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The Future of U.S. Pension Financing
Lessons From Europe




April 2009




© 2009 Towers Perrin
Presenters
Mitchell Cole
Mitch is a Principal in Towers Perrin’s Retirement Risk
Solutions (RRS) practice in Stamford, CT. He directs the
firm’s work in Alternative Financing for Employee Benefits
and Pensions, which is part of the RRS. RRS combines
expertise in employee benefits and pensions with risk
expertise and transaction execution capabilities to provide
risk management and structured solutions worldwide.




Travis Winkels
Travis is a Principal in Towers Perrin’s RRS practice in St.
Louis, MO. In his nine years of global employee benefit
consulting experience, Travis has had the privilege of
working with some of the largest and most recognizable
companies in the world to mitigate their pension risk
exposure through the implementation of alternative pension
financing including the use of captive insurance companies,
liability driven investments, and other cutting-edge financial
products.




                                                                 2
© 2009 Towers Perrin
Presenters
Paul Kelly
Paul Kelly is a Principal in Towers Perrin’s Global
Consulting Group in London. Paul joined Towers Perrin
in 2004, following a number of years as a global Director
of Pensions. Prior to this, he worked for 20 years in
international employee benefits consulting and has dealt
with many mergers and acquisitions.




James Staveley-Wadham
James is a consultant in Towers Perrin’s Retirement
group in London. One of his areas of expertise is in
securing benefits arising from defined benefit
arrangements, which he has been involved in for over
seven years. This work covers full buyouts with the
corresponding winding up of the pension plan through to
buying in certain members’ benefits as part of an
investment of the pension trust.




                                                            3
© 2009 Towers Perrin
Agenda

       Context for Emerging Solutions in Europe
       Case Studies
         U.K. Pension Buy-In
         Cross-Border Pension Pooling
         European Pension Captive
       Ideas for Action




                                                  4
© 2009 Towers Perrin
Recent surveys show a similarity
 between European and U.S.
 executives’ views on pension risk
The Major Risks of a Pension Plan (as seen by corporate leadership)
                                                            Europe
                                                        (% respondents)
               Regulatory changes                                                                  48

           Mortality assumptions                                                                   47

                                 Inflation                                              36

              Accounting changes                                                 26
                    Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit 2008 and Towers Perrin


                                                               U.S.
                                                        (% respondents)
                               Cash flow                                                      38

          Regulatory compliance                                                              35

                    Income statement                                                    27

                    Source: CFO Research Services in collaboration with Towers Perrin


                                                                                                        5
 © 2009 Towers Perrin
The economic crisis has adversely affected the
            funded status of plans in Europe and the U.S.

                                          PBO-Funded Ratio for Benchmark Plan
                                                                     140%
140%
                                                                                                  Europe
                                   U.S.                              130%
130%

                                                                     120%
120%
                                                                                                                           77.9% as of
                                                  63.7% as of
110%                                                                 110%
                                                                                                                            3/31/2009
                                                   3/31/2009
100%                                                                 100%

90%                                                                   90%

80%                                                                   80%

70%                                                                   70%

60%                                                                    60%
  Dec 99 Dec 00 Dec 01 Dec 02 Dec 03 Dec 04 Dec 05 Dec 06 Dec 07 Dec 08 Dec 99 Dec 00 Dec 01 Dec 02 Dec 03 Dec 04 Dec 05 Dec 06 Dec 07 Dec 08



                                              60/40 Average Duration Fixed Income (FI)




                                                                                                                                     6
            © 2009 Towers Perrin
Credit spreads introduce a new element of risk into the
             overall risk profile that is difficult to hedge using traditional
             financial market instruments (including derivatives)
        Key Bond Yields (at end of month)
9.00%
8.00%
7.00%
6.00%
5.00%
4.00%
3.00%
2.00%
                                                          Spread Between Corporates (ML 10+) and 30-year T-bonds (bps)
   Dec 04      Dec 05     Dec 06     Dec 07      Dec 08
                                                                         December 1998 – March 2009
                  30-Yr Swaps    30-Yr T-Bonds
     ML 10+ HiQ
                                                  4


     Credit derivatives are                      3.5

     costly and volatile                          3

     Traditional LDI                             2.5
     strategies hedge
                                                  2
     general interest-rate
     risk, but don’t capture                     1.5
     credit-spread risk
                                                  1
     High-quality corporate
                                                 0.5
     bonds are few in
     number and fairly illiquid                   0
                                                  Dec 98 Dec 99 Dec 00 Dec 01 Dec 02 Dec 03 Dec 04 Dec 05 Dec 06 Dec 07 Dec 08

