Presentation from Jason Wilcox, an investment banker in Dallas. The presentation provides an overview on the current trends for domestic oil and gas sector within Permian Basin in the United States.
Interimreport1 January–31 March2024 Elo Mutual Pension Insurance Company
Permian Basin - Oil & Gas Mergers, Acquisitions and Divestitures
1. Permian Basin - “Let’s Do A Deal”
(M/A/D Trends)
Investment Banking Experts for the Energy and Industrial Sector
Securities offered through PetroGrowth Energy Advisors, LLC, member FINRA/SIPC.
2. Agenda
Introduction …………………………………………………………………………………….
I.
Permian Basin Activity is Highly Supportive for Deal Making……......... II.
Exploration & Production A&D Themes
Oilfield Services and Equipment M&A Themes
Case Study ………………………………………………………………………………………. III.
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Boutique Energy & Industrial
Investment Bank for the Middle Market
3. Wilcox | Swartzwelder & Co. Overview
Leading boutique investment bank providing financial advisory solutions exclusively
to mid-market companies in the Energy sector.
Principals’ Successful
Track Record
Senior level commitment; “boutique” service; high quality advice and deal execution
Combine Wall Street background and training, Ivy League education, industry knowledge, middle
market investment banking experience and hard work to get deals done
Deal size generally up to $150 million
Industry specialization offers advantages to clients (knowledge, research and relationships)
Access to and ongoing communication with industry buyers/investors/capital sources
Rigorous, proven transaction process that yields superior results
Broad experience working with many complex deal types and structures in good and difficult markets
Industry and
Transaction Experts
Knack for understanding our client’s situation, positioning the company to unlock value,
creating a highly credible and compelling “story”, selling it to the right investors / buyers and
negotiating a favorable outcome
Bring Wall
Street Expertise to
Main Street
We Help Clients
Create Value
Principals bring almost 40 years of experience, more than 100 closed transactions with value in
excess of $3.8 billion
Team includes five others providing analytic and back-office support
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Boutique Energy & Industrial
Investment Bank for the Middle Market
4. Principals
Jason
Wilcox
Grant
Swartzwelder
Managing
Director &
Co-Founder
Managing
Director &
Co-Founder
Career
Career
18 years investment banking
Bear, Stearns & Co.
Raymond James & Associates
Growth Capital Partners
Education
20 years energy investment
banking/operations
PetroGrowth Advisors
The Principal Securities
Ensco plc / Arco Oil & Gas
Education
M.B.A. The Wharton School of U. of
Pennsylvania
B.S. Economics, Texas A&M
University
Econometrics, London School of
Economics
4
M.B.A. Harvard Business School
B.S. Petroleum Engineering, Texas
A&M University
Boutique Energy & Industrial
Investment Bank for the Middle Market
5. Advisory Services
Helping clients define objectives, evaluate options and work side-by-side as advisor
navigating through the maze of transactional complexities – from start to finish.
Mergers & Acquisitions /
Company Sales /
Divestitures
Institutional Capital
Raising / Private
Placements
Oil & Gas Property
Sales & Divestitures
Financial Advisory
Refinancing /
Recapitalization /
Buyout
Merchant Banking /
Private Equity
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Boutique Energy & Industrial
Investment Bank for the Middle Market
6. Energy Industry Specialization Benefits Clients
Specialization offers numerous advantages to clients – research, industry intelligence,
capital markets knowledge, valuations, trends, investor and buyer relationships.
Energy
Industrial
Oilfield Services & Equipment
Electrical & Power
Upstream Oil & Gas (E&P)
Engineering and Infrastructure
Midstream Pipelines, Gathering,
Storage & Blending
Industrial Distribution
Industrial Technology
Downstream Services & Equipment
Process/Flow Controls
Environmental
Specialty Chemicals
Building and Construction
Water / Wastewater
• Navigated through multiple cycles, completing transactions in periods of positive
momentum as well as extremely difficult circumstances
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Boutique Energy & Industrial
Investment Bank for the Middle Market
7. Extensive Experience With Strategic Buyers
Extensive experience marketing to and soliciting/negotiating with strategic players.
Showed deals to over 155 unique energy services and equipment strategic buyers in 2012; have shown deals to over 500
unique strategic buyers of energy and industrial companies.
Ongoing communications with various strategics and track and monitor those groups which have completed M&As and
submitted term sheets, bids, letters of intent and legal agreements for our deals; including deal terms, structures and
valuation metrics.
Energy Services
Exploration & Production
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Industrial
Boutique Energy & Industrial
Investment Bank for the Middle Market
8. Large Network of Institutional Capital Relationships
Strong relationships with a large network of active institutional capital providers and
investors focused on segments of the energy and industrial sector.
