Suche senden
Hochladen
fatih birol
•
Als PPTX, PDF herunterladen
•
0 gefällt mir
•
582 views
S
susanne_connolly
Folgen
An outlook for natural gas
Weniger lesen
Mehr lesen
Melden
Teilen
Melden
Teilen
1 von 13
Jetzt herunterladen
Empfohlen
World Energy Outlook: The role of nuclear & renewables
World Energy Outlook: The role of nuclear & renewables
Société Française d'Energie Nucléaire
WEO-2012: Current Trends in Renewable Energy Markets
WEO-2012: Current Trends in Renewable Energy Markets
International Energy Agency
2012 10-12 video eis.ha.v2
2012 10-12 video eis.ha.v2
the Hartsook Letter
Petrochemical Outlook for Latin America June 2014 - Polymers & Aromatics
Petrochemical Outlook for Latin America June 2014 - Polymers & Aromatics
Platts
The changing dynamics and new challenges facing the North American petrochemi...
The changing dynamics and new challenges facing the North American petrochemi...
Platts
Lagos oil club presentation
Lagos oil club presentation
HumphreyOnyeukwu
Platts Petrochemicals - Asian Olefins Outlook Feb 2013 - Chua Sok Peng
Platts Petrochemicals - Asian Olefins Outlook Feb 2013 - Chua Sok Peng
Platts
Letter from Alliance of Automobile Manufactures 1.9.02
Letter from Alliance of Automobile Manufactures 1.9.02
Obama White House
Empfohlen
World Energy Outlook: The role of nuclear & renewables
World Energy Outlook: The role of nuclear & renewables
Société Française d'Energie Nucléaire
WEO-2012: Current Trends in Renewable Energy Markets
WEO-2012: Current Trends in Renewable Energy Markets
International Energy Agency
2012 10-12 video eis.ha.v2
2012 10-12 video eis.ha.v2
the Hartsook Letter
Petrochemical Outlook for Latin America June 2014 - Polymers & Aromatics
Petrochemical Outlook for Latin America June 2014 - Polymers & Aromatics
Platts
The changing dynamics and new challenges facing the North American petrochemi...
The changing dynamics and new challenges facing the North American petrochemi...
Platts
Lagos oil club presentation
Lagos oil club presentation
HumphreyOnyeukwu
Platts Petrochemicals - Asian Olefins Outlook Feb 2013 - Chua Sok Peng
Platts Petrochemicals - Asian Olefins Outlook Feb 2013 - Chua Sok Peng
Platts
Letter from Alliance of Automobile Manufactures 1.9.02
Letter from Alliance of Automobile Manufactures 1.9.02
Obama White House
Naumova
Naumova
Daya Dayarayan Canada
Blasi alessandro iea
Blasi alessandro iea
canaleenergia
Oscar prieto (atlantic lng ) global benchmark by 2013
Oscar prieto (atlantic lng ) global benchmark by 2013
Naturgas
World Energy Outlook 2012 - Executive Summary
World Energy Outlook 2012 - Executive Summary
Marcellus Drilling News
Unconventional Oil & Gas: Reshaping Energy Markets
Unconventional Oil & Gas: Reshaping Energy Markets
Enel S.p.A.
Annual Energy Outlook 2011
Annual Energy Outlook 2011
Chris Hunter
IEA - Analysis of Fossil Fuel Subsidies
IEA - Analysis of Fossil Fuel Subsidies
teknoport
Shale oil & gas : causes, risks and opportunities
Shale oil & gas : causes, risks and opportunities
Philippe Charlez
Petrosyan_EU_Ref_Forum
Petrosyan_EU_Ref_Forum
Koen Slegers
The New Face Of Coal: CBM an Emerging Supply Trend
The New Face Of Coal: CBM an Emerging Supply Trend
bettinapg
New base energy news 28 may 2020 issue no. 1342 senior editor eng. khaled ...
