SlideShare ist ein Scribd-Unternehmen logo
1 von 47
CChhaapptteerr 99 
AAggggrreeggaattee EExxppeennddiittuurree aanndd 
AAggggrreeggaattee DDeemmaanndd
CCCCoooonnnnssssuuuummmmppppttttiiiioooonnnn 
• Consumption tends to reflect income. 
• The positive and stable relationship between 
consumption and income 
– This is true for the household and for the 
economy as a whole.
LO1 Disposable Income, Consumption, 
and Saving in the United States 
Exhibit 1
TThhee CCoonnssuummppttiioonn FFuunnccttiioonn 
• Based on Disposable Income, households 
decide how much to save and how much to 
consume. 
• Dependent Variable: Consumption 
– This means consumption depends on income. 
• Independent Variable: Disposable Income
U.S. Consumption Depends on 
Disposable Income 
LO1 
Exhibit 2
LO1 
Exhibit 3 
The Consumption Function 
11 
10 
8 9 
7 
6 
5 
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1011121314 
Real disposable income (trillions of dollars) 
1 2 3 4 
Real consumption (trillions of dollars) 
C 
The consumption function, 
C, shows the relationship 
between consumption and 
disposable income, other 
things constant.
Marginal Propensities to Consume and 
to Save 
 Marginal propensity to consume, MPC 
 Fraction of additional income that is spent 
 Change in consumption // cchhaannggee iinn iinnccoommee 
 Marginal propensity to save, MPS 
 Fraction of additional income that is saved 
 CChhaannggee iinn ssaavviinngg // cchhaannggee iinn iinnccoommee 
 MPC + MPS = 1 
 The sum of all disposable income, 100%- either saved or 
consumed.
MMPPCC,, MMPPSS,, aanndd tthhee SSllooppeess 
 MPC 
 The slope of the Consumption function 
 MPS 
MPC = D 
C 
DI 
D 
 The slope of the Saving function 
MPS = D 
S 
DI 
D
LO1 Exhibit 4 
Marginal Propensities to Consume and to Save 
Real consumption (trillions of dollars) 
(a) Consumption function (b) Saving function 
Real saving (trillions of dollars) 
0 
MPC=ΔC/ΔDI=0.4/0.5=4/5 
a 
b 
MPS=ΔS/ΔDI=0.1/0.5=1/5 
c 
ΔC=0.4 
ΔDI=0.5 ΔDI=0.5 
Real disposable income 0 (trillions of dollars) 
d 
ΔS=0.1 
The slope of the C function equals the marginal propensity to consume. 
For the straight-line C function in (a), the slope is the same at all levels of income and 
is given by the change in consumption divided by the change in disposable income 
that causes it: MPC=4/5. 
The slope of the S function in (b) equals the marginal propensity to save, MPS=1/5.
Non-income Determinants of 
Consumption 
• Net Wealth and Consumption 
– The value of all assets that each household owns 
minus an liabilities or debt. 
– It is a stock variable. 
– May include a home, furnishings, automobiles, 
bank accounts, stocks and bonds.
Non-income Determinants of 
Consumption 
• The Price Level: 
– When price level changes, so does the real value 
of cash and bank accounts. 
– An INCREASE in the price level reduces the 
purchasing power of money holdings, causing 
households to consume less and save more at 
each income level. 
– BUT, if the price level DECREASES-the opposite 
will happen.
Non-income Determinants of 
Consumption 
• The Interest Rate: 
– The reward savers earn for deferring consumption 
and the cost borrowers pay for current spending 
power. 
– The higher the interest rate, the less is usually 
spent on credit. 
– The lower the interest rate, the more is usually 
spent on credit.
Non-income Determinants of 
Consumption 
• Expectations: 
– Future income increases would increase current 
consumption. 
– Future price level increases would increase 
current consumption. 
– Future interest rate increase would increase 
current consumption.
LO1 Exhibit 5 
Shifts of the Consumption Function 
C’’ 
C 
C’ 
Real disposable income 
Real consumption 
An upward shift, such as from 
C to C’’, can be caused by an 
increase in net wealth, a 
decrease in the price level, an 
favorable change in consumer 
expectations, or a decrease in 
the interest rate. 
0 
A downward shift of the consumption function, such as from C to C’, can be caused 
by a decrease in net wealth, an increase in the price level, an unfavorable change in 
consumer expectations, or an increase in the interest rate.
TThhee LLiiffee--CCyyccllee HHyyppootthheessiiss 
• Do people with high incomes save a larger 
fraction of their income than those with low 
incomes? 
– Theory and evidence support this 
– On average, net savings over a lifetime is usually 
little or nothing.
IInnvveessttmmeenntt 
1) New factories, office buildings, malls, and 
new equipment 
2) New housing 
3) Net increases in inventories 
It is NOT stocks and bonds!!!
Investment 
LO2 
Gross private domestic investment 
New physical capital 
New housing 
Net increases to inventories 
Firms purchase new capital 
Expect higher return 
Market interest rate 
Opportunity cost of investing in capital
Rates of Return on Golf Carts and 
the Opportunity Cost of Funds 
25 
20 
15 
10 
8 
0 $2,000 $4,000 $6,000 $8,000 $10,000 
Investment 
5 
Nominal interest rate (percent) 
Market rate 
of interest 
Expected rate 
of return 
An individual firm invests 
in any project with a rate 
of return that exceeds the 
market interest rate. 
At an interest rate of 8%, 
Hacker Haven purchases 
three golf carts, investing 
$6,000. 
LO2 Exhibit 6
Investment 
LO2 
Investment demand curve 
Inverse relationship 
Quality of investment demanded 
Market interest rate 
Other things constant 
Business expectations 
Optimistic expectations 
Investment demand increases
Investment Demand Curve for the 
Economy 
The investment demand 
curve for the economy sums 
the investment demanded 
by each firm at each interest 
rate. 
At lower interest rates, more 
investment projects become 
profitable for individual firms, 
so total investment in the 
economy increases. 
LO2 Exhibit 7 
10 
8 
0 0.9 1.0 1.1 Investment 
(trillions of dollars) 
6 
Nominal interest rate (percent) 
D
IInnvveessttmmeenntt aanndd DDiissppoossaabbllee IInnccoommee 
• How does investment vary with income in the 
economy? 
– The link between investment and income is 
weaker than investment and consumption. 
– Investment depends more on interest rates and 
on business expectations than on income levels.
IInnvveessttmmeenntt FFuunnccttiioonn 
• The investment function assumes that 
investment is unrelated to disposable income. 
• Investment is assumed to be autonomous 
with respect to disposable income.
Investment Function 
1.1 
1.0 
I’’ 
I’ 
12.0 14.0 
Investment is assumed to be independent of income, as shown by 
horizontal lines. Thus, investment is assumed to be autonomous. 
A decrease in the 
interest rate or more 
upbeat business 
expectations would 
increase investment at 
every level of income, as 
shown by the upward 
shift from I to I’’. 
An increase in the 
interest rate or less 
favorable business 
expectations would 
decrease investment at 
every level of income, as 
shown by the downward 
shift from I to I’. 
LO2 Exhibit 8 
0.9 
Investment (trillions of dollars) 