                                                                                                                        7
             © 2009 Towers Perrin
Companies in the U.S. and Europe
face identical challenges

       Mark-to-market accounting
       Matching pension obligations with fixed income is
       difficult:
          Limited availability of long-duration bonds
          Deviation in credit spreads
          Historically low yields on government issues
       Counterparty credit risk
       New accounting rules and pension regulations
       increase cost of DB plans



                                                           8
© 2009 Towers Perrin
The alternatives, which are largely customized,
     rely on insurance and reinsurance companies

        Why Alternatives                                                …and Why Insurers
            Control                                                      Capacity
            Cost savings                                                 Credit risk management
            Cash flow                                                    Capability
                                      Annuity
                                                      Traditional
                                     purchase
                                                         asset
                            High
                                                     immunization

                                         Buy-ins
                                                                           Cashouts/
                                                        Custom
                                                                         other exercise
                                                       insurance
                                                                           of options
                                                                     Interest-
                            Cost
                                                                   rate overlay
                                                                     strategy
                                                                              Pension
                                                                               CAP*

                                                                                  Cross-border
                                                   Control                          pension
                                                                                    pooling
Traditional offering         Low
Alternative financing approaches   Low                                                    High
                                           Degree of Risk Assumption                             *Patent pending in the U.S.

                                                                                                                               9
     © 2009 Towers Perrin
European executives are turning to
                        alternative financing, versus traditional,
                        one-size-fits-all approaches
                                                                        Operational Risk     Plan administration
                                                                                             Plan governance

                                                                        Regulatory Risk      Risk from regulatory changes by IRS,
                                                                                             DOL, PBGC, FASB, IASB, etc.
                                                                                             Asymmetric risk of surplus rules
                                                                        Demographic Risk     Risk posed by participant longevity and
                                                                                             embedded-design options (e.g., lump
                                                                                             sums, early retirement subsidies)
                                                                        Spread Risk          Risk posed by changes in spreads,
                                                                                             yield-curve shapes and pension
                                                Investment Strategies
Traditional Annuities




                                                                                             asset/liability mismatch
                                                                        Interest-Rate Risk
                                                                                             Risk posed by inflation-rate changes,
                                                                                             changes in treasury yield-curve shapes
                                 Alternatives




                                                                        Market Risk          Market risk posed by investments held
                                                                                             in pension trust (equity volatility, credit
                                                                                             risk, currency risk, etc.)

                                                                                                                                           10
                        © 2009 Towers Perrin
Alternative 1: U.K. Pension Buy-In
Snapshot of the pension buy-in
       marketplace, 2007-2008

                      Name                              GBP m                     Insurer             Date                 Type
 Telent                                                  3,000               Pension Corporation    Nov-07                 UFB
 Thorn                                                   1,200               Pension Corporation    Jun-07                 UFB
 Cable & Wireless                                        1,000                   Prudential         Sep-08                 PPB
 P&O                                                      800                   Paternoster         Dec-07                 PPB
 Rank                                                     700                  Rothesay Life        Feb-08                 Full
 Delta                                                    452                Pension Corporation    Jun-08                 PPB
 Powell Duffryn                                           400                   Paternoster         Mar-08                 Full
 Friends Provident                                        350                  Norwich Union        May-08                 PPB
 TI Group                                                 259                 Legal & General       Mar-08                 PPB
 Weir Group                                               240                 Legal & General       Dec-07                 PPB
 Thomson Regional Newspaper                               200                     Citigroup         Aug-07                 UFB
 DRG Pension Fund                                         180                 Legal & General       Jan-07                 PPB
 M-Real Corporation                                       180                 Legal & General       Mar-08                 Full
 Electricity Association Services                         170                 Legal & General       Nov-07                 Full
 Emap                                                     170                   Paternoster         Oct-07                 Full
 Morgan Crucible                                          160                      Lucida           Mar-08                 PPB
 Eni Lasmo                                                150                   Paternoster         Nov-07                 Full
 Hunting                                                  110                   Paternoster         Jan-07                 PPB
 Threshers                                                100                Pension Corporation    Jun-07                 UFB
 Lonmin                                                    78                   Paternoster         May-08                 Full
 Book Club Associates                                      75                 Legal & General       Dec-07                 Full
 Ravenmount (Swan Hill)                                    72                Pension Corporation    May-08                 Full
 Queens Moat Houses                                        60                 Legal & General       Dec-07                 Full
UFB: Uninsured Full Buyout, PPB: Partial Buyout, Full: Full Insured Buyout                         Source: Pension Week, May 26, 2008
                                                                                                     plus addition of recent transactions



                                                                                                                                            12
       © 2009 Towers Perrin
What is a buy-in?

