Disaster vulnerability, risk and capacity

Islamic University of Bangladesh
Islamic University of BangladeshRemote Sensing & GIS Analyst um Islamic University of Bangladesh
DISASTER
VULNERABILITY, RISK
AND CAPACITY
DEFINITION, CONCEPT & RELATIONSHIP
Md. Inzamul Haque Sazal
sazalgeo@outlook.com
WHAT IS VULNERABILITY ?
Vulnerability describes the characteristics and circumstances of a community, system or
asset that make it susceptible to the damaging effects of a hazard. There are many aspects of
vulnerability, arising from various physical, social, economic, and environmental factors.
WHAT IS VULNERABILITY ?
According to UNESCO/UNDRO (1982) Definitions of Hazard & Risk
Terminology-
Vulnerability (V) is the degree of loss to a given element or set of elements at risk
resulting from the occurrence of a hazardous phenomenon of a given magnitude.
It is expressed on a scale from 0 (no damage) to 1 (total loss).
KEY CONCEPT OF VULNERABILITY ?
Vulnerability = Exposure + Resistance + Resilience
Exposure: at risk property and population
Resistance: Measures taken to prevent, avoid or reduce loss
Resilience: Ability to recover prior state or achieve desired post-disaster state
EXAMPLE OF VULNERABILITY ?
The people of the southern part of Bangladesh are more vulnerable to cyclone because of-
-High Exposure of Cyclone
-Low Resistance (lack of proper management)
-Low Resilience (Economic limitation)
TYPES OR SECTORS OF VULNERABILITY ?
There are four (4) main types of vulnerability:
1. Physical Vulnerability:
Meaning the potential for physical impact on the physical environment – which can be
expressed as elements-at-risk (EaR). The degree of loss to a given EaR or set of EaR
resulting from the occurrence of a natural phenomenon of a given magnitude and expressed
on a scale from 0 (no damage) to 1 (total damage)”.
May be determined by aspects
such as population density
levels, remoteness of a
settlement, the site, design and
materials used for critical
infrastructure and for housing
(UNISDR).
TYPES OR SECTORS OF VULNERABILITY ?
2. Economic Vulnerability:
the potential impacts of hazards on economic assets and processes (i.e. business interruption,
secondary effects such as increased poverty and job loss) Vulnerability of different economic
sectors.
The poor are usually more vulnerable to disasters because they lack the resources to build sturdy
structures and put other engineering measures in place to protect themselves from being
negatively impacted by disasters.
3. Social Vulnerability:
refers to the inability of people, organizations and societies to withstand adverse impacts to
hazards due to characteristics inherent in social interactions, institutions and systems of cultural
values. It includes aspects related to levels of literacy and education, the existence of peace and
security, access to basic human rights, systems of good governance, social equity, positive
traditional values, customs and ideological beliefs and overall collective organizational systems
(UNISDR).
Example- When flooding occurs some citizens, such as children, elderly and differently-able,
may be unable to protect themselves or evacuate if necessary.
TYPES OR SECTORS OF VULNERABILITY ?
4. Environmental Vulnerability:
Natural resource depletion and resource degradation are key aspects of environmental vulnerability.
Example: Wetlands, such as the Caroni Swamp, are sensitive to increasing salinity from sea water, and
pollution from storm water runoff containing agricultural chemicals, eroded soils, etc.
WHAT IS RISK ?
The probability that a community’s structure or
geographic area is to be damaged or disrupted by the
impact of a particular hazard, on account of their
nature, construction, and proximity to a hazardous
area.
Risk is a function of threats exploiting
vulnerabilities to obtain, damage or destroy assets.
Thus, threats (actual, conceptual, or inherent) may
exist, but if there are no vulnerabilities then there is
little/no risk.
KEY CONCEPT OF RISK
Hazard Vulnerabilityx
Disaster Risk
Capacity
=
KEY CONCEPT OF RISK ?
Risk Disaster Index (R) = (H + V + E) – C
H= Hazard Index
V= Vulnerability Index
E= Exposure Index
C= Capacity & Measure Index
SMAUG MODEL- a basis for prioritizing hazard risks
The SMAUG model provides an effective means of prioritizing hazard risks based upon the
aforementioned criteria. SMAUG stands for Seriousness, Manageability, Acceptability, Urgency and
Growth are the criteria used for prioritization of hazard risks.
Seriousness can be defined as "The relative impact in terms of people and dollars." This includes the
potential for lives to be lost and potential for injury as well as the physical, social and as mentioned,
economic losses that may be incurred
Manageability can be defined as "the relative ability to mitigate or reduce the hazard (through
managing the hazard, or the community or both)".
Acceptability - The degree to which the risk of hazard is acceptable in terms of political,
environmental, social and economic impact
Urgency - This is related to the probability of risk of hazard and is defined in terms of how imperative
it is to address the hazard
Growth - This is the potential for the hazard or event to expand or increase in either probability or risk
to community or both. Should vulnerability increase, potential for growth may also increase.
An example of the numerical ratings for each of the four criteria is shown below:
SMAUG MODEL- a basis for prioritizing hazard risks
WHAT IS Coping Capacity ?
“The ability of people, organizations and
systems, using available skills and
resources, to face and manage adverse
conditions, emergencies or disasters“
The capacity to cope requires continuing
awareness, resources and good
management, both in normal times as well
as during crises or adverse conditions.
Coping capacities contribute to the
reduction of disaster risks (UN-ISDR,
2009).
How Coping Capacity Relates Vulnerability and Risk Assessment?
Relationship Between Risk & Vulnerability
• ‘Risk’ is essentially the level of possibility that an action or activity will lead to lead to a
loss or to an undesired outcome, when ‘vulnerability’ is a weakness that makes one
susceptible to an attack, a loss or an undesired outcome.
Relationship Between Risk & Vulnerability (Typical Example..)
Disaster vulnerability, risk and capacity
1 von 18

