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FUTURE DISRUPTION & DRONES
BVLOS, LTE & UTM
DR TERRY MARTIN
NOVA SYSTEMS
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Introduction
Who Am I:Where I am from
• Former military engineering Officer/consultant
• Heron/Shadow engineering work
• Applied Research Lead Nova Systems
• Industry Co-Chair Australian UAV Standards Committee
• Associate ProfessorTerry Martin (Adjunct) at Queensland
University ofTechnology
Queensland
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Introduction
• Flying Sensor:
• Surveillance, News Media, Real Estate
• Inspection: critical infrastructure, eg cell towers, powerlines, bridges, oil and gas etc
• Agricultural: Crop Inspections, Livestock and pest tracking
• Delivery:
• PackageTransport, medicines andVaccines, emergency equipment
• Agriculture: automated planting
• People: OPV/MUM-T
• Entertainment: Drone Racing
• Public Safety:
• SAR, Police, Fire,
*Support Services
• Regulation, Risk and Safety, Insurance
Consumer Applications
Copyright: Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Emerging Technologies
&
Game Changers
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Introduction
MUMT & OPV
BVLOS or VLOS
Placing Cheaper RPAS in Harms Way
Or
Deliver Function more cheaply
EW: Standoff
Jamming
Unmanned CASEVAC
Expanded ISR Footprint
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Introduction
Laser Guided Rockets on UAVs
• DAGR is 2.75 inch diameter module that
incorporates Hellfire Technology
• Weighs 4 kg
• DAGR has been fitted to US Shadow
• When designated by Apache, DAGR is capable of
hitting truck travelling 40 km/hr from 5 km away
• Scope for stand off designation:
• Significant Increase in FirePower &
Reconnaissance
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
UAV Game Changers
Black Saturday Bushfires
Apache like
Platform
Water Delivery
RPAS
Water Delivery
RPAS
Long Loiter
Surveillance
Short Loiter
Surveillance
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Introduction
Swarms
1. J. Arquilla, D. Ronfeldt,
RAND: “Swarming & the future
Conflict”.
Robotics and the Battlefield
Centre for New America
Military Swarming Design Elements
• Many Small, dispersed maneuver
units
• Integrated Surveillaance, sensors
• Sustainable pulsing of force and fire
• Stealthy ubiquity: no front
• Amorphous strike from all directions
NOVA SYSTEMS
Processing
Centers/
Eagle Vision
Shared
Situational
Awareness
Distributive,
Collaborative
Planning
• Full Motion Video (FMV)
• Imagery/Still Photography
• Image/Video Exploitation
•Location Information
•Weather
Processing, Exploitation, Dissemination
NOVA SYSTEMS
Processing
Centers/
Eagle Vision
Shared
Situational
Awareness
Distributive,
Collaborative
Planning
• Full Motion Video (FMV)
• Imagery/Still Photography
• Image/Video Exploitation
•Location Information
•Weather
Processing, Exploitation, Dissemination
Will Australia be building
these products or just be
consumers ?
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Introduction
•Innovation, Automation, Disruption & Jobs
•Key Safety Enablers: DAA and CNPC
•UAV Game Changers
• UTM
•Network Connectivity
• CNPC,
•LTE
• Google/Facebook
• MANET, FANET
Presentation Overview
NOVA SYSTEMS
Innovation,Automation& Jobs
NOVA SYSTEMS
Source: http://knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/article/the-robots-are-coming-to-take-your-job/
NYT Best Seller:
• Increased impact of automation
NOVA SYSTEMS
Source: http://knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/article/the-robots-are-coming-to-take-your-job/
NYT Best Seller:
• Increased impact of automation
”Smokestack & Manufacturing Economies”
Being overtaken by those focused on
”Consumption, Services and HighValue
Technologies”
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Osborne & Frey, Citigroup
Studies by : Carl Frey & Michael Osborne, then Citigroup
• Advances in AI, Robotics, Data Mining, Machine Learning,
Computational Statistics are placing more jobs at Risk of being
Automated. High risk for
• United States - 47% of workers
• China - 77% of workers
• India - 69% of workers
• Automation may change the trend of offshoring to low cost regions
• Emerging Markets need to diversify to move up the value chain
• Less low end manufacturing, more innovative technology
development
High Risk of Jobs being Replaced by Automation
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Computerisation & Jobs Market
Next Decades
Source: Frey, Carl Benedikt and Michael Osborne. September 17, 2013. The Future of Employment: How
Susceptible are Jobs to Computerisation? University of Oxford
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Computerisation & Jobs Market
Next Decades
Management
Engineering/
Science
Education, Law,
Arts, Media
Healthcare
Source: Frey, Carl Benedikt and Michael Osborne. September 17, 2013. The Future of Employment: How
Susceptible are Jobs to Computerisation? University of Oxford
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Computerisation & Jobs Market
Next Decades
Management
Engineering/
Science
Education, Law,
Arts, Media
Healthcare
Installation,
Maintenance
Source: Frey, Carl Benedikt and Michael Osborne. September 17, 2013. The Future of Employment: How
Susceptible are Jobs to Computerisation? University of Oxford
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Computerisation & Jobs Market
Next Decades
Management
Engineering/
Science
Education, Law,
Arts, Media
Healthcare
Service
Sales
Office and
admin.
support
Installation,
Maintenance
Source: Frey, Carl Benedikt and Michael Osborne. September 17, 2013. The Future of Employment: How
Susceptible are Jobs to Computerisation? University of Oxford
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Computerisation & Jobs Market
Next Decades
Management
Engineering/
Science
Education, Law,
Arts, Media
Healthcare
Service
Sales
Office and
admin.
support
Transportation
Installation,
Maintenance
Source: Frey, Carl Benedikt and Michael Osborne. September 17, 2013. The Future of Employment: How
Susceptible are Jobs to Computerisation? University of Oxford
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Disruption, Automation and Innovation
Percentage of Jobs at High Risk of Automation
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Disruption, Automation and Innovation
Percentage of Jobs at High Risk of Automation
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Least at Risk
• Technically Dynamic, Knowledge Centres
• Diversified & skill intensive Workforces
• Professional Services
• Creative Industries
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Disruption, Automation and Innovation
Percentage of Jobs at High Risk of Automation
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Least at Risk
• Technically Dynamic, Knowledge Centres
• Diversified & skill intensive Workforces
• Professional Services
• Creative Industries
Most at Risk
• Manufacturing
• Banking
• Gaming, Low Level white & Blue collar
NOVA SYSTEMS
”It’s not competition which counts, but competition from the new commodity, new
technology, new source of supply, new type of organisation - competition which
commands a decisive cost or quality advantage and which strikes not at the profit
margins and outputs of the existing firms but at their very foundations”: Joseph Schumpeter
Disruption
NOVA SYSTEMS
”It’s not competition which counts, but competition from the new commodity, new
technology, new source of supply, new type of organisation - competition which
commands a decisive cost or quality advantage and which strikes not at the profit
margins and outputs of the existing firms but at their very foundations”: Joseph Schumpeter
Disruption
NOVA SYSTEMS
”It’s not competition which counts, but competition from the new commodity, new
technology, new source of supply, new type of organisation - competition which
commands a decisive cost or quality advantage and which strikes not at the profit
margins and outputs of the existing firms but at their very foundations”: Joseph Schumpeter
Disruption
NOVA SYSTEMS
”It’s not competition which counts, but competition from the new commodity, new
technology, new source of supply, new type of organisation - competition which
commands a decisive cost or quality advantage and which strikes not at the profit
margins and outputs of the existing firms but at their very foundations”: Joseph Schumpeter
Disruption
NOVA SYSTEMS
”It’s not competition which counts, but competition from the new commodity, new
technology, new source of supply, new type of organisation - competition which
commands a decisive cost or quality advantage and which strikes not at the profit
margins and outputs of the existing firms but at their very foundations”: Joseph Schumpeter
Disruption
NOVA SYSTEMS
”It’s not competition which counts, but competition from the new commodity, new
technology, new source of supply, new type of organisation - competition which
commands a decisive cost or quality advantage and which strikes not at the profit
margins and outputs of the existing firms but at their very foundations”: Joseph Schumpeter
Disruption
NOVA SYSTEMS
”It’s not competition which counts, but competition from the new commodity, new
technology, new source of supply, new type of organisation - competition which
commands a decisive cost or quality advantage and which strikes not at the profit
margins and outputs of the existing firms but at their very foundations”: Joseph Schumpeter
Disruption
NOVA SYSTEMS
”It’s not competition which counts, but competition from the new commodity, new
technology, new source of supply, new type of organisation - competition which
commands a decisive cost or quality advantage and which strikes not at the profit
margins and outputs of the existing firms but at their very foundations”: Joseph Schumpeter
Disruption
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Which Businesses Creates Jobs?
Kauffman foundation
• “Existing firms actually lose a million more jobs, per year, then they create.”
• Over last 25 years, almost all private sector jobs are created by businesses less than 5 years old
• Between 1988 & 2011, companies more than 5 years old, DESTROYED more jobs than they create
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Which Businesses Creates Jobs?
Kauffman foundation
• “Existing firms actually lose a million more jobs, per year, then they create.”
• Over last 25 years, almost all private sector jobs are created by businesses less than 5 years old
• Between 1988 & 2011, companies more than 5 years old, DESTROYED more jobs than they create
US Bureau of Economic Research
• “The younger companies are, the more jobs they create, regardless of size”
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Which Businesses Creates Jobs?
Kauffman foundation
• “Existing firms actually lose a million more jobs, per year, then they create.”
• Over last 25 years, almost all private sector jobs are created by businesses less than 5 years old
• Between 1988 & 2011, companies more than 5 years old, DESTROYED more jobs than they create
US Bureau of Economic Research
• “The younger companies are, the more jobs they create, regardless of size”
Washington Post
• “Once large enough, firms start hunting overseas for cheaper labour options”,
• “Small companies produce 16 time more patents per worker than large firms”, and this is typically
associated with an infusion of jobs creation,
• Level of jobs creation linked to level of R&D, and collaboration
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Ageing Corporations
United States
89%
11%
US Market Capitilisation by Company
Age 2005
Over 85 Years
Old
Microsoft
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Ageing Corporations
United States
89%
11%
US Market Capitilisation by Company
Age 2005
Over 85 Years
Old
Microsoft
18%
14%
11%
8%8%
41%
US Market Capitalisation by Company
Age 2015
Apple
Google
Microsoft
Amazon
Facebook
Over 50 Years Old
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
11%
7%
6%
76%
AUS Market Capitalisation by
Company Age 2005
Westpac
Westfield
Over 80 Years
Old
Aging Corporations
Australia
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
11%
7%
6%
76%
AUS Market Capitalisation by
Company Age 2005
Westpac
Westfield
Over 80 Years
Old
Aging Corporations
Australia
8%
92%
AUS Market Capitalisation by
Company Age 2015
Telstra
Over 85
Years Old
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
11%
7%
6%
76%
AUS Market Capitalisation by
Company Age 2005
Westpac
Westfield
Over 80 Years
Old
Aging Corporations
Australia
8%
92%
AUS Market Capitalisation by
Company Age 2015
Telstra
Over 85
Years Old
Dominated by
Banks, Commodities & Chain Supermarkets
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Our Banking & Real Estate Sector
Australia's banking sector has a high reliance on overseas funding.
• Underpins the funding for our real estate market
Our 1 trillion foreign debt
• twice the size of our income from exports, dividends and royalties
• This ratio more than any other country except Greece & US
• Oz is spending 5.6% of its foreign income meeting interest payments, more than any
other advanced country aside from Spain and at similar levels to Mexico
• Credit ratings agency considering lowering Australia's rating fromAAA
• Concern that if global financial market lose confidence in Australia, it will be difficult
for government and banks to refinance Debt
• Politicians seem to be ignoring the deficit (Ken Henry. 24 Sep 2016)
The Australian Newspaper 12 May 2016
NOVA SYSTEMS
City State % Jobs at
Risk
Kurri Kurri NSW 58.6
Murray Bridge SA 57.3
Cessnock NSW 57.1
Melton VIC 56.8
Muswellbrook NSW 56.4
Warwick QLD 56.4
Port Pirie SA 55.3%
Griffith QLD 55.3
Colac VIC 54.9
Moe-Newborough VIC 54.7
SOURCE: Bernard Salt, KPMG
Disruption, Automation and Innovation
Jobs at High Risk: Australia
NOVA SYSTEMS
The GOOD
NOVA SYSTEMS
The BADThe GOOD
NOVA SYSTEMS
The BADThe GOOD
There will be
WINNERS
&
LOSERS
NOVA SYSTEMS
The BADThe GOOD
Companies
&
Cities
&
Nations
There will be
WINNERS
&
LOSERS
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Supporting Innovation
Ingredients of supportive business ecosystem for innovation & job creation[1]:
• A pro-entrepreneurship culture
• Guidance from experienced entrepreneurs
• A supportive Regulatory Environment
• A collaborative Business Culture
• Visible Successes & Role Models
• RiskTolerance
• Available Capital
• Technical Skills
Key Ingredients for Innovation & Startups
[1] Startup AUS Crossroads 2015: http://startupaus.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/04/Crossroads-2015.pdf
NOVA SYSTEMS
WHYTHEDELAY?