            What is a Bulk Annuity?            What Makes a Successful Transaction?
An insurance policy that addresses              Trustees clear on what they want
  Investment risk                               Clarity and support from the company
  Inflation and interest-rate risks             Effective process and project
                                                management
  Mortality risk
                                                Appointment of a project sponsor
  Policies can be owned by either the
  trustees — a “buy-in” — or by the
  individual — a “buyout”

                  What is a Buyout?                      What is a Buy-In?
  Company and trustees transfer all             An investment held by the pension trust
  of their responsibilities to a third-party    Covers specific groups (e.g., retirees)
  insurer or insurers                           Future tranches could be secured
  Insurers deal directly with members           with the insurer
  in the future, who will have their own        Plan retains all administration
  individual policies
                                                Plan is exposed to counterparty risk
  Future benefit accrual cannot be
  bought out

                                                                                       13
     © 2009 Towers Perrin
Example buyout and buy-in structures

                       Buyout                                     Buy-In
 Plan                                                 Plan
                                                    Sponsor
Sponsor                                             Sponsor




                                                                   Annuity
                       Annuity                                     Premium
                       Premium
                                                    Pension
                                                    Pension
Pension
Pension                                                                        Insurer
                                      Insurer
                                                      Plan
                                                    Scheme
  Plan
Scheme
                                                                     Monthly
                                                                     Payroll
                                                           Benefit
                                  Benefit
                                                          Payments
                                 Payments



                                                      Plan
                                        Plan
                                                   Participants
                                    Participants



                                                                                         14
© 2009 Towers Perrin
Case study: U.K. pension buy-in

                       Context                         Objectives
With liabilities of £1bn, Company         Significantly reduce the level
was concerned over pension risk           of pension risk by transferring
within its overall risk budget            to a third party
Trustees keen to “de-risk” pension        Satisfy trustees’ concern over
investments                               counterparty risk


                 Issues to Consider                     Outcome
Surrender provisions                      The first transaction in the U.K. to fully
                                          insure obligation within the plan while
Mark-to-market accounting/valuation
                                          offering unique security features
of the plan asset
                                          Surrender value payable, after certain
Participant security and residual claim
                                          trigger points, equal to 98% of
on pension fund
                                          statutory reserve value of insurer’s
Counterparty risk                         outstanding liabilities
                                          Withholding of the premium, which
                                          could be returned to the trustees at
                                          90% of the outstanding liabilities

                                                                                   15
© 2009 Towers Perrin
Advantages and considerations
of buyout and buy-in in the U.S.

                       Buyout                       Buy-In
      Advantages                        Advantages
        liabilities off balance sheet     liabilities not removed, but
                                          “matched”
        no PBGC premiums
                                          may lower funding under PPA
        outsourced administration
                                          requirements
      Considerations
                                          may avoid accounting settlement hit
        accounting settlement charge
                                        Considerations
        under FAS 88
                                          subject to PBGC premiums
        PPA funding implications
                                          continued administration
        — benefit restrictions
                                          counterparty risk
        — quarterly contributions
                                          terms for future plan windup
        — use of credit balance
                                          possible enhanced credit protection
                                          options (may increase cost relative
                                          to buyout)
                                          review by auditors and attorneys
                                          is recommended

                                                                           16
© 2009 Towers Perrin
2. Cross-Border Pension Pooling
Optimizing financial and operational
            effectiveness for pensions on a global basis
                                                                                             Defined Benefit
                  Defined Contribution
 Country
              A             B           C      IMEs       D                       E         F           G            IMEs      H
employee
  group



            Local                                      Local                     Local     Local     Local                   Local
                                                                                                                     IME
           country                                    country                   country   country   country                 country
                                                                                                                     plan
           DC plan                                    DC plan                   DB plan   DB plan   DB plan                 DB plan



                                   Cross-border                                                    Cross-border
                                   DC platform                                                     DB platform
                                   (e.g., IORP*)                                                (e.g., CAP, IORP*)


                                                                                                                 Optimizes financial
                                                                                                                  and demographic
    Optimizes fiduciary,
                                                                                                               risks (in an enterprise
    compliance and plan
                                                                                                                       context)
     governance risks                                 Cross-border asset pooling
                                                      vehicle (with subsections)

                                                                                               Optimizes asset
                                                                                           management arrangements
                                                                                           (governance, cost, return)
       *Institution for Occupational Retirement Provision, under EU Directive


                                                                                                                               18
            © 2009 Towers Perrin
Concept of cross-border IORP

                                     NL Multinational
                                  Employees in NL, U.K., IRL


                                     IORP located in B
                              Regulated in B — single license
                            B supervision, regulations, funding.
                       For taxation, assets split based on liabilities.
                                 Single fund with sections.



