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The Influence of
Monetary and Fiscal
Policy on Aggregate
Demand
Chapter 32
Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc.
Aggregate Demand
Many factors influence aggregate
demand.
Monetary and fiscal policy are
sometimes used to offset those shifts
and stabilize the economy.
Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc.
The Theory of Liquidity
Preference
Keynes developed the theory of liquidity
preference in order to explain what
factors determine the economy’s interest
rate.
According to the theory, the interest rate
adjusts to balance the supply and
demand for money.
Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc.
Money Supply
The money supply is controlled by
the Fed/Central Bank through:
 Open-market operations
 Changing the reserve requirements
 Changing the discount rate
Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc.
Money Supply
Because it is fixed by the Fed, the
quantity of money supplied does not
depend on the interest rate.
The fixed money supply is represented
by a vertical supply curve.
Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc.
Money Demand
Money demand is determined by several
factors.
According to the theory of liquidity
preference, one of the most
important factors is the interest rate.
Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc.
Money Demand
People choose to hold money instead of
other assets that offer higher rates of
return because money can be used to
buy goods and services.
Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc.
Money Demand
The opportunity cost of holding money
is the interest that could be earned on
interest-earning assets.
An increase in the interest rate raises
the opportunity cost of holding money.
As a result, the quantity of money
demanded is reduced.
Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc.
Equilibrium in the Money
Market
According to the theory of liquidity
preference:
 The interest rate adjusts to balance the
supply and demand for money. In other
words the MS and MD determines the
interest rate in the economy.
 There is one interest rate, called the
equilibrium interest rate, at which the
quantity of money demanded equals the
quantity of money supplied
Equilibrium in the Money
Market...
Quantity of
Money
Interest
Rate
0
Money
demand
Quantity fixed
by the Fed
Money
supply
r2
M d
2
r1
M d
1
Equilibrium
interest rate
Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc.
Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc.
Changes in the Money Supply
 The Fed can shift the aggregate demand
curve when it changes monetary policy.
 An increase in the money supply shifts
the money supply curve to the right.
 Without a change in the money demand
curve, the interest rate falls.
 Falling interest rates increase the
quantity of goods and services
demanded.
Y2
AD2
3. …which
increases the
quantity of goods
and services
demanded at a
given price level.
1. When
the Fed
increases
the money
supply…
MS2
A Monetary Injection...
Y1
P
Quantity
of Output
0
Price
Level
Aggregate
demand, AD1
(a) The Money Market
Quantity
of Money
0
Money
supply,
MS1
r1
Interest
Rate
(b) The Aggregate-Demand Curve
r2
2. …the equilibrium
interest rate falls…
Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc.
Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc.
Changes in the Money Supply
When the Fed increases the money supply, it
lowers the interest rate and increases the
quantity of goods and services demanded at any
given price level, shifting aggregate-demand to
the right.
When the Fed contracts the money supply, it
raises the interest rate and reduces the quantity
of goods and services demanded at any given
price level, shifting aggregate-demand to the
left.
Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc.
How Fiscal Policy Influences
Aggregate Demand
Fiscal policy refers to the government’s
choices regarding the overall level of
government purchases or taxes.
Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc.
Changes in Government
Purchases
When the government alters its own
purchases of goods or services, it shifts the
aggregate-demand curve directly.
Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc.
Changes in Government
Purchases
There are two macroeconomic
effects from the change in
government purchases:
The multiplier effect
The crowding-out effect
Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc.
The Multiplier Effect
Government purchases are said to have a
multiplier effect on aggregate demand.
Each dollar spent by the government can
raise the aggregate demand for goods and
services by more than a dollar.
Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc.
The Multiplier Effect...
Aggregate demand, AD1
Quantity
of Output
0
Price
Level
AD2
1. An increase in government
purchases of $20 billion
initially increases aggregate
demand by $20 billion…
$20 billion
AD3
2. …but the multiplier effect can amplify
the shift in aggregate demand.
Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc.
A Formula for the Spending
Multiplier
The formula for the spending multiplier:
Spending Multiplier =
1/(1 - MPC)
An important number in this formula is
the marginal propensity to consume
(MPC).
