2. AGENDA
CEO review Harri Koponen
Financial review Lars Nilsson
Operating review of Mobile Harri Koponen
Concluding remarks Harri Koponen
2 2009-04-22 First quarter 2009
3. HIGHLIGHTS Q1
• Robust first quarter with good sales growth and solid EBITDA
• Nordic
– New partnership in Sweden to build a joint LTE network
– Swedish mobile operations benefiting from SUNAB JV with stable EBIT contribution
– EBITDA contribution from Swedish fixed telephony and broadband expanding in the
quarter
– Good EBITDA development in Norway
• Russia
– Roll-out of new regions accelerated during the quarter
– EBITDA margin in old regions of 36 percent
• Central Europe
– Stable EBITDA contribution in the Baltic region
• Lithuania delivered a record high margin of 37 percent
– Good operational momentum in Croatia during Q1 2009, adding in total 62,000 new
customers
• Western Europe
– The Dutch operation increased its EBITDA by 88 percent in the first quarter
• Driven by fixed broadband development
– The restructuring of the Austrian business delivered first positive EBIT result
3 2009-04-22 First quarter 2009
4. ECONOMIC IMPACT
• Macro economic conditions are still deteriorating
• The effects of the global recession can be observed in some parts of
Tele2’s operations
• The company has acted
– Contingency plans in place to prevent an impact of the economic
slowdown
– Measures include scrutinizing both operational and capital expenditures
– Aim to keep cash generation intact
• The current economic environment gives rise to investment
opportunities
4 2009-04-22 First quarter 2009
5. FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS Q1 2009
• Robust financial performance in Q1 2009
– Revenue of SEK 10,120 million, up 6 percent
– EBITDA of SEK 2,227 million, up 34 percent
– Cash flow after Capex SEK 682 (508) million
• Low financial gearing with net debt to EBITDA 0.7 times*)
• Progressive view on dividend
– Proposed total dividend SEK 5
• New credit facility of SEK 12,000 million
– A solid financial position that is a good foundation to build upon in 2009
*) Including obligations to JV
5 2009-04-22 First quarter 2009
6. AGENDA
CEO review Harri Koponen
Financial review Lars Nilsson
Operating review of Mobile Harri Koponen
Concluding remarks Harri Koponen
6 2009-04-22 First quarter 2009
7. Q1 2009 GROUP RESULTS
SEK million Q1 09 Q1 08 Change %
Continuing operations, Net Sales 10,120 9,527 6%
EBITDA 2,227 1,660 34%
- EBITDA margin (%) 22,0% 17,4%
Depreciation and joint venture -894 -930
- Depreciation of net sales (%) 8,7% 9,1%
One-off items -4 83
EBIT 1,329 813
Normalized EBIT 1,333 730
- Normalized EBIT margin (%) 13,2% 7,7%
Financial items -592 -28
Taxes -273 -84
Net result, continuing operations 464 701
Net result, discontinued operations 184 49
Net result 648 750
7 2009-04-22 First quarter 2009
9. INTRAGROUP FX
SEK million Q1 09 Q1 08 Diff
Exchange rate differences, intragroup -267 -34 -233
Other comprehensive income -122 -295 173
-389 -329 -60
• Total intragroup FX affecting Q1 389 million SEK, partly
reported in Income statement and partly in
Comprehensive income
Weaker RUB – 7 %
9 2009-04-22 First quarter 2009
10. “OUR” CURRENCIES
Currency vs. Q1 2008 vs. 31 dec 2008
EUR + 16 % -
RUB -5% -7%
”BALTICS” + 16 % -
USD + 34 % +7%
• USD private placement 220 MUSD
10 2009-04-22 First quarter 2009
11. NET ASSETS IN FOREIGN CURRENCIES
100%
8% 8%
80% 22% 24%
Other
60% 22% 21% Baltics
Russia
40%
EUR
20% 48% 47%
0%
Year-end 2008 Q1 2009
Total 25.4 bSEK Total 25.4 bSEK
11 2009-04-22 First quarter 2009
12. TAXES
• Reported tax for Q1 2009 amounted to SEK -273 million whereof -186 was
related to the S.E.C tax dispute. Tax payment affecting cash-flow amounted
to SEK 456 million
• In 2009 Tele2 forecasts a corporate tax rate of approximately 20%
