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THE NET LEASE DRUG STORE REPORT
Q3
2018
Q3 2017 Q3 2018 Basis Point
Tenant (Previous) (Current) Change
Walgreens 6.00% 6.15% +15
CVS 5.65% 5.65% 0
Rite Aid 7.25% 7.32% +7
DRUG STORE PROPERTIES
ON THE MARKET
Q3 2017 Q3 2018 Percentage
Tenant (Previous) (Current) Change
Walgreens 192 158 -17.7%
CVS 120 98 -18.3%
Rite Aid 65 58 -10.8%
DRUG STORE PROPERTIES
MEDIAN ASKING PRICE
MARKET OVERVIEW
Cap rates for the single tenant drug store sector increased by 11
basis points in the third quarter of 2018 to 6.21% over last year.
Cap rates for CVS properties remained unchanged (5.65%) while
Walgreens and Rite Aid properties experienced increases of 15
and 7 basis points to 6.15% and 7.32% respectively. The increase
in cap rates experienced by Walgreens and Rite Aid properties
can be best attributed to uncertainty surrounding Rite Aid’s long
term viability and the store closures associated with Walgreens
acquisition of approximately 1,900 Rite Aid locations.
Transaction volume in the drug store sector slowed significantly in
the first three quarters of 2018 and was down more than 40% when
compared to each individual year between 2013 and 2017. Recent
events in the drug store sector including the pending CVS and
Aetna merger, Walgreens acquisition of approximately 1,900 Rite
Aid stores and the failed merger between Rite Aid and Albertsons
caused concern for investors. The spread between asking and
closed cap rates for drug stores widened for all three tenants in
the third quarter of 2018 when compared to the prior year. This
illustrates pushback sellers are receiving for drug store valuations
from net lease investors.
The supply of drug store assets decreased in the third quarter of
2018 when compared to the prior year by more than 16%. In recent
years, the drug store sector supply increased as investors took
advantage of “blend and extend” scenarios. In a blend and extend
scenario, property owners offer the tenant an incentive in order to
increase the lease term creating an arbitrage situation. In the past
18 months, tenants became increasingly more selective of blend
and extend scenarios, causing a decrease in supply across the
drug store sector.
Transaction velocity for the remainder of 2018 in the net lease
drug store sector should remain at a similar pace to the current
year. Investors will be carefully monitoring the store closure list that
resulted from Walgreens acquisition of approximately 1,900 Rite
Aid store as well as the CVS and Aetna merger. Private and 1031
investors will continue to be the primary buyer of drug store assets.
The vast majority of transactions will consist of stores with high
quality real estate and superior store sales as investor concern
lingers surrounding the potential Amazon effect in this sector.
Median Median Price
Tenant Asking Price Per Foot
Walgreens $5,561,618 $388
CVS $5,165,000 $385
Rite Aid $3,823,022 $310
DRUG STORE PROPERTIES
MEDIAN ASKING CAP RATES
Note: Above numbers include properties with all lease lengths.
www.bouldergroup.com
THE NET LEASE DRUG STORE REPORT
Q3
2018
MEDIAN ASKING CAP RATE BY LEASE TERM REMAINING
Term Remaining Walgreens CVS Rite Aid
20+ Years 5.30% 5.30% N/A
15-19 Years 5.80% 5.70% 7.00%
10-14 Years 6.15% 6.00% 7.30%
6-9 Years 6.85% 6.60% 7.95%
5 Years & Under 7.25% 7.10% 8.50%
CAP RATE DRUG STORE TRENDS
MEDIAN NATIONAL ASKING VS.