Recomendados

Vulnerability von
VulnerabilityVulnerability
VulnerabilityIvanArcenafutureseaman1234
22.5K views16 Folien
Vulnerability to Disasters von
Vulnerability to DisastersVulnerability to Disasters
Vulnerability to DisastersProf. David E. Alexander (UCL)
18.5K views97 Folien
Lecture 6: Vulnerability Analysis von
Lecture 6: Vulnerability AnalysisLecture 6: Vulnerability Analysis
Lecture 6: Vulnerability AnalysisESD UNU-IAS
9.3K views59 Folien
Disaster risk management von
Disaster risk  managementDisaster risk  management
Disaster risk managementsajidinam
14.9K views29 Folien
Concept of Disaster von
Concept of DisasterConcept of Disaster
Concept of DisasterMuhammad Zeeshan Ahad
54.2K views27 Folien
Disaster Risk Reduction von
Disaster Risk ReductionDisaster Risk Reduction
Disaster Risk ReductionMd. Saiful Islam
43.5K views14 Folien

Más contenido relacionado

Was ist angesagt?

Disaster management basic concepts von
Disaster management basic concepts Disaster management basic concepts
Disaster management basic concepts PREM N. MISHRA
39.2K views56 Folien
Explain with example the structural and non structural mitigation programs ta... von
Explain with example the structural and non structural mitigation programs ta...Explain with example the structural and non structural mitigation programs ta...
Explain with example the structural and non structural mitigation programs ta...Jahangir Alam
15.4K views34 Folien
Chapter 3-hygo-framework von
Chapter 3-hygo-frameworkChapter 3-hygo-framework
Chapter 3-hygo-frameworkMahendra Poudel
4.2K views31 Folien
Lecture 5: Hazard Analysis von
Lecture 5: Hazard AnalysisLecture 5: Hazard Analysis
Lecture 5: Hazard AnalysisESD UNU-IAS
5K views56 Folien
Lecture 01-03 -esdm-206 von
Lecture 01-03 -esdm-206Lecture 01-03 -esdm-206
Lecture 01-03 -esdm-206Zannatul Ferdaus
3.6K views16 Folien
IMPACT OF DISASTERS von
IMPACT OF DISASTERSIMPACT OF DISASTERS
IMPACT OF DISASTERSJaved Iqbal
22.4K views5 Folien

