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PICPA 2nd General Membership Meeting

&
Capital Investment Evaluation

23rd February 2012, Thursday, 5:00PM – 10:00PM
1
Agenda
o Hierarchy of Planning
o Strategic Planning
o Financial Goal
o Financial Planning
o Capital Budgeting
o Investment Decisions
o Financing Decisions
o Evaluation Techniques
Plan a
Destination

3
Mission
Strategic
Planning

Goals

Long-Range
Planning
(Capital Investment)

Objectives

Operational Planning
(Income Statement)

Output: Mission Statement
Basic Question. What
business are we in?
Output: The Five-Year Plan
Basic Question. What are
the major components of our
business?
Output: Budget & Forecast
Basic Question. What
specific tasks must be done
to achieve the results stated
in the long-range plan?

4
Mission
Strategic
Planning

Goals

Long-Range
Planning
(Capital Investment)

Objectives

Operational Planning
(Income Statement)

Output: Mission Statement
Basic Question. What
business are we in?
Output: The Five-Year Plan
Basic Question. What are
the major components of our
business?
Output: Budget & Forecast
Basic Question. What
specific tasks must be done
to achieve the results stated
in the long-range plan?

5
Determine the
current financial
position
Periodic review and
revise the financial
plan

Identify and set
financial goal

Financial
Planning
Process
Create &
Implement a
financial action plan

Identify suitable
investment
avenues
Evaluate alternative
& strategize

7
Determine the
current financial
position

Periodic review and
revise the financial
plan

Identify and set
financial goal

Financial
Planning
Process
Create &
Implement a
financial action plan

Identify suitable
investment
avenues
Evaluate alternative
& strategize

8
Financial Goal of the Corporation
The primary financial goal is
shareholder wealth maximization,
which translates to maximizing stock
price.
Current stock price relies upon current
earnings, as well as future earnings
and cash flow.
Factors that affect stock price
• Projected cash flows
to shareholders
• Timing of the cash
flow stream
• Riskiness of the
cash flows
Basic Valuation Model
CF1
CF2
CFn
Value 

 
1
2
(1  k)
(1  k)
(1  k) n
n

CFt

.
t
t 1 (1  k)
 To estimate an total enterprise value (asset’s
value), one estimates the cash flow for each period
t (CFt), the life of the asset (n), and the appropriate
discount rate (k)
Net Present Value
Future Value
PV = ----------------(1 + i)n
Where i = interest rate
n = number of years
 The PV of Php1 @ 10% in 1 years time is 0.9090
 If you invested 0.9090 centavos today and the interest
rate was 10% you would have Php1 in a year’s time
 Process referred to as:
‘Discounting Cash Flow’
Factors that Affect the Level and
Riskiness of Cash Flows
• Decisions made by financial managers:
1. Investment decisions
2. Financing decisions (the relative use of debt
financing)
3. Dividend policy decisions
Capital Budgeting Within The Firm

The Position of Capital Budgeting
Financial Goal of the Firm:
Wealth Maximisation
Investment Decison
Long Term Assets

Short Term Assets

Financing Decision

Dividend Decision

Debt/Equity Mix

Dividend Payout Ratio

Capital Budgeting
14
Principles of Corporate Finance
1. Invest in projects that yield a return greater than the
minimum acceptable hurdle rate with adjustments for
project riskiness.
2. Choose a financing mix that minimizes the hurdle rate.
3. If there are not enough investments that earn the hurdle
rate, return the cash to stockholders.

4. These decision criteria will be consistent with the
objective of the firm: Maximize the Value of the
Firm
Strategic Financial
Decisions

16
Strategic Planning

17
GAP Analysis

Planning
Diversification
New market development

gap

New product development
Improve current operations

18
Product Market Matrix
Markets

Present
New

Products

Present

New

Momentum

Market
Development

Product
Development

Diversification

19
SWOT Analysis

Strong leadership
Financial soundness
Innovative product
design
Breakthrough
technology
Product development
Strong market position
Strengths

20
SWOT Analysis
Internal Factors

Strengths (S)

Weaknesses (W)

Opportunities (O)

SO Strategies

WO Strategies

External opportunities
goes here

Strategies use strength
that take advantage of
the opportunities

Strategies use
opportunities by
overcoming
weaknesses

Threats (T)

ST Strategies

WT Strategies

External threats goes
here

Strategies use strength
to avoid threats

Strategies minimize
weaknesses and avoid
threats

External Factors

21
Marketing Strategy
Boston Consulting Group (BCG)

• BCG Growth/Share Matrix
– Analyzes business opportunities according to
growth rate and market share
(Build)

(Hold)

?
(Divest)

(Harvest)
Marketing Strategy

Market
Positioning
Market
Targeting
Market
Segmentation

23
Marketing Mix

Target
Market

24
Mission
Strategic
Planning

Goals

Long-Range
Planning
(Capital Investment)

Objectives

Operational Planning
(Income Statement)

Output: Mission Statement
Basic Question. What
business are we in?
Output: The Five-Year Plan
Basic Question. What are
the major components of our
business?
Output: Budget & Forecast
Basic Question. What
specific tasks must be done
to achieve the results stated
in the long-range plan?

25
P&L Plan (SR’000)
11A

12P

13P

14P

15P

16P

17P

Sales

69.0

79.3

103.2

118.7

136.4

156.9

180.4

COGS

27.6

31.7

41.3

47.5

54.6

62.8

72.2

Gross Profit

41.4

47.6

61.9

71.2

81.8

94.1

108.2

SG&A Expense

13.8

15.9

20.6

23.7

27.3

31.4

36.1

Depreciation

0.5

0.5

20.5

20.5

20.5

20.5

20.5

Other Income

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

27.1

31.3

20.9

27.0

34.2

42.4

51.8

Interest Expense

0.0

14.0

11.2

8.4

5.6

2.8

0.0

Taxes

8.1

5.2

2.9

5.6

8.6

11.9

15.5

19.0

12.1

6.8

13.0

20.0

27.7

36.2

EBIT

Net Profit

26
Balance Sheet Plan (SR’000)
11A

12P

13P

14P

15P

16P

17P

Cash

54.6

79.0

72.5

70.8

76.8

90.4

112.7

Receivables

37.5

43.1

56.1

64.5

74.1

85.3

98.1

Inventories

2.8

3.2

4.1

4.7

5.5

6.3

7.2

Fixed Assets

5.0

205

205

205

205

205

205

Accum. Deprn.

