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Adaptive Governance -
Global Networks and
Global Challenges
Victor Galaz
Stockholm Resilience Centre
Stockholm University
non-regimes
Global Networks (very large-scale)
Polycentricity
International Institutions
Three forces that
are reshaping the
Planet
The Anthopocene
Planetary Boundaries
“The Great Acceleration
Political shifts towards
networked forms of governance
Mass-Self Communication
Information Revolution
What are the long term institutional and
organizational implications of information
technology in the Anthropocene?
Mass Self-CommunicationDecreasing costs for
information
Bubonic Plage, Surat (India)1994
In 1994 the spread of bubonic plague
in the city of Surat deaths of 57
people, significant economic
losses, and social and political
effects. Over 300,000 people
deserted the city (in two days!)
Late warnings, information overload
and collapse
Development of web crawler GPHIN
at Health Canada (1995)
ProMED - moderated e-mail list
hosted by the International Society
for Infectious Diseases (1994).
“atypical pneumonia”,“unknown respiratory disease”
PNEUMONIA - CHINA (GUANGDONG): RFI
**********************************
Date: 10 Feb 2003
From: Stephen O. Cunnion, MD, PhD, MPH
<cunnion@erols.com>
This morning I received this e-mail and then searched your
archives
and found nothing that pertained to it. Does anyone know
anything
about this problem?
"Have you heard of an epidemic in Guangzhou? An
acquaintance of mine
from a teacher's chat room lives there and reports that the
hospitals there have been closed and people are dying."
--
Stephen O. Cunnion, MD, PhD, MPH
International Consultants in Health, Inc
Member ASTM&H, ISTM
<cunnion@erols.com>
“All of the sudden, we had a very powerful system that
brought in much more information from more countries, and
we where able to go to countries confidentially and validate
what was going on, and if they needed help, we provided help.
And we provided help by bringing together many different
institutions from around the world that started to work with
us.”
Breaking down of the information pyramid
Supernetworks
Collective Intelligence
Two new phenomena
Supernetworks
“Networks of Networks” - interconnected at
multiple levels; information technology plays a key
role; complex system
Global supply chain networks, financial networks,
knowledge networks and power grids
(Nagurney et al 2006).
There is a bigger "networks of networks" […]. In GOARN
you have CDC, MSF and Red Cross.Which you also have in
the different coordination groups for meningitis vaccine and
yellow fever vaccine. Or in global polio eradication.These
are enormous, but some are very small and, you would
bring in the global influenza with laboratories and national
influenza centers. But that is the “network of networks”
which has no substance, no defined substance. It's there,
the function, but in a highly chaotic, very undefined way.
Patrick Drury, GOARN/WHO.
Southern Cone EID
Surveillance Network
Asian Rotavirus
Surveillance Network
European Centre for
Disease Control,
EpiNorth
US-CDC
Global Outbreak Alert and Response Network (GOARN)
over 120 actors and others!
International Institutions
international agreements, conventions, rules governing the
activities of the members of international society (Young).
Global Networks
globally spanning information sharing and collaboration
patterns between organizations, including governmental
and/or non-governmental actors (Galaz 2014).
Polycentric coordination
self-organizing relationship between many centers of
decision-making that are formally independent of each
other (Galaz 2014)
Galaz et al 2012 in Ecological Economics
Steering?
David wanted to take the GPHIN business and what WHO
was doing, and develop a "network of networks".These would
be highly unformalized, highly unstructured, as chaotic as
possible, because if we allowed it to coagulate or set down at
any part of the WHO, the apparatus of the organization, […]
would start to drag it down […].All of these rules would just
slow down what was trying to be done.
Patrick Drury, GOARN/WHO
We have the international level, the WHO and the FAO.And at
the national level we try to bring together agriculture and
human health ministries. […] group involves academics, and a
few key people in the agencies, such as Stephan from the FAO,
Pierre […] from the WHO, OIE […].You have focal points in
the agencies, and you have focal points in NASA, and from 4 or
5 different universities.
Jan Slingerbergh EMPRES/FAO
That network is a little bit loosely defined, but flexible and
effective, you know.When there is the need, everybody jumps
in to action. I think the way it works is highly commendable
perhaps, because it’s not fringed or wrapped up in an
organizational structure. People just make it work because
they know each other.And it’s not a larger group to get lost
in, the flexibility is there. I believe this is key to the success.
Wouldn’t it be great if we actually
could map these networks?
Hyperlink analysis of major players in EID early warning and
response
NOTE: Illustration!
UN Agencies Cluster
US Gov Cluster
WHO
FAO
ECDC
Red Cross
ECDC International Red Cross
What makes them work?
Q:What if you are facing some uncertainty of the disease? How
do you coordinate your networks?