Safety
&
Trade-offs
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Where are we as a Nation?
For most part, UAV Operations in Australia are
constrained to:
• DayVMC,VLOS,
• Below 400 ft,
• Not within 3NM of an aerodrome
Currently Permissible Operations
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Where are we as a Nation?
For most part, UAV Operations in Australia are
constrained to:
• DayVMC,VLOS,
• Below 400 ft,
• Not within 3NM of an aerodrome
Currently Permissible Operations
Essentially, the
platform isVISUALLY
TETHERED.
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Where are we as a Nation?
For most part, UAV Operations in Australia are
constrained to:
• DayVMC,VLOS,
• Below 400 ft,
• Not within 3NM of an aerodrome
Currently Permissible Operations
Essentially, the
platform isVISUALLY
TETHERED.Considerable portion of identified UAV potential lies in
Remote Sensing i.e BVLOS and BRLOS
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Where are we as a Nation?
For most part, UAV Operations in Australia are
constrained to:
• DayVMC,VLOS,
• Below 400 ft,
• Not within 3NM of an aerodrome
Currently Permissible Operations
Essentially, the
platform isVISUALLY
TETHERED.Considerable portion of identified UAV potential lies in
Remote Sensing i.e BVLOS and BRLOS
No nation has yet produced a complete framework to
support safe unsegregated BVLOS
Significant economic benefit for “first moving” nation!
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
So what is the Problem?
RPAS regulation focused on minimising the following key risks:
1. Risk of airborne collision, and the coinciding risk to people &
property
2. Risk to people and infrastructure on the ground,
Challenge is to isolate the risk difference betweenCPA & RPAS
The Key Risks
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
AcceptablySafe is defined by
the SafetyTargets- See
Argument 1. Airworthiness
High Level Safety Argument
Assumptions
stated
Applicable for
intended
Operational
Environment
So What’s the Problem?
Safety & Trade-Offs : Airworthiness
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
AcceptablySafe is defined by
the SafetyTargets- See
Argument 1. Airworthiness
High Level Safety Argument
Argument 2
System
designed to be
acceptably safe
Argument 1
System has
been specified
to acceptably
safe.
Assumptions
stated
Applicable for
intended
Operational
Environment
So What’s the Problem?
Safety & Trade-Offs : Airworthiness
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
AcceptablySafe is defined by
the SafetyTargets- See
Argument 1. Airworthiness
High Level Safety Argument
Argument 2
System
designed to be
acceptably safe
Argument 3
System
constructed
and
implemented
completely and
correctly
Argument 1
System has
been specified
to acceptably
safe.
Assumptions
stated
Applicable for
intended
Operational
Environment
So What’s the Problem?
Safety & Trade-Offs : Airworthiness
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
AcceptablySafe is defined by
the SafetyTargets- See
Argument 1.
Argument 4
System
transitioned
into services in
acceptably safe
manner
Airworthiness
High Level Safety Argument
Argument 2
System
designed to be
acceptably safe
Argument 3
System
constructed
and
implemented
completely and
correctly
Argument 1
System has
been specified
to acceptably
safe.
Assumptions
stated
Applicable for
intended
Operational
Environment
So What’s the Problem?
Safety & Trade-Offs : Airworthiness
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
AcceptablySafe is defined by
the SafetyTargets- See
Argument 1.
Argument 4
System
transitioned
into services in
acceptably safe
manner
Argument 5
System shown
to be operated
acceptably
safely
Airworthiness
High Level Safety Argument
Argument 2
System
designed to be
acceptably safe
Argument 3
System
constructed
and
implemented
completely and
correctly
Argument 1
System has
been specified
to acceptably
safe.
Assumptions
stated
Applicable for
intended
Operational
Environment
So What’s the Problem?
Safety & Trade-Offs : Airworthiness
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
AcceptablySafe is defined by
the SafetyTargets- See
Argument 1.
Argument 4
System
transitioned
into services in
acceptably safe
manner
Argument 5
System shown
to be operated
acceptably
safely
Argument 6
System
maintained
and sustained
acceptably
safely
Airworthiness
High Level Safety Argument
Argument 2
System
designed to be
acceptably safe
Argument 3
System
constructed
and
implemented
completely and
correctly
Argument 1
System has
been specified
to acceptably
safe.
Assumptions
stated
Applicable for
intended
Operational
Environment
So What’s the Problem?
Safety & Trade-Offs : Airworthiness
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
AcceptablySafe is defined by
the SafetyTargets- See
Argument 1.
Argument 4
System
transitioned
into services in
acceptably safe
manner
Argument 5
System shown
to be operated
acceptably
safely
Argument 6
System
maintained
and sustained
acceptably
safely
Airworthiness
High Level Safety Argument
Argument 2
System
designed to be
acceptably safe
Personnel are appropriately trained to conduct and verify activities which underpin the safety argument
Argument 3
System
constructed
and
implemented
completely and
correctly
Argument 1
System has
been specified
to acceptably
safe.
Assumptions
stated
Applicable for
intended
Operational
Environment
So What’s the Problem?
Safety & Trade-Offs : Airworthiness
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
AcceptablySafe is defined by
the SafetyTargets- See
Argument 1.
Argument 4
System
transitioned
into services in
acceptably safe
manner
Argument 5
System shown
to be operated
acceptably
safely
Argument 6
System
maintained
and sustained
acceptably
safely
Airworthiness
High Level Safety Argument
Argument 2
System
designed to be
acceptably safe
Personnel are appropriately trained to conduct and verify activities which underpin the safety argument
Argument 3
System
constructed
and
implemented
completely and
correctly
Argument 1
System has
been specified
to acceptably
safe.
Assumptions
stated
Applicable for
intended
Operational
Environment
Verification of Evidence that SafetyTargets are met, with plans for
ongoing monitoring
ACCEPTABLE EVIDENCE
So What’s the Problem?
Safety & Trade-Offs : Airworthiness
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
AcceptablySafe is defined by
the SafetyTargets- See
Argument 1.
Argument 4
System
transitioned
into services in
acceptably safe
manner
Argument 5
System shown
to be operated
acceptably
safely
Argument 6
System
maintained
and sustained
acceptably
safely
Airworthiness
High Level Safety Argument
Argument 2
System
designed to be
acceptably safe
Personnel are appropriately trained to conduct and verify activities which underpin the safety argument
Argument 3
System
constructed
and
implemented
completely and
correctly
Argument 1
System has
been specified
to acceptably
safe.
Assumptions
stated
Applicable for
intended
Operational
Environment
Verification of Evidence that SafetyTargets are met, with plans for
ongoing monitoring
ACCEPTABLE EVIDENCE
So What’s the Problem?
Airworthiness & The Safety Argument?
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
AcceptablySafe is defined by
the SafetyTargets- See
Argument 1.
Argument 4
System
transitioned
into services in
acceptably safe
manner
Argument 5
System shown
to be operated
acceptably
safely
Argument 6
System
maintained
and sustained
acceptably
safely
Airworthiness
High Level Safety Argument
Argument 2
System
designed to be
acceptably safe
Personnel are appropriately trained to conduct and verify activities which underpin the safety argument
Argument 3
System
constructed
and
implemented
completely and
correctly
Argument 1
System has
been specified
to acceptably
safe.
Assumptions
stated
Applicable for
intended
Operational
Environment
Verification of Evidence that SafetyTargets are met, with plans for
ongoing monitoring
ACCEPTABLE EVIDENCE
So What’s the Problem?
TIME & $$$$$$$$$
Airworthiness & The Safety Argument?
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
AcceptablySafe is defined by
the SafetyTargets- See
Argument 1.
Argument 4
System
transitioned
into services in
acceptably safe
manner
Argument 5
System shown
to be operated
acceptably
safely
Argument 6
System
maintained
and sustained
acceptably
safely
Airworthiness
High Level Safety Argument
Argument 2
System
designed to be
acceptably safe
Personnel are appropriately trained to conduct and verify activities which underpin the safety argument
Argument 3
System
constructed
and
implemented
completely and
correctly
Argument 1
System has
been specified
to acceptably
safe.
Assumptions
stated
Applicable for
intended
Operational
Environment
Verification of Evidence that SafetyTargets are met, with plans for
ongoing monitoring
ACCEPTABLE EVIDENCE
So What’s the Problem?
Airworthiness and the Safety Argument
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
AcceptablySafe is defined by
the SafetyTargets- See
Argument 1.
Argument 4
System
transitioned
into services in
acceptably safe
manner
Argument 5
System shown
to be operated
acceptably
safely
Argument 6
System
maintained
and sustained
acceptably
safely
Airworthiness
High Level Safety Argument
Argument 2
System
designed to be
acceptably safe
Personnel are appropriately trained to conduct and verify activities which underpin the safety argument
Argument 3
System
constructed
and
implemented
completely and
correctly
Argument 1
System has
been specified
to acceptably
safe.
Assumptions
stated
Applicable for
intended
Operational
Environment
Verification of Evidence that SafetyTargets are met, with plans for
ongoing monitoring
ACCEPTABLE EVIDENCE
So What’s the Problem?
Airworthiness and the Safety Argument
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
AcceptablySafe is defined by
the SafetyTargets- See
Argument 1.
Argument 4
System
transitioned
into services in
acceptably safe
manner
Argument 5
System shown
to be operated
acceptably
safely
Argument 6
System
maintained
and sustained
acceptably
safely
Airworthiness
High Level Safety Argument
Argument 2
System
designed to be
acceptably safe
Personnel are appropriately trained to conduct and verify activities which underpin the safety argument
Argument 3
System
constructed
and
implemented
completely and
correctly
Argument 1
System has
been specified
to acceptably
safe.
Assumptions
stated
Applicable for
intended
Operational
Environment
Verification of Evidence that SafetyTargets are met, with plans for
ongoing monitoring
ACCEPTABLE EVIDENCE
So What’s the Problem?
Airworthiness and the Safety Argument
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
AcceptablySafe is defined by
the SafetyTargets- See
Argument 1.
Argument 4
System
transitioned
into services in
acceptably safe
manner
Argument 5
System shown
to be operated
acceptably
safely
Argument 6
System
maintained
and sustained
acceptably
safely
Airworthiness
High Level Safety Argument
Argument 2
System
designed to be
acceptably safe
Personnel are appropriately trained to conduct and verify activities which underpin the safety argument
Argument 3
System
constructed
and
implemented
completely and
correctly
Argument 1
System has
been specified
to acceptably
safe.
Assumptions
stated
Applicable for
intended
Operational
Environment
Verification of Evidence that SafetyTargets are met, with plans for
ongoing monitoring
ACCEPTABLE EVIDENCE
So What’s the Problem?
Airworthiness and the Safety Argument
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Operational
Flexibility
Platform
Technical
Integrity
Equipage
So What’s the Problem?
