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SHAH ADVISORY




                Daily Morning
                   Newsletter
                             02-01-2013
                               Vivek A. Shah




                                               2013




                WWW.SHAHADVISORY.COM
Wednesday, 02nd January 2013                                                  - www.shahadvisory.com
                               Follow us on Twitter - @equityadvisory

                Shah Advisory – Daily Morning Newsletter
BSE Sensex – 19580.81

  TREND / PERIOD                    DAILY                    WEEKLY                    MONTHLY
     DIRECTION                       UP                       UP                         UP
 Trend Change Level                 19422                    18900                      18120
   (Closing Basis)


Overall trend is sideways. We are recommending holding long position in the market as overall trend
on weekly & monthly basis is up. We are expecting breakout on upper side & expecting the index to
touch the levels of 20100 in coming weeks & also expecting that market will not close below 19200
in coming few days. If it goes below 19200, we may see fall in the market to the levels of 19000 &
below.

We mentioned that we are expecting the levels of 19600 to come in near future & it attained in the
trade on Tuesday. We can see the index to touch the levels of around 19800-19820 in coming days.
Keep stop loss of 19400 on closing basis for all the long positions.

S&P 500(USA) – 1426.19

As mentioned, 1426 on closing basis is important support. We can see below 1426 close, currently
fall down to 1402 levels. We may see some pause over here at 1400 level. Also market is eagerly
waiting for solution on Fiscal Cliff front. It is going to be the trend decider for coming months. Keep
watch on 1394-1385 zones on closing basis. Any close below it will take the indices lower in coming
weeks to even 1340-1250 levels else expect bounce.

Taking support around 1400 levels as mentioned. Now this rally may continue up to the levels of
around 1450.

AXIS BANK – 1362.70

Those who have shorted at 1360 levels keep stop loss of 1374 & hold the position for mentioned
levels.

Hold the shorts with the given stop loss of 1374.

ICICI BANK – 1158.45

Go short if it falls below 1128. If it crosses 1143, go long for expected higher levels of 1154 & above.

We advised to go long above 1143 for the target of 1154 & above. It attained the target & closed at
1158.45. Anyone who has not booked the profit can keep stop loss of 1145 & look for the levels of
1165-1174 to book full profit.

RELIANCE INDUSTRIES – 840.70

Go long above 850. Go short if falls below 835 for the expected lower levels of 828 & below.

Overall trend is sideways. No trade execution level attained. Now go short if falls below 837 for the
levels of 832-828. Go long above 851 only.




 +91 84600 32788                                                     ï€Ș support@shahadvisory.com
                                                    2
        Save Trees. Do not Print.                                     Read Disclaimer on our website
Wednesday, 02nd January 2013                                                 - www.shahadvisory.com
                               Follow us on Twitter - @equityadvisory

                Shah Advisory – Daily Morning Newsletter
TATA MOTORS – 316.75

Our mentioned levels did not attain in a trade. If it comes to 309, go long with stop loss of 307 & can
also enter long position above 315 for the expected higher levels of 318-320 keeping stop loss of
307.

Overall trend is positive. Advised to go long above 315 & it attained level of 318. Now keep stop loss
of 312 for the position & look for the possible upper levels of 321-324 to book full profit.

TATA STEEL – 438.20

Overall trend is bullish but we may see some sideways move for few days. If it crosses 433, enter
long position for expected higher levels of 437-440. Also shorting is advisable around 430 levels
keeping stop loss of 433 for the lower levels of 426 & below.

Overall trend is bullish. We advised to go long above 433 for the targets if 437-440. It attained both
the targets. Now anyone holding long position can trail stop loss to 434 & look for the upper levels of
445-448 to book full profit.

SBI – 2426.45

Overall trend is bullish but trading in a range of 2323-2408 & currently near to upper trading range.
Go short below 2380 for the level of 2364 & below. Buying is advisable only on cross of 2410.

Overall trend is bullish. We advised to go long above 2410 & it made a high of 2434. Now trail stop
loss to 2399 & look for the higher levels of 2445-2470 to book full profit.

USDINR – SPOT – 54.6850

Overall trend is positive. We have booked the short position at 54.75-57.77 levels. USDINR has
bounced sharply in last 1 hour of trade. Now we may see bounce to 55.20.

Overall trend is positive till it is trading above 54.40 levels. We were expecting the levels of 55.20 to
attain but it has fallen sharply from the levels of 55 to close around 54.68. Now we need to wait for a
clear signal on the chart to get any trading decision as there are certain sharp movements in last two
trading sessions.




 +91 84600 32788                                                     ï€Ș support@shahadvisory.com
                                                  3
        Save Trees. Do not Print.                                     Read Disclaimer on our website
Wednesday, 02nd January 2013                                             - www.shahadvisory.com
                               Follow us on Twitter - @equityadvisory

               Shah Advisory – Daily Morning Newsletter
                       Stocks with Positive Breakout
                  Stock Name                                       Buying Range
                   Dena Bank                                       121.10-121.30
                      HDIL                                         116.05-116.20
                     RCom                                           76.55-76.60
                     Sintex                                         68.05-68.10
                 Bharti Airtel                                      324-324.60
                  HDFC Bank                                         686.10-687
                   Coal India                                      361.10-361.40
                Jyoti Structure                                     46.60-46.65
                    Kiri Dyes                                        329-330
                 Century Text.                                     427.10-427.60
                 Hind Oil Expl.                                     105-105.10




                      Stocks with Negative Breakout
                 Stock Name                                        Selling Range
               Pantaloon Retail                                    255.70-255.80