New base energy news 28 may 2020 issue no. 1342 senior editor eng. khaled ...
Khaled Al Awadi
Mercer Capital's Value Focus: Exploration and Production | Q1 2016
Mercer Capital's Value Focus: Exploration and Production | Q1 2016
Mercer Capital
Will India and China continue to enjoy healthy pp margins June 2015
Will India and China continue to enjoy healthy pp margins June 2015
Platts
Energy & Carbon Management newsletter - Dec 12
Energy & Carbon Management newsletter - Dec 12
EnergyandCarbonManagement
Egypt Oil and Gas Industry
Egypt Oil and Gas Industry
rahma emara
SVCE Initiation of Coverage
SVCE Initiation of Coverage
Mohab Yamany, CMA
WIND ENERGY ~ NAFTA Institute ~ Praxis Strategy Group Presentation 6 12 09
WIND ENERGY ~ NAFTA Institute ~ Praxis Strategy Group Presentation 6 12 09
droby
Could coal be the answer to global plastics shortages
Could coal be the answer to global plastics shortages
Platts
IEA Presentation: Energy Investment for Global Growth
IEA Presentation: Energy Investment for Global Growth
Brad Keithley
Transforming India Through Quality Higher Education
Transforming India Through Quality Higher Education
anil_kakodkar
Lowering threats in sustainable development using nuclear energy
Lowering threats in sustainable development using nuclear energy
anil_kakodkar
Ruppur nuclear power plant
Ruppur nuclear power plant
A. R. Atiq
Weitere ähnliche Inhalte
Was ist angesagt?
Naumova
Naumova
Daya Dayarayan Canada
Blasi alessandro iea
Blasi alessandro iea
canaleenergia
Oscar prieto (atlantic lng ) global benchmark by 2013
Oscar prieto (atlantic lng ) global benchmark by 2013
Naturgas
World Energy Outlook 2012 - Executive Summary
World Energy Outlook 2012 - Executive Summary
Marcellus Drilling News
Unconventional Oil & Gas: Reshaping Energy Markets
Unconventional Oil & Gas: Reshaping Energy Markets
Enel S.p.A.
Annual Energy Outlook 2011
Annual Energy Outlook 2011
Chris Hunter
IEA - Analysis of Fossil Fuel Subsidies
IEA - Analysis of Fossil Fuel Subsidies
teknoport
Shale oil & gas : causes, risks and opportunities
Shale oil & gas : causes, risks and opportunities
Philippe Charlez
Petrosyan_EU_Ref_Forum
Petrosyan_EU_Ref_Forum
Koen Slegers
The New Face Of Coal: CBM an Emerging Supply Trend
The New Face Of Coal: CBM an Emerging Supply Trend
bettinapg
New base energy news 28 may 2020 issue no. 1342 senior editor eng. khaled ...
New base energy news 28 may 2020 issue no. 1342 senior editor eng. khaled ...
Khaled Al Awadi
Mercer Capital's Value Focus: Exploration and Production | Q1 2016
Mercer Capital's Value Focus: Exploration and Production | Q1 2016
Mercer Capital
Will India and China continue to enjoy healthy pp margins June 2015
Will India and China continue to enjoy healthy pp margins June 2015
Platts
Energy & Carbon Management newsletter - Dec 12
Energy & Carbon Management newsletter - Dec 12
EnergyandCarbonManagement
Egypt Oil and Gas Industry
Egypt Oil and Gas Industry
rahma emara
SVCE Initiation of Coverage
SVCE Initiation of Coverage
Mohab Yamany, CMA
WIND ENERGY ~ NAFTA Institute ~ Praxis Strategy Group Presentation 6 12 09
WIND ENERGY ~ NAFTA Institute ~ Praxis Strategy Group Presentation 6 12 09
droby
Could coal be the answer to global plastics shortages
Could coal be the answer to global plastics shortages
Platts
Was ist angesagt?