Safe But Proportionate
Operator
Competence
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
The Need for a Strategic Roadmap
Goals
Milestones
Gaps & Barriers
Task List
Priorities,Timelines, People
Europe: Copying their Homework
Operational & Technology gaps:
1. Integration into ATM & Airspace
environments
2. Surface operations incl. take-off & landing
3. Operational contingency procedures &
systems
4. Detect & Avoid systems
5. Data communication links incl. spectrum
issues
6. Security issues
7. Verification and Validation Methods
NOVA SYSTEMS
Mid Air Collision
Populated
Area
A300 Passenger
Aircraft
Surveillance
RPA: Luna
NOVA SYSTEMS
Mid Air Collision
Populated
Area
A300 Passenger
Aircraft
Surveillance
RPA: Luna
NMAC
NOVA SYSTEMS
Mid Air Collision
Populated
Area
A300 Passenger
Aircraft
Surveillance
RPA: Luna
Time Taken Less than 1 second
Luna Imagery Before Crash
Landing near Kabul
NMAC
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Detect & Avoid
RTCA White Papers & MOPS
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Detect & Avoid
Well Clear
HMD* = 4000 ft
h* =450 ft
Miss Distance Filter Boundary
𝜏 𝑚𝑜𝑑
∗
= 35s
Time to CPA
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Detect & Avoid
SC-228 MOPS Development
Radar Declaration Range
Point in Encounter timeline where pilot must
make decision to maneuver to remain well clear
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Detect & Avoid
SC-228 MOPS Development
Alert
Pilot
Detect
Intruder
Determine
Resolution
15 s
Negotiate
ATC
Clearance
10 s 30.0 s
maneuver
to
remain
well clear
(Aircraft Performance
35.0 s
DAAWell Clear
Radar Declaration Range
90-110 seconds….Can be more than 8nm
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Practicalities of DAA
Minimum Maneuvering Time Example
DJI Phantom 3
Max Descent: 180 m/min: 590.551 ft/min
Max Speed 16 m/s (no wind) = 31 kts
60 kts
Scan Eagle:
• Max ROC: 150m/min (491 feet per minute)
• Lets assume can descend at same rate ( not a given)
• Cruise Speed
300 kts closing speed
Cessna
120 kts
12 m
12 m
• Time to climb/descend 12 m is 4.8 seconds (
12
150
) mins
• 180 kts closing speed = 3 nm per minute
• Scan Eagle must begin to MOVE at (
4.8
60
) x 3kts : 440 m range
• DJI Must must begin to MOVE at (
4
60
) x 2.5 kts : 310 m range
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Detect and Avoid
Capable Maritime Surveillance Radar
• AN/APS-137
• Operating Frequency: 8 to 10 GHz
(assume 9)
• Transmitted Power: 50 kW
• Antenna: 1.04 x 0.92
• Antenna Efficiency: 85%
• Smin = -92 dbm
• Atmospherics: clear air (no rain)
• Target: Submarine Periscope 1 m2
Claimed Range is 45km.
Radar
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Detect and Avoid
Capable Maritime Surveillance Radar
• AN/APS-137
• Operating Frequency: 8 to 10 GHz
(assume 9)
• Transmitted Power: 50 kW
• Antenna: 1.04 x 0.92
• Antenna Efficiency: 85%
• Smin = -92 dbm
• Atmospherics: clear air (no rain)
• Target: Submarine Periscope 1 m2
Claimed Range is 45km.
Radar
University of Denver: Miniature Denver
• Phased Array Radar
• Weight: 12 Ounces
• Range: UAV sized platform at 100 m
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Detect and Avoid
Specifications for Golden Eye
• Manufacturer:Advanced Scientific Concepts
• Sensor: 128 x 128 FPA, Indium Gallium Arsenide + CMOS
• Laser: 1.57 um
• Framerate:10 Hz
• Range up to 3 km, subject to laser/diffuser/lens choice
• Dimensions(without lens): 14cm x 21 cm x 14 cm
• Weight 6.5 kg
• Power, 24VDC, < 50 Watts
• Lens Options:
• FOV: 60°, 45°, 30°, 15°…. 3°
• Weight: 6.5 kg
Sensors: Flash LIDAR
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Detect and Avoid
Velodyne VLP-16 LIDAR Puck
Velodyne : VLP-16 –R Puck:
• 16-channel real-time
• $7,999
• 103 x 72 mm
• 830 grams.
• 8 Watts, 9-32 VDC
• Range: 100m
• FOV: 360 ° HFOV, ± 15° VFOV
• Accuracy: ± 3 cm
• 905 nm Eye Safe Laser
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Detect and Avoid
Quanergy Solid State LIDAR
Presentation: By Louay Eldada Quanergy at Stanford, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uPqzo29Q9Wc
Quanergy: $250 Solid State LIDAR
Field ofView: 120 degrees
Max Range: 150 m ± 5cm at 8%
Reflectivity
Cost $100 -200 IF Volume > 100K
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Detect and Avoid
FLIR Neutrino MWIR
• Pixels: 640 x 512
• Pixel pitch: 15 um
• Weight: 450 grams
• Power: 5 watts
• Angular Resolution (with 5mm lens = 44 HFOV ):
• Only 0.17 degrees, MOPS Radar only requires 0.5 degrees,
• However AIRCRAFT would become sub-pixel at 1300 m….
• Could move to 10mm (2600m) lens and scan like Kestrel…
• Would that deliver sufficient contrast
• Could you team it with miniature LRF??
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Ground Based DAA
Provided by Airservices Australia
ADS-B/SSR @5000 ftADS-B/SSR @30, 000 ft SSR @4000 ft
Detect and Avoid
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Detect and Avoid
Ground Based Detect and Avoid
NOVA SYSTEMS
UAVGameChangers
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
“When the Pony Express came along, it really reshaped society to be able to move things around fairly reliably at
that speed, which was measured in many days.The U.S. PostalService—growing partly out of the Pony Express
and having it be even more reliable and starting to shorten the time—really did change society again.
In mid August 2014, Google ProjectWing delivered packages including chocolate
bars, dog treats and Cattle vaccines to farmer in Darling Downs, QLD
DHL also trialling drone deliveries in remote areas where existing infrastructure
makes shipping difficult (Nth Sea island: Juist).
The Race to “Lift and Shift”
UAv Game Changers
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
“When the Pony Express came along, it really reshaped society to be able to move things around fairly reliably at
that speed, which was measured in many days.The U.S. PostalService—growing partly out of the Pony Express
and having it be even more reliable and starting to shorten the time—really did change society again.
In mid August 2014, Google ProjectWing delivered packages including chocolate
bars, dog treats and Cattle vaccines to farmer in Darling Downs, QLD
DHL also trialling drone deliveries in remote areas where existing infrastructure
makes shipping difficult (Nth Sea island: Juist).
The Race to “Lift and Shift”
UAv Game Changers
The push
for
low cost
LIFT and Shift
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
UAv Game Changers
NASA UAV Traffic Management (UTM)
”a cloud-based system that will help manage traffic at low altitudes and avoid
collisions of UASs being operated beyond visual line of sight”
Principal Investigator: Parimal Kopardekar
NOVA SYSTEMS
Investors 12 Months Ago
AerospaceTechnologies, Inc.
Lone Star UAS,
Center of Excellence & Innovation
@ Texas A&M University- Corpus
Christi*
Airware* ne3rd, LLC*
Amazon Neurala, Inc.
Analytical Graphics, Inc. Precision Hawk*
Avision, Inc. Simulyze
Board of Regents of the Nevada
System of Higher Education-
Desert Research Institute
SkySpecs, Inc.*
DroneDeploy SkyWard IO, Inc.
Exelis SmartC2, Inc.
Google, Inc.*
US Dept of Interior, Office of
Aviation Services
Gryphon Sensors UAV Collaborative*
Higher Ground, LLC University of Cincinnati
Lockheed Martin Corporation University of Nevada, Reno*
Investors include
• Multinationals
• Google, Amazon,
• Large Aerospace
• Lockheed
• Sensor & Payloads
• Exelis, Gryphon
• University
• Texas A&M, Nevada, Cincinatti
• UTM Interface: Precision Hawk,
AGI, Airware
• Government
• US Dept. of Interior, Nevada
Education
NASA UAV Traffic Management (UTM)
NOVA SYSTEMS
Original Last 12 Months
AerospaceTechnologies, Inc.
TexasA&M University-
CorpusChristi*
American Aerospace
Technologies (instead of
AerospaceTechnologies)
Emerging Technology
Ventures, Inc.
Near Earth Autonomy, Inc.
Aerotas Flirtey
Nevada Institute for
Autonomous Systems
Airware* ne3rd, LLC* Aerovironment, Inc. Fovea Aero Systems, LLC NextNav, LLC
Amazon Neurala, Inc. Air Route Optimizer, Inc. GE Global Research Nokia
Analytical Graphics, Inc. Precision Hawk* AirMap, Inc GreenSight Agronomics
PEMDAS Technologies and
Innovations
Avision, Inc. Simulyze ANRATechnologies, LLC Harris Corp. PROXY Technologies
Board of Regents of the Nevada
System of Higher -Desert
Research Institute
SkySpecs, Inc.* ATAC Corporation Icarus Aerospace Qualcomm Technologies
DroneDeploy SkyWard IO, Inc. Aurora Flight Sciences Intel Corporation R Cubed Engineering LLC
Exelis SmartC2, Inc. Aviation Management, LLC
KDCTechSolutions
International LLC
Scientific Systems
Company, Inc.
Google, Inc.*
US Dept of Interior, Office of
Aviation Services
Ax Enterprize Luftronix, Inc.
Silent Falcon UAS
Technologies
Gryphon Sensors UAVCollaborative* Cpilot Matternet, Inc.
U.S. Dept of Homeland
Security
Higher Ground, LLC University of Cincinnati
Drone Co-Habitation
Services, LLC
Modern Technology
Solutions, Inc.
Uavionix, Inc.
Lockheed Martin Corporation University of Nevada, Reno* University of Alaska
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
NASA UAV Traffic Management (UTM)
Overview
VIDEO Played
LINK : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=83Y14qglTCY
NOVA SYSTEMS
Build 1: Completed
• LOW RISK
• Establishment of Airspace Reservation
• Focus on drone traffic management over
unpopulated land/water
• Minimal GA traffic, Aimed at agriculture,
firefighting & infrastructure
Build 2: Oct 2016
• Medium RISK
• Drones flying BLOS,
• Drone tracking, low density ops
• Sparsely populated areas
“If you can’t fly then run, if you can’t run then walk, if you can’t
walk then crawl, but whatever you do you have to keep moving
forward.” – Martin Luther King, Jr.
NOVA SYSTEMS
Build 3: Jan 2018
• Drone Control Via INTERNET
• Communication
• Drone to Drone
• Drone to ATC
• Safe Separation
• BLOS
• Flight over Moderate Population
• Package Delivery
Build 4: March 2019
• Flight over Urban Areas
• High Density Drone Traffic
• Autonomous D to D
communication
• Large Scale Contingency MGT
NOVA SYSTEMS
UAV Game Changers
1. On-board & Off-board Intelligence
• Track Management, Precise Localization, HI-FI Sensors & Processing,Video
Stabilisation
• Interoperability and fusion of UTM and ATM System
• Dynamic weather information
• Up to date 3D Mapping-Obstacles
• Contingency Management & Safety
• Flight Planning
Ongoing UTM Research
AGI
Precision Hawk
NOVA SYSTEMS
UAV Game Changers
1. On-board & Off-board Intelligence
2. Separation and Contingency Management
Ongoing UTM Research
Source: Provided by Dr Aaron McFadyen
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Surveillance
•Primary Surveillance Radar (PSR)
•Terminal Area Radar (TAR)
• PSR and SSR
•Route Surveillance Radars (RSR)
• SSR Only
•Secondary Surveillance Radar (SSR)
•ADSB
ANSP Coverage
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Surveillance Coverage: Australia
Provided by Airservices Australia
ADS-B/SSR @5000 ftADS-B/SSR @30, 000 ft SSR @4000 ft
ATM & Airport Operations
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Surveillance
The Telstra Network
NOVA SYSTEMS
UAV Game Changers
1. On-board & Off-board Intelligence
2. Separation and Contingency Management
3. Reliable & Redundant CNPC Links
Ongoing UTM Research
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
UAV Game Changers
Source: RTCA WP-2: Command & Control Data Link ( 18 Mar 2014)
UAS Data Link
UAS Control & NON
Payload Comms (CNPC)
Link
UAS Payload Link
Ongoing UTM Research- Reliable CNPC
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
UAV Game Changers
Source: RTCA WP-2: Command & Control Data Link ( 18 Mar 2014)
UAS Data Link
UAS Control & NON
Payload Comms (CNPC)
Link
UAS Payload Link
Ongoing UTM Research- Reliable CNPC
• CNPC considered a Safety of
Flight Element
• Requires Dedicated spectrum
• Low Bandwidth
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
UAV Game Changers
Source: RTCA WP-2: Command & Control Data Link ( 18 Mar 2014)
UAS Data Link
UAS Control & NON
Payload Comms (CNPC)
Link
UAS Payload Link
Ongoing UTM Research- Reliable CNPC
• CNPC considered a Safety of
Flight Element
• Requires Dedicated spectrum
• Low Bandwidth
• logical flows associated with
mission payload package.
• Not required to be in aviation
safety protected spectrum.
