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Big Data Analytics in
Politics – Voted ‘Yes’
      - By Suvradeep Rudra
When Jim Messina arrived in Chicago as Obama’s newly minted
  campaign manager in January of 2011, he imposed a mandate
  on his recruits: they were to make decisions based on
  measurable data ……

A metric-driven kind of campaign in which politics was the goal but
   political instincts might not be the means. “We are going to
   measure every single thing in this campaign,”

    Analytics predicted …George Clooney had an almost
   gravitational tug on West Coast females ages 40 to 49

Analytics predicted….. East Coast celebrity who had similar
   appeal among the same demographic, aiming to replicate the
   millions of dollars produced by the Clooney contest. “we chose
   Sarah Jessica Parker”
Goal Setting


•   Raise $1 billion

•   Very focused and targeted TV ads

•   Understand better swing-state voters

•   Measure effectiveness of every campaign engagement from
    phone calls and door knocks to direct mailings and social
    media.
Step 1 - Build
•   Collect and build the BIG DATA environment

      ------first 18 months, the campaign started over, creating a
    single massive system that could merge the information
    collected from pollsters, fundraisers, field workers and
    consumer databases as well as social-media and mobile
    contacts with the main Democratic voter files in the swing
    states.

•   More than 80 different pieces of information were factored in -
    including age, gender, voting history, home ownership and
    magazine subscriptions

•   The analytics team used four streams of polling data to build a
    detailed picture of voters in key states.
Step 2 - Analyze
•   Ran the election 66,000 times every night, computer
    simulations the campaign ran to figure out odds of winning
    each swing state.

•   Every morning we got the spit-out - here are your chances of
    winning these states. And that is how resources are allocated.

•   Analyze data as to recruit volunteers, buy ads, tailor emails and
    mailers, raise money, dispatch surrogates - and, most
    importantly, scour the swing states for hard-to-find voters most
    likely to support the president
Step 3 - Act
•   Metric-driven e-mail campaign in which dozens of
    fundraising appeals went out each day, with different
    subject lines, senders and messages.
•   First-time donors were offered a free bumper sticker to
    sign up
•   People who had downloaded an app were sent
    messages with pictures of their friends in swing states.
•   “Why did we put Barack Obama on Reddit?” bcoz
    analytics turnout targets were on Reddit
•   Online, first-ever attempt at using Facebook on a mass
    scale to replicate the door-knocking efforts of field
    organizers
Flowchart
Step 4 - Result
•    People who signed up for the campaign’s Quick Donate
     program, which allowed repeat giving online or via text
     message without having to re-enter credit-card information,
     gave about four times as much as other donors.

•    Campaign found that roughly 1 in 5 people contacted by a
     Facebook pal acted on the request, in large part because the
     message came from someone they knew

•    Helped drive the campaign’s ad buying too ..” if Miami-Dade women
     under 35 are the targets, [here is] how to reach them,” said one official. As a
     result, the campaign bought ads to air during unconventional programming, like
     Sons of Anarchy, The Walking Dead and Don’t Trust the B—- in Apt. 23” “



    …….as said, in politics, the era of big data has arrived.
Bibliography/Reference
•   How President Obama’s campaign used big data to rally
    individual voters http://www.technologyreview.com/featuredstory/509026/how-
    obamas-team-used-big-data-to-rally-voters/


•   http://swampland.time.com/2012/11/07/inside-the-secret-world-of-quants-and-data-crunchers-

    who-helped-obama-win/#ixzz2KOSn3Y1S


•   How Obama's Campaign Used Big Data to Win the
    Election - http://it.tmcnet.com/topics/it/articles/2012/11/19/316443-how-obamas-
    campaign-used-big-data-w-the.htm
Bibliography/Reference
•   How President Obama’s campaign used big data to rally
    individual voters http://www.technologyreview.com/featuredstory/509026/how-
    obamas-team-used-big-data-to-rally-voters/


•   http://swampland.time.com/2012/11/07/inside-the-secret-world-of-quants-and-data-crunchers-

    who-helped-obama-win/#ixzz2KOSn3Y1S


•   How Obama's Campaign Used Big Data to Win the
    Election - http://it.tmcnet.com/topics/it/articles/2012/11/19/316443-how-obamas-
    campaign-used-big-data-w-the.htm

