2. Invite to TWDB Webinar on
Model or Questions
• Jennifer J. Walker, P.E., D.WRE, CFM
o President, Watearth, Inc.
o jwalker@watearth.com
o 832.444.0663
o www.watearth.com
3. Project Team
• Texas Water Development Board
o John Sutton
• Watearth, Inc. – Prime
o Jennifer J. Walker, P.E., D.WRE, CFM
• NewGen Strategies & Solutions, LLC
(Formerly J. Stowe & Co.)
o Chris Ekrut
• RPS Espey
o Michael Pinckey, P.E.
4.
5. 0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Avg.MonthlyPrecipitation(in)
Month
Average Monthly Precipitation in Texas Cities
Austin
Dallas-Ft Worth
El Paso
Houston
San Antonio
10. TWDB Water Conservation
BMPs Modeling Tool
• Water Conservation Benefits of
BMP Implementation by Customer
Class
• 32 BMPs in Model
• Analyze 1 or Multiple BMPs
• Cost-Benefit Analysis
• Avoided Costs for
Water/Wastewater Facilities
11. TWDB Water Conservation
BMPs Modeling Tool
• Indoor Fixtures – SF, MF
• Surveys – SF, MF, and ICI
• Outdoor BMPs
o Irrigation Nozzles and Controllers
o Irrigation Efficiency Evaluations
o Landscape Water Budgets
o Water Efficient Landscape Design
12.
13.
14.
15. Instructions
Overview
The INPUT DATA and BMP DATA worksheets are required to obtain water savings and results are
computed/reported on the WATER SAVINGS and RESULTS worksheets. Sewer savings are also
computed/reported on the SEWER SAVINGS worksheet; however, these results are used only in the
optional economics avoided costs calculations. If cost-benefit or avoided cost calculations are desired,
the optional ECONOMICS INPUT worksheet must be completed. Results are computed/reported on
the COST-BENEFIT and ECONOMICS SUMMARY worksheets.
Unless
labeled otherwise, all units are in gallons format (gal) or gallons per day (gpd). To facilitate Annual
Reporting, results are also reported in gallons per capita per day (gpcd).
Data entry is required in white-shaded cells. Yellow-shaded cells may be revised; however, default
data may be used if desired. Read instructions below on individual worksheets before revising cells
without white or yellow-shading. Note that other cells are locked for editing and a password is
required (TWDB-BMPS). Do not modify formulas contained in these worksheets. Consult the TWDB
Water Conservation BMP Model User's Guide for details on required data vs. optional data and
additional data sources if local data is not available.
This model does not account for required water efficiency improvements due to plumbing code. This
model is focused on utility savings and benefits and does not calculate participant (i.e., customer) costs
and benefits.
16. Year to Denominate Costs (Dollar Year) 2013
Base Year to Start Calculations 2013
POPULATION DATA by Year 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060
Historical and Projected Population 1,631,766 1,953,631 2,100,263 2,362,637 2,622,574 2,880,297 3,139,222 3,398,877
Population Growth Rate (%/yr) 1.97% 0.75% 1.25% 1.10% 0.98% 0.90% 0.83%
Persons per Household (SF) 2.20
Persons per Household (MF) 2.20
Input Data
Values in white cells should be entered by the user.
Values in yellow cells are default values or reported from other spread sheets in this file. You can change these values, but we strongly suggest that users not change these.
