National food-plan-green-paper-submission-sep-12-ePaul Mahony
This document is a submission in response to Australia's National Food Plan addressing the need to transition to a plant-based diet. It discusses how animal agriculture significantly contributes to climate change through greenhouse gas emissions and land clearing for grazing. It also impacts water usage and biodiversity loss. Charts show Arctic sea ice melting at an accelerating rate, indicating the climate change emergency. The submission argues for educating the public on environmental benefits of a plant-based diet and pricing animal products to fully account for environmental costs.
The document is a letter from the Administrator of the EPA, Christie Whitman, responding to an editorial in the Wall Street Journal. The letter defends the administration's position on climate change, stating there is a unified policy and the EPA report does not undermine the president's stance. Whitman argues the administration appropriately considers the uncertainties in climate science and need for economic growth in developing a flexible climate policy.
Bruce Geoffrey Moore received a Bachelor of Politics and Government from Griffith University in 2013, minoring in International Relations with a specialization in Politics and Government. His undergraduate transcript shows consistent high grades, including several Distinctions and High Distinctions. In 2014, he completed an Honours program in Politics and Government through the Griffith Business School, maintaining his high academic performance and receiving an award for academic excellence.
This document discusses issues with drawing causal conclusions from observational studies due to potential confounding factors. It uses a case study of a observational study that found those who drank more kopi luwak coffee had longer life expectancies. However, the study did not account for socioeconomic status or other lifestyle factors as potential confounders. Even randomized studies require careful design to minimize bias from confounding variables. In the end, the true answers to scientific questions depend on how the studies are designed and conducted.
FEMIP Report on Climate Change in the Mediterraneangueste33f29
FEMIP, the European Investment Bank’s (EIB) dedicated facility for the Mediterranean, together with the UNEP have published a study on "Climate change, energy and water in the Mediterranean".
The report, available in English and French, deals with the impact of climate change in the region. It calls for a strong investment in renewable energy and measures to modernise electricity production and improve energy efficiency.
Climate change is affected by various factors and countries need to take strong steps to address the alarming situation. Rapid climate changes are occurring due to several reasons and references provide more details on climate changes from sources like World Eye Blog.
This document summarizes a report on climate change that discusses: (1) how climate change poses life-threatening dangers and increasing global temperatures are causing more extreme weather events; (2) efforts by the UN and governments to negotiate new treaties by 2015 to reduce emissions, though developing countries resist restrictions on economic growth; and (3) predictions that the world will warm dangerously without action and failure to limit emissions could lead to severe consequences for humanity and nature.
National food-plan-green-paper-submission-sep-12-ePaul Mahony
This document is a submission in response to Australia's National Food Plan addressing the need to transition to a plant-based diet. It discusses how animal agriculture significantly contributes to climate change through greenhouse gas emissions and land clearing for grazing. It also impacts water usage and biodiversity loss. Charts show Arctic sea ice melting at an accelerating rate, indicating the climate change emergency. The submission argues for educating the public on environmental benefits of a plant-based diet and pricing animal products to fully account for environmental costs.
The document is a letter from the Administrator of the EPA, Christie Whitman, responding to an editorial in the Wall Street Journal. The letter defends the administration's position on climate change, stating there is a unified policy and the EPA report does not undermine the president's stance. Whitman argues the administration appropriately considers the uncertainties in climate science and need for economic growth in developing a flexible climate policy.
Bruce Geoffrey Moore received a Bachelor of Politics and Government from Griffith University in 2013, minoring in International Relations with a specialization in Politics and Government. His undergraduate transcript shows consistent high grades, including several Distinctions and High Distinctions. In 2014, he completed an Honours program in Politics and Government through the Griffith Business School, maintaining his high academic performance and receiving an award for academic excellence.
This document discusses issues with drawing causal conclusions from observational studies due to potential confounding factors. It uses a case study of a observational study that found those who drank more kopi luwak coffee had longer life expectancies. However, the study did not account for socioeconomic status or other lifestyle factors as potential confounders. Even randomized studies require careful design to minimize bias from confounding variables. In the end, the true answers to scientific questions depend on how the studies are designed and conducted.