 It is the fraction of income that a
household consumes rather than saves.
Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc.
A Formula for the Spending Multiplier
If the MPC is 75% (3/4), then the
spending multiplier will be:
Spending Multiplier = 1/(1 -
3/4) = 4
In this case, a $20 billion increase in
government spending generates $80
billion of increased demand for goods and
services ignoring crowding out effect.
Total Change in AD= 20 billion x 4 = 80
billion.
Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc.
The Crowding-Out Effect
Fiscal policy may not affect the
economy as strongly as predicted by the
multiplier.
An increase in government purchases
causes the interest rate to rise.
A higher interest rate reduces
investment spending.
Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc.
The Crowding-Out Effect
This reduction in demand that results
when a fiscal expansion raises the interest
rate is called the crowding-out effect.
The crowding-out effect tends to dampen
the effects of fiscal policy on aggregate
demand.
4. …which in turn
partly offsets the
initial increase in
aggregate
demand.
The Crowding-Out Effect...
Aggregate demand, AD1
(b) The Shift in Aggregate Demand
Quantity of Output
0
Price
Level
(a) The Money Market
Quantity
of Money
Quantity fixed
by the Fed
0
r1
Money demand, MD1
Money
supply
Interest
Rate
1. When an increase in government
purchases increases aggregate demand…
3. …which increases the equilibrium
interest rate…
r2
MD2
2. …the increase
in spending
increases money
demand…
Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc.
AD2
AD3
AD4
Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc.
The Crowding-Out Effect
When the government increases its
purchases by $20 billion, the aggregate
demand for goods and services could rise
by more or less than $20 billion,
depending on whether the multiplier
effect or the crowding-out effect is larger.
Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc.
Changes in Taxes
When the government cuts personal
income taxes, it increases households’
take-home pay.
 Households save some of this additional
income.
 Households also spend some of it on
consumer goods.
 Increased household spending shifts the
aggregate-demand curve to the right.
 Expansionary Fiscal Policy: Increase in G or
Decrease in T. Contractionary Fiscal Policy:
Increase in T or Decrease in G.

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Chapter 32b.ppt

  • 1. The Influence of Monetary and Fiscal Policy on Aggregate Demand Chapter 32
  • 2. Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. Aggregate Demand Many factors influence aggregate demand. Monetary and fiscal policy are sometimes used to offset those shifts and stabilize the economy.
  • 3. Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. The Theory of Liquidity Preference Keynes developed the theory of liquidity preference in order to explain what factors determine the economy’s interest rate. According to the theory, the interest rate adjusts to balance the supply and demand for money.
  • 4. Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. Money Supply The money supply is controlled by the Fed/Central Bank through:  Open-market operations  Changing the reserve requirements  Changing the discount rate
  • 5. Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. Money Supply Because it is fixed by the Fed, the quantity of money supplied does not depend on the interest rate. The fixed money supply is represented by a vertical supply curve.
  • 6. Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. Money Demand Money demand is determined by several factors. According to the theory of liquidity preference, one of the most important factors is the interest rate.
  • 7. Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. Money Demand People choose to hold money instead of other assets that offer higher rates of return because money can be used to buy goods and services.
  • 8. Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. Money Demand The opportunity cost of holding money is the interest that could be earned on interest-earning assets. An increase in the interest rate raises the opportunity cost of holding money. As a result, the quantity of money demanded is reduced.
  • 9. Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. Equilibrium in the Money Market According to the theory of liquidity preference:  The interest rate adjusts to balance the supply and demand for money. In other words the MS and MD determines the interest rate in the economy.  There is one interest rate, called the equilibrium interest rate, at which the quantity of money demanded equals the quantity of money supplied
  • 10. Equilibrium in the Money Market... Quantity of Money Interest Rate 0 Money demand Quantity fixed by the Fed Money supply r2 M d 2 r1 M d 1 Equilibrium interest rate Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc.
