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Tuesday,
June 3, 2014
CHAMBERSBURG
SALES MEETING
06/03/2014 1
Best of the Hotline
APPRAISAL CONTINGENCY
06/03/2014 2
James Goldsmith, Esq.
Caldwell & Kearns
General Legal Counsel
Pennsylvania Association of REALTORS®
www.PARJustListed.com
In mortgage transactions, when working with the buyer, always
check the Appraisal Contingency Addendum box in the
Agreement of Sale
APPRAISAL CONTINGENCY
06/03/2014 3
X
Always check the box next to ‘The Purchase Price’
APPRAISAL CONTINGENCY
06/03/2014 4
X
Real life bad examples:
“Portion of roof to be replaced.”
SPECIAL CLAUSES
06/03/2014 5
Does your special clause answer
the four questions:
• Who is to perform?
• What is to be done?
• Who is to pay?
• Time frame to perform?
SPECIAL CLAUSES
06/03/2014 6
When in doubt, have someone else read your special clause.
SPECIAL CLAUSES
06/03/2014 7
DO YOU KNOW YOUR MARKET?
06/03/2014 8
1. In the month of April ‘14, what percentage of homes were
purchased with cash in Franklin County?
A. 7%
B. 9%
C. 13%
D. 23%
MARKET QUIZ
06/03/2014 9
2. In the month of April ‘14, what was the average length of time
a property took to go under contract in Franklin County?
A. 62 days
B. 92 days
C. 132 days
D. 152 days
MARKET QUIZ
06/03/2014 10
3. What was the median SOLD price in Franklin County in April
‘14?
A. $150,000
B. $140,000
C. $130,000
D. $120,000
MARKET QUIZ
06/03/2014 11
4. How does the listing inventory of homes compare from
April ‘13 to April ‘14 in Franklin County?
A. +17%
B. +7%
C. -7%
D. -17%
MARKET QUIZ
06/03/2014 12
5. How does the number of settlements compare year-to-date
from 2013 to 2014 in Franklin County?
A. -13.0%
B. -1.30%
C. +1.30%
D. +13.0%
MARKET QUIZ
06/03/2014 13
6. What percentage of homes sell in Franklin County within 180
days of being listed?
A. 53%
B. 63%
C. 73%
D. 83%
MARKET QUIZ
06/03/2014 14
TIE BREAKER: What was the dollar volume (to the nearest $1,000) of
residential real estate SOLD in Franklin County in April ’14?
$19,236,000
MARKET QUIZ
06/03/2014 15
• Click ‘rbi Market Stats’ in MRIS
• Multiple uses:
 Listing presentations
 Item of value for past clients
 Absorption analysis
06/03/2014 16
MRIS MARKET REPORTS
Ninety days ago you took a listing in
_________ Township for $_______ which
was within 5% of the value indicated in your
CMA. You’ve completed all the marketing
activities that a prudent real estate agent
would perform but you’ve only had two
showings on the property and no offers.
Your seller is growing a little frustrated.
What do you do?
06/03/2014 17
LISTING DILEMMA
FOR SALE
06/03/2014 18
WEAKNESSES OF A CMA
• Does not show inventory levels
• Does not show whether prices are rising or falling
06/03/2014 19
THE INTERACTION OF . . .
06/03/2014 20
PRICING STRATEGIES
ABSORPTION RATE ANALYSIS
06/03/2014 21
ONLINE RESOURCE
06/03/2014 22
CLICK ‘LEARN CENTER’
• Web based training
• Virtual instructor training
• Designations and certifications
• Independent study
06/03/2014 23
PROGRAM GUIDE
2014
• Inventory – Total number of homes
for sale within a defined market
segment
• Absorption Rate – Rate at which
homes will sell within a given period
of time
06/03/2014 24
DEFINITIONS
• The number of houses sold and closed in
a particular time period – three months is
preferred
• How many listings currently in the MLS
• Do not count under contract or pending –
only settled
06/03/2014 25
CONSIDERATIONS
It’s not that
06/03/2014 26
ABSORPTION RATE FORMULA
difficult
1. Closed Sales in 3 Months ÷ 3 Months = Monthly Absorption
1. Total Listings in MLS ÷ Monthly Absorption = Number of
Months to Absorb Current Inventory
06/03/2014 27
ABSORPTION RATE FORMULA
A thorough examination of the market determines that there
have been 300 closed sales in the last 3 month. At the present
time, there are 600 residential homes on the market. What is the
absorption rate?