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
4,000,000
1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070
Population
Year
Historical and Projected Population
Population
17. Input Data
• Population and Projections
• Year for Economic Calculations
• User Classes – Amount and #
Accounts
• Projected Demands
18. BMP Data
BMP Data
# of Program Program 1-Year
Installations Start Duration Savings
BMP Name (Items Included in BMP, User Class) per yr yr (yrs) (gpd) Water Savings/Unit
Education and Public Awareness
Education (Educational Outreach, SF) 100 2013 5 95 0.50% gpd/account
Education (Educational Outreach, MF) 100 2013 5 2,341 0.50% gpd/account
Rebates, Retrofits, & Incentives - Indoor Fixtures
Non-Residential Water Use Surveys (Varies, Industrial) 100 2013 5 113370.5688 1,133.71 gpd/account
Non-Residential Water Use Surveys (Varies, Commercial) 100 2013 5 113370.5688 1,133.71 gpd/account
Non-Residential Water Use Surveys (Varies, Institutional) 100 2013 5 113370.5688 1,133.71 gpd/account
Residential Toilet Replacement Programs (ULFT) (All Toilets in Household Replaced, SF) 100 2013 5 2001.45 12.13 gpcd
Residential Toilet Replacement Programs (ULFT) (All Toilets in Household Replaced, MF) 100 2013 5 2001.45 12.13 gpcd
Residential HE Washer (1 Washer Replacement, SF) 100 2013 5 1277.1 6.45 gpcd
Residential HE Washer (1 Washer Replacement in Unit, MF) 100 2013 5 1277.1 6.45 gpcd
Showerhead and Aerator Retrofit (1 Showerhead and Aerators, SF) 100 2013 5 550 5.50 gpd
Toilet Flapper Retrofit (1 Toilet Flapper Retrofit, SF) 100 2013 5 1280 12.80 gpd
Showerhead and Aerator Retrofit (1 Showerhead and Aerators, MF) 100 2013 5 550 5.50 gpd
Toilet Flapper Retrofit (1 Toilet Flapper Retrofit, MF) 100 2013 5 1,280 12.80 gpd
Rebates, Retrofits, & Incentives - Outdoor
Water Efficient Landscape Design (Turf Grass Replacement, SF) 100 2013 5 770 3.50 gpcd
Conservation Analysis
Residential Water Use Surveys - Showerhead/Aerator Replacements (1 Showerhead and Aerator Replacement, SF) 100 2013 5 550 5.50 gpd/device
Residential Water Use Surveys - Irrigation Audit (Irrigation Audit, SF) 100 2013 5 2600 26.00 gpd/household
Residential Water Use Surveys - Showerhead/Aerator Replacements (1 Showerhead and Aerator Replacement, MF) 100 2013 5 550 5.50 gpd/device
Residential Water Use Surveys - Irrigation Audit (Irrigation Audit, MF) 100 2013 5 20800 208.00 gpd/household
Values in white cells should be entered by the user.
Values in yellow cells are default values or reported from other spread sheets in this file. You can change these values, but we strongly suggest that users not change these values.
19. BMP Data
• # Installations/Year
• Start Year
• Duration of Program
23. Economics
Economics Input
See ASSUMPTIONS worksheet for details on footnoted data sources for default economics values.
Item Rates
Discount Rate
1
5.48% Current Supply Capacity (MGD) 270.00
Inflation Rates
General2
3.07% Opinion of Year of Incremental Capacity O&M Cost as
Electricity 2.00% Priority Project Description Probable Cost Estimate Supplied (MGD) a % of Capital5
Chemicals
3
2.33% 1 Water Supply Project No. 1 2,000,000 2013 2.00 1.5%
Other Variable O&M 1.50% 2 Water Supply Project No. 2 2,500,000 2013 3.00 1.5%
Variable Wholesale Cost 1.75% 3 Water Supply Project No. 3 3,000,000 2013 4.00 1.5%
Groundwater Production Cost 2.50% 4 Water Supply Project No. 4 3,500,000 2013 5.00 1.5%
Capital Cost
4
3.19% 5 Water Supply Project No. 5 4,000,000 2013 6.00 1.5%
6 Water Supply Project No. 6 4,500,000 2013 7.00 1.5%
7 Water Supply Project No. 7 5,000,000 2013 8.00 1.5%
VARIABLE COSTS 8 Water Supply Project No. 8 5,500,000 2013 9.00 1.5%
9 Water Supply Project No. 9 6,000,000 2013 10.00 1.5%
Wholesale Water Supply (Cost per 1,000 gallons) 10 Water Supply Project No. 10 6,500,000 2013 11.00 1.5%
Fixed 2.00$
Variable 0.50
Total 2.50$
Groundwater Production Fees (per 1,000 gallons) 1.00$
Values in white cells should be entered by the user.
Values in yellow cells are default values or reported from other spread sheets in this file. You can change these values, but we strongly suggest that users not change these values .
