)
•OECD- USA, Canada, Europe, Japan, Australia
•(Richer, Resource based) OPEC/ GasPec
•China Inc., India Inc.
•Developing (without Resources)
•Developing (with Resources)
•Least developed. Poor.
The way it works (2) : A New Formula in Business and Trade
Mainstream
•Governments (1)
•Energy Corporates and Incumbents (2)
•New Entrants/ Innovators/ Change-makers (3)
•Non-Energy Sectors/ Green Growth/ UN SDGs (4)
1+2+3+4 +5= Hybrid Eco-system
Bottoms-up
•Community, Start-up Community (5)
The way it works (3): New Forms of Collaborations
The way it may work (4): Finding the Rubik-Cube Combination
“Organizational Forms and Formats” - that works
“Horizontal and Vertical Integration”
130
e.g.
Country Categories,
Geographies &
Markets
Business Formula-
and
Cross-Sectors
Forms of
Collaboration
● Strengthening human well-being
and capabilities;
● Shifting towards sustainable and
just economies;
● Building sustainable food
systems and healthy nutrition
patterns;
● Achieving energy
decarbonization and universal
access to energy;
● Promoting sustainable urban and
peri-urban development; and
● Securing the global
environmental commons.
BluePrint For Business Leadership on the SDGs
132
133
197 countries need to change
“Every Energy Company and Every Energy Architecture in this
world can be improved upon in order to raise the availability,
affordability and sustainability of energy to all”.- Adriaan
Kamp, -2015
Every Country and Every Organization in this World can be
improved upon in order to raise the human, social, economic
and sustainable development to all- Adriaan Kamp- 2015
135
"The invitation we have today is to see and to blend our consciousness
and care for Deep Humanity and Deep ecology with our more
mainstream energy economics and politics- at play"
Let us direct our work and collective efforts towards attaining
“Energy Free of Concerns"
Adriaan Kamp
136
Building New Bridges
Contents of Session
1. Year 2015-2018: Global Change, Energies Transition,
Climate Change and the Sustainable Development Agenda 2030
2. Organising ourselves for success: Energy Free of Concerns
3. Opportunities, Skills and our (Personal) Responsible
Leadership
One World. Many Needs. Many Views
Founding partners
“In Leadership- we are all students for life”
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
Leadership Levels
•Managing Yourself
•Managing Others
•Managing complex change &
•Managing multi-stakeholders
Managing yourself
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
Founding partners
“Only good can come from good”
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
How much do you know about (your) self?
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
What happy people know
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
Bishop Currie
146
The answer to Hate, Greed, Social Injustice is
Dignity (Agape) and Peace
147
Founding partners
“Manage others as you would like to be
managed yourself”
(golden rule)
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
Managing innovation & change-
Internal/ External
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
Founding partners
“The art of making things Better”
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
151
Sources of Innovation
• Big- Bets • 1001-Nights, Kaizen/Takumi
• From Idea to Business
(Gamechangers)
Organizing people
5/25/2018
Napoleon’s Six Winning Principles, and Leading in the Front
• EXACTITUDE
awareness, research and continuous planning
• SPEED
reducing resistance, increasing urgency, and providing
focus
• FLEXIBILITY
building teams that are adaptable, empowered and
unified
• SIMPLICITY
clear, simple objectives, messages, and processes
• CHARACTER
integrity, calmness, and responsibility
• MORAL FORCE
providing order, purpose, recognition and rewards
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
Kelly Johnson’s Skunk Work Rules
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
Styles Differs- too. Two trillion dollar club successes
156
Gamechangers
UPSTREAM
OFFSHORE
PLATFORM
OIL
SANDS
Bitumen
DOWNSTREAM
Feedstock
Synthetic
crude oil
Fuels, lubricants and speciality products including
Bitumen and liquefied petroleum gas
UPGRADER
PLANT
Oil
REFINERY
Gas
LNG
LIQUEFICATION
PLANT
GAS TO
LIQUIDS
PLANT
BIOFUELS
PLANT
BIOFUELS
PLANT
WIND
TURBINES
Energy for industrial
and domestic use
LNG
REGASIFICATION
TERMINAL
POWER
STATION
ONSHORE
PRODUCTION FACILITY
Gas
Oil
CHEMICAL
PLANT
Petrochemicals used for plastics,
Coatings and detergents
Global Oil & Gas businesses
159
On the Power (electricity) system and market
160
161
We cannot save the Planet (Climate, Nature), if we cannot save
the People (Economy, Social Justice).
The People cannot be saved, if the Planet (Nature) is broken, at
risk or fails (e.g. pollution, resource scarcities, climate risks).
We better first solve (our problems), before we can make true
progress and change”
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
“”Resistance to change falls when the benefits are
made clear
Resistance to change falls when the Story feels Right
(“The Star” is Chosen “Right”)
We cannot “run” ourselves into Sustainability. Slow
down and walk in more beauty.
Responsible Leadership
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
164
Servant Leadership
•Compassionate love
•Authenticity
•Humbleness
•Empowerment
•Provide direction
•Stewardship
Here’s the essence of the gospel of Greenleaf. First and
foremost, truly great managers want to serve the people they
lead. They do this by supporting them rather than dictating to
them, and by assigning top priority to employee well-being.
Deceptively simple and deeply profound
Pope Francis: Dream Big
Can We Listen before Change?