1. 300 sales ÷ 3 months = 100 homes selling per month
2. 600 homes in inventory ÷ 100 homes selling per month =
6 months of inventory on the market
06/03/2014 28
ABSORPTION RATE EXAMPLE
06/03/2014 29
ABSORPTION RATE SUMMARY
BUYER’S MARKET
More than 6 months
of inventory results in
a downward pressure
on prices
SELLER’S MARKET
Less than 6 months of
inventory results in an
upward pressure on
prices
BALANCED MARKET
6 months of inventory
06/03/2014 30
FRANKLIN COUNTY
ABSORPTION ANALYSIS – APRIL 2014
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
20.0
0 - $49.9K $50K -
$99.9K
$100K -
$149.9K
$150K -
$199.9K
$200K -
$299.9K
$300K -
$399.9K
$400K +
3.0
5.2
10.7
7.7
14.8
81.0
15.1
MonthsInventory
Price Range
Buyer’s Market
Prices are Decreasing
Seller’s Market
Prices are Increasing
• Jeff Culler
• Bobbi Washabaugh
• Jason Rugh
APPLAUSE – APPLAUSE!!!
06/03/2014 31
PROPERTY/NEEDS EXCHANGE
06/03/2014 32
• Tomorrow morning – June 4th
• Breakfast will be served from 8:30-10:00
AM by Chef Tom
• Pick-up your Berkshire Hathaway
HomeServices goodie bag
 Business cards
 Name badge
 Name riders
 Assorted ‘stuff’
BH KICK-OFF BREAKFAST
06/03/2014 33

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Calculating Absorption Rates

  • 2. Best of the Hotline APPRAISAL CONTINGENCY 06/03/2014 2 James Goldsmith, Esq. Caldwell & Kearns General Legal Counsel Pennsylvania Association of REALTORS® www.PARJustListed.com
  • 3. In mortgage transactions, when working with the buyer, always check the Appraisal Contingency Addendum box in the Agreement of Sale APPRAISAL CONTINGENCY 06/03/2014 3 X
  • 4. Always check the box next to ‘The Purchase Price’ APPRAISAL CONTINGENCY 06/03/2014 4 X
  • 5. Real life bad examples: “Portion of roof to be replaced.” SPECIAL CLAUSES 06/03/2014 5
  • 6. Does your special clause answer the four questions: • Who is to perform? • What is to be done? • Who is to pay? • Time frame to perform? SPECIAL CLAUSES 06/03/2014 6
  • 7. When in doubt, have someone else read your special clause. SPECIAL CLAUSES 06/03/2014 7
  • 8. DO YOU KNOW YOUR MARKET? 06/03/2014 8
  • 9. 1. In the month of April ‘14, what percentage of homes were purchased with cash in Franklin County? A. 7% B. 9% C. 13% D. 23% MARKET QUIZ 06/03/2014 9
  • 10. 2. In the month of April ‘14, what was the average length of time a property took to go under contract in Franklin County? A. 62 days B. 92 days C. 132 days D. 152 days MARKET QUIZ 06/03/2014 10
  • 11. 3. What was the median SOLD price in Franklin County in April ‘14? A. $150,000 B. $140,000 C. $130,000 D. $120,000 MARKET QUIZ 06/03/2014 11
  • 12. 4. How does the listing inventory of homes compare from April ‘13 to April ‘14 in Franklin County? A. +17% B. +7% C. -7% D. -17% MARKET QUIZ 06/03/2014 12
  • 13. 5. How does the number of settlements compare year-to-date from 2013 to 2014 in Franklin County? A. -13.0% B. -1.30% C. +1.30% D. +13.0% MARKET QUIZ 06/03/2014 13
  • 14. 6. What percentage of homes sell in Franklin County within 180 days of being listed? A. 53% B. 63% C. 73% D. 83% MARKET QUIZ 06/03/2014 14