CLOSED CAP RATE SPREAD
Tenant Closed Asking Spread (bps)
Walgreens 6.45% 6.15% +30
CVS 5.98% 5.65% +33
Rite Aid 7.72% 7.32% +40
DRUG STORE VS. RETAIL NET LEASE
MARKET CAP RATE
	
Sector
Q3 2017
(Previous)
Q3 2018
(Current
Drug Store 6.10% 6.21%
Market 6.11% 6.25%
Drug Store Premium (bps) 1 4
5.25%
5.75%
6.25%
6.75%
7.25%
7.75%
8.25%
8.75%
9.25%
9.75%
Q1 2008 Q1 2009 Q1 2010 Q1 2011 Q1 2012 Q1 2014 Q1 2018
Walgreens CVS Pharmacy Rite Aid
www.bouldergroup.com
THE NET LEASE DRUG STORE REPORT
Q3
2018
SELECTED SINGLE TENANT SALES COMPARABLES
Sale
Date Tenant City State Price
Price
Per SF
Cap
Rate
Lease Term
Remaining
Jul-18 Walgreens Chestertown MD $9,787,500 $655 5.50% 16
Aug-18 Walgreens Teaneck NJ $9,500,000 $646 5.62% 18
Sep-18 Walgreens Montgomery NY $9,333,333 $717 6.00% 17
Apr-18 CVS Hampton VA $8,525,000 $627 5.19% 22
Jun-18 Walgreens Sarasota FL $8,150,000 $475 5.86% 11
Aug-18 Walgreens Rocky Mount VA $8,037,000 $556 6.70% 17
Jul-18 Walgreens Aurora IL $7,525,000 $607 6.30% 12
Jun-18 CVS Johnston RI $7,366,100 $540 5.15% 18
Sep-18 CVS Naples FL $7,300,000 $528 6.06% 5
Aug-18 CVS St. Augustine FL $6,369,000 $494 5.77% 15
Aug-18 CVS DeKalb IL $6,348,584 $480 5.50% 20
Jul-18 Walgreens Hamden CT $6,300,000 $437 6.17% 13
Jul-18 Walgreens Lansing MI $6,250,000 $430 6.10% 12
Jun-18 Walgreens Red Bluff CA $5,760,000 $425 6.25% 11
Aug-18 Walgreens Westford MA $5,750,000 $388 8.00% 13
Aug-18 Rite Aid Suffolk VA $5,495,000 $494 6.29% 20
Jun-18 Walgreens Maineville OH $5,478,500 $370 6.21% 13
Jul-18 Walgreens Port Allen LA $5,430,000 $373 5.95% 15
Aug-18 Walgreens Machesney Park IL $5,225,000 $361 6.43% 15
Apr-18 CVS Orlando FL $4,700,000 $419 6.01% 10
Jul-18 Walgreens Franklin LA $4,450,000 $300 6.74% 20
Jul-18 Walgreens Clinton Township MI $4,320,000 $313 6.25% 12
Jun-18 Rite Aid Xenia OH $4,250,000 $292 9.28% 9
Jun-18 CVS Lake Wales FL $4,100,000 $366 6.25% 6
Jul-18 Walgreens Vero Beach FL $4,000,000 $258 6.13% 7
Oct-18 CVS Fort Pierce FL $3,560,000 $318 5.95% 19
Jul-18 Walgreens New Smyrna Beach FL $3,073,000 $228 6.25% 5
Jun-18 Rite Aid Enon OH $2,925,000 $261 8.41% 7
Aug-18 CVS Apex NC $2,889,720 $261 5.35% 20
Jun-18 CVS Kokomo IN $2,888,000 $176 8.00% 5
Jul-18 Rite Aid Griffin GA $2,000,000 $183 9.00% 2
www.bouldergroup.com
THE NET LEASE DRUG STORE REPORT
Q3
2018
© 2018. The Boulder Group. Information herein has been obtained from databases owned and maintained by The Boulder Group as well as third party sources. We have not verified the
information and we make no guarantee, warranty or representation about it. This information is provided for general illustrative purposes and not for any specific recommendation or purpose
nor under any circumstances shall any of the above information be deemed legal advice or counsel. Reliance on this information is at the risk of the reader and The Boulder Group expressly
disclaims any liability arising from the use of such information. This information is designed exclusively for use by The Boulder Group clients and cannot be reproduced, retransmitted or
distributed without the express written consent of The Boulder Group.
