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Export Projections and Associated Risks Dermot Hayes Iowa State University
Overview ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Transportation costs ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Proportion of total US meat exported
 
 
Chicken heads are a delicacy
Free Trade Agreements ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
 
 
 
 
Competition with the EU ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
 
How (Asia)  is Changing US Agriculture ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
China-US Comparison
 
 
Miles of new construction outside every city
 
Agricultural Resources ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Backyard units ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],http://www.agrarhaszon.hu/galeria/image/products/1039_pigs_china.jpg
 
Other crops ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Intervention Costs for China ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Why it matters ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
China is driving US prices for some cuts
 
 
 
 
S. Korean Pork Market 1980:2024
 
 
 
 
Competitive Position with a global quota and without SPS issues ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
 
Density Density Density
 
Tons of Carcass per Sow per Year
Histogram of Expected Gross Margin per Hog in 2005:  Expected Margin over costs: $21 per Animal
Histogram of Expected Gross Margin per Hog in 2012:  Expected Margin over costs: $21 per Animal
Summary ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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