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OpenTechAI
Jim Spohrer (IBM)
http://slideshare.net/spohrer/opentechai_20180429_v1
4/29/2018 IBM #OpenTechAI 1
FfDL – MAX – ART – INTU – COG – IBM – DBG – WATSON – CODAIT - RESEARCH – POWERAI – COGNITIVE – GITHUB – LEADERBOARDS - KAGGLE
4/29/2018 IBM #OpenTechAI 2
4/29/2018 IBM #OpenTechAI 3
4/29/2018 IBM #OpenTechAI 4
4/29/2018 IBM #OpenTechAI 5
OpenTechAI on GitHub (April 29, 2018)
Code Stars (K) Forks (K)
Google TensorFlow 97 62
Keras-team Keras 28 10
Sci-kit Sci-kit 27 13
BVLC Caffe 23 14
PyTorch PyTorch 14 3
Apache MXNet 13 5
Caffe2 Caffe2 7 1
Baidu PaddlePaddle 6 1
Google Tensor2Tensor 3 0.8
Tencent ANGEL 3 0.8
4/29/2018 IBM #OpenTechAI 6
OpenTechAI on GitHub (April 29, 2018)
Code Stars (K) Forks (K)
Tencent NCNN 3 0.8
Google Kubeflow 3 0.3
Microsoft ONNX 3 0.3
Google TensorBoard 1 0.3
Apache SystemML 0.6 0.2
IBM (watson-intu) INTU (10 Repositories) 0.1 0.07
IBM FfDL 0.1 0.04
IBM ART 0.1 0.03
IBM MAX 0.005 0.017
LFDL AT&T Acumos (35 Repositories) 0.01 0
4/29/2018 IBM #OpenTechAI 7
Step Comment
GitHub Get an account and read the guide
Learn 3 R's - Read, Redo, Report Read (Medium/arXiv), Redo (GitHub), Report (Jupyter Notebook)
Kaggle Compete in a Kaggle competition
Leaderboards Compete to advance AI progress
Design New Challenges build an AI system that can take and pass any online course, then
switch to tutor-mode and help you pass
Open Source Guide Establish open source culture in your organization
4/29/2018 IBM #OpenTechAI 8
Leaderboards Framework
AI Progress on Open Leaderboards - Benchmark Roadmap
Perceive World Develop Cognition Build Relationships Fill Roles
Pattern
recognition
Video
understanding
Memory Reasoning Social
interactions
Fluent
conversation
Assistant &
Collaborator
Coach &
Mediator
Speech Actions Declarative Deduction Scripts Speech Acts Tasks Institutions
Chime Thumos SQuAD SAT ROC Story ConvAI
Images Context Episodic Induction Plans Intentions Summarizatio
n
Values
ImageNet VQA DSTC RALI General-AI
Translation Narration Dynamic Abductive Goals Cultures Debate Negotiation
WMT DeepVideo Alexa Prize ICCMA AT
Learning from Labeled Training Data and Searching (Optimization)
Learning by Watching and Reading (Education)
Learning by Doing and being Responsible (Exploration)
2015 2018 2021 2024 2027 2030 2033 2036
4/29/2018 (c) IBM 2017, Cognitive Opentech Group 9
Which experts would be really surprised if it takes less time… and which experts really surprised if it takes longer?
Approx.
Year
Human
Level ->
Future of AI
4/29/2018
© IBM Cognitive Opentech Group (COG)
10
Dota 2
“Deep Learning” for
“AI Pattern Recognition”
depends on massive
amounts of “labeled data”
and computing power
available since ~2012;
Labeled data is simply
input and output pairs,
such as a sound and word,
or image and word, or
English sentence and French
sentence, or road scene
and car control settings –
labeled data means having
both input and output data
in massive quantities.
For example, 100K images
of skin, half with skin
cancer and half without to
learn to recognize presence
of skin cancer.