FOR MORE INFORMATION
John Feeney
Senior Vice President
john@bouldergroup.com Scott Harris | Senior Analyst
scott@bouldergroup.com
Jeff Weil | Analyst
jeff@bouldergroup.com
COMPANY AND LEASE OVERVIEW
CONTRIBUTORS
Randy Blankstein | President
randy@bouldergroup.com
Jimmy Goodman | Partner
jimmy@bouldergroup.com
AUTHOR
Walgreens CVS Pharmacy Rite Aid
Credit Rating: BBB BBB+ B
Market Cap: $71 billion $71 billion $1.1 billion
Revenue: $131 billion $186 billion $21.5 billion
Number of Stores: 9,560 9,800 2,548
Typical Lease Term:
20 year primary term with fifty
years of options
25 year primary term with six
5-year options
20 year primary term with six
5-year options
Typical Rent Increases: None
"None in primary 10% increases in
option preiods Increases of 10% every 10 years

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net lease drug store cap rate research report

  • 1. www.bouldergroup.com THE NET LEASE DRUG STORE REPORT Q3 2018 Q3 2017 Q3 2018 Basis Point Tenant (Previous) (Current) Change Walgreens 6.00% 6.15% +15 CVS 5.65% 5.65% 0 Rite Aid 7.25% 7.32% +7 DRUG STORE PROPERTIES ON THE MARKET Q3 2017 Q3 2018 Percentage Tenant (Previous) (Current) Change Walgreens 192 158 -17.7% CVS 120 98 -18.3% Rite Aid 65 58 -10.8% DRUG STORE PROPERTIES MEDIAN ASKING PRICE MARKET OVERVIEW Cap rates for the single tenant drug store sector increased by 11 basis points in the third quarter of 2018 to 6.21% over last year. Cap rates for CVS properties remained unchanged (5.65%) while Walgreens and Rite Aid properties experienced increases of 15 and 7 basis points to 6.15% and 7.32% respectively. The increase in cap rates experienced by Walgreens and Rite Aid properties can be best attributed to uncertainty surrounding Rite Aid’s long term viability and the store closures associated with Walgreens acquisition of approximately 1,900 Rite Aid locations. Transaction volume in the drug store sector slowed significantly in the first three quarters of 2018 and was down more than 40% when compared to each individual year between 2013 and 2017. Recent events in the drug store sector including the pending CVS and Aetna merger, Walgreens acquisition of approximately 1,900 Rite Aid stores and the failed merger between Rite Aid and Albertsons caused concern for investors. The spread between asking and closed cap rates for drug stores widened for all three tenants in the third quarter of 2018 when compared to the prior year. This illustrates pushback sellers are receiving for drug store valuations from net lease investors. The supply of drug store assets decreased in the third quarter of 2018 when compared to the prior year by more than 16%. In recent years, the drug store sector supply increased as investors took advantage of “blend and extend” scenarios. In a blend and extend scenario, property owners offer the tenant an incentive in order to increase the lease term creating an arbitrage situation. In the past 18 months, tenants became increasingly more selective of blend and extend scenarios, causing a decrease in supply across the drug store sector. Transaction velocity for the remainder of 2018 in the net lease drug store sector should remain at a similar pace to the current year. Investors will be carefully monitoring the store closure list that resulted from Walgreens acquisition of approximately 1,900 Rite Aid store as well as the CVS and Aetna merger. Private and 1031 investors will continue to be the primary buyer of drug store assets. The vast majority of transactions will consist of stores with high quality real estate and superior store sales as investor concern lingers surrounding the potential Amazon effect in this sector. Median Median Price Tenant Asking Price Per Foot Walgreens $5,561,618 $388 CVS $5,165,000 $385 Rite Aid $3,823,022 $310 DRUG STORE PROPERTIES MEDIAN ASKING CAP RATES Note: Above numbers include properties with all lease lengths.
