slides from Charlie Ball's keynote session

1. What do graduates do?
Dr Charlie Ball
Head of HE Intelligence
Graduate Prospects

3. 2017 graduates after six months
Data comes from HESA Destination of Leavers of Higher Education 2016/17
Working full-time in the
UK, 55.2%
Working part-time in the
UK, 11.9%
Working overseas, 1.8%
Working and studying,
5.4%
Further study, 16.1%
Unemployed,
including those due
to start work, 5.1%
Other, 4.5%

4. What do graduates do?
329,325 first degrees awarded to UK domiciled graduates
last year. Rise of 12,635 on 2016 – up about 4%
The majority were working after six months – 74.3%
Unemployment was at 5.1% - lowest rate since 1988/89.
Another increase in graduates going into Masters study –
2,800 more graduates going into study

5. How were graduates working after six months?
Self-employed/freelance,
4.9%
Starting up own
business, 0.6%
On a permanent or open-
ended contract, 61.8%
On a fixed-term contract
lasting 12 months or
longer, 14.5%
On a fixed-term contract
lasting less than 12
months, 6.7%
Voluntary work, 0.9%
On an
internship/placement,
2.5%
Developing a professional
portfolio/creative practice,
0.7%
Temping (including supply
teaching), 1.9%
On a zero hours
contract , 4.1%
Other, 1.4%

6. Types of work of 2017 graduates after six months
3.9%
18.2%
5.8%
5.1%
1.1%
4.5% 4.6%
10.8%
7.7%
6.5%
5.7%
4.3%
5.6%
10.4%
5.8%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%

7. Where did 2017 graduates work?
Westminster 6080
Birmingham 4670
Manchester 4420
City of London 4065
Greater London 3840
Leeds 3625
Camden 3490
Glasgow 3370
Surrey 3180
Hertfordshire 3090
Kent 3035
Hampshire 2725
Edinburgh 2530
Tower Hamlets 2470
Essex 2465
Lancashire 2455
Liverpool 2445
Bristol 2390
Belfast 2385
Southwark 2295
Oxfordshire 2145
Sheffield 2145
Cardiff 2115
Cambridgeshire 2045
Islington 1985
Newcastle 1945
Nottingham 1790
West Sussex 1675
Gloucestershire 1610
Leicester 1545

8. Graduate mobility
- 58% of graduates from 2017 went to work in the
region they studied in
- 69% went to work in the region they were originally
domiciled
- Only 18% of graduates went to work somewhere
they were not already connected to
This pattern is long-standing and mobility may even be
falling, although the figures are very similar to last
year’s

9. Locally

10. Local jobs for graduates
Managers Health Education
Legal, social
and welfare
Science
Engineering
and
building
IT
Business
and finance
Marketing
and sales
Arts,
design,
media
Other
professiona
ls
Portsmouth 5.2% 27.0% 5.5% 5.6% 1.2% 5.2% 4.1% 6.4% 5.5% 5.5% 8.1%
Hampshire 4.9% 10.3% 6.4% 4.4% 1.2% 7.3% 7.6% 10.3% 7.8% 6.5% 6.9%
Surrey 4.3% 17.5% 6.7% 3.5% 1.4% 4.8% 5.6% 10.1% 9.3% 6.5% 5.8%
West Sussex 3.2% 18.6% 8.1% 5.0% 0.5% 3.6% 3.6% 8.4% 6.7% 6.4% 6.3%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%

11. Local jobs for graduates
Managers Health Education
Legal, social
and welfare
Science
Engineering
and building
IT
Business
and finance
Marketing
and sales
Arts, design,
media
Other
professional
s
Portsmouth 40 200 40 40 10 40 30 50 40 40 60
Hampshire 135 280 175 120 30 200 205 280 210 175 190
Surrey 140 555 210 110 45 155 175 320 295 205 185
West Sussex 55 310 135 85 10 60 60 140 115 105 105
0
100
200
300
400
500
600

12. Nurses 550
Primary and nursery teaching 315
Marketing 295
Medical practitioners 235
Programmers and software developers 225
General and niche business professionals 145
Business sales executives 120
HR and recruitment 110
Specialist and general engineering professionals 105
Finance and investment analysts and advisers 105
Teaching and other educational professionals n.e.c. 95
Sports coaches, instructors and officials 95
Photographers, AV and broadcasting equipment operators 90
Artists 90
Sales accounts and business development managers 90
Chartered and certified accountants 85
Design and development engineers 85
Midwives 85
Welfare and housing 85
Graphic designers 80
Social workers 75
Legal associate professionals 75
Most common local jobs for graduates