Was ist angesagt?(20)

Disaster management basic concepts von PREM N. MISHRA
Disaster management basic concepts Disaster management basic concepts
Disaster management basic concepts
PREM N. MISHRA39.2K views
Explain with example the structural and non structural mitigation programs ta... von Jahangir Alam
Explain with example the structural and non structural mitigation programs ta...Explain with example the structural and non structural mitigation programs ta...
Explain with example the structural and non structural mitigation programs ta...
Jahangir Alam15.4K views
Lecture 5: Hazard Analysis von ESD UNU-IAS
Lecture 5: Hazard AnalysisLecture 5: Hazard Analysis
Lecture 5: Hazard Analysis
ESD UNU-IAS5K views
IMPACT OF DISASTERS von Javed Iqbal
IMPACT OF DISASTERSIMPACT OF DISASTERS
IMPACT OF DISASTERS
Javed Iqbal22.4K views
Introduction to disaster concepts von jelohagos
Introduction to disaster conceptsIntroduction to disaster concepts
Introduction to disaster concepts
jelohagos6.3K views
Hazard, vulnerability, risk von Md Asif Hasan
Hazard, vulnerability, riskHazard, vulnerability, risk
Hazard, vulnerability, risk
Md Asif Hasan828 views
Explain the link between disasters and development. von Turja Deb
Explain the link between disasters and development.Explain the link between disasters and development.
Explain the link between disasters and development.
Turja Deb5.2K views
Hazard, risk and Vulnerability (1).pptx von TaniskhaLokhonary
Hazard, risk and Vulnerability  (1).pptxHazard, risk and Vulnerability  (1).pptx
Hazard, risk and Vulnerability (1).pptx
TaniskhaLokhonary1.1K views
Vulnerability Mapping (Vulnerability Assessment) von ESD UNU-IAS
Vulnerability Mapping (Vulnerability Assessment)Vulnerability Mapping (Vulnerability Assessment)
Vulnerability Mapping (Vulnerability Assessment)
ESD UNU-IAS7.7K views
Module 9 introduction to disaster risk management von unapcict
Module 9   introduction to disaster risk managementModule 9   introduction to disaster risk management
Module 9 introduction to disaster risk management
unapcict11.5K views
Concept of disaster, hazard, vulnerability, exposure, capacity von FayazAhmad1
Concept of disaster, hazard, vulnerability, exposure, capacityConcept of disaster, hazard, vulnerability, exposure, capacity
Concept of disaster, hazard, vulnerability, exposure, capacity
FayazAhmad11.1K views
Natural Hazards and Disasters von Frank Brande
Natural Hazards and DisastersNatural Hazards and Disasters
Natural Hazards and Disasters
Frank Brande12.4K views
Disaster preparedness & mitigation von aditya84900
Disaster preparedness & mitigationDisaster preparedness & mitigation
Disaster preparedness & mitigation
aditya8490010.7K views

Destacado

Chapter 4 writing a business plan(entrepreneurship) von
Chapter 4 writing a business plan(entrepreneurship)Chapter 4 writing a business plan(entrepreneurship)
Chapter 4 writing a business plan(entrepreneurship)Afzaal Ali
49.4K views20 Folien
Risks threats and vulnerabilities von
Risks threats and vulnerabilitiesRisks threats and vulnerabilities
Risks threats and vulnerabilitiesManish Chaurasia
8.9K views28 Folien
Risk Assessment Process NIST 800-30 von
Risk Assessment Process NIST 800-30Risk Assessment Process NIST 800-30
Risk Assessment Process NIST 800-30timmcguinness
33.6K views20 Folien
Entrepreneurship Chap 4 von
Entrepreneurship Chap 4Entrepreneurship Chap 4
Entrepreneurship Chap 4Pimsat University
11.9K views32 Folien
Natural hazards and disaster management von
Natural hazards and disaster managementNatural hazards and disaster management
Natural hazards and disaster managementEternal University Baru Sahib, HP, India
13.3K views54 Folien