4/29/2018
© IBM 2015, IBM Upward University Programs Worldwide accelerating regional
development
11
Trust: Two Communities
4/29/2018
© IBM MAP COG2018
12
Service
Science
OpenTech
AI
Trust:
Value Co-Creation,
Transdisciplinary
Trust:
Ethical, Safe, Explainable,
Open Communities
Special Issue
AI Magazine?
Handbook of
OpenTech AI?
Resilience:
Rapidly Rebuilding From Scratch
• Dartnell L (2012) The Knowledge: How to
Rebuild Civilization in the Aftermath of a
Cataclysm. Westminster London: Penguin
Books.
4/29/2018
© IBM MAP COG2018
13

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Open techai 20180429 v1

  • 1. OpenTechAI Jim Spohrer (IBM) http://slideshare.net/spohrer/opentechai_20180429_v1 4/29/2018 IBM #OpenTechAI 1 FfDL – MAX – ART – INTU – COG – IBM – DBG – WATSON – CODAIT - RESEARCH – POWERAI – COGNITIVE – GITHUB – LEADERBOARDS - KAGGLE
  • 6. OpenTechAI on GitHub (April 29, 2018) Code Stars (K) Forks (K) Google TensorFlow 97 62 Keras-team Keras 28 10 Sci-kit Sci-kit 27 13 BVLC Caffe 23 14 PyTorch PyTorch 14 3 Apache MXNet 13 5 Caffe2 Caffe2 7 1 Baidu PaddlePaddle 6 1 Google Tensor2Tensor 3 0.8 Tencent ANGEL 3 0.8 4/29/2018 IBM #OpenTechAI 6
  • 7. OpenTechAI on GitHub (April 29, 2018) Code Stars (K) Forks (K) Tencent NCNN 3 0.8 Google Kubeflow 3 0.3 Microsoft ONNX 3 0.3 Google TensorBoard 1 0.3 Apache SystemML 0.6 0.2 IBM (watson-intu) INTU (10 Repositories) 0.1 0.07 IBM FfDL 0.1 0.04 IBM ART 0.1 0.03 IBM MAX 0.005 0.017 LFDL AT&T Acumos (35 Repositories) 0.01 0 4/29/2018 IBM #OpenTechAI 7
  • 8. Step Comment GitHub Get an account and read the guide Learn 3 R's - Read, Redo, Report Read (Medium/arXiv), Redo (GitHub), Report (Jupyter Notebook) Kaggle Compete in a Kaggle competition Leaderboards Compete to advance AI progress Design New Challenges build an AI system that can take and pass any online course, then switch to tutor-mode and help you pass Open Source Guide Establish open source culture in your organization 4/29/2018 IBM #OpenTechAI 8
  • 9. Leaderboards Framework AI Progress on Open Leaderboards - Benchmark Roadmap Perceive World Develop Cognition Build Relationships Fill Roles Pattern recognition Video understanding Memory Reasoning Social interactions Fluent conversation Assistant & Collaborator Coach & Mediator Speech Actions Declarative Deduction Scripts Speech Acts Tasks Institutions Chime Thumos SQuAD SAT ROC Story ConvAI Images Context Episodic Induction Plans Intentions Summarizatio n Values ImageNet VQA DSTC RALI General-AI Translation Narration Dynamic Abductive Goals Cultures Debate Negotiation WMT DeepVideo Alexa Prize ICCMA AT Learning from Labeled Training Data and Searching (Optimization) Learning by Watching and Reading (Education) Learning by Doing and being Responsible (Exploration) 2015 2018 2021 2024 2027 2030 2033 2036 4/29/2018 (c) IBM 2017, Cognitive Opentech Group 9 Which experts would be really surprised if it takes less time… and which experts really surprised if it takes longer? Approx. Year Human Level ->
  • 10. Future of AI 4/29/2018 © IBM Cognitive Opentech Group (COG) 10 Dota 2 “Deep Learning” for “AI Pattern Recognition” depends on massive amounts of “labeled data” and computing power available since ~2012; Labeled data is simply input and output pairs, such as a sound and word, or image and word, or English sentence and French sentence, or road scene and car control settings – labeled data means having both input and output data in massive quantities. For example, 100K images of skin, half with skin cancer and half without to learn to recognize presence of skin cancer.