FEMIP Report on Climate Change in the Mediterraneangueste33f29
FEMIP, the European Investment Bank’s (EIB) dedicated facility for the Mediterranean, together with the UNEP have published a study on "Climate change, energy and water in the Mediterranean".
The report, available in English and French, deals with the impact of climate change in the region. It calls for a strong investment in renewable energy and measures to modernise electricity production and improve energy efficiency.
Climate change is affected by various factors and countries need to take strong steps to address the alarming situation. Rapid climate changes are occurring due to several reasons and references provide more details on climate changes from sources like World Eye Blog.
This document summarizes a report on climate change that discusses: (1) how climate change poses life-threatening dangers and increasing global temperatures are causing more extreme weather events; (2) efforts by the UN and governments to negotiate new treaties by 2015 to reduce emissions, though developing countries resist restrictions on economic growth; and (3) predictions that the world will warm dangerously without action and failure to limit emissions could lead to severe consequences for humanity and nature.
Presentation given on 'Policy coherence in
the WLEFC nexus: EU and international policies' by Stefania Munaretto and Maria Witmer, PBL Netherlands Environmental
Assessment Agency, at Lunch Seminar, WRI, Washington D.C.
FEMIP Report on Climate Change in the MediterraneanPARIS
FEMIP, the European Investment Bank’s (EIB) dedicated facility for the Mediterranean, together with the UNEP have published a study on "Climate change, energy and water in the Mediterranean".
The report, available in English and French, deals with the impact of climate change in the region. It calls for a strong investment in renewable energy and measures to modernise electricity production and improve energy efficiency.
Early warning systems for food water-energy nexus in GMS regionPrabhakar SVRK
For a full paper on this subject, please refer to the links below:
http://enviroscope.iges.or.jp/modules/envirolib/view.php?docid=3390
http://gis.gms-eoc.org/GMS2020_WS-MATERIALS/2.1.4%20Prabhakar_Climate_Risks_to_Agriculture.pdf
This document provides an overview of the Hands off the Land project which aims to raise awareness about land grabbing in Europe. It documents cases of transnational land grabs in various countries and presents fact sheets and studies. The project is a joint initiative of several organizations working to end land grabbing. It acknowledges funding support from the European Commission but notes that the views expressed are those of the partner organizations, not the EC.
A Foreseeable Disaster: The European Union’s agroenergy policies and the glob...FIAN Norge
The European Union's Renewable Energy Directive mandates that 20% of the EU's overall energy and 10% of transport energy come from renewable sources by 2020. While the directive supported development of "second generation" agrofuels, member states' plans show the transport target will be met through first generation agrofuels like biodiesel and bioethanol. Despite claims that newer technologies could produce agrofuels more sustainably, these second generation fuels have so far proven more difficult and energy-intensive to develop than expected.
Long Term Trend Analysis of Precipitation and Temperature for Asosa district,...IRJET Journal
The document analyzes temperature and precipitation trends in Asosa District, Benishangul Gumuz Region, Ethiopia from 1993 to 2022 based on data from the local meteorological station. The results show:
1) The average maximum and minimum annual temperatures have generally decreased over time, with maximum temperatures decreasing by a factor of -0.0341 and minimum by -0.0152.
2) Mann-Kendall tests found the decreasing temperature trends to be statistically significant for annual maximum temperatures but not for annual minimum temperatures.
3) Annual precipitation in Asosa District showed a statistically significant increasing trend.
The conclusions recommend development planners account for rising summer precipitation and declining temperatures in
Long Term Trend Analysis of Precipitation and Temperature for Asosa district...tsehayeadamu
The research was designed at addressing the national and local issues of climate change and was done by
investigating time series temperature and precipitation trends in Benishangul Gumuz Regional state of Ethiopia, Asosa District
in particular.