I 
0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 
Real disposable income 
(trillions of dollars)
Non-income Determinants of 
Investment 
• The interest rate 
– An increase in interest rate will cause a decrease in 
investment. 
• Higher opportunity cost 
– An decrease in interest rate will cause an increase in 
investment. 
• Lower opportunity cost 
• Business Expectations 
– Investment plans 
– Wars 
– Tax changes
Annual Percentage Change in U.S. Real 
GDP, Consumption, and Investment LO2 
Exhibit 9
GGoovveerrnnmmeenntt PPuurrcchhaassee FFuunnccttiioonn 
 Government purchases of goods and services 
 Government purchase function: 
 Government purchases unrelated to DI 
 Autonomous 
 Increase in government purchases 
 Upward shift of G function
GGoovveerrnnmmeenntt PPuurrcchhaasseess 
• Transfer Payments: 
– Outright grants from government to households 
– Vary inversely with DI 
• Net Taxes: 
– Transfer Payments minus taxes
Net Exports 
LO4 
 Net exports = Exports – Imports 
 Income increases: imports increase 
 Autonomous of income 
 If Imports > Exports: Net exports < 0 
 If Exports > Imports: Net exports > 0 
 Non-income determinants of net exports 
 Price level (U.S. and foreign) 
 Interest rates (U.S. and foreign) 
 Foreign income 
 Exchange rate
LO4 Exhibit 10 
Net Export Function 
-380 
-400 
-420 
Net exports (billions of dollars) 
12.0 14.0 
X’’-M’’ 
X-M 
0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 
Real disposable income 
(trillions of dollars) 
X’-M’ 
A decrease in the 
value of the dollar 
would increase net 
exports at each level of 
income, as shown by 
the shift up to X’’-M’’. 
An increase in the value of the dollar relative to other 
currencies would decrease net exports at each level of income, 
as shown by the shift down to X’-M’. 
Net exports here are assumed to be independent of disposable 
income, as shown by the horizontal lines. X-M is the net export 
function when autonomous net exports equal -$400 billion.
Composition of Aggregate 
Expenditure 
 Consumption, C 
 Stable; long term trend: increase 
 Investment, I 
 Fluctuates 
 Government purchase, G 
 Long-term trend: declined 
 Net exports, X-M 
 Last decade: -4% 
LO5
LO5 Exhibit 11 
U.S. Spending Components as 
Percentages of GDP Since 1959
AAggggrreeggaattee EExxppeennddiittuurree aanndd IInnccoommee 
 A dollar spent (expenditure)=A dollar earned (income) 
 Aggregate expenditure components 
 Consumption, C – varies with income 
 Investment, I – autonomous 
 Government purchases, G – autonomous 
 Net exports, (X-M) - autonomous 
 Government budget: balanced 
 G = Net taxes
AAggggrreeggaattee EExxppeennddiittuurree aanndd IInnccoommee 
 AE = C + I + G + (X – M) 
 Aggregate expenditure line 
 Planned spending 
 At each level of real GDP (aggregate output; 
aggregate income) 
 Given price level 
 Slope of AE line = MPC, since all other components are 
autonomous
AAggggrreeggaattee EExxppeennddiittuurree aanndd IInnccoommee 
 Income – Expenditure model 
 AE line, given price level 
 45-degree line 
 Spending = real GDP 
 Aggregate output demanded (real GDP) 
 AE = real GDP
AAggggrreeggaattee EExxppeennddiittuurree aanndd IInnccoommee 
 If spending > real GDP 
 Decrease inventories 
 Increase 
 Production and employment 
 Income and spending 
 If real GDP > spending 
 Unsold goods: increase inventories 
 Decrease 
 Production and employment 
 Income and spending
Total Output 
(Real GDP-measured 
in 
trillions) 
Planned 
Aggregate 
Expenditures 
Tendency of 
Output 
$12.40 $12.70 Expand 
12.70 12.85 Expand 
13.00 13.00 Equilibrium 
13.30 13.15 Contract 
13.60 13.30 Contract
LO1 
Deriving the Real GDP Demanded 
for a Given Price Level 
C + I + G + (X - M) 
e 
a 
d 
15.0 
14.8 
14.0 
13.2 
0 13.0 14.0 15.0 Real GDP 
(trillions of dollars) 
13.0 
Aggregate expenditure (trillions of dollars) 
45° 
Real GDP demanded for a 
given price level is found 
where aggregate expenditure 
equals aggregate output – that 
is, where spending equals the 
amount produced, or real 
GDP. 
This occurs at point e, where 
the aggregate expenditure line 
intersects the 45-degree line. 
b 
c 
Exhibit 1
TTTThhhheeee SSSSppppeeeennnnddddiiiinnnngggg MMMMuuuullllttttiiiipppplllliiiieeeerrrr EEEEffffffffeeeecccctttt 
• Keynes also argued that even a minor 
disturbance would often be amplified into a 
major disruption. 
• The multiplier indicates that changes in 
autonomous expenditures, those that don’t 
vary with income, will exert an amplified 
impact on output and income.
TThhee SSppeennddiinngg MMuullttiipplliieerr EEffffeecctt 
• The spending multiplier is the ratio of the 
change in real GDP to the initial change in any 
component of aggregate expenditures, 
including consumption, investment, 
government spending, and net exports.
TTTThhhheeee SSSSppppeeeennnnddddiiiinnnngggg MMMMuuuullllttttiiiipppplllliiiieeeerrrr EEEEffffffffeeeecccctttt 
Spending Multiplier change in equilibrium GDP 
inital change in aggregate exp 
enditures 
MPC 
Spending Multiplier 
- 
= 
1 
1 
=
Stage Additional 
Income 
Additional 
Consumption 
Marginal 
Propensity to 
Consume 
Round 1 1,000,000 750,000 3/4 
Round 2 750,000 562,500 3/4 
Round 3 562,500 421,875 3/4 
Round 4 421,875 316,406 3/4 
Round 5 316,406 237,305 3/4 
Round 6 237,305 177,979 3/4 
Round 7 177,979 133,484 3/4 
Round 8 133,484 100,113 3/4 
Round 9 100,113 75,085 3/4 
Round 10 75,085 56,315 3/4 
All Others 225,253 168,939 3/4 
Total 4,000,000 3,000,000 3/4 
Spending Multiplier= 1/ (1-MPC) = 4 
This implies that the account injected into the economy will be four times 
greater than the monetary value.
Aggregate Demand for Goods and 
Services 
• Quantity: the output of the entire economy 
– Real GDP 
• Price: the price level in the entire economy 
– Price Index: CPI, GDP deflator 
• Since demand in the goods and services 
market aggregates, then the purchases of all 
consumers, investors, government, and 
foreigners is called Aggregate Demand (AD).
AAggggrreeggaattee DDeemmaanndd CCuurrvvee 
• Aggregate Demand (AD) Curve: Shows the 
various quantities of domestically produced 
goods and services consumers are willing to buy 
at different price levels in the economy. 
• It shows the level of real GDP purchased by 
Households, government, and foreigners (net 
exports) at different possible price levels during a 
time period 
– Example of the Curve 
• What does it mean to be downward sloping? 
– Is this the same as individual demand?
Example of AD Curve 
Price Level 
AD 
Real GDP
WWhhyy iiss iitt ddoowwnnwwaarrdd ssllooppiinngg 
Three major reasons 
1. A lower price level will increase the 
purchasing power of money ( Real Balances 
Effect) 
2. The interest rate effect 
3. Domestic goods become cheaper than 
foreign goods (the net exports effect)
NNoonn--pprriiccee DDeetteerrmmiinnaannttss ooff AADD 
• Changes in Consumption 
• Changes in Investment 
• Changes in Government Purchases 
• Net Exports