  • 11. Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. Changes in the Money Supply  The Fed can shift the aggregate demand curve when it changes monetary policy.  An increase in the money supply shifts the money supply curve to the right.  Without a change in the money demand curve, the interest rate falls.  Falling interest rates increase the quantity of goods and services demanded.
  • 12. Y2 AD2 3. …which increases the quantity of goods and services demanded at a given price level. 1. When the Fed increases the money supply… MS2 A Monetary Injection... Y1 P Quantity of Output 0 Price Level Aggregate demand, AD1 (a) The Money Market Quantity of Money 0 Money supply, MS1 r1 Interest Rate (b) The Aggregate-Demand Curve r2 2. …the equilibrium interest rate falls… Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc.
  • 13. Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. Changes in the Money Supply When the Fed increases the money supply, it lowers the interest rate and increases the quantity of goods and services demanded at any given price level, shifting aggregate-demand to the right. When the Fed contracts the money supply, it raises the interest rate and reduces the quantity of goods and services demanded at any given price level, shifting aggregate-demand to the left.
  • 14. Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. How Fiscal Policy Influences Aggregate Demand Fiscal policy refers to the government’s choices regarding the overall level of government purchases or taxes.
  • 15. Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. Changes in Government Purchases When the government alters its own purchases of goods or services, it shifts the aggregate-demand curve directly.
  • 16. Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. Changes in Government Purchases There are two macroeconomic effects from the change in government purchases: The multiplier effect The crowding-out effect
  • 17. Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. The Multiplier Effect Government purchases are said to have a multiplier effect on aggregate demand. Each dollar spent by the government can raise the aggregate demand for goods and services by more than a dollar.
  • 18. Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. The Multiplier Effect... Aggregate demand, AD1 Quantity of Output 0 Price Level AD2 1. An increase in government purchases of $20 billion initially increases aggregate demand by $20 billion… $20 billion AD3 2. …but the multiplier effect can amplify the shift in aggregate demand.
  • 19. Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. A Formula for the Spending Multiplier The formula for the spending multiplier: Spending Multiplier = 1/(1 - MPC) An important number in this formula is the marginal propensity to consume (MPC).  It is the fraction of income that a household consumes rather than saves.
  • 20. Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. A Formula for the Spending Multiplier If the MPC is 75% (3/4), then the spending multiplier will be: Spending Multiplier = 1/(1 - 3/4) = 4 In this case, a $20 billion increase in government spending generates $80 billion of increased demand for goods and services ignoring crowding out effect. Total Change in AD= 20 billion x 4 = 80 billion.
  • 21. Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. The Crowding-Out Effect Fiscal policy may not affect the economy as strongly as predicted by the multiplier. An increase in government purchases causes the interest rate to rise. A higher interest rate reduces investment spending.
  • 22. Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. The Crowding-Out Effect This reduction in demand that results when a fiscal expansion raises the interest rate is called the crowding-out effect. The crowding-out effect tends to dampen the effects of fiscal policy on aggregate demand.
  • 23. 4. …which in turn partly offsets the initial increase in aggregate demand. The Crowding-Out Effect... Aggregate demand, AD1 (b) The Shift in Aggregate Demand Quantity of Output 0 Price Level (a) The Money Market Quantity of Money Quantity fixed by the Fed 0 r1 Money demand, MD1 Money supply Interest Rate 1. When an increase in government purchases increases aggregate demand… 3. …which increases the equilibrium interest rate… r2 MD2 2. …the increase in spending increases money demand… Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. AD2 AD3 AD4
  • 24. Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. The Crowding-Out Effect When the government increases its purchases by $20 billion, the aggregate demand for goods and services could rise by more or less than $20 billion, depending on whether the multiplier effect or the crowding-out effect is larger.
  • 25. Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. Changes in Taxes When the government cuts personal income taxes, it increases households’ take-home pay.  Households save some of this additional income.  Households also spend some of it on consumer goods.  Increased household spending shifts the aggregate-demand curve to the right.  Expansionary Fiscal Policy: Increase in G or Decrease in T. Contractionary Fiscal Policy: Increase in T or Decrease in G.