Ernest Gundling: Understanding Cultures and
Relationships. The way it works
Energy For One World- 2017, All Rights Reserved
Hofstede: Cultures and Organizations. The
way it works
169
The Way it Works for a System Rethink
World View
Cultures
Institutions
Our Leadership Ways
How the World Thinks
170
Core
Values
Cultural Dimensions
Global People Skills
CONSCIOUS
UNCONSCIOUS
172
1. Sustainable Development- a new kind of Globalization
2. Sustainable Humanity (2012)
3. We can no longer manage decency (2018)
“Leading Global Decency”
A practice on Global Change, Energy Architecture, UN SDG’s and Our Leadership.
Energy For One World
Adriaan Kamp (Founder)
Skype: Adriaan.Kamp
TelCall Direct line (Netherlands):
0031-614939194
E-Mail:
adriaankamp@energyforoneworld.com
www.EnergyForOneWorld.com
Attachments
175
Eco-
Conscious
✓ Moderated Consumerism
✓ Limits to Growth
✓ Cradle-to-Cradle, Bio-Mimicry
✓ Zero emissions
Nature First
Networked
Society
✓ Away with traditional country and/or
corporate borders : City-Hubs.
✓ Horizontal, cross-border
collaborations
✓ Cultural awareness and tolerance
Power to the People
✓ Expansion of wealth, ownership and new growth
✓ Continued Consumerism and Hedonistic life-styles.
✓ Short-termism, Schumpeter, Ayn Rand, Resilience
✓ A world of larger inequalities and divisions:
✓ Rich and poor. Have’s and Have Not’s
Money First
Shared
Capitalis
m
✓ A world of Power , Principles and
Politics
✓ Polarisation between Beliefs and/or
Power Blocks
✓ The Geo-politics of Emotions
Power to the Strongest,
First
Darwin
Techno
Modernity
✓ The world of Prof. Michio Kaku and
✓ Kurz Weill Singularity
✓ Game-changers and Disruptive
Innovations
✓ A world of Smart Cities, New Surprises ,
Exponential Growth and Abundance
The Rule of Science &
Technology
✓ Conscious Capitalism
✓ The rise of new (global and business)
leadership: Gandhi’s and Mandela’s
✓ Neuroscience , psychology and spirituality
✓ Gaia, Oneness and Global Mind-set.
Transformative
leadership
Conscious
Humanity
Leadership and Vision: Opportunity
Framing and Decision Based Delivery
•The possibility for Value Creation is largest in the Early Stages of any opportunity
How good is your
Opportunity
Framing ?
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
*
An open enterprise web for leading cyclic and open innovations..
Technology
Scientific
Breakthrou
ghs
Product/Market
Combination
Societal
Transitions
Enterprise
Soft-Knowledge
Cycle
Open Market
Cycle
Engineering
Cycle
Hard-Knowledge
Cycle
Kotter on Change and Organizations for Change
186
Kotter on Change and Organizations for Change
New Start-up valleys focussing on
“Doing Good”, whilst earning “Good”
UN
Regional Blocks
Countries
Cities
Communities
Companies and Institutes
Co-alitions of the Willing
Akzo Nobel- Human Cities Initiative
191
Better Business- Better World
192
BluePrint For Business Leadership on the SDGs
193
203
Roadmap UN SDG7 - Energy To All
205
No Jobs Plans
DubaiUnderstanding our Ways
SG Guterres: RED Alert and 12 points
WEF 2018: Global Risk Report
210
2017 Edelman Trust Barometer
211
BluePrint For Business Leadership on the SDGs (3)
212
BluePrint For Business Leadership on the SDGs (4)
213
Clickable Access to Report
Example Shell: “A decisive step to a cleaner energy future”
Royal Dutch Shell pledged to double its
investment in renewable fuels and to cut its
carbon emissions in half by 2050.
• In comments to investors, Ben van Beurden,
Shell’s chief executive, said that from 2018 to
2020, the company’s new-energies division
would spend up to $2 billion a year on
renewable energy sources like wind, solar and
hydrogen power and on electric-car charging
stations.
• Mr. van Beurden stressed that the pledge was
just a start and that the company supported the
goal of the Paris accord, which is to keep global
temperatures
216
It’s time for Shell to accelerate its efforts in
the transition to a lower-carbon world. This
is how I plan to drive change through the
company.- 8 December 2017
Example Shell (2): “A decisive step to a cleaner energy
future”
Into the 2020s, however, we plan a greater focus
on revenue streams that will be less constrained
by policies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions,
including petrochemicals and electricity. Shell has
made a series of moves in recent months to
strengthen its position in the power industry, with
deals to buy Texas electricity group MP2, electric
vehicle charging company NewMotion, and UK
energy retailer First Utility.
“If you fast forward with another twenty, thirty,
forty, fifty years, the power segment is going to be
a very dominant part of the total energy system,”
Mr van Beurden said. “At the moment it’s only 18
per cent but it will be more than 50 by the time
this century is over. So we cannot pass up on that
opportunity.”
