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Growing in Retail Home Improvement in the
                        “New Normal”




                       Winston Ledet - COO



October 20, 2011
My Background                                          www.premiumretailsolutions.com




                                     Premium Business Model
         Winston Ledet

Premium Retail Solutions, Inc
Chief Operating Officer

• Co-Founder of Retail’s Solutions
  Group focused on strategy,
  analytics and insight
• Worked with over 50 current and
  prospective suppliers

• Former Home Depot
  Merchandising Vice President -
  Merchandising Strategy and
  Innovation
• Led corporate strategy at Home
  Depot for three years prior.

• Strategic consulting background
  with McKinsey and Company
Defining the “New Normal”                                      www.premiumretailsolutions.com




       Pre Great Recession                         New Normal
  Temporary Stimulants                  Temporary Depressants
  • Buoyant housing prices              • Falling / stagnant housing prices
  • 2 million housing starts            • 500,000 housing starts
  • Ease refinance money                • Underwater mortgages - deleverage
  • The decline of Sears                • European Dept crisis
  • Diverse supply base consolidating

  Long Term Tailwinds                   Long Term Headwinds
  • Home as an investment               • Home spending as consumption
  • Positive store growth               • Store saturation
  • DIY as an enabler                   • Aging of the population
  • Aging of the housing stock          • Leverage of the big boxes
                                        • Potential for significant inflation
Conditions Under the “New Normal”      www.premiumretailsolutions.com




   Limited opportunities in new
   construction – more manufacturers
   chasing retail

   Less organic growth in the US and
   Canada – square footage growth is
   tiny

   Greater leverage of the Big Box
   players

   Pressure on big ticket Purchases

   Growing DIFM / BIY
Thriving in the new normal                             www.premiumretailsolutions.com




                     Building a Consumer
                            Brand.
                    Expand Into Adjacent Areas



                         Current Playing Field
                         • Traffic
                         • Conversion
                         • Share


                  Driving Bottom Line Profitability.




       What is the role for Research and Insights?
Growing in the Current Playing Field.                                         www.premiumretailsolutions.com




                                           Traffic                        Building a Consumer Brand.

                                                                          Expand Into Adjacent Areas

                                                                                 Current Playing
                                                                                 Field
                                                                                 • Traffic
                                                                                 • Conversion
                                                                                 • Share

                                                                        Driving Bottom Line Profitability.
          Promotion
• Special buys, wing stacks,
  clip strips                        Selling Beyond the Shelf
• Leverage the spend of the     • PRO desk and bid room
  retailer                      • Installed sales
• Determining offers that       • Web                                   Expand Retail Footprint
  work                                                              • Increase store count at existing
• Manufacturer directed                                               retail
  marketing                                                         • New retail partners in core
                                                                      channels
      Education / Theater       Improving Location within Store
                                                                    • New retail partners in new
• POP, packaging, website,     • Higher traffic area of the store     channels
  smartcodes                   • Higher traffic area in the
• Demos / Training in store      department/category
Growing in the Current Playing Field.                      www.premiumretailsolutions.com




                            Traffic - Example
Lack of greets in the
kitchen department                                 To Do’s for Researchers
leading to lower sales
                                                Understand what is lacking to
Put in greeter / lead                           drive traffic
generator
                                                Access to timely POS data and
Utilizing POS data                              appropriate analysis
Pre / Post net of control                       Improvement loop PDCA
Growing in the Current Playing Field.                                                       www.premiumretailsolutions.com




                                                  Conversion                            Building a Consumer Brand.

         Merchandising & Assortment                           Pricing                   Expand Into Adjacent Areas
•       Understand your customer              •    Priced right
                                                                                               Current Playing
•       Right product for the market/store    •    Line structure                              Field
•       Understand JLQ                                                                         • Traffic
                                              •    Everyday price = value                      • Conversion
•       Shoppability optimized                •    Differentiated pricing PRO vs               • Share

•       Product quality, warranty & service        DIY                                Driving Bottom Line Profitability.
•       POP, packaging, and display
•       Extend the aisle

          Field Execution & Logistics                 Off-Shelf and Cross Merch
    •    Timely delivery                          • Off-shelf spots in relevant
    •    Always in stock at the shelf               categories and relevant seasons
    •    Priced correctly                         • Constantly test and pitch new
                                                    ideas
    •    POP displayed, in good condition

             Product Differentiation                Grow Shelf Space and SKUs
        • Competitive advantage               • Target competitive SKUs
        • Solve customer needs with           • Increase facings
          improved product or packaging
Growing in the Current Playing Field.                         www.premiumretailsolutions.com




                          Conversion - Example
Finding knees in the demand curve
                                                      To Do’s for Researchers