13. Most common local industries for graduates
Hospital activities 995
Primary education 425
General secondary education 245
Government 210
Computer programming activities 185
Other human health activities 170
Engineering activities and related technical consultancy 155
Defence activities 140
Accounting, bookkeeping and auditing activities; tax consultancy 135
Tertiary education 135
Information technology consultancy activities 110
Social work 100
Other information technology service activities 90
Other education n.e.c. 85
Non-life insurance 85
Legal activities 80
Advertising agencies 80
Activities of employment placement agencies 75

14. Local graduate employment and employer size
1 to 9 10 to 49 50 to 99 100 to 249 250 to 499 500 to 999 1000 and over
With hospitals 9.0% 10.7% 9.0% 6.1% 6.4% 8.1% 50.8%
Without hospitals 11.1% 13.1% 10.9% 7.3% 7.8% 10.0% 40.0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%

15. Occupational shortage data

16. • Data comes from the Employer Skills Survey 2017, conducted by IFF, provided by
the Department for Education and analysed by HECSU.
• Data collected from survey responses from over 87,000 employers, and it is
conducted by IFF on behalf of the DfE
• ‘Employer’ is used here as a shorthand for ‘establishment’, the level at which
employers were sampled.
• Professional level’ means occupations classed under Standard Occupation
Classification (SOC) 2010 in major groups 1, 2 and 3 – managerial, professional
and associate professional.
• For more detail, please see the Technical Report,
https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/att
achment_data/file/733999/Employer_Skills_Survey-Technical_report.pdf
Occupational shortage data

17. Occupational shortage data
• An employer reported a vacancy as ‘hard to fill’ if they found it difficult to fill for any reason.
• This is a subjective measure, and if a vacancy was considered ‘hard to fill’, it should not be
assumed that it was not ultimately filled, or that it was not filled by someone considered
suitably skilled and qualified for the position.
• Vacancies that employers find hard-to-fill due to applicants lacking relevant skills,
qualifications or experience are termed ‘skill-shortage vacancies’.
• This is also a subjective measure. All SSVs are HTF, but not all HTF vacancies are SSVs.

18. Graduate jobs with highest numbers of reported vacancies
Just under 309,000 reported vacancies in 169 different professional occupations (4 digit SOC)
• Nurses
• Human resources and industrial relations officers (covering recruitment consultants etc)
• Business sales executives
• Welfare and housing associate professionals
• IT user support technicians
• Marketing associate professionals
• Programmers and software development professionals
• Engineering professionals n.e.c (covering niche and specialist engineers)
• Sales accounts and business development managers
• Managers and directors in retail and wholesale
• Medical practitioners
• Solicitors
• Vocational and industrial trainers and instructors
• Primary and nursery education teaching professionals
• Business and related associate professionals n.e.c. (including people with generic jobs
titles)
• Youth and community workers
• Chartered and certified accountants

19. Graduate jobs with highest numbers of reported vacancies
This data does not examine how difficult these roles are to fill, it simply looks at how many
vacancies ESS respondents reported in 2017
This list of vacancies is not dissimilar to the list of most common jobs for new graduates.
The top 10 jobs for new graduates from 2016/17 were as follows:
• Nurses
• Marketing associate professionals
• Medical practitioners
• Primary and nursery teaching
• Business and related associate professionals n.e.c. (including people with generic jobs
titles)
• Programmers and software developers
• Finance analysts and advisers
• Human resources, recruitment industrial relations officers
• Chartered and certified accountants
• Welfare and housing associate professionals

20. Hard to fill vacancies
• An employer reported a vacancy as ‘hard to fill’ if they found it difficult to
fill for any reason
• 33% of vacancies were considered ‘hard to fill’, in line with previous years
• Over 106,000 reported HTF vacancies across 165 different professional
occupations (4 digit SOC)

21. Graduate jobs with highest numbers of reported
hard to fill vacancies
• Nurses
• Programmers and software development professionals
• HR and recruitment
• Medical practitioners
• Welfare and housing associate professionals
• Business sales executives
• IT user support technicians
• Sales accounts and business development managers
• Marketing associate professionals
• Engineering professionals n.e.c.
• Managers and directors in retail and wholesale
• Design and development engineers
• Web design and development professionals
• Veterinarians
• Chartered and certified accountants
Over 106,000 reported HTF vacancies across 165 different professional occupations (4 digit SOC)

22. Graduate jobs with highest numbers of reported
hard to fill vacancies
• similar to the list of vacancies overall (as expected);
• the top 5 professions on the list of hard to fill vacancies are all in the top 10 roles taken by
new graduates (and marketing and accountancy roles are also on both lists)
• suggesting that even though thousands of graduates enter each of those jobs every year,
employers nevertheless still find positions difficult to recruit and that supply and demand of
graduates may not be as well matched as we would like.
• although the rhetoric about graduate shortage focuses on STEM (and not without reason),
many of the roles employers find hard to fill, despite considerable numbers of new graduate
entrants are in business services and welfare.