Weitere ähnliche Inhalte

Was ist angesagt?

Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply and Curves
Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply and CurvesAggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply and Curves
Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply and Curvesshahroze11
 
Gdp+deflator+vs+cpi
Gdp+deflator+vs+cpiGdp+deflator+vs+cpi
Gdp+deflator+vs+cpidomsr
 
Income Inequality and Poverty
Income Inequality and PovertyIncome Inequality and Poverty
Income Inequality and PovertyChris Thomas
 
Meeting 4 - Stolper - Samuelson theorem (International Economics)
Meeting 4 - Stolper - Samuelson theorem (International Economics)Meeting 4 - Stolper - Samuelson theorem (International Economics)
Meeting 4 - Stolper - Samuelson theorem (International Economics)Albina Gaisina
 
Open-Economy Macroeconomics: Basic Concepts
Open-Economy Macroeconomics: Basic ConceptsOpen-Economy Macroeconomics: Basic Concepts
Open-Economy Macroeconomics: Basic ConceptsChris Thomas
 
Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply
Aggregate Demand and Aggregate SupplyAggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply
Aggregate Demand and Aggregate SupplyChris Thomas
 
Corrective measures of BOP disequilibrium
Corrective measures of BOP disequilibriumCorrective measures of BOP disequilibrium
Corrective measures of BOP disequilibriumKunthavai ..
 