Similar a Disaster vulnerability, risk and capacity

vulnerability-190409112336 (1).pptx von
vulnerability-190409112336 (1).pptxvulnerability-190409112336 (1).pptx
vulnerability-190409112336 (1).pptxDARRENLOUIEESTOMO
28 views17 Folien
vulnerability in disaster.pptx von
vulnerability in disaster.pptxvulnerability in disaster.pptx
vulnerability in disaster.pptxcarlmanaay
41 views46 Folien
MR_CURSO RRD - INGLES OFDA von
MR_CURSO RRD - INGLES OFDAMR_CURSO RRD - INGLES OFDA
MR_CURSO RRD - INGLES OFDAEDGAR GUEVARA
228 views51 Folien
HDM-Lec-03.pptx von
HDM-Lec-03.pptxHDM-Lec-03.pptx
HDM-Lec-03.pptxWaqas Khan
26 views38 Folien
Disaster managemant von
Disaster managemantDisaster managemant
Disaster managemantHari OM Mehta
510 views29 Folien
DRRR week2.pptx von
DRRR week2.pptxDRRR week2.pptx
DRRR week2.pptxShella69
45 views18 Folien

Similar a Disaster vulnerability, risk and capacity(20)

vulnerability in disaster.pptx von carlmanaay
vulnerability in disaster.pptxvulnerability in disaster.pptx
vulnerability in disaster.pptx
carlmanaay41 views
MR_CURSO RRD - INGLES OFDA von EDGAR GUEVARA
MR_CURSO RRD - INGLES OFDAMR_CURSO RRD - INGLES OFDA
MR_CURSO RRD - INGLES OFDA
EDGAR GUEVARA228 views
DRRR week2.pptx von Shella69
DRRR week2.pptxDRRR week2.pptx
DRRR week2.pptx
Shella6945 views
Disaster Risk Reduction Versus Disaster Management July 10, 2011 von RustyBinas
 Disaster Risk Reduction Versus Disaster Management July 10, 2011 Disaster Risk Reduction Versus Disaster Management July 10, 2011
Disaster Risk Reduction Versus Disaster Management July 10, 2011
RustyBinas74 views
Basics of disaster risk management von Pradeep Panda
Basics of disaster risk managementBasics of disaster risk management
Basics of disaster risk management
Pradeep Panda455 views
DRR - intro_15Feb2012.pptx von mansoor86
DRR - intro_15Feb2012.pptxDRR - intro_15Feb2012.pptx
DRR - intro_15Feb2012.pptx
mansoor864 views
DRR - intro_15Feb2012.pptx von DrzGemechis
DRR - intro_15Feb2012.pptxDRR - intro_15Feb2012.pptx
DRR - intro_15Feb2012.pptx
DrzGemechis4 views
Disaste Risk Management.pptx von Waqas Khan
Disaste Risk Management.pptxDisaste Risk Management.pptx
Disaste Risk Management.pptx
Waqas Khan5 views
AQA Geography New natural disaster ppt von Will Williams
AQA Geography New natural disaster pptAQA Geography New natural disaster ppt
AQA Geography New natural disaster ppt
Will Williams3K views
DISASTER RISK REDUCTION.pptx von KaRen338085
DISASTER RISK REDUCTION.pptxDISASTER RISK REDUCTION.pptx
DISASTER RISK REDUCTION.pptx
KaRen33808512 views
Needs for Disaster Risks Reduction Education in Nigeria von iosrjce
Needs for Disaster Risks Reduction Education in NigeriaNeeds for Disaster Risks Reduction Education in Nigeria
Needs for Disaster Risks Reduction Education in Nigeria
iosrjce279 views
Midterm lecture emergency management von PiaJayCalizo
Midterm lecture emergency managementMidterm lecture emergency management
Midterm lecture emergency management
PiaJayCalizo157 views
An Introduction to Resilience for Humanitarian Workers von Shashanka Saadi
An Introduction to Resilience for Humanitarian WorkersAn Introduction to Resilience for Humanitarian Workers
An Introduction to Resilience for Humanitarian Workers
Shashanka Saadi1.3K views