Presentation by Claudia Ringler, Hartwig Kremer and Cheikh Mbow at the UNEA Science Policy Interface, May 19-20
Presentation focuses on the concept of the water, food and energy nexus and its importance within the development context. It also provides a number of cases highlighting nexus issues.
This document discusses energy efficiency policies and sustainable energy. It notes that many countries are implementing energy efficiency policies to address issues like global warming and dependence on fossil fuels. Energy efficiency and renewable energy are seen as key to sustainable energy policy. The document then discusses several countries' and regions' policies around energy efficiency, greenhouse gas emissions reductions, and renewable energy development, including the European Union, China, and the United States. It also discusses the Kyoto Protocol and concepts like the environmental Kuznets curve and carbon capture and storage.
Public lecture to the Australian Academy of Science in the wonderful Shine Dome in Canberra on 4 November 2009. A big picture look at the policy and science integration challenges across water, energy, carbon, food and health against a background of climate chaos and a looming oil crunch.
Global trends relevant for European environmentPLACARD
Anita Pirc Velkavrh, Foresight and sustainability group, Integrated assessment programme
PLACARD Foresight workshop – reducing vulnerability to climate-related hazards
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National Met Service (ZAMG), Vienna
Thirty five experts from three different science, policy and practice communities – CCA, DRR and foresight – joined us to explore whether foresight can help to reduce climate vulnerability. The answer was positive: combining qualitative and quantitative foresight methods in visioning exercises can help to integrate the two issues.
This is a presentation of the European Environment Agency's 'Environmental indicator report 2013'. The report explores the implications of a transition to a green economy, focusing on the interaction of resource consumption, environmental trends and human well-being. The report aims to support implementation of the European Union’s 7th Environmental Action Programme (7th EAP), which sets the long-term objectives of environmental policymaking in the EU.
CEPS seminar -Public goods from private landallysun
The document discusses public goods from private land management in the EU. It argues that environmental market failures related to agriculture are underestimated and undermine food and environmental security. It advocates for paying private land managers to deliver environmental services and public goods through measures like agri-environment schemes and cross compliance to address issues like biodiversity loss, pollution, and climate change. Precisely defining and measuring these public goods is necessary to justify related EU policies and budget allocations.
This document summarizes the key findings of the 2010 edition of the Ecological Footprint Atlas published by Global Footprint Network. It finds that humanity is currently in global ecological overshoot, using more resources than the Earth can renew. This overshoot puts increasing pressure on critical ecosystems and risks shortages of essential resources. The document advocates for governments and organizations to use Ecological Footprint accounting to better understand their resource demands and dependencies to guide more sustainable economic development and policy within planetary boundaries. It highlights improvements made to the National Footprint Accounts methodology in the 2010 edition and outlines how governments can utilize their Ecological Footprint data to secure long-term economic success and resilience in a resource-constrained world.
The document discusses the Environmental Kuznets Curve hypothesis. It states that the EKC hypothesizes an inverted U-shaped relationship between environmental degradation and income per capita levels. Specifically:
- As a country develops initially, environmental quality declines due to increasing pollution from economic growth.
- After a certain income threshold is reached, higher incomes and demand for environmental quality causes new technologies and regulations that reduce pollution levels.
- The EKC has been empirically tested for some pollutants but relationships are mixed and it ignores other environmental factors like resource depletion.
The organizations European Alliance to Save Energy and Water Europe call on the European Parliament and member states to better leverage the water-energy nexus in the Energy Efficiency Directive. There are strong interdependencies between water and energy use across sectors, and promoting efficiency in one area saves the other. The groups outline 11 recommendations to strengthen policies around prioritizing efficiency, water reuse, green infrastructure, data sharing, and monitoring digital sector consumption. Fully realizing the nexus' potential could significantly reduce energy demand, water use, and greenhouse gas emissions across Europe.