0.5

1.0

21.5

42.0

62.5

83.0

103.5

Total Assets

99.3

329.3

316.2

303.0

298.8 304.0

319.5

Payables & Accruals

30.4

48.2

63.3

72.1

82.9

95.4

109.7

Bank Loans

35.0

175.0

140.0

105.0

70.0

35.0

0.0

Equity

34.0

106.1

112.9

125.9

145.9 173.6

209.9

Total Liab. & Equity

99.3

329.3

316.2

303.0

298.8 304.0

319.5
27
Cash Flow Statement Plan (SR’000)
11A
Net Income

12P

13P

14P

15P

16P

17P

19.0

12.1

6.8

13.0

20.0

27.7

36.2

0.5

0.5

20.5

20.5

20.5

20.5

20.5

(9.9)

11.8

1.2

(0.2)

0.4

0.5

0.6

9.6

24.4

28.5

33.3

40.9

48.7

57.3

Investment

(5.0)

(200.0)

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Financing

50.0

Net Cash Flow

54.6

24.4

(6.5)

(1.7)

5.9

13.7

22.3

0.0

54.6

79.0

72.5

70.8

76.7

90.4

54.6

79.0

72.5

70.8

76.7

90.4

112.7

Non Cash Item
Changes in WC
Operating Cash Flow

Cash at Beginning

Cash at Ending

200.0 (35.0)

(35.0) (35.0) (35.0) (35.0)

28
Intimidated by report that full of numbers?

29
Do you know how to deal with numbers?

30
Financial numbers?

31
Financial information?

32
Financial knowledge?

33
Financial intelligence?

34
Financial Information
Income Statement (SR Thousand)
Year Ended
Dec. 31, 2012

EBIT = 39.5%

Net Profit
= 15.3%

Sales

79,350

Cost of Goods Sold

31,740

Gross Profit

47,610

SG&A expense

Gross Margin
= 60.0%

15,870

Depreciation

500

Other income

100

EBIT

31,340

Interest expense

14,000

Taxes
Net profit

Financial
Knowledge

5,202

12,138
Financial
35
Numbers
“I was very creative with my accounting, but not
creative enough.”

Finance is an Art

36
Financial Planning
Art and science of managing
money.

What are your financial goals?
Means different things to
different people.
37
Financial Planning
Art of managing the financial
resources of a business.

38
Determine the
current financial
position

Periodic review and
revise the financial
plan

Identify and set
financial goal

Financial
Planning
Process
Create &
Implement a
financial action plan

Identify suitable
investment
opportunities
Evaluate alternative
& strategize

39
XYZ Restaurant

40
Key Assumptions
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•

Population and Growth Rate
Inflation Rate
Exchange Rate
Market Share
Industry Growth Rate
Company Growth Rate
Segmented Projected Sales
Segmented Sales Mix%
Pricing and Costing
Days Level
Headcount
Capital Expenditure
Project and Time Dimensions
Capital Structure (Financing Mix)
WACC (Cost of Debt + Cost of Equity)

41
Financial Assumptions
11A
A. Growth Rate

0%

12P

13P

14P

15P

16P

17P

15% 30% 15% 15% 15% 15%

B. Sales (Meals)
Segment A

80

92

120

138

158

182

209

Segment B

120

138

179

206

237

273

314

C. Sales Mix%
Segment A

40% 40% 40% 40% 40% 40% 40%

Segment B

60% 60% 60% 60% 60% 60% 60%
42
Financial Assumptions
11A

12P

13P

14P

15P

16P

17P

Segment A

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

Segment B

14

14

14

14

14

14

14

D. Pricing (SR)

E. Costing (% of Sales)
F.

40% 40% 40% 40% 40% 40% 40%

Days Level
DSO

30

30

30

30

30

30

30

DIL

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

DPO

45

45

45

45

45

45

45
43
Financial Assumptions
11A

G. CAPEX (SR‘000)
I.

12P

13P 14P

15P

16P

17P

200

Capital Structure
Debt Financing

70%

Equity Financing

30%

J. WACC

6.7%

44
P&L Plan (SR’000)
11A

12P

13P

14P

15P

16P

17P

Sales

69.0

79.3

103.2

118.7

136.4

156.9

180.4

COGS

27.6

31.7

41.3

47.5

54.6

62.8

72.2

Gross Profit

41.4

47.6

61.9

71.2

81.8

94.1

108.2

SG&A Expense

13.8

15.9

20.6

23.7

27.3

31.4

36.1

Depreciation

0.5

0.5

20.5

20.5

20.5

20.5

20.5

Other Income

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

27.1

31.3

20.9

27.0

34.2

42.4

51.8

Interest Expense

0.0

14.0

11.2

8.4

5.6

2.8

0.0

Taxes

8.1

5.2

2.9

5.6

8.6

11.9

15.5

19.0

12.2

6.8

13.0

20.0

27.7

36.2

EBIT

Net Profit

45
Balance Sheet Plan (SR’000)
11A

12P

13P

14P

15P

16P

17P

Cash

54.6

79.0

72.5

70.8

76.8

90.4

112.7

Receivables

37.5

43.1

56.1

64.5

74.1

85.3

98.1

Inventories

2.8

3.2

4.1

4.7

5.5

6.3

7.2

Fixed Assets

5.0

205

205

205

205

205

205

Accum. Deprn.

0.5

1.0

21.5

42.0

62.5

83.0

103.5

Total Assets

99.3

329.3

316.2

303.0

298.8 304.0

319.5

Payables & Accruals

30.4

48.2

63.3

72.1

82.9

95.4

109.7

Bank Loans

35.0

175.0

140.0

105.0

70.0

35.0

0.0

Equity

34.0

106.1

112.9

125.9

145.9 173.6

209.9

Total Liab. & Equity

99.3

329.3

316.2

303.0

298.8 304.0

319.5
46
Cash Flow Statement Plan (SR’000)
11A
Net Income

12P

13P

14P

15P

16P

17P

19.0

12.2

6.8

13.0

20.0

27.7

36.2

0.5

0.5

20.5

20.5

20.5

20.5

20.5

(9.9)

11.8

1.2

(0.2)

0.4

0.5

0.6

9.6

24.5

28.5

33.3

40.9

48.7

57.3

Investment

(5.0)

(200.0)

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Financing

50.0

Net Cash Flow

54.6

24.5

(6.5)

(1.7)

5.9

13.7

22.3

0.0

54.6

79.0

72.5

70.8

76.7

90.4

54.6

79.0

72.5

70.8

76.7

90.4

112.7

Non Cash Item
Changes in WC
Operating Cash Flow

Cash at Beginning

Cash at Ending

200.0 (35.0)

(35.0) (35.0) (35.0) (35.0)

47
Corporate Finance Functions
1. Allocation of financial resources
What long-term investments should the firm
engage in?

2. Procurement of funds
How can the firm raise money for the required
investments?
3. Efficient and effective utilization of financial
resources.
How much short-term cash flow does a company
need to pay its bills?
48
Investment Decisions

49
The Balance-Sheet Model of the Firm
Total Value of Assets:

Total Firm Value to Investors:
Current Liabilities

Current Assets
Long-Term Debt

Fixed Assets

1 Tangible
2 Intangible

Shareholders’
Equity

50
The Balance-Sheet Model of the Firm
The Capital Budgeting Decision
(Investment Decision)

Current Liabilities

Current Assets
Long-Term Debt

Non Current Assets

1 Tangible
2 Intangible

What longterm
investments
should the
firm engage
in?