(18)
Naumova
Naumova
Blasi alessandro iea
Blasi alessandro iea
Oscar prieto (atlantic lng ) global benchmark by 2013
Oscar prieto (atlantic lng ) global benchmark by 2013
World Energy Outlook 2012 - Executive Summary
World Energy Outlook 2012 - Executive Summary
Unconventional Oil & Gas: Reshaping Energy Markets
Unconventional Oil & Gas: Reshaping Energy Markets
Annual Energy Outlook 2011
Annual Energy Outlook 2011
IEA - Analysis of Fossil Fuel Subsidies
IEA - Analysis of Fossil Fuel Subsidies
Shale oil & gas : causes, risks and opportunities
Shale oil & gas : causes, risks and opportunities
Petrosyan_EU_Ref_Forum
Petrosyan_EU_Ref_Forum
The New Face Of Coal: CBM an Emerging Supply Trend
The New Face Of Coal: CBM an Emerging Supply Trend
New base energy news 28 may 2020 issue no. 1342 senior editor eng. khaled ...
New base energy news 28 may 2020 issue no. 1342 senior editor eng. khaled ...
Mercer Capital's Value Focus: Exploration and Production | Q1 2016
Mercer Capital's Value Focus: Exploration and Production | Q1 2016
Will India and China continue to enjoy healthy pp margins June 2015
Will India and China continue to enjoy healthy pp margins June 2015
Energy & Carbon Management newsletter - Dec 12
Energy & Carbon Management newsletter - Dec 12
Egypt Oil and Gas Industry
Egypt Oil and Gas Industry
SVCE Initiation of Coverage
SVCE Initiation of Coverage
WIND ENERGY ~ NAFTA Institute ~ Praxis Strategy Group Presentation 6 12 09
WIND ENERGY ~ NAFTA Institute ~ Praxis Strategy Group Presentation 6 12 09
Could coal be the answer to global plastics shortages
Could coal be the answer to global plastics shortages
Andere mochten auch
IEA Presentation: Energy Investment for Global Growth
IEA Presentation: Energy Investment for Global Growth
Brad Keithley
Transforming India Through Quality Higher Education
Transforming India Through Quality Higher Education
anil_kakodkar
Lowering threats in sustainable development using nuclear energy
Lowering threats in sustainable development using nuclear energy
anil_kakodkar
Ruppur nuclear power plant
Ruppur nuclear power plant
A. R. Atiq
Haripur npp project
Haripur npp project
Amit Raj
IEA 2016 World Energy Investment Report PowerPoint
IEA 2016 World Energy Investment Report PowerPoint
Marcellus Drilling News
IEA World Energy Outlook 2015 Presentation
IEA World Energy Outlook 2015 Presentation
International Energy Agency
How to evaluate Oil and Gas Company’s Performance & Stock Investment
How to evaluate Oil and Gas Company’s Performance & Stock Investment
Hamdy Rashed
Oil & Gas industry analysis- Final Project
Oil & Gas industry analysis- Final Project
Alaa Sulaiman
Medium-Term Oil Market Report 2016
Medium-Term Oil Market Report 2016
International Energy Agency
Nuclear power plant
Nuclear power plant
college
Global Energy Markets in Transition: Implications for the economy, environmen...
Global Energy Markets in Transition: Implications for the economy, environmen...
International Energy Agency
Nuclear power plant
Nuclear power plant
tmishra3
Nuclear energy
Nuclear energy
Aravind Krish
Nuclear Power
Nuclear Power
Viet NguyenHoang
Africa Energy Outlook
Africa Energy Outlook
International Energy Agency
World Energy Outlook 2014 by Dr. Fatih Birol, Chief Economist of the the Inte...
World Energy Outlook 2014 by Dr. Fatih Birol, Chief Economist of the the Inte...