The Integrated Urban Water Management (IUWM) Serious GameSIM4NEXUS
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Weitere ähnliche Inhalte
Ähnlich wie Water-food Interlinkages and the Nexus
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http://gis.gms-eoc.org/GMS2020_WS-MATERIALS/2.1.4%20Prabhakar_Climate_Risks_to_Agriculture.pdf
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1) The average maximum and minimum annual temperatures have generally decreased over time, with maximum temperatures decreasing by a factor of -0.0341 and minimum by -0.0152.
2) Mann-Kendall tests found the decreasing temperature trends to be statistically significant for annual maximum temperatures but not for annual minimum temperatures.
3) Annual precipitation in Asosa District showed a statistically significant increasing trend.
The conclusions recommend development planners account for rising summer precipitation and declining temperatures in
Long Term Trend Analysis of Precipitation and Temperature for Asosa district...tsehayeadamu
The research was designed at addressing the national and local issues of climate change and was done by
investigating time series temperature and precipitation trends in Benishangul Gumuz Regional state of Ethiopia, Asosa District
in particular.
Presentation by Claudia Ringler, Hartwig Kremer and Cheikh Mbow at the UNEA Science Policy Interface, May 19-20
Presentation focuses on the concept of the water, food and energy nexus and its importance within the development context. It also provides a number of cases highlighting nexus issues.
This document discusses energy efficiency policies and sustainable energy. It notes that many countries are implementing energy efficiency policies to address issues like global warming and dependence on fossil fuels. Energy efficiency and renewable energy are seen as key to sustainable energy policy. The document then discusses several countries' and regions' policies around energy efficiency, greenhouse gas emissions reductions, and renewable energy development, including the European Union, China, and the United States. It also discusses the Kyoto Protocol and concepts like the environmental Kuznets curve and carbon capture and storage.
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- After a certain income threshold is reached, higher incomes and demand for environmental quality causes new technologies and regulations that reduce pollution levels.
- The EKC has been empirically tested for some pollutants but relationships are mixed and it ignores other environmental factors like resource depletion.
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1. Water-food interlinkages
and the Nexus
University of Exeter
(UNEXE)
Floor Brouwer
Wageningen Economic Research
Exeter, 23/02/2018
2. 2
Sustainable Integrated Management FOR the Nexus
of water-land-food-energy-climate for a resource-
efficient Europe
• Target at a resource-efficient Europe
• Nexus-compliant practices regarding water-land-
food-energy-climate
• Focus on the sustainable & integrated management
of resources
3. 3
Resource-efficient Europe
• Increase economic output produced per unit of input
(e.g. water, land, energy)
• The Jevons paradox (1865) says that improvements in
resource efficiency cause a decline in resource prices,
increasing affordability and hence cause an incentive to
increase resource use (rebound effect)
• Direct rebound effect might be 20%. In such case, a 10%
increase in resource efficiency would result in an 8%
reduction of resource use only. Twenty percent of the
savings will be offset by changes in consumer’s and
producer’s behaviour
5. 5
Nexus of water-land-food-energy-climate
• Interdependence of using natural resources (energy, food,
water, land)
• Identifying trade-offs is essential, but exploring synergies in
using natural resources efficiently is important – focus at
coherence of public policies and private sector measures
• Governance by policy, business and NGOs
• SIM4NEXUS will work in a transdisciplinary way on a
challenge that is defined with local stakeholders from
policy, business and civil society organisations
6. 6
Policy Linkages
• The Nexus touches on many different policy areas
Circular economy
Bio-based economy
Low-carbon economy
Social welfare
Resource efficiency
Access to clean water
International development
7. 7
Policy coherence – manage resources
sustainably
• Definition: Systematic effort to reduce conflicts and
promote synergies and cooperation within and across
individual policy areas at different administrative and spatial
scales
• Two perspectives:
Policy content Policy process
What? How?