  • 11. 4/29/2018 © IBM 2015, IBM Upward University Programs Worldwide accelerating regional development 11
  • 12. Trust: Two Communities 4/29/2018 © IBM MAP COG2018 12 Service Science OpenTech AI Trust: Value Co-Creation, Transdisciplinary Trust: Ethical, Safe, Explainable, Open Communities Special Issue AI Magazine? Handbook of OpenTech AI?
  • 13. Resilience: Rapidly Rebuilding From Scratch • Dartnell L (2012) The Knowledge: How to Rebuild Civilization in the Aftermath of a Cataclysm. Westminster London: Penguin Books. 4/29/2018 © IBM MAP COG2018 13

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. Please reuse – contact spohrer@us.ibm.com Reference: Spohrer, J (2018) OpenTechAI. Sunday April 29, 2018 http://slideshare.net/spohrer/opentechai_20180429_v1
  2. Source: Vijay Bommireddipally (CODAIT Director) and Fred Reiss (CODAIT Chief Architect)
  3. Source: Animesh Singh, IBM STSM and FfDL Chief Architect
  4. Expert predictions on HMLI: URL https://arxiv.org/pdf/1705.08807.pdf 2015 Pattern Recognition Speech: URL: http://spandh.dcs.shef.ac.uk/chime_challenge/chime2016/results.html 2015 Pattern Recognition Images: URL: http://www.image-net.org/ 2015 Patten Recognition Translation: URL: http://www.statmt.org/wmt17/ 2018 Video Understanding Actions: URL: http://www.thumos.info/home.html > Also UCF101 http://crcv.ucf.edu/data/UCF101.php 2018 Video Understanding Context: URL: http://visualqa.org/challenge.html 2018 Video Understanding DeepVideo: URL: http://cs.stanford.edu/people/karpathy/deepvideo/ 2021 Memory Declarative: URL: https://rajpurkar.github.io/SQuAD-explorer/ Also Allen AI Kaggle Science Challenge https://www.kaggle.com/c/the-allen-ai-science-challenge 2024 Reasoning Deduction: URL: http://www.satcompetition.org/ 2027: Social Interaction Scripts: URL: https://competitions.codalab.org/competitions/15333 2030: Fluent Conversation Speech Acts: URL: http://convai.io/ 2030: Fluent Conversation Intentions: URL: http://workshop.colips.org/dstc6/ 2030: Fluent Conversation Alexa Prize: URL: https://developer.amazon.com/alexaprize 2033: Assistant & Collaborator Summarization: URL: http://rali.iro.umontreal.ca/rali/?q=en/Automatic%20summarization 2033: Assistant & Collaborator Debate: URL: http://argumentationcompetition.org/2015/ 2036: Coach & Mediator General AI: URL: https://www.general-ai-challenge.org/ 2036: Coach & Mediator Negotiation: URL: https://easychair.org/cfp/AT2017
  5. 1950 Nathaniel Rochester (IBM) 701 first commercial computer that did super-human levels of numeric calculations routinely. He worked at MIT on arithmetic unit of WhirlWind I programmable computer. Dota 2 is most recent August 11, 2017 as a super-human game player in Valve Dota 2 competition – Elon Musk’s OpenAI result. Miles Bundage tracks gaming progress: http://www.milesbrundage.com/blog-posts/my-ai-forecasts-past-present-and-future-main-post DOTA2: https://blog.openai.com/more-on-dota-2/
  6. URL Amazon: https://www.amazon.com/Knowledge-Rebuild-Civilization-Aftermath-Cataclysm-ebook/dp/B00DMCV5YS/ URL TED Talk: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CdTzsbqQyhY Citation: Dartnell L (2012) The Knowledge: How to Rebuild Civilization in the Aftermath of a Cataclysm. Westminster London: Penguin Books. Jim Spohrer Blogs: Grand Challenge: http://service-science.info/archives/2189 Re-readings: http://service-science.info/archives/4416