                                                  Pricing tests for existing items

                                                  Conjoint or similar approach
                                                  for new products

                                                  May dovetail into cost – don’t
                                                  be scared

                                                  Go on shops – play games



          • Recently we priced at this point (a
            50% drop)
          • Sales rose over 500%
Growing in the Current Playing Field.                                                  www.premiumretailsolutions.com




               Conversion - Example


                    Reason for Purchase
                                   Other
                   Replacement      3%
                       10%

                   Don’t
                 remember                             Specific Room                   Purchase by Room
                   12%                                    38%
                                                                                      Other
                                                                         Basement     18%
                   Project                                                 or Attic
                    12%                                                      2%
                                                                        Childs
                                                                       bedroom                               Kitchen
                             Good deal     New home                       2%                                  46%
                               13%           13%                      Closet
                                                                       6%
                                                                        Child's
                                                                         bath
                                                                         6% Garage
                                                                                9%        Utility /
                                                                                         Laundry
                                                                                           11%
Growing in the Current Playing Field.                        www.premiumretailsolutions.com




                       Conversion - Example


                                                      To Do’s for Researchers

                                                  Who buys, when do they buy
  Gender of Decision          Consumer Purchase
                                                  and why do they buy
       Maker                      Occasions
                                                  In-store tests and tracking

                           Unplanned
                                                  Break away from conventional
                             36%                  thinking
                                        Planned
                                          64%
Growing in the Current Playing Field.                        www.premiumretailsolutions.com




                         Conversion - Example
    Disregarding Price – Consumers prefer bottom
    loader more then 2 to1
                                                      To Do’s for Researchers

                                                   Conduct concept tests and
                                                   choice based mapping

                                                   Push the development teams
                                                   to try new things

           Top           Bottom                    Use another category /
         Loading         Loading                   industry as an analog
                               70%


            30%



        A) Top Loader    B) Bottom Loader
Expanding the Playing Field                                                  www.premiumretailsolutions.com




                                                                         Building a Consumer Brand.
Owning Categories
                                                                         Expand Into Adjacent Areas
Power in providing an entire
category.                                                                       Current Playing
                                                                                Field
Simplify the life of a merchant                                                 • Traffic
                                                                                • Conversion
and gain control of key levers                                                  • Share

What products in your bay or                                           Driving Bottom Line Profitability.
                                  Customer/Project Adjacencies
run can you produce or source?
                                  What other products do my
                                  customers buy that my brand
                                  and/or relationships give me an
                                  advantage in?

 Manufacturing Adjacencies
                                  e.g., power tool company
 What other products does the     expanding into paint sprayers
 retailer sell that fit my
 manufacturing expertise?
                                  Often this is a good place to look
 e.g., Vinyl Molding to Vinyl     for acquisitions
 Fencing
Expand the Playing Field - Example                www.premiumretailsolutions.com




                  Attic                  To Do’s for Researchers

                                     Use consumer insights to get
                                     the customer view of the
                                     category

                                     Stretch your partners to think
                                     beyond the 4 walls

                                     Know more about your
                                     category than anyone

                                     Be patient – this is very
                                     counter-cultural to a
                                     manufacturer – but not too
                                     patient
Build a Consumer Brand.                                    www.premiumretailsolutions.com




                                                       Building a Consumer Brand.

                                                       Expand Into Adjacent Areas
                    Why is it valuable?
                                                              Current Playing
   •   Build high switching costs for retailer                Field
   •   Build credibility with consumers                       • Traffic
                                                              • Conversion
   •   Develop strength and stability in sales                • Share

   •   Create stronger case for expanding into new   Driving Bottom Line Profitability.
       categories




             Ways to Build a Consumer Brand
   • Proprietary technology
   • Consumer advertising
   • Commercial channel success
Building a Brand - Example                                           www.premiumretailsolutions.com




                                       WORX

                                                            To Do’s for Researchers

                                                        Know your brand’s real value
                                                        and short comings - track it
                             • Go around the retailer   ongoing and respond

                             • Talk to your customer    Know who key influencers are
                               directly
                                                        Understand impact of channel
                                                        marketing and messages

                                                        If it can’t be done make the
                                                        organization face reality
The #1 Brand in Cordless String Trimmers with
NO retail distribution – now in Home Depot and
Lowes
Drive Bottom Line Profitability                                          www.premiumretailsolutions.com




                                                                     Building a Consumer Brand.
                       Product Line Profitability
     • One-view of cost (avoid getting picked apart by retailer      Expand Into Adjacent Areas
       behind the line programs)
     • Use new product introductions to eliminate / obsolete                Current Playing
                                                                            Field
       low profitability products                                           • Traffic
     • Drive operational and logistical efficiencies                        • Conversion
                                                                            • Share
     • Expense productivity
                                                                   Driving Bottom Line Profitability.