                                       U.K. Section              IRL Section
          NL Section

                                      Respects U.K. tax,       Respects Irish tax,
      Respects NL tax,
                                       labor, social law        labor, social law
      labor, social law




                                                                                     19
© 2009 Towers Perrin
Asset pooling vs. cross-border plan

                                                              Without Pooling


                                         German                     French                   U.K.
                                       pension plan               pension plan            pension plan


                                    Asset     Asset   Asset    Asset   Asset   Asset   Asset   Asset    Asset
                                    class     class   class    class   class   class   class   class    class
                                      1         2       3        1       2       3       1       2        3




                 Asset Pooling                                                                    Cross-Border Plan


  German                 French                   U.K.
pension plan           pension plan           pension plan
                                                                                                        Single pension plan

                                                                                                   Single Legal Entity
          Asset-Pooling Vehicle

               Asset        Asset     Asset                                                            Asset    Asset   Asset
               class        class     class                                                            class    class   class
                 1            2         3                                                                1        2       3


                                                                                                                                20
     © 2009 Towers Perrin
U.S. multinational case

       High-tech Fortune 500
       Had legacy defined benefit and defined contribution
       issues for internationally mobile employees
       And needed future home for defined contribution
       Mostly related to EMEA countries




                                                             21
© 2009 Towers Perrin
Cross-border pension plan

                                        Ireland Section
                                       Deferred members
                                        Active members
                                                                  U.K. Section
                                            in Ireland
                                                               Deferred members in
                     Turkey
                                                               U.K. and elsewhere
                Active members
                                                                 Active members
                                                                      in U.K.



                                        IORP in Ireland
                                                                        Poland section
         Egypt
                                                                        Active members
    Active members




                                Russia                Hungary section
                           Active members             Active members



                                                                                         22
© 2009 Towers Perrin
Summary of advantages and effort
related to cross-border pension plans

                       Advantages              Effort
      Improved governance           Setup of cross-border plan,
                                    including
      Improved risk management
                                      benefit design for each
      Improved reporting              country section
                                      selection of plan domicile
      Reduced internal management
      time and cost                   selection of vendors
                                      understanding of social and
      Reduced administration
                                      labor law for each country
      and management cost
                                      understanding of tax
      Stronger sense of one firm
                                      requirements for each country
      among employees
                                    Establish a clear governance
                                    model for countries involved




                                                                      23
© 2009 Towers Perrin
3. European Pension Captive
How a captive works

                                                    Benefit plan purchases premium
         Benefit Plan
                                                    (or a single premium) for either
                                                    Life, Disability, Medical or
                                                    Pensions at a given cost (say
                               Claims or Benefits
                                                    the prevailing market cost from
Annuity
                                                    AA insurer)
premium

                                                    Insurer reinsures to captive
                              Insurer
                                                    and passes assets to captive
                                                    Thus employer has control
                                                    of assets and can liberate
                                                    any emerging surplus
                       Reinsurance




                                         Captive




                                                                                   25
© 2009 Towers Perrin
Captive reduces the net cost of windup
    by eliminating profit loads and providing access to
    emerging surplus

                           How CAP Can Reduce the Cost of Windup
                                                             CAP
                                                                               Reinsurance can be
                                                       Potential Adverse       terminated, transitioning
                                                           Deviation
                            Buy-in / Buy-out                                   to traditional windup at
   Retail Price                                                                market prices
                                                   Up-Front Savings from
                                                     “no-load” annuity
Wholesale Price
                                                           Surplus recovery    Realized return >
                                                            through profit     annuity technical rate
                                                                distribution   reduces net pension
                                                                               cost over time

                  Cost




                                               Years


                                                                                                  26
    © 2009 Towers Perrin
Case study: European pension captive

                       Context                       Objectives
                                         Centralize investment control
Global company needed to externalize
final-average-pay pension due to local   Achieve long-term cost savings
tax ceiling
                                         Maintain (or improve) participant
Cost of externalization unacceptably     security
high
                                         Reduce cost of externalization
                                         Support global pension governance

