As we move to a world driven by platforms, the strategy of Christian higher education needs to adjust. This presentation lays out a vision for how Christian higher education might adjust its strategy to compete in a global world dominated by platforms. YouTube: https://youtu.be/fX1iYU4ehp0 If this were a "flipped classroom," here would be my discussion questions: Do you buy this vision and strategy? How can it be improved? If you do buy this, how can we become change agents to get the larger movement of Christian higher education to adapt its strategy? Who are the key influencers that we need to reach? How can we help bring the change that is needed? In this presentation I'm trying to capture some of of what I'm hoping will be come part of what the vision of Christian Higher Education Innovation Alliance might help do to achieve a "preferred future." What are your thoughts on the vision of CHEIA when it grows up? The intended audience for this presentation is change agents (like those this group) rather than skeptics. I realize that there would need to be a different presentation targeting skeptics, but honestly, I think the best way to win them over will be not through presentations, but by creating new wineskins that demonstrate that this works.

1. Developing a Modular Global Platform
Strategy for Christian Higher Education
Dr. Andrew Sears
President, City Vision University
www.cityvision.edu
andrew@cityvision.edu

2. Background
 Our $5,000 Degree Coverage in
◦ http://www.forbes.com/sites/ccap/2016/01/13/saylor-academy-sidesteps-the-evil-duo/#467c25f30626
 Christian Higher Education Innovation Alliance
◦ https://groups.google.com/forum/#!forum/cheia
◦ Developing a Christian counterpart to the University Innovation Alliance
 My related Blog Post on
◦ http://www.christenseninstitute.org/unlocking-stackable-global-credentials/
◦ http://www.christenseninstitute.org/a-standards-strategy-for-stackable-global-credentials/

3. Global Opportunity
100 Million
Students
in 2000
263 Million
Students
in 2025
(84% of growth in
the developing world)
Sources Karaim, R. (2011). Expanding higher education: should every country have a world-class university. CQ Global Researcher, 5(22), 525–572.
Lutz, W., & KC, S. K. (2013). Demography and Human Development: Education and Population Projections. UNDP-HDRO Occasional Papers,
(2013/04). Retrieved from http://hdr.undp.org/sites/default/files/hdro_1304_lutz_kc.pdf
137 Million New Students Per Year in Developing Countries by 2025

4. -
200,000,000
400,000,000
600,000,000
800,000,000
1,000,000,000
1,200,000,000
1,400,000,000
1,600,000,000
1,800,000,000
2,000,000,000
1800 1900 1970 2000 2007 2025
Christian Membership by Region
West South
Status of Global Mission 2014, Todd Johnson
http://www.gordonconwell.edu/resources/documents/statusofglobalmission.pdf

5. 1900 1970 2000 2007 2025
South 21% 59% 86% 91% 99%
West 79% 41% 14% 9% 1%
21%
59%
86%
91%
99%
79%
41%
14%
9%
1%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
Growth of Christianity by Region
Status of Global Mission 2014, Todd Johnson
http://www.gordonconwell.edu/resources/documents/statusofglobalmission.pdf

6. • Higher education overall: about 222 schools make up one-third of enrollment.
• Top 20 largest online schools account for one-third of online market.
Source: Online Higher Education Market Update - Eduventures. (n.d.). Retrieved March 16, 2015, from
http://www.eduventures.com/insights/online-higher-education-market-update/
Online Education = Consolidation
Online likely to sustain 1/10 of current schools

7. Christian Mega-universities & Growth
Liberty U
43%
Grand Canyon U
39%
All of CCCU
18%
Estimated Growth Since 2005
Total Growth:
175,808 students
Sources: Grand Canyon & Liberty U self-reporting, CCCU Enrollment Report.

8. Will Education Consolidation follow Media Consolidation?

9. Possible Future of Higher Education in 2030?
Consolidation & Platform Coopetition
Image Source: Wikimedia
State Owned Megauniversities
with 1 million+ Students
Technology Platform
Educational Networks
Global
Christian
Education
Platform

10. Three Possible Futures
Technology Platform
Dominant Future
(40% decline in CHE)
State MegaUniversities
Dominant Future
(40% decline in CHE)
Christian Global
Platform Growth Future
(500% growth in CHE)

11. Framing the Challenge
In the face of these trends, how can CHE achieve the preferred
future of dramatic global growth?
Global HE
Growth
Consolidation
Growth of
Christianity in
the Majority
World