Cases
9. 9
Selection of 33 EU
WLEFC objectives
Criteria:
• Relevance of the
objectives to the
project and cases
• Potential of the
objectives to have a
high number of
interactions
• Unambiguous and
clear definition
• Also looked at policy
instruments
EU WATER POLICY
W1 Achieve good water quality status
W2
Ensure sufficient supply of good quality surface water and groundwater for people’s needs, the economy and
the environment
W3 Increase water efficiency
W4 Reduce water consumption
W5 Assess and manage flood risk and mitigate flood effects
W6 Address and mitigate water scarcity and drought
EU ENERGY POLICY
E1 Increase production of biofuel
E2 Increase consumption of biofuel
E3 Increase production of energy from biomass (excluding biofuel)
E4 Increase consumption of energy from biomass (excluding biofuel)
E5 Increase hydro-energy production
E6 Increase hydro-energy consumption
E7 Increase energy efficiency
E8 Reduce energy consumption
E9 Push forward important energy infrastructure projects (grid, network, interconnectors, etc.)
E10 Achieve energy supply security
EU LAND USE POLICY
L1 Restoring degraded soils to a level of functionality consistent with at least current and intended use
L2 Prevent soil degradation
L3 Maintain and enhance forest cover
L4 Prevent indirect land use change from nature to productive use
EU FOOD AND AGRICULTURE POLICY
F1 Contribute to farm incomes (if farmers respect rules on environment, land management, soil protection, water
management, food safety, animal health and welfare - ‘cross-compliance’)
F2 Improve competitiveness of agricultural sector (including sector-specific support and international trade issues)
F3 Ensure provision of environmental public goods in the agriculture sector
F4 Support rural areas economy (employment, social fabric, local markets, diverse farming systems)
F5 Promote resource efficiency in the agriculture, food and forestry sectors
F6 Reduce and prevent food waste
F7 Reduce intake of animal protein in human diet (non-binding objective; expressed intention on a research phase)
EU CLIMATE POLICY
C1 Reduce GHGs emissions to keep global temperature increase within 2 degrees
C2 Increase efficiency of the transport system
C3 Support the development and uptake of low-carbon technology
C4 Support the development and uptake of safe CCS technology
C5 Incentivize more climate-friendly land use
C6 Promote adaptation in key vulnerable EU sectors and in MSs
10. 10
Coherence analysis
Typology of bilateral interactions (Nilsson et al., 2016)
Cancelling
Progress in one objective makes it impossible to reach another objective and possibly leads to a
deteriorating state of the second. A choice has to be made between the two
Counteracting The pursuit of one objective counteract another objective
Constraining The pursuit of one objective sets a condition or a constraint one the achievement of another objective
Consistent There is no significant interaction between two objectives
Enabling The pursuit of one objective enables the achievement of another objective
Reinforcing One objective directly creates conditions that lead to the achievement of another objective
Indivisible One objective is inextricably linked to the achievement of another objective
12. 12
Mostly coherence between water and land-
energy-food-climate policies
• Water > Land – Energy- Food – Climate
• Land – Energy – Food - Climate > Water
• Important in what context and how objectives are
reached.
Total Positive Negative Pos. or neg.
64 43 0 21
Total Positive Negative Pos. or neg.
87 65 10 12
13. 13
Rationale for SIM4NEXUS
• Improving resource efficiency requires exploitation of
synergies and mitigation of trade-offs across water,
energy, food, climate and land. Implementations needs
the active participation among government, the private
sector, academia and civil society
• A Serious Game is developed to learn from modelling
tools, using impact assessment approaches and expert
knowledge. On top of it, a user will benefit from the
knowledge of practitioners who play the game. We
develop the game through 12 cases across Europe. The
case use transdisciplinary approaches to adequately
address the Nexus, driven by stakeholder needs
14. What can be the
role of biomass
in the Dutch
transition to a
low-carbon
economy by
2050?
Is it possible to enlarge
energy self-supply, by
widening the use of
renewable energy sources
in Latvia ?
How to achieve both the
transition to low-carbon
economy and the
sustainable management
of water resources in the
Rhine region ?