Shareholders’
Equity

51
Capital and Capital Budgeting
Capital:
is the stock of assets that will generate a
flow of income in the future.
Capital budgeting:
 is the planning process used to determine
the cash inflow and cash outflow of the long
term investment (more than single
accounting period) and based on that it
measure viability of the project.
52
Restaurant Example
How much to invest in Equipment?
SR 200,000-

When to invest?
4Qtr 2012

How long to invest?
5 years

53
Cash Flows during a Capital Budgeting Project
Cash
Inflow

Cash Flows
Initiation
Operation

Project

Disposals
Cash
Outflow

54
Initiation Cash Flows (SR’000)
12P

+
+

Net Profit

Or +

Increase or Decrease of Working Capital

Depreciation

NOPAT Cash Flow

+

Post Tax Interest Expense
Unlevered Operating Cash Flow
Cost of New Assets

Tax on Gain on Sale of Old Assets

+
=

Proceeds from Sale of Old Assets
Unlevered Operating FCFF (Initiation Cash Flow)

12.2
0.5
11.8
24.5
9.8
34.3
(200)
0.0
0.0
165.7

The cost of new equipment is SR200M and released of working capital by
SR11.8M. Pretax interest expense is SR14M. Net profit is SR12.2M and
depreciation of existing fixed asset is SR0.5M. (Tax rate is 30%)

55
Operational Cash Flows (SR’000)
13P

+

Net Profit

+

Depreciation

or +

Increase or Decrease of WC
NOPAT Cash Flow

+

Post Tax Interest Expense

=

Unlevered Operating FCFF

6.8
20.5
1.2
28.5
7.8
36.3

XYZ company will generate net profit of SR6.8M in year 2013 and
planned to release working capital of SR1.2M of the same year. It has a
pretax interest expense of SR11.2M. The fixed assets of SR205M will be
depreciated over 10 years. (Tax rate is 30%)

56
Operational Cash Flows (SR’000)
13P

Gross Profit

61.9

Operating Expenses (excluding
depreciation)

20.6

=

Incremental Cash Flow

41.3

=

Incremental Cash Flow after Tax

28.9

+

Depreciation Tax Shield

6.2

or + Increase or Decrease of WC

1.2

+

=

Unlevered Operating FCFF

36.3

XYZ company planned to have an incremental margin of SR61.9M in year
2013 and will incur operating expenses (excluding depreciation) of
SR20.6M. The pretax interest expense is SR11.2M as the cost of debt.
Fixed assets of SR205M will be depreciated over 10 years. Decrease in
working capital is SR1.2M. (Tax rate is 30%)

57
Disposal Cash Flows (SR’000)
13P

Proceeds from Selling of disposed assets

+0.0

or +

Net tax effect due to gain on asset disposal

-0.0

or +

Increase or Decrease of Working Capital

+0.0

+

=

Incremental Cash Flow at Disposal

0.0
58
OFCFF
11A
Net Profit

12P

13P

14P

15P

16P

17P

19.0

12.2

6.8

13.0

20.0

27.7

36.2

0.5

0.5

20.5

20.5

20.5

20.5

20.5

(9.9)

11.8

1.2

(0.2)

0.4

0.5

0.6

NOPAT Cash Flow

9.6

24.5

28.5

33.3

40.9

48.7

57.3

Add Post Tax
Interest Expense

0.0

9.8

7.8

5.9

3.9

2.0

0.0

Unlevered
Operating Cash
Flow

9.6

34.3

36.3

39.2

44.8

50.7

57.3

Capital Spending

(5.0)

(200.0)

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Unlevered OFCF

4.6

(165.7)

36.3

39.2

44.9

50.6

57.3

Add Depreciation
Changes in WC

59
Cash Flows
•Initiation

(165.7)

•Operation

228.3

•Disposals

0.0

Net Value = (165.7) + 228.3 = SR62.6
60
Company value
 Value is what investors & lenders consider
worth paying NOW for the company’s
expected future income
 Value NOW — called ‘present value’
 This must exceed the cost of raising
capital from investors & lenders
61
Time Value of Money
(Timing of Cash Flow)

Value of SR1

=

Today
SR1
Today

Value of SR1
After One Year

=

SR0.91
Today

62
NPV of OFCFF
12P
Unlevered OFCFF

13P

14P

15P

16P

17P

(165.7)

36.3

39.2

44.9

50.6

57.3

1.00

0.937

0.878

0.823

0.772

0.723

(165.7)

34.0

34.4

36.9

39.1

41.4

WACC (6.7%)
PV of 1

NPV

PV of Cash Flows
•Initiation

(165.7)

•Operation

185.9

•Disposals

0.0

63
Cash Flow Analysis
(Evaluating Capital Investment)

• Net Present Value (SR Amount)

• Internal Rate of Return (%)
• Payback Method (# of years)
• Profitability Index (Profit/SR1 of investment)
64
Net Present Value
(Evaluating Capital Investment)

• NPV = PV of Future OFCFF – Initial Investment
Cash Flows
•Initiation

(SR165.7M)

•Operation

SR185.9M

•Disposals

SR0.0

NPV= 185.9 – 165.7 = SR20.2M
65
Net Present Value
(Evaluating Capital Investment)
Decision Criteria:

NPV > SR0

Project Return>Required Return

NPV = SR0

Project Return>Required Return

NPV< SR0

Project Return<Required Return

66
Internal Rate of Return
(Evaluating Capital Investment)
Cash Flows
•Initiation

(SR165.7M)

•Operation

SR185.9M

•Average Cash Returns

SR45.7M

Required rate of return: 6.7%
PV Annuity Factor =Initial Investment/Annual Cash Returns
= SR165.7M / SR45.7M
= 3.6296 3.6296 = 11.9%
Periods

11%

12%

14%

5

3.6959

3.60478

3.43308
67
Internal Rate of Return
Decision Criteria:
If the IRR > Cost of Capital, accept the project
If the IRR = Cost of Capital, accept or reject

If the IRR < Cost of Capital, reject the project

68
Payback Method
(Evaluating Capital Investment)
Payback Period is the number of years needed to
recover the net initial investment.
Simple Payback Method

Payback Period = Yrs until full recovery+Unrecovered Cost at the Beg. of LY
Cash Flow During the Year

0
OFCF

4.6

(165.7)

1

2

3

4

5

36.3

39.2

44.9

50.6

57.3

3 Years Returns = 36.3+39.2+44.9
= SR120.3M
Unrecovered Cost = 45.4M / 44.9
= 0.90 Year

Payback Period = 3.9 Years

69
Profitability Index (PI)
(Evaluating Capital Investment)
PI measures how much profit each SR1 of investment
will generate.
PI = PV of Future Cash Flows / Initial Investment
•Initiation
•Operation
•Disposals

(SR165.7M)
SR185.9M
SR0.0

PI = SR 185.9M / 165.7M
= 1.12
70
Cash Flow Analysis
(Evaluating Capital Investment)

• Net Present Value (SR 20.2M)

• Internal Rate of Return (11.9%)
• Payback Method (3.9 years)
• Profitability Index (1.12)
71
Financing Decisions

72
The Balance-Sheet Model of the Firm
The Capital Budgeting Decision
(Financing Decision)

Current Liabilities

Current Assets
Long-Term Debt

Non Current Assets

1 Tangible
2 Intangible

How can the
firm raise the
money for the
required
investments?

