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Product Life Cycle
Product life cycle


 A theoretical model
 which describes the
stages a product goes
       through
Stages in the Product Life Cycle

• Research & product
  development
                         Theory can be
• Introduction           applied to a:
• Growth                 Product category
• Maturity               Style
                         Brand or model
• Decline
• Rejuvenation or
  termination
Implications of each stage

• Net cash flow
• Profit
• Marketing strategy
Product life cycle and cash flow


                                   Sales


                                    Cash
                                    Flow
Research & product development phase

• Often complex
• Absorbs significant
  resources
• May not be successful
• May involves a long
  lead time before sales
  are achieved
Product development
• Often takes years but CAD is reducing product
  development times
• Evaluate at each stage and ,if necessary,
  abort the product idea
• The cost of development rises as it
  approaches launch
• Market research including a test launch often
  done to reduce the risk of product failure
• Most product ideas do not reach the launch
  phase
Causes of elimination before launch

•   Inadequate demand
•   Action of competitors
•   Change in the external environment
•   Production problem
•   High costs
•   Does not fit in the firm’s product range
•   Life cycle expected to be too short
Introduction stage
• New product launched on the market
• Low level of sales
• Low capacity utilisation
• High unit costs - teething problems occur
• Usually negative cash flow
• Distributors may be reluctant to take an
  unproven product
• Heavy promotion to make consumers aware
  of the product
Strategies at the introduction phase
• This stage makes special demands on the
  marketing function
• Aim – to encourage customer adoption
• High promotional spending to create
  awareness and inform people
• Either skimming or penetration pricing
• Limited, focused distribution
• Demand initially from “early adopters”
Growth stage
• Expanding market but arrival of
  competitors
• Fast growing sales
• Rise in capacity utilisation
• Product gains market acceptance
• Cash flow may become positive
• Unit costs fall with economies of scale
• The market grows, profits rise but attracts
  the entry of new competitors
Strategies in the growth stage
• Advertising to promote brand awareness
• Increase in distribution outlets - intensive
  distribution
• Go for market penetration and (if possible)
  price leadership
• Target the early majority of potential buyers
• Continuing high promotional spending
• Improve the product - new features,
  improved styling, more options
Maturity
• Slower sales growth as rivals enter the
  market = intense competition + fight for
  market share
• High level of capacity utilisation
• High profits for those with high market share
• Cash flow should be strongly positive
• Weaker competitors start to leave the market
• Prices and profits fall
Strategies for mature products
•   Need to defend position
•   Product differentiation & product improvements
•   Rationalisation of capacity
•   Competitor based pricing
•   Promotion focuses on differentiation
•   Persuasive advertising
•   Intensive distribution
•   Enter new segments
•   Attract new users
•   Repositioning
•   Develop new uses
Decline stage

•   Falling sales
•   Market saturation and/or competition
•   Decline in profits & weaker cash flows
•   More competitors leave the market
•   Decline in capacity utilisation –switch
    capacity to alternative products
Reasons for decline

•   Technological advance
•   Changes in taste and behaviour
•   Increased competition
•   Economic circumstances
•   Damaging publicity
•   Product side effects
Strategies for the decline phase
• Maintain market share
• Harvest by spending little on marketing
  the product
• Rationalise by weeding out product
  variations
• Price cutting to maintain competitiveness
• Promotion to retain loyal customers
• Distribution narrowed
Strategies to reduce the rate of decline

•   Increase in promotion
•   Focus on profitable segments
•   Reduce prices
•   Change distribution channels
•   Product improvement
•   Reposition the product
Extending the product life cycle
• Change price
• Change promotion (e.g new promotional
  message)
• Change product - re-styling and product
  improvement
• Change more efficient distribution
• Develop new market segment
• Find new uses for the product
• Reposition the product
Product life cycle with an extension

Sales
(ÂŁ)




                                          Time
Product rationalisation
• Elimination of the product – either a natural
  death or termination (brand culling)
• Unless the product is profitable or has growth
  potential or is seen as necessary to maintain
  sales of another product the organisation
  should seriously consider eliminating the
  product
• Weak products take a disproportionate
  amount of the firm’s financial resources and
  can harm the firms image
The life cycle is short if….