                 Issues to Consider                   Outcome
Pension and reinsurance regulations      Investment strategy controlled
                                         by Corporate Treasury function
IFRS and the early involvement of the
accountants                              Centralized decision-making authority
Acceptable fronting capacity             NPV cost reduction of €100M relative
                                         to traditional buyout
Captive; domicile, license
                                         Participant security enhanced
Capital
Security

                                                                                 27
© 2009 Towers Perrin
Ideas for action

                                                                                                             3. Set a timetable for
                                                         2. Assess whether
  1. Determine how much risk                                                                                    achieving the
                                                            refinancing is
     the company is able and                                                                                    refinancing, possibly
                                                            necessary and how
     willing to assume                                                                                          using alternatives in
                                                                                                                combination

                                         Cost
Cost
                                             Annuity
                                                             Traditional
                                            purchase
              We should be                                     asset
                                                            immunization
              indifferent between x                                                                       Interim financing
              million loss in the plan            Buy-ins
              or in operating income                                           Cashouts/
                                                                Custom
                                                                             other exercise
                                                               insurance
              We would prefer to                                               of options
              have losses of less                                                                               Alternative financing
                                                                         Interest-
              than x in the plan                                                                                     approaches
                                                                       rate overlay
                                                                         strategy
                                                                                      Pension
                                                                                       CAP

                                                                                                                                        Windup
                                                                                           Cross-border
                                                         Control                             pension
                                                                                             pooling



                                                                                                                  Time in Months/Years
       Extent of Risk Aversion                      Degree of Risk Assumption
                                                Traditional offering
                                                Alternative financing approaches




                                                                                                                                                 28
          © 2009 Towers Perrin
Following a proven process can deliver
custom solutions that satisfy diverse needs

Key Needs
     Risk assessment and gap analysis
     Identification and feasibility review of custom solutions
     Assessment of global partners available to deliver proposed solutions
     Execution and implementation
     Agile decision making and ongoing monitoring




                                                                             29
© 2009 Towers Perrin
Questions ?
Presenters

Mitchell Cole
mitchell.cole@towersperrin.com
Ph: (203) 326-5431

Paul Kelly
paul.kelly@towersperrin.com
44 (20) 7170-3693


Travis Winkels
travis.winkels@towersperrin.com
Ph: (314) 719-5920

James Staveley-Wadham
james.staveley-wadham@towersperrin.com
Ph: 44 (20) 7170-3449

                                         31
© 2009 Towers Perrin

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The Future of U.S. Pension Financing — Lessons From Europe