12. Platform Competition is all About Scale:
Is Education more Secular or Christian Globally?
Perry L. Glanzer, "Dispersing the Light: The Status of Christian Higher Education around the Globe," Christian Scholar's Review 43 (2013): 321-43.
Status of Global Mission 2014, Todd Johnson http://www.gordonconwell.edu/resources/documents/statusofglobalmission.pdf
It depends on how frame the question

13. Three Categories of Christian Education
ACCREDITED EDUCATION
NONTRADITIONAL, BUT
ACCREDITABLE EDUCATION
Bible Colleges Christian
Liberal Arts
Colleges
Christian
Universities Seminaries
Bible Institutes Ministry Experience
Professional Experience
Alternative Education Courses
Bible Studies
Sermons
Educational Discipleship Programs
Christian Radio,
TV, Websites,
Books & Apps
Small Groups
NONTRADITIONAL, NON-
ACCREDITABLE EDUCATION
PRIMARILY
PARACHURCH
PRIMARILY
CHURCH
Correspondence & Continuing Ed

14. Why CHE Should Accept More Non-traditional Credit
1. Non-traditional credit leverages the fact that the Church is the largest
educational institution in the world
2. CHE needs to have an affordable competitive alternative to the pipeline from
community college to state colleges
3. Unbundling and alternative credit recognition methods are increasing the
ability to recognize non-traditional credit
4. 99% of the growth of Christianity is projected to be in non-Western countries
that require radically different pricing levels
5. There is a great need in developing countries for capacity to meet growing
demand for education
6. If CHE does not grant credit to legitimate non-traditional education of
hundreds of millions of Christians, CHE is hurting the poor which will be shut
out of more of the global economic system

15. We can’t repeat the mistakes of the
past by expecting the majority world
to wear the “suits” of Western
accreditation, but there still must be
appropriate standards and signals
needed.
Source: Wikipedia Article on Assimilation of Native Americans
Higher Education vs. Tertiary Education vs. Vocational Education

16. City Vision’s Unbundled Base of the Pyramid Strategy
Providing a $5,000 Degree Path to Developing Countries
City Vision University
Bachelor’s Degree
Ministry Advanced Diploma
Qualification
Ministry Diploma Qualification
Ministry Certificate
Qualification
Any University’s
Bachelor’s Degree
Advanced Diploma
Qualification
(any professional field)
Diploma Qualification
(any professional field)
Certificate Qualification
(any professional field)
Level 3
Freshman
University
Degree
Level 4
Sophomore
Level 5
Junior
or
or
or
or
See City Vision examples at: http://web.cityvision.edu/saylor-qualify-intl/ and http://web.cityvision.edu/graffinscollege/
Learn about qualification frameworks at: https://www.luminafoundation.org/resources/connecting-credentials
$3,500
$500-1,000
$500-1,000
$500-1,000
Blended
Church-
Based
Education
Accredited
University
Nontraditional Credit
or Vocational
Qualifications

17. Modular Universities =
Lego Cities
Monolithic Bundled Degrees Today
Unbundled Education =
Lego Blocks
Modular Degrees
& Credentials =
Lego KitsInteroperable
Standards
Source: http://www.christenseninstitute.org/unlocking-stackable-global-credentials/
http://www.christenseninstitute.org/a-standards-strategy-for-stackable-global-credentials/

18. Unbundling is Critical to Disruptive Innovation & Cost
Unbundled (Modular) vs. Interdependent Architectures Over Time
Image Source: Wikimedia

19. City Vision Growth Vision & Decreasing Costs
250 750
2,000
4,000
8,000
16,000
32,000
$3,000
$2,000
$1,750
$1,500
$1,000
$-
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
$3,000
$3,500
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Students
MarginalCostPerStudent
Students
Marginal Cost Per Student
Pricing would be above marginal cost.