• The rate of technological change is rapid
• There is a high degree of innovation in
  the market
• Customers’ tastes are changing rapidly
• The product is a fashion item
• The product is badly marketed
Short product life cycle of a fashion (or fad) item

Sales
(ÂŁ)




                                           Time
Is decline inevitable?

• The assumption is that products go
  through the cycle and inevitably reach
  the decline phase
• But some classic products have a long life
  cycle and no apparent sign of decline
• These are exceptions to the rule although
  the life cycle can be extended
• Examples: Corn Flakes, Coca Cola
No apparent decline

Sales
(ÂŁ)




                              Time
Uses of the product life cycle concept
• To forecast future behaviour of sales
• To be a tool of analysis to assist in the
  formulation of marketing strategies
• As a manipulative device to indicate when
  short-term measures might be used to distort
  the life cycle to the firms advantage
• To identify deviations from the norm
• To aid the analysis of the firm’s product
  portfolio
A balanced portfolio
• Product portfolio refers to the mix of
  products produced by a single firm
• Undesirable to have too many products at
  one stage
• New products involve heavy investment
  and mature products might only have a
  short life left to them
• A balanced portfolio is one in which the
  firm has a variety of products at different
  stages in the life cycle
Criticisms of the PLC concept
• The shape and duration of the cycle varies
• Strategic decisions can change the life cycle
• It is difficult to recognise exactly where a
  product is in its life cycle
• Length cannot be reliably predicted
• Decline is not inevitable?
• Assumes no reversion to earlier consumer
  preferences
• It can become a self fulfilling prophecy
Product life cycle of the VHS video

1976    Competing video systems launched: VHS (JVC and
        Victor) and Betamax (Sony)
1980s   VHS-Betamax war. VHS’s longer playing time and
        more liberal licensing system gave it the edge
1984    Toshiba formulates plan for Digital Versatile Disc
1987    Betamax concedes defeat
1996    First film released on DVD
2003    US DVD rentals surpass VHS
2004    Hollywood studios stop releasing films on VHS
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Marketing - Product Life Cycle