MACROECONOMICS-CH4
MACROECONOMICS-CH4MACROECONOMICS-CH4
MACROECONOMICS-CH4kkjjkevin03
 
Ch11 open economy macroeconomics
Ch11   open economy macroeconomicsCh11   open economy macroeconomics
Ch11 open economy macroeconomicsyuliya_kiriyenko
 
Stolper samuelson theorem
Stolper samuelson theorem Stolper samuelson theorem
Stolper samuelson theorem Ashiq Pm
 
The adding up problem product exhaustion theorem yohannes mengesha
The adding up problem product exhaustion theorem yohannes mengesha The adding up problem product exhaustion theorem yohannes mengesha
The adding up problem product exhaustion theorem yohannes mengesha Yohannes Mengesha, PhD Fellow
 
The Influence of Monetary and Fiscal Policy on Aggregate Demand
The Influence of Monetary and Fiscal Policy on Aggregate DemandThe Influence of Monetary and Fiscal Policy on Aggregate Demand
The Influence of Monetary and Fiscal Policy on Aggregate DemandChris Thomas
 

Was ist angesagt? (20)

Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply and Curves
Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply and CurvesAggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply and Curves
Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply and Curves
 
Aggregate Demand
Aggregate DemandAggregate Demand
Aggregate Demand
 
Aggregate demand
Aggregate demandAggregate demand
Aggregate demand
 
Gdp+deflator+vs+cpi
Gdp+deflator+vs+cpiGdp+deflator+vs+cpi
Gdp+deflator+vs+cpi
 
Income Inequality and Poverty
Income Inequality and PovertyIncome Inequality and Poverty
Income Inequality and Poverty
 
Meeting 4 - Stolper - Samuelson theorem (International Economics)
Meeting 4 - Stolper - Samuelson theorem (International Economics)Meeting 4 - Stolper - Samuelson theorem (International Economics)
Meeting 4 - Stolper - Samuelson theorem (International Economics)
 
IS and LM model
IS and LM modelIS and LM model
IS and LM model
 
Trade Deficit
Trade DeficitTrade Deficit
Trade Deficit
 
IS-LM Analysis
IS-LM AnalysisIS-LM Analysis
IS-LM Analysis
 
Open-Economy Macroeconomics: Basic Concepts
Open-Economy Macroeconomics: Basic ConceptsOpen-Economy Macroeconomics: Basic Concepts
Open-Economy Macroeconomics: Basic Concepts
 
Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply
Aggregate Demand and Aggregate SupplyAggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply
Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply
 
Corrective measures of BOP disequilibrium
Corrective measures of BOP disequilibriumCorrective measures of BOP disequilibrium
Corrective measures of BOP disequilibrium
 
MACROECONOMICS-CH4
MACROECONOMICS-CH4MACROECONOMICS-CH4
MACROECONOMICS-CH4
 
GDP Deflator
GDP DeflatorGDP Deflator
GDP Deflator
 
Cardinal utility analysis
Cardinal utility analysisCardinal utility analysis
Cardinal utility analysis
 
Ch11 open economy macroeconomics
Ch11   open economy macroeconomicsCh11   open economy macroeconomics
Ch11 open economy macroeconomics
 
International Economics
International EconomicsInternational Economics
International Economics
 
Stolper samuelson theorem
Stolper samuelson theorem Stolper samuelson theorem
Stolper samuelson theorem
 
The adding up problem product exhaustion theorem yohannes mengesha
The adding up problem product exhaustion theorem yohannes mengesha The adding up problem product exhaustion theorem yohannes mengesha
The adding up problem product exhaustion theorem yohannes mengesha
 
The Influence of Monetary and Fiscal Policy on Aggregate Demand
The Influence of Monetary and Fiscal Policy on Aggregate DemandThe Influence of Monetary and Fiscal Policy on Aggregate Demand
The Influence of Monetary and Fiscal Policy on Aggregate Demand
 

Ähnlich wie How Aggregate Demand Drives Consumption, Investment and GDP

Theory and Measurement in the Macroeconomy
Theory and Measurement in the MacroeconomyTheory and Measurement in the Macroeconomy
Theory and Measurement in the MacroeconomyKalaiyarasi Danabalan
 
Aggregate Expenditure Components
Aggregate Expenditure ComponentsAggregate Expenditure Components
Aggregate Expenditure Componentsmandalina landy
 
2 determination of gdp in the short run
2 determination of gdp in the short run2 determination of gdp in the short run
2 determination of gdp in the short runLakshayyadav5
 
Impact of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on Economic Development of A Country
Impact of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on Economic Development of A CountryImpact of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on Economic Development of A Country
Impact of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on Economic Development of A CountryMuhammad Asif Khan
 
Quiz, week #2Measuring macro outcomesMy expectations are that .docx
Quiz, week #2Measuring macro outcomesMy expectations are that .docxQuiz, week #2Measuring macro outcomesMy expectations are that .docx
Quiz, week #2Measuring macro outcomesMy expectations are that .docxcatheryncouper
 
European debt crisis ppt @ becdoms
European debt crisis  ppt @ becdomsEuropean debt crisis  ppt @ becdoms
European debt crisis ppt @ becdomsBabasab Patil
 
June 2009 unit 2 paper 2 answer
June 2009 unit 2 paper 2 answerJune 2009 unit 2 paper 2 answer
June 2009 unit 2 paper 2 answerCAPE ECONOMICS
 
Genuine -03_-_equilibrium_in_goods_market-1
Genuine  -03_-_equilibrium_in_goods_market-1Genuine  -03_-_equilibrium_in_goods_market-1
Genuine -03_-_equilibrium_in_goods_market-1Daniseck Adam
 
Multiplier analysis
Multiplier analysisMultiplier analysis
Multiplier analysisTej Kiran
 
Econ789 chapter028
Econ789 chapter028Econ789 chapter028
Econ789 chapter028sakanor
 
Mpp#016+macro economics.introduction.(24)
Mpp#016+macro economics.introduction.(24)Mpp#016+macro economics.introduction.(24)
Mpp#016+macro economics.introduction.(24)DOKTAHLUU
 