International Energy Agency
World Energy Outlook Special Report on Energy and Climate Change
World Energy Outlook Special Report on Energy and Climate Change
International Energy Agency
Andere mochten auch
(18)
IEA Presentation: Energy Investment for Global Growth
IEA Presentation: Energy Investment for Global Growth
Transforming India Through Quality Higher Education
Transforming India Through Quality Higher Education
Lowering threats in sustainable development using nuclear energy
Lowering threats in sustainable development using nuclear energy
Ruppur nuclear power plant
Ruppur nuclear power plant
Haripur npp project
Haripur npp project
IEA 2016 World Energy Investment Report PowerPoint
IEA 2016 World Energy Investment Report PowerPoint
IEA World Energy Outlook 2015 Presentation
IEA World Energy Outlook 2015 Presentation
How to evaluate Oil and Gas Company’s Performance & Stock Investment
How to evaluate Oil and Gas Company’s Performance & Stock Investment
Oil & Gas industry analysis- Final Project
Oil & Gas industry analysis- Final Project
Medium-Term Oil Market Report 2016
Medium-Term Oil Market Report 2016
Nuclear power plant
Nuclear power plant
Global Energy Markets in Transition: Implications for the economy, environmen...
Global Energy Markets in Transition: Implications for the economy, environmen...
Nuclear power plant
Nuclear power plant
Nuclear energy
Nuclear energy
Nuclear Power
Nuclear Power
Africa Energy Outlook
Africa Energy Outlook
World Energy Outlook 2014 by Dr. Fatih Birol, Chief Economist of the the Inte...
World Energy Outlook 2014 by Dr. Fatih Birol, Chief Economist of the the Inte...
World Energy Outlook Special Report on Energy and Climate Change
World Energy Outlook Special Report on Energy and Climate Change
Ähnlich wie fatih birol
Dec 14 rome fatih birol
Dec 14 rome fatih birol
assoelettricaonoff
Shale Revolution and Energy Security: Role of LNG
Shale Revolution and Energy Security: Role of LNG
IPPAI
World energy outlook presentationto press
World energy outlook presentationto press
Anochi.com.
World Energy Outlook 2012: Presentation to press
World Energy Outlook 2012: Presentation to press
International Energy Agency
World Energy Outlook 2012 (Released on 12 November 2012)
World Energy Outlook 2012 (Released on 12 November 2012)
Vera Leonik-Shilyaeva
World Energy Outlook 2012 - Press Presentation
World Energy Outlook 2012 - Press Presentation
Marcellus Drilling News
Golden rules for a Golden Age of Gas
Golden rules for a Golden Age of Gas
International Energy Agency
G7 Energy Ministers' Meeting
G7 Energy Ministers' Meeting
International Energy Agency
Autumn Seminar. Retos del gas no convencional. Mr. Ian Cronshaw
Autumn Seminar. Retos del gas no convencional. Mr. Ian Cronshaw
Funseam - Fundación para la Sostenibilidad Energética y Ambiental
Weo2010 london nov9
Weo2010 london nov9
Tashtiot media
World Energy Outlook 2010 London Nov9
World Energy Outlook 2010 London Nov9
Gareth Johnston
Linkman | Infographic | Atradius | Gas Market Outlook
Linkman | Infographic | Atradius | Gas Market Outlook
Linkman | Social Media Agency
Global Gas Markets Over the Coming 10-20 Years
Global Gas Markets Over the Coming 10-20 Years
International Energy Agency
Iea ministerial meeting 19 november 2013
Iea ministerial meeting 19 november 2013
International Energy Agency
World Energy Outlook 2014 - Dr. Fatih BIROL
World Energy Outlook 2014 - Dr. Fatih BIROL
Cluster TWEED
ISES 2013 - Day 1 - Richard H. Jones (Deputy Executive Director, Internationa...
ISES 2013 - Day 1 - Richard H. Jones (Deputy Executive Director, Internationa...