excluding one-off items
• The tax payment will affect 2009 cash flow by approximately 800 million
• Tax dispute
– In Q1 2009, Tele2 announced that the company was not allowed to deduct a
capital loss of SEK 13.9 billion, which was associated with the liquidation of
S.E.C. S.A. in 2001
– Tele2 will appeal the decision made by the County Administrative Court
– Tele2 is of the opinion that the dispute will be settled in Tele2’s favor and has
only provisioned for a limited part
12 2009-04-22 First quarter 2009
13. CASH FLOW FOR Q1 2009
SEK million Q1 09 Q1 08
OPERATING ACTIVITIES
Taxes paid -456 -320
Cash flow from operations, other 1,892 1,745
Changes in working capital 395 82
CASH FLOW FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES 1,831 1,507
INVESTING ACTIVITIES
CAPEX -1,149 -999
Cash Flow after CAPEX 682 508
Acquisition of shares and participations -59 -398
Sale of shares and participations -38 -68
Changes of long-term receivables 362 156
CASH FLOW AFTER INVESTING ACTIVITIES 947 198
13 2009-04-22 First quarter 2009
14. DIVIDEND PROPOSAL
• Tele2’s intention over the medium term is to pay a progressive
ordinary dividend to its shareholders
• The board of Tele2 AB has decided to recommend an increase of
the ordinary dividend by 11 percent to SEK 3.50 (3.15) per share
• The board has also decided to recommend a special dividend of
SEK 1.50 (4.70) per share at the AGM
14 2009-04-22 First quarter 2009
15. BALANCE SHEET Q1 2009
SEK million Q1 09 Q1 08
Assets
FIXED ASSETS 34,446 32,866
CURRENT ASSETS 11,815 15,485
ASSETS 46,261 48,351
Equity and liabilities
SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY 28,746 27,173
LONG-TERM LIABILITIES 5,633 5,731
SHORT-TERM LIABILITIES 11,882 15,447
EQUITY AND LIABILITIES 46,261 48,351
15 2009-04-22 First quarter 2009
16. GROUP FINANCIAL PROFILE
20 000 3
18 000 Net debt incl. JV
16 000 2,5
14 000 2 Net debt
12 000
10 000 1,5
8 000 Net debt/
6 000 1 EBITDA incl. JV
4 000 0,5 Net debt/
2 000 EBITDA
0 0
07
08
07
09
08
Q1
Q3
Q1
Q1
Q3
• Net debt amounted to SEK 4,433 (4,935) million in Q1 2009
– 0.5 times FY 2008 EBITDA
– 0.7 times FY 2008 EBITDA including guarantees to JV
16 2009-04-22 First quarter 2009
17. NET INTAKE PER SEGMENT
1000
800
600
400 Fixed broadband
200 Fixed telephony
0 Mobile
-200 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
07 08 08 08 08 09
-400
-600
• Tele2 has experienced a general slowdown in customer activity affecting overall
intake
• Mobile customer base increasing by 239,000 new users
17 2009-04-22 First quarter 2009
18. GROUP Q1 2009 MOBILE
25 000
20 000
15 000 Mobile Internet 0.2 million
Pre paid voice 15.7 million
10 000 Post paid voice 3.7 million
5 000
0
Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09
• Total number of mobile customers 19.6 million Q1 2009
18 2009-04-22 First quarter 2009
19. GROUP Q1 2009 NET SALES
12 000
10 000
8 000 Other
Fixed broadband
6 000
Fixed telephony
4 000 Mobile
2 000
0
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
07 08 08 08 08 09
• Mobile net sales SEK 6 175 million, up 9 percent
– Favorable currency movement contributed by approximately SEK 500 million in quarter
• Fixed Broadband net sales SEK 1 807 million, up 24 percent
– Main driver fixed broadband in Tele2 Netherlands
19 2009-04-22 First quarter 2009
20. GROUP Q1 2009 EBITDA
2 500 25,00%
Other
2 000 20,00%
Fixed broadband
1 500
15,00%
Fixed telephony
1 000
10,00%
500 Mobile
0 5,00%
Group EBITDA
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 margin
-500 0,00%
07 08 08 08 08 09
• Group EBITDA margin 22 percent
– Lithuania delivering new record EBITDA margin of 37 percent
– Improved performance in the Dutch and Austrian fixed broadband operations
– Launch costs in Russia together with increased marketing and 3G traffic expenses weighted