  • 1. The Future of U.S. Pension Financing Lessons From Europe April 2009 © 2009 Towers Perrin
  • 2. Presenters Mitchell Cole Mitch is a Principal in Towers Perrin’s Retirement Risk Solutions (RRS) practice in Stamford, CT. He directs the firm’s work in Alternative Financing for Employee Benefits and Pensions, which is part of the RRS. RRS combines expertise in employee benefits and pensions with risk expertise and transaction execution capabilities to provide risk management and structured solutions worldwide. Travis Winkels Travis is a Principal in Towers Perrin’s RRS practice in St. Louis, MO. In his nine years of global employee benefit consulting experience, Travis has had the privilege of working with some of the largest and most recognizable companies in the world to mitigate their pension risk exposure through the implementation of alternative pension financing including the use of captive insurance companies, liability driven investments, and other cutting-edge financial products. 2 © 2009 Towers Perrin
  • 3. Presenters Paul Kelly Paul Kelly is a Principal in Towers Perrin’s Global Consulting Group in London. Paul joined Towers Perrin in 2004, following a number of years as a global Director of Pensions. Prior to this, he worked for 20 years in international employee benefits consulting and has dealt with many mergers and acquisitions. James Staveley-Wadham James is a consultant in Towers Perrin’s Retirement group in London. One of his areas of expertise is in securing benefits arising from defined benefit arrangements, which he has been involved in for over seven years. This work covers full buyouts with the corresponding winding up of the pension plan through to buying in certain members’ benefits as part of an investment of the pension trust. 3 © 2009 Towers Perrin
  • 4. Agenda Context for Emerging Solutions in Europe Case Studies U.K. Pension Buy-In Cross-Border Pension Pooling European Pension Captive Ideas for Action 4 © 2009 Towers Perrin
  • 5. Recent surveys show a similarity between European and U.S. executives’ views on pension risk The Major Risks of a Pension Plan (as seen by corporate leadership) Europe (% respondents) Regulatory changes 48 Mortality assumptions 47 Inflation 36 Accounting changes 26 Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit 2008 and Towers Perrin U.S. (% respondents) Cash flow 38 Regulatory compliance 35 Income statement 27 Source: CFO Research Services in collaboration with Towers Perrin 5 © 2009 Towers Perrin
  • 6. The economic crisis has adversely affected the funded status of plans in Europe and the U.S. PBO-Funded Ratio for Benchmark Plan 140% 140% Europe U.S. 130% 130% 120% 120% 77.9% as of 63.7% as of 110% 110% 3/31/2009 3/31/2009 100% 100% 90% 90% 80% 80% 70% 70% 60% 60% Dec 99 Dec 00 Dec 01 Dec 02 Dec 03 Dec 04 Dec 05 Dec 06 Dec 07 Dec 08 Dec 99 Dec 00 Dec 01 Dec 02 Dec 03 Dec 04 Dec 05 Dec 06 Dec 07 Dec 08 60/40 Average Duration Fixed Income (FI) 6 © 2009 Towers Perrin
  • 7. Credit spreads introduce a new element of risk into the overall risk profile that is difficult to hedge using traditional financial market instruments (including derivatives) Key Bond Yields (at end of month) 9.00% 8.00% 7.00% 6.00% 5.00% 4.00% 3.00% 2.00% Spread Between Corporates (ML 10+) and 30-year T-bonds (bps) Dec 04 Dec 05 Dec 06 Dec 07 Dec 08 December 1998 – March 2009 30-Yr Swaps 30-Yr T-Bonds ML 10+ HiQ 4 Credit derivatives are 3.5 costly and volatile 3 Traditional LDI 2.5 strategies hedge 2 general interest-rate risk, but don’t capture 1.5 credit-spread risk 1 High-quality corporate 0.5 bonds are few in number and fairly illiquid 0 Dec 98 Dec 99 Dec 00 Dec 01 Dec 02 Dec 03 Dec 04 Dec 05 Dec 06 Dec 07 Dec 08 7 © 2009 Towers Perrin
  • 8. Companies in the U.S. and Europe face identical challenges Mark-to-market accounting Matching pension obligations with fixed income is difficult: Limited availability of long-duration bonds Deviation in credit spreads Historically low yields on government issues Counterparty credit risk New accounting rules and pension regulations increase cost of DB plans 8 © 2009 Towers Perrin
  • 9. The alternatives, which are largely customized, rely on insurance and reinsurance companies Why Alternatives …and Why Insurers Control Capacity Cost savings Credit risk management Cash flow Capability Annuity Traditional purchase asset High immunization Buy-ins Cashouts/ Custom other exercise insurance of options Interest- Cost rate overlay strategy Pension CAP* Cross-border Control pension pooling Traditional offering Low Alternative financing approaches Low High Degree of Risk Assumption *Patent pending in the U.S. 9 © 2009 Towers Perrin
  • 10. European executives are turning to alternative financing, versus traditional, one-size-fits-all approaches Operational Risk Plan administration Plan governance Regulatory Risk Risk from regulatory changes by IRS, DOL, PBGC, FASB, IASB, etc. Asymmetric risk of surplus rules Demographic Risk Risk posed by participant longevity and embedded-design options (e.g., lump sums, early retirement subsidies) Spread Risk Risk posed by changes in spreads, yield-curve shapes and pension Investment Strategies Traditional Annuities asset/liability mismatch Interest-Rate Risk Risk posed by inflation-rate changes, changes in treasury yield-curve shapes Alternatives Market Risk Market risk posed by investments held in pension trust (equity volatility, credit risk, currency risk, etc.) 10 © 2009 Towers Perrin