How the governance of
energy, water and agriculture
effects sustainable food
production, the provision of
water and wastewater
services and the move to a
smart and flexible system for
resource management ?
How can agricultural and
environmental policies be
integrated to address
pressures on land and water
whilst promoting their
sustainable use and
economic development?
How to reach a resilient
system able to satisfy all
demands under climate
change?
Does the goal of becoming a
fossil-free nation interferes with
some of the national
environmental objectives such
as sustainable development of
water and forest resources ?
Does the landscape structure
dominated by monoculture-like
crop areas in some of the lower
parts and its alterations by
energy production affect the
water cycle in an unfavorable
way?
What are the
Nexus issues at
the global scale ?
What are the
impacts of a
transition to a
low-carbon
economy in
Europe on the five
elements of the
Nexus ?
What are the
implications of
Azerbaijan’s
transition to a
low-carbon
economy on the
different Nexus
domains ?
How national policies in water
management, renewable power
production and land, affect each
other and result in changes in food
production, tourism, GHG emissions,
quantity & quality of water
resources ?
Main question
addressed by the 12
SIM4Nexus case
studies
15. 15
Topics addressed on modelling the Nexus
• Modelling the Nexus of water-energy-food-land-
climate (examples on water-food linkages)
• Nexus challenges for specific cases, both in the
middle-of-the road scenario (i.e. SSP2 scenario)
and in the 2 degree scenario.
• Serious Gaming, learning and Nexus-compliant
practices
17. 17
CAPRI – core characteristics
• Keywords: PARTIAL EQUILIBRIUM, GLOBAL, COMPARATIVE STATIC, EX-
ANTE
• Detailed coverage of primary and (some) secondary commodities, full
representation of the agricultural sector
• Heterogeneous regional representation (modular):
• Global spatial trade model on the demand side
• Regionalized optimization models on the supply side (i.e. EU-28,
Norway, Turkey and Western Balkans at Nuts 2 level)
• Farm type and 1x1 km downscaling components for EU-28
• Rather unique combination of spatial global trade model with regional
programming models based on sequential calibration
19. 19
Core data sources
EUROSTAT: market balances, acreages, herd sizes, yields,
slaughtering statistics, Economic Accounts for Agriculture,
household surveys, macro-econ indicators, regional
agricultural and land use statistics, farm structure survey,...
FAOSTAT: supply utilization accounts, trade matrices
FADN: yields for farm types
DG-AGRI and others: policy definition (CAP, WTO
commitments, FTAs, Import tariffs, NTMs)
IPCC, EEA: GHG emission accounting
20. Scenario definition
CAPRI is a comparative static model
o Scenarios are compared against the baseline (reference
scenario) in the simulation year
o The model provides simulated results both at the global
level ( 40 trade blocks) and at the regional level within
Europe ( 280 NUTS-2 regions)
The baseline provides a reference or business as usual
scenario for ex-ante assessment
o Consistent view on the likely evolution of global
agricultural markets over some future time horizon
Simulation scenarios include policy scenarios (agricultural,
trade and environmental policies), climate change,...
21. CAPRI-WATER version
Focus on agricultural water: irrigation and livestock water
use
Crop production activities in the supply module of CAPRI are
differentiated into non-irrigable and irrigable activities
o Irrigable activities are split into a rainfed and irrigated
variant
o Input-output coefficients for rainfed/irrigated variants
are defined such as to match the corresponding
aggregate activity
Constraints on irrigable land and agricultural water use are
accounted for
22. CAPRI water
Scenario W1: an
increase in water price
of 0.05 €/m3 of
irrigation water.
Scenario W2: water
price as in the scenario
W1 and 0.1% annual
increase in irrigation
efficiency for both
water application
efficiency and water
transport efficiency.
Analysing the water-food nexus
Irrigation water use at the subnational level within the EU under
different scenarios (% change from baseline)
Source: https://doi.org/10.2791/319578
23. Impacts of water pricing
Profitability of irrigated crops will go down, because of an
increase in production costs. Prices of agricultural
products will increase because of higher production costs.