• High bandwidth
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
UAV Game Changers
Source: RTCA WP-2: Command & Control Data Link ( 18 Mar 2014)
UAS Data Link
UAS Control & NON
Payload Comms (CNPC)
Link
UAS Payload Link
Ongoing UTM Research- Reliable CNPC
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
UAV Game Changers
Source: RTCA WP-2: Command & Control Data Link ( 18 Mar 2014)
UAS Data Link
UAS Control & NON
Payload Comms (CNPC)
Link
Pilot ATC Link
UAS Payload Link
Voice
Data eg CPDLC
Ongoing UTM Research- Reliable CNPC
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
UAV Game Changers
Source: RTCA WP-2: Command & Control Data Link ( 18 Mar 2014)
UAS Data Link
UAS Control & NON
Payload Comms (CNPC)
Link
UAS Control LinkPilot ATC Link
Telecommand Link
UAS Payload Link
Command: Uplink pilot to Aircraft
• Information needed to control flight trajectory
• Information needed to control all aircraft systems
required for safe flight
Ongoing UTM Research- Reliable CNPC
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
UAV Game Changers
Source: RTCA WP-2: Command & Control Data Link ( 18 Mar 2014)
UAS Data Link
UAS Control & NON
Payload Comms (CNPC)
Link
UAS Control LinkPilot ATC Link
Telemetry Link
UAS Payload Link
Telemetry: DOWNLINK from AC to Pilot
• Aircraft location, attitude & speed system status
• Onboard NAVAID data
• Track data
Ongoing UTM Research- Reliable CNPC
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
CNPC
Aeronautical Radio Navigation Service
Aeronautical Mobile Route Service RadioNavigation-Satellite Service
960 MHz 1215 MHz1164 Hz
Allocations
Spectrum: ARNS Safety of Life Service
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
CNPC
Aeronautical Radio Navigation Service
TACAN and DME
Aeronautical Mobile Route Service RadioNavigation-Satellite Service
960 MHz 1215 MHz1164 Hz
Existing
Systems
Allocations
Spectrum: ARNS Safety of Life Service
• DME
• TACAN
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
CNPC
Aeronautical Radio Navigation Service
TACAN and DME
Aeronautical Mobile Route Service RadioNavigation-Satellite Service
UAT
SSR
Rx
SSR
Tx
960 MHz 1215 MHz1164 Hz
Existing
Systems
Allocations
SSR/TCAS/ADS-B
Spectrum: ARNS Safety of Life Service
• DME
• TACAN
• ATC Radar Beacons & Mode S
• IFF
• TCAS/ACAS
• ADS-B & UAT
• Advanced Surface Movement
Guidance & Control
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
CNPC
Aeronautical Radio Navigation Service
TACAN and DME
Aeronautical Mobile Route Service
GPS
Gallileo E5A
RadioNavigation-Satellite Service
Gallileo
E5B
UAT
SSR
Rx
SSR
Tx
960 MHz 1215 MHz1164 Hz
Existing
Systems
Allocations
SSR/TCAS/ADS-B
Spectrum: ARNS Safety of Life Service
• DME
• TACAN
• ATC Radar Beacons & Mode S
• IFF
• TCAS/ACAS
• ADS-B & UAT
• Advanced Surface Movement
Guidance & Control
• GPS
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
CNPC
Aeronautical Radio Navigation Service
TACAN and DME
Aeronautical Mobile Route Service
GPS
Gallileo E5A
RadioNavigation-Satellite Service
Link 16
Gallileo
E5B
Link
16
Link 16
UAT
SSR
Rx
SSR
Tx
960 MHz 1215 MHz1164 Hz
Existing
Systems
Allocations
SSR/TCAS/ADS-B
Spectrum: ARNS Safety of Life Service
• DME
• TACAN
• ATC Radar Beacons & Mode S
• IFF
• TCAS/ACAS
• ADS-B & UAT
• Advanced Surface Movement
Guidance & Control
• GPS
• Link 16 (JTIDS/MTIDS)
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
CNPC
Aeronautical Radio Navigation Service
TACAN and DME
Aeronautical Mobile Route Service
Potential Spectrum for CNPC
GPS
Gallileo E5A
RadioNavigation-Satellite Service
Link 16
Gallileo
E5B
Link
16
Link 16
UAT
SSR
Rx
SSR
Tx
960 MHz 1215 MHz1164 Hz
Existing
Systems
Allocations
Future
Systems
SSR/TCAS/ADS-B
Spectrum: ARNS Safety of Life Service
• DME
• TACAN
• ATC Radar Beacons & Mode S
• IFF
• TCAS/ACAS
• ADS-B & UAT
• Advanced Surface Movement
Guidance & Control
• GPS
• Link 16 (JTIDS/MTIDS)
WRC-12 Allocation
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
CNPC
Frequency Band Used by UAVs
L Band (800 to 2 Gz) C Band (4-8 GHz)
• Terrestrial Microwave
• TV SATCOM feeds
• Weather Radars
• Line of Sight
• Very Congested
• Baby monitors
• ..
Ku Band (12-18 GHz)
• Exclusively for Satellites
• Less Interference to C Band
• Atmospheric Interference
• Better SNR
Small Drones
• Control &Video
• Short Range: 10km
• Lower freq, lower cost
Predator Reaper
• When LOS Control
• Video Downlink
Global hawk
• BLOS Control
• Video
Global hawk/ScanEagle
• LOS Control
Predator Reaper
• BLOS Control
• Video Downlink
• Relay
Shadow/ScanEagle
• Video
S Band (2-4 Gz)
• Weather
Radar
• SATCOM
Shadow
• LOS Control
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
UAV Game Changers
CNPC
Source: RTCA WP-2: Command & Control Data Link ( 18 Mar 2014)
UAS Data Link
UAS Payload
Link
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
UAV Game Changers
Basically, a faster network technology offering with
improved quality for subscribers :
• Improved download and uplink speeds
• Lower latency
• High Reliability & Availability
• Low Cost, Energy Efficient, Simplification of infrastructure
• Improved Coverage
• Cell Density
Download Speeds: 2 to 50 Mpbs
Upload Speeds: 1 to 10 Mpbs
LTE, LTE-A & 5G
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
UAV Game Changers
Basically, a faster network technology offering with
improved quality for subscribers :
• Improved download and uplink speeds
• Lower latency
• High Reliability & Availability
• Low Cost, Energy Efficient, Simplification of infrastructure
• Improved Coverage
• Cell Density
Download Speeds: 2 to 50 Mpbs
Upload Speeds: 1 to 10 Mpbs
LTE, LTE-A & 5G
Critical role in future networking,
automated cars, robotics, health,
wearables, smart cities, smart
homes
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
UAV Game Changers
• Payload Information Distribution
• First Person view
• Precise Position information, Support toTracking: ATC and UTM
• Geo-fencing update to RPA
LTE for UAV Use
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
UAV Game Changers
Australian Mobile Broadband
700 MHz 2600 MHz
LTE and LTE-Ä: Spectrum Allocations
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
UAV Game Changers
Australian Mobile Broadband
700 MHz 2600 MHz
LTE and LTE-Ä: Spectrum Allocations
low frequencies,
Longer Range
better signal penetration
better coverage in buildings,
carparks, elevators i.e Urban
Environment
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
UAV Game Changers
Australian Mobile Broadband
700 MHz 2600 MHz
LTE and LTE-Ä: Spectrum Allocations
low frequencies,
Longer Range
better signal penetration
better coverage in buildings,
carparks, elevators i.e Urban
Environment
• higher data
capacity
• Shorter Range
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
UAV Game Changers
Australian Mobile Broadband
700 MHz 2600 MHz
LTE and LTE-Ä: Spectrum Allocations
low frequencies,
Longer Range
better signal penetration
better coverage in buildings,
carparks, elevators i.e Urban
Environment
• higher data
capacity
• Shorter Range
B7
2600 MHz
Telstra Telstra
B28
700 MHz
B3
1800 MHz
Telstra
B1
2100 MHz
Telstra
B40
2300 MHz
Optus
VodofoneVodofone
Optus
B5
850 MHz
Vodofone
Optus
Optus
Optus
Telstra
B8
900 MHz
Optus Optus
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
UAV Game Changers
Australian Mobile Broadband
700 MHz 2600 MHz
LTE and LTE-Ä: Spectrum Allocations
low frequencies,
Longer Range
better signal penetration
better coverage in buildings,
carparks, elevators i.e Urban
Environment
• higher data
capacity
• Shorter Range
B7
2600 MHz
LTE-Advanced: Uses Carrier Aggregation
Multiple bands are used to speed up data transfers.
2 methods: FDD and TDD.
Telstra Telstra
B28
700 MHz
B3
1800 MHz
Telstra
B1
2100 MHz
Telstra
B40
2300 MHz
Optus
VodofoneVodofone
Optus
B5
850 MHz
Vodofone
Optus
Optus
Optus
Telstra
B8
900 MHz
Optus Optus
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
UAV Game Changers
Australian Mobile Broadband
700 MHz 2600 MHz
LTE and LTE-Ä: Spectrum Allocations
low frequencies,
Longer Range
better signal penetration
better coverage in buildings,
carparks, elevators i.e Urban
Environment
• higher data
capacity
• Shorter Range
B7
2600 MHz
LTE-Advanced: Uses Carrier Aggregation
Multiple bands are used to speed up data transfers.
2 methods: FDD and TDD.
• Telstra combines 700MHz & 1,800MHz using FDD
• Makes up 95% of Telstra 4G network
• Optus uses TDD on 2300 MHz
Telstra Telstra
B28
700 MHz
B3
1800 MHz
Telstra
B1
2100 MHz
Telstra
B40
2300 MHz
Optus
VodofoneVodofone
Optus
B5
850 MHz
Vodofone
Optus
Optus
Optus
Telstra
B8
900 MHz
Optus Optus
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
CNPC
Spectrum
Aeronautical Radio Navigation Service
Australian Mobile Broadband
960 MHz 1215 MHz 2600 MHz700 MHz
Potential Spectrum for CNPC
WRC-12 Allocation
960 1164
980 1020
Viable
LTE
Bands for
use in CNPC
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
CNPC
Spectrum
Aeronautical Radio Navigation Service
Australian Mobile Broadband
960 MHz 1215 MHz 2600 MHz700 MHz
Potential Spectrum for CNPC
WRC-12 Allocation
960 1164
980 1020
Viable
LTE
Bands for
use in CNPC
Aside from supporting payload dissemination, could the LTE
Network be used to:
• Support UAV/manned surveillance & separation
• Conduct UAV Command
• Relay UAVTelemetry
• UAV to UAV and UAV to ATC Communication
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
CNPC
Spectrum
Aeronautical Radio Navigation Service
Australian Mobile Broadband
960 MHz 1215 MHz 2600 MHz700 MHz
Telstra
B28
Telstra
B3
700 1800
Telstra
B7
2100
Telstra
B1
Telstra
B8
900 2600
Potential Spectrum for CNPC
WRC-12 Allocation
960 1164
980 1020
Viable
LTE
Bands for
use in CNPC
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
CNPC
ICAO Identified Critical Failure Modes
Overall
Availability & Continuity
OR
C2 Link Interruption-No
Component Fail
RPAS C2 Link
Component Fail
Propagation
Event
Interference
Event
Airframe
Obstruction
Capacity
OR
RPA C2
Equipment
Failure
GSC Failure
Satellite
Failure
Network
Failure
OR
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
CNPC
• RPA Design
• Airframe
• C2 Equipment EMI/EMC
• Software Assurance on critical functions (RTB, FT, Lost Link..)
• Network
• Path Loss, Range
• QoS,
• NetworkTraffic and Capacity
Development Considerations
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
CNPC
LTE Advanced Network for Enterprise Services
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
CNPC
LTE Advanced Network for Enterprise Services
FLIP it
Could the UAV be used to act as an airborne mobile tower
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
UAV Game Changers
• Balloons at the mercy of weather, harder to control, and durability
concerns
• Are safer if they fall to earth
• Cost significantly less.
• Google & Facebook investigating using high altitude, long
endurance solar UAVs.
• Google trumped Facebook in purchasingTitan Aerospace ($60M).
• Developing 2 dragon-fly shaped UAVs.
• Smaller variant has wingspan larger than Boeing 767
Google Titan
Facebook Aquila
http://www.theguardian.com/
• Facebook purchased Ascenta ($20M)
Google & Facebook: Next-Gen Content Distribution
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
UAV Game Changers
Multi-hop wireless network: each network node acts as a wireless terminal as well as a
router
Cost effective positioning of assets according to requirements:
• nodes have the flexibility to manouver to meet dynamic demand.