Más de Islamic University of Bangladesh

Rio summit von
Rio summitRio summit
Rio summitIslamic University of Bangladesh
17.1K views22 Folien
Wetland degradation in Bangladesh von
Wetland degradation in BangladeshWetland degradation in Bangladesh
Wetland degradation in BangladeshIslamic University of Bangladesh
2.8K views12 Folien
Country Comparison Between India and China von
Country Comparison Between India and China Country Comparison Between India and China
Country Comparison Between India and China Islamic University of Bangladesh
5.8K views23 Folien
Teesta River (Past, Present and Future Prospect) von
Teesta River (Past, Present and Future Prospect)Teesta River (Past, Present and Future Prospect)
Teesta River (Past, Present and Future Prospect)Islamic University of Bangladesh
4.9K views25 Folien
Properties of water and its global distribution von
Properties of water and its global distributionProperties of water and its global distribution
Properties of water and its global distributionIslamic University of Bangladesh
3.3K views17 Folien
Poverty and alliviation in Bangladesh von
Poverty and alliviation in BangladeshPoverty and alliviation in Bangladesh
Poverty and alliviation in BangladeshIslamic University of Bangladesh
3.2K views24 Folien

Más de Islamic University of Bangladesh(15)

Último

Activity 9 Sustainability System.pptx von
Activity 9 Sustainability System.pptxActivity 9 Sustainability System.pptx
Activity 9 Sustainability System.pptxAkarshSingh57
8 views24 Folien
Exceeding-returning-Intro-v1Dec-final.pptx von
Exceeding-returning-Intro-v1Dec-final.pptxExceeding-returning-Intro-v1Dec-final.pptx
Exceeding-returning-Intro-v1Dec-final.pptxipcc-media
76 views29 Folien
Carbon Dioxide Removal to reach net-zero and return from overshoot von
Carbon Dioxide Removal to reach net-zero and return from overshootCarbon Dioxide Removal to reach net-zero and return from overshoot
Carbon Dioxide Removal to reach net-zero and return from overshootipcc-media
182 views12 Folien
Low-emission food system perspectives in Viet Nam von
Low-emission food system perspectives in Viet NamLow-emission food system perspectives in Viet Nam
Low-emission food system perspectives in Viet NamCIFOR-ICRAF
8 views6 Folien
ethiopia water resource management policy.pdf von
ethiopia water resource management policy.pdfethiopia water resource management policy.pdf
ethiopia water resource management policy.pdfAbrahamLALEMU
6 views41 Folien

Último(20)

