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RUSSIA




1   2009-09-16   Name Namesson
MARKET AREA RUSSIA
Dmitry Strashnov
Market Area Director
RUSSIA AT LARGE
                                 17,075,400 square kilometres
                                      142 million people
                                         11 time zones
                    Flight length from Kaliningrad to Vladivostok ~12 hours
                                           83 regions




3   2009-09-16   Name Namesson
RUSSIAN TELECOM MARKET
    Player             License Cover      Sub. Base    Market share growth rate*
                            #Regions       Q2 2009      July 2009 vs. July 2008
    MTS                      82 regions   67 420 000                      8,99%
    Beeline                  80 regions   49 500 000                    14,02%
    Megafon                  83 regions   45 400 000                    14,29%
    TELE2                    37 regions   12 381 000                    27,77%
                                                                       *Source: ACM




4    2009-09-16   Name Namesson
MOBILE SUBSCRIBER
    PENETRATION
    Penetration levels in Tele2 licensed areas
                 Market penetration: 129%*
                 Active SIM penetration: 95%**
                 Estimated human penetration: 82%**




    * & ** Source: ACM* and internal TELE2 research**

5   2009-09-16     Name Namesson
TELE2 RUSSIA CURRENT
    FOOTPRINT


                                 Licenses - 37 regions
                                 with a population of 61
                                         million




6   2009-09-16   Name Namesson
CLEAR BUSINESS GOALS
                                         THROUGH EVOLUTION
    Perceived price leadership/ Subscriber base




                                                                                                              Defender        17 REGIONS

                                                                                       Challenger             Retention
                                                                                                            ARPU protection
                                                                                  Subscribers acquisition
                                                               Newcomer             ARPU protection
                                                                                        Retention
                                                        Subscribers acquisition                                               20 REGIONS




                                                          1,5 – 2 years               2,5 – 3 years              >3 years


7                                                 2009-09-16     Name Namesson
TELE2 RUSSIA – OLD REGIONS




8   2009-09-16   Name Namesson
CONTINUOUS CUSTOMER GROWTH
    14 000 000                                                                                                       300
                                                 Total SUBS end of period     ARPU total

    12 000 000
                                                                       229                                           250
                                                                                  229         231
                                                           217                                        216      227
                                                217
    10 000 000                205      208
                     190
                                                                                                                     200

     8 000 000

                                                                                                                     150

     6 000 000

                                                                                                                     100
     4 000 000


                                                                                                                     50
     2 000 000


            0                                                                                                        0
                  Q1-07    Q2-07    Q3-07    Q4-07      Q1-08         Q2-08      Q3-08     Q4-08    Q1-09   Q2-09




9    2009-09-16     Name Namesson
SOLID PROFITABILITY PROFILE
     8 000 000                                                                                                          50%


                                                    Op Revenue    EBITDA   EBITDA %
     7 000 000
                                                                                                                        45%


     6 000 000


                                                                                                                  40%   40%
                                                                           37%        37%
     5 000 000
                                                                 36%                            36%      36%

     4 000 000                    33%         33%                                                                       35%
                                                     31%

     3 000 000
                      28%                                                                                               30%


     2 000 000


                                                                                                                        25%
     1 000 000



            0                                                                                                           20%
                  Q1-07         Q2-07       Q3-07   Q4-07        Q1-08     Q2-08      Q3-08   Q4-08   Q1-09    Q2-09




10       2009-09-16         Name Namesson
TELE2 IS NUMBER ONE
                       IN 10 OF 17 REGIONS
                                                               Tele2 share     Beeline Share   MTS Share   Megafon Share    Other Share
                                               40%
     Market share in existing regions, %.




                                                                         37%
                                               35%
                                               30%
                                               25%                                 22%          21%
                                               20%                                                          17%
                                               15%
                                               10%
                                                                                                                           3%
                                                 5%
                                                 0%
                                                                                                                       Source: Internal Tele2 research
                                                                                         As of July 31, 2009


11                                          2009-09-16   Name Namesson
TELE2 RUSSIA NEW REGIONS




12   2009-09-16   Name Namesson
NEW REGIONS: A 3-STEP LAUNCH




              Prelaunch              Press-
                                                 Event & sales on
              awareness           conference &
                                                 the main square
               building           add campaign
13   2009-09-16   Name Namesson
NEW REGIONS: CUSTOMER
     BASE DEVELOPMENT
                                                                                                                                    Novosibirsk

                                                     900

                                                     800                                                                            771,7
                                                                                                                  Bryansk
                  Subscribers new regions, k subs.