Key R&D focus areas include:
• Mobility Models: plays a significant role in network performance
• Trajectory planning & prediction
• Collision Detection and avoidance: multiple trajectories
• Routing protocols that discover & adjust to network topology
MANET and FANET
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Multiple Ad-Hoc Networks
Swarms
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Multiple Adhoc Networks
Swarms
VIDEO PLAYED at LINK: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YQIMGV5vtd4
Source: Torwards a Swarm of Nano Quadrotors: Alex Kushleyev, Daniel Mellinger, &Vijay Kuma: Grasp Lab Uni of Pennsylvanie
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Summary
• Highlighted the impact that disruption and automation is, and will have, on
the jobs market
• Discussed a range of Game Changing UAVTechnologies
• UTM
• LTE/5G
• PED
• Swarms
• Highlighted some of the challenges for UAVs
• To be competitive, Australia must:
• move from smoke stack technologies
• Foster new business & Innovation
• Embrace Risk
Copyright:Terrence Martin
NOVA SYSTEMS
Summary
• Highlighted the impact that disruption and automation is, and will have, on
the jobs market
• Discussed a range of Game Changing UAVTechnologies
• UTM
• LTE/5G
• PED
• Swarms
• Highlighted some of the challenges for UAVs
• To be competitive, Australia must:
• move from smoke stack technologies
• Foster new business & Innovation
• Embrace Risk
Will you be a consumer (???), or contribute to an
innovative culture that creates jobs for our children?

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Presentation at Dalby Drone Show 26 Sep- Dr Terry Martin

  • 1. FUTURE DISRUPTION & DRONES BVLOS, LTE & UTM DR TERRY MARTIN NOVA SYSTEMS
  • 2. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Introduction Who Am I:Where I am from • Former military engineering Officer/consultant • Heron/Shadow engineering work • Applied Research Lead Nova Systems • Industry Co-Chair Australian UAV Standards Committee • Associate ProfessorTerry Martin (Adjunct) at Queensland University ofTechnology Queensland
  • 3. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Introduction • Flying Sensor: • Surveillance, News Media, Real Estate • Inspection: critical infrastructure, eg cell towers, powerlines, bridges, oil and gas etc • Agricultural: Crop Inspections, Livestock and pest tracking • Delivery: • PackageTransport, medicines andVaccines, emergency equipment • Agriculture: automated planting • People: OPV/MUM-T • Entertainment: Drone Racing • Public Safety: • SAR, Police, Fire, *Support Services • Regulation, Risk and Safety, Insurance Consumer Applications
  • 4. Copyright: Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Emerging Technologies & Game Changers
  • 5. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Introduction MUMT & OPV BVLOS or VLOS Placing Cheaper RPAS in Harms Way Or Deliver Function more cheaply EW: Standoff Jamming Unmanned CASEVAC Expanded ISR Footprint
  • 6. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Introduction Laser Guided Rockets on UAVs • DAGR is 2.75 inch diameter module that incorporates Hellfire Technology • Weighs 4 kg • DAGR has been fitted to US Shadow • When designated by Apache, DAGR is capable of hitting truck travelling 40 km/hr from 5 km away • Scope for stand off designation: • Significant Increase in FirePower & Reconnaissance
  • 7. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS UAV Game Changers Black Saturday Bushfires Apache like Platform Water Delivery RPAS Water Delivery RPAS Long Loiter Surveillance Short Loiter Surveillance
  • 8. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Introduction Swarms 1. J. Arquilla, D. Ronfeldt, RAND: “Swarming & the future Conflict”. Robotics and the Battlefield Centre for New America Military Swarming Design Elements • Many Small, dispersed maneuver units • Integrated Surveillaance, sensors • Sustainable pulsing of force and fire • Stealthy ubiquity: no front • Amorphous strike from all directions
  • 9. NOVA SYSTEMS Processing Centers/ Eagle Vision Shared Situational Awareness Distributive, Collaborative Planning • Full Motion Video (FMV) • Imagery/Still Photography • Image/Video Exploitation •Location Information •Weather Processing, Exploitation, Dissemination
  • 10. NOVA SYSTEMS Processing Centers/ Eagle Vision Shared Situational Awareness Distributive, Collaborative Planning • Full Motion Video (FMV) • Imagery/Still Photography • Image/Video Exploitation •Location Information •Weather Processing, Exploitation, Dissemination Will Australia be building these products or just be consumers ?
  • 11. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Introduction •Innovation, Automation, Disruption & Jobs •Key Safety Enablers: DAA and CNPC •UAV Game Changers • UTM •Network Connectivity • CNPC, •LTE • Google/Facebook • MANET, FANET Presentation Overview
  • 14. NOVA SYSTEMS Source: http://knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/article/the-robots-are-coming-to-take-your-job/ NYT Best Seller: • Increased impact of automation ”Smokestack & Manufacturing Economies” Being overtaken by those focused on ”Consumption, Services and HighValue Technologies”
  • 15. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Osborne & Frey, Citigroup Studies by : Carl Frey & Michael Osborne, then Citigroup • Advances in AI, Robotics, Data Mining, Machine Learning, Computational Statistics are placing more jobs at Risk of being Automated. High risk for • United States - 47% of workers • China - 77% of workers • India - 69% of workers • Automation may change the trend of offshoring to low cost regions • Emerging Markets need to diversify to move up the value chain • Less low end manufacturing, more innovative technology development High Risk of Jobs being Replaced by Automation
  • 16. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Computerisation & Jobs Market Next Decades Source: Frey, Carl Benedikt and Michael Osborne. September 17, 2013. The Future of Employment: How Susceptible are Jobs to Computerisation? University of Oxford
  • 17. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Computerisation & Jobs Market Next Decades Management Engineering/ Science Education, Law, Arts, Media Healthcare Source: Frey, Carl Benedikt and Michael Osborne. September 17, 2013. The Future of Employment: How Susceptible are Jobs to Computerisation? University of Oxford
  • 18. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Computerisation & Jobs Market Next Decades Management Engineering/ Science Education, Law, Arts, Media Healthcare Installation, Maintenance Source: Frey, Carl Benedikt and Michael Osborne. September 17, 2013. The Future of Employment: How Susceptible are Jobs to Computerisation? University of Oxford
  • 19. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Computerisation & Jobs Market Next Decades Management Engineering/ Science Education, Law, Arts, Media Healthcare Service Sales Office and admin. support Installation, Maintenance Source: Frey, Carl Benedikt and Michael Osborne. September 17, 2013. The Future of Employment: How Susceptible are Jobs to Computerisation? University of Oxford
  • 20. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Computerisation & Jobs Market Next Decades Management Engineering/ Science Education, Law, Arts, Media Healthcare Service Sales Office and admin. support Transportation Installation, Maintenance Source: Frey, Carl Benedikt and Michael Osborne. September 17, 2013. The Future of Employment: How Susceptible are Jobs to Computerisation? University of Oxford
  • 21. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Disruption, Automation and Innovation Percentage of Jobs at High Risk of Automation 0 10 20 30 40 50 60
  • 22. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Disruption, Automation and Innovation Percentage of Jobs at High Risk of Automation 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Least at Risk • Technically Dynamic, Knowledge Centres • Diversified & skill intensive Workforces • Professional Services • Creative Industries
  • 23. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Disruption, Automation and Innovation Percentage of Jobs at High Risk of Automation 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Least at Risk • Technically Dynamic, Knowledge Centres • Diversified & skill intensive Workforces • Professional Services • Creative Industries Most at Risk • Manufacturing • Banking • Gaming, Low Level white & Blue collar
  • 24. NOVA SYSTEMS ”It’s not competition which counts, but competition from the new commodity, new technology, new source of supply, new type of organisation - competition which commands a decisive cost or quality advantage and which strikes not at the profit margins and outputs of the existing firms but at their very foundations”: Joseph Schumpeter Disruption
  • 25. NOVA SYSTEMS ”It’s not competition which counts, but competition from the new commodity, new technology, new source of supply, new type of organisation - competition which commands a decisive cost or quality advantage and which strikes not at the profit margins and outputs of the existing firms but at their very foundations”: Joseph Schumpeter Disruption
  • 26. NOVA SYSTEMS ”It’s not competition which counts, but competition from the new commodity, new technology, new source of supply, new type of organisation - competition which commands a decisive cost or quality advantage and which strikes not at the profit margins and outputs of the existing firms but at their very foundations”: Joseph Schumpeter Disruption
  • 27. NOVA SYSTEMS ”It’s not competition which counts, but competition from the new commodity, new technology, new source of supply, new type of organisation - competition which commands a decisive cost or quality advantage and which strikes not at the profit margins and outputs of the existing firms but at their very foundations”: Joseph Schumpeter Disruption
  • 28. NOVA SYSTEMS ”It’s not competition which counts, but competition from the new commodity, new technology, new source of supply, new type of organisation - competition which commands a decisive cost or quality advantage and which strikes not at the profit margins and outputs of the existing firms but at their very foundations”: Joseph Schumpeter Disruption
  • 29. NOVA SYSTEMS ”It’s not competition which counts, but competition from the new commodity, new technology, new source of supply, new type of organisation - competition which commands a decisive cost or quality advantage and which strikes not at the profit margins and outputs of the existing firms but at their very foundations”: Joseph Schumpeter Disruption
  • 30. NOVA SYSTEMS ”It’s not competition which counts, but competition from the new commodity, new technology, new source of supply, new type of organisation - competition which commands a decisive cost or quality advantage and which strikes not at the profit margins and outputs of the existing firms but at their very foundations”: Joseph Schumpeter Disruption
  • 31. NOVA SYSTEMS ”It’s not competition which counts, but competition from the new commodity, new technology, new source of supply, new type of organisation - competition which commands a decisive cost or quality advantage and which strikes not at the profit margins and outputs of the existing firms but at their very foundations”: Joseph Schumpeter Disruption
  • 32. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Which Businesses Creates Jobs? Kauffman foundation • “Existing firms actually lose a million more jobs, per year, then they create.” • Over last 25 years, almost all private sector jobs are created by businesses less than 5 years old • Between 1988 & 2011, companies more than 5 years old, DESTROYED more jobs than they create
  • 33. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Which Businesses Creates Jobs? Kauffman foundation • “Existing firms actually lose a million more jobs, per year, then they create.” • Over last 25 years, almost all private sector jobs are created by businesses less than 5 years old • Between 1988 & 2011, companies more than 5 years old, DESTROYED more jobs than they create US Bureau of Economic Research • “The younger companies are, the more jobs they create, regardless of size”
  • 34. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Which Businesses Creates Jobs? Kauffman foundation • “Existing firms actually lose a million more jobs, per year, then they create.” • Over last 25 years, almost all private sector jobs are created by businesses less than 5 years old • Between 1988 & 2011, companies more than 5 years old, DESTROYED more jobs than they create US Bureau of Economic Research • “The younger companies are, the more jobs they create, regardless of size” Washington Post • “Once large enough, firms start hunting overseas for cheaper labour options”, • “Small companies produce 16 time more patents per worker than large firms”, and this is typically associated with an infusion of jobs creation, • Level of jobs creation linked to level of R&D, and collaboration
  • 35. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Ageing Corporations United States 89% 11% US Market Capitilisation by Company Age 2005 Over 85 Years Old Microsoft
  • 36. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Ageing Corporations United States 89% 11% US Market Capitilisation by Company Age 2005 Over 85 Years Old Microsoft 18% 14% 11% 8%8% 41% US Market Capitalisation by Company Age 2015 Apple Google Microsoft Amazon Facebook Over 50 Years Old
  • 37. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS 11% 7% 6% 76% AUS Market Capitalisation by Company Age 2005 Westpac Westfield Over 80 Years Old Aging Corporations Australia
  • 38. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS 11% 7% 6% 76% AUS Market Capitalisation by Company Age 2005 Westpac Westfield Over 80 Years Old Aging Corporations Australia 8% 92% AUS Market Capitalisation by Company Age 2015 Telstra Over 85 Years Old
  • 39. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS 11% 7% 6% 76% AUS Market Capitalisation by Company Age 2005 Westpac Westfield Over 80 Years Old Aging Corporations Australia 8% 92% AUS Market Capitalisation by Company Age 2015 Telstra Over 85 Years Old Dominated by Banks, Commodities & Chain Supermarkets
  • 40. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Our Banking & Real Estate Sector Australia's banking sector has a high reliance on overseas funding. • Underpins the funding for our real estate market Our 1 trillion foreign debt • twice the size of our income from exports, dividends and royalties • This ratio more than any other country except Greece & US • Oz is spending 5.6% of its foreign income meeting interest payments, more than any other advanced country aside from Spain and at similar levels to Mexico • Credit ratings agency considering lowering Australia's rating fromAAA • Concern that if global financial market lose confidence in Australia, it will be difficult for government and banks to refinance Debt • Politicians seem to be ignoring the deficit (Ken Henry. 24 Sep 2016) The Australian Newspaper 12 May 2016
  • 41. NOVA SYSTEMS City State % Jobs at Risk Kurri Kurri NSW 58.6 Murray Bridge SA 57.3 Cessnock NSW 57.1 Melton VIC 56.8 Muswellbrook NSW 56.4 Warwick QLD 56.4 Port Pirie SA 55.3% Griffith QLD 55.3 Colac VIC 54.9 Moe-Newborough VIC 54.7 SOURCE: Bernard Salt, KPMG Disruption, Automation and Innovation Jobs at High Risk: Australia
  • 44. NOVA SYSTEMS The BADThe GOOD There will be WINNERS & LOSERS
  • 45. NOVA SYSTEMS The BADThe GOOD Companies & Cities & Nations There will be WINNERS & LOSERS
  • 46. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Supporting Innovation Ingredients of supportive business ecosystem for innovation & job creation[1]: • A pro-entrepreneurship culture • Guidance from experienced entrepreneurs • A supportive Regulatory Environment • A collaborative Business Culture • Visible Successes & Role Models • RiskTolerance • Available Capital • Technical Skills Key Ingredients for Innovation & Startups [1] Startup AUS Crossroads 2015: http://startupaus.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/04/Crossroads-2015.pdf
  • 48. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Where are we as a Nation? For most part, UAV Operations in Australia are constrained to: • DayVMC,VLOS, • Below 400 ft, • Not within 3NM of an aerodrome Currently Permissible Operations
  • 49. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Where are we as a Nation? For most part, UAV Operations in Australia are constrained to: • DayVMC,VLOS, • Below 400 ft, • Not within 3NM of an aerodrome Currently Permissible Operations Essentially, the platform isVISUALLY TETHERED.