Showed deals to over 195 private equity groups in 2012; have shown deals to over 500 institutional private equity groups,
senior and junior lenders, insurance companies, hedge funds and family offices focused on the middle market.
Maintain ongoing dialog with capital sources; provides real-time market feedback and accurate valuation guidance.
Track and monitor in our proprietary database those groups which have completed M&As in our target sector and submitted
term sheets, bids, letters of intent and legal agreements for our deals; including deal terms, structures and valuation metrics.
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Boutique Energy & Industrial
Investment Bank for the Middle Market
9. Experience; Track Record - Example Transactions
Experience spans over 100 transactions with aggregate value in excess of $3.8 billion.
Two State
Oilfield Inc.
Production
Specialty
Services
Company Sale to MRC Global
(McJunkin Red Man
Corporation)
Management Buyout and
Recapitalization
Acquisition of Genesis Gas
Gathering Assets
Company Sale to
Basic Energy Services
$20 Million Revolving Credit
$45 Million Term Loan
$25 Million Second Lien Loan
Company Sale to
Frac Tank Rentals, LLC,
Portfolio company of Lone
Star Investment Advisors
Recapitalization with
Silver Peak Partners and
Saybrook
Formed NewCo to Acquire
Certain Assets from Texas
Maximum Production, L.P.
Management Buyout of
Certain Assets from
Nighthawk Oilfield Services
Strategic M&A
Buyside Advisory
Senior Credit Facility
Private Placement
Senior Debt Financing
Financial Advisory to Evaluate
Strategic Alternatives
Recapitalization with Ancor
Capital Partners
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Investment Bank for the Middle Market
10. What Does the Future Hold for
Energy M/A/D Activity?
11. Difficulty of Predicting the Future
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Investment Bank for the Middle Market
12. Difficulty of Predicting the Future (Oilfield Services Index – OSX)
Oil price
reaches
$141.47/Bbl
(June 27, 2008)
European debt
crisis
Government
shutdown
Recession
begins
(April 2008)
Oil price drops to
$33.20/Bbl
(January 16, 2009)
Recession ends
(June 2009)
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Investment Bank for the Middle Market
13. How Good is Your Crystal Ball?
“How frustrating. The crystal ball is down again”
Source: New Yorker – August 12, 1991
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Investment Bank for the Middle Market
15. Key Exploration & Production A&D Market Themes
Permian is one of the most coveted oil/liquids resource basins in U.S.
Valuations reflect the “Permian Premium”
Strong appetite from teams backed by private equity and small-cap public
companies
Robust bidding for the “right” deal (with value given for upside)
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Investment Bank for the Middle Market
16. Permian Basin Activity
Permian Basin Plays
Permian Basin Activity (October 30, 2013)
16
Boutique Energy & Industrial
Investment Bank for the Middle Market
17. Permian Basin – Highly Coveted
Field/Reserve Size (Billion Boe)
Characteristics of Permian Basin
Spraberry/Wolfcamp
Eagle Ford
Oil/liquids
Prudhoe Bay
Stacked pays
Bakken
Mature infrastructure
Delaware Basin
Reserve potential
East Texas Basin
Expected production increase
Compelling rates of return relative
to other basins
0
2,000
10
20
30
40
50
60
Permian Basin Production (MBoe/d)
1,600
1,200
800
400
0
Jan-10
Jul-11
Jan-13
Jul-14
Jan-16
Jul-17
Source: Bentek & Energy Information Administration
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Investment Bank for the Middle Market
18. Producer Valuations Reflect “Permian Premium”
Permian Index vs. DJSOEP Index (Last 12 Months)
100.0%
80.0%
60.0%
40.0%
20.0%
0.0%
-20.0%
Oct-12
Jan-13
Apr-13
Jul-13
Permian Index
DJSOEP Index
Oct-13
Permian Index: Diamondback Energy (FANG), Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD), Energen Group (EGN), Laredo Petroleum
Holdings (LPI), Cimarex Energy (XEC), Concho Resources (CXO), Callon Petroleum Company (CPE) and Approach
Resources, Inc. (AREX)
DJSOEP Index: Dow Jones U.S. Select Oil Exploration and Production (DJSOEP)
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Boutique Energy & Industrial
Investment Bank for the Middle Market
19. Public Markets Reflect “Permian Premium”
Valuation for Public Market Producers
12.0x
10.6x
10.2x
9.7x
9.2x
Focused (8.5x)
8.6x 8.5x
7.6x
8.0x
7.2x
6.8x 6.6x 6.6x
6.0x
6.1x 6.0x
5.7x
4.7x 4.7x 4.4x 4.4x 4.4x
4.3x
4.0x
Multi-Basin (4.7x)
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SM
APA
DVN
WLL
HES
NFX
CHK
EOG
XEC
RE…
CLR
AR…
CXO
COG
LPI
EQT
ATHL
PXD
0.0x
FA…
2.0x
RRC
EV / 2014E EBITDA
10.0x
Boutique Energy & Industrial
Investment Bank for the Middle Market
20. Production Valuation Time Horizon
Public
Private Equity
MLP
High-risk, high-rate
Flattening decline
Low-decline, stable cash flow
Net Production (Boepd)
600
500
400
$20,000 / Boepd
300
200
$50,000 / Boepd
100
$80,000 / Boepd
$100,000 / Boepd
$150,000 / Boepd
0
0
12
24
36
48
60
72
84
96
108
Months
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Boutique Energy & Industrial