on the mobile performance
20 2009-04-22 First quarter 2009
21. MOBILE Q1 2009 EBITDA
2 000 30,00%
1 800
1 600 25,00%
1 400 20,00% Mobile
1 200
1 000 15,00%
800 Mobile EBITDA
600 10,00% margin
400 5,00%
200
0 0,00%
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
07 08 08 08 08 09
• Mobile EBITDA margin 23 percent
– Launch costs in Russia affecting the quarter. FY 2009 expecting opex of SEK 500-700million
related to the roll-out of the 17 new licenses
– Swedish mobile operations affected by higher marketing costs due better post-paid intake
and a larger part of the total traffic being carried on the 3G network
– Stable performance in the Baltic region
21 2009-04-22 First quarter 2009
22. FIXED BROADBAND Q1 2009 EBITDA
300 15,00%
250
200 10,00%
150
100 5,00% Fixed broadband
50
0,00%
0 Fixed broadband
-50 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 -5,00% EBITDA margin
-100 07 08 08 08 08 09
-150 -10,00%
-200
-250 -15,00%
• Fixed broadband EBITDA margin 13 percent
– Excellent performance in Tele2 Netherlands driven by continued success in the B2B and
consumer segment
– The Austrian operations benefiting from the restructuring process
22 2009-04-22 First quarter 2009
24. GROUP Q1 2009 EBIT
2000 16,00%
Other
14,00%
1500
12,00% Fixed broadband
1000
10,00%
Fixed telephony
500 8,00%
6,00% Mobile
0
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 4,00%
-500 07 08 08 08 08 09 Group EBIT
2,00%
margin
-1000 0,00%
• Group EBIT margin 13% percent excluding one-off item
• Improved operational performance in fixed broadband and fixed telephony lifting EBIT
performance
– Benefits with SUNAB giving stable EBIT contribution from Sweden mobile
24 2009-04-22 First quarter 2009
25. GROUP Q1 2009 CAPEX
1600 16,00%
1400 14,00%
1200 12,00% Other
1000 10,00% Fixed broadband
800 8,00% Fixed telephony
600 6,00% Mobile
400 4,00% Capex/sales
200 2,00%
0 0,00%
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
07 08 08 08 08 09
• Group Capex SEK 1,168 million or 12 percent of net sales
– FY 2009 expectation in the range of SEK 4,700-4,900 million, affected by FX movement
• Expansion in Russia the main driver
– FY 2009 expectation in the range of SEK 1,300-1,500 million related to roll-out of new
licenses
25 2009-04-22 First quarter 2009
26. FINANCIAL SUMMARY
• Overall solid operational performance
• EBIT positive in all markets except for Croatia
• All segments showing strong results
• Robust liquidity profile after refinancing and strong cash flow
However, the effects of the global recession can be observed in some
parts of Tele2’s operations
26 2009-04-22 First quarter 2009
27. AGENDA
CEO review Harri Koponen
Financial review Lars Nilsson
Operating review of Mobile Harri Koponen
Concluding remarks Harri Koponen
27 2009-04-22 First quarter 2009
28. GENERAL MARKET TRENDS IN MOBILE
• Customer intake affected by current macro environment
– More price sensitive and interested in SIM only offers
• No clear trend in MoU
– Some markets showing slowdown in usage
• Pricing environment for basic voice fairly stable
• Good interest in mobile Internet services
• Operators having better pricing power
28 2009-04-22 First quarter 2009
29. TELE2 SWEDEN MOBILE
3 400 140
3 350
120
• Revenue growth of 3 percent
3 300 • Slowing customer activity in
100
3 250 voice services
3 200 80
Mobile subscriber – Lower pre-paid intake due to
3 150 60
Net intake higher churn
3 100 – Better post-paid intake and
40
3 050
prolonged interest in SIM-only
20 offers
3 000
2 950 0
• 15.000 new mobile Internet
Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 users
2 000 40,00% – Total base 185,000
35,00% • MoU continue to grow, both
1 950
30,00%
voice and VAS
1 900
25,00%
• New partnership regarding
Mobile net sales future LTE network deployment
1 850 20,00% EBIT marg.