20. City Vision’s Long-Term Unbundling & Rebundling Strategy
Transformative
Experience
Access to
Opportunity
Metacognition
& Skills
Knowledge
Acquisition
(content)
Univ.
Open
Education
Industry
Certifications
LinkedIn &
ePortfolios
MOOCs
& Apps
Univ.
Degree
Ministry Workplace
Transformation
University
Courses
Books & Paid
Courseware
Prior
Learning
Internships &
Externships
Blended Learning
in Developing
Countries
Alternative
Ed Providers
Capstone &
Integration Courses
Transformative
Courses
Church-Based
Transformation
International
Qualifications
(EQF)
Student
Mentors
Christian Worldview
Program Designers
• Course market becomes more like book and software markets
• Reduce cost & improve quality through outsourcing and partnerships
• Christian content becomes more modular and less interdependent where possible
• University becomes system integrator of content and tech platforms.
Online
Faculty
Employer Partnerships
Specialization increases productivity
and reduces costs
Course mentors often can be
Church-based
Partnerships with modular providers (especially in underdeveloped
communities) creates jobs, reduce cost & improve quality
Improve signaling & networking of
“bottom half” to new value networks
Vertically
Integrated
University
Virtually Integrated
University
Transformative
Experience
Access to
Opportunity
Metacognition
& Skills
Knowledge
Acquisition
(content)
Transformation is a core
competency of the Church

21. Strategy for CHE in an Unbundled, Platform World
 Christian accreditors should allow schools to accept at least 75% of
undergraduate degrees from non-traditional sources of credit
 CHE institutions should create special paths for students from developing
countries with flexible acceptance of non-traditional credit
 CHE institutions, churches, parachurches and funders should contribute to a
healthy Christian open education resource ecosystem
 More nontraditional Christian education should apply for credit under
vocational qualification, ACE and other alternative credit standards
 Christians and churches should financially support a healthy publisher
market for educational content, apps & subscriptions
 Digital publishers should support a “digital gleaning” policy with radical
discounts to developing countries

22. Industry Map: Supporting a Healthy Christian Tertiary Educational Ecosystem
ACCREDITED HIGHER
EDUCATION
NONTRADITIONAL, BUT
ACCREDITABLE EDUCATION
MOOCs & Open Ed
Udemy, Coursera, EdX, Futurelearn
Open2study, Udemy, Khan Academy, Duolino
Alison, YouTube, iTunesU, Open Learn, OLI
Christian Mega Universities
Liberty, Grand Canyon
Christian Universities
CCCU, IAPCHE, Overseas Council
Paid Courseware
Pearson, Mcgraw-Hill, Lynda.com,
Skillshare, Pluralsight, Dream Degree
Acrobatiq, Cengage, CogBooks, Flat World
Bible Colleges
ABHE Schools, ISETT, ATS
Online Christian Universities
CCCU, TRACS, DEAC, IAPCHE
ACE Credit
Straighterline, Saylor, Ed4Online
EdX, JumpCourse, Pearson, Sofia
UC Irvine Extension, Modern States
Christian Free & Open Courses
ThirdMill.org, ChristianUniversity.org, Harvestime.org, Global University Global Reach,
Open Biola, Covenant Seminary, Regent Luxvera, Christian Leaders Institute,
OpenSeminary.com, BiblicalTraining.org, Coram Deo, Multiply Movement, Truthfortheworld.org
Christian Courseware and Subscriptions
Right Now Media, Knowledge Elements, Logos Mobile Ed,
Zondervan, BibleMesh.com, Ligonier Connect
Bible Institutes
10’s of thousands globally
Open Textbooks
saylor.org/books, openstaxcollege.org,
courses.candelalearning.com/catalog/lumen
collegeopentextbooks.org,
open.umn.edu/opentextbooks/
Missions/Ministry Training
i.e. YWAM U Nations
Vocational Qualification Providers
>50% of global market, 10’s of thousands of Training Centers
Ministry & Professional Experience
Prior Learning Assessment
Blended Learning Study Centers
(in churches and ministries)
Christian Continuing Education
Insight.org, Lifepointemedia.com, Lifeway.com, Livingontheedge.org, Precept.org,
Sampsonresources.com, Sampson.ed.com, Walkthru.org, Answersingenesis.org,
Bsfinternational.org, Christiancounselingceu.com
Secular
Partners
Seminaries
ATS
TERTIARYEDUCATION

23. Outline of Free Course in Disruptive Innovation in Higher Education
1. Disruptive Innovation Theory Applied to Higher Education
2. Understanding What’s Driving Change in Traditional Higher Education
3. Economics of Traditional Online Education
4. Emerging Markets and Courseware Platforms
5. Unbundling and Rebundling Strategies in Higher Education
6. Unbundling and the Changing Role of Faculty
7. Lean Startup for Education
8. Demographic and Economic Trend Analysis
9. College Access & the Race between Technology and Education
10. Change Agents & Diffusion of Innovation
Available on Udemy, iTunes U, YouTube & Slideshare