Investment Bank for the Middle Market
21. Who is Buying Oil & Gas Deals?
U.S. Onshore demand over past 18 months.
$13.2
Private Equity
Large Caps
Permian Basin Valuations
$12.9
Small Caps
$125,000 - $150,000 / Boepd
6.0x – 8.0x FTM Cash Flow
$10.8
Midland Basin Valuations
MLPs/Trusts
$8.5
Majors
$5.1
Non-Traditional
$15,000 - $20,000+ / Acre (Core)
$10,000 - $15,000+ / Acre (Tier I)
$5.0
International JV
International
$0.0
Delaware Basin Valuations
$10,000 - $15,000+ / Acre (Core)
$5,000 - $10,000+ / Acre (Tier I)
$4.5
$2.5
$5.0
$10.0
$15.0
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Boutique Energy & Industrial
Investment Bank for the Middle Market
22. Private Equity and MLP Appetite
Private Equity
E&P Focused Capital
50-60 teams backed by PEGs
hunting for platforms and ‘bolton’ acquisitions
$70
$60
$60.0
$50
$40
$34.0
$30
MLP’s
$20
Growth through acquisition
$10
Operational platform capabilities
to support rapid expansion
$0
Private Equity
MLP
Distribution pressure
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Boutique Energy & Industrial
Investment Bank for the Middle Market
23. What Makes for a “Good” Oil & Gas Property Sale?
Characteristics
Informational Needs
3rd party reserve report
Assets > 30% Proved Developed
Producing (PDP)
Maps
Production > 150 to 200 BPD
Financials
Predominantly oil / liquids
Clean property title
Not excessive well count
No well concentration > 25% of
total production/reserve value
Assets to Monetize
Minerals
Repeatable, predictable results
Working interests (operating & nonoperating)
Long life > 10 Years
Royalties
Limited lease expiries near term
Leases (more difficult)
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Boutique Energy & Industrial
Investment Bank for the Middle Market
24. Key Oilfield Services & Equipment M&A Themes
Selective demand by private equity and strategic acquirers for “platform”
and “bolt-on” acquisitions:
o
Manufacturers of niche products in high demand
o
Waning appetite for oilfield services
Reasonable valuations
Seller motivations
Multiple bidders for deals
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Boutique Energy & Industrial
Investment Bank for the Middle Market
25. Positive Expectations Built into Oilfield Stock Prices
OSX - Oil Services Index
Capital Expenditures – U.S.
$300
2012 - $85 billion
2013 - $100 billion
2014 - $115 billion
2015 - $125 billion
$280
$260
$240
$220
Source: IHS, America’s New Energy Future, Sep 2013
$200
$180
$160
Capital Expenditures – Permian Basin
$140
2012 - $14 billion
2013 - $15 billion
2014 - $18 billion
2015 - $20 billion
$120
$100
Oct-12
Jan-13
Apr-13
Jul-13
Oct-13
Source: Wood Mackenzie
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Boutique Energy & Industrial
Investment Bank for the Middle Market
26. Permian is Going Horizontal – Higher Service Intensity
400
Permian Basin Horizontal vs. Vertical Rig Count
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
Aug-11
Feb-12
Aug-12
Horizontal
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Feb-13
Aug-13
Vertical
Boutique Energy & Industrial
Investment Bank for the Middle Market
27. Who is Buying OFS Deals?
U.S. Oilfield Services and Equipment M&A Activity (1/1/13 – 9/30/13).
WS&Co M&A Database: 98 transactions
o
50 companies were purchased by strategic buyers (51%)
o
31 companies completed a majority recapitalization with a private equity group
as a “platform” investment (32%)
o
17 companies were purchased by a strategic buyer backed by a private equity
group (17%)
Approximately 50% were purchased by strategic buyers and 50% were
purchased by private equity groups (or private equity backed companies).