                           Driving Cost Out
     •   Distribution costs
     •   Manufacturing costs
     •   Packaging costs
     •   Minimizing return costs




                        Retailer Negotiations
     • Index commodity prices
     • Start early on price increases (expect it to take months)
     • Packaging costs
Understanding Cost - Example                                                      www.premiumretailsolutions.com




           The Reality of Cost in the “New Normal”                       To Do’s for Researchers

                                                                      Understand the CTQs for your
               • Component costs are high and rising                  products

               • Retailers have significant leverage to deny,         Experiment with ways to take
                 delay and decrease price additions                   cost out without impacting the
                                                                      customer
               • Manufacturer who do not know how to
                 intelligently cut costs will lose profitability or
                                                                      Competitive intelligence on
                 lose business
                                                                      cost




Waiting for his cost
increase to be approved
A Parting Thought – The Big Picture        www.premiumretailsolutions.com




                                      Traditional - If you are
                                      not growing square
                                      footage – you have
                                      started your decline

                                      Digital – If you are not
                                      growing customer
                                      interactions – you have
                                      started your decline

                                      How will your product
                                      be sold in the future

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Using Market Research to Drive Retail Results

  • 1. Growing in Retail Home Improvement in the “New Normal” Winston Ledet - COO October 20, 2011
  • 2. My Background www.premiumretailsolutions.com Premium Business Model Winston Ledet Premium Retail Solutions, Inc Chief Operating Officer • Co-Founder of Retail’s Solutions Group focused on strategy, analytics and insight • Worked with over 50 current and prospective suppliers • Former Home Depot Merchandising Vice President - Merchandising Strategy and Innovation • Led corporate strategy at Home Depot for three years prior. • Strategic consulting background with McKinsey and Company
  • 3. Defining the “New Normal” www.premiumretailsolutions.com Pre Great Recession New Normal Temporary Stimulants Temporary Depressants • Buoyant housing prices • Falling / stagnant housing prices • 2 million housing starts • 500,000 housing starts • Ease refinance money • Underwater mortgages - deleverage • The decline of Sears • European Dept crisis • Diverse supply base consolidating Long Term Tailwinds Long Term Headwinds • Home as an investment • Home spending as consumption • Positive store growth • Store saturation • DIY as an enabler • Aging of the population • Aging of the housing stock • Leverage of the big boxes • Potential for significant inflation
  • 4. Conditions Under the “New Normal” www.premiumretailsolutions.com Limited opportunities in new construction – more manufacturers chasing retail Less organic growth in the US and Canada – square footage growth is tiny Greater leverage of the Big Box players Pressure on big ticket Purchases Growing DIFM / BIY
  • 5. Thriving in the new normal www.premiumretailsolutions.com Building a Consumer Brand. Expand Into Adjacent Areas Current Playing Field • Traffic • Conversion • Share Driving Bottom Line Profitability. What is the role for Research and Insights?
  • 6. Growing in the Current Playing Field. www.premiumretailsolutions.com Traffic Building a Consumer Brand. Expand Into Adjacent Areas Current Playing Field • Traffic • Conversion • Share Driving Bottom Line Profitability. Promotion • Special buys, wing stacks, clip strips Selling Beyond the Shelf • Leverage the spend of the • PRO desk and bid room retailer • Installed sales • Determining offers that • Web Expand Retail Footprint work • Increase store count at existing • Manufacturer directed retail marketing • New retail partners in core channels Education / Theater Improving Location within Store • New retail partners in new • POP, packaging, website, • Higher traffic area of the store channels smartcodes • Higher traffic area in the • Demos / Training in store department/category
  • 7. Growing in the Current Playing Field. www.premiumretailsolutions.com Traffic - Example Lack of greets in the kitchen department To Do’s for Researchers leading to lower sales Understand what is lacking to Put in greeter / lead drive traffic generator Access to timely POS data and Utilizing POS data appropriate analysis Pre / Post net of control Improvement loop PDCA