                                                     700

                                                     600
                                                                                                                           490,4
                                                     500                                        Tomsk
                                                     400
                                                             Karsnodar                                            368,4

                                                     300                                                 247,8
                                                                                                220,0
                                                                              189,3    194,8
                                                     200             148,0
                                                           106,8
                                                     100

                                                       0
                                                           dec-08    Jan-09   Feb-09   Mar-09   Apr-09   May-09   Jun-09   Jul-09   Aug-09




14   2009-09-16                                      Name Namesson
OUTLOOK

        Subscriber base should be able to reach 18-19 million by YE 2011
        Maintain ARPU growth at 5% by 2011
        EBITDA margin 2010-2011
                  Old regions’ EBITDA margin should evolve in the range of 40-45
                  percent
                  New regions’ EBITDA margin should break even 2 years from launch
                  Russia’s total EBITDA margin should develop in the range of 25-30
                  percent
        Capex 2010-2011
                  Accumulated Capex in Russia should be in the range of SEK 4.5-5.0
                  billion
        Selected acquisitions – when available and under right conditions



15   2009-09-16      Name Namesson
Q&A

16   2009-09-16   Name Namesson
SUMMARY
          Commercial launch of new regions on track

          New demanding but achievable operational
          targets set for Russia

          Tele2 Russia will continue to be the growth
          engine of the group



17   2009-09-16   Name Namesson

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CMD Russia 2009

  • 1. RUSSIA 1 2009-09-16 Name Namesson
  • 2. MARKET AREA RUSSIA Dmitry Strashnov Market Area Director
  • 3. RUSSIA AT LARGE 17,075,400 square kilometres 142 million people 11 time zones Flight length from Kaliningrad to Vladivostok ~12 hours 83 regions 3 2009-09-16 Name Namesson
  • 4. RUSSIAN TELECOM MARKET Player License Cover Sub. Base Market share growth rate* #Regions Q2 2009 July 2009 vs. July 2008 MTS 82 regions 67 420 000 8,99% Beeline 80 regions 49 500 000 14,02% Megafon 83 regions 45 400 000 14,29% TELE2 37 regions 12 381 000 27,77% *Source: ACM 4 2009-09-16 Name Namesson
  • 5. MOBILE SUBSCRIBER PENETRATION Penetration levels in Tele2 licensed areas Market penetration: 129%* Active SIM penetration: 95%** Estimated human penetration: 82%** * & ** Source: ACM* and internal TELE2 research** 5 2009-09-16 Name Namesson
  • 6. TELE2 RUSSIA CURRENT FOOTPRINT Licenses - 37 regions with a population of 61 million 6 2009-09-16 Name Namesson
  • 7. CLEAR BUSINESS GOALS THROUGH EVOLUTION Perceived price leadership/ Subscriber base Defender 17 REGIONS Challenger Retention ARPU protection Subscribers acquisition Newcomer ARPU protection Retention Subscribers acquisition 20 REGIONS 1,5 – 2 years 2,5 – 3 years >3 years 7 2009-09-16 Name Namesson
  • 8. TELE2 RUSSIA – OLD REGIONS 8 2009-09-16 Name Namesson
  • 9. CONTINUOUS CUSTOMER GROWTH 14 000 000 300 Total SUBS end of period ARPU total 12 000 000 229 250 229 231 217 216 227 217 10 000 000 205 208 190 200 8 000 000 150 6 000 000 100 4 000 000 50 2 000 000 0 0 Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08 Q2-08 Q3-08 Q4-08 Q1-09 Q2-09 9 2009-09-16 Name Namesson
  • 10. SOLID PROFITABILITY PROFILE 8 000 000 50% Op Revenue EBITDA EBITDA % 7 000 000 45% 6 000 000 40% 40% 37% 37% 5 000 000 36% 36% 36% 4 000 000 33% 33% 35% 31% 3 000 000 28% 30% 2 000 000 25% 1 000 000 0 20% Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08 Q2-08 Q3-08 Q4-08 Q1-09 Q2-09 10 2009-09-16 Name Namesson
  • 11. TELE2 IS NUMBER ONE IN 10 OF 17 REGIONS Tele2 share Beeline Share MTS Share Megafon Share Other Share 40% Market share in existing regions, %. 37% 35% 30% 25% 22% 21% 20% 17% 15% 10% 3% 5% 0% Source: Internal Tele2 research As of July 31, 2009 11 2009-09-16 Name Namesson
  • 12. TELE2 RUSSIA NEW REGIONS 12 2009-09-16 Name Namesson
  • 13. NEW REGIONS: A 3-STEP LAUNCH Prelaunch Press- Event & sales on awareness conference & the main square building add campaign 13 2009-09-16 Name Namesson
  • 14. NEW REGIONS: CUSTOMER BASE DEVELOPMENT Novosibirsk 900 800 771,7 Bryansk Subscribers new regions, k subs. 700 600 490,4 500 Tomsk 400 Karsnodar 368,4 300 247,8 220,0 189,3 194,8 200 148,0 106,8 100 0 dec-08 Jan-09 Feb-09 Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 14 2009-09-16 Name Namesson
  • 15. OUTLOOK Subscriber base should be able to reach 18-19 million by YE 2011 Maintain ARPU growth at 5% by 2011 EBITDA margin 2010-2011 Old regions’ EBITDA margin should evolve in the range of 40-45 percent New regions’ EBITDA margin should break even 2 years from launch Russia’s total EBITDA margin should develop in the range of 25-30 percent Capex 2010-2011 Accumulated Capex in Russia should be in the range of SEK 4.5-5.0 billion Selected acquisitions – when available and under right conditions 15 2009-09-16 Name Namesson
  • 16. Q&A 16 2009-09-16 Name Namesson
  • 17. SUMMARY Commercial launch of new regions on track New demanding but achievable operational targets set for Russia Tele2 Russia will continue to be the growth engine of the group 17 2009-09-16 Name Namesson