217
It’s time for Shell to accelerate its efforts in
the transition to a lower-carbon world. This
is how I plan to drive change through the
company.- 8 December 2017
Example Shell (3): “A decisive step to a cleaner energy future”
SG Guterres on 16 January
2018…
220

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Executive Energy Workshop: New Energy Realities and our Responsible Leadership

  • 1. Founding partners Energy Architecture & UN Sustainable Development - and our Responsible Leadership - - 28 November 2019, Berlin- Adriaan Kamp Energy For One World Executive Programme New Energy Realities- 2019
  • 2. Adriaan Kamp Energy For One World (2012- Present) A consulting practice on Global Change, Energy Architecture, UN SDG’s and Leadership. Program Director Executive Energy (transition) & Leadership Education 20 years Industry and Shell International Upstream ( 5 Countries and EPHQ).
  • 3. Contents of Session 1. Years 2015-2019: Global Change, Energy Transition, Climate Change and the Sustainable Development Agenda 2030 2. Organising ourselves for Success: “Energy Free Of Concerns” 3. Opportunities, Skills and our (Personal) Responsible Leadership
  • 4. Global Context Period 2015-Now 1. Global Change and Geo-Politics of Emotions 2. New Energy Realities - New Era for Energy Politics (Davos WEF 2018) - Strategic Outlook on Energy (Davos WEF 2019) - IEA World Energy Outlook 2019- Disparities - New Technologies, Architectures and Market Models - Energy available, affordable and sustainable: “Free of Concerns” - www.energyandstuff.org 3. Paris Climate Change Agreement and COP24 Katowice 4. UN Sustainable Development 2030 ¶ 5, Our Collective Leadership
  • 5. Question for the 21st century: Will it all fit? 5
  • 6. Prof. Jeffrey Sachs- Earth Institute: The Age of Sustainable Development 5/25/2018 Clickable Video Presentation
  • 8. UN FCCC COP21 Paris (3) - Paris Climate Change Agreement
  • 10. Pope Francis and his Encyclical Laudato Si! – on Poverty, People and the Environment: Care for Creation
  • 11. WWF Living Planet Reports (2019)
  • 12. IPBES- GLobal Assessment Biodiversity Loss (2019) 12
  • 13. 13
  • 14. 14
  • 15. 15
  • 16. Club Of Rome- 50 years: Book Launch: Come on! Short-termism, Population and the Destruction of the Planet Ernst von Weizsacker/ Anders Wijkman Age of Discovery- Navigating the Risk and Rewards of our New Age Renaissance. Ian Goldin- Oxford Martin School 16
  • 17.
  • 18. G20 Argentina: “Holding it all Together” BRICS2019: “A Call to Modernize UN” 18
  • 19. The Direction of our Societies 19
  • 20. SG Guterres at WEF Davos : “in one sentence” 20 Guterres: The world’s problems are “more and more integrated” but the response to them is increasingly “fragmented” and “dysfunctional”,
  • 21. 21
  • 22. UNEP Emission Gap Report 2018 This year’s report shows—among other findings—that there is a need for three to five times higher reductions in greenhouse gas emissions than the goals agreed by the world’s countries in the Paris Agreement. The distance has increased between climate commitments and the reduction of greenhouse gases needed if we are to meet the goals in the Paris Agreement. “There’s thus both a large gap between what the world’s countries have promised to do and what is needed, and another gap between the commitments made and what’s actually being done.” – The IEA reports that fossil fuel production and consumption, and thus also carbon emissions, are on the rise, our carbon budget for a 1.5-2 Degrees Celsius scenario already consumed. 22
  • 23. 23
  • 24. The Truth Behind the Climate Pledges 24 The Truth Behind the Climate Pledges
  • 26. COP21- COP24 : Organizing for delivery of the Paris Agreement (2) : “Between Hope and Despair” 26
  • 27. 27
  • 28. UNFCCC report(s) on Climate Risks 28
  • 29. IEA’s year 2019 analysis of how renewables are growing
  • 30. Year 2040 Expectations vs. Goals IEA WEO2019 (and international Oil & Gas community) 80 : 20 UN FCCC (& Science Community) 20 : 80
  • 31. Greta Thunberg: “Our House is on Fire & I want you to panic” 31
  • 32. 32
  • 33. 33
  • 34. 34 UN SDGs- Global Responsibilities
  • 35.
  • 36. 36
  • 37. 37
  • 38. 38
  • 39. 39
  • 40. 70th year of Universal Declaration of Human Rights (1949-2019) 40
  • 41.
  • 42. 42
  • 43. 43
  • 44. Davos 2018- “Creating a Shared Future in a Fractured World” •The global context today has changed dramatically: geostrategic fractures have re-emerged on multiple fronts with wide-ranging political, economic and social consequences. •“Our collective inability to secure inclusive growth and preserve our scarce resources puts multiple global systems at risk simultaneously. Our first response must be to develop new models for cooperation that are not based on narrow interests but on the destiny of humanity as a whole," said Klaus Schwab, Founder and Executive Chairman, World Economic Forum. 44
  • 45. Founding partners 25.05.2018 Geopolitical shifts and re-alignments • Economic and finance system change and fundamentals • A new technological era: 4th Industrial Revolution. • Global production systems & the rise of new (multinational) corporations • Social Changes (networked economies), and the quest for social wealth & justice • Planetary boundaries/ Resource Scarcities/ Loss of Biodiversity and Nature • Demographic change and migration/ Changing labour markets Global Change
  • 46. 46 2014 2030-2050 7 Billion People 10 Billion People 90 trillion USD economy 180-210 trillion USD 225 million oil eq/day (15 TW) 500- 750 million oil eq/day (55 TW) 405 ppm CO2 and Carbon Budget consumed for 2 degrees/ 21st century ??? ppm CO2 and Climate Change Effects
  • 47. BRIC: It’s our time. Let us grow our Economies and take care of our people You’ll fix whatever you want to fix! The West: “If you do as I have done it will be a mess.” Let us all change- rapidly Let’s secure our nation, people and planet Emerging: Will there be enough for us? Can i afford it? Who will deliver it to me? The poor: When will we see electricity and get mobility? Opec and GasPec: You need us! We can deliver your needs! What is all that fuzz about Availability and climate change?