  • 2. Product life cycle A theoretical model which describes the stages a product goes through
  • 3. Stages in the Product Life Cycle • Research & product development Theory can be • Introduction applied to a: • Growth Product category • Maturity Style Brand or model • Decline • Rejuvenation or termination
  • 4. Implications of each stage • Net cash flow • Profit • Marketing strategy
  • 5. Product life cycle and cash flow Sales Cash Flow
  • 6. Research & product development phase • Often complex • Absorbs significant resources • May not be successful • May involves a long lead time before sales are achieved
  • 7. Product development • Often takes years but CAD is reducing product development times • Evaluate at each stage and ,if necessary, abort the product idea • The cost of development rises as it approaches launch • Market research including a test launch often done to reduce the risk of product failure • Most product ideas do not reach the launch phase
  • 8. Causes of elimination before launch • Inadequate demand • Action of competitors • Change in the external environment • Production problem • High costs • Does not fit in the firm’s product range • Life cycle expected to be too short
  • 9. Introduction stage • New product launched on the market • Low level of sales • Low capacity utilisation • High unit costs - teething problems occur • Usually negative cash flow • Distributors may be reluctant to take an unproven product • Heavy promotion to make consumers aware of the product
  • 10. Strategies at the introduction phase • This stage makes special demands on the marketing function • Aim – to encourage customer adoption • High promotional spending to create awareness and inform people • Either skimming or penetration pricing • Limited, focused distribution • Demand initially from “early adopters”
  • 11. Growth stage • Expanding market but arrival of competitors • Fast growing sales • Rise in capacity utilisation • Product gains market acceptance • Cash flow may become positive • Unit costs fall with economies of scale • The market grows, profits rise but attracts the entry of new competitors
  • 12. Strategies in the growth stage • Advertising to promote brand awareness • Increase in distribution outlets - intensive distribution • Go for market penetration and (if possible) price leadership • Target the early majority of potential buyers • Continuing high promotional spending • Improve the product - new features, improved styling, more options
  • 13. Maturity • Slower sales growth as rivals enter the market = intense competition + fight for market share • High level of capacity utilisation • High profits for those with high market share • Cash flow should be strongly positive • Weaker competitors start to leave the market • Prices and profits fall
  • 14. Strategies for mature products • Need to defend position • Product differentiation & product improvements • Rationalisation of capacity • Competitor based pricing • Promotion focuses on differentiation • Persuasive advertising • Intensive distribution • Enter new segments • Attract new users • Repositioning • Develop new uses
  • 15. Decline stage • Falling sales • Market saturation and/or competition • Decline in profits & weaker cash flows • More competitors leave the market • Decline in capacity utilisation –switch capacity to alternative products
  • 16. Reasons for decline • Technological advance • Changes in taste and behaviour • Increased competition • Economic circumstances • Damaging publicity • Product side effects
  • 17. Strategies for the decline phase • Maintain market share • Harvest by spending little on marketing the product • Rationalise by weeding out product variations • Price cutting to maintain competitiveness • Promotion to retain loyal customers • Distribution narrowed
  • 18. Strategies to reduce the rate of decline • Increase in promotion • Focus on profitable segments • Reduce prices • Change distribution channels • Product improvement • Reposition the product
  • 19. Extending the product life cycle • Change price • Change promotion (e.g new promotional message) • Change product - re-styling and product improvement • Change more efficient distribution • Develop new market segment • Find new uses for the product • Reposition the product
  • 20. Product life cycle with an extension Sales (ÂŁ) Time
  • 21. Product rationalisation • Elimination of the product – either a natural death or termination (brand culling) • Unless the product is profitable or has growth potential or is seen as necessary to maintain sales of another product the organisation should seriously consider eliminating the product • Weak products take a disproportionate amount of the firm’s financial resources and can harm the firms image
  • 22. The life cycle is short if…. • The rate of technological change is rapid • There is a high degree of innovation in the market • Customers’ tastes are changing rapidly • The product is a fashion item • The product is badly marketed
  • 23. Short product life cycle of a fashion (or fad) item Sales (ÂŁ) Time
  • 24. Is decline inevitable? • The assumption is that products go through the cycle and inevitably reach the decline phase • But some classic products have a long life cycle and no apparent sign of decline • These are exceptions to the rule although the life cycle can be extended • Examples: Corn Flakes, Coca Cola
  • 26. Uses of the product life cycle concept • To forecast future behaviour of sales • To be a tool of analysis to assist in the formulation of marketing strategies • As a manipulative device to indicate when short-term measures might be used to distort the life cycle to the firms advantage • To identify deviations from the norm • To aid the analysis of the firm’s product portfolio
  • 27. A balanced portfolio • Product portfolio refers to the mix of products produced by a single firm • Undesirable to have too many products at one stage • New products involve heavy investment and mature products might only have a short life left to them • A balanced portfolio is one in which the firm has a variety of products at different stages in the life cycle
  • 28. Criticisms of the PLC concept • The shape and duration of the cycle varies • Strategic decisions can change the life cycle • It is difficult to recognise exactly where a product is in its life cycle • Length cannot be reliably predicted • Decline is not inevitable? • Assumes no reversion to earlier consumer preferences • It can become a self fulfilling prophecy
  • 29. Product life cycle of the VHS video 1976 Competing video systems launched: VHS (JVC and Victor) and Betamax (Sony) 1980s VHS-Betamax war. VHS’s longer playing time and more liberal licensing system gave it the edge 1984 Toshiba formulates plan for Digital Versatile Disc 1987 Betamax concedes defeat 1996 First film released on DVD 2003 US DVD rentals surpass VHS 2004 Hollywood studios stop releasing films on VHS
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