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Emerging Strategic Innovations in Educational Leadership Emerging Learning Design Conference June 3rd, 2011 Jonathon Richter, Ed.D.  University of Oregon
"It is possible to believe that all the past is but the beginning of a beginning, and that all that is and has been is but the twilight of the dawn. It is possible to believe that all that the human mind has ever accomplished is but the dream before the awakening.”  									~ H.G. Wells
Just as all education springs from some vision of 															the future…  all education produces some image of the future~ Alvin Toffler
Increasingly fast-paced world http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technological_singularity
Increasingly interconnected times
Increasingly complex issues http://www.fredcavazza.net/2010/12/14/social-media-landscape-2011/
Future Time Perspective 																																				(Seijts, 1998) Extension: 		 how far into the future does your active work extend? Coherence:  how organized is your future-focused thinking? Density:  how many thoughts about the future are active? Directionality:  how well are you moving along from present to future? Affectivity:  are you gratified about your progress toward the future?
From http://www.flickr.com/photos/9797495@N04/2230841530/
Time to adoption: One Year or Less     Electronic Books     Mobiles Time to adoption: Two to Three Years     Augmented Reality     Game-based Learning Time to adoption: Four to Five Years     Gesture-based Computing     Learning Analytics www.educause.edu/Resources/2011HorizonReport/223122
Gartner Report on Emerging Technologies, September 2010
http://digitalgames.playthinklearn.net/
Science Potential Learning Sciences ,[object Object]
Deep learning
Fast formative feedback
Learning about learning
Expert personal helpCreative Possibilities ,[object Object]
Far learning
Active Participation
Learning as play
“The Scholar’s Journey”,[object Object]
Culture adoption lags behind technological innovation Ogburn’s Theory of Cultural Lag
Persistent Forecasting  of  Disruptive Technologies National Research Council  2009
Futures Studies is Dead. Long Live Futures Studies.
learner analytics
virtual worlds Working up the Slope of Enlightenment Collaborative work routines Discovering and exploiting sweet spots between design tensions
Using virtualworlds to illustrateimagesof the future:a continuum of infinitepossibilities wild cards! scenarios:  upside utopias visions scenarios: dystopias nightmares scenarios: downside wild cards! all possible images of the future Image courtesy of Wendy L. Schultz: http://www.infinitefutures.com

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Jon Richter's Keynote ELD11