Shareholders’
Equity

73
Capital Structure
The value of the firm
can be thought of as a
pie.
50% Debt
The goal of the
25% Debt 30%
Equity
manager is to increase
70% Debt
the size of the pie.
75%
50%
Equity
The Capital Structure
decision can be viewed
as how best to slice up
a the pie.
If how you slice the pie affects the size of
the pie, then the capital structure
decision matters.

74
Capital Structure :Debt and Equity
• The basic feature of a debt is that it is a
promise by the borrowing firm to repay a fixed
amount of by a certain date.
• The shareholder’s claim on firm value is the
residual amount that remains after the
debtholders are paid.
• If the value of the firm is less than the amount
promised to the debtholders, the shareholders
get nothing.
75
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
Cost of debt (rd): interest rate paid to creditors net of
taxes
Cost of equity (re): rate of return to shareholders in
order to induce them to invest in the firm

WACC : rd (1-tax)

D

(D + E)

+ re 

E

(D + E)
76
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
WACC : rd (1-tax)
Component

Amount

D

(D + E)
Weight

+ re 

Pretax
Cost

E

(D + E)

Pretax
WACC

LT Debt

35,000

0.70

10%

7.0%

Equity

15,000

0.30

6%

1.8%

Total

50,000

1.00

Tax Rate

30%

WACC

4.9%
1.8%

6.7%

77
Sources and Uses of Funds
Financing Mix

Amount
(SR’000)

Uses of Funds
Equipment

200

Sources of Funds
Debt

70%

140

Equity

30%

60

Total

100%

200
78
Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR)
11A
Unlevered OFCF

4.6

12P
(165.7)

13P

14P

15P

16P

17P

36.3

39.2

44.9

50.6

57.3

Financing
Debt

140.0

Equity

60.0

Cash Flow before
Debt Service

34.3

36.3

39.2

44.9

50.6

57.3

Loan Repayment

0.0

35.0

35.0

35.0

35.0

35.0

Interest

14.0

11.2

8.4

5.6

2.8

0.0

Total

14.0

46.2

43.4

40.6

37.8

35.0

2.45

0.79

0.90

1.10

1.34

1.64

DSCR

0.0

79
KPIs
11A

12P

13P

14P

15P

16P

17P

Debt-to-Equity (TLiab/Equity)

1.92

2.10

1.80

1.41

1.05

0.75

0.52

Debt Ratio (TLiab/T.A)

0.66

0.68

0.64

0.58

0.51

0.43

0.34

Long-term Debt to Equity Ratio

1.03

1.65

1.24

0.83

0.48

0.20

0

Equity Ratio (Equity/T.A)

0.34

0.32

0.36

0.42

0.49

0.57

0.66

Financial Leverage Index (TA/Equity)

2.92

3.10

2.80

2.41

2.05

1.75

1.52

Degree of Operating Leverage (DOL)

2.55

2.53

4.94

4.39

3.99

3.70

3.49

Time Interest Earned Ratio

3.33

6.02

7.20

4.83

3.99

3.57

3.33

Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR)

0.00

2.45

0.79

0.90

1.10

1.34

1.64

Leading Financial Indicators
• Debt ratio is high which indicates creditors are not well protected.
• LT Debt-to-equity ratio (Yr 2012) indicates relying heavily in the use of debt
financing.
• Declining Financial Leverage Index commencing year 2013 shows an
increasing Equity Ratio.
80
• Year 2013-2014 DSCR is below 1.
Financial Leverage

Cost of
Capital
(percent)

e

Debt-to-Equity Ratio

81
KPIs
11A

12P

13P

14P

15P

16P

NPV (SR‘000)

17P
20.2

IRR (%)

11.9%

Profitability Index (PI)

1.12

Payback Period (years)

3.9

Current Ratio

3.12

2.60

2.10

1.94

1.89

1.91

1.99

12

10

13

14

14

14

14

EVA

121.0

352

354.0

350.0

356.0

373.0

400.0

Profit Ratio

27.5% 15.3%

6.6%

11%

14.7% 17.6% 20.1%

Liquidity Index (Days)

ROE

0.0

11.4%

6.0%

10.4% 13.7% 15.9% 17.3%

Leading Financial Indicators
•
•
•
•
•

Sound financial position with a conservative current ratio greater than 1.0
The capital investment has a positive Net Present Value.
The IRR is higher than WACC.
The Profitability Index is greater than 1, hence it is acceptable investment.
The Economic Value Added is positive, hence the company is earning more than the
82
cost of capital.
The Balance-Sheet Model of the Firm
The Net Working Capital Investment Decision
(Financial Decision)

Current Liabilities

Current Assets
Net
Working
Capital

Non Current Assets

1 Tangible
2 Intangible

How much
short-term cash
flow does a
company need
to pay its bills?

Long-Term Debt

Shareholders’
Equity

83
Aggressive Financing Policy

84
Conservative Financing Policy

85
Dividend Policy Decisions

86
Dividends and stock buybacks
• The two major means of returning cash to shareholders
is dividends and stock buybacks
• Effects of buybacks:
– Reduces the number of shares outstanding
Cash available to be returned
• The Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE) is a measure of
how much cash is left in the business after non-equity
claimholders (debt and preferred stock) have been paid,
and after any reinvestment needed to sustain the firm’s
assets and future growth. This is the cash available for
dividend payouts.
Free cash flow to equity = Net Income + Depr&Amort
– Chg in WC – Cap Exp
+ (New Debt Issue – Debt Repay)
– Pref. Dividends
Intimidated by reports full of numbers?
Do you know how to deal with numbers?
Financial numbers?
Financial information?

Financial knowledge?
Financial intelligence?
89
The Continuum of Understanding
Know
Why
Know
How
Know
What
Know
nothing

90
Q&A
[30 min]

91
Q&A instructions
1 min
1 min

• Break into small groups
• Work with your group to answer
question.
• Discussion of answer as entire
class

92
1. Art and science of managing financial
resources of a business.
Ans: Financial Planning

2. Process of mapping the organization’s
future direction to attain desired goals.
Ans: Planning

3. Fill the gap between ‘where are now?’ and
‘where do we want to go?
Ans: Gap Analysis
93
4. Also called the current state
analysis that provides a means to
organize the data gathered in the
detailed internal and external analysis
Ans: SWOT Analysis

5. Cash inflow in Depreciation
Ans: Depreciation Tax Shield

6. Rate of return wherein Net Present
Value is equal to zero.
Ans: Internal Rate of Return

94
7. Present Value of future cash flows less

initial investment.
Ans: Net Present Value
8. Number of years needed to recover the

initial investment.
Ans:

Payback Period

9. Measure of how much profit each SR1 of

investment will generate.
Ans: Profitability Index
95
10. Planning process used to determine the

cash inflow and cash outflow of the long
term investment.
Ans: Capital Budgeting
11. Analyzes business opportunities
according to growth rate and market share
Ans: BCG Growth / Share Matrix
12. Mix of long-term debt and equity
financing.