 +91 84600 32788                                                 ï€Ș support@shahadvisory.com
                                                4
       Save Trees. Do not Print.                                  Read Disclaimer on our website

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Daily Newsletter - 02 01-2013

  • 1. SHAH ADVISORY Daily Morning Newsletter 02-01-2013 Vivek A. Shah 2013 WWW.SHAHADVISORY.COM
  • 2. Wednesday, 02nd January 2013  - www.shahadvisory.com Follow us on Twitter - @equityadvisory Shah Advisory – Daily Morning Newsletter BSE Sensex – 19580.81 TREND / PERIOD DAILY WEEKLY MONTHLY DIRECTION UP UP UP Trend Change Level 19422 18900 18120 (Closing Basis) Overall trend is sideways. We are recommending holding long position in the market as overall trend on weekly & monthly basis is up. We are expecting breakout on upper side & expecting the index to touch the levels of 20100 in coming weeks & also expecting that market will not close below 19200 in coming few days. If it goes below 19200, we may see fall in the market to the levels of 19000 & below. We mentioned that we are expecting the levels of 19600 to come in near future & it attained in the trade on Tuesday. We can see the index to touch the levels of around 19800-19820 in coming days. Keep stop loss of 19400 on closing basis for all the long positions. S&P 500(USA) – 1426.19 As mentioned, 1426 on closing basis is important support. We can see below 1426 close, currently fall down to 1402 levels. We may see some pause over here at 1400 level. Also market is eagerly waiting for solution on Fiscal Cliff front. It is going to be the trend decider for coming months. Keep watch on 1394-1385 zones on closing basis. Any close below it will take the indices lower in coming weeks to even 1340-1250 levels else expect bounce. Taking support around 1400 levels as mentioned. Now this rally may continue up to the levels of around 1450. AXIS BANK – 1362.70 Those who have shorted at 1360 levels keep stop loss of 1374 & hold the position for mentioned levels. Hold the shorts with the given stop loss of 1374. ICICI BANK – 1158.45 Go short if it falls below 1128. If it crosses 1143, go long for expected higher levels of 1154 & above. We advised to go long above 1143 for the target of 1154 & above. It attained the target & closed at 1158.45. Anyone who has not booked the profit can keep stop loss of 1145 & look for the levels of 1165-1174 to book full profit. RELIANCE INDUSTRIES – 840.70 Go long above 850. Go short if falls below 835 for the expected lower levels of 828 & below. Overall trend is sideways. No trade execution level attained. Now go short if falls below 837 for the levels of 832-828. Go long above 851 only.  +91 84600 32788 ï€Ș support@shahadvisory.com 2 Save Trees. Do not Print. Read Disclaimer on our website
  • 3. Wednesday, 02nd January 2013  - www.shahadvisory.com Follow us on Twitter - @equityadvisory Shah Advisory – Daily Morning Newsletter TATA MOTORS – 316.75 Our mentioned levels did not attain in a trade. If it comes to 309, go long with stop loss of 307 & can also enter long position above 315 for the expected higher levels of 318-320 keeping stop loss of 307. Overall trend is positive. Advised to go long above 315 & it attained level of 318. Now keep stop loss of 312 for the position & look for the possible upper levels of 321-324 to book full profit. TATA STEEL – 438.20 Overall trend is bullish but we may see some sideways move for few days. If it crosses 433, enter long position for expected higher levels of 437-440. Also shorting is advisable around 430 levels keeping stop loss of 433 for the lower levels of 426 & below. Overall trend is bullish. We advised to go long above 433 for the targets if 437-440. It attained both the targets. Now anyone holding long position can trail stop loss to 434 & look for the upper levels of 445-448 to book full profit. SBI – 2426.45 Overall trend is bullish but trading in a range of 2323-2408 & currently near to upper trading range. Go short below 2380 for the level of 2364 & below. Buying is advisable only on cross of 2410. Overall trend is bullish. We advised to go long above 2410 & it made a high of 2434. Now trail stop loss to 2399 & look for the higher levels of 2445-2470 to book full profit. USDINR – SPOT – 54.6850 Overall trend is positive. We have booked the short position at 54.75-57.77 levels. USDINR has bounced sharply in last 1 hour of trade. Now we may see bounce to 55.20. Overall trend is positive till it is trading above 54.40 levels. We were expecting the levels of 55.20 to attain but it has fallen sharply from the levels of 55 to close around 54.68. Now we need to wait for a clear signal on the chart to get any trading decision as there are certain sharp movements in last two trading sessions.  +91 84600 32788 ï€Ș support@shahadvisory.com 3 Save Trees. Do not Print. Read Disclaimer on our website
  • 4. Wednesday, 02nd January 2013  - www.shahadvisory.com Follow us on Twitter - @equityadvisory Shah Advisory – Daily Morning Newsletter Stocks with Positive Breakout Stock Name Buying Range Dena Bank 121.10-121.30 HDIL 116.05-116.20 RCom 76.55-76.60 Sintex 68.05-68.10 Bharti Airtel 324-324.60 HDFC Bank 686.10-687 Coal India 361.10-361.40 Jyoti Structure 46.60-46.65 Kiri Dyes 329-330 Century Text. 427.10-427.60 Hind Oil Expl. 105-105.10 Stocks with Negative Breakout Stock Name Selling Range Pantaloon Retail 255.70-255.80  +91 84600 32788 ï€Ș support@shahadvisory.com 4 Save Trees. Do not Print. Read Disclaimer on our website