  • 8. Growing in the Current Playing Field. www.premiumretailsolutions.com Conversion Building a Consumer Brand. Merchandising & Assortment Pricing Expand Into Adjacent Areas • Understand your customer • Priced right Current Playing • Right product for the market/store • Line structure Field • Understand JLQ • Traffic • Everyday price = value • Conversion • Shoppability optimized • Differentiated pricing PRO vs • Share • Product quality, warranty & service DIY Driving Bottom Line Profitability. • POP, packaging, and display • Extend the aisle Field Execution & Logistics Off-Shelf and Cross Merch • Timely delivery • Off-shelf spots in relevant • Always in stock at the shelf categories and relevant seasons • Priced correctly • Constantly test and pitch new ideas • POP displayed, in good condition Product Differentiation Grow Shelf Space and SKUs • Competitive advantage • Target competitive SKUs • Solve customer needs with • Increase facings improved product or packaging
  • 9. Growing in the Current Playing Field. www.premiumretailsolutions.com Conversion - Example Finding knees in the demand curve To Do’s for Researchers Pricing tests for existing items Conjoint or similar approach for new products May dovetail into cost – don’t be scared Go on shops – play games • Recently we priced at this point (a 50% drop) • Sales rose over 500%
  • 10. Growing in the Current Playing Field. www.premiumretailsolutions.com Conversion - Example Reason for Purchase Other Replacement 3% 10% Don’t remember Specific Room Purchase by Room 12% 38% Other Basement 18% Project or Attic 12% 2% Childs bedroom Kitchen Good deal New home 2% 46% 13% 13% Closet 6% Child's bath 6% Garage 9% Utility / Laundry 11%
  • 11. Growing in the Current Playing Field. www.premiumretailsolutions.com Conversion - Example To Do’s for Researchers Who buys, when do they buy Gender of Decision Consumer Purchase and why do they buy Maker Occasions In-store tests and tracking Unplanned Break away from conventional 36% thinking Planned 64%
  • 12. Growing in the Current Playing Field. www.premiumretailsolutions.com Conversion - Example Disregarding Price – Consumers prefer bottom loader more then 2 to1 To Do’s for Researchers Conduct concept tests and choice based mapping Push the development teams to try new things Top Bottom Use another category / Loading Loading industry as an analog 70% 30% A) Top Loader B) Bottom Loader
  • 13. Expanding the Playing Field www.premiumretailsolutions.com Building a Consumer Brand. Owning Categories Expand Into Adjacent Areas Power in providing an entire category. Current Playing Field Simplify the life of a merchant • Traffic • Conversion and gain control of key levers • Share What products in your bay or Driving Bottom Line Profitability. Customer/Project Adjacencies run can you produce or source? What other products do my customers buy that my brand and/or relationships give me an advantage in? Manufacturing Adjacencies e.g., power tool company What other products does the expanding into paint sprayers retailer sell that fit my manufacturing expertise? Often this is a good place to look e.g., Vinyl Molding to Vinyl for acquisitions Fencing
  • 14. Expand the Playing Field - Example www.premiumretailsolutions.com Attic To Do’s for Researchers Use consumer insights to get the customer view of the category Stretch your partners to think beyond the 4 walls Know more about your category than anyone Be patient – this is very counter-cultural to a manufacturer – but not too patient
  • 15. Build a Consumer Brand. www.premiumretailsolutions.com Building a Consumer Brand. Expand Into Adjacent Areas Why is it valuable? Current Playing • Build high switching costs for retailer Field • Build credibility with consumers • Traffic • Conversion • Develop strength and stability in sales • Share • Create stronger case for expanding into new Driving Bottom Line Profitability. categories Ways to Build a Consumer Brand • Proprietary technology • Consumer advertising • Commercial channel success
  • 16. Building a Brand - Example www.premiumretailsolutions.com WORX To Do’s for Researchers Know your brand’s real value and short comings - track it • Go around the retailer ongoing and respond • Talk to your customer Know who key influencers are directly Understand impact of channel marketing and messages If it can’t be done make the organization face reality The #1 Brand in Cordless String Trimmers with NO retail distribution – now in Home Depot and Lowes
  • 17. Drive Bottom Line Profitability www.premiumretailsolutions.com Building a Consumer Brand. Product Line Profitability • One-view of cost (avoid getting picked apart by retailer Expand Into Adjacent Areas behind the line programs) • Use new product introductions to eliminate / obsolete Current Playing Field low profitability products • Traffic • Drive operational and logistical efficiencies • Conversion • Share • Expense productivity Driving Bottom Line Profitability. Driving Cost Out • Distribution costs • Manufacturing costs • Packaging costs • Minimizing return costs Retailer Negotiations • Index commodity prices • Start early on price increases (expect it to take months) • Packaging costs
  • 18. Understanding Cost - Example www.premiumretailsolutions.com The Reality of Cost in the “New Normal” To Do’s for Researchers Understand the CTQs for your • Component costs are high and rising products • Retailers have significant leverage to deny, Experiment with ways to take delay and decrease price additions cost out without impacting the customer • Manufacturer who do not know how to intelligently cut costs will lose profitability or Competitive intelligence on lose business cost Waiting for his cost increase to be approved
  • 19. A Parting Thought – The Big Picture www.premiumretailsolutions.com Traditional - If you are not growing square footage – you have started your decline Digital – If you are not growing customer interactions – you have started your decline How will your product be sold in the future