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Presentation by:
Alexi Schnell, Water Resources Specialist
Lisa Marie Harris, Director of Finance
Water Planning Committee
June 25, 2015 Meeting
Update on Supply Conditions and
Drought Response Activities
Lake Oroville
2
SWP & CRA Hydrology
State Water Project
 Less than 10% precipitation occurs May - September
 Hydrology no longer a driver for Water Year 2015
 SWP Allocation at 20%
Colorado River Basin
 Approximately 1/3 of precipitation
occurs May – September
 May 2015 – 224% of normal precipitation
 Expect probability of shortages for 2016 to be reduced
 BOR update around July 15th
3
LAKE
OROVILLE
SAN
LUIS
State Water Project
Lake Oroville Storage
Average (1922-1998) 2013-2014 2014-2015 (current)
Current Year
41% Capacity
Last Year
Record Low
(as of June 23, 2015)
4
LAKE
OROVILLE
SAN
LUIS
San Luis Reservoir Storage
Current Year
44% Capacity
Last Year
(as of June 23, 2015)
Average (1922-1998) 2013-2014 2014-2015 (current)
5
Upper Colorado River Basin Hydrology
88%*
* BOR June 16, 2015 Forecast for Water Year
6
Fiscal Year Potable Water Use in
Water Authority Service Area
20,000
40,000
60,000
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Acre-Feet
Water Use FY14 (AF) Water Use FY15 (AF)
• Figures include urban and agricultural water use
7
Average Daily Maximum Temperature at
Lindbergh Field – Departure from Normal (oF)
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
Fiscal Year 2014 Fiscal Year 2015
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Hotter
Cooler
8
Temperature Outlook: Above Normal
July 2015 – September 2015
9
NOAA Climate Prediction Center
El Niño Update – June 11
 Greater than 90% chance El Niño will continue through fall
2015
 Approximately 85% chance El Niño will continue through the
2015-16 winter
 Harder to predict strength than duration, but El Niño
continues to intensify
 Forecasters currently favor
a strong event for the
fall/early winter
 Very strong El Niño could
bring substantial
precipitation
10
28%
20%
36%
20%
20%
20%
32%
20%
20%
32%
36%
28%
32%
16%
28%
36%
12%
24%
36%
20%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
SWRCB Emergency Regulation
Updated Member Agency Conservation Standards*
*Based on R-GPCD data current as of 6/11/15
11
Conservation Water Pricing
12
Conservation Water Pricing –
State Water Resources Control Board (SWRCB)
 SWRCB soliciting comments on conservation water
pricing by July 1
 SWRCB Board Hearing on July 8
 Discussed with Member Agency General Managers
on June 16
 Water Authority preparing a letter including
Member Agency comments by the July 1 deadline
13
Conservation Water Pricing
 SWRCB does not have the authority to impose/require the
setting of specific rate structures
 Seeking to assist and support urban water agencies with
conservation water pricing
 Water conservation pricing is part of the answer to
reaching the conservation targets - Multifaceted approach
must be taken
 Education and Outreach
 Market Transformation
 Water industry developed models, guidelines, BMP 1.4
which provide conservation water pricing
 SWRCB’s role should focus on identifying information
gaps which can be filled to assist water agencies
 Efficiency Standards
 Landscape Ordinance
14

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Update on Supply Conditions and Drought Response Activities - June 25, 2015

  • 1. Presentation by: Alexi Schnell, Water Resources Specialist Lisa Marie Harris, Director of Finance Water Planning Committee June 25, 2015 Meeting Update on Supply Conditions and Drought Response Activities Lake Oroville
  • 2. 2 SWP & CRA Hydrology State Water Project  Less than 10% precipitation occurs May - September  Hydrology no longer a driver for Water Year 2015  SWP Allocation at 20% Colorado River Basin  Approximately 1/3 of precipitation occurs May – September  May 2015 – 224% of normal precipitation  Expect probability of shortages for 2016 to be reduced  BOR update around July 15th
  • 3. 3 LAKE OROVILLE SAN LUIS State Water Project Lake Oroville Storage Average (1922-1998) 2013-2014 2014-2015 (current) Current Year 41% Capacity Last Year Record Low (as of June 23, 2015)
  • 4. 4 LAKE OROVILLE SAN LUIS San Luis Reservoir Storage Current Year 44% Capacity Last Year (as of June 23, 2015) Average (1922-1998) 2013-2014 2014-2015 (current)
  • 5. 5 Upper Colorado River Basin Hydrology 88%* * BOR June 16, 2015 Forecast for Water Year
  • 6. 6 Fiscal Year Potable Water Use in Water Authority Service Area 20,000 40,000 60,000 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Acre-Feet Water Use FY14 (AF) Water Use FY15 (AF) • Figures include urban and agricultural water use
  • 7. 7 Average Daily Maximum Temperature at Lindbergh Field – Departure from Normal (oF) -2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 Fiscal Year 2014 Fiscal Year 2015 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Hotter Cooler
  • 8. 8 Temperature Outlook: Above Normal July 2015 – September 2015
  • 9. 9 NOAA Climate Prediction Center El Niño Update – June 11  Greater than 90% chance El Niño will continue through fall 2015  Approximately 85% chance El Niño will continue through the 2015-16 winter  Harder to predict strength than duration, but El Niño continues to intensify  Forecasters currently favor a strong event for the fall/early winter  Very strong El Niño could bring substantial precipitation
  • 12. 12 Conservation Water Pricing – State Water Resources Control Board (SWRCB)  SWRCB soliciting comments on conservation water pricing by July 1  SWRCB Board Hearing on July 8  Discussed with Member Agency General Managers on June 16  Water Authority preparing a letter including Member Agency comments by the July 1 deadline
  • 13. 13 Conservation Water Pricing  SWRCB does not have the authority to impose/require the setting of specific rate structures  Seeking to assist and support urban water agencies with conservation water pricing  Water conservation pricing is part of the answer to reaching the conservation targets - Multifaceted approach must be taken  Education and Outreach  Market Transformation  Water industry developed models, guidelines, BMP 1.4 which provide conservation water pricing  SWRCB’s role should focus on identifying information gaps which can be filled to assist water agencies  Efficiency Standards  Landscape Ordinance
  • 14. 14