Ans: Capital Structure

96
13. Weighted rate of debt and equity

Ans: WACC

14. A concept that a 1 peso today is worth
that 1 peso received tomorrow.
Ans: Time Value Concept
15. It measure in taking advantage the
borrowed capital and to enhance earnings
per share (EPS) and return on equity
(ROE).
Ans: Financial Leverage

97
16. Measure of how much cash is left in the

business after non-equity claimholders
(debt and preferred stock) have been paid
Ans: Free Cash Flow to the Equity

17. Cash flow use in the calculation of total
enterprise value.
Ans: Unlevered Free Cash for the Firm
98
“If you fail to plan, then
you’re planning to fail”
by: Wharton Professor Emeritus
Russell Ackoff
PICPA 2nd General Membership Meeting

100

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Financial planning & capital investment evaluation

  • 1. PICPA 2nd General Membership Meeting & Capital Investment Evaluation 23rd February 2012, Thursday, 5:00PM – 10:00PM 1
  • 2. Agenda o Hierarchy of Planning o Strategic Planning o Financial Goal o Financial Planning o Capital Budgeting o Investment Decisions o Financing Decisions o Evaluation Techniques
  • 4. Mission Strategic Planning Goals Long-Range Planning (Capital Investment) Objectives Operational Planning (Income Statement) Output: Mission Statement Basic Question. What business are we in? Output: The Five-Year Plan Basic Question. What are the major components of our business? Output: Budget & Forecast Basic Question. What specific tasks must be done to achieve the results stated in the long-range plan? 4
  • 5. Mission Strategic Planning Goals Long-Range Planning (Capital Investment) Objectives Operational Planning (Income Statement) Output: Mission Statement Basic Question. What business are we in? Output: The Five-Year Plan Basic Question. What are the major components of our business? Output: Budget & Forecast Basic Question. What specific tasks must be done to achieve the results stated in the long-range plan? 5
  • 6.
  • 7. Determine the current financial position Periodic review and revise the financial plan Identify and set financial goal Financial Planning Process Create & Implement a financial action plan Identify suitable investment avenues Evaluate alternative & strategize 7
  • 8. Determine the current financial position Periodic review and revise the financial plan Identify and set financial goal Financial Planning Process Create & Implement a financial action plan Identify suitable investment avenues Evaluate alternative & strategize 8
  • 9. Financial Goal of the Corporation The primary financial goal is shareholder wealth maximization, which translates to maximizing stock price. Current stock price relies upon current earnings, as well as future earnings and cash flow.
  • 10. Factors that affect stock price • Projected cash flows to shareholders • Timing of the cash flow stream • Riskiness of the cash flows
  • 11. Basic Valuation Model CF1 CF2 CFn Value     1 2 (1  k) (1  k) (1  k) n n CFt  . t t 1 (1  k)  To estimate an total enterprise value (asset’s value), one estimates the cash flow for each period t (CFt), the life of the asset (n), and the appropriate discount rate (k)
  • 12. Net Present Value Future Value PV = ----------------(1 + i)n Where i = interest rate n = number of years  The PV of Php1 @ 10% in 1 years time is 0.9090  If you invested 0.9090 centavos today and the interest rate was 10% you would have Php1 in a year’s time  Process referred to as: ‘Discounting Cash Flow’
  • 13. Factors that Affect the Level and Riskiness of Cash Flows • Decisions made by financial managers: 1. Investment decisions 2. Financing decisions (the relative use of debt financing) 3. Dividend policy decisions
  • 14. Capital Budgeting Within The Firm The Position of Capital Budgeting Financial Goal of the Firm: Wealth Maximisation Investment Decison Long Term Assets Short Term Assets Financing Decision Dividend Decision Debt/Equity Mix Dividend Payout Ratio Capital Budgeting 14
  • 15. Principles of Corporate Finance 1. Invest in projects that yield a return greater than the minimum acceptable hurdle rate with adjustments for project riskiness. 2. Choose a financing mix that minimizes the hurdle rate. 3. If there are not enough investments that earn the hurdle rate, return the cash to stockholders. 4. These decision criteria will be consistent with the objective of the firm: Maximize the Value of the Firm
  • 18. GAP Analysis Planning Diversification New market development gap New product development Improve current operations 18
  • 20. SWOT Analysis Strong leadership Financial soundness Innovative product design Breakthrough technology Product development Strong market position Strengths 20
  • 21. SWOT Analysis Internal Factors Strengths (S) Weaknesses (W) Opportunities (O) SO Strategies WO Strategies External opportunities goes here Strategies use strength that take advantage of the opportunities Strategies use opportunities by overcoming weaknesses Threats (T) ST Strategies WT Strategies External threats goes here Strategies use strength to avoid threats Strategies minimize weaknesses and avoid threats External Factors 21
  • 22. Marketing Strategy Boston Consulting Group (BCG) • BCG Growth/Share Matrix – Analyzes business opportunities according to growth rate and market share (Build) (Hold) ? (Divest) (Harvest)
  • 25. Mission Strategic Planning Goals Long-Range Planning (Capital Investment) Objectives Operational Planning (Income Statement) Output: Mission Statement Basic Question. What business are we in? Output: The Five-Year Plan Basic Question. What are the major components of our business? Output: Budget & Forecast Basic Question. What specific tasks must be done to achieve the results stated in the long-range plan? 25
  • 26. P&L Plan (SR’000) 11A 12P 13P 14P 15P 16P 17P Sales 69.0 79.3 103.2 118.7 136.4 156.9 180.4 COGS 27.6 31.7 41.3 47.5 54.6 62.8 72.2 Gross Profit 41.4 47.6 61.9 71.2 81.8 94.1 108.2 SG&A Expense 13.8 15.9 20.6 23.7 27.3 31.4 36.1 Depreciation 0.5 0.5 20.5 20.5 20.5 20.5 20.5 Other Income 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 27.1 31.3 20.9 27.0 34.2 42.4 51.8 Interest Expense 0.0 14.0 11.2 8.4 5.6 2.8 0.0 Taxes 8.1 5.2 2.9 5.6 8.6 11.9 15.5 19.0 12.1 6.8 13.0 20.0 27.7 36.2 EBIT Net Profit 26