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Big data analytics in politics voted yes

  • 1. Big Data Analytics in Politics – Voted ‘Yes’ - By Suvradeep Rudra
  • 2. When Jim Messina arrived in Chicago as Obama’s newly minted campaign manager in January of 2011, he imposed a mandate on his recruits: they were to make decisions based on measurable data …… A metric-driven kind of campaign in which politics was the goal but political instincts might not be the means. “We are going to measure every single thing in this campaign,” Analytics predicted …George Clooney had an almost gravitational tug on West Coast females ages 40 to 49 Analytics predicted….. East Coast celebrity who had similar appeal among the same demographic, aiming to replicate the millions of dollars produced by the Clooney contest. “we chose Sarah Jessica Parker”
  • 3. Goal Setting • Raise $1 billion • Very focused and targeted TV ads • Understand better swing-state voters • Measure effectiveness of every campaign engagement from phone calls and door knocks to direct mailings and social media.
  • 4. Step 1 - Build • Collect and build the BIG DATA environment ------first 18 months, the campaign started over, creating a single massive system that could merge the information collected from pollsters, fundraisers, field workers and consumer databases as well as social-media and mobile contacts with the main Democratic voter files in the swing states. • More than 80 different pieces of information were factored in - including age, gender, voting history, home ownership and magazine subscriptions • The analytics team used four streams of polling data to build a detailed picture of voters in key states.
  • 5. Step 2 - Analyze • Ran the election 66,000 times every night, computer simulations the campaign ran to figure out odds of winning each swing state. • Every morning we got the spit-out - here are your chances of winning these states. And that is how resources are allocated. • Analyze data as to recruit volunteers, buy ads, tailor emails and mailers, raise money, dispatch surrogates - and, most importantly, scour the swing states for hard-to-find voters most likely to support the president
  • 6. Step 3 - Act • Metric-driven e-mail campaign in which dozens of fundraising appeals went out each day, with different subject lines, senders and messages. • First-time donors were offered a free bumper sticker to sign up • People who had downloaded an app were sent messages with pictures of their friends in swing states. • “Why did we put Barack Obama on Reddit?” bcoz analytics turnout targets were on Reddit • Online, first-ever attempt at using Facebook on a mass scale to replicate the door-knocking efforts of field organizers
  • 8. Step 4 - Result • People who signed up for the campaign’s Quick Donate program, which allowed repeat giving online or via text message without having to re-enter credit-card information, gave about four times as much as other donors. • Campaign found that roughly 1 in 5 people contacted by a Facebook pal acted on the request, in large part because the message came from someone they knew • Helped drive the campaign’s ad buying too ..” if Miami-Dade women under 35 are the targets, [here is] how to reach them,” said one official. As a result, the campaign bought ads to air during unconventional programming, like Sons of Anarchy, The Walking Dead and Don’t Trust the B—- in Apt. 23” “ …….as said, in politics, the era of big data has arrived.
  • 9. Bibliography/Reference • How President Obama’s campaign used big data to rally individual voters http://www.technologyreview.com/featuredstory/509026/how- obamas-team-used-big-data-to-rally-voters/ • http://swampland.time.com/2012/11/07/inside-the-secret-world-of-quants-and-data-crunchers- who-helped-obama-win/#ixzz2KOSn3Y1S • How Obama's Campaign Used Big Data to Win the Election - http://it.tmcnet.com/topics/it/articles/2012/11/19/316443-how-obamas- campaign-used-big-data-w-the.htm
  • 10. Bibliography/Reference • How President Obama’s campaign used big data to rally individual voters http://www.technologyreview.com/featuredstory/509026/how- obamas-team-used-big-data-to-rally-voters/ • http://swampland.time.com/2012/11/07/inside-the-secret-world-of-quants-and-data-crunchers- who-helped-obama-win/#ixzz2KOSn3Y1S • How Obama's Campaign Used Big Data to Win the Election - http://it.tmcnet.com/topics/it/articles/2012/11/19/316443-how-obamas- campaign-used-big-data-w-the.htm