Activity 9 Sustainability System.pptx von AkarshSingh57
Activity 9 Sustainability System.pptxActivity 9 Sustainability System.pptx
Activity 9 Sustainability System.pptx
AkarshSingh578 views
Exceeding-returning-Intro-v1Dec-final.pptx von ipcc-media
Exceeding-returning-Intro-v1Dec-final.pptxExceeding-returning-Intro-v1Dec-final.pptx
Exceeding-returning-Intro-v1Dec-final.pptx
ipcc-media76 views
Carbon Dioxide Removal to reach net-zero and return from overshoot von ipcc-media
Carbon Dioxide Removal to reach net-zero and return from overshootCarbon Dioxide Removal to reach net-zero and return from overshoot
Carbon Dioxide Removal to reach net-zero and return from overshoot
ipcc-media182 views
Low-emission food system perspectives in Viet Nam von CIFOR-ICRAF
Low-emission food system perspectives in Viet NamLow-emission food system perspectives in Viet Nam
Low-emission food system perspectives in Viet Nam
CIFOR-ICRAF8 views
ethiopia water resource management policy.pdf von AbrahamLALEMU
ethiopia water resource management policy.pdfethiopia water resource management policy.pdf
ethiopia water resource management policy.pdf
AbrahamLALEMU6 views
Climate Change 2022: Mitigation of Climate Change von ipcc-media
Climate Change 2022: Mitigation of Climate ChangeClimate Change 2022: Mitigation of Climate Change
Climate Change 2022: Mitigation of Climate Change
ipcc-media41 views
Arkan. İngilis dili sərbəst iş.pptx von ArkanAdisli
Arkan. İngilis dili sərbəst iş.pptxArkan. İngilis dili sərbəst iş.pptx
Arkan. İngilis dili sərbəst iş.pptx
ArkanAdisli19 views
IPCC Scholarship Programme von ipcc-media
IPCC Scholarship ProgrammeIPCC Scholarship Programme
IPCC Scholarship Programme
ipcc-media64 views
Energy System Transitions in the context of sustainable development: Findings... von ipcc-media
Energy System Transitions in the context of sustainable development: Findings...Energy System Transitions in the context of sustainable development: Findings...
Energy System Transitions in the context of sustainable development: Findings...
ipcc-media55 views
Interoperability between the IPCC Inventory Software and IPCC Inventory Softw... von ipcc-media
Interoperability between the IPCC Inventory Software and IPCC Inventory Softw...Interoperability between the IPCC Inventory Software and IPCC Inventory Softw...
Interoperability between the IPCC Inventory Software and IPCC Inventory Softw...
ipcc-media99 views
PROGRAMMES OF ENVIRONMENTAL EDUCATION.pptx von DrHafizKosar
PROGRAMMES OF ENVIRONMENTAL EDUCATION.pptxPROGRAMMES OF ENVIRONMENTAL EDUCATION.pptx
PROGRAMMES OF ENVIRONMENTAL EDUCATION.pptx
DrHafizKosar141 views
oral presentation mansoor#1.pptx von mk79psx
oral presentation mansoor#1.pptxoral presentation mansoor#1.pptx
oral presentation mansoor#1.pptx
mk79psx8 views