Aggregate Expenditure And Aggregate Demand
Aggregate Expenditure And Aggregate DemandAggregate Expenditure And Aggregate Demand
Aggregate Expenditure And Aggregate Demandmandalina landy
 
Lec week 11 fiscal policy0
Lec week 11 fiscal policy0Lec week 11 fiscal policy0
Lec week 11 fiscal policy0Ali Abbas
 
The Household-Consumption Sector
The Household-Consumption SectorThe Household-Consumption Sector
The Household-Consumption Sectorsadraus
 

Ähnlich wie How Aggregate Demand Drives Consumption, Investment and GDP (20)

Theory and Measurement in the Macroeconomy
Theory and Measurement in the MacroeconomyTheory and Measurement in the Macroeconomy
Theory and Measurement in the Macroeconomy
 
Aggregate Expenditure Components
Aggregate Expenditure ComponentsAggregate Expenditure Components
Aggregate Expenditure Components
 
2 determination of gdp in the short run
2 determination of gdp in the short run2 determination of gdp in the short run
2 determination of gdp in the short run
 
Lecture_2_post_mid.ppt
Lecture_2_post_mid.pptLecture_2_post_mid.ppt
Lecture_2_post_mid.ppt
 
AD & AS.ppt
AD & AS.pptAD & AS.ppt
AD & AS.ppt
 
National income
National income  National income
National income
 
Impact of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on Economic Development of A Country
Impact of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on Economic Development of A CountryImpact of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on Economic Development of A Country
Impact of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on Economic Development of A Country
 
Quiz, week #2Measuring macro outcomesMy expectations are that .docx
Quiz, week #2Measuring macro outcomesMy expectations are that .docxQuiz, week #2Measuring macro outcomesMy expectations are that .docx
Quiz, week #2Measuring macro outcomesMy expectations are that .docx
 
European debt crisis ppt @ becdoms
European debt crisis  ppt @ becdomsEuropean debt crisis  ppt @ becdoms
European debt crisis ppt @ becdoms
 
June 2009 unit 2 paper 2 answer
June 2009 unit 2 paper 2 answerJune 2009 unit 2 paper 2 answer
June 2009 unit 2 paper 2 answer
 
Genuine -03_-_equilibrium_in_goods_market-1
Genuine  -03_-_equilibrium_in_goods_market-1Genuine  -03_-_equilibrium_in_goods_market-1
Genuine -03_-_equilibrium_in_goods_market-1
 
Acca Notes
Acca NotesAcca Notes
Acca Notes
 
Multiplier analysis
Multiplier analysisMultiplier analysis
Multiplier analysis
 
Econ789 chapter028
Econ789 chapter028Econ789 chapter028
Econ789 chapter028
 
Mpp#016+macro economics.introduction.(24)
Mpp#016+macro economics.introduction.(24)Mpp#016+macro economics.introduction.(24)
Mpp#016+macro economics.introduction.(24)
 
Aggregate Expenditure And Aggregate Demand
Aggregate Expenditure And Aggregate DemandAggregate Expenditure And Aggregate Demand
Aggregate Expenditure And Aggregate Demand
 
Lec week 11 fiscal policy0
Lec week 11 fiscal policy0Lec week 11 fiscal policy0
Lec week 11 fiscal policy0
 
Chap012%20%281%29
Chap012%20%281%29Chap012%20%281%29
Chap012%20%281%29
 
Chapter 3
Chapter 3Chapter 3
Chapter 3
 
The Household-Consumption Sector
The Household-Consumption SectorThe Household-Consumption Sector
The Household-Consumption Sector
 

Mehr von telliott876

Ch 13 money and the financial system macro econ4
Ch 13 money and the financial system macro econ4Ch 13 money and the financial system macro econ4
Ch 13 money and the financial system macro econ4telliott876
 
Chapter 19 economic development
Chapter 19 economic developmentChapter 19 economic development
Chapter 19 economic developmenttelliott876
 
Chapter 16 macro policy
Chapter 16 macro policyChapter 16 macro policy
Chapter 16 macro policytelliott876
 
Chapter 15 monetary theory-and-policy
Chapter 15 monetary theory-and-policyChapter 15 monetary theory-and-policy
Chapter 15 monetary theory-and-policytelliott876
 
Chapter 14 money-and-the money supply
Chapter 14 money-and-the money supplyChapter 14 money-and-the money supply
Chapter 14 money-and-the money supplytelliott876
 
Chapter 12 federal budgets-and-public policy
Chapter 12 federal budgets-and-public policyChapter 12 federal budgets-and-public policy
Chapter 12 federal budgets-and-public policytelliott876
 
Chapter 11 fiscal policy
Chapter 11 fiscal policyChapter 11 fiscal policy
Chapter 11 fiscal policytelliott876
 
Chapter 10 aggregate supply
Chapter 10 aggregate supplyChapter 10 aggregate supply
Chapter 10 aggregate supplytelliott876
 
Chapter 5 price elasticity
Chapter 5 price elasticityChapter 5 price elasticity
Chapter 5 price elasticitytelliott876
 
Chapter 1-Micro-TonyaElliott
Chapter 1-Micro-TonyaElliottChapter 1-Micro-TonyaElliott
Chapter 1-Micro-TonyaElliotttelliott876
 
Chapter11 fiscal policy
Chapter11 fiscal policyChapter11 fiscal policy
Chapter11 fiscal policytelliott876
 
Personal finance.hs
Personal finance.hsPersonal finance.hs
Personal finance.hstelliott876
 