  • 11. Alternative 1: U.K. Pension Buy-In
  • 12. Snapshot of the pension buy-in marketplace, 2007-2008 Name GBP m Insurer Date Type Telent 3,000 Pension Corporation Nov-07 UFB Thorn 1,200 Pension Corporation Jun-07 UFB Cable & Wireless 1,000 Prudential Sep-08 PPB P&O 800 Paternoster Dec-07 PPB Rank 700 Rothesay Life Feb-08 Full Delta 452 Pension Corporation Jun-08 PPB Powell Duffryn 400 Paternoster Mar-08 Full Friends Provident 350 Norwich Union May-08 PPB TI Group 259 Legal & General Mar-08 PPB Weir Group 240 Legal & General Dec-07 PPB Thomson Regional Newspaper 200 Citigroup Aug-07 UFB DRG Pension Fund 180 Legal & General Jan-07 PPB M-Real Corporation 180 Legal & General Mar-08 Full Electricity Association Services 170 Legal & General Nov-07 Full Emap 170 Paternoster Oct-07 Full Morgan Crucible 160 Lucida Mar-08 PPB Eni Lasmo 150 Paternoster Nov-07 Full Hunting 110 Paternoster Jan-07 PPB Threshers 100 Pension Corporation Jun-07 UFB Lonmin 78 Paternoster May-08 Full Book Club Associates 75 Legal & General Dec-07 Full Ravenmount (Swan Hill) 72 Pension Corporation May-08 Full Queens Moat Houses 60 Legal & General Dec-07 Full UFB: Uninsured Full Buyout, PPB: Partial Buyout, Full: Full Insured Buyout Source: Pension Week, May 26, 2008 plus addition of recent transactions 12 © 2009 Towers Perrin
  • 13. What is a buy-in? What is a Bulk Annuity? What Makes a Successful Transaction? An insurance policy that addresses Trustees clear on what they want Investment risk Clarity and support from the company Inflation and interest-rate risks Effective process and project management Mortality risk Appointment of a project sponsor Policies can be owned by either the trustees — a “buy-in” — or by the individual — a “buyout” What is a Buyout? What is a Buy-In? Company and trustees transfer all An investment held by the pension trust of their responsibilities to a third-party Covers specific groups (e.g., retirees) insurer or insurers Future tranches could be secured Insurers deal directly with members with the insurer in the future, who will have their own Plan retains all administration individual policies Plan is exposed to counterparty risk Future benefit accrual cannot be bought out 13 © 2009 Towers Perrin
  • 14. Example buyout and buy-in structures Buyout Buy-In Plan Plan Sponsor Sponsor Sponsor Annuity Annuity Premium Premium Pension Pension Pension Pension Insurer Insurer Plan Scheme Plan Scheme Monthly Payroll Benefit Benefit Payments Payments Plan Plan Participants Participants 14 © 2009 Towers Perrin
  • 15. Case study: U.K. pension buy-in Context Objectives With liabilities of £1bn, Company Significantly reduce the level was concerned over pension risk of pension risk by transferring within its overall risk budget to a third party Trustees keen to “de-risk” pension Satisfy trustees’ concern over investments counterparty risk Issues to Consider Outcome Surrender provisions The first transaction in the U.K. to fully insure obligation within the plan while Mark-to-market accounting/valuation offering unique security features of the plan asset Surrender value payable, after certain Participant security and residual claim trigger points, equal to 98% of on pension fund statutory reserve value of insurer’s Counterparty risk outstanding liabilities Withholding of the premium, which could be returned to the trustees at 90% of the outstanding liabilities 15 © 2009 Towers Perrin
  • 16. Advantages and considerations of buyout and buy-in in the U.S. Buyout Buy-In Advantages Advantages liabilities off balance sheet liabilities not removed, but “matched” no PBGC premiums may lower funding under PPA outsourced administration requirements Considerations may avoid accounting settlement hit accounting settlement charge Considerations under FAS 88 subject to PBGC premiums PPA funding implications continued administration — benefit restrictions counterparty risk — quarterly contributions terms for future plan windup — use of credit balance possible enhanced credit protection options (may increase cost relative to buyout) review by auditors and attorneys is recommended 16 © 2009 Towers Perrin
  • 18. Optimizing financial and operational effectiveness for pensions on a global basis Defined Benefit Defined Contribution Country A B C IMEs D E F G IMEs H employee group Local Local Local Local Local Local IME country country country country country country plan DC plan DC plan DB plan DB plan DB plan DB plan Cross-border Cross-border DC platform DB platform (e.g., IORP*) (e.g., CAP, IORP*) Optimizes financial and demographic Optimizes fiduciary, risks (in an enterprise compliance and plan context) governance risks Cross-border asset pooling vehicle (with subsections) Optimizes asset management arrangements (governance, cost, return) *Institution for Occupational Retirement Provision, under EU Directive 18 © 2009 Towers Perrin