  • 48. 2/1/2012 Energy For One World- All Rights Reserved
  • 50. Between Oceans and Mountains: There is a Sky! • The Sky Scenario illustrates a technically possible, but challenging pathway for society to achieve the goals of the Paris Agreement. Sky builds on previous Shell scenarios publications and is our most optimistic scenario in terms of climate outcomes. • A new energy system is emerging. The Paris Agreement has sent a signal around the world: climate change is a serious issue that governments are determined to address. By 2070 there is the potential for a very different energy system to emerge. • The Sky Scenario outlines what we believe to be a technologically, industrially, and economically possible route forward, consistent with limiting the global average temperature rise to well below 2°C from pre-industrial levels. It reveals the potential for an energy system to emerge that brings modern energy to all in the world, without delivering a climate legacy that society cannot readily adapt to. 50
  • 52. 2017- BP Energy Outlook 52
  • 53. BP Energy Outlook 2035 5/25/2018
  • 54. Exxon Mobile Analytical View of the World 54
  • 57. 57
  • 58. E& P Realities of Cost Curves 58
  • 59. The Present Big Elephant in the Room: “The Prize of Oil”
  • 60. The Context We see Ourselves in
  • 61. Contents of Session 1. Years 2015-2018: Global Change, Energies Transition, Climate Change and the Sustainable Development Agenda 2030 2. Organising ourselves for Success: “Energy Free of Concerns” 3. Opportunities, Skills and our (Personal) Responsible Leadership
  • 62. UN Regional Blocks Countries Cities Communities Companies and Institutes Co-alitions of the Willing
  • 64. Our world is under construction: The Rise of a new middle-class ( 3 Billion) – in MegaCities and more people live in Greater Tokyo (35m) than in all of Canada The top 10 cities by population: 1. Tokyo, (34 million) 2. Seoul (24.4 million) 3. Guangzhou (24.2 million) 4. Mexico City (23.4 million) 5. Delhi (23.2 million) 6. Mumbai (22.8 million) 7. New York (22.2 million) 8. Sao Paolo (20.9 million) 9. Manila (19.6 million) 10. Shanghai (19.4 million) All above fit comfortably into the list Of Top-50 nations by population
  • 65.
  • 66. Organizing ourselves: “zippered”- in dimensions Mainstream • UN Re-organisation (0) • Governments (1) • Corporates and Global Compact (2a) • Government- Business- Science Community (UN SDSN) (2b) • New Entrants/ Innovators/ Game-changers (3) • Sectors/ Green Growth/ UN SDGs (4) 1+2+3+4 +5= Hybrid Eco-system Bottoms-up • Community, Start-up Community (5)
  • 67. Some Regional Development Examples (as it is today)
  • 68.
  • 69.
  • 70.
  • 71. 71 Saudi Aramco IPO: the value of good reserves 960 × 540 Wall Street Journal
  • 72.
  • 73. 73
  • 74. 74 Russia Priority National Projects - The Yuzhny Satellite Town is one of the most ambitious multi-functional development projects in Russia. Source: START Development
  • 75.
  • 76. Click to Go To Website Germany: An example how it works- in real
  • 78. Siemens Dismantling an Icon Since Kaeser took charge in 2013, there has been a flurry of spinoffs, carveouts and joint ventures at the German giant ● May 2014: Siemens slims its divisions to nine from 16; carves out health care and announces listing of hearing aid business ● September 2014: Siemens sells stake in kitchen and washing machine business to Bosch ● November 2014: Sells hearing-aid unit to EQT for 2.14 billion euros ($2.4 billion) ● June 2016: Announces merger of wind power division to form Siemens Gamesa ● November 2016: Announces Siemens Healthineers will be brought to market ● February 2019: Plan to form rail joint venture with France’s Alstom is blocked by European authorities ● May 2019: Siemens announces plan to carve out power and gas businesses
  • 79. Germany Coal Commission: Phase-Out 2038 79 BERLIN (Reuters) - 26.1.2019: Germany should shut down all of its coal-fired power plants by 2038 at the latest, a government-appointed commission said on Saturday, proposing at least 40 billion euros ($45.7 billion) in aid to regions affected by the phase-out.
  • 80. Energy in the Netherlands (1) • RutteIII • What to do after “Groningen Gas (21/12 Bcm) & New Energy Transition (Climate) Accord- II ? • What to do with/after Pernis? • Electrification of Homes, Cars, Transport and Cities • Greening of intensive energy Industries-, Agri-, Petro-; • Regional Energy Markets • What new export markets can we create?