  • 15. TIE BREAKER: What was the dollar volume (to the nearest $1,000) of residential real estate SOLD in Franklin County in April ’14? $19,236,000 MARKET QUIZ 06/03/2014 15
  • 16. • Click ‘rbi Market Stats’ in MRIS • Multiple uses:  Listing presentations  Item of value for past clients  Absorption analysis 06/03/2014 16 MRIS MARKET REPORTS
  • 17. Ninety days ago you took a listing in _________ Township for $_______ which was within 5% of the value indicated in your CMA. You’ve completed all the marketing activities that a prudent real estate agent would perform but you’ve only had two showings on the property and no offers. Your seller is growing a little frustrated. What do you do? 06/03/2014 17 LISTING DILEMMA FOR SALE
  • 18. 06/03/2014 18 WEAKNESSES OF A CMA • Does not show inventory levels • Does not show whether prices are rising or falling
  • 23. • Web based training • Virtual instructor training • Designations and certifications • Independent study 06/03/2014 23 PROGRAM GUIDE 2014
  • 24. • Inventory – Total number of homes for sale within a defined market segment • Absorption Rate – Rate at which homes will sell within a given period of time 06/03/2014 24 DEFINITIONS
  • 25. • The number of houses sold and closed in a particular time period – three months is preferred • How many listings currently in the MLS • Do not count under contract or pending – only settled 06/03/2014 25 CONSIDERATIONS
  • 26. It’s not that 06/03/2014 26 ABSORPTION RATE FORMULA difficult
  • 27. 1. Closed Sales in 3 Months ÷ 3 Months = Monthly Absorption 1. Total Listings in MLS ÷ Monthly Absorption = Number of Months to Absorb Current Inventory 06/03/2014 27 ABSORPTION RATE FORMULA
  • 28. A thorough examination of the market determines that there have been 300 closed sales in the last 3 month. At the present time, there are 600 residential homes on the market. What is the absorption rate? 1. 300 sales ÷ 3 months = 100 homes selling per month 2. 600 homes in inventory ÷ 100 homes selling per month = 6 months of inventory on the market 06/03/2014 28 ABSORPTION RATE EXAMPLE
  • 29. 06/03/2014 29 ABSORPTION RATE SUMMARY BUYER’S MARKET More than 6 months of inventory results in a downward pressure on prices SELLER’S MARKET Less than 6 months of inventory results in an upward pressure on prices BALANCED MARKET 6 months of inventory
  • 30. 06/03/2014 30 FRANKLIN COUNTY ABSORPTION ANALYSIS – APRIL 2014 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 18.0 20.0 0 - $49.9K $50K - $99.9K $100K - $149.9K $150K - $199.9K $200K - $299.9K $300K - $399.9K $400K + 3.0 5.2 10.7 7.7 14.8 81.0 15.1 MonthsInventory Price Range Buyer’s Market Prices are Decreasing Seller’s Market Prices are Increasing
  • 31. • Jeff Culler • Bobbi Washabaugh • Jason Rugh APPLAUSE – APPLAUSE!!! 06/03/2014 31
  • 33. • Tomorrow morning – June 4th • Breakfast will be served from 8:30-10:00 AM by Chef Tom • Pick-up your Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices goodie bag  Business cards  Name badge  Name riders  Assorted ‘stuff’ BH KICK-OFF BREAKFAST 06/03/2014 33