  • 2. www.bouldergroup.com THE NET LEASE DRUG STORE REPORT Q3 2018 MEDIAN ASKING CAP RATE BY LEASE TERM REMAINING Term Remaining Walgreens CVS Rite Aid 20+ Years 5.30% 5.30% N/A 15-19 Years 5.80% 5.70% 7.00% 10-14 Years 6.15% 6.00% 7.30% 6-9 Years 6.85% 6.60% 7.95% 5 Years & Under 7.25% 7.10% 8.50% CAP RATE DRUG STORE TRENDS MEDIAN NATIONAL ASKING VS. CLOSED CAP RATE SPREAD Tenant Closed Asking Spread (bps) Walgreens 6.45% 6.15% +30 CVS 5.98% 5.65% +33 Rite Aid 7.72% 7.32% +40 DRUG STORE VS. RETAIL NET LEASE MARKET CAP RATE Sector Q3 2017 (Previous) Q3 2018 (Current Drug Store 6.10% 6.21% Market 6.11% 6.25% Drug Store Premium (bps) 1 4 5.25% 5.75% 6.25% 6.75% 7.25% 7.75% 8.25% 8.75% 9.25% 9.75% Q1 2008 Q1 2009 Q1 2010 Q1 2011 Q1 2012 Q1 2014 Q1 2018 Walgreens CVS Pharmacy Rite Aid
  • 3. www.bouldergroup.com THE NET LEASE DRUG STORE REPORT Q3 2018 SELECTED SINGLE TENANT SALES COMPARABLES Sale Date Tenant City State Price Price Per SF Cap Rate Lease Term Remaining Jul-18 Walgreens Chestertown MD $9,787,500 $655 5.50% 16 Aug-18 Walgreens Teaneck NJ $9,500,000 $646 5.62% 18 Sep-18 Walgreens Montgomery NY $9,333,333 $717 6.00% 17 Apr-18 CVS Hampton VA $8,525,000 $627 5.19% 22 Jun-18 Walgreens Sarasota FL $8,150,000 $475 5.86% 11 Aug-18 Walgreens Rocky Mount VA $8,037,000 $556 6.70% 17 Jul-18 Walgreens Aurora IL $7,525,000 $607 6.30% 12 Jun-18 CVS Johnston RI $7,366,100 $540 5.15% 18 Sep-18 CVS Naples FL $7,300,000 $528 6.06% 5 Aug-18 CVS St. Augustine FL $6,369,000 $494 5.77% 15 Aug-18 CVS DeKalb IL $6,348,584 $480 5.50% 20 Jul-18 Walgreens Hamden CT $6,300,000 $437 6.17% 13 Jul-18 Walgreens Lansing MI $6,250,000 $430 6.10% 12 Jun-18 Walgreens Red Bluff CA $5,760,000 $425 6.25% 11 Aug-18 Walgreens Westford MA $5,750,000 $388 8.00% 13 Aug-18 Rite Aid Suffolk VA $5,495,000 $494 6.29% 20 Jun-18 Walgreens Maineville OH $5,478,500 $370 6.21% 13 Jul-18 Walgreens Port Allen LA $5,430,000 $373 5.95% 15 Aug-18 Walgreens Machesney Park IL $5,225,000 $361 6.43% 15 Apr-18 CVS Orlando FL $4,700,000 $419 6.01% 10 Jul-18 Walgreens Franklin LA $4,450,000 $300 6.74% 20 Jul-18 Walgreens Clinton Township MI $4,320,000 $313 6.25% 12 Jun-18 Rite Aid Xenia OH $4,250,000 $292 9.28% 9 Jun-18 CVS Lake Wales FL $4,100,000 $366 6.25% 6 Jul-18 Walgreens Vero Beach FL $4,000,000 $258 6.13% 7 Oct-18 CVS Fort Pierce FL $3,560,000 $318 5.95% 19 Jul-18 Walgreens New Smyrna Beach FL $3,073,000 $228 6.25% 5 Jun-18 Rite Aid Enon OH $2,925,000 $261 8.41% 7 Aug-18 CVS Apex NC $2,889,720 $261 5.35% 20 Jun-18 CVS Kokomo IN $2,888,000 $176 8.00% 5 Jul-18 Rite Aid Griffin GA $2,000,000 $183 9.00% 2
  • 4. www.bouldergroup.com THE NET LEASE DRUG STORE REPORT Q3 2018 © 2018. The Boulder Group. Information herein has been obtained from databases owned and maintained by The Boulder Group as well as third party sources. We have not verified the information and we make no guarantee, warranty or representation about it. This information is provided for general illustrative purposes and not for any specific recommendation or purpose nor under any circumstances shall any of the above information be deemed legal advice or counsel. Reliance on this information is at the risk of the reader and The Boulder Group expressly disclaims any liability arising from the use of such information. This information is designed exclusively for use by The Boulder Group clients and cannot be reproduced, retransmitted or distributed without the express written consent of The Boulder Group. FOR MORE INFORMATION John Feeney Senior Vice President john@bouldergroup.com Scott Harris | Senior Analyst scott@bouldergroup.com Jeff Weil | Analyst jeff@bouldergroup.com COMPANY AND LEASE OVERVIEW CONTRIBUTORS Randy Blankstein | President randy@bouldergroup.com Jimmy Goodman | Partner jimmy@bouldergroup.com AUTHOR Walgreens CVS Pharmacy Rite Aid Credit Rating: BBB BBB+ B Market Cap: $71 billion $71 billion $1.1 billion Revenue: $131 billion $186 billion $21.5 billion Number of Stores: 9,560 9,800 2,548 Typical Lease Term: 20 year primary term with fifty years of options 25 year primary term with six 5-year options 20 year primary term with six 5-year options Typical Rent Increases: None "None in primary 10% increases in option preiods Increases of 10% every 10 years