Survey section three
Survey section threeSurvey section three
Survey section threetelliott876
 
Seven major sources of economic progress
Seven major sources of economic progressSeven major sources of economic progress
Seven major sources of economic progresstelliott876
 
Twelve key elements of economics
Twelve key elements of economicsTwelve key elements of economics
Twelve key elements of economicstelliott876
 
Chapter 20-Macro
Chapter 20-MacroChapter 20-Macro
Chapter 20-Macrotelliott876
 
Chapter 17-Macro
Chapter 17-MacroChapter 17-Macro
Chapter 17-Macrotelliott876
 
Chapter 14-Macro
Chapter 14-MacroChapter 14-Macro
Chapter 14-Macrotelliott876
 

Mehr von telliott876 (20)

Ch 13 money and the financial system macro econ4
Ch 13 money and the financial system macro econ4Ch 13 money and the financial system macro econ4
Ch 13 money and the financial system macro econ4
 
Chapter 19 economic development
Chapter 19 economic developmentChapter 19 economic development
Chapter 19 economic development
 
Chapter 16 macro policy
Chapter 16 macro policyChapter 16 macro policy
Chapter 16 macro policy
 
Chapter 15 monetary theory-and-policy
Chapter 15 monetary theory-and-policyChapter 15 monetary theory-and-policy
Chapter 15 monetary theory-and-policy
 
Chapter 14 money-and-the money supply
Chapter 14 money-and-the money supplyChapter 14 money-and-the money supply
Chapter 14 money-and-the money supply
 
Chapter 12 federal budgets-and-public policy
Chapter 12 federal budgets-and-public policyChapter 12 federal budgets-and-public policy
Chapter 12 federal budgets-and-public policy
 
Chapter 11 fiscal policy
Chapter 11 fiscal policyChapter 11 fiscal policy
Chapter 11 fiscal policy
 
Chapter 10 aggregate supply
Chapter 10 aggregate supplyChapter 10 aggregate supply
Chapter 10 aggregate supply
 
Chapter 5 price elasticity
Chapter 5 price elasticityChapter 5 price elasticity
Chapter 5 price elasticity
 
Chapter 1-Micro-TonyaElliott
Chapter 1-Micro-TonyaElliottChapter 1-Micro-TonyaElliott
Chapter 1-Micro-TonyaElliott
 
Monetary policy
Monetary policyMonetary policy
Monetary policy
 
Chapter11 fiscal policy
Chapter11 fiscal policyChapter11 fiscal policy
Chapter11 fiscal policy
 
Personal finance.hs
Personal finance.hsPersonal finance.hs
Personal finance.hs
 
Survey section three
Survey section threeSurvey section three
Survey section three
 
Seven major sources of economic progress
Seven major sources of economic progressSeven major sources of economic progress
Seven major sources of economic progress
 
Twelve key elements of economics
Twelve key elements of economicsTwelve key elements of economics
Twelve key elements of economics
 