  • 81. A wide spectacle of innovation, initiatives and choice 81
  • 82. Energy in the Netherlands (2) The challenge the Dutch are facing is a triple national budget and investment challenge: • 1. The decrease in (state) income due to the earlier closure of Groningen Gas. The estimated economic value of the lost gas is between 50-125 Billion Euro. • 2. Additional expenses to be able to import Gas (temporarily) and as "bridging fuel" - in the transition and accelerated investments in (eg) Wind Offshore, as an alternative to the loss of Groningen Gas. • 3. Renovation of Dutch energy architecture: Investments in electrification, the built environment and agri-, industry- to "get off gas / gasless" and to meet Paris [1] 82
  • 83. Change not without some popular opinions, pressures, pains and votes 83
  • 84. A New Green Plan- NW Europe
  • 85. “Holland”- in and between Germany, UK, France and Scandinavia
  • 86. 86
  • 87. Some Examples- from our Energy Sector (as it is today)
  • 88. Focus Areas (Energy Sector) (Year 2019 and beyond- example only) Oil& Petrochemicals – Plastics in the Oceans, Fumes in the Air, and Carbon in the Atmosphere Gas, Emissions vs New Power- and Mobility- Energy Architectures Energy Architecture Developments, Economies and UN SDGs GeoPolitics, Free trade and “Energy to All” or “Energy-Economies Free of Concerns” Change & Transformation
  • 89. Old and New Clickable Presentations Vs 350 Bn USD investment
  • 92. Example Shell (2): “A decisive step to a cleaner energy future” Royal Dutch Shell pledged to double its investment in renewable fuels and to cut its carbon emissions in half by 2050. • In comments to investors, Ben van Beurden, Shell’s chief executive, said that from 2018 to 2020, the company’s new-energies division would spend up to $2 billion a year on renewable energy sources like wind, solar and hydrogen power and on electric-car charging stations. • Mr. van Beurden stressed that the pledge was just a start and that the company supported the goal of the Paris accord, which is to keep global temperatures 92 It’s time for Shell to accelerate its efforts in the transition to a lower-carbon world. This is how I plan to drive change through the company.- 8 December 2017
  • 93. Example Shell (3): “A decisive step to a cleaner energy future” Into the 2020s, however, we plan a greater focus on revenue streams that will be less constrained by policies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, including petrochemicals and electricity. Shell has made a series of moves in recent months to strengthen its position in the power industry, with deals to buy Texas electricity group MP2, electric vehicle charging company NewMotion, and UK energy retailer First Utility. “If you fast forward with another twenty, thirty, forty, fifty years, the power segment is going to be a very dominant part of the total energy system,” Mr van Beurden said. “At the moment it’s only 18 per cent but it will be more than 50 by the time this century is over. So we cannot pass up on that opportunity.” 93 It’s time for Shell to accelerate its efforts in the transition to a lower-carbon world. This is how I plan to drive change through the company.- 8 December 2017
  • 94. Example Shell (4): 2018 European Cleantech Corporation of the Year. • The European Cleantech Corporation of the Year award exists to recognize “a major European enterprise whose activities, actions and consistent support over multiple years have significantly contributed to the growth of cleantech innovation, and/or demand for cleaner products and services, and who has made some particularly noteworthy actions over the last 12 months.” • The 2018 European Cleantech Corporation of the Year was awarded to Shell. The following three reasons are why Shell stood out for this award: • 1. The sense of a new level of commitment and action, with which Shell is gripping the challenges of the huge and disruptive transitions ongoing in the world of energy and transportation, and the urgency with which it has been making strategic moves. • 2. The range of actions it has been taking. A few examples to illustrate include: • a. New Energy Solutions. Capital commitments of on average $1-2bn per annum behind this relatively new initiative (launched in May 2016) represents a significant commitment by Shell to transforming its own business model. • b. Commitments to lower carbon. Shell announced plans in Nov 2017 to cut the net carbon footprint of its energy products by around half by 2050, with an interim step of 20% by 2035 in line with society. • c. Acquisitions. There have been a number, but most striking are MP2 Energy and First Utility, for example, that set out Shell’s clear strategic intent to become a player in the electricity markets of the future. • d. Shell Ventures, Springboard and other initiatives and their work with the global innovation ecosystem and entrepreneurs, shaping the future industrial world. • e. A global player. We have seen deals across the map, geographically and in terms of the different dynamics on energy’s future – from renewables to EV charging, from mobility services to energy access. • f. Working in partnership with peers. Shell is one of the founding members of OGCI (Oil & Gas Climate Initiative), the cross-industry effort to de-carbonise the oil & gas industry. • 3. The actions and transactions levels have noticeably increased over the last 12 months. • a. Shell has been the most active European-based CVC across the energy and industrial innovation themes we cover. Deals have included Axiom Energy, Husk Power, HyET, Innowatts, Steamaco, and Sunseap. • b. Shell has been an active acquirer. Examples over the period include: • i. The significant stake acquired in the US solar developer, Silicon Ranch Corporation (Jan 2018) ii. The entry into the UK retail market via the acquisition of First Utility (Dec 2017) iii. The acquisition of the Dutch venture-backed company, NewMotion, the pan-European network of electric vehicle charging stations (Oct 2017) iv. The acquisition of Texas-based MP2 Energy, a leader in Demand Response Solutions (formally closed in September 2017) 94