A: Each time we have a suspecting case of fever, or something
very wrong, the first thing we do, is that we contact WHO.
Immediately. […]. So there is immediate collaboration, so we
call them and "send you the sample with the first plane”, or
the first car or whatever. So,“please go on with your
laboratory and tell us what's going on".That is systematic.
Q: So that is not formalized?
No, no, but it's not personal.WHO knows that we will always
call them if we are suspecting things or something is very
bizarre.
Dan Sermand, MSF
Formal
within organization rules, budget, responsibility
between organizations - partnerships,
memorandum of understanding, etc
Informal
social networks, linked through institutional role
+ personal history
Coordination - Is that it?
Collective Intelligence - large,
distributed problem solving through
information and communication
technology. Distributed activity is
emergent and collective, rather than
orchestrated.
Adhoc Virtual Network for SARS
Etiology
13 laboratories in 9 countries
Daily telephone conferences
“The good thing is that it isn’t
flu. Then well, what is it?”
ProMED
1994-2006
#25 054 postings (total)
#373 postings included ”Request for
information”
How Decreasing Costs of Information
Processing and Mass Self-Communication
Support Adaptive Governance
Supernetworks and Collective intelligence
They build on the combination btw ICT and social
networks and polycentric order.
ocean acidification
climate change
marine biodiversity
Strategic selection of 20
interviews with key
policy actors at the
international level
Galaz et al. 2011, Ecological Economics
Existing international
partnership
Theoretical approach:
‘polycentric
governance’, network
theory
Very complex institutional setting
Networks and
polycentric
coordination?
Robust international institutions will have a very
difficult time to evolve
FAOICES
World Bank
IUCN
UNEP
WorldFish
Centre
UNESCO
Global Forum on Oceans
Coasts and Islands
UN Ocean
PacFaGPA-MarineICRI
INCOP
Galaz et al. 2011, Ecological Economics
FAO
UNDP
OECD
World Bank
Evolving network, with patterns of information sharing,
coordination, and conflict resolution.Affected by changes in
complex institutional setting (climate, biodiversity, marine
regimes)
Main conclusions
Evolving coordination patterns, emphasis on
information sharing + lobbying -> tension
Highly centralized to 3 core international
organizations
Increasing degree of formalization
Negative institutional interactions
Galaz et al. 2011, Ecological Economics
Galaz et al 2012 in Ecological Economics
Global networks International
institutions
Earth system “tipping points”
Incentives Interactions
Enforcement
Adaptability
Galaz 2014
THANKYOU
victor.galaz@stockholmresilience.su.se

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Adaptive governance - global networks (Victor Galaz)

  • 1. Adaptive Governance - Global Networks and Global Challenges Victor Galaz Stockholm Resilience Centre Stockholm University
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 6. Global Networks (very large-scale) Polycentricity International Institutions
  • 7. Three forces that are reshaping the Planet The Anthopocene Planetary Boundaries “The Great Acceleration Political shifts towards networked forms of governance Mass-Self Communication Information Revolution
  • 8. What are the long term institutional and organizational implications of information technology in the Anthropocene? Mass Self-CommunicationDecreasing costs for information
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11. Bubonic Plage, Surat (India)1994 In 1994 the spread of bubonic plague in the city of Surat deaths of 57 people, significant economic losses, and social and political effects. Over 300,000 people deserted the city (in two days!)
  • 12. Late warnings, information overload and collapse
  • 13. Development of web crawler GPHIN at Health Canada (1995) ProMED - moderated e-mail list hosted by the International Society for Infectious Diseases (1994).
  • 15. PNEUMONIA - CHINA (GUANGDONG): RFI ********************************** Date: 10 Feb 2003 From: Stephen O. Cunnion, MD, PhD, MPH <cunnion@erols.com> This morning I received this e-mail and then searched your archives and found nothing that pertained to it. Does anyone know anything about this problem? "Have you heard of an epidemic in Guangzhou? An acquaintance of mine from a teacher's chat room lives there and reports that the hospitals there have been closed and people are dying." -- Stephen O. Cunnion, MD, PhD, MPH International Consultants in Health, Inc Member ASTM&H, ISTM <cunnion@erols.com>
  • 16. “All of the sudden, we had a very powerful system that brought in much more information from more countries, and we where able to go to countries confidentially and validate what was going on, and if they needed help, we provided help. And we provided help by bringing together many different institutions from around the world that started to work with us.”
  • 17. Breaking down of the information pyramid
  • 19. Supernetworks “Networks of Networks” - interconnected at multiple levels; information technology plays a key role; complex system Global supply chain networks, financial networks, knowledge networks and power grids (Nagurney et al 2006).