Chapter 20-Macro
Chapter 20-MacroChapter 20-Macro
Chapter 20-Macro
 
Chapter 17-Macro
Chapter 17-MacroChapter 17-Macro
Chapter 17-Macro
 
Chapter 14-Macro
Chapter 14-MacroChapter 14-Macro
Chapter 14-Macro
 
Chapter8-Macro
Chapter8-MacroChapter8-Macro
Chapter8-Macro
 

How Aggregate Demand Drives Consumption, Investment and GDP

  • 1. CChhaapptteerr 99 AAggggrreeggaattee EExxppeennddiittuurree aanndd AAggggrreeggaattee DDeemmaanndd
  • 2. CCCCoooonnnnssssuuuummmmppppttttiiiioooonnnn • Consumption tends to reflect income. • The positive and stable relationship between consumption and income – This is true for the household and for the economy as a whole.
  • 3. LO1 Disposable Income, Consumption, and Saving in the United States Exhibit 1
  • 4. TThhee CCoonnssuummppttiioonn FFuunnccttiioonn • Based on Disposable Income, households decide how much to save and how much to consume. • Dependent Variable: Consumption – This means consumption depends on income. • Independent Variable: Disposable Income
  • 5. U.S. Consumption Depends on Disposable Income LO1 Exhibit 2
  • 6. LO1 Exhibit 3 The Consumption Function 11 10 8 9 7 6 5 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1011121314 Real disposable income (trillions of dollars) 1 2 3 4 Real consumption (trillions of dollars) C The consumption function, C, shows the relationship between consumption and disposable income, other things constant.
  • 7. Marginal Propensities to Consume and to Save  Marginal propensity to consume, MPC  Fraction of additional income that is spent  Change in consumption // cchhaannggee iinn iinnccoommee  Marginal propensity to save, MPS  Fraction of additional income that is saved  CChhaannggee iinn ssaavviinngg // cchhaannggee iinn iinnccoommee  MPC + MPS = 1  The sum of all disposable income, 100%- either saved or consumed.
  • 8. MMPPCC,, MMPPSS,, aanndd tthhee SSllooppeess  MPC  The slope of the Consumption function  MPS MPC = D C DI D  The slope of the Saving function MPS = D S DI D
  • 9. LO1 Exhibit 4 Marginal Propensities to Consume and to Save Real consumption (trillions of dollars) (a) Consumption function (b) Saving function Real saving (trillions of dollars) 0 MPC=ΔC/ΔDI=0.4/0.5=4/5 a b MPS=ΔS/ΔDI=0.1/0.5=1/5 c ΔC=0.4 ΔDI=0.5 ΔDI=0.5 Real disposable income 0 (trillions of dollars) d ΔS=0.1 The slope of the C function equals the marginal propensity to consume. For the straight-line C function in (a), the slope is the same at all levels of income and is given by the change in consumption divided by the change in disposable income that causes it: MPC=4/5. The slope of the S function in (b) equals the marginal propensity to save, MPS=1/5.
  • 10. Non-income Determinants of Consumption • Net Wealth and Consumption – The value of all assets that each household owns minus an liabilities or debt. – It is a stock variable. – May include a home, furnishings, automobiles, bank accounts, stocks and bonds.
  • 11.
  • 12. Non-income Determinants of Consumption • The Price Level: – When price level changes, so does the real value of cash and bank accounts. – An INCREASE in the price level reduces the purchasing power of money holdings, causing households to consume less and save more at each income level. – BUT, if the price level DECREASES-the opposite will happen.
  • 13. Non-income Determinants of Consumption • The Interest Rate: – The reward savers earn for deferring consumption and the cost borrowers pay for current spending power. – The higher the interest rate, the less is usually spent on credit. – The lower the interest rate, the more is usually spent on credit.
  • 14. Non-income Determinants of Consumption • Expectations: – Future income increases would increase current consumption. – Future price level increases would increase current consumption. – Future interest rate increase would increase current consumption.
  • 15. LO1 Exhibit 5 Shifts of the Consumption Function C’’ C C’ Real disposable income Real consumption An upward shift, such as from C to C’’, can be caused by an increase in net wealth, a decrease in the price level, an favorable change in consumer expectations, or a decrease in the interest rate. 0 A downward shift of the consumption function, such as from C to C’, can be caused by a decrease in net wealth, an increase in the price level, an unfavorable change in consumer expectations, or an increase in the interest rate.
  • 16. TThhee LLiiffee--CCyyccllee HHyyppootthheessiiss • Do people with high incomes save a larger fraction of their income than those with low incomes? – Theory and evidence support this – On average, net savings over a lifetime is usually little or nothing.
  • 17. IInnvveessttmmeenntt 1) New factories, office buildings, malls, and new equipment 2) New housing 3) Net increases in inventories It is NOT stocks and bonds!!!
  • 18. Investment LO2 Gross private domestic investment New physical capital New housing Net increases to inventories Firms purchase new capital Expect higher return Market interest rate Opportunity cost of investing in capital
  • 19. Rates of Return on Golf Carts and the Opportunity Cost of Funds 25 20 15 10 8 0 $2,000 $4,000 $6,000 $8,000 $10,000 Investment 5 Nominal interest rate (percent) Market rate of interest Expected rate of return An individual firm invests in any project with a rate of return that exceeds the market interest rate. At an interest rate of 8%, Hacker Haven purchases three golf carts, investing $6,000. LO2 Exhibit 6
  • 20. Investment LO2 Investment demand curve Inverse relationship Quality of investment demanded Market interest rate Other things constant Business expectations Optimistic expectations Investment demand increases
  • 21. Investment Demand Curve for the Economy The investment demand curve for the economy sums the investment demanded by each firm at each interest rate. At lower interest rates, more investment projects become profitable for individual firms, so total investment in the economy increases. LO2 Exhibit 7 10 8 0 0.9 1.0 1.1 Investment (trillions of dollars) 6 Nominal interest rate (percent) D
  • 22. IInnvveessttmmeenntt aanndd DDiissppoossaabbllee IInnccoommee • How does investment vary with income in the economy? – The link between investment and income is weaker than investment and consumption. – Investment depends more on interest rates and on business expectations than on income levels.
  • 23. IInnvveessttmmeenntt FFuunnccttiioonn • The investment function assumes that investment is unrelated to disposable income. • Investment is assumed to be autonomous with respect to disposable income.
  • 24. Investment Function 1.1 1.0 I’’ I’ 12.0 14.0 Investment is assumed to be independent of income, as shown by horizontal lines. Thus, investment is assumed to be autonomous. A decrease in the interest rate or more upbeat business expectations would increase investment at every level of income, as shown by the upward shift from I to I’’. An increase in the interest rate or less favorable business expectations would decrease investment at every level of income, as shown by the downward shift from I to I’. LO2 Exhibit 8 0.9 Investment (trillions of dollars) I 0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 Real disposable income (trillions of dollars)
