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Introduction to Meta-analysis - Dr Moses Ocan
1. Introduction to meta-analysis
By
Moses Ocan (Ph.D.)
Senior Lecturer, Department of Pharmacology &
Therapeutics, MakCHS
The Africa Centre for Systematic Reviews and Knowledge Translation
Makerere University College of Health Sciences
2. Glossary
• Review: A critical appraisal of a book, play or other work
• Systematic: Done or acting according to a fixed plan or system (methodical)
• Research synthesis: review of primary research on a given topic with a
purpose of integrating the findings (creating generalizations, conflict
resolution)
• Meta-analysis: a set of statistical methods for combining outcomes (effect
sizes) across different studies addressing the same research question
3. Types of Reviews
• Literature or narrative
review
• Mapping review
• Scoping review
• Overview of reviews
• Rapid review
• Methodological review
• Qualitative systematic
review
• Quantitative systematic
review
• Mixed methods review
• Meta-analysis
4. Meta-analysis
• The statistical combination of results from two or
more separate studies
– Treatment effect (or effect size) should be consistent
from one study to the next
– It is used to identify a common effect size
– When the effect varies from one study to the next, MA
may be used to identify the reason for the variation
2023/9/19
6. Why perform a meta-analysis
• Results of single studies typically vary from one
study to the next
– This affects decision making
• Narrative reviews had been used
– However, largely subjective (different experts can come
to different conclusions
• Meta-analysis, by contrast, applies objective
statistical methods and can be used with any
number of studies
7. Why perform a meta-analysis
• To increase power:
– The chance of detecting a real effect as statistically
significant if it exists
• To improve precision:
– Estimation of an intervention effect can be improved
when it is based on more information
• To answer questions not posed by the individual
studies
• To settle controversies arising from apparently
conflicting studies or to generate new hypotheses
8. What does a meta-analysis entail?
• Most essential element of an analysis is a
thoughtful approach, to both its narrative and
quantitative elements. This entails consideration of
the following questions:
– Which comparisons should be made?
– Which study results should be used in each comparison?
– What is the best summary of effect for each comparison?
– Are the results of studies similar within each
comparison?
– How reliable are those summaries?
9. When is meta-analysis most useful?
• There is a moderate to large amount of empirical
work available
• The results are variable across studies
• The expected magnitude of the effect is relatively
weak
• The sample sizes of individual studies are limited for
some reason
10. Meta-analysis vs null hypothesis
significance testing
• Most statistical approaches commonly used in
biological sciences are based on null hypothesis
significance testing (P values)
• In contrast, meta-analysis is focused on assessment
of the magnitude of an effect of interest (=effect
size), the precision of its estimate and causes of
variation in effect size among studies
11. What is an effect size?
• Effect size expresses the magnitude of an effect of
interest (e.g. strength of the relationship between two
variables)
• Effect sizes are the common currency which allows
combination of results from different studies into a
single, standardized and comparable metric of
outcome
12. Effect size
• Outcomes of two study groups treated differently is
known as the ‘effect’, the ‘treatment effect’ or the
‘intervention effect’ e.g Odds ratios,
• A general framework for synthesis may be provided
by considering four questions:
– What is the direction of effect?
– What is the size of effect?
– Is the effect consistent across studies?
– What is the strength of evidence for the effect?
• MA provides a statistical method for bullets 1-3