  • 50. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Where are we as a Nation? For most part, UAV Operations in Australia are constrained to: • DayVMC,VLOS, • Below 400 ft, • Not within 3NM of an aerodrome Currently Permissible Operations Essentially, the platform isVISUALLY TETHERED.Considerable portion of identified UAV potential lies in Remote Sensing i.e BVLOS and BRLOS
  • 51. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Where are we as a Nation? For most part, UAV Operations in Australia are constrained to: • DayVMC,VLOS, • Below 400 ft, • Not within 3NM of an aerodrome Currently Permissible Operations Essentially, the platform isVISUALLY TETHERED.Considerable portion of identified UAV potential lies in Remote Sensing i.e BVLOS and BRLOS No nation has yet produced a complete framework to support safe unsegregated BVLOS Significant economic benefit for “first moving” nation!
  • 52. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS So what is the Problem? RPAS regulation focused on minimising the following key risks: 1. Risk of airborne collision, and the coinciding risk to people & property 2. Risk to people and infrastructure on the ground, Challenge is to isolate the risk difference betweenCPA & RPAS The Key Risks
  • 53. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS AcceptablySafe is defined by the SafetyTargets- See Argument 1. Airworthiness High Level Safety Argument Assumptions stated Applicable for intended Operational Environment So What’s the Problem? Safety & Trade-Offs : Airworthiness
  • 54. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS AcceptablySafe is defined by the SafetyTargets- See Argument 1. Airworthiness High Level Safety Argument Argument 2 System designed to be acceptably safe Argument 1 System has been specified to acceptably safe. Assumptions stated Applicable for intended Operational Environment So What’s the Problem? Safety & Trade-Offs : Airworthiness
  • 55. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS AcceptablySafe is defined by the SafetyTargets- See Argument 1. Airworthiness High Level Safety Argument Argument 2 System designed to be acceptably safe Argument 3 System constructed and implemented completely and correctly Argument 1 System has been specified to acceptably safe. Assumptions stated Applicable for intended Operational Environment So What’s the Problem? Safety & Trade-Offs : Airworthiness
  • 56. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS AcceptablySafe is defined by the SafetyTargets- See Argument 1. Argument 4 System transitioned into services in acceptably safe manner Airworthiness High Level Safety Argument Argument 2 System designed to be acceptably safe Argument 3 System constructed and implemented completely and correctly Argument 1 System has been specified to acceptably safe. Assumptions stated Applicable for intended Operational Environment So What’s the Problem? Safety & Trade-Offs : Airworthiness
  • 57. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS AcceptablySafe is defined by the SafetyTargets- See Argument 1. Argument 4 System transitioned into services in acceptably safe manner Argument 5 System shown to be operated acceptably safely Airworthiness High Level Safety Argument Argument 2 System designed to be acceptably safe Argument 3 System constructed and implemented completely and correctly Argument 1 System has been specified to acceptably safe. Assumptions stated Applicable for intended Operational Environment So What’s the Problem? Safety & Trade-Offs : Airworthiness
  • 58. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS AcceptablySafe is defined by the SafetyTargets- See Argument 1. Argument 4 System transitioned into services in acceptably safe manner Argument 5 System shown to be operated acceptably safely Argument 6 System maintained and sustained acceptably safely Airworthiness High Level Safety Argument Argument 2 System designed to be acceptably safe Argument 3 System constructed and implemented completely and correctly Argument 1 System has been specified to acceptably safe. Assumptions stated Applicable for intended Operational Environment So What’s the Problem? Safety & Trade-Offs : Airworthiness
  • 59. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS AcceptablySafe is defined by the SafetyTargets- See Argument 1. Argument 4 System transitioned into services in acceptably safe manner Argument 5 System shown to be operated acceptably safely Argument 6 System maintained and sustained acceptably safely Airworthiness High Level Safety Argument Argument 2 System designed to be acceptably safe Personnel are appropriately trained to conduct and verify activities which underpin the safety argument Argument 3 System constructed and implemented completely and correctly Argument 1 System has been specified to acceptably safe. Assumptions stated Applicable for intended Operational Environment So What’s the Problem? Safety & Trade-Offs : Airworthiness
  • 60. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS AcceptablySafe is defined by the SafetyTargets- See Argument 1. Argument 4 System transitioned into services in acceptably safe manner Argument 5 System shown to be operated acceptably safely Argument 6 System maintained and sustained acceptably safely Airworthiness High Level Safety Argument Argument 2 System designed to be acceptably safe Personnel are appropriately trained to conduct and verify activities which underpin the safety argument Argument 3 System constructed and implemented completely and correctly Argument 1 System has been specified to acceptably safe. Assumptions stated Applicable for intended Operational Environment Verification of Evidence that SafetyTargets are met, with plans for ongoing monitoring ACCEPTABLE EVIDENCE So What’s the Problem? Safety & Trade-Offs : Airworthiness
  • 61. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS AcceptablySafe is defined by the SafetyTargets- See Argument 1. Argument 4 System transitioned into services in acceptably safe manner Argument 5 System shown to be operated acceptably safely Argument 6 System maintained and sustained acceptably safely Airworthiness High Level Safety Argument Argument 2 System designed to be acceptably safe Personnel are appropriately trained to conduct and verify activities which underpin the safety argument Argument 3 System constructed and implemented completely and correctly Argument 1 System has been specified to acceptably safe. Assumptions stated Applicable for intended Operational Environment Verification of Evidence that SafetyTargets are met, with plans for ongoing monitoring ACCEPTABLE EVIDENCE So What’s the Problem? Airworthiness & The Safety Argument?
  • 62. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS AcceptablySafe is defined by the SafetyTargets- See Argument 1. Argument 4 System transitioned into services in acceptably safe manner Argument 5 System shown to be operated acceptably safely Argument 6 System maintained and sustained acceptably safely Airworthiness High Level Safety Argument Argument 2 System designed to be acceptably safe Personnel are appropriately trained to conduct and verify activities which underpin the safety argument Argument 3 System constructed and implemented completely and correctly Argument 1 System has been specified to acceptably safe. Assumptions stated Applicable for intended Operational Environment Verification of Evidence that SafetyTargets are met, with plans for ongoing monitoring ACCEPTABLE EVIDENCE So What’s the Problem? TIME & $$$$$$$$$ Airworthiness & The Safety Argument?
  • 63. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS AcceptablySafe is defined by the SafetyTargets- See Argument 1. Argument 4 System transitioned into services in acceptably safe manner Argument 5 System shown to be operated acceptably safely Argument 6 System maintained and sustained acceptably safely Airworthiness High Level Safety Argument Argument 2 System designed to be acceptably safe Personnel are appropriately trained to conduct and verify activities which underpin the safety argument Argument 3 System constructed and implemented completely and correctly Argument 1 System has been specified to acceptably safe. Assumptions stated Applicable for intended Operational Environment Verification of Evidence that SafetyTargets are met, with plans for ongoing monitoring ACCEPTABLE EVIDENCE So What’s the Problem? Airworthiness and the Safety Argument
  • 64. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS AcceptablySafe is defined by the SafetyTargets- See Argument 1. Argument 4 System transitioned into services in acceptably safe manner Argument 5 System shown to be operated acceptably safely Argument 6 System maintained and sustained acceptably safely Airworthiness High Level Safety Argument Argument 2 System designed to be acceptably safe Personnel are appropriately trained to conduct and verify activities which underpin the safety argument Argument 3 System constructed and implemented completely and correctly Argument 1 System has been specified to acceptably safe. Assumptions stated Applicable for intended Operational Environment Verification of Evidence that SafetyTargets are met, with plans for ongoing monitoring ACCEPTABLE EVIDENCE So What’s the Problem? Airworthiness and the Safety Argument
  • 65. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS AcceptablySafe is defined by the SafetyTargets- See Argument 1. Argument 4 System transitioned into services in acceptably safe manner Argument 5 System shown to be operated acceptably safely Argument 6 System maintained and sustained acceptably safely Airworthiness High Level Safety Argument Argument 2 System designed to be acceptably safe Personnel are appropriately trained to conduct and verify activities which underpin the safety argument Argument 3 System constructed and implemented completely and correctly Argument 1 System has been specified to acceptably safe. Assumptions stated Applicable for intended Operational Environment Verification of Evidence that SafetyTargets are met, with plans for ongoing monitoring ACCEPTABLE EVIDENCE So What’s the Problem? Airworthiness and the Safety Argument
  • 66. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS AcceptablySafe is defined by the SafetyTargets- See Argument 1. Argument 4 System transitioned into services in acceptably safe manner Argument 5 System shown to be operated acceptably safely Argument 6 System maintained and sustained acceptably safely Airworthiness High Level Safety Argument Argument 2 System designed to be acceptably safe Personnel are appropriately trained to conduct and verify activities which underpin the safety argument Argument 3 System constructed and implemented completely and correctly Argument 1 System has been specified to acceptably safe. Assumptions stated Applicable for intended Operational Environment Verification of Evidence that SafetyTargets are met, with plans for ongoing monitoring ACCEPTABLE EVIDENCE So What’s the Problem? Airworthiness and the Safety Argument
  • 68. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS The Need for a Strategic Roadmap Goals Milestones Gaps & Barriers Task List Priorities,Timelines, People Europe: Copying their Homework Operational & Technology gaps: 1. Integration into ATM & Airspace environments 2. Surface operations incl. take-off & landing 3. Operational contingency procedures & systems 4. Detect & Avoid systems 5. Data communication links incl. spectrum issues 6. Security issues 7. Verification and Validation Methods
  • 69. NOVA SYSTEMS Mid Air Collision Populated Area A300 Passenger Aircraft Surveillance RPA: Luna
  • 70. NOVA SYSTEMS Mid Air Collision Populated Area A300 Passenger Aircraft Surveillance RPA: Luna NMAC
  • 71. NOVA SYSTEMS Mid Air Collision Populated Area A300 Passenger Aircraft Surveillance RPA: Luna Time Taken Less than 1 second Luna Imagery Before Crash Landing near Kabul NMAC
  • 72. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Detect & Avoid RTCA White Papers & MOPS
  • 73. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Detect & Avoid Well Clear HMD* = 4000 ft h* =450 ft Miss Distance Filter Boundary 𝜏 𝑚𝑜𝑑 ∗ = 35s Time to CPA
  • 74. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Detect & Avoid SC-228 MOPS Development Radar Declaration Range Point in Encounter timeline where pilot must make decision to maneuver to remain well clear
  • 75. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Detect & Avoid SC-228 MOPS Development Alert Pilot Detect Intruder Determine Resolution 15 s Negotiate ATC Clearance 10 s 30.0 s maneuver to remain well clear (Aircraft Performance 35.0 s DAAWell Clear Radar Declaration Range 90-110 seconds….Can be more than 8nm
  • 76. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Practicalities of DAA Minimum Maneuvering Time Example DJI Phantom 3 Max Descent: 180 m/min: 590.551 ft/min Max Speed 16 m/s (no wind) = 31 kts 60 kts Scan Eagle: • Max ROC: 150m/min (491 feet per minute) • Lets assume can descend at same rate ( not a given) • Cruise Speed 300 kts closing speed Cessna 120 kts 12 m 12 m • Time to climb/descend 12 m is 4.8 seconds ( 12 150 ) mins • 180 kts closing speed = 3 nm per minute • Scan Eagle must begin to MOVE at ( 4.8 60 ) x 3kts : 440 m range • DJI Must must begin to MOVE at ( 4 60 ) x 2.5 kts : 310 m range
  • 77. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Detect and Avoid Capable Maritime Surveillance Radar • AN/APS-137 • Operating Frequency: 8 to 10 GHz (assume 9) • Transmitted Power: 50 kW • Antenna: 1.04 x 0.92 • Antenna Efficiency: 85% • Smin = -92 dbm • Atmospherics: clear air (no rain) • Target: Submarine Periscope 1 m2 Claimed Range is 45km. Radar
  • 78. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Detect and Avoid Capable Maritime Surveillance Radar • AN/APS-137 • Operating Frequency: 8 to 10 GHz (assume 9) • Transmitted Power: 50 kW • Antenna: 1.04 x 0.92 • Antenna Efficiency: 85% • Smin = -92 dbm • Atmospherics: clear air (no rain) • Target: Submarine Periscope 1 m2 Claimed Range is 45km. Radar University of Denver: Miniature Denver • Phased Array Radar • Weight: 12 Ounces • Range: UAV sized platform at 100 m
  • 79. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Detect and Avoid Specifications for Golden Eye • Manufacturer:Advanced Scientific Concepts • Sensor: 128 x 128 FPA, Indium Gallium Arsenide + CMOS • Laser: 1.57 um • Framerate:10 Hz • Range up to 3 km, subject to laser/diffuser/lens choice • Dimensions(without lens): 14cm x 21 cm x 14 cm • Weight 6.5 kg • Power, 24VDC, < 50 Watts • Lens Options: • FOV: 60°, 45°, 30°, 15°…. 3° • Weight: 6.5 kg Sensors: Flash LIDAR
  • 80. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Detect and Avoid Velodyne VLP-16 LIDAR Puck Velodyne : VLP-16 –R Puck: • 16-channel real-time • $7,999 • 103 x 72 mm • 830 grams. • 8 Watts, 9-32 VDC • Range: 100m • FOV: 360 ° HFOV, ± 15° VFOV • Accuracy: ± 3 cm • 905 nm Eye Safe Laser
  • 81. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Detect and Avoid Quanergy Solid State LIDAR Presentation: By Louay Eldada Quanergy at Stanford, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uPqzo29Q9Wc Quanergy: $250 Solid State LIDAR Field ofView: 120 degrees Max Range: 150 m ± 5cm at 8% Reflectivity Cost $100 -200 IF Volume > 100K
  • 82. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Detect and Avoid FLIR Neutrino MWIR • Pixels: 640 x 512 • Pixel pitch: 15 um • Weight: 450 grams • Power: 5 watts • Angular Resolution (with 5mm lens = 44 HFOV ): • Only 0.17 degrees, MOPS Radar only requires 0.5 degrees, • However AIRCRAFT would become sub-pixel at 1300 m…. • Could move to 10mm (2600m) lens and scan like Kestrel… • Would that deliver sufficient contrast • Could you team it with miniature LRF??