  • 25. Non-income Determinants of Investment • The interest rate – An increase in interest rate will cause a decrease in investment. • Higher opportunity cost – An decrease in interest rate will cause an increase in investment. • Lower opportunity cost • Business Expectations – Investment plans – Wars – Tax changes
  • 26. Annual Percentage Change in U.S. Real GDP, Consumption, and Investment LO2 Exhibit 9
  • 27. GGoovveerrnnmmeenntt PPuurrcchhaassee FFuunnccttiioonn  Government purchases of goods and services  Government purchase function:  Government purchases unrelated to DI  Autonomous  Increase in government purchases  Upward shift of G function
  • 28. GGoovveerrnnmmeenntt PPuurrcchhaasseess • Transfer Payments: – Outright grants from government to households – Vary inversely with DI • Net Taxes: – Transfer Payments minus taxes
  • 29. Net Exports LO4  Net exports = Exports – Imports  Income increases: imports increase  Autonomous of income  If Imports > Exports: Net exports < 0  If Exports > Imports: Net exports > 0  Non-income determinants of net exports  Price level (U.S. and foreign)  Interest rates (U.S. and foreign)  Foreign income  Exchange rate
  • 30. LO4 Exhibit 10 Net Export Function -380 -400 -420 Net exports (billions of dollars) 12.0 14.0 X’’-M’’ X-M 0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 Real disposable income (trillions of dollars) X’-M’ A decrease in the value of the dollar would increase net exports at each level of income, as shown by the shift up to X’’-M’’. An increase in the value of the dollar relative to other currencies would decrease net exports at each level of income, as shown by the shift down to X’-M’. Net exports here are assumed to be independent of disposable income, as shown by the horizontal lines. X-M is the net export function when autonomous net exports equal -$400 billion.
  • 31. Composition of Aggregate Expenditure  Consumption, C  Stable; long term trend: increase  Investment, I  Fluctuates  Government purchase, G  Long-term trend: declined  Net exports, X-M  Last decade: -4% LO5
  • 32. LO5 Exhibit 11 U.S. Spending Components as Percentages of GDP Since 1959
  • 33. AAggggrreeggaattee EExxppeennddiittuurree aanndd IInnccoommee  A dollar spent (expenditure)=A dollar earned (income)  Aggregate expenditure components  Consumption, C – varies with income  Investment, I – autonomous  Government purchases, G – autonomous  Net exports, (X-M) - autonomous  Government budget: balanced  G = Net taxes
  • 34. AAggggrreeggaattee EExxppeennddiittuurree aanndd IInnccoommee  AE = C + I + G + (X – M)  Aggregate expenditure line  Planned spending  At each level of real GDP (aggregate output; aggregate income)  Given price level  Slope of AE line = MPC, since all other components are autonomous
  • 35. AAggggrreeggaattee EExxppeennddiittuurree aanndd IInnccoommee  Income – Expenditure model  AE line, given price level  45-degree line  Spending = real GDP  Aggregate output demanded (real GDP)  AE = real GDP
  • 36. AAggggrreeggaattee EExxppeennddiittuurree aanndd IInnccoommee  If spending > real GDP  Decrease inventories  Increase  Production and employment  Income and spending  If real GDP > spending  Unsold goods: increase inventories  Decrease  Production and employment  Income and spending
  • 37. Total Output (Real GDP-measured in trillions) Planned Aggregate Expenditures Tendency of Output $12.40 $12.70 Expand 12.70 12.85 Expand 13.00 13.00 Equilibrium 13.30 13.15 Contract 13.60 13.30 Contract
  • 38. LO1 Deriving the Real GDP Demanded for a Given Price Level C + I + G + (X - M) e a d 15.0 14.8 14.0 13.2 0 13.0 14.0 15.0 Real GDP (trillions of dollars) 13.0 Aggregate expenditure (trillions of dollars) 45° Real GDP demanded for a given price level is found where aggregate expenditure equals aggregate output – that is, where spending equals the amount produced, or real GDP. This occurs at point e, where the aggregate expenditure line intersects the 45-degree line. b c Exhibit 1
  • 39. TTTThhhheeee SSSSppppeeeennnnddddiiiinnnngggg MMMMuuuullllttttiiiipppplllliiiieeeerrrr EEEEffffffffeeeecccctttt • Keynes also argued that even a minor disturbance would often be amplified into a major disruption. • The multiplier indicates that changes in autonomous expenditures, those that don’t vary with income, will exert an amplified impact on output and income.
  • 40. TThhee SSppeennddiinngg MMuullttiipplliieerr EEffffeecctt • The spending multiplier is the ratio of the change in real GDP to the initial change in any component of aggregate expenditures, including consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports.
  • 41. TTTThhhheeee SSSSppppeeeennnnddddiiiinnnngggg MMMMuuuullllttttiiiipppplllliiiieeeerrrr EEEEffffffffeeeecccctttt Spending Multiplier change in equilibrium GDP inital change in aggregate exp enditures MPC Spending Multiplier - = 1 1 =
  • 42. Stage Additional Income Additional Consumption Marginal Propensity to Consume Round 1 1,000,000 750,000 3/4 Round 2 750,000 562,500 3/4 Round 3 562,500 421,875 3/4 Round 4 421,875 316,406 3/4 Round 5 316,406 237,305 3/4 Round 6 237,305 177,979 3/4 Round 7 177,979 133,484 3/4 Round 8 133,484 100,113 3/4 Round 9 100,113 75,085 3/4 Round 10 75,085 56,315 3/4 All Others 225,253 168,939 3/4 Total 4,000,000 3,000,000 3/4 Spending Multiplier= 1/ (1-MPC) = 4 This implies that the account injected into the economy will be four times greater than the monetary value.
  • 43. Aggregate Demand for Goods and Services • Quantity: the output of the entire economy – Real GDP • Price: the price level in the entire economy – Price Index: CPI, GDP deflator • Since demand in the goods and services market aggregates, then the purchases of all consumers, investors, government, and foreigners is called Aggregate Demand (AD).
  • 44. AAggggrreeggaattee DDeemmaanndd CCuurrvvee • Aggregate Demand (AD) Curve: Shows the various quantities of domestically produced goods and services consumers are willing to buy at different price levels in the economy. • It shows the level of real GDP purchased by Households, government, and foreigners (net exports) at different possible price levels during a time period – Example of the Curve • What does it mean to be downward sloping? – Is this the same as individual demand?
  • 45. Example of AD Curve Price Level AD Real GDP
  • 46. WWhhyy iiss iitt ddoowwnnwwaarrdd ssllooppiinngg Three major reasons 1. A lower price level will increase the purchasing power of money ( Real Balances Effect) 2. The interest rate effect 3. Domestic goods become cheaper than foreign goods (the net exports effect)
  • 47. NNoonn--pprriiccee DDeetteerrmmiinnaannttss ooff AADD • Changes in Consumption • Changes in Investment • Changes in Government Purchases • Net Exports