EBITDA marg. • EBITDA 32 percent
15,00%
1 800 – More traffic carried over the 3G
10,00%
network/SUNAB JV
1 750
5,00% – Higher intake of post-paid
1 700 0,00% customers leading to increased
Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 marketing costs
29 2009-04-22 First quarter 2009
30. TELE2 SWEDEN MOBILE (contd)
4 000
3 500
3 000
2 500 Mobile Internet 0.2 million
2 000 Pre paid voice 1.9 million
1 500 Post paid voice 1.3 million
1 000
500
0
Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09
• Total number of mobile customers 3.4 Q1 2009
30 2009-04-22 First quarter 2009
31. TELE2 NORWAY MOBILE
465 25
460 20
455 • Tele2 staying the price leader
15
450
despite tough market
10
Mobile subscriber
conditions
445
5
Net intake
• Underlying customer intake
440
0
7,000 in Q1 2009
435
– 11,000 customers cancelled
430 -5 due to inactivity
425 -10 • ARPU positively impacted by a
Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09
“cleaner” customer base
700 12,00% • EBITDA contribution despite
680 10,00% lower termination rate from
8,00% February
660
6,00% • Network Norway JV affecting
640
4,00%
Mobile net sales EBIT by SEK -16 million
EBITDA marg.
620
2,00%
600
0,00%
580 -2,00%
560 -4,00%
Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09
31 2009-04-22 First quarter 2009
32. TELE2 RUSSIA MOBILE
• Revenue growth in local
12 000 700
currency 20 percent
10 000
600 – Overall result affected
negatively by FX movements
500
8 000
• More than 10.6 million
400
6 000
Mobile subscriber customers
Net intake
300 – Net intake in the quarter lower
4 000
200
than internal expectation
2 000
• Stable ARPU development
100
despite economic weakness
0 0
Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09
• Roll-out of new GSM licenses
accelerated in the quarter
2 500 37,00%
– Opex costs from new regions
36,00%
affecting total EBITDA in Q1
2 000 35,00% 2009
34,00%
1 500
• Improved network quality and
33,00% Mobile net sales data usage through the
EBITDA marg.
1 000
32,00% introduction of EDGE
31,00% technology
500 30,00%
29,00%
0 28,00%
Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09
32 2009-04-22 First quarter 2009
33. TELE2 BALTIC MOBILE
3 600 60
• Challenging economic
3 550 40 environment
3 500 20
– Lithuania more stable than
Estonia/Latvia
Mobile subscriber
3 450 0
Net intake – Price competition in Latvia
3 400 -20
fierce
• Robust EBITDA
3 350 -40
development despite
3 300 -60 current economic climate
Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09
– Lithuania 37 percent
1400 40,00%
EBITDA margin
1200 35,00%
• Price leadership creating
30,00%
1000 opportunities
25,00% Latvia net sales
800
Lithuania net sales
– Focus on higher ARPU
20,00%
600
Estonia net sales segments and enterprise
EBITDA marg.
15,00% customers
400
10,00%
200 5,00%
0 0,00%
Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09
33 2009-04-22 First quarter 2009
34. TELE2 CROATIA MOBILE
900 80
• The Croatian operations
800 70
developing according to
700
600
60
plan
50
500 Mobile subscriber
• Good customer intake in the
40
400 Net intake quarter
30
300 – Improved marketing
200
20
strategy leading to
100 10 improved customer
0 0 perception
Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09
• Opex affected by higher
350 0,00%
marketing spending and
300 -10,00%
acquisition costs
250 -20,00%
200 -30,00%
Mobile net sales
EBITDA marg.
150 -40,00%
100 -50,00%
50 -60,00%
0 -70,00%
Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09
34 2009-04-22 First quarter 2009
35. REGULATION
Mobile regulation
• Europe has been the foundation for many mobile operators
• Predictable regulatory agenda important to prolong this trend
• Frequency re-farming is a sign of proactive thinking of the national regulators
in Sweden
– Hopefully a data point that will become a trend throughout Europe
35 2009-04-22 First quarter 2009
36. AGENDA
CEO review Harri Koponen
Financial review Lars Nilsson
Operating review of Mobile Harri Koponen
Concluding remarks Harri Koponen
36 2009-04-22 First quarter 2009
37. CONCLUDING REMARKS
• The quarter showed good revenue development together with solid EBITDA
contribution
• The company has acted on economic slowdown
• Solid financial position a good foundation to build upon in 2009
• Top priorities in 2009
– Tele2 will continue to focus on cost discipline in all parts of the organization
• Tele2 should use its cost advantage to carefully move its position forward
– Roll-out of new regions in Russia
– Develop our mobile operations
• Compose a product portfolio that goes in line with the needs of our customers
– Tele2 will work harder in the corporate segment In both the Nordic and Western
European regions
37 2009-04-22 First quarter 2009