  • 83. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Ground Based DAA Provided by Airservices Australia ADS-B/SSR @5000 ftADS-B/SSR @30, 000 ft SSR @4000 ft Detect and Avoid
  • 84. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Detect and Avoid Ground Based Detect and Avoid
  • 86. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS “When the Pony Express came along, it really reshaped society to be able to move things around fairly reliably at that speed, which was measured in many days.The U.S. PostalService—growing partly out of the Pony Express and having it be even more reliable and starting to shorten the time—really did change society again. In mid August 2014, Google ProjectWing delivered packages including chocolate bars, dog treats and Cattle vaccines to farmer in Darling Downs, QLD DHL also trialling drone deliveries in remote areas where existing infrastructure makes shipping difficult (Nth Sea island: Juist). The Race to “Lift and Shift” UAv Game Changers
  • 87. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS “When the Pony Express came along, it really reshaped society to be able to move things around fairly reliably at that speed, which was measured in many days.The U.S. PostalService—growing partly out of the Pony Express and having it be even more reliable and starting to shorten the time—really did change society again. In mid August 2014, Google ProjectWing delivered packages including chocolate bars, dog treats and Cattle vaccines to farmer in Darling Downs, QLD DHL also trialling drone deliveries in remote areas where existing infrastructure makes shipping difficult (Nth Sea island: Juist). The Race to “Lift and Shift” UAv Game Changers The push for low cost LIFT and Shift
  • 88. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS UAv Game Changers NASA UAV Traffic Management (UTM) ”a cloud-based system that will help manage traffic at low altitudes and avoid collisions of UASs being operated beyond visual line of sight” Principal Investigator: Parimal Kopardekar
  • 89. NOVA SYSTEMS Investors 12 Months Ago AerospaceTechnologies, Inc. Lone Star UAS, Center of Excellence & Innovation @ Texas A&M University- Corpus Christi* Airware* ne3rd, LLC* Amazon Neurala, Inc. Analytical Graphics, Inc. Precision Hawk* Avision, Inc. Simulyze Board of Regents of the Nevada System of Higher Education- Desert Research Institute SkySpecs, Inc.* DroneDeploy SkyWard IO, Inc. Exelis SmartC2, Inc. Google, Inc.* US Dept of Interior, Office of Aviation Services Gryphon Sensors UAV Collaborative* Higher Ground, LLC University of Cincinnati Lockheed Martin Corporation University of Nevada, Reno* Investors include • Multinationals • Google, Amazon, • Large Aerospace • Lockheed • Sensor & Payloads • Exelis, Gryphon • University • Texas A&M, Nevada, Cincinatti • UTM Interface: Precision Hawk, AGI, Airware • Government • US Dept. of Interior, Nevada Education NASA UAV Traffic Management (UTM)
  • 90. NOVA SYSTEMS Original Last 12 Months AerospaceTechnologies, Inc. TexasA&M University- CorpusChristi* American Aerospace Technologies (instead of AerospaceTechnologies) Emerging Technology Ventures, Inc. Near Earth Autonomy, Inc. Aerotas Flirtey Nevada Institute for Autonomous Systems Airware* ne3rd, LLC* Aerovironment, Inc. Fovea Aero Systems, LLC NextNav, LLC Amazon Neurala, Inc. Air Route Optimizer, Inc. GE Global Research Nokia Analytical Graphics, Inc. Precision Hawk* AirMap, Inc GreenSight Agronomics PEMDAS Technologies and Innovations Avision, Inc. Simulyze ANRATechnologies, LLC Harris Corp. PROXY Technologies Board of Regents of the Nevada System of Higher -Desert Research Institute SkySpecs, Inc.* ATAC Corporation Icarus Aerospace Qualcomm Technologies DroneDeploy SkyWard IO, Inc. Aurora Flight Sciences Intel Corporation R Cubed Engineering LLC Exelis SmartC2, Inc. Aviation Management, LLC KDCTechSolutions International LLC Scientific Systems Company, Inc. Google, Inc.* US Dept of Interior, Office of Aviation Services Ax Enterprize Luftronix, Inc. Silent Falcon UAS Technologies Gryphon Sensors UAVCollaborative* Cpilot Matternet, Inc. U.S. Dept of Homeland Security Higher Ground, LLC University of Cincinnati Drone Co-Habitation Services, LLC Modern Technology Solutions, Inc. Uavionix, Inc. Lockheed Martin Corporation University of Nevada, Reno* University of Alaska
  • 91. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS NASA UAV Traffic Management (UTM) Overview VIDEO Played LINK : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=83Y14qglTCY
  • 92. NOVA SYSTEMS Build 1: Completed • LOW RISK • Establishment of Airspace Reservation • Focus on drone traffic management over unpopulated land/water • Minimal GA traffic, Aimed at agriculture, firefighting & infrastructure Build 2: Oct 2016 • Medium RISK • Drones flying BLOS, • Drone tracking, low density ops • Sparsely populated areas “If you can’t fly then run, if you can’t run then walk, if you can’t walk then crawl, but whatever you do you have to keep moving forward.” – Martin Luther King, Jr.
  • 93. NOVA SYSTEMS Build 3: Jan 2018 • Drone Control Via INTERNET • Communication • Drone to Drone • Drone to ATC • Safe Separation • BLOS • Flight over Moderate Population • Package Delivery Build 4: March 2019 • Flight over Urban Areas • High Density Drone Traffic • Autonomous D to D communication • Large Scale Contingency MGT
  • 94. NOVA SYSTEMS UAV Game Changers 1. On-board & Off-board Intelligence • Track Management, Precise Localization, HI-FI Sensors & Processing,Video Stabilisation • Interoperability and fusion of UTM and ATM System • Dynamic weather information • Up to date 3D Mapping-Obstacles • Contingency Management & Safety • Flight Planning Ongoing UTM Research AGI Precision Hawk
  • 95. NOVA SYSTEMS UAV Game Changers 1. On-board & Off-board Intelligence 2. Separation and Contingency Management Ongoing UTM Research Source: Provided by Dr Aaron McFadyen
  • 96. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Surveillance •Primary Surveillance Radar (PSR) •Terminal Area Radar (TAR) • PSR and SSR •Route Surveillance Radars (RSR) • SSR Only •Secondary Surveillance Radar (SSR) •ADSB ANSP Coverage
  • 97. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Surveillance Coverage: Australia Provided by Airservices Australia ADS-B/SSR @5000 ftADS-B/SSR @30, 000 ft SSR @4000 ft ATM & Airport Operations
  • 99. NOVA SYSTEMS UAV Game Changers 1. On-board & Off-board Intelligence 2. Separation and Contingency Management 3. Reliable & Redundant CNPC Links Ongoing UTM Research
  • 100. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS UAV Game Changers Source: RTCA WP-2: Command & Control Data Link ( 18 Mar 2014) UAS Data Link UAS Control & NON Payload Comms (CNPC) Link UAS Payload Link Ongoing UTM Research- Reliable CNPC
  • 101. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS UAV Game Changers Source: RTCA WP-2: Command & Control Data Link ( 18 Mar 2014) UAS Data Link UAS Control & NON Payload Comms (CNPC) Link UAS Payload Link Ongoing UTM Research- Reliable CNPC • CNPC considered a Safety of Flight Element • Requires Dedicated spectrum • Low Bandwidth
  • 102. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS UAV Game Changers Source: RTCA WP-2: Command & Control Data Link ( 18 Mar 2014) UAS Data Link UAS Control & NON Payload Comms (CNPC) Link UAS Payload Link Ongoing UTM Research- Reliable CNPC • CNPC considered a Safety of Flight Element • Requires Dedicated spectrum • Low Bandwidth • logical flows associated with mission payload package. • Not required to be in aviation safety protected spectrum. • High bandwidth
  • 103. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS UAV Game Changers Source: RTCA WP-2: Command & Control Data Link ( 18 Mar 2014) UAS Data Link UAS Control & NON Payload Comms (CNPC) Link UAS Payload Link Ongoing UTM Research- Reliable CNPC
  • 104. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS UAV Game Changers Source: RTCA WP-2: Command & Control Data Link ( 18 Mar 2014) UAS Data Link UAS Control & NON Payload Comms (CNPC) Link Pilot ATC Link UAS Payload Link Voice Data eg CPDLC Ongoing UTM Research- Reliable CNPC
  • 105. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS UAV Game Changers Source: RTCA WP-2: Command & Control Data Link ( 18 Mar 2014) UAS Data Link UAS Control & NON Payload Comms (CNPC) Link UAS Control LinkPilot ATC Link Telecommand Link UAS Payload Link Command: Uplink pilot to Aircraft • Information needed to control flight trajectory • Information needed to control all aircraft systems required for safe flight Ongoing UTM Research- Reliable CNPC
  • 106. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS UAV Game Changers Source: RTCA WP-2: Command & Control Data Link ( 18 Mar 2014) UAS Data Link UAS Control & NON Payload Comms (CNPC) Link UAS Control LinkPilot ATC Link Telemetry Link UAS Payload Link Telemetry: DOWNLINK from AC to Pilot • Aircraft location, attitude & speed system status • Onboard NAVAID data • Track data Ongoing UTM Research- Reliable CNPC
  • 107. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS CNPC Aeronautical Radio Navigation Service Aeronautical Mobile Route Service RadioNavigation-Satellite Service 960 MHz 1215 MHz1164 Hz Allocations Spectrum: ARNS Safety of Life Service
  • 108. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS CNPC Aeronautical Radio Navigation Service TACAN and DME Aeronautical Mobile Route Service RadioNavigation-Satellite Service 960 MHz 1215 MHz1164 Hz Existing Systems Allocations Spectrum: ARNS Safety of Life Service • DME • TACAN
  • 109. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS CNPC Aeronautical Radio Navigation Service TACAN and DME Aeronautical Mobile Route Service RadioNavigation-Satellite Service UAT SSR Rx SSR Tx 960 MHz 1215 MHz1164 Hz Existing Systems Allocations SSR/TCAS/ADS-B Spectrum: ARNS Safety of Life Service • DME • TACAN • ATC Radar Beacons & Mode S • IFF • TCAS/ACAS • ADS-B & UAT • Advanced Surface Movement Guidance & Control
  • 110. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS CNPC Aeronautical Radio Navigation Service TACAN and DME Aeronautical Mobile Route Service GPS Gallileo E5A RadioNavigation-Satellite Service Gallileo E5B UAT SSR Rx SSR Tx 960 MHz 1215 MHz1164 Hz Existing Systems Allocations SSR/TCAS/ADS-B Spectrum: ARNS Safety of Life Service • DME • TACAN • ATC Radar Beacons & Mode S • IFF • TCAS/ACAS • ADS-B & UAT • Advanced Surface Movement Guidance & Control • GPS
