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Bubble trouble making the final cut
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3. Get your dancing shoes out. With just two weeks remaining to the start of the 2011 NCAA Tournament, teams sitting on the outside looking in are now – more than ever – sweating their bubbles off.
4. With post-season conference tournaments now underway it's truly last-gasp time for these teams to make one final impression on the NCAA tournament committee. Outside of winning a conference tournament, the fact is unless teams own both a winning overall and winning conference record for the season the chance of being invited to the 'dance' is slim and remote.
5. Teams who post 20 wins for the season often times find that unless they were a 'double-winner', the NCAA is likely to kick them to the curb. And for a lot of the right reasons, we might add.
6. The brain trust recognizes the fact that 20-win teams who ended the season non-winners in conference play likely picked up the bulk of the victories against inferior, non-conference competition and it just doesn't cut the mustard in the panels' eyes.
7. Their performance to date, however, says otherwise. Collectively, this unit has posted a sterling 248-78 SU and 116-96 ATS mark outside the conference this season. In conference play, though, they are just a combined 181-215 SU and 180-204-12 ATS.
8. Worse, as a favorite in conference games these wannabes are just 80-110-5 ATS this season, including 30-56-2 ATS when favored off a win. Put this same group of guys up as a favorite off a win against a foe seeking revenge that and they nearly drop off the radar screen, going 15-34 ATS this season, including 7-25 ATS if they covered the number by more than three points in its last game.
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