  • 20. There is a bigger "networks of networks" […]. In GOARN you have CDC, MSF and Red Cross.Which you also have in the different coordination groups for meningitis vaccine and yellow fever vaccine. Or in global polio eradication.These are enormous, but some are very small and, you would bring in the global influenza with laboratories and national influenza centers. But that is the “network of networks” which has no substance, no defined substance. It's there, the function, but in a highly chaotic, very undefined way. Patrick Drury, GOARN/WHO.
  • 21. Southern Cone EID Surveillance Network Asian Rotavirus Surveillance Network European Centre for Disease Control, EpiNorth US-CDC Global Outbreak Alert and Response Network (GOARN) over 120 actors and others!
  • 22. International Institutions international agreements, conventions, rules governing the activities of the members of international society (Young). Global Networks globally spanning information sharing and collaboration patterns between organizations, including governmental and/or non-governmental actors (Galaz 2014). Polycentric coordination self-organizing relationship between many centers of decision-making that are formally independent of each other (Galaz 2014)
  • 23. Galaz et al 2012 in Ecological Economics
  • 25. David wanted to take the GPHIN business and what WHO was doing, and develop a "network of networks".These would be highly unformalized, highly unstructured, as chaotic as possible, because if we allowed it to coagulate or set down at any part of the WHO, the apparatus of the organization, […] would start to drag it down […].All of these rules would just slow down what was trying to be done. Patrick Drury, GOARN/WHO
  • 26. We have the international level, the WHO and the FAO.And at the national level we try to bring together agriculture and human health ministries. […] group involves academics, and a few key people in the agencies, such as Stephan from the FAO, Pierre […] from the WHO, OIE […].You have focal points in the agencies, and you have focal points in NASA, and from 4 or 5 different universities. Jan Slingerbergh EMPRES/FAO That network is a little bit loosely defined, but flexible and effective, you know.When there is the need, everybody jumps in to action. I think the way it works is highly commendable perhaps, because it’s not fringed or wrapped up in an organizational structure. People just make it work because they know each other.And it’s not a larger group to get lost in, the flexibility is there. I believe this is key to the success.
  • 27. Wouldn’t it be great if we actually could map these networks? Hyperlink analysis of major players in EID early warning and response NOTE: Illustration!
  • 28. UN Agencies Cluster US Gov Cluster WHO FAO ECDC Red Cross
  • 31. Q:What if you are facing some uncertainty of the disease? How do you coordinate your networks? A: Each time we have a suspecting case of fever, or something very wrong, the first thing we do, is that we contact WHO. Immediately. […]. So there is immediate collaboration, so we call them and "send you the sample with the first plane”, or the first car or whatever. So,“please go on with your laboratory and tell us what's going on".That is systematic. Q: So that is not formalized? No, no, but it's not personal.WHO knows that we will always call them if we are suspecting things or something is very bizarre. Dan Sermand, MSF
  • 32. Formal within organization rules, budget, responsibility between organizations - partnerships, memorandum of understanding, etc Informal social networks, linked through institutional role + personal history
  • 33.
  • 34. Coordination - Is that it?
  • 35. Collective Intelligence - large, distributed problem solving through information and communication technology. Distributed activity is emergent and collective, rather than orchestrated.
  • 36. Adhoc Virtual Network for SARS Etiology 13 laboratories in 9 countries Daily telephone conferences “The good thing is that it isn’t flu. Then well, what is it?”
  • 37. ProMED 1994-2006 #25 054 postings (total) #373 postings included ”Request for information”
  • 38. How Decreasing Costs of Information Processing and Mass Self-Communication Support Adaptive Governance Supernetworks and Collective intelligence They build on the combination btw ICT and social networks and polycentric order.
  • 39.
  • 40. ocean acidification climate change marine biodiversity Strategic selection of 20 interviews with key policy actors at the international level Galaz et al. 2011, Ecological Economics Existing international partnership Theoretical approach: ‘polycentric governance’, network theory
  • 42. Networks and polycentric coordination? Robust international institutions will have a very difficult time to evolve
  • 43. FAOICES World Bank IUCN UNEP WorldFish Centre UNESCO Global Forum on Oceans Coasts and Islands UN Ocean PacFaGPA-MarineICRI INCOP Galaz et al. 2011, Ecological Economics
  • 44. FAO UNDP OECD World Bank Evolving network, with patterns of information sharing, coordination, and conflict resolution.Affected by changes in complex institutional setting (climate, biodiversity, marine regimes)
  • 45. Main conclusions Evolving coordination patterns, emphasis on information sharing + lobbying -> tension Highly centralized to 3 core international organizations Increasing degree of formalization Negative institutional interactions Galaz et al. 2011, Ecological Economics
  • 46. Galaz et al 2012 in Ecological Economics
  • 47.
  • 48. Global networks International institutions Earth system “tipping points” Incentives Interactions Enforcement Adaptability Galaz 2014