Student Energy
Lagos oil club presentation
Lagos oil club presentation
HumphreyOnyeukwu
Energy Policies of IEA Countries Ireland 2012 Review - IEA Executive Director
Energy Policies of IEA Countries Ireland 2012 Review - IEA Executive Director
International Energy Agency
Bp energy-outlook-2019-presentation-slides
Bp energy-outlook-2019-presentation-slides
FozilbekToshmatov
Iraq Energy Outlook Special Report
Iraq Energy Outlook Special Report
International Energy Agency
Ähnlich wie fatih birol
(20)
Dec 14 rome fatih birol
Dec 14 rome fatih birol
Shale Revolution and Energy Security: Role of LNG
Shale Revolution and Energy Security: Role of LNG
World energy outlook presentationto press
World energy outlook presentationto press
World Energy Outlook 2012: Presentation to press
World Energy Outlook 2012: Presentation to press
World Energy Outlook 2012 (Released on 12 November 2012)
World Energy Outlook 2012 (Released on 12 November 2012)
World Energy Outlook 2012 - Press Presentation
World Energy Outlook 2012 - Press Presentation
Golden rules for a Golden Age of Gas
Golden rules for a Golden Age of Gas
G7 Energy Ministers' Meeting
G7 Energy Ministers' Meeting
Autumn Seminar. Retos del gas no convencional. Mr. Ian Cronshaw
Autumn Seminar. Retos del gas no convencional. Mr. Ian Cronshaw
Weo2010 london nov9
Weo2010 london nov9
World Energy Outlook 2010 London Nov9
World Energy Outlook 2010 London Nov9
Linkman | Infographic | Atradius | Gas Market Outlook
Linkman | Infographic | Atradius | Gas Market Outlook
Global Gas Markets Over the Coming 10-20 Years
Global Gas Markets Over the Coming 10-20 Years
Iea ministerial meeting 19 november 2013
Iea ministerial meeting 19 november 2013
World Energy Outlook 2014 - Dr. Fatih BIROL
World Energy Outlook 2014 - Dr. Fatih BIROL
ISES 2013 - Day 1 - Richard H. Jones (Deputy Executive Director, Internationa...
ISES 2013 - Day 1 - Richard H. Jones (Deputy Executive Director, Internationa...
Lagos oil club presentation
Lagos oil club presentation
Energy Policies of IEA Countries Ireland 2012 Review - IEA Executive Director
Energy Policies of IEA Countries Ireland 2012 Review - IEA Executive Director
Bp energy-outlook-2019-presentation-slides
Bp energy-outlook-2019-presentation-slides
Iraq Energy Outlook Special Report
Iraq Energy Outlook Special Report
Mehr von susanne_connolly
paul jeakins
paul jeakins
susanne_connolly
katarzyna kacperczyk
katarzyna kacperczyk
susanne_connolly
marcin zieba
marcin zieba
susanne_connolly
tomasz maj
tomasz maj
susanne_connolly
andrew quarles
andrew quarles
susanne_connolly
richard dunn
richard dunn
susanne_connolly
george eynon
george eynon
susanne_connolly
john foran
john foran
susanne_connolly
Mehr von susanne_connolly
(8)
paul jeakins
paul jeakins
katarzyna kacperczyk
katarzyna kacperczyk
marcin zieba
marcin zieba
tomasz maj
tomasz maj
andrew quarles
andrew quarles
richard dunn
richard dunn
george eynon
george eynon
john foran
john foran
fatih birol
1.
An outlook for
natural gas Fatih Birol IEA Chief Economist 22 January 2013 © OECD/IEA 2013
2.
The context
Foundations of global natural gas markets are shifting Advances in technology have led to a surge in unconventional gas supply in North America Strong divergence in regional gas market conditions & prices Many countries are lining up to emulate North America’s success; notably in China, Australia, Latin America & parts of Europe But concerns remain that production might involve unacceptable environmental & social damage Major implications for local communities, land use & water resource Serious hazards include the potential for air & water pollution Improperly addressed, these concerns could hold back, & perhaps halt, the unconventional gas revolution © OECD/IEA 2013
3.