On average there are 10-11 transactions completed each month;
however, the pace of transactions has accelerated significantly since
Q1'13.
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Boutique Energy & Industrial
Investment Bank for the Middle Market
28. Factors Influencing Owners’ Decision to Sell
Since 2009/10, many owners have created significant value; now time to “de-risk”
personal wealth
Age (50 – 70)
Need for assistance (capital, talent resources) to manage high growth
business
Strong financial performance/good time for exit
Tired; ready to devote time to other things
No succession plan
Competitive threats
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Boutique Energy & Industrial
Investment Bank for the Middle Market
29. What Makes for a “Good” OFS Deal?
Valuation Multiples (EBITDA)
Characteristics
Niche Manufacturing
Manufacturer of niche product /
value-added service provider
o
EBITDA > $5 million
4.0x – 6.0x
Value Added Oilfield Services
Customer concentration < 25%
o
Operating history > 5 years
3.5x – 4.5x
Commodity Oilfield Services
Growth
o
2.5x – 3.5x
Experienced management team;
solid accounting/administrative
systems
No
legal, environmental, tax, regulato
ry or HR issues
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Boutique Energy & Industrial
Investment Bank for the Middle Market
30. Who Is the Best Buyer?...the Buyer that Meets Your Goals
Financial Buyer
Strategic (Corporate) Buyer
“Rate of Return” analysis
“Buy vs. Build” strategic analysis
o
Typically a majority purchase; partial
liquidity to seller with continued
minority ownership
Synergies
100% purchase (with structure)
o
o
o
Seller note
Earn-out
Buyer stock
Desire to continue as owner with a
financial partner
Corporate governance
Continuation as employee (“Or Not”)
Future growth; ultimate exit (3-7 yrs.)
Other Considerations
Clarify your goals in advance
A suitor is not necessarily a qualified buyer
Competitors are rarely the best buyer
Difficult to predict whether a strategic or financial buyer will pay the most
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Boutique Energy & Industrial
Investment Bank for the Middle Market
32. How Can a Seller Achieve Maximum Price/”Best” Deal?
Create a competitive market among multiple, qualified buyers.
Puts pressure on buyers to offer their best deal (eliminates “tire-kickers”)
Creates alternatives; allows seller to simultaneously evaluate multiple offers and
determine “best” deal
Allows seller to pick a buyer that meets his goals
Seller maintains negotiating leverage and a position of strength
Broad “market test” ensures achieving the highest market clearing price
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Boutique Energy & Industrial
Investment Bank for the Middle Market
33. Case Study: Middle Market Oilfield Service Transaction
Since “beauty is in eye of beholder”; it pays to broadly test the market
$40 million difference between initial high and low bids
Initial Indications of Interest ($mm)
$100.0
$90.0
$90.0
$82.5
$80.0
$80.0
$80.0
Financial Sponsor
Strategic Buyer
$79.7
$75.0
$70.0
$65.0
$65.0
$61.1
$60.0
$60.0
$50.0
$50.0
$40.0
$30.0
$20.0
$10.0
$A
B
C
D
E
F
33
G
H
I
J
K
Boutique Energy & Industrial
Investment Bank for the Middle Market
34. Thank You!
102 Decker Court, Suite 204
Irving, Texas 75062
972-831-1300
Jason Wilcox: jason@ws-ibank.com
Grant Swartzwelder: grant@ws-ibank.com
Website: ws-ibank.com
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Boutique Energy & Industrial
Investment Bank for the Middle Market
Hinweis der Redaktion
But first…does anyone know what this chart represents?There is a lot of volatilityWho in here believes that whatever this charts represents is easy to predict the future?Very hard to predict the future
Goal for a seller is to have a “successful” deal (however defined), which includes achieving maximum price.How does a seller ensure that he achieves maximum price and a “really good” deal?Important to systematically manage a sales process that creates competition among multiple buyers – contrast with a public company daily auction marketWhy create a competitive market? Explain virtues.
Here is a case study - it is very indicative of what goes on in the oilfield services middle market.Story begins with an oilfield service company that wasperforming well…Two owners – passive investor wanted out (didn’t have deep enough pockets to support more growth); active operator was aggressive and wanted to growCompany needed capital to purchase “big ticket” equipmentSolicited interest from almost 100 strategic buyers and private equity groupsVery wide range of valuations – very typicalIf don’t create the market, never really know what a company is worthWhen selling a business, very important to test the market among multiple potential buyers – you never know who will see the most “beauty”