  • 27. Balance Sheet Plan (SR’000) 11A 12P 13P 14P 15P 16P 17P Cash 54.6 79.0 72.5 70.8 76.8 90.4 112.7 Receivables 37.5 43.1 56.1 64.5 74.1 85.3 98.1 Inventories 2.8 3.2 4.1 4.7 5.5 6.3 7.2 Fixed Assets 5.0 205 205 205 205 205 205 Accum. Deprn. 0.5 1.0 21.5 42.0 62.5 83.0 103.5 Total Assets 99.3 329.3 316.2 303.0 298.8 304.0 319.5 Payables & Accruals 30.4 48.2 63.3 72.1 82.9 95.4 109.7 Bank Loans 35.0 175.0 140.0 105.0 70.0 35.0 0.0 Equity 34.0 106.1 112.9 125.9 145.9 173.6 209.9 Total Liab. & Equity 99.3 329.3 316.2 303.0 298.8 304.0 319.5 27
  • 28. Cash Flow Statement Plan (SR’000) 11A Net Income 12P 13P 14P 15P 16P 17P 19.0 12.1 6.8 13.0 20.0 27.7 36.2 0.5 0.5 20.5 20.5 20.5 20.5 20.5 (9.9) 11.8 1.2 (0.2) 0.4 0.5 0.6 9.6 24.4 28.5 33.3 40.9 48.7 57.3 Investment (5.0) (200.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Financing 50.0 Net Cash Flow 54.6 24.4 (6.5) (1.7) 5.9 13.7 22.3 0.0 54.6 79.0 72.5 70.8 76.7 90.4 54.6 79.0 72.5 70.8 76.7 90.4 112.7 Non Cash Item Changes in WC Operating Cash Flow Cash at Beginning Cash at Ending 200.0 (35.0) (35.0) (35.0) (35.0) (35.0) 28
  • 29. Intimidated by report that full of numbers? 29
  • 30. Do you know how to deal with numbers? 30
  • 35. Financial Information Income Statement (SR Thousand) Year Ended Dec. 31, 2012 EBIT = 39.5% Net Profit = 15.3% Sales 79,350 Cost of Goods Sold 31,740 Gross Profit 47,610 SG&A expense Gross Margin = 60.0% 15,870 Depreciation 500 Other income 100 EBIT 31,340 Interest expense 14,000 Taxes Net profit Financial Knowledge 5,202 12,138 Financial 35 Numbers
  • 36. “I was very creative with my accounting, but not creative enough.” Finance is an Art 36
  • 37. Financial Planning Art and science of managing money. What are your financial goals? Means different things to different people. 37
  • 38. Financial Planning Art of managing the financial resources of a business. 38
  • 39. Determine the current financial position Periodic review and revise the financial plan Identify and set financial goal Financial Planning Process Create & Implement a financial action plan Identify suitable investment opportunities Evaluate alternative & strategize 39
  • 41. Key Assumptions • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Population and Growth Rate Inflation Rate Exchange Rate Market Share Industry Growth Rate Company Growth Rate Segmented Projected Sales Segmented Sales Mix% Pricing and Costing Days Level Headcount Capital Expenditure Project and Time Dimensions Capital Structure (Financing Mix) WACC (Cost of Debt + Cost of Equity) 41
  • 42. Financial Assumptions 11A A. Growth Rate 0% 12P 13P 14P 15P 16P 17P 15% 30% 15% 15% 15% 15% B. Sales (Meals) Segment A 80 92 120 138 158 182 209 Segment B 120 138 179 206 237 273 314 C. Sales Mix% Segment A 40% 40% 40% 40% 40% 40% 40% Segment B 60% 60% 60% 60% 60% 60% 60% 42
  • 43. Financial Assumptions 11A 12P 13P 14P 15P 16P 17P Segment A 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Segment B 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 D. Pricing (SR) E. Costing (% of Sales) F. 40% 40% 40% 40% 40% 40% 40% Days Level DSO 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 DIL 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 DPO 45 45 45 45 45 45 45 43
  • 44. Financial Assumptions 11A G. CAPEX (SR‘000) I. 12P 13P 14P 15P 16P 17P 200 Capital Structure Debt Financing 70% Equity Financing 30% J. WACC 6.7% 44
  • 45. P&L Plan (SR’000) 11A 12P 13P 14P 15P 16P 17P Sales 69.0 79.3 103.2 118.7 136.4 156.9 180.4 COGS 27.6 31.7 41.3 47.5 54.6 62.8 72.2 Gross Profit 41.4 47.6 61.9 71.2 81.8 94.1 108.2 SG&A Expense 13.8 15.9 20.6 23.7 27.3 31.4 36.1 Depreciation 0.5 0.5 20.5 20.5 20.5 20.5 20.5 Other Income 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 27.1 31.3 20.9 27.0 34.2 42.4 51.8 Interest Expense 0.0 14.0 11.2 8.4 5.6 2.8 0.0 Taxes 8.1 5.2 2.9 5.6 8.6 11.9 15.5 19.0 12.2 6.8 13.0 20.0 27.7 36.2 EBIT Net Profit 45
  • 46. Balance Sheet Plan (SR’000) 11A 12P 13P 14P 15P 16P 17P Cash 54.6 79.0 72.5 70.8 76.8 90.4 112.7 Receivables 37.5 43.1 56.1 64.5 74.1 85.3 98.1 Inventories 2.8 3.2 4.1 4.7 5.5 6.3 7.2 Fixed Assets 5.0 205 205 205 205 205 205 Accum. Deprn. 0.5 1.0 21.5 42.0 62.5 83.0 103.5 Total Assets 99.3 329.3 316.2 303.0 298.8 304.0 319.5 Payables & Accruals 30.4 48.2 63.3 72.1 82.9 95.4 109.7 Bank Loans 35.0 175.0 140.0 105.0 70.0 35.0 0.0 Equity 34.0 106.1 112.9 125.9 145.9 173.6 209.9 Total Liab. & Equity 99.3 329.3 316.2 303.0 298.8 304.0 319.5 46
  • 47. Cash Flow Statement Plan (SR’000) 11A Net Income 12P 13P 14P 15P 16P 17P 19.0 12.2 6.8 13.0 20.0 27.7 36.2 0.5 0.5 20.5 20.5 20.5 20.5 20.5 (9.9) 11.8 1.2 (0.2) 0.4 0.5 0.6 9.6 24.5 28.5 33.3 40.9 48.7 57.3 Investment (5.0) (200.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Financing 50.0 Net Cash Flow 54.6 24.5 (6.5) (1.7) 5.9 13.7 22.3 0.0 54.6 79.0 72.5 70.8 76.7 90.4 54.6 79.0 72.5 70.8 76.7 90.4 112.7 Non Cash Item Changes in WC Operating Cash Flow Cash at Beginning Cash at Ending 200.0 (35.0) (35.0) (35.0) (35.0) (35.0) 47
  • 48. Corporate Finance Functions 1. Allocation of financial resources What long-term investments should the firm engage in? 2. Procurement of funds How can the firm raise money for the required investments? 3. Efficient and effective utilization of financial resources. How much short-term cash flow does a company need to pay its bills? 48
  • 50. The Balance-Sheet Model of the Firm Total Value of Assets: Total Firm Value to Investors: Current Liabilities Current Assets Long-Term Debt Fixed Assets 1 Tangible 2 Intangible Shareholders’ Equity 50
  • 51. The Balance-Sheet Model of the Firm The Capital Budgeting Decision (Investment Decision) Current Liabilities Current Assets Long-Term Debt Non Current Assets 1 Tangible 2 Intangible What longterm investments should the firm engage in? Shareholders’ Equity 51
  • 52. Capital and Capital Budgeting Capital: is the stock of assets that will generate a flow of income in the future. Capital budgeting:  is the planning process used to determine the cash inflow and cash outflow of the long term investment (more than single accounting period) and based on that it measure viability of the project. 52