Irrigated area of cereals and oilseed will go down and
rainfed area for crops will increase.
Increase in irrigation efficiency will mitigate the impact of
water pricing, reducing the decline in irrigated area and
total water use will reduce as well.
23
24. CAPRI water
Analysing the climate-water-food nexus
Irrigation share by Member State under different scenarios
(percentage of utilised agricultural area)
Source: https://doi.org/10.2791/319578
CC: RCP 8.5, no other
change from the baseline.
CCLessW: RCP8.5, 30%
decrease in irrigation
water availability.
CCIrrEff: RCP 8.5, 30%
decrease in irrigation
water availability and
annual irrigation efficiency
increase of 0.1% in both
water application and
water transport.
26. The path of the reference scenario with regards to SDGs
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
GDP per capita
GDP growth expected
in all regions of the
world, peaking at
+33% in Africa
-2
3
8
13
18
Food production -2
3
8
13
18
Calories p.c./day
-2
8
18
28
38
48
58
68
Food imports
-30
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
CO2 emissions
Examples of projected developments between 2015 and 2030
2015 - 2030 %
change
European Union
North America
South &Central
America
Africa
Rest of World
Food production
(value) stagnates in
the EU and North
America, while it
grows by 14% in Africa
Food intake nearly
stabilises in the EU
and North America,
while it keeps growing
in other regions
Increasing trade
openness worldwide,
associated with more
dependence on food
imports in Africa
Substantial CO2
emission reductions
expected in the EU28
(-26%) and the ROW
region
Source: MAGNET model, JRC 2017, forthcoming study
27. 27
Climate change and mitigation impacts on
total global agricultural production by 2050
28. Impacts of climate change on agricultural production
• Impacts are negative but small.
• A larger negative effect on agricultural production, most
pronounced for ruminant meat production, is observed
when emission mitigation measures compliant with a
2°C target are put in place.
• To reduce negative impact on agricultural production
and food security compensation policies are needed
(e.g. higher yields (R&D), less waste, diet shifts away
from red meat, income redistribution)
29. 29
Try out scenarios
3 at regional level, 5 at national level, 2 transboundary, for local stakeholders
1 at European level for policy makers and educational purposes
1 at Global level for educational purposes
The virtual world is
designed according to
realistic metadata
Each player manages own objectives
and indicators, and can only take
specific actions (applying policies)
according to the role assigned
GeoPlatform,
gathering all
metadata
Settings
Case
studies
The game involves
players, acting according
to chosen roles
The Serious Game concept
30. 30
…
Evaluation by
players
Actions by
players
Uncertainty, like financial
crisis, flood, temperature
changes, etc.
Thematic models + SDM,
calculating interlinkages
between each Nexus
component
LEARNING BY PLAYING
All Nexus components
interacting together.
Water, land, energy, food, climate
Description of a scenario
31. 31
Serious Game Graphical User Interface (SGGUI)
Choose Case
Study
View SDM Result
per Sector
View Game
Goal
Performance
View Regional Overview
Choose Policies
Simulate next time
interval
View Regional Details:
SDM Result Tree
32. 32
SGGUI information flow
Policy windows
for actions (2010,
2020, 2030,
2040, 2050)
Game over
(Show evaluation)
Select one or
many game goalsNo
Choose region
Choose policy
means based on
region
Cannot
implement policy
means
Are all
constraints
met?
Policy means
implemented
No
Yes
Has end
turn?
No
Yes
Has game
goals
attained?
Show goals
attained event
Yes
Show events from
previous policy
means
No
Are all
game
goals
achieved?
Yes
No
Has game
reached end
of 2050?
Yes
START
END
33. 33
Modelling supports sustainable policy making
• The Nexus is about avoiding problem shifting – both
between Nexus components and geographically
• Modelling can help to identify unintended consequences
• Quantifying Nexus impacts can allow an assessment of
trade-offs
• Sustainable development requires integrated analysis
across the Nexus