De-coupling of regional
gas prices 20 $2012/MBtu 18 16 Japan (LNG import) 14 12 10 Europe (German import) 8 6 4 US (Henry Hub) 2 0 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 At its lowest level in 2012, natural gas in the United States traded at around one-fifth of import prices in Europe & one-eighth of those in Japan © OECD/IEA 2013
4.
Canada following the
unconventional path Canadian oil & gas production 10 mboe/d Unconventional gas Conventional gas 5 Unconventional oil Conventional oil 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2035 Production from oil sands & from shale make Canada one of the pioneers of unconventional resource development © OECD/IEA 2013
5.
A United States
oil & gas transformation US oil & gas production mboe/d 25 20 Unconventional gas 15 10 Conventional gas Unconventional oil 5 Conventional oil 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2035 The surge in unconventional oil & gas production has implications well beyond the United States © OECD/IEA 2013
6.
A changing power
mix US electricity generation growth, 2006-2011 Natural gas Renewables Nuclear Oil Coal -300 -200 -100 0 100 200 300 TWh Over the past 5 years, natural gas & renewables were the main sources of growth in electricity generation in the United States, with implications for GHG emissions © OECD/IEA 2013
7.
Growth in world
coal demand, 2011 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% -2% -4% -6% Japan United Russia Latin World Developing European States America Asia Union European Union coal demand rose by a historical 7% in 2011, benefitting from cheap US imports © OECD/IEA 2013
8.
Different trends in
oil & gas import dependency Net oil & gas import dependency in selected countries Japan Gas Imports 100% 2010 2035 80% European Union 60% 40% 20% China India United States 0% Gas Exports 20% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Oil imports Dependence on imported oil and gas rises in many countries, though the US swims against the tide © OECD/IEA 2013
9.
The (gradual) spread
of the unconventional revolution Unconventional gas production, 2035 United States Shale China Coalbed methane Canada Australia Tight India Russia Argentina Mexico Indonesia Algeria European Union 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 bcm Outside Canada & the United States, 80% of anticipated growth in unconventional gas production takes place after 2020 © OECD/IEA 2013
10.
Looking to the
future, emerging economies will drive energy demand growth Share of global energy demand 6 030 Mtoe 12 380 Mtoe 16 730 Mtoe 100% Rest of non-OECD Non-OECD Middle East 80% India China 60% OECD 40% 20% 1975 2010 2035 Global energy demand rises by over one-third in the period to 2035, underpinned by rising living standards in China, India & the Middle East © OECD/IEA 2013
11.
The power sector
points to the diverse drivers for gas demand growth Change in power generation, 2010-2035 Coal Gas Nuclear Renewables China India United States European Union Japan -1 000 0 1 000 2 000 3 000 4 000 5 000 6 000 TWh TWh A mixture of factors leads to increased gas use: cheaper gas, nuclear phase-outs, a desire to diversify the fuel mix, and local and global environmental concerns © OECD/IEA 2013
12.
The shifting balance
of supply & demand points to a more globalised market Major global gas trade flows, 2010 2035 Rising supplies of unconventional gas & LNG help to diversify trade flows, putting pressure on conventional gas suppliers & oil-linked pricing mechanisms © OECD/IEA 2013
13.
Conclusions
Factors on both the supply & demand side pushing gas towards a higher share in the global energy mix Changing patterns of gas production & use have profound implications for global gas trade, with new connections between regional markets Improperly addressed, social & environmental concerns could hold back the unconventional gas revolution Natural gas has a role to play in moving us towards a low-carbon energy economy IEA-led high-level forum can address key policy & regulatory issues for safe & sustainable gas development, building on the “Golden Rules” © OECD/IEA 2013
Jetzt herunterladen