  • 53. Restaurant Example How much to invest in Equipment? SR 200,000- When to invest? 4Qtr 2012 How long to invest? 5 years 53
  • 54. Cash Flows during a Capital Budgeting Project Cash Inflow Cash Flows Initiation Operation Project Disposals Cash Outflow 54
  • 55. Initiation Cash Flows (SR’000) 12P + + Net Profit Or + Increase or Decrease of Working Capital Depreciation NOPAT Cash Flow + Post Tax Interest Expense Unlevered Operating Cash Flow Cost of New Assets Tax on Gain on Sale of Old Assets + = Proceeds from Sale of Old Assets Unlevered Operating FCFF (Initiation Cash Flow) 12.2 0.5 11.8 24.5 9.8 34.3 (200) 0.0 0.0 165.7 The cost of new equipment is SR200M and released of working capital by SR11.8M. Pretax interest expense is SR14M. Net profit is SR12.2M and depreciation of existing fixed asset is SR0.5M. (Tax rate is 30%) 55
  • 56. Operational Cash Flows (SR’000) 13P + Net Profit + Depreciation or + Increase or Decrease of WC NOPAT Cash Flow + Post Tax Interest Expense = Unlevered Operating FCFF 6.8 20.5 1.2 28.5 7.8 36.3 XYZ company will generate net profit of SR6.8M in year 2013 and planned to release working capital of SR1.2M of the same year. It has a pretax interest expense of SR11.2M. The fixed assets of SR205M will be depreciated over 10 years. (Tax rate is 30%) 56
  • 57. Operational Cash Flows (SR’000) 13P Gross Profit 61.9 Operating Expenses (excluding depreciation) 20.6 = Incremental Cash Flow 41.3 = Incremental Cash Flow after Tax 28.9 + Depreciation Tax Shield 6.2 or + Increase or Decrease of WC 1.2 + = Unlevered Operating FCFF 36.3 XYZ company planned to have an incremental margin of SR61.9M in year 2013 and will incur operating expenses (excluding depreciation) of SR20.6M. The pretax interest expense is SR11.2M as the cost of debt. Fixed assets of SR205M will be depreciated over 10 years. Decrease in working capital is SR1.2M. (Tax rate is 30%) 57
  • 58. Disposal Cash Flows (SR’000) 13P Proceeds from Selling of disposed assets +0.0 or + Net tax effect due to gain on asset disposal -0.0 or + Increase or Decrease of Working Capital +0.0 + = Incremental Cash Flow at Disposal 0.0 58
  • 59. OFCFF 11A Net Profit 12P 13P 14P 15P 16P 17P 19.0 12.2 6.8 13.0 20.0 27.7 36.2 0.5 0.5 20.5 20.5 20.5 20.5 20.5 (9.9) 11.8 1.2 (0.2) 0.4 0.5 0.6 NOPAT Cash Flow 9.6 24.5 28.5 33.3 40.9 48.7 57.3 Add Post Tax Interest Expense 0.0 9.8 7.8 5.9 3.9 2.0 0.0 Unlevered Operating Cash Flow 9.6 34.3 36.3 39.2 44.8 50.7 57.3 Capital Spending (5.0) (200.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Unlevered OFCF 4.6 (165.7) 36.3 39.2 44.9 50.6 57.3 Add Depreciation Changes in WC 59
  • 61. Company value  Value is what investors & lenders consider worth paying NOW for the company’s expected future income  Value NOW — called ‘present value’  This must exceed the cost of raising capital from investors & lenders 61
  • 62. Time Value of Money (Timing of Cash Flow) Value of SR1 = Today SR1 Today Value of SR1 After One Year = SR0.91 Today 62
  • 63. NPV of OFCFF 12P Unlevered OFCFF 13P 14P 15P 16P 17P (165.7) 36.3 39.2 44.9 50.6 57.3 1.00 0.937 0.878 0.823 0.772 0.723 (165.7) 34.0 34.4 36.9 39.1 41.4 WACC (6.7%) PV of 1 NPV PV of Cash Flows •Initiation (165.7) •Operation 185.9 •Disposals 0.0 63
  • 64. Cash Flow Analysis (Evaluating Capital Investment) • Net Present Value (SR Amount) • Internal Rate of Return (%) • Payback Method (# of years) • Profitability Index (Profit/SR1 of investment) 64
  • 65. Net Present Value (Evaluating Capital Investment) • NPV = PV of Future OFCFF – Initial Investment Cash Flows •Initiation (SR165.7M) •Operation SR185.9M •Disposals SR0.0 NPV= 185.9 – 165.7 = SR20.2M 65
  • 66. Net Present Value (Evaluating Capital Investment) Decision Criteria: NPV > SR0 Project Return>Required Return NPV = SR0 Project Return>Required Return NPV< SR0 Project Return<Required Return 66
  • 67. Internal Rate of Return (Evaluating Capital Investment) Cash Flows •Initiation (SR165.7M) •Operation SR185.9M •Average Cash Returns SR45.7M Required rate of return: 6.7% PV Annuity Factor =Initial Investment/Annual Cash Returns = SR165.7M / SR45.7M = 3.6296 3.6296 = 11.9% Periods 11% 12% 14% 5 3.6959 3.60478 3.43308 67
  • 68. Internal Rate of Return Decision Criteria: If the IRR > Cost of Capital, accept the project If the IRR = Cost of Capital, accept or reject If the IRR < Cost of Capital, reject the project 68
  • 69. Payback Method (Evaluating Capital Investment) Payback Period is the number of years needed to recover the net initial investment. Simple Payback Method Payback Period = Yrs until full recovery+Unrecovered Cost at the Beg. of LY Cash Flow During the Year 0 OFCF 4.6 (165.7) 1 2 3 4 5 36.3 39.2 44.9 50.6 57.3 3 Years Returns = 36.3+39.2+44.9 = SR120.3M Unrecovered Cost = 45.4M / 44.9 = 0.90 Year Payback Period = 3.9 Years 69
  • 70. Profitability Index (PI) (Evaluating Capital Investment) PI measures how much profit each SR1 of investment will generate. PI = PV of Future Cash Flows / Initial Investment •Initiation •Operation •Disposals (SR165.7M) SR185.9M SR0.0 PI = SR 185.9M / 165.7M = 1.12 70
  • 71. Cash Flow Analysis (Evaluating Capital Investment) • Net Present Value (SR 20.2M) • Internal Rate of Return (11.9%) • Payback Method (3.9 years) • Profitability Index (1.12) 71
  • 73. The Balance-Sheet Model of the Firm The Capital Budgeting Decision (Financing Decision) Current Liabilities Current Assets Long-Term Debt Non Current Assets 1 Tangible 2 Intangible How can the firm raise the money for the required investments? Shareholders’ Equity 73
  • 74. Capital Structure The value of the firm can be thought of as a pie. 50% Debt The goal of the 25% Debt 30% Equity manager is to increase 70% Debt the size of the pie. 75% 50% Equity The Capital Structure decision can be viewed as how best to slice up a the pie. If how you slice the pie affects the size of the pie, then the capital structure decision matters. 74
  • 75. Capital Structure :Debt and Equity • The basic feature of a debt is that it is a promise by the borrowing firm to repay a fixed amount of by a certain date. • The shareholder’s claim on firm value is the residual amount that remains after the debtholders are paid. • If the value of the firm is less than the amount promised to the debtholders, the shareholders get nothing. 75