23. Hardest graduate jobs to fill
Highest proportion of HTFs
Proportion of vacancies that
are HTF
Medical practitioners 93.0%
Veterinarians 86.8%
Draughtspersons 72.6%
Nurses 72.1%
Electronics engineers 63.3%
Electrical engineers 58.8%
Civil engineers 57.9%
Quantity surveyors 56.6%
Web design and development professionals 54.1%
Design and development engineers 53.9%
Environment professionals 52.6%
Pharmacists 52.5%
Estimators, valuers and assessors 52.2%
Programmers and software development professionals 50.0%

24. Shortages in the SE
 Nurses
 IT user support technicians
 Insurance underwriters
 Welfare and housing associate professionals n.e.c.
 Programmers and software development professionals
 Human resources and industrial relations officers
 Chartered and certified accountants
 Teaching and other educational professionals n.e.c.
 Sports coaches, instructors and officials
 Restaurant and catering establishment managers and proprietors
 Marketing associate professionals
 Youth and community workers
 Information technology and telecommunications professionals
 Web design and development professionals
 Chartered surveyors

25. Future developments
T-Levels
• Require a fundamental change in parts of the post-16 education landscape to implement properly
• Will take time, money and expertise to implement
• Has potential to change the way post-16 education moves into work, possibly bypassing HE
• But past systems suggest they are more likely to work as an alternative route to HE
• Medium term question
Degree apprenticeships
• Fair to describe Augar as ‘sceptical’
• “With no cohorts yet complete, there is no evidence about the value derived” – Augar Review.
• Widespread rebadging of existing qualifications
• Expensive to public purse
• Being taken up by students who would otherwise have gone to HE anyway, not WP cohorts
“middle-class subsidy”
• Not readily available to non-levy payers (SMEs)
• Regulation, quality assurance problematic, likely to see significant change

26. Data comes from:
Department for Education
Centre for Cities
HESA
ONS
British Chambers of Commerce
Bank of England

27. Special Bonus Section – professional level jobs taken in the
SE by 2016/17 graduates
Managers Health Education
Legal,
social and
welfare
Science
Engineerin
g and
building
IT
Business
and
finance
Marketing
and sales
Arts,
design,
media
Other
profession
als
Bracknell Forest 80 35 20 5 0 5 30 50 55 15 35
Brighton and Hove 30 210 40 60 10 15 55 110 85 100 50
Buckinghamshire 55 200 80 50 15 70 45 120 155 90 60
Portsmouth 40 200 40 40 10 40 30 50 40 40 60
Southampton 40 270 60 50 10 15 20 125 50 75 45
0
50
100
150
200
250
300

28. Special Bonus Section – professional level jobs taken in the
SE by 2016/17 graduates
Managers Health Education
Legal, social
and welfare
Science
Engineering
and building
IT
Business and
finance
Marketing
and sales
Arts, design,
media
Other
professionals
East Sussex 20 215 80 60 10 25 10 35 35 35 40
Hampshire 135 280 175 120 30 200 205 280 210 175 190
Isle of Wight 5 40 20 15 5 5 5 5 5 20 10
Kent 110 610 275 155 25 95 85 170 160 170 190
Medway 15 130 50 20 5 30 15 25 15 25 25
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700

29. Special Bonus Section – professional level jobs taken in the
SE by 2016/17 graduates
Managers Health Education
Legal, social
and welfare
Science
Engineering
and building
IT
Business
and finance
Marketing
and sales
Arts, design,
media
Other
professional
s
Milton Keynes 35 110 50 35 15 50 70 155 105 35 40
Oxfordshire 110 335 105 105 85 145 95 185 170 130 195
Reading 30 160 30 20 20 30 60 175 75 25 65
Slough 25 85 30 20 10 15 35 45 40 10 20
Surrey 140 555 210 110 45 155 175 320 295 205 185
0
100
200
300
400
500
600

30. Special Bonus Section – professional level jobs taken in the
SE (and Bournemouth and Poole) by 2016/17 graduates
Managers Health Education
Legal,
social and
welfare
Science
Engineerin
g and
building
IT
Business
and finance
Marketing
and sales
Arts,
design,
media
Other
professiona
ls
West Berkshire 25 15 35 15 15 45 55 60 45 25 30
West Sussex 55 310 135 85 10 60 60 140 115 105 105
Windsor and Maidenhead 15 40 35 10 0 20 25 50 75 20 30
Wokingham 15 15 25 10 5 35 35 55 55 10 25
Bournemouth 20 100 30 25 5 10 35 50 40 50 25
Poole 10 125 25 15 5 10 20 25 30 30 20
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350