  • 19. Concept of cross-border IORP NL Multinational Employees in NL, U.K., IRL IORP located in B Regulated in B — single license B supervision, regulations, funding. For taxation, assets split based on liabilities. Single fund with sections. U.K. Section IRL Section NL Section Respects U.K. tax, Respects Irish tax, Respects NL tax, labor, social law labor, social law labor, social law 19 © 2009 Towers Perrin
  • 20. Asset pooling vs. cross-border plan Without Pooling German French U.K. pension plan pension plan pension plan Asset Asset Asset Asset Asset Asset Asset Asset Asset class class class class class class class class class 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3 Asset Pooling Cross-Border Plan German French U.K. pension plan pension plan pension plan Single pension plan Single Legal Entity Asset-Pooling Vehicle Asset Asset Asset Asset Asset Asset class class class class class class 1 2 3 1 2 3 20 © 2009 Towers Perrin
  • 21. U.S. multinational case High-tech Fortune 500 Had legacy defined benefit and defined contribution issues for internationally mobile employees And needed future home for defined contribution Mostly related to EMEA countries 21 © 2009 Towers Perrin
  • 22. Cross-border pension plan Ireland Section Deferred members Active members U.K. Section in Ireland Deferred members in Turkey U.K. and elsewhere Active members Active members in U.K. IORP in Ireland Poland section Egypt Active members Active members Russia Hungary section Active members Active members 22 © 2009 Towers Perrin
  • 23. Summary of advantages and effort related to cross-border pension plans Advantages Effort Improved governance Setup of cross-border plan, including Improved risk management benefit design for each Improved reporting country section selection of plan domicile Reduced internal management time and cost selection of vendors understanding of social and Reduced administration labor law for each country and management cost understanding of tax Stronger sense of one firm requirements for each country among employees Establish a clear governance model for countries involved 23 © 2009 Towers Perrin
  • 25. How a captive works Benefit plan purchases premium Benefit Plan (or a single premium) for either Life, Disability, Medical or Pensions at a given cost (say Claims or Benefits the prevailing market cost from Annuity AA insurer) premium Insurer reinsures to captive Insurer and passes assets to captive Thus employer has control of assets and can liberate any emerging surplus Reinsurance Captive 25 © 2009 Towers Perrin
  • 26. Captive reduces the net cost of windup by eliminating profit loads and providing access to emerging surplus How CAP Can Reduce the Cost of Windup CAP Reinsurance can be Potential Adverse terminated, transitioning Deviation Buy-in / Buy-out to traditional windup at Retail Price market prices Up-Front Savings from “no-load” annuity Wholesale Price Surplus recovery Realized return > through profit annuity technical rate distribution reduces net pension cost over time Cost Years 26 © 2009 Towers Perrin
  • 27. Case study: European pension captive Context Objectives Centralize investment control Global company needed to externalize final-average-pay pension due to local Achieve long-term cost savings tax ceiling Maintain (or improve) participant Cost of externalization unacceptably security high Reduce cost of externalization Support global pension governance Issues to Consider Outcome Pension and reinsurance regulations Investment strategy controlled by Corporate Treasury function IFRS and the early involvement of the accountants Centralized decision-making authority Acceptable fronting capacity NPV cost reduction of €100M relative to traditional buyout Captive; domicile, license Participant security enhanced Capital Security 27 © 2009 Towers Perrin
  • 28. Ideas for action 3. Set a timetable for 2. Assess whether 1. Determine how much risk achieving the refinancing is the company is able and refinancing, possibly necessary and how willing to assume using alternatives in combination Cost Cost Annuity Traditional purchase We should be asset immunization indifferent between x Interim financing million loss in the plan Buy-ins or in operating income Cashouts/ Custom other exercise insurance We would prefer to of options have losses of less Alternative financing Interest- than x in the plan approaches rate overlay strategy Pension CAP Windup Cross-border Control pension pooling Time in Months/Years Extent of Risk Aversion Degree of Risk Assumption Traditional offering Alternative financing approaches 28 © 2009 Towers Perrin
  • 29. Following a proven process can deliver custom solutions that satisfy diverse needs Key Needs Risk assessment and gap analysis Identification and feasibility review of custom solutions Assessment of global partners available to deliver proposed solutions Execution and implementation Agile decision making and ongoing monitoring 29 © 2009 Towers Perrin
  • 31. Presenters Mitchell Cole mitchell.cole@towersperrin.com Ph: (203) 326-5431 Paul Kelly paul.kelly@towersperrin.com 44 (20) 7170-3693 Travis Winkels travis.winkels@towersperrin.com Ph: (314) 719-5920 James Staveley-Wadham james.staveley-wadham@towersperrin.com Ph: 44 (20) 7170-3449 31 © 2009 Towers Perrin