  • 111. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS CNPC Aeronautical Radio Navigation Service TACAN and DME Aeronautical Mobile Route Service GPS Gallileo E5A RadioNavigation-Satellite Service Link 16 Gallileo E5B Link 16 Link 16 UAT SSR Rx SSR Tx 960 MHz 1215 MHz1164 Hz Existing Systems Allocations SSR/TCAS/ADS-B Spectrum: ARNS Safety of Life Service • DME • TACAN • ATC Radar Beacons & Mode S • IFF • TCAS/ACAS • ADS-B & UAT • Advanced Surface Movement Guidance & Control • GPS • Link 16 (JTIDS/MTIDS)
  • 112. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS CNPC Aeronautical Radio Navigation Service TACAN and DME Aeronautical Mobile Route Service Potential Spectrum for CNPC GPS Gallileo E5A RadioNavigation-Satellite Service Link 16 Gallileo E5B Link 16 Link 16 UAT SSR Rx SSR Tx 960 MHz 1215 MHz1164 Hz Existing Systems Allocations Future Systems SSR/TCAS/ADS-B Spectrum: ARNS Safety of Life Service • DME • TACAN • ATC Radar Beacons & Mode S • IFF • TCAS/ACAS • ADS-B & UAT • Advanced Surface Movement Guidance & Control • GPS • Link 16 (JTIDS/MTIDS) WRC-12 Allocation
  • 113. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS CNPC Frequency Band Used by UAVs L Band (800 to 2 Gz) C Band (4-8 GHz) • Terrestrial Microwave • TV SATCOM feeds • Weather Radars • Line of Sight • Very Congested • Baby monitors • .. Ku Band (12-18 GHz) • Exclusively for Satellites • Less Interference to C Band • Atmospheric Interference • Better SNR Small Drones • Control &Video • Short Range: 10km • Lower freq, lower cost Predator Reaper • When LOS Control • Video Downlink Global hawk • BLOS Control • Video Global hawk/ScanEagle • LOS Control Predator Reaper • BLOS Control • Video Downlink • Relay Shadow/ScanEagle • Video S Band (2-4 Gz) • Weather Radar • SATCOM Shadow • LOS Control
  • 114. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS UAV Game Changers CNPC Source: RTCA WP-2: Command & Control Data Link ( 18 Mar 2014) UAS Data Link UAS Payload Link
  • 115. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS UAV Game Changers Basically, a faster network technology offering with improved quality for subscribers : • Improved download and uplink speeds • Lower latency • High Reliability & Availability • Low Cost, Energy Efficient, Simplification of infrastructure • Improved Coverage • Cell Density Download Speeds: 2 to 50 Mpbs Upload Speeds: 1 to 10 Mpbs LTE, LTE-A & 5G
  • 116. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS UAV Game Changers Basically, a faster network technology offering with improved quality for subscribers : • Improved download and uplink speeds • Lower latency • High Reliability & Availability • Low Cost, Energy Efficient, Simplification of infrastructure • Improved Coverage • Cell Density Download Speeds: 2 to 50 Mpbs Upload Speeds: 1 to 10 Mpbs LTE, LTE-A & 5G Critical role in future networking, automated cars, robotics, health, wearables, smart cities, smart homes
  • 117. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS UAV Game Changers • Payload Information Distribution • First Person view • Precise Position information, Support toTracking: ATC and UTM • Geo-fencing update to RPA LTE for UAV Use
  • 118. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS UAV Game Changers Australian Mobile Broadband 700 MHz 2600 MHz LTE and LTE-Ä: Spectrum Allocations
  • 119. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS UAV Game Changers Australian Mobile Broadband 700 MHz 2600 MHz LTE and LTE-Ä: Spectrum Allocations low frequencies, Longer Range better signal penetration better coverage in buildings, carparks, elevators i.e Urban Environment
  • 120. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS UAV Game Changers Australian Mobile Broadband 700 MHz 2600 MHz LTE and LTE-Ä: Spectrum Allocations low frequencies, Longer Range better signal penetration better coverage in buildings, carparks, elevators i.e Urban Environment • higher data capacity • Shorter Range
  • 121. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS UAV Game Changers Australian Mobile Broadband 700 MHz 2600 MHz LTE and LTE-Ä: Spectrum Allocations low frequencies, Longer Range better signal penetration better coverage in buildings, carparks, elevators i.e Urban Environment • higher data capacity • Shorter Range B7 2600 MHz Telstra Telstra B28 700 MHz B3 1800 MHz Telstra B1 2100 MHz Telstra B40 2300 MHz Optus VodofoneVodofone Optus B5 850 MHz Vodofone Optus Optus Optus Telstra B8 900 MHz Optus Optus
  • 122. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS UAV Game Changers Australian Mobile Broadband 700 MHz 2600 MHz LTE and LTE-Ä: Spectrum Allocations low frequencies, Longer Range better signal penetration better coverage in buildings, carparks, elevators i.e Urban Environment • higher data capacity • Shorter Range B7 2600 MHz LTE-Advanced: Uses Carrier Aggregation Multiple bands are used to speed up data transfers. 2 methods: FDD and TDD. Telstra Telstra B28 700 MHz B3 1800 MHz Telstra B1 2100 MHz Telstra B40 2300 MHz Optus VodofoneVodofone Optus B5 850 MHz Vodofone Optus Optus Optus Telstra B8 900 MHz Optus Optus
  • 123. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS UAV Game Changers Australian Mobile Broadband 700 MHz 2600 MHz LTE and LTE-Ä: Spectrum Allocations low frequencies, Longer Range better signal penetration better coverage in buildings, carparks, elevators i.e Urban Environment • higher data capacity • Shorter Range B7 2600 MHz LTE-Advanced: Uses Carrier Aggregation Multiple bands are used to speed up data transfers. 2 methods: FDD and TDD. • Telstra combines 700MHz & 1,800MHz using FDD • Makes up 95% of Telstra 4G network • Optus uses TDD on 2300 MHz Telstra Telstra B28 700 MHz B3 1800 MHz Telstra B1 2100 MHz Telstra B40 2300 MHz Optus VodofoneVodofone Optus B5 850 MHz Vodofone Optus Optus Optus Telstra B8 900 MHz Optus Optus
  • 124. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS CNPC Spectrum Aeronautical Radio Navigation Service Australian Mobile Broadband 960 MHz 1215 MHz 2600 MHz700 MHz Potential Spectrum for CNPC WRC-12 Allocation 960 1164 980 1020 Viable LTE Bands for use in CNPC
  • 125. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS CNPC Spectrum Aeronautical Radio Navigation Service Australian Mobile Broadband 960 MHz 1215 MHz 2600 MHz700 MHz Potential Spectrum for CNPC WRC-12 Allocation 960 1164 980 1020 Viable LTE Bands for use in CNPC Aside from supporting payload dissemination, could the LTE Network be used to: • Support UAV/manned surveillance & separation • Conduct UAV Command • Relay UAVTelemetry • UAV to UAV and UAV to ATC Communication
  • 126. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS CNPC Spectrum Aeronautical Radio Navigation Service Australian Mobile Broadband 960 MHz 1215 MHz 2600 MHz700 MHz Telstra B28 Telstra B3 700 1800 Telstra B7 2100 Telstra B1 Telstra B8 900 2600 Potential Spectrum for CNPC WRC-12 Allocation 960 1164 980 1020 Viable LTE Bands for use in CNPC
  • 127. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS CNPC ICAO Identified Critical Failure Modes Overall Availability & Continuity OR C2 Link Interruption-No Component Fail RPAS C2 Link Component Fail Propagation Event Interference Event Airframe Obstruction Capacity OR RPA C2 Equipment Failure GSC Failure Satellite Failure Network Failure OR
  • 128. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS CNPC • RPA Design • Airframe • C2 Equipment EMI/EMC • Software Assurance on critical functions (RTB, FT, Lost Link..) • Network • Path Loss, Range • QoS, • NetworkTraffic and Capacity Development Considerations
  • 129. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS CNPC LTE Advanced Network for Enterprise Services
  • 130. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS CNPC LTE Advanced Network for Enterprise Services FLIP it Could the UAV be used to act as an airborne mobile tower
  • 131. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS UAV Game Changers • Balloons at the mercy of weather, harder to control, and durability concerns • Are safer if they fall to earth • Cost significantly less. • Google & Facebook investigating using high altitude, long endurance solar UAVs. • Google trumped Facebook in purchasingTitan Aerospace ($60M). • Developing 2 dragon-fly shaped UAVs. • Smaller variant has wingspan larger than Boeing 767 Google Titan Facebook Aquila http://www.theguardian.com/ • Facebook purchased Ascenta ($20M) Google & Facebook: Next-Gen Content Distribution
  • 132. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS UAV Game Changers Multi-hop wireless network: each network node acts as a wireless terminal as well as a router Cost effective positioning of assets according to requirements: • nodes have the flexibility to manouver to meet dynamic demand. Key R&D focus areas include: • Mobility Models: plays a significant role in network performance • Trajectory planning & prediction • Collision Detection and avoidance: multiple trajectories • Routing protocols that discover & adjust to network topology MANET and FANET
  • 134. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Multiple Adhoc Networks Swarms VIDEO PLAYED at LINK: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YQIMGV5vtd4 Source: Torwards a Swarm of Nano Quadrotors: Alex Kushleyev, Daniel Mellinger, &Vijay Kuma: Grasp Lab Uni of Pennsylvanie
  • 135. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Summary • Highlighted the impact that disruption and automation is, and will have, on the jobs market • Discussed a range of Game Changing UAVTechnologies • UTM • LTE/5G • PED • Swarms • Highlighted some of the challenges for UAVs • To be competitive, Australia must: • move from smoke stack technologies • Foster new business & Innovation • Embrace Risk
  • 136. Copyright:Terrence Martin NOVA SYSTEMS Summary • Highlighted the impact that disruption and automation is, and will have, on the jobs market • Discussed a range of Game Changing UAVTechnologies • UTM • LTE/5G • PED • Swarms • Highlighted some of the challenges for UAVs • To be competitive, Australia must: • move from smoke stack technologies • Foster new business & Innovation • Embrace Risk Will you be a consumer (???), or contribute to an innovative culture that creates jobs for our children?

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. Data transmit by ADS-B generically defined by RTCA ADS-B MASPS DO-242A Horizontal position and related data: Lat/Long, Horizontal velocity, Ground speed, Heading on surface Integrity (Navigation Integrity Category, Surveillance Integrity Level ) Optional: Airspeed, Heading while airborne Altitude and related data Barometric altitude, Geometric altitude, Vertical rate, NIC baro Status: ICAO address, Call sign, Emitter category, Length and width Emergency/priority, Capability class codes Target State: Target altitude and HDG/TRK
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