Disaster vulnerability, risk and capacity

  • 1. DISASTER VULNERABILITY, RISK AND CAPACITY DEFINITION, CONCEPT & RELATIONSHIP Md. Inzamul Haque Sazal sazalgeo@outlook.com
  • 2. WHAT IS VULNERABILITY ? Vulnerability describes the characteristics and circumstances of a community, system or asset that make it susceptible to the damaging effects of a hazard. There are many aspects of vulnerability, arising from various physical, social, economic, and environmental factors.
  • 3. WHAT IS VULNERABILITY ? According to UNESCO/UNDRO (1982) Definitions of Hazard & Risk Terminology- Vulnerability (V) is the degree of loss to a given element or set of elements at risk resulting from the occurrence of a hazardous phenomenon of a given magnitude. It is expressed on a scale from 0 (no damage) to 1 (total loss).
  • 4. KEY CONCEPT OF VULNERABILITY ? Vulnerability = Exposure + Resistance + Resilience Exposure: at risk property and population Resistance: Measures taken to prevent, avoid or reduce loss Resilience: Ability to recover prior state or achieve desired post-disaster state
  • 5. EXAMPLE OF VULNERABILITY ? The people of the southern part of Bangladesh are more vulnerable to cyclone because of- -High Exposure of Cyclone -Low Resistance (lack of proper management) -Low Resilience (Economic limitation)
  • 6. TYPES OR SECTORS OF VULNERABILITY ? There are four (4) main types of vulnerability: 1. Physical Vulnerability: Meaning the potential for physical impact on the physical environment – which can be expressed as elements-at-risk (EaR). The degree of loss to a given EaR or set of EaR resulting from the occurrence of a natural phenomenon of a given magnitude and expressed on a scale from 0 (no damage) to 1 (total damage)”. May be determined by aspects such as population density levels, remoteness of a settlement, the site, design and materials used for critical infrastructure and for housing (UNISDR).
  • 7. TYPES OR SECTORS OF VULNERABILITY ? 2. Economic Vulnerability: the potential impacts of hazards on economic assets and processes (i.e. business interruption, secondary effects such as increased poverty and job loss) Vulnerability of different economic sectors. The poor are usually more vulnerable to disasters because they lack the resources to build sturdy structures and put other engineering measures in place to protect themselves from being negatively impacted by disasters. 3. Social Vulnerability: refers to the inability of people, organizations and societies to withstand adverse impacts to hazards due to characteristics inherent in social interactions, institutions and systems of cultural values. It includes aspects related to levels of literacy and education, the existence of peace and security, access to basic human rights, systems of good governance, social equity, positive traditional values, customs and ideological beliefs and overall collective organizational systems (UNISDR). Example- When flooding occurs some citizens, such as children, elderly and differently-able, may be unable to protect themselves or evacuate if necessary.
  • 8. TYPES OR SECTORS OF VULNERABILITY ? 4. Environmental Vulnerability: Natural resource depletion and resource degradation are key aspects of environmental vulnerability. Example: Wetlands, such as the Caroni Swamp, are sensitive to increasing salinity from sea water, and pollution from storm water runoff containing agricultural chemicals, eroded soils, etc.
  • 9. WHAT IS RISK ? The probability that a community’s structure or geographic area is to be damaged or disrupted by the impact of a particular hazard, on account of their nature, construction, and proximity to a hazardous area. Risk is a function of threats exploiting vulnerabilities to obtain, damage or destroy assets. Thus, threats (actual, conceptual, or inherent) may exist, but if there are no vulnerabilities then there is little/no risk.
  • 10. KEY CONCEPT OF RISK Hazard Vulnerabilityx Disaster Risk Capacity =
  • 11. KEY CONCEPT OF RISK ? Risk Disaster Index (R) = (H + V + E) – C H= Hazard Index V= Vulnerability Index E= Exposure Index C= Capacity & Measure Index
  • 12. SMAUG MODEL- a basis for prioritizing hazard risks The SMAUG model provides an effective means of prioritizing hazard risks based upon the aforementioned criteria. SMAUG stands for Seriousness, Manageability, Acceptability, Urgency and Growth are the criteria used for prioritization of hazard risks. Seriousness can be defined as "The relative impact in terms of people and dollars." This includes the potential for lives to be lost and potential for injury as well as the physical, social and as mentioned, economic losses that may be incurred Manageability can be defined as "the relative ability to mitigate or reduce the hazard (through managing the hazard, or the community or both)". Acceptability - The degree to which the risk of hazard is acceptable in terms of political, environmental, social and economic impact Urgency - This is related to the probability of risk of hazard and is defined in terms of how imperative it is to address the hazard Growth - This is the potential for the hazard or event to expand or increase in either probability or risk to community or both. Should vulnerability increase, potential for growth may also increase.
  • 13. An example of the numerical ratings for each of the four criteria is shown below: SMAUG MODEL- a basis for prioritizing hazard risks
  • 14. WHAT IS Coping Capacity ? “The ability of people, organizations and systems, using available skills and resources, to face and manage adverse conditions, emergencies or disasters“ The capacity to cope requires continuing awareness, resources and good management, both in normal times as well as during crises or adverse conditions. Coping capacities contribute to the reduction of disaster risks (UN-ISDR, 2009).
  • 15. How Coping Capacity Relates Vulnerability and Risk Assessment?
  • 16. Relationship Between Risk & Vulnerability • ‘Risk’ is essentially the level of possibility that an action or activity will lead to lead to a loss or to an undesired outcome, when ‘vulnerability’ is a weakness that makes one susceptible to an attack, a loss or an undesired outcome.
  • 17. Relationship Between Risk & Vulnerability (Typical Example..)