  • 95. 95
  • 96. Example Shell (5) : A new take-over wave into New Energy Realities ? 96 800 × 400
  • 97. On the Power (electricity) system and market 97
  • 98. New Possibility Thinking (1)- Mission Innovation
  • 99. New Possibility Thinking (2)- Large, Larger, Largest Solar Farms (Example First Solar) 2 4 8 16 32 64 128 256 512 1024 2 yr 4yr 6yr 8 yr 10 yr 12 yr 14 yr 16 yr 18yr 20 yr 5 yr 10 yr 15 yr 20 yr 25 yr 30 yr 35 yr 40 yr 45 yr 50 yr 3500 hectares 160,000 homes 1,5 Bn USD 550 MW 8 million panels
  • 100. New Possibility Thinking (3)- Large, Larger, Largest Offshore Wind Farm’s (Examples only) 4 2 4 8 16 32 64 128 256 512 1024 2 yr 4yr 6yr 8 yr 10 yr 12 yr 14 yr 16 yr 18yr 20 yr 5 yr 10 yr 15 yr 20 yr 25 yr 30 yr 35 yr 40 yr 45 yr 50 yr An offshore area of 100km2 175 wind turbines Two offshore substations Nearly 450km of offshore cabling One onshore substation 630MW of electricity Enough power for nearly half a million homes
  • 101. New Possibility Thinking (4)- Solar City, Tesla Battery and E-drive: A New Value Proposition
  • 102. New Possibility Thinking (5)- Car-manufacturer, Carlos Ghosn Electric Vehicles sales are in direct correlation with the number and amount of charging stations installed in a city, region or nation. It's a public-private partnership. It's a matter of trust. It's a matter of convenience. But it surely the way to go into our Future. (Carlos doesnot believe in fuel-celled LPV's. He is truly committed to the electrification of self-driving and navigating new car concepts)
  • 104. Uber
  • 105. New Possibility Thinking (6)- Tony Seba- RethinkX (TaaS) study on personal mobility 105 TaaS= Transport as a Service
  • 106. ..But with a possible rare earth metal (mining) scarcity.. Cobalt 106
  • 107. New Possibility Thinking(7)Smart Cities The vision of “Smart Cities” is the urban center of the future, made safe, secure environmentally green, and efficient because all structures - whether for power, water, transportation, etc. are designed, constructed, and maintained making use of advanced, integrated materials, sensors, electronics, and networks which are interfaced with computerized systems comprised of databases, tracking, and decision-making algorithms. - U.S. Dept. of Energy, “The Vision of a Smart City”, 2000 Examples of New, Smart or Sustainable Cities: • C40 – Vancouver, Oslo, New York, etc. • Masdar, Abu Dhabi, • New Songho City, South Korea, • Gujarat International Finance Tec-City, India • King Abdullah + Economic Cities Saudi Arabia • e.g. China Tianjin Development •PM Modi’s 100 smart cities •King Abdullah Economic City, Saudi Arabia
  • 108. New Possibility Thinking (8) Better Housing Architecture- Zero, Zero-Plus and more 5/25/2018
  • 109. New Possibility Thinking (9): RE-100 Group
  • 110. New Possibility Thinking (10): Energy Project Finance
  • 111. New Possibility Thinking (11) Finance, Banks and Insurers
  • 112. We are here- so mind the gap !
  • 113. IRENA’s 2017 Annual Renewable Capacity Statistics 113 2008 1 TW 2016 2 TW
  • 114. 114
  • 115. Over Present Oil & Gas Company Jobs (8 mio)
  • 116.
  • 118.
  • 119. A little conceptual.. (adding it all together)
  • 120. 120
  • 121. From WEF/ Accenture: The energy architecture is an integrated physical system of energy sources, carriers and demand sectors shaped by government, industry and civil society. The energy architecture on location is a reflection of the socio-political, economic, ecological and business philosophies, leadership and interests exercised on location. The energy architecture in a country, region or global community is (ideally) to serve (the rise of, establishment of) thriving sustainable societies- making energy available, affordable and sustainable to all: balancing economic interests with that of society and nature. Here and there. Now and in the future. 121 Energy Architecture
  • 122.
  • 123. Re-inventing Strategies/Relationships: “X-Factor of Integration, Transition and Transformation” Renewables Energy Efficiency Product Re-designs Energy Architectures Re-designs Fossil 1 2 3 4 5
  • 124. Princeton Wedges Grow and Safe Energy Change Energy Supply Source Change Energy Architecture Change Products (Cars, Homes) & Industry Designs Change Energy- Economy and Direction of Lifestyles Change Leadership Paradigm 124
  • 125. 125
  • 126. Levels of Change •Level 1 •Level 2 •Level 3 •Level 4 • Change and No Change. Resistance to Change. Policy, Administrative and Derivative Change (CO2 tax, ETS, Accounting). Coal vs. Gas. Continued backroom lobbying • Full Integration of Renewables (clean-tech, energy conservations, smartness, etc.) in the Energy Architecture - but not with a system change. Retained regulations, ownership , revenue, tax and capital control structures • Transition to a New Energy Architecture and Newly shared socio-economic and corporate business models- also in international trade • Transformation of Economies and Societies. Eco-modernity and New human consciousness
  • 127. The way it works: Country Categories and Markets (1) •OECD- USA, Canada, Europe, Japan, Australia •(Richer, Resource based) OPEC/ GasPec •China Inc., India Inc. •Developing (without Resources) •Developing (with Resources) •Least developed. Poor.
