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Chapter 32b.ppt
1.
The Influence of Monetary
and Fiscal Policy on Aggregate Demand Chapter 32
2.
Harcourt, Inc. items
and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. Aggregate Demand Many factors influence aggregate demand. Monetary and fiscal policy are sometimes used to offset those shifts and stabilize the economy.
3.
Harcourt, Inc. items
and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. The Theory of Liquidity Preference Keynes developed the theory of liquidity preference in order to explain what factors determine the economy’s interest rate. According to the theory, the interest rate adjusts to balance the supply and demand for money.
4.
Harcourt, Inc. items
and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. Money Supply The money supply is controlled by the Fed/Central Bank through: Open-market operations Changing the reserve requirements Changing the discount rate
5.
Harcourt, Inc. items
and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. Money Supply Because it is fixed by the Fed, the quantity of money supplied does not depend on the interest rate. The fixed money supply is represented by a vertical supply curve.
6.
Harcourt, Inc. items
and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. Money Demand Money demand is determined by several factors. According to the theory of liquidity preference, one of the most important factors is the interest rate.
7.
Harcourt, Inc. items
and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. Money Demand People choose to hold money instead of other assets that offer higher rates of return because money can be used to buy goods and services.
8.
Harcourt, Inc. items
and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. Money Demand The opportunity cost of holding money is the interest that could be earned on interest-earning assets. An increase in the interest rate raises the opportunity cost of holding money. As a result, the quantity of money demanded is reduced.
9.
Harcourt, Inc. items
and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. Equilibrium in the Money Market According to the theory of liquidity preference: The interest rate adjusts to balance the supply and demand for money. In other words the MS and MD determines the interest rate in the economy. There is one interest rate, called the equilibrium interest rate, at which the quantity of money demanded equals the quantity of money supplied
10.
Equilibrium in the
Money Market... Quantity of Money Interest Rate 0 Money demand Quantity fixed by the Fed Money supply r2 M d 2 r1 M d 1 Equilibrium interest rate Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc.
11.
Harcourt, Inc. items
and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. Changes in the Money Supply The Fed can shift the aggregate demand curve when it changes monetary policy. An increase in the money supply shifts the money supply curve to the right. Without a change in the money demand curve, the interest rate falls. Falling interest rates increase the quantity of goods and services demanded.
12.
Y2 AD2 3. …which increases the quantity
of goods and services demanded at a given price level. 1. When the Fed increases the money supply… MS2 A Monetary Injection... Y1 P Quantity of Output 0 Price Level Aggregate demand, AD1 (a) The Money Market Quantity of Money 0 Money supply, MS1 r1 Interest Rate (b) The Aggregate-Demand Curve r2 2. …the equilibrium interest rate falls… Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc.
13.
Harcourt, Inc. items
and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. Changes in the Money Supply When the Fed increases the money supply, it lowers the interest rate and increases the quantity of goods and services demanded at any given price level, shifting aggregate-demand to the right. When the Fed contracts the money supply, it raises the interest rate and reduces the quantity of goods and services demanded at any given price level, shifting aggregate-demand to the left.
14.
Harcourt, Inc. items
and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. How Fiscal Policy Influences Aggregate Demand Fiscal policy refers to the government’s choices regarding the overall level of government purchases or taxes.
15.
Harcourt, Inc. items
and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. Changes in Government Purchases When the government alters its own purchases of goods or services, it shifts the aggregate-demand curve directly.
16.
Harcourt, Inc. items
and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. Changes in Government Purchases There are two macroeconomic effects from the change in government purchases: The multiplier effect The crowding-out effect
17.
Harcourt, Inc. items
and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. The Multiplier Effect Government purchases are said to have a multiplier effect on aggregate demand. Each dollar spent by the government can raise the aggregate demand for goods and services by more than a dollar.
18.
Harcourt, Inc. items
and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. The Multiplier Effect... Aggregate demand, AD1 Quantity of Output 0 Price Level AD2 1. An increase in government purchases of $20 billion initially increases aggregate demand by $20 billion… $20 billion AD3 2. …but the multiplier effect can amplify the shift in aggregate demand.
19.
Harcourt, Inc. items
and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. A Formula for the Spending Multiplier The formula for the spending multiplier: Spending Multiplier = 1/(1 - MPC) An important number in this formula is the marginal propensity to consume (MPC). It is the fraction of income that a household consumes rather than saves.
20.
Harcourt, Inc. items
and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. A Formula for the Spending Multiplier If the MPC is 75% (3/4), then the spending multiplier will be: Spending Multiplier = 1/(1 - 3/4) = 4 In this case, a $20 billion increase in government spending generates $80 billion of increased demand for goods and services ignoring crowding out effect. Total Change in AD= 20 billion x 4 = 80 billion.
21.
Harcourt, Inc. items
and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. The Crowding-Out Effect Fiscal policy may not affect the economy as strongly as predicted by the multiplier. An increase in government purchases causes the interest rate to rise. A higher interest rate reduces investment spending.
22.
Harcourt, Inc. items
and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. The Crowding-Out Effect This reduction in demand that results when a fiscal expansion raises the interest rate is called the crowding-out effect. The crowding-out effect tends to dampen the effects of fiscal policy on aggregate demand.
23.
4. …which in
turn partly offsets the initial increase in aggregate demand. The Crowding-Out Effect... Aggregate demand, AD1 (b) The Shift in Aggregate Demand Quantity of Output 0 Price Level (a) The Money Market Quantity of Money Quantity fixed by the Fed 0 r1 Money demand, MD1 Money supply Interest Rate 1. When an increase in government purchases increases aggregate demand… 3. …which increases the equilibrium interest rate… r2 MD2 2. …the increase in spending increases money demand… Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. AD2 AD3 AD4
24.
Harcourt, Inc. items
and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. The Crowding-Out Effect When the government increases its purchases by $20 billion, the aggregate demand for goods and services could rise by more or less than $20 billion, depending on whether the multiplier effect or the crowding-out effect is larger.
25.
Harcourt, Inc. items
and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. Changes in Taxes When the government cuts personal income taxes, it increases households’ take-home pay. Households save some of this additional income. Households also spend some of it on consumer goods. Increased household spending shifts the aggregate-demand curve to the right. Expansionary Fiscal Policy: Increase in G or Decrease in T. Contractionary Fiscal Policy: Increase in T or Decrease in G.
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