31. Managers Health Education
Legal,
social and
welfare
Science
Engineering
and
building
IT
Business
and finance
Marketing
and sales
Arts,
design,
media
Other
professiona
ls
Bournemouth 4.0% 18.5% 5.1% 4.4% 1.1% 1.6% 6.4% 9.0% 7.1% 8.8% 4.8%
Poole 1.9% 29.1% 6.4% 3.3% 0.9% 2.6% 5.2% 5.9% 6.6% 6.9% 4.3%
Brighton and Hove 2.8% 18.3% 3.6% 5.4% 1.0% 1.5% 5.0% 9.4% 7.2% 8.6% 4.5%
Portsmouth 5.2% 27.0% 5.5% 5.6% 1.2% 5.2% 4.1% 6.4% 5.5% 5.5% 8.1%
Southampton 3.8% 26.1% 5.7% 4.9% 1.2% 1.6% 1.7% 12.2% 4.9% 7.0% 4.3%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Special Bonus Section – professional level jobs taken in the
SE (and Bournemouth and Poole) by 2016/17 graduates

32. Special Bonus Section – professional level jobs taken in the
SE by 2016/17 graduates
Managers Health Education
Legal, social
and welfare
Science
Engineering
and building
IT
Business
and finance
Marketing
and sales
Arts, design,
media
Other
professional
s
Bracknell Forest 20.4% 9.6% 4.7% 1.6% 0.5% 1.0% 8.3% 12.4% 14.0% 4.4% 8.8%
Buckinghamshire 4.2% 15.2% 6.2% 3.7% 1.1% 5.2% 3.4% 9.0% 11.7% 6.9% 4.7%
East Sussex 2.3% 27.0% 10.0% 7.4% 1.1% 2.9% 1.4% 4.2% 4.7% 4.7% 4.9%
Hampshire 4.9% 10.3% 6.4% 4.4% 1.2% 7.3% 7.6% 10.3% 7.8% 6.5% 6.9%
Isle of Wight 3.7% 20.7% 10.6% 7.4% 2.1% 2.7% 2.7% 1.6% 2.7% 9.6% 5.3%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%

33. Special Bonus Section – professional level jobs taken in the
SE by 2016/17 graduates
Managers Health Education
Legal, social
and welfare
Science
Engineering
and building
IT
Business
and finance
Marketing
and sales
Arts, design,
media
Other
professional
s
Kent 3.7% 20.1% 9.1% 5.1% 0.9% 3.1% 2.8% 5.6% 5.2% 5.6% 6.3%
Medway 3.1% 28.9% 11.2% 4.5% 1.1% 6.3% 2.9% 5.6% 3.1% 6.1% 5.6%
Milton Keynes 3.8% 11.6% 5.4% 3.8% 1.6% 5.1% 7.4% 16.1% 10.8% 3.5% 4.2%
Oxfordshire 5.2% 15.7% 4.9% 4.9% 4.0% 6.7% 4.4% 8.5% 7.9% 6.0% 9.2%
Reading 3.4% 18.4% 3.3% 2.6% 2.2% 3.5% 6.9% 20.3% 8.9% 3.2% 7.7%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%

34. Special Bonus Section – professional level jobs taken in the
SE by 2016/17 graduates
Managers Health Education
Legal,
social and
welfare
Science
Engineerin
g and
building
IT
Business
and
finance
Marketing
and sales
Arts,
design,
media
Other
profession
als
Slough 5.8% 21.5% 7.1% 4.6% 2.0% 3.8% 8.4% 11.4% 9.9% 2.5% 5.3%
Surrey 4.3% 17.5% 6.7% 3.5% 1.4% 4.8% 5.6% 10.1% 9.3% 6.5% 5.8%
West Berkshire 5.2% 3.6% 7.7% 3.4% 3.4% 9.8% 12.7% 13.6% 10.2% 5.5% 7.0%
West Sussex 3.2% 18.6% 8.1% 5.0% 0.5% 3.6% 3.6% 8.4% 6.7% 6.4% 6.3%
Windsor and Maidenhead 3.9% 8.8% 8.2% 2.7% 0.5% 4.8% 5.9% 11.8% 16.6% 4.5% 6.8%
Wokingham 3.5% 4.6% 6.3% 3.3% 1.9% 9.5% 9.5% 15.0% 14.4% 2.7% 6.8%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%