  • 76. Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) Cost of debt (rd): interest rate paid to creditors net of taxes Cost of equity (re): rate of return to shareholders in order to induce them to invest in the firm WACC : rd (1-tax) D (D + E) + re  E (D + E) 76
  • 77. Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) WACC : rd (1-tax) Component Amount D (D + E) Weight + re  Pretax Cost E (D + E) Pretax WACC LT Debt 35,000 0.70 10% 7.0% Equity 15,000 0.30 6% 1.8% Total 50,000 1.00 Tax Rate 30% WACC 4.9% 1.8% 6.7% 77
  • 78. Sources and Uses of Funds Financing Mix Amount (SR’000) Uses of Funds Equipment 200 Sources of Funds Debt 70% 140 Equity 30% 60 Total 100% 200 78
  • 79. Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR) 11A Unlevered OFCF 4.6 12P (165.7) 13P 14P 15P 16P 17P 36.3 39.2 44.9 50.6 57.3 Financing Debt 140.0 Equity 60.0 Cash Flow before Debt Service 34.3 36.3 39.2 44.9 50.6 57.3 Loan Repayment 0.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 35.0 Interest 14.0 11.2 8.4 5.6 2.8 0.0 Total 14.0 46.2 43.4 40.6 37.8 35.0 2.45 0.79 0.90 1.10 1.34 1.64 DSCR 0.0 79
  • 80. KPIs 11A 12P 13P 14P 15P 16P 17P Debt-to-Equity (TLiab/Equity) 1.92 2.10 1.80 1.41 1.05 0.75 0.52 Debt Ratio (TLiab/T.A) 0.66 0.68 0.64 0.58 0.51 0.43 0.34 Long-term Debt to Equity Ratio 1.03 1.65 1.24 0.83 0.48 0.20 0 Equity Ratio (Equity/T.A) 0.34 0.32 0.36 0.42 0.49 0.57 0.66 Financial Leverage Index (TA/Equity) 2.92 3.10 2.80 2.41 2.05 1.75 1.52 Degree of Operating Leverage (DOL) 2.55 2.53 4.94 4.39 3.99 3.70 3.49 Time Interest Earned Ratio 3.33 6.02 7.20 4.83 3.99 3.57 3.33 Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR) 0.00 2.45 0.79 0.90 1.10 1.34 1.64 Leading Financial Indicators • Debt ratio is high which indicates creditors are not well protected. • LT Debt-to-equity ratio (Yr 2012) indicates relying heavily in the use of debt financing. • Declining Financial Leverage Index commencing year 2013 shows an increasing Equity Ratio. 80 • Year 2013-2014 DSCR is below 1.
  • 82. KPIs 11A 12P 13P 14P 15P 16P NPV (SR‘000) 17P 20.2 IRR (%) 11.9% Profitability Index (PI) 1.12 Payback Period (years) 3.9 Current Ratio 3.12 2.60 2.10 1.94 1.89 1.91 1.99 12 10 13 14 14 14 14 EVA 121.0 352 354.0 350.0 356.0 373.0 400.0 Profit Ratio 27.5% 15.3% 6.6% 11% 14.7% 17.6% 20.1% Liquidity Index (Days) ROE 0.0 11.4% 6.0% 10.4% 13.7% 15.9% 17.3% Leading Financial Indicators • • • • • Sound financial position with a conservative current ratio greater than 1.0 The capital investment has a positive Net Present Value. The IRR is higher than WACC. The Profitability Index is greater than 1, hence it is acceptable investment. The Economic Value Added is positive, hence the company is earning more than the 82 cost of capital.
  • 83. The Balance-Sheet Model of the Firm The Net Working Capital Investment Decision (Financial Decision) Current Liabilities Current Assets Net Working Capital Non Current Assets 1 Tangible 2 Intangible How much short-term cash flow does a company need to pay its bills? Long-Term Debt Shareholders’ Equity 83
  • 87. Dividends and stock buybacks • The two major means of returning cash to shareholders is dividends and stock buybacks • Effects of buybacks: – Reduces the number of shares outstanding
  • 88. Cash available to be returned • The Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE) is a measure of how much cash is left in the business after non-equity claimholders (debt and preferred stock) have been paid, and after any reinvestment needed to sustain the firm’s assets and future growth. This is the cash available for dividend payouts. Free cash flow to equity = Net Income + Depr&Amort – Chg in WC – Cap Exp + (New Debt Issue – Debt Repay) – Pref. Dividends
  • 89. Intimidated by reports full of numbers? Do you know how to deal with numbers? Financial numbers? Financial information? Financial knowledge? Financial intelligence? 89
  • 90. The Continuum of Understanding Know Why Know How Know What Know nothing 90
  • 92. Q&A instructions 1 min 1 min • Break into small groups • Work with your group to answer question. • Discussion of answer as entire class 92
  • 93. 1. Art and science of managing financial resources of a business. Ans: Financial Planning 2. Process of mapping the organization’s future direction to attain desired goals. Ans: Planning 3. Fill the gap between ‘where are now?’ and ‘where do we want to go? Ans: Gap Analysis 93
  • 94. 4. Also called the current state analysis that provides a means to organize the data gathered in the detailed internal and external analysis Ans: SWOT Analysis 5. Cash inflow in Depreciation Ans: Depreciation Tax Shield 6. Rate of return wherein Net Present Value is equal to zero. Ans: Internal Rate of Return 94
  • 95. 7. Present Value of future cash flows less initial investment. Ans: Net Present Value 8. Number of years needed to recover the initial investment. Ans: Payback Period 9. Measure of how much profit each SR1 of investment will generate. Ans: Profitability Index 95
  • 96. 10. Planning process used to determine the cash inflow and cash outflow of the long term investment. Ans: Capital Budgeting 11. Analyzes business opportunities according to growth rate and market share Ans: BCG Growth / Share Matrix 12. Mix of long-term debt and equity financing. Ans: Capital Structure 96
  • 97. 13. Weighted rate of debt and equity Ans: WACC 14. A concept that a 1 peso today is worth that 1 peso received tomorrow. Ans: Time Value Concept 15. It measure in taking advantage the borrowed capital and to enhance earnings per share (EPS) and return on equity (ROE). Ans: Financial Leverage 97
  • 98. 16. Measure of how much cash is left in the business after non-equity claimholders (debt and preferred stock) have been paid Ans: Free Cash Flow to the Equity 17. Cash flow use in the calculation of total enterprise value. Ans: Unlevered Free Cash for the Firm 98
  • 99. “If you fail to plan, then you’re planning to fail” by: Wharton Professor Emeritus Russell Ackoff
  • 100. PICPA 2nd General Membership Meeting 100