  • 128. The way it works (2) : A New Formula in Business and Trade
  • 129. Mainstream •Governments (1) •Energy Corporates and Incumbents (2) •New Entrants/ Innovators/ Change-makers (3) •Non-Energy Sectors/ Green Growth/ UN SDGs (4) 1+2+3+4 +5= Hybrid Eco-system Bottoms-up •Community, Start-up Community (5) The way it works (3): New Forms of Collaborations
  • 130. The way it may work (4): Finding the Rubik-Cube Combination “Organizational Forms and Formats” - that works “Horizontal and Vertical Integration” 130 e.g. Country Categories, Geographies & Markets Business Formula- and Cross-Sectors Forms of Collaboration ● Strengthening human well-being and capabilities; ● Shifting towards sustainable and just economies; ● Building sustainable food systems and healthy nutrition patterns; ● Achieving energy decarbonization and universal access to energy; ● Promoting sustainable urban and peri-urban development; and ● Securing the global environmental commons.
  • 131.
  • 132. BluePrint For Business Leadership on the SDGs 132
  • 133. 133
  • 134. 197 countries need to change
  • 135. “Every Energy Company and Every Energy Architecture in this world can be improved upon in order to raise the availability, affordability and sustainability of energy to all”.- Adriaan Kamp, -2015 Every Country and Every Organization in this World can be improved upon in order to raise the human, social, economic and sustainable development to all- Adriaan Kamp- 2015 135
  • 136. "The invitation we have today is to see and to blend our consciousness and care for Deep Humanity and Deep ecology with our more mainstream energy economics and politics- at play" Let us direct our work and collective efforts towards attaining “Energy Free of Concerns" Adriaan Kamp 136
  • 138. Contents of Session 1. Year 2015-2018: Global Change, Energies Transition, Climate Change and the Sustainable Development Agenda 2030 2. Organising ourselves for success: Energy Free of Concerns 3. Opportunities, Skills and our (Personal) Responsible Leadership
  • 139. One World. Many Needs. Many Views
  • 140. Founding partners “In Leadership- we are all students for life” Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  • 141. Leadership Levels •Managing Yourself •Managing Others •Managing complex change & •Managing multi-stakeholders
  • 142. Managing yourself Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  • 143. Founding partners “Only good can come from good” Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  • 144. How much do you know about (your) self? Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  • 145. What happy people know Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  • 147. The answer to Hate, Greed, Social Injustice is Dignity (Agape) and Peace 147
  • 148. Founding partners “Manage others as you would like to be managed yourself” (golden rule) Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  • 149. Managing innovation & change- Internal/ External Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  • 150. Founding partners “The art of making things Better” Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  • 151. 151
  • 152. Sources of Innovation • Big- Bets • 1001-Nights, Kaizen/Takumi • From Idea to Business (Gamechangers)
  • 154. Napoleon’s Six Winning Principles, and Leading in the Front • EXACTITUDE awareness, research and continuous planning • SPEED reducing resistance, increasing urgency, and providing focus • FLEXIBILITY building teams that are adaptable, empowered and unified • SIMPLICITY clear, simple objectives, messages, and processes • CHARACTER integrity, calmness, and responsibility • MORAL FORCE providing order, purpose, recognition and rewards Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  • 155. Kelly Johnson’s Skunk Work Rules Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  • 156. Styles Differs- too. Two trillion dollar club successes 156
  • 158. UPSTREAM OFFSHORE PLATFORM OIL SANDS Bitumen DOWNSTREAM Feedstock Synthetic crude oil Fuels, lubricants and speciality products including Bitumen and liquefied petroleum gas UPGRADER PLANT Oil REFINERY Gas LNG LIQUEFICATION PLANT GAS TO LIQUIDS PLANT BIOFUELS PLANT BIOFUELS PLANT WIND TURBINES Energy for industrial and domestic use LNG REGASIFICATION TERMINAL POWER STATION ONSHORE PRODUCTION FACILITY Gas Oil CHEMICAL PLANT Petrochemicals used for plastics, Coatings and detergents Global Oil & Gas businesses
  • 159. 159
  • 160. On the Power (electricity) system and market 160
  • 161. 161 We cannot save the Planet (Climate, Nature), if we cannot save the People (Economy, Social Justice). The People cannot be saved, if the Planet (Nature) is broken, at risk or fails (e.g. pollution, resource scarcities, climate risks). We better first solve (our problems), before we can make true progress and change”
  • 162. Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved “”Resistance to change falls when the benefits are made clear Resistance to change falls when the Story feels Right (“The Star” is Chosen “Right”) We cannot “run” ourselves into Sustainability. Slow down and walk in more beauty.
  • 163. Responsible Leadership Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  • 164. 164
  • 165. Servant Leadership •Compassionate love •Authenticity •Humbleness •Empowerment •Provide direction •Stewardship Here’s the essence of the gospel of Greenleaf. First and foremost, truly great managers want to serve the people they lead. They do this by supporting them rather than dictating to them, and by assigning top priority to employee well-being. Deceptively simple and deeply profound
  • 167. Can We Listen before Change?