24. Economic Calculations
• Economic calculations are optional and
not essential to overall model function
• Examples presented herein are samples
based on placeholder data and are not
reflective of a particular program or
experience
• The model’s quantitative results are
useful for decision-making, but other
non-economic qualitative factors may
direct ultimate course of action
25. Economic Calculations
• Model produces two key metrics
o Benefit-Cost Ratio (“BCR”)
― Designed to quantify economic efficiency of
BMPs
― Assists decision makers in program
implementation to achieve the “biggest bang
for your buck”
o Lost Water and Wastewater Revenue
― Reduced water use = less revenue
26. Benefit-Cost Ratio (BCR)
• Compares cost of implementation with
benefits of program
BCR > 1 = Benefits outweigh cost
(Economically Viable Alternative)
BCR < 1 = Costs outweigh benefits
(Not Economically Viable)
• BCR value can assist in ranking and making
decisions based on economic efficiency
However qualitative benefits may override
quantitative results
• Calculated in Real Dollars and Present Value
27. Benefits Considered
• Avoided Variable
Costs
― Wholesale Water Supply
(Variable Portion)
― Groundwater Production
Fees
― Variable Water Operations
and Maintenance (“O&M”)
― Wholesale Wastewater
Treatment (Variable Portion)
― Variable Wastewater O&M
• Costs adjusted annually
for inflationary impact
28. Benefits Considered
• Delayed Capital Investment and O&M
― Model allows for input of future water supply projects
including cost and capacity
― Using inputs as a baseline, model calculates annual
capital and O&M costs with and without
Conservation impact
― Calculations are then compared and variances due
to delayed investment are considered a benefit of
the program
• Model currently only considers benefits in
delayed water investment – future updates
could consider wastewater investment
29. Costs Considered
• Cost of BMP Implementation
― Direct Labor and Materials
― Indirect Administration and Overhead –
Includes Program Marketing and Outreach
― Cost of Customer Rebates
30. Sample BCR Result
BMP not economically
viable, Costs outweigh
Benefits
BMP is economically viable,
Benefits outweigh Costs
Higher BCR indicates
greater economic viability
31. Lost Revenue Calculations
• Model calculates reduction in water and
wastewater volumes
• Annual reductions are then multiplied by the
current effective rate for water and
wastewater service to determine lost revenue
o No adjustment made at this time for future rate increases
• Does not reflect fixed or variable cost
reductions at this time
o As cost reductions occur, needed revenue will decrease
o Future updates could consider revenue loss on a net basis
32. Sample Lost Revenue
Calculation
• Program will result in
estimated lost revenue
of over $37,000
• Utility’s variable costs
will be decreased by
approximately $12,000
• Rates will need to be
increased/fixed costs
decreased by $25,000
to account for the
utility’s remaining,
unrecovered fixed cost
33. Decision Support / Impact Planning
• Primary benefit of economic quantification
is decision support and assessment of
program impact
Overall Program is
economically viable
Assuming no reduction in
current Fixed Costs, revenue
impact of conservation is
significant
“It‟s tough to tell the consumer that „Yeah, well, you guys did a great job out there
conserving water, but lo and behold, we got hurt financially, so we‟ve got to raise your
rates,‟”
– Jim Dockery, Asst. CM, Wichita Falls – Texas Tribune; February 10, 2014
35. Beta Testing
• Thank-you to Jennifer Nations with
the City of College Station and
Jessica Woods with the City of
Round Rock.
36. Acknowledgements
• Austin Water – Mark Jordan
• College Station – Jennifer Nations
• Dallas Water – Carol Davis and Dr. Nguyen
• El Paso - Anai Padilla
• Fort Worth - Mary Gugliuzza and Micah Reed
• Houston – Carol Haddock, P.E.
• Round Rock – Jessica Woods
• San Antonio Water System (SAWS) – Karen Guz & staff
• San Marcos – Jan Klein
• San Angelo – Toni Fox
37. Future Improvements
• Improved results as additional
research is performed and better
data becomes available
• Additional BMPs
• Customer cost-benefit analysis
47. Future Improvements
• It is our hope that statewide use of
the model leads to future
expansions and improvements to
the model by users and the TWDB.
48. Final Thoughts
• Water Conservation Important Role
• Knowledge of BMP Performance
Continues to Evolve
• Integrating Water Conservation +
Stormwater Increases Benefits
49. Invite to TWDB Webinar
on Model or Questions
• Jennifer J. Walker, P.E., D.WRE, CFM
o President, Watearth, Inc.
o jwalker@watearth.com
o 832.444.0663
o www.watearth.com