  • 168. Ernest Gundling: Understanding Cultures and Relationships. The way it works Energy For One World- 2017, All Rights Reserved
  • 169. Hofstede: Cultures and Organizations. The way it works 169 The Way it Works for a System Rethink World View Cultures Institutions Our Leadership Ways
  • 170. How the World Thinks 170
  • 171. Core Values Cultural Dimensions Global People Skills CONSCIOUS UNCONSCIOUS
  • 172. 172 1. Sustainable Development- a new kind of Globalization 2. Sustainable Humanity (2012) 3. We can no longer manage decency (2018) “Leading Global Decency”
  • 173.
  • 174. A practice on Global Change, Energy Architecture, UN SDG’s and Our Leadership. Energy For One World Adriaan Kamp (Founder) Skype: Adriaan.Kamp TelCall Direct line (Netherlands): 0031-614939194 E-Mail: adriaankamp@energyforoneworld.com www.EnergyForOneWorld.com
  • 176. Eco- Conscious ✓ Moderated Consumerism ✓ Limits to Growth ✓ Cradle-to-Cradle, Bio-Mimicry ✓ Zero emissions Nature First
  • 177. Networked Society ✓ Away with traditional country and/or corporate borders : City-Hubs. ✓ Horizontal, cross-border collaborations ✓ Cultural awareness and tolerance Power to the People
  • 178. ✓ Expansion of wealth, ownership and new growth ✓ Continued Consumerism and Hedonistic life-styles. ✓ Short-termism, Schumpeter, Ayn Rand, Resilience ✓ A world of larger inequalities and divisions: ✓ Rich and poor. Have’s and Have Not’s Money First Shared Capitalis m
  • 179. ✓ A world of Power , Principles and Politics ✓ Polarisation between Beliefs and/or Power Blocks ✓ The Geo-politics of Emotions Power to the Strongest, First Darwin
  • 180. Techno Modernity ✓ The world of Prof. Michio Kaku and ✓ Kurz Weill Singularity ✓ Game-changers and Disruptive Innovations ✓ A world of Smart Cities, New Surprises , Exponential Growth and Abundance The Rule of Science & Technology
  • 181. ✓ Conscious Capitalism ✓ The rise of new (global and business) leadership: Gandhi’s and Mandela’s ✓ Neuroscience , psychology and spirituality ✓ Gaia, Oneness and Global Mind-set. Transformative leadership Conscious Humanity
  • 182. Leadership and Vision: Opportunity Framing and Decision Based Delivery •The possibility for Value Creation is largest in the Early Stages of any opportunity How good is your Opportunity Framing ? Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
  • 183.
  • 184. * An open enterprise web for leading cyclic and open innovations.. Technology Scientific Breakthrou ghs Product/Market Combination Societal Transitions Enterprise Soft-Knowledge Cycle Open Market Cycle Engineering Cycle Hard-Knowledge Cycle
  • 185. Kotter on Change and Organizations for Change
  • 186. 186 Kotter on Change and Organizations for Change
  • 187. New Start-up valleys focussing on “Doing Good”, whilst earning “Good”
  • 188. UN Regional Blocks Countries Cities Communities Companies and Institutes Co-alitions of the Willing
  • 189.
  • 190. Akzo Nobel- Human Cities Initiative
  • 191. 191
  • 193. BluePrint For Business Leadership on the SDGs 193
  • 194.
  • 195.
  • 196.
  • 197.
  • 198.
  • 199.
  • 200.
  • 201.
  • 202.
  • 203. 203
  • 204.
  • 205. Roadmap UN SDG7 - Energy To All 205
  • 206.
  • 207.
  • 209. SG Guterres: RED Alert and 12 points
  • 210. WEF 2018: Global Risk Report 210
  • 211. 2017 Edelman Trust Barometer 211
  • 212. BluePrint For Business Leadership on the SDGs (3) 212
  • 213. BluePrint For Business Leadership on the SDGs (4) 213
  • 215.
  • 216. Example Shell: “A decisive step to a cleaner energy future” Royal Dutch Shell pledged to double its investment in renewable fuels and to cut its carbon emissions in half by 2050. • In comments to investors, Ben van Beurden, Shell’s chief executive, said that from 2018 to 2020, the company’s new-energies division would spend up to $2 billion a year on renewable energy sources like wind, solar and hydrogen power and on electric-car charging stations. • Mr. van Beurden stressed that the pledge was just a start and that the company supported the goal of the Paris accord, which is to keep global temperatures 216 It’s time for Shell to accelerate its efforts in the transition to a lower-carbon world. This is how I plan to drive change through the company.- 8 December 2017
  • 217. Example Shell (2): “A decisive step to a cleaner energy future” Into the 2020s, however, we plan a greater focus on revenue streams that will be less constrained by policies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, including petrochemicals and electricity. Shell has made a series of moves in recent months to strengthen its position in the power industry, with deals to buy Texas electricity group MP2, electric vehicle charging company NewMotion, and UK energy retailer First Utility. “If you fast forward with another twenty, thirty, forty, fifty years, the power segment is going to be a very dominant part of the total energy system,” Mr van Beurden said. “At the moment it’s only 18 per cent but it will be more than 50 by the time this century is over. So we cannot pass up on that opportunity.” 217 It’s time for Shell to accelerate its efforts in the transition to a lower-carbon world. This is how I plan to drive change through the company.- 8 December 2017
  • 218. Example Shell (3): “A decisive step to a cleaner energy future”
  • 